A Systematic Review of Subclinical Hyperthyroidism Guidelines: a Remarkable Range of Recommendations.

Background Subclinical thyroid diseases are often the subject of debate concerning their clinical significance, the appropriateness of diagnostic testing and possible treatment. This systematic review addresses the variation in international guidelines for subclinical hyperthyroidism, focusing on diagnostic work-up, treatment, and follow-up recommendations. Methods Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we searched PubMed, Embase, and guideline-specific databases, and included clinical practice guidelines with recommendations on subclinical hyperthyroidism. Guideline recommendations were extracted, and quality assessment was performed using selected questions of the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE) II instrument. Results Of the 2,624 records screened, 22 guidelines were included, which were published between 2007 and 2021. Guideline quality was generally intermediate to low. Diagnostic approaches differed substantially, particularly in the extent of recommended testing. Treatment initiation depended on TSH levels, age, and comorbidities, but the level of detail regarding defining precise comorbidities varied. Recommendations for monitoring intervals for follow-up ranged from three to twelve months. Conclusions This review underscores the existing variability in (inter)national guidelines concerning subclinical hyperthyroidism. There is need for clear recommendations in guidelines considering diagnostic work-up, treatment and follow-up of subclinical hyperthyroidism. In order to establish this, future research should focus on determining clear and evidence-based intervention thresholds.

Patient-Reported Satisfaction with Thyroid Hormone Replacement Therapy for Subclinical Hypothyroidism in Older Adults: A Pooled Analysis of Individual Participant Data from Two Randomized Controlled Trials.

Background: The benefit of levothyroxine treatment of subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) is subject to debate. This study compared treatment satisfaction between older adults with SCH using levothyroxine or placebo. Methods: We analyzed pooled individual participant data from two randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials investigating the effects of levothyroxine treatment in older adults with SCH. Community-dwelling participants aged ≥65 years, with SCH (persistent thyrotropin levels 4.60-19.99 mIU/L for >3 months and normal free T4 level), were included. Intervention dose titration until thyrotropin levels normalized, with a mock dose adjustment of placebo. Treatment satisfaction was determined during the final study visit using the Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication (TSQM), encompassing perceived effectiveness, side effects, convenience, and global satisfaction, along with the participants' desire to continue study medication after the trial. Results: We included 536 participants. At baseline, the median (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 74.9 (69.7-81.4) years, and 292 (55%) were women. The median (IQR) thyrotropin levels were 5.80 (5.10-7.00) mIU/L at baseline in both groups; at final visit, 4.97 (3.90-6.35) mIU/L in the placebo and 3.24 (2.49-4.41) mIU/L in the levothyroxine group. After treatment, the groups did not differ significantly in global satisfaction (mean difference [CI] -1.1 [-4.5 to 2.1], p = 0.48), nor in any other domain of treatment satisfaction. These results held true regardless of baseline thyrotropin levels or symptom burden. No major differences were found in the numbers of participants who wished to continue medication after the trial (levothyroxine 35% vs. placebo 27%), did not wish to continue (levothyroxine 27% vs. placebo 30%), or did not know (levothyroxine 37% vs. placebo 42%) (p = 0.14). In a subpopulation with high symptom burden from hypothyroid symptoms at baseline, those using levothyroxine more often desired to continue the medication after the trial than those using placebo (mean difference [CI]: -21.1% [-35.6% to -6.5%]). Conclusion: These pooled data from two RCTs showed no major differences in treatment satisfaction between older adults receiving levothyroxine or placebo. This finding has important implications for decision-making regarding initiating levothyroxine treatment for SCH. Our findings generally support refraining from routinely prescribing levothyroxine in older adults with SCH.

Lifestyle and incident dementia: A COSMIC individual participant data meta­analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The LIfestyle for BRAin Health (LIBRA) index yields a dementia risk score based on modifiable lifestyle factors and is validated in Western samples. We investigated whether the association between LIBRA scores and incident dementia is moderated by geographical location or sociodemographic characteristics. METHODS: We combined data from 21 prospective cohorts across six continents (N = 31,680) and conducted cohort-specific Cox proportional hazard regression analyses in a two-step individual participant data meta-analysis. RESULTS: A one-standard-deviation increase in LIBRA score was associated with a 21% higher risk for dementia. The association was stronger for Asian cohorts compared to European cohorts, and for individuals aged ≤75 years (vs older), though only within the first 5 years of follow-up. No interactions with sex, education, or socioeconomic position were observed. DISCUSSION: Modifiable risk and protective factors appear relevant for dementia risk reduction across diverse geographical and sociodemographic groups. HIGHLIGHTS: A two-step individual participant data meta-analysis was conducted. This was done at a global scale using data from 21 ethno-regionally diverse cohorts. The association between a modifiable dementia risk score and dementia was examined. The association was modified by geographical region and age at baseline. Yet, modifiable dementia risk and protective factors appear relevant in all investigated groups and regions.

