Target trial emulation using cohort studies: estimating the effect of antihypertensive medication initiation on incident dementia.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies link high midlife systolic blood pressure to increased dementia risk. However, synthesis of evidence from randomized controlled trials has not definitively demonstrated that antihypertensive medication use reduces dementia risk. Here, we emulate target trials of antihypertensive medication initiation on incident dementia using three cohort studies, with attention to potential violations of necessary assumptions. METHODS: We emulated trials of antihypertensive medication initiation on incident dementia using data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), and Health and Retirement Study (HRS). We used data-driven methods to restrict participants to initiators and non-initiators with overlap in propensity scores and positive control outcomes to look for violations of positivity and exchangeability assumptions. RESULTS: Analyses were limited by the small number of cohort participants who met eligibility criteria. Associations between antihypertensive medication initiation and incident dementia were inconsistent and imprecise (ARIC: HR = 0.30 [0.05, 1.93]; CHS: HR = 0.66 [0.27, 1.64]; HRS: HR = 1.09 [0.75, 1.59]). More stringent propensity score restriction had little effect on findings. Sensitivity analyses using a positive control outcome unexpectedly suggested antihypertensive medication initiation increased risk of coronary heart disease in all three samples. CONCLUSIONS: Positive control outcome analyses suggested substantial residual confounding in effect estimates from our target trials, precluding conclusions about the impact of antihypertensive medication initiation on dementia risk through target trial emulation. Formalized processes for identifying violations of necessary assumptions will strengthen confidence in target trial emulation and avoid inappropriate confidence in emulated trial results.

Lung Function and Brain MRI Outcomes in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study.

Background: Brain imaging studies may provide etiologic insight into observed links between lung function and dementia and stroke. Objective: We evaluated associations of lung function measures with brain MRI markers of vascular and neurodegenerative disease in the ARIC Neurocognitive Study, as few studies have examined the associations. Methods: Lung function was measured at participants' midlife in 1990-1992 (mean age = 56±5 years) and later-life in 2011-2013 (mean age = 76±5 years), and brain MRI was performed in 2011-2013. Linear regression models were used to examine the associations of lung function with brain and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volumes, and logistic regression models were used for cerebral infarcts and microbleeds, adjusting for potential confounders. Results: In cross-sectional analysis (i.e., examining later-life lung function and MRI markers, n = 1,223), higher forced-expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were associated with larger brain and lower WMH volumes [e.g., 8.62 (95% CI:2.54-14.71) cm3 greater total brain volume per one-liter higher FEV1]. No association was seen with microbleeds in the overall sample, but higher FVC was associated with lower odds of microbleeds in never-smokers and higher odds in ever-smokers. In the cross-temporal analysis (i.e., associations with midlife lung function, n = 1,787), higher FVC levels were significantly associated with lower later-life brain volumes. Conclusions: Our results support modest associations of better lung function with less neurodegenerative and cerebrovascular pathology, although findings for microbleeds were unexpected in ever-smokers.

Associations of mid-to-late-life inflammation with late-life mobility and the influences of chronic comorbidities, race, and social determinants of health: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: Relationships of midlife inflammation with late-life mobility and influences of chronic health conditions, race, and social determinants of health (SDoH) on these relationships are poorly understood. METHODS: Among 4758 community-dwelling participants (41% men, 20% Black), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was measured over 20+ years: in midlife at study visit 2 (V2: 1990-1992, 47-68 years); at V4 (1996-1998, 53-74 years); and with concurrent late-life 4-m gait speed at V5 (2011-2013, 67-88 years, mean 75 years). SDoH measures included race, the national-rank area deprivation index, education, and income. We examined associations of late-life gait speed with midlife hsCRP (V2 continuous and clinically high ≥3 mg/L), with 20-year hsCRP history from midlife (V2-V5 average continuous hsCRP and clinically high ≥3 mg/L) and with inflammation accumulation (visits and years with high hsCRP). Regression models adjusted for demographic, cardiovascular, and SDoH measures; effect modification by the presence of other common chronic conditions (obesity, diabetes, hypertension) and race were examined, with and without accounting for SDoH. RESULTS: High midlife hsCRP was associated with slower late-life gait speed, even among those without chronic conditions in midlife: -4.6 cm/s (95% CI: -6.4, -2.8). Importantly, sustained high hsCRP was associated with a 20-year slowing of -10.0 cm/s (-14.9, -5.1) among those who never experienced obesity, diabetes, or hypertension over the 20-year period. Associations were similar between Black participants, -3.8 cm/s (-6.9, -0.7) and White participants -3.3 (-4.5, -2.2) per interquartile range of midlife hsCRP; effect modifications by chronic conditions and race were unsupported throughout. Results were robust to accounting for SDoH or otherwise; however, worse SDoH was associated with higher inflammation and slower gait speed in both Black and White participants. CONCLUSIONS: Inflammation in midlife may contribute to clinically meaningful late-life slowing of gait speed, even among otherwise healthy-appearing adults and regardless of race and socioeconomic disadvantage. Regular monitoring and interventions for inflammation may be warranted from midlife.