External validation of six COVID-19 prognostic models for predicting mortality risk in older populations in a hospital, primary care, and nursing home setting.

OBJECTIVES: To systematically evaluate the performance of COVID-19 prognostic models and scores for mortality risk in older populations across three health-care settings: hospitals, primary care, and nursing homes. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: This retrospective external validation study included 14,092 older individuals of ≥70 years of age with a clinical or polymerase chain reaction-confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis from March 2020 to December 2020. The six validation cohorts include three hospital-based (CliniCo, COVID-OLD, COVID-PREDICT), two primary care-based (Julius General Practitioners Network/Academisch network huisartsgeneeskunde/Network of Academic general Practitioners, PHARMO), and one nursing home cohort (YSIS) in the Netherlands. Based on a living systematic review of COVID-19 prediction models using Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool for quality and risk of bias assessment and considering predictor availability in validation cohorts, we selected six prognostic models predicting mortality risk in adults with COVID-19 infection (GAL-COVID-19 mortality, 4C Mortality Score, National Early Warning Score 2-extended model, Xie model, Wang clinical model, and CURB65 score). All six prognostic models were validated in the hospital cohorts and the GAL-COVID-19 mortality model was validated in all three healthcare settings. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality for hospitals and 28-day mortality for primary care and nursing home settings. Model performance was evaluated in each validation cohort separately in terms of discrimination, calibration, and decision curves. An intercept update was performed in models indicating miscalibration followed by predictive performance re-evaluation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: In-hospital mortality for hospitals and 28-day mortality for primary care and nursing home setting. RESULTS: All six prognostic models performed poorly and showed miscalibration in the older population cohorts. In the hospital settings, model performance ranged from calibration-in-the-large -1.45 to 7.46, calibration slopes 0.24-0.81, and C-statistic 0.55-0.71 with 4C Mortality Score performing as the most discriminative and well-calibrated model. Performance across health-care settings was similar for the GAL-COVID-19 model, with a calibration-in-the-large in the range of -2.35 to -0.15 indicating overestimation, calibration slopes of 0.24-0.81 indicating signs of overfitting, and C-statistic of 0.55-0.71. CONCLUSION: Our results show that most prognostic models for predicting mortality risk performed poorly in the older population with COVID-19, in each health-care setting: hospital, primary care, and nursing home settings. Insights into factors influencing predictive model performance in the older population are needed for pandemic preparedness and reliable prognostication of health-related outcomes in this demographic.

Limited incremental predictive value of the frailty index and other vulnerability measures from routine care data for mortality risk prediction in older patients with COVID-19 in primary care.

BACKGROUND: During the COVID-19 pandemic, older patients in primary care were triaged based on their frailty or assumed vulnerability for poor outcomes, while evidence on the prognostic value of vulnerability measures in COVID-19 patients in primary care was lacking. Still, knowledge on the role of vulnerability is pivotal in understanding the resilience of older people during acute illness, and hence important for future pandemic preparedness. Therefore, we assessed the predictive value of different routine care-based vulnerability measures in addition to age and sex for 28-day mortality in an older primary care population of patients with COVID-19. METHODS: From primary care medical records using three routinely collected Dutch primary care databases, we included all patients aged 70 years or older with a COVID-19 diagnosis registration in 2020 and 2021. All-cause mortality was predicted using logistic regression based on age and sex only (basic model), and separately adding six vulnerability measures: renal function, cognitive impairment, number of chronic drugs, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Chronic Comorbidity Score, and a Frailty Index. Predictive performance of the basic model and the six vulnerability models was compared in terms of area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), index of prediction accuracy and the distribution of predicted risks. RESULTS: Of the 4,065 included patients, 9% died within 28 days after COVID-19 diagnosis. Predicted mortality risk ranged between 7-26% for the basic model including age and sex, changing to 4-41% by addition of comorbidity-based vulnerability measures (Charlson Comorbidity Index, Chronic Comorbidity Score), more reflecting impaired organ functioning. Similarly, the AUC of the basic model slightly increased from 0.69 (95%CI 0.66 - 0.72) to 0.74 (95%CI 0.71 - 0.76) by addition of either of these comorbidity scores. Addition of a Frailty Index, renal function, the number of chronic drugs or cognitive impairment yielded no substantial change in predictions. CONCLUSION: In our dataset of older COVID-19 patients in primary care, the 28-day mortality fraction was substantial at 9%. Six different vulnerability measures had little incremental predictive value in addition to age and sex in predicting short-term mortality.

Apathy Symptoms, Physical and Cognitive Function, Health-Related Quality of Life, and Mortality in Older Patients With CKD: A Longitudinal Observational Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Apathy reflects diminished motivation, goal-directed behavior, and emotions, as well as less engagement in social interactions. Apathy overlaps with depression and is associated with cognitive decline. In the older individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD), both depression and cognitive impairments are common, but apathy symptoms have been underreported. We investigated the occurrence of apathy symptoms and their associations with physical and cognitive functioning, health-related quality of life (HRQoL), and mortality in older patients with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 180 outpatients aged≥65 years with estimated glomerular filtration rate≤20mL/min/1.73m2 from 5 Dutch nephrology centers. EXPOSURE: Apathy symptoms at baseline were considered present when a Geriatric Depression Scale's 3-item apathy subscale score was≥2 points. OUTCOME: Physical and cognitive functioning, HRQoL (assessed in annual geriatric assessments), and 4-year mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Linear regression for cross-sectional associations, linear regression models for longitudinal associations, and Cox regression models for mortality over 4 years of observation. RESULTS: Apathy symptoms were present in 64 patients (36%; 67% men; median age 75.5 years), of whom 32 (50%) had no depressive symptoms. At baseline, the presence of apathy symptoms was associated with significantly more frailty, more functional dependence, less physical capacity, lower visuoconstructive performance, worse delayed recall, and lower HRQoL scores. The presence of apathy symptoms at baseline was also associated with a higher mortality risk (hazard ratio, 2.3 [95% CI, 1.3-4.2], P=0.005 adjusted for age, sex, and high education level), but not with changes in physical and cognitive functioning or HRQoL during the follow-up period. LIMITATIONS: Risk of selection bias and residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Apathy symptoms were highly prevalent and associated with concurrent lower physical and cognitive status, lower HRQoL, and increased mortality. These findings highlight apathy as a potentially important clinical phenotype in older CKD patients. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: We observed that older kidney patients often present apathy symptoms, such as less motivation, fewer goal-directed behaviors, fewer emotions, and less social engagement. Prior research has not extensively described apathy in kidney disease. We investigated the link between apathy symptoms and poor outcomes. We measured physical functioning, cognitive functioning, and quality of life. We learned that one-third of our older kidney patients showed symptoms of apathy, only half of whom had symptoms of depression. Patients with apathy symptoms showed lower quality of life and lower physical and cognitive performance. They also had a higher risk of death. These findings highlight the need for awareness of apathy symptoms in older kidney patients.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Positive Health among older adults in relation to the complexity of health problems.

BACKGROUND: The broad concept of health as "the ability to adapt and self-manage in the face of social, physical and emotional challenges" has been operationalized by "Positive Health," a framework increasingly used in the Netherlands. We explored to what degree the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and preventive measures on Positive Health differed between community-dwelling older adults without, with mild and with complex health problems, as well as differences flowing from their use of preventive measures. METHODS: During the second wave in the Netherlands (November 2020-February 2021), a convenience sample of adults aged ≥65 years completed an online questionnaire. Positive Health impact was measured based on self-reported change of current health status, across six dimensions, compared to before the pandemic (decreased/unchanged/increased). The complexity of health problems (past month) was assessed using the validated ISCOPE tool, comparing subgroups without, with mild or with complex health problems. High use of preventive measures was defined as ≥9 of 13 measures and compared to low use (<9 measures). RESULTS: Of the 2397 participants (median age 71 years, 60% female, and 4% previous COVID-19 infection), 31% experienced no health problems, 55% mild health problems, and 15% complex health problems. Overall, participants reported a median decrease in one Positive Health dimension (IQR 1-3), most commonly in social participation (68%). With an increasing complexity of health problems, subjective Positive Health declined more often across all six dimensions, ranging from 3.3% to 57% in those without, from 22% to 72% in those with mild, and from 47% to 75% in those with complex health problems (p-values for trend <0.001; independent of age and sex). High users of preventive measures more often experienced declined social participation (72% vs. 62%, p < 0.001) and a declined quality of life (36% vs. 30%, p = 0.007) than low users, especially those with complex health problems. CONCLUSION: As the complexity of health problems increased, the adverse impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and related preventive measures was experienced more frequently across all dimensions of Positive Health. Acknowledging this heterogeneity is pivotal to the effective targeting of prevention and healthcare to those most in need.