Ankle-Brachial Index and Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death in the Community: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a significant global public health problem accounting for 15% to 20% of all deaths. A great majority of SCD is associated with coronary heart disease, which may first be detected at autopsy. The ankle-brachial index (ABI) is a simple, noninvasive measure of subclinical atherosclerosis. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between ABI and SCD in a middle-aged biracial general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants of the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study with an ABI measurement between 1987 and 1989 were included. ABI was categorized as low (≤0.90), borderline (0.90-1.00), normal (1.00-1.40), and noncompressible (>1.40). SCD was defined as a sudden pulseless condition presumed to be caused by a ventricular tachyarrhythmia in a previously stable individual and was adjudicated by a committee of cardiac electrophysiologists, cardiologists, and internists. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the associations between baseline ABI and incident SCD. Of the 15 081 participants followed for a median of 23.5 years, 556 (3.7%) developed SCD (1.96 cases per 1000 person-years). Low and borderline ABIs were associated with an increased risk of SCD (demographically adjusted hazard ratios [HRs], 2.27 [95% CI, 1.64-3.14] and 1.52 [95% CI, 1.17-1.96], respectively) compared with normal ABI. The association between low ABI and SCD remained significant after adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors (HR, 1.63 [95% CI, 1.15-2.32]). CONCLUSIONS: Low ABI is independently associated with an increased risk of SCD in a middle-aged biracial general population. ABI could be incorporated into future SCD risk prediction models.

Serum Proteomic Signatures of Common Health Outcomes among Older Adults.

INTRODUCTION: In aging populations, the coexistence of multiple health comorbidities represents a significant challenge for clinicians and researchers. Leveraging advances in omics techniques to characterize these health conditions may provide insight into disease pathogenesis as well as reveal biomarkers for monitoring, prognostication, and diagnosis. Researchers have previously established the utility of big data approaches with respect to comprehensive health outcome measurements in younger populations, identifying protein markers that may provide significant health information with a single blood sample. METHODS: Here, we employed a similar approach in two cohorts of older adults, the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (mean age = 76.12 years) and InCHIANTI Study (mean age = 66.05 years), examining the relationship between levels of serum proteins and 5 key health outcomes: kidney function, fasting glucose, physical activity, lean body mass, and percent body fat. RESULTS: Correlations between proteins and health outcomes were primarily shared across both older adult cohorts. We further identified that most proteins associated with health outcomes in the older adult cohorts were not associated with the same outcomes in a prior study of a younger population. A subset of proteins, adiponectin, MIC-1, and NCAM-120, were associated with at least three health outcomes in both older adult cohorts but not in the previously published younger cohort, suggesting that they may represent plausible markers of general health in older adult populations. CONCLUSION: Taken together, these findings suggest that comprehensive protein health markers have utility in aging populations and are distinct from those identified in younger adults, indicating unique mechanisms of disease with aging.

Multi-omics and pathway analyses of genome-wide associations implicate regulation and immunity in verbal declarative memory performance.

BACKGROUND: Uncovering the functional relevance underlying verbal declarative memory (VDM) genome-wide association study (GWAS) results may facilitate the development of interventions to reduce age-related memory decline and dementia. METHODS: We performed multi-omics and pathway enrichment analyses of paragraph (PAR-dr) and word list (WL-dr) delayed recall GWAS from 29,076 older non-demented individuals of European descent. We assessed the relationship between single-variant associations and expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) in 44 tissues and methylation quantitative trait loci (meQTLs) in the hippocampus. We determined the relationship between gene associations and transcript levels in 53 tissues, annotation as immune genes, and regulation by transcription factors (TFs) and microRNAs. To identify significant pathways, gene set enrichment was tested in each cohort and meta-analyzed across cohorts. Analyses of differential expression in brain tissues were conducted for pathway component genes. RESULTS: The single-variant associations of VDM showed significant linkage disequilibrium (LD) with eQTLs across all tissues and meQTLs within the hippocampus. Stronger WL-dr gene associations correlated with reduced expression in four brain tissues, including the hippocampus. More robust PAR-dr and/or WL-dr gene associations were intricately linked with immunity and were influenced by 31 TFs and 2 microRNAs. Six pathways, including type I diabetes, exhibited significant associations with both PAR-dr and WL-dr. These pathways included fifteen MHC genes intricately linked to VDM performance, showing diverse expression patterns based on cognitive status in brain tissues. CONCLUSIONS: VDM genetic associations influence expression regulation via eQTLs and meQTLs. The involvement of TFs, microRNAs, MHC genes, and immune-related pathways contributes to VDM performance in older individuals.

Mid-Life Vascular Risk and Rate of Physical Function Decline Among Older Adults: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Physical function and its decline in older age may be connected to treatable vascular risk factors in mid-life. This study aimed to evaluate whether these factors affect the underlying rate of decline. METHODS: This prospective cohort included 5 481 older adults aged 67-91 in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (mean [standard deviation {SD}] age = 75.8 [5.0], 58% women, 21% Black race) without a history of stroke. The main outcome was the rate of Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) decline over a median late-life follow-up of 4.8 years. Primary mid-life (aged 45-64) exposures were Visit 1 hypertension (>140/90 mm Hg or treatment), diabetes (>126 mg/dL or treatment), high cholesterol (>240 mg/dL or treatment), and smoking, and number of decades of vascular risk exposure across Visits 1-4. RESULTS: The average adjusted rate of SPPB decline (points per 5 years) for older adults was -0.79 (confidence interval [CI]: -0.87, 0.71) and was accelerated by mid-life hypertension (+57% decline vs normotension: additional decline of -0.47, 95% CI: -0.64, -0.30), diabetes (+73% decline vs no diabetes: additional decline of -0.67, 95% CI: -1.09, -0.24), elevated systolic blood pressure (+17% decline per SD: -0.16, 95% CI: -0.23, -0.10), and elevated fasting blood glucose (+16% decline per SD: -0.015, 95% CI: -0.24, -0.06). Each decade greater mid-life exposure to hypertension (+32% decline: -0.93, 95% CI: -1.25, -0.61) and diabetes (+35% decline: -1.03, 95% CI: -1.68, -0.38) was associated with faster SPPB decline. CONCLUSIONS: Mid-life control of blood pressure and diabetes may offset aging-related functional decline.

Calorie restriction modulates the transcription of genes related to stress response and longevity in human muscle: The CALERIE study.