Incidence and Determinants of Spontaneous Normalization of Subclinical Hypothyroidism in Older Adults.

CONTEXT: With age, the prevalence of subclinical hypothyroidism rises. However, incidence and determinants of spontaneous normalization remain largely unknown. OBJECTIVE: To investigate incidence and determinants of spontaneous normalization of TSH levels in older adults with subclinical hypothyroidism. DESIGN: Pooled data were used from the (1) pretrial population and (2) in-trial placebo group from 2 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials (Thyroid Hormone Replacement for Untreated Older Adults With Subclinical Hypothyroidism Trial and Institute for Evidence-Based Medicine in Old Age thyroid 80-plus thyroid trial). SETTING: Community-dwelling 65+ adults with subclinical hypothyroidism from the Netherlands, Switzerland, Ireland, and the United Kingdom. PARTICIPANTS: The pretrial population (N = 2335) consisted of older adults with biochemical subclinical hypothyroidism, defined as ≥1 elevated TSH measurement (≥4.60 mIU/L) and a free T4 within the laboratory-specific reference range. Individuals with persistent subclinical hypothyroidism, defined as ≥2 elevated TSH measurements ≥3 months apart, were randomized to levothyroxine/placebo, of which the in-trial placebo group (N = 361) was included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of spontaneous normalization of TSH levels and associations between participant characteristics and normalization. RESULTS: In the pretrial phase, TSH levels normalized in 60.8% of participants in a median follow-up of 1 year. In the in-trial phase, levels normalized in 39.9% of participants after 1 year of follow-up. Younger age, female sex, lower initial TSH level, higher initial free T4 level, absence of thyroid peroxidase antibodies, and a follow-up measurement in summer were independent determinants for normalization. CONCLUSION: Because TSH levels spontaneously normalized in a large proportion of older adults with subclinical hypothyroidism (also after confirmation by repeat measurement), a third measurement may be recommended before considering treatment. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01660126 and Netherlands Trial Register, NTR3851.

Association of low blood pressure and falls: An analysis of data from the Leiden 85-plus Study.

BACKGROUND: Falls and consequent injuries are prevalent in older adults. In this group, half of injury-related hospitalizations are associated with falls and the rate of falls increases with age. The evidence on the role of blood pressure and the use of antihypertensive treatment on the risk of falls remains unclear in oldest-old adults (≥85 years). OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and incident falls with medical consequences in oldest-old adults and to analyse whether this association is modified by the use of antihypertensive treatments or the presence of cardiovascular disease. METHODS: We analysed data from the Leiden 85-plus Study, a prospective, population-based cohort study with adults aged ≥85 years and a 5-year follow-up. Falls with medical consequences were reported by the treating physician of participants. We assessed the association between time-updated systolic blood pressure and the risk of falling over a follow-up period of five years using generalized linear mixed effects models with a binomial distribution and a logit link function. Subgroup analyses were performed to examine the role of antihypertensive treatment and the difference between participant with and without cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: We analysed data from 544 oldest-old adults, 242 (44.4%) of which used antihypertensives. In 81 individuals (15%) ≥1 fall(s) were reported during the follow-up period. The odds for a fall decreased by a factor of 0.86 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.93) for each increase in blood pressure by 10 mmHg. This effect was specific to blood pressure values above 130mmHg. We did not find any evidence that the effect would be modified by antihypertensive treatment, but that there was a tendency that it would be weaker in participants with cardiovascular disease (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.90 per 10mmHg) compared to those without cardiovascular disease (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.05 per 10mmHg). CONCLUSION: Our results point towards a possible benefit of higher blood pressure in the oldest-old with respect to falls independent of the use of antihypertensive treatments.

The optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function defined by the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Reference intervals of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4) are statistically defined by the 2·5-97·5th percentiles, without accounting for potential risk of clinical outcomes. We aimed to define the optimal healthy ranges of TSH and FT4 based on the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. METHODS: This systematic review and individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis identified eligible prospective cohorts through the Thyroid Studies Collaboration, supplemented with a systematic search via Embase, MEDLINE (Ovid), Web of science, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Google Scholar from Jan 1, 2011, to Feb 12, 2017 with an updated search to Oct 13, 2022 (cohorts found in the second search were not included in the IPD). We included cohorts that collected TSH or FT4, and cardiovascular outcomes or mortality for adults (aged ≥18 years). We excluded cohorts that included solely pregnant women, individuals with overt thyroid diseases, and individuals with cardiovascular disease. We contacted the study investigators of eligible cohorts to provide IPD on demographics, TSH, FT4, thyroid peroxidase antibodies, history of cardiovascular disease and risk factors, medication use, cardiovascular disease events, cardiovascular disease mortality, and all-cause mortality. The primary outcome was a composite outcome including cardiovascular disease events (coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure) and all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were the separate assessment of cardiovascular disease events, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular disease mortality. We performed one-step (cohort-stratified Cox models) and two-step (random-effects models) meta-analyses adjusting for age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, and total cholesterol. The study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42017057576. FINDINGS: We identified 3935 studies, of which 53 cohorts fulfilled the inclusion criteria and 26 cohorts agreed to participate. We included IPD on 134 346 participants with a median age of 59 years (range 18-106) at baseline. There was a J-shaped association of FT4 with the composite outcome and secondary outcomes, with the 20th (median 13·5 pmol/L [IQR 11·2-13·9]) to 40th percentiles (median 14·8 pmol/L [12·3-15·0]) conveying the lowest risk. Compared with the 20-40th percentiles, the age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for FT4 in the 80-100th percentiles was 1·20 (95% CI 1·11-1·31) for the composite outcome, 1·34 (1·20-1·49) for all-cause mortality, 1·57 (1·31-1·89) for cardiovascular disease mortality, and 1·22 (1·11-1·33) for cardiovascular disease events. In individuals aged 70 years and older, the 10-year absolute risk of composite outcome increased over 5% for women with FT4 greater than the 85th percentile (median 17·6 pmol/L [IQR 15·0-18·3]), and men with FT4 greater than the 75th percentile (16·7 pmol/L [14·0-17·4]). Non-linear associations were identified for TSH, with the 60th (median 1·90 mIU/L [IQR 1·68-2·25]) to 80th percentiles (2·90 mIU/L [2·41-3·32]) associated with the lowest risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. Compared with the 60-80th percentiles, the age-adjusted and sex-adjusted HR of TSH in the 0-20th percentiles was 1·07 (95% CI 1·02-1·12) for the composite outcome, 1·09 (1·05-1·14) for all-cause mortality, and 1·07 (0·99-1·16) for cardiovascular disease mortality. INTERPRETATION: There was a J-shaped association of FT4 with cardiovascular disease and mortality. Low concentrations of TSH were associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality. The 20-40th percentiles of FT4 and the 60-80th percentiles of TSH could represent the optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function based on the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality, with more than 5% increase of 10-year composite risk identified for FT4 greater than the 85th percentile in women and men older than 70 years. We propose a feasible approach to establish the optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function, allowing for better identification of individuals with a higher risk of thyroid-related outcomes. FUNDING: None.

The Role of a Composite Fitness Score in the Association Between Low-Density Cholesterol and All-Cause Mortality in Older Adults: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: In the general population, an increase in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) predicts higher cardiovascular disease risk, and lowering LDL-C can prevent cardiovascular disease and reduces mortality risk. Interestingly, in cohort studies that include very old populations, no or inverse associations between LDL-C and mortality have been observed. This study aims to investigate whether the association between LDL-C and mortality in the very old is modified by a composite fitness score. METHODS: A 2-stage meta-analysis of individual participant data from the 5 observational cohort studies. The composite fitness score was operationalized by performance on a combination of 4 markers: functional ability, cognitive function, grip strength, and morbidity. We pooled hazard ratios (HR) from Cox proportional-hazards models for 5-year mortality risk for a 1 mmol/L increase in LDL-C. Models were stratified by high/low composite fitness score. RESULTS: Composite fitness scores were calculated for 2 317 participants (median 85 years, 60% females participants), of which 994 (42.9%) had a high composite fitness score, and 694 (30.0%) had a low-composite fitness score. There was an inverse association between LDL-C and 5-year mortality risk (HR 0.87 [95% CI: 0.80-0.94]; p < .01), most pronounced in participants with a low-composite fitness score (HR 0.85 [95% CI: 0.75-0.96]; p = .01), compared to those with a high composite fitness score (HR = 0.98 [95% CI: 0.83-1.15]; p = .78), the test for subgroups differences was not significant. CONCLUSIONS: In this very old population, there was an inverse association between LDL-C and all-cause mortality, which was most pronounced in participants with a low-composite fitness scores.