The lifespan extension induced by 40% caloric restriction (CR) in rodents is accompanied by postponement of disease, preservation of function, and increased stress resistance. Whether CR elicits the same physiological and molecular responses in humans remains mostly unexplored. In the CALERIE study, 12% CR for 2 years in healthy humans induced minor losses of muscle mass (leg lean mass) without changes of muscle strength, but mechanisms for muscle quality preservation remained unclear. We performed high-depth RNA-Seq (387-618 million paired reads) on human vastus lateralis muscle biopsies collected from the CALERIE participants at baseline, 12- and 24-month follow-up from the 90 CALERIE participants randomized to CR and "ad libitum" control. Using linear mixed effect model, we identified protein-coding genes and splicing variants whose expression was significantly changed in the CR group compared to controls, including genes related to proteostasis, circadian rhythm regulation, DNA repair, mitochondrial biogenesis, mRNA processing/splicing, FOXO3 metabolism, apoptosis, and inflammation. Changes in some of these biological pathways mediated part of the positive effect of CR on muscle quality. Differentially expressed splicing variants were associated with change in pathways shown to be affected by CR in model organisms. Two years of sustained CR in humans positively affected skeletal muscle quality, and impacted gene expression and splicing profiles of biological pathways affected by CR in model organisms, suggesting that attainable levels of CR in a lifestyle intervention can benefit muscle health in humans.

Association of Olfaction and Microstructural Integrity of Brain Tissue in Community-Dwelling Adults: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Research on olfaction and brain neuropathology may help understand brain regions associated with normal olfaction and dementia pathophysiology. To identify early regional brain structures affected in poor olfaction, we examined cross-sectional associations of microstructural integrity of the brain with olfaction in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study. METHODS: Participants were selected from a prospective cohort study of community-dwelling adults; selection criteria included the following: evidence of cognitive impairment, participation in a previous MRI study, and a random sample of cognitively normal participants. Microstructural integrity was measured by 2 diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) measures, fractional anisotropy (FA) and mean diffusivity (MD), and olfaction by a 12-item odor identification test at the same visit. Higher FA and MD values indicate better and worse microstructural integrity, respectively, and higher odor identification scores indicate better olfaction. We used brain region-specific linear regression models to examine associations between DTI measures and olfaction, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 1,418 participants (mean age 76 ± 5 years, 41% male, 21% Black race, 59% with normal cognition), the mean olfaction score was 9 ± 2.3. Relevant to olfaction, higher MD in the medial temporal lobe (MTL) regions, namely the hippocampus (ß -0.79 [95% CI -0.94 to -0.65] units lower olfaction score per 1 SD higher MD), amygdala, entorhinal area, and some white matter (WM) tracts connecting to these regions, was associated with olfaction. We also observed associations with MD and WM FA in multiple atlas regions that were not previously implicated in olfaction. The associations between MD and olfaction were particularly stronger in the MTL regions among individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) compared with those with normal cognition (e.g., ßhippocampus -0.75 [95% CI -1.02 to -0.49] and -0.44 [95% CI -0.63 to -0.26] for MCI and normal cognition, respectively, p interaction = 0.004). DISCUSSION: Neuronal microstructural integrity in multiple brain regions, particularly the MTL (the regions known to be affected in early Alzheimer disease), is associated with odor identification ability. Differential associations in the MTL regions among cognitively normal individuals compared with those with MCI may reflect the earlier vs later effects of the dementia pathogenesis. It is likely that some of the associated regions may not have any functional relevance to olfaction.

Factors Associated with Poor Olfaction and Olfactory Decline in Older Adults in the ARIC Neurocognitive Study.

Olfactory function has significant implications for human health, but few risk factors for olfactory decline have been identified. We examined the factors associated with olfactory status and decline over five years in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Neurocognitive Study. A 12-item odor identification test was used to assess olfaction in 6053 participants in 2011-2013 (ARIC visit 5, mean age: 75.6, 41% male, 23% Black race) and in 3235 participants in 2016-2017 (visit 6). We used Poisson regression models to examine cross-sectional associations of a range of potential factors with the total odor identification errors (mean errors: 2.8 ± 2.4) in visit 5 participants. We used mixed-effect Poisson regression to examine associations with olfactory decline between visits 5 and 6. We also examined associations with visit 5 anosmia prevalence (847 cases, 14%) and incident anosmia between the two visits (510 cases, 16%) using Poisson models. Older age, male sex, lower education, Black race, APOE ε4 alleles, and diabetes were associated with higher odor identification errors and higher anosmia prevalence, and greater physical activity and hypertension with better olfaction. Age, male sex, lower education, Black race, APOE ε4 allele, and vitamin B12 levels were associated with incident anosmia over 5 years. Older age was associated with faster olfactory decline. Future studies with longer follow-ups are warranted.