Frequencies and reasons for unplanned emergency department return visits by older adults: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: As unplanned Emergency Department (ED) return visits (URVs) are associated with adverse health outcomes in older adults, many EDs have initiated post-discharge interventions to reduce URVs. Unfortunately, most interventions fail to reduce URVs, including telephone follow-up after ED discharge, investigated in a recent trial. To understand why these interventions were not effective, we analyzed patient and ED visit characteristics and reasons for URVs within 30 days for patients aged ≥ 70 years. METHODS: Data was used from a randomized controlled trial, investigating whether telephone follow-up after ED discharge reduced URVs compared to a satisfaction survey call. Only observational data from control group patients were used. Patient and index ED visit characteristics were compared between patients with and without URVs. Two independent researchers determined the reasons for URVs and categorized them into: patient-related, illness-related, new complaints and other reasons. Associations were examined between the number of URVs per patient and the categories of reasons for URVs. RESULTS: Of the 1659 patients, 222 (13.4%) had at least one URV within 30 days. Male sex, ED visit in the 30 days before the index ED visit, triage category "urgent", longer length of ED stay, urinary tract problems, and dyspnea were associated with URVs. Of the 222 patients with an URV, 31 (14%) returned for patient-related reasons, 95 (43%) for illness-related reasons, 76 (34%) for a new complaint and 20 (9%) for other reasons. URVs of patients who returned ≥ 3 times were mostly illness-related (72%). CONCLUSION: As the majority of patients had an URV for illness-related reasons or new complaints, these data fuel the discussion as to whether URVs can or should be prevented. TRIAL REGISTRATION: For this cohort study, we used data from a randomized controlled trial (RCT). This trial was pre-registered in the Netherlands Trial Register with number NTR6815 on the 7th of November 2017.

Cardiovascular risk factors and major recurrent coronary events: A genetic liability study in patients with coronary artery disease in the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Mendelian randomization confirmed multiple risk factors for primary events of coronary artery disease (CAD), but no such studies have been performed on recurrent major coronary events despite interesting insights derived from other designs. We examined the associations between genetically-influenced classical cardiovascular risk factors and the risk of recurrent major coronary events in a cohort of CAD patients. METHODS: We included all first-time CAD cases (defined as angina pectoris, chronic ischemic heart disease or acute myocardial infarction) of European ancestry from the UK Biobank. Cases were followed till the end of follow-up, death or when they developed a recurrent major coronary event (chronic ischemic heart disease or acute myocardial infarction). Standardized weighted genetic risk scores were calculated for body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure, LDL cholesterol and triglycerides. RESULTS: From a total of 22,949 CAD patients (mean age at first diagnosis 59.8 (SD 7.3) years, 71.1% men), 12,539 (54.6%) reported a recurrent major coronary event within a period of maximum 17.8 years. One standard deviation higher genetically-determined LDL cholesterol was associated with a higher risk of a recurrent major coronary event (odds ratio: 1.08 [95% confidence interval: 1.05, 1.11]). No associations were observed for genetically-influenced BMI (1.00 [0.98, 1.03]), systolic blood pressure (1.01 [0.98, 1.03]) and triglycerides (1.02 [0.995, 1.05]). CONCLUSIONS: Despite the use risk-reducing medications following a first coronary event, this study provided genetic evidence that, of the classical risk factors, mainly high LDL cholesterol was associated with a higher risk of developing recurrent major coronary events.