Association of Lung Function With Cognitive Decline and Incident Dementia in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

We examined the associations between lung function and incident dementia and cognitive decline in 12,688 participants in the ARIC Study who provided lung function measurements in 1990-1992. Cognitive tests were administered up to 7 times, and dementia was ascertained through 2019. We used shared parameter models to jointly fit proportional hazard models and linear mixed-effect models to estimate lung-function-associated dementia rate and cognitive change, respectively. Higher forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were associated with reduced dementia (n = 2,452 persons developed dementia); hazard ratios per 1-L increase in FEV1 and FVC were 0.79 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.71, 0.89) and 0.81 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.89), respectively. Each 1-L increase in FEV1 and FVC was associated with a 0.08-standard deviation (SD) (95% CI: 0.05, 0.12) and a 0.05-SD (95% CI: 0.02, 0.07) attenuation of 30-year cognitive decline, respectively. A 1% increase in FEV1/FVC ratio was associated with 0.008-SD (95% CI: 0.004, 0.012) less cognitive decline. We observed statistical interaction between FEV1 and FVC, suggesting that cognitive declines depended on values of specific FEV1 and FVC (as compared with FEV1, FVC, or FEV1/FVC ratio models that suggested linear incremental associations). Our findings may have important implications for reducing the burden of cognitive decline that is attributable to environmental exposures and associated lung function impairment.

Late Midlife Subclinical Infarct Burden and Risk of Dementia: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study.

At visit 3 (1993-1995) of the ARIC Study, 1.5T brain MRI was completed in 1,881 stroke-free participants (Mean age = 62.9±4.9, 50% Black). Cox regression examined associations between infarct group [infarct-free (referent; n = 1,611), smaller only (<3 mm; n = 50), larger only (≥3 mm but <20 mm; n = 185), both (n = 35)] and up to 25-year incident dementia (n = 539). Participants with both infarcts were over 2.5 times more likely to develop dementia [HR = 2.61; 95% CI = 1.44, 4.72]. Smaller only (HR = 1.22; 95% CI = 0.70, 2.13) and larger only (HR = 1.27; 95% CI = 0.92, 1.74) groups showed associations with wide confidence intervals, unsupported statistically. A late midlife infarct profile including smaller and larger infarcts may represent particular vulnerability to dementia risk.

Relationships of Cerebral Perfusion With Gait Speed Across Systolic Blood Pressure Levels and Age: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to examine if the association of cerebral perfusion with gait speed differs across systolic blood pressure (SBP) and age. METHODS: Cerebral perfusion was measured via arterial spin labeled (ASL)-MRI among community-dwelling adults aged 31-94 years in the population-based Mayo Clinic Study of Aging. Usual gait speed was assessed over 5.6 meters on an electronic mat. Sex- and body mass index (BMI)-adjusted linear regression models estimated cross-sectional gait speed associations with ASL and modifying effects of age and SBP using 3-way and 2-way interaction terms between continuous age, SBP, and ASL. Results report estimated differences in gait speed per standard deviation (SD) lower ASL for exemplar SBPs and ages. RESULTS: Among 479 participants (mean age 67.6 years; 44% women; mean gait speed 1.17 m/s), ASL relations to gait speed varied by age (ASL-x-age interaction: p = .001) and SBP (ASL-x-SBP interaction: p = .009). At an SBP of 120 mmHg, each SD lower ASL was associated with a 0.04 m/s (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.01, 0.07) slower gait speed at 65 years, 0.07 m/s (0.04, 0.10) at 75 years, and 0.09 m/s (0.05, 0.13) at 85 years. At an SBP of 140 mmHg, ASL associations with gait speed were attenuated to 0.01 (-0.01, 0.04), 0.04 (0.02, 0.06), and 0.06 (0.04, 0.09) m/s slower gait speed at ages 65, 75, and 85, respectively. CONCLUSION: Poorer cerebral perfusion is associated with clinically meaningful slower gait speeds, particularly with older age, while higher perfusion markedly attenuates age differences in gait speed.