Effects of discontinuation of levothyroxine treatment in older adults: protocol for a self-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Many older persons use the thyroid hormone levothyroxine which is often continued for life. Scientifically, there is much uncertainty whether simple continuation is the optimal approach. First, the physical need for levothyroxine can decrease with age thereby posing a higher risk of overtreatment and adverse effects. Second, large trials in subclinical hypothyroidism have shown no benefit for the use of levothyroxine. Interestingly, guidelines do not address re-evaluation of the indication. This self-controlled trial aims to determine the effects of discontinuation of levothyroxine treatment in older adults. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Participants are community-dwelling subjects aged ≥60 years using levothyroxine continuously at a stable dosage of ≤150 µg and a level of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) <10 mU/L. After a control period of 12 weeks, levothyroxine treatment is discontinued gradually using a stepwise approach with regular monitoring of thyroid function guided by their GP. The primary outcome is the proportion of participants withdrawn from levothyroxine while maintaining a free T4 level within the reference range and a TSH level <10 mU/L, 52 weeks after the start of discontinuation. Secondary outcomes are compared with the control period (self-controlled) and include among others, the effects on thyroid-specific and general health-related quality of life. Furthermore, patients' attitudes towards deprescribing and regret regarding discontinuing levothyroxine treatment will be recorded. A total of 513 participants will be recruited to estimate the expected proportion of 50% with a 95% CI ranging from 45% to 55%. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Approval was obtained from the institutional Medical Ethics Committee. The Older People Advisory Board Health and Well-being has reviewed the research proposal and their comments were used for improvement. In line with the funding policies of the grant organisation funding this study, the study results will be proactively disseminated to the general public and key public health stakeholders. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NL7978; NCT05821881.

A study protocol of external validation of eight COVID-19 prognostic models for predicting mortality risk in older populations in a hospital, primary care, and nursing home setting.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has a large impact worldwide and is known to particularly affect the older population. This paper outlines the protocol for external validation of prognostic models predicting mortality risk after presentation with COVID-19 in the older population. These prognostic models were originally developed in an adult population and will be validated in an older population (≥ 70 years of age) in three healthcare settings: the hospital setting, the primary care setting, and the nursing home setting. METHODS: Based on a living systematic review of COVID-19 prediction models, we identified eight prognostic models predicting the risk of mortality in adults with a COVID-19 infection (five COVID-19 specific models: GAL-COVID-19 mortality, 4C Mortality Score, NEWS2 + model, Xie model, and Wang clinical model and three pre-existing prognostic scores: APACHE-II, CURB65, SOFA). These eight models will be validated in six different cohorts of the Dutch older population (three hospital cohorts, two primary care cohorts, and a nursing home cohort). All prognostic models will be validated in a hospital setting while the GAL-COVID-19 mortality model will be validated in hospital, primary care, and nursing home settings. The study will include individuals ≥ 70 years of age with a highly suspected or PCR-confirmed COVID-19 infection from March 2020 to December 2020 (and up to December 2021 in a sensitivity analysis). The predictive performance will be evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, and decision curves for each of the prognostic models in each cohort individually. For prognostic models with indications of miscalibration, an intercept update will be performed after which predictive performance will be re-evaluated. DISCUSSION: Insight into the performance of existing prognostic models in one of the most vulnerable populations clarifies the extent to which tailoring of COVID-19 prognostic models is needed when models are applied to the older population. Such insight will be important for possible future waves of the COVID-19 pandemic or future pandemics.

Proxy Decision-Making for Clinical Research in Nursing Home Residents with Dementia: A Qualitative Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The benefit-risk ratio of many interventions remains unclear in older adults with dementia. Efforts for more representative trial inclusion are made; however, recruiting and particularly gaining informed consent remains complex. For research participation, dementia compels the designation of a legal guardian (LG) to give proxy consent. To advance future trial development, we aimed to provide more insights into the factors that affect the proxy decision-making process in dementia research. DESIGN: A qualitative analysis of semi-structured interviews about proxy decision-making on participation in dementia research. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: LGs of nursing home residents that gave (n = 19) and refrained from giving (n = 18) proxy consent for a clinical trial (the Danton study) in the Netherlands. METHODS: Verbatim transcripts were thematically analyzed by using a preliminary deductive framework with room for induction of additional emerging themes, being an overall abductive approach. Based on that theme list, related factors of the decision-making process were grouped into overarching levels and merged into a step-by-step process. RESULTS: When discussing proxy decision-making on the participation of an older adult with dementia in a clinical trial, LGs described interconnected factors on the level of the study and patient. Past experiences and attitudes of the LG influenced the weighing of these study- and patient-related factors, leading to a preliminary decision. Other proxies and treating health care professionals (HCPs) were named as important other stakeholders of the decision-making process. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: When giving proxy consent for research participation, LGs weigh study- and patient-related factors, leading to an initial benefit-risk evaluation. This weighing process is influenced by LG-related factors and can be modulated by other proxies or treating HCPs, leading to a definitive decision. Although insights into these underlying mechanisms could facilitate the proxy decision-making process for both LGs and researchers, treating HCPs could act as an independent party.