Mediation effects of diabetes and inflammation on the relationship of obesity to cognitive impairment in African Americans.

BACKGROUND: Whether diabetes and adipokine-driven inflammation explain the association of obesity to cognitive impairment is unknown. METHODS: Structural equation models estimated the total effects of waist circumference on cognitive outcomes among African American participants cross-sectionally (index exam) and longitudinally. Total effects were deconstructed into direct pathways of waist circumference to cognitive impairment and indirect mediation pathways through leptin, soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (sTNFR2), and diabetes. Waist circumference, leptin, and sTNFR2 were standardized. Cognitive impairment was defined as MMSE <21 or a z-score < -1.5 standard deviation (SD). Incident cognitive impairment was defined among those without cognitive impairment at the index exam as follow-up MMSE<21, z- score < -1.5, MMSE decline >1 point/year, or z-score decline of >0.1 SD/year. RESULTS: Among 1008 participants (70% women, mean age 62.9 years, 14.5% with obesity, 26% with diabetes), 132 (13%) had baseline cognitive impairment. Each SD higher waist circumference was associated with higher odds of cognitive impairment, odds ratio (OR) = 1.63; (95% confidence interval: 1.17, 2.24), with mediating pathways explaining 65% of the total effect (58% from diabetes; 7% from inflammation). At follow-up (mean 6.8 years), 106 of 535 (19.8%) had developed cognitive impairment. Each SD higher waist circumference was associated with higher odds of developing cognitive impairment (OR = 1.87; 95%CI: 1.18, 2.74); the direct effect of waist circumference explained 37% of the total effect and mediating pathways explained 63% (61% from diabetes; 2% from inflammation), although individual pathways were not statistically supported in the smaller sample. CONCLUSION: Diabetes, and to a lesser degree, adiposity-driven inflammation, appear to explain a substantial proportion of abdominal adiposity relationships with cognitive impairment. The impact of preventing and treating obesity on cognitive outcomes merits study.

Variation in Population Attributable Fraction of Dementia Associated With Potentially Modifiable Risk Factors by Race and Ethnicity in the US.

Importance: Identifying modifiable risk factors that are associated with dementia burden across racial and ethnic groups in the population can yield insights into the potential effectiveness of interventions in preventing dementia and reducing disparities. Objective: To calculate the population attributable fraction (PAF) of dementia associated with 12 established modifiable risk factors for all US adults, as well as separately by race and ethnicity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used survey data from nationally representative samples of US adults. PAFs were calculated using relative risks and prevalence estimates for 12 risk factors. Relative risks were taken from meta-analyses, as reported in a 2020 systematic review. Prevalence estimates for risk factors were derived from nationally representative cross-sectional survey data collected between 2011 and 2018. Combined PAFs were adjusted for risk factor communality using weights derived from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (1987-2018). Analyses were conducted May through October 2021. Exposures: Low education, hearing loss, traumatic brain injury, hypertension, excessive alcohol consumption, obesity, smoking, depression, social isolation, physical inactivity, diabetes, and air pollution. Main Outcomes and Measures: PAF for each dementia risk factor, a combined PAF, and the decrease in the number of prevalent dementia cases in 2020 that would be expected given a 15% proportional decrease in each exposure. Results: Among all US adults, an estimated 41.0% (95% CI, 22.7%-55.9%) of dementia cases were attributable to 12 risk factors. A 15% proportional decrease in each risk factor would reduce dementia prevalence in the population by an estimated 7.3% (95% CI, 3.7%-10.9%). The estimated PAF was greater for Black and Hispanic than it was for White and Asian individuals. The greatest attributable fraction of dementia cases was observed for hypertension (PAF, 20.2%; 95% CI, 6.3%-34.4%), obesity (PAF, 20.9%; 95% CI, 13.0%-28.8%), and physical inactivity (PAF, 20.1%; 95% CI, 9.1%-29.6%). These factors were also highest within each racial and ethnic group, although the proportions varied. Conclusions and Relevance: A large fraction of dementia cases in the US were associated with potentially modifiable risk factors, especially for Black and Hispanic individuals. Targeting and reducing these risk factors may curb the projected rise in dementia cases over the next several decades.