Sex differences in dementia risk and risk factors: Individual-participant data analysis using 21 cohorts across six continents from the COSMIC consortium.

INTRODUCTION: Sex differences in dementia risk, and risk factor (RF) associations with dementia, remain uncertain across diverse ethno-regional groups. METHODS: A total of 29,850 participants (58% women) from 21 cohorts across six continents were included in an individual participant data meta-analysis. Sex-specific hazard ratios (HRs), and women-to-men ratio of hazard ratios (RHRs) for associations between RFs and all-cause dementia were derived from mixed-effect Cox models. RESULTS: Incident dementia occurred in 2089 (66% women) participants over 4.6 years (median). Women had higher dementia risk (HR, 1.12 [1.02, 1.23]) than men, particularly in low- and lower-middle-income economies. Associations between longer education and former alcohol use with dementia risk (RHR, 1.01 [1.00, 1.03] per year, and 0.55 [0.38, 0.79], respectively) were stronger for men than women; otherwise, there were no discernible sex differences in other RFs. DISCUSSION: Dementia risk was higher in women than men, with possible variations by country-level income settings, but most RFs appear to work similarly in women and men.

The effect of thyroid hormone therapy on muscle function, strength and mass in older adults with subclinical hypothyroidism-an ancillary study within two randomized placebo controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: loss of skeletal muscle function, strength and mass is common in older adults, with important socioeconomic impacts. Subclinical hypothyroidism is common with increasing age and has been associated with reduced muscle strength. Yet, no randomized placebo-controlled trial (RCT) has investigated whether treatment of subclinical hypothyroidism affects muscle function and mass. METHODS: this is an ancillary study within two RCTs conducted among adults aged ≥65 years with persistent subclinical hypothyroidism (thyrotropin (TSH) 4.60-19.99 mIU/l, normal free thyroxine). Participants received daily levothyroxine with TSH-guided dose adjustment or placebo and mock titration. Primary outcome was gait speed at final visit (median 18 months). Secondary outcomes were handgrip strength at 1-year follow-up and yearly change in muscle mass. RESULTS: we included 267 participants from Switzerland and the Netherlands. Mean age was 77.5 years (range 65.1-97.1), 129 (48.3%) were women, and their mean baseline TSH was 6.36 mIU/l (standard deviation [SD] 1.9). At final visit, mean TSH was 3.8 mIU/l (SD 2.3) in the levothyroxine group and 5.1 mIU/l (SD 1.8, P < 0.05) in the placebo group. Compared to placebo, participants in the levothyroxine group had similar gait speed at final visit (adjusted between-group mean difference [MD] 0.01 m/s, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.06 to 0.09), similar handgrip strength at one year (MD -1.22 kg, 95% CI -2.60 to 0.15) and similar yearly change in muscle mass (MD -0.15 m2, 95% CI -0.49 to 0.18). CONCLUSIONS: in this ancillary analysis of two RCTs, treatment of subclinical hypothyroidism did not affect muscle function, strength and mass in individuals 65 years and older.

Self-perceived functioning and (instrumental) activities of daily living questionnaires after a hip fracture: Do they tell the same story?

BACKGROUND: (Instrumental) activities of daily living ((I)ADL) questionnaires are often used as a measure of functioning for different purposes. Depending on the purpose, a measurement of functioning that includes subjective patient perspectives can be relevant. However, it is unclear to what extent (I)ADL instruments capture self-perceived functioning. OBJECTIVE: Explore what functioning means to older persons after a hip fracture and assess the extent to which (I)ADL instruments align with self-perceived functioning. DESIGN: Qualitative interview study with framework analysis. SETTING: Prospective cohort study on recovery after a hip fracture among older persons in a hospital in a large city in the west of the Netherlands. SUBJECTS: Eighteen home-dwelling older persons (≥70 years) who had a hip fracture 6-12 months ago. METHODS: Telephone interviews about functioning before and after the hip fracture were coded and analysed using the framework