Polygenic Risk, Midlife Life's Simple 7, and Lifetime Risk of Stroke.

Background Recent genetic discoveries in stroke have unleashed the potential of using genetic information for risk prediction and health interventions aimed at disease prevention. We sought to estimate the lifetime risk of stroke (LTRS) by levels of genetic risk and to investigate whether optimal cardiovascular health can offset the negative impact of high genetic risk on lifetime risk of stroke. Methods and Results Study participants were 11 568 middle-aged adults (56% women, 23% Black adults), who were free of stroke at baseline and were followed up for a median of 28 years. The remaining LTRS was estimated according to levels of genetic risk based on a validated stroke polygenic risk score, and to levels of cardiovascular health based on the American Heart Association Life's Simple 7 recommendations. At age 45, individuals with high, intermediate, and low polygenic risk score had a remaining LTRS of 23.2% (95% CI, 20.8%-25.5%), 13.8% (95% CI, 11.7%-15.8%), and 9.6% (95% CI, 7.3%-11.8%), respectively. Those with both a high genetic risk and an inadequate Life's Simple 7 experienced the highest LTRS: 24.8% (95% CI, 22.0%-27.6%). Across all polygenic risk score categories, those with an optimal Life's Simple 7 had a ≈30% to 43% lower LTRS than those with an inadequate Life's Simple 7. This corresponded to almost 6 additional years lived free of stroke. Conclusions The LTRS varies by levels of polygenic risk and cardiovascular health. Maintaining an optimal cardiovascular health can partially offset a high genetic risk, emphasizing the importance of modifiable risk factors and illustrating the potential of personalizing genetic risk information to motivate lifestyle changes for stroke prevention.

Individual Life-Course Socioeconomic Position and Hearing Aid Use in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: To measure the association between individual life-course socioeconomic position (SEP) and hearing aid use, we examined childhood and adulthood socioeconomic variables collected at the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study baseline visit (1987-1989)/Life Course Socioeconomic Status study (2001-2002) and hearing aid use data collected at visit 6 (2016-2017). METHODS: ARIC is a prospective cohort study of older adults (45-64 years) recruited from 4 U.S. communities. This analysis included a subset of 2 470 participants with hearing loss at visit 6 (≥25 decibels hearing level [dB HL] better-ear) with complete hearing aid use data. Childhood SEP variables included parental education, parental occupation, and parental home ownership. Young and older adulthood SEP variables included income, education, occupation, and home ownership. Each life epoch was assigned a score ranging from 0 to 5 and then summed to calculate the individual cumulative SEP score. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression was used to estimate the association between individual cumulative SEP and hearing aid use. Missing SEP scores were imputed for participants with incomplete socioeconomic data. RESULTS: Of the 2 470 participants in the analytic cohort (median [interquartile interval] age 79.9 [76.7-84.0], 1 330 [53.8%] women, 450 [18.2%] Black), 685 (27.7%) participants reported hearing aid use. Higher cumulative SEP was positively associated with hearing aid use (odds ratio [OR] = 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.14), and slightly stronger for childhood (OR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.00-1.20) than older adulthood SEP score (OR = 1.06, 95% CI: 0.95-1.18). CONCLUSIONS: In this community-based cohort of older adults with hearing loss, higher individual life-course SEP was positively associated with hearing aid use.

Endurance and gait speed relationships with mild cognitive impairment and dementia.

INTRODUCTION: Slower mobility is associated with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. We examined the interaction of endurance with gait speed on prevalent MCI and dementia. METHODS: Cross-sectional multinomial regression in the ARIC cohort (n = 2844 participants; 71 to 94 years; 44% men; 18% Black persons) with cognitive status (normal/MCI/dementia), 4 m gait speed, and endurance (2 minute walk [2MW]). RESULTS: Faster gait speed (up to but not above 1 m/s) and better 2MW were separately associated with lower dementia risk. Good performance in both (2MW = 200 m, gait speed = 1.2 m/s) was associated with 99% lower dementia (Relative Prevalence Ratio [RPR] = 0.01 [95% CI: 0.0 to 0.06]) and 73% lower MCI, RPR = 0.27 (0.15 to 0.48) compared to poor performance in both (2MW = 100 m, gait speed = 0.8 m/s). Models incorporating a gait speed-by-2MW interaction term outperformed gait speed-only models (P < .001). DISCUSSION: Gait speed relationships with dementia diminish at faster gait speeds. Combining endurance with gait speed may yield more sensitive markers of MCI and dementia than gait speed alone.

Education and Cardiovascular Health as Effect Modifiers of APOE ε4 on Dementia: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: Both education and cardiovascular risk factors are strongly associated with dementia risk. However, it is not clear whether these associations persist or vary among individuals with high genetic risk for Alzheimer's disease. We examined the interactive relationship between lifestyle and genetic dementia risk factors in a prospective cohort study. METHODS: Our data came from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants (n = 13 715; baseline age 45-64; 25% Black; 55% female), who were followed for incident dementia from 1987 through 2017. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the risk of dementia (ascertained through in-person examination, telephone cognitive screeners, and/or hospital and death records) associated with baseline education and cardiovascular risk factors (measured using the American Heart Association's "Life Simple 7") among ε4 carriers and non-carriers separately. We also examined differences by race and sex. RESULTS: Two thousand two hundred and twenty-six incident dementia cases occurred over a median 25 years of follow-up. Lower educational attainment and poorer cardiovascular health were associated with greater risk of incident dementia. There was an education by apolipoprotein E (APOE) status interaction (p = .005) whereby the association of education and dementia was weaker for ε4 carriers (HR college graduates vs less than high school: 0.71 [0.59-0.84] than non-carriers (0.54 [0.47-0.63]). There was no interaction between APOE status and cardiovascular health on dementia risk. These relationships did not vary significantly by race or sex. CONCLUSIONS: Education and cardiovascular health were associated with lower dementia risk regardless of APOE genotype, though the protective effects of education were somewhat diminished among ε4 carriers.

Association of Midlife Plasma Amyloid-ß Levels With Cognitive Impairment in Late Life: The ARIC Neurocognitive Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between midlife plasma amyloid-ß (Aß1-42, Aß1-40, Aß42:Aß40) and risk of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. METHODS: Plasma Aß42 and Aß40 were retrospectively measured with a fluorometric bead-based immunoassay in a subsample of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort study. We investigated the relationship of plasma Aß42, Aß40, and Aß42:Aß40 ratio measured in midlife and late life and the change from midlife to late life to risk of MCI, dementia, and combined MCI/dementia outcomes in late life (from 2011-2019). We used multinomial logistic regressions estimating relative risk ratios (RRRs) of these cognitive outcomes vs cognitively normal adjusted for age, sex, education, site-race, APOE, hypertension, diabetes, and body mass index. RESULTS: A total of 2,284 participants were included (midlife mean age 59.2 ± 5.2, 57% female, 22% Black). Each doubling of midlife Aß42:Aß40 was associated with 37% lower risk of MCI/dementia (RRR 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.46-0.87), but only up to approximately the median (spline model threshold 0.20). Every 1-SD increase in plasma Aß42 (10 pg/mL) was associated with 13% lower risk of MCI/dementia (RRR 0.87, 95% CI 0.77-0.98), whereas every 1-SD increase in plasma Aß40 (67 pg/mL) was associated with 15% higher risk of MCI/dementia (RRR 1.15, 95% CI 1.01-1.29). Associations were comparable but slightly weaker statistically when models were repeated using late-life plasma Aß predictors. Aß42 and Aß40 increased from midlife to late life, but changes were not associated with cognitive outcomes. DISCUSSION: Midlife measurement of plasma Aß may have utility as a blood-based biomarker indicative of risk for future cognitive impairment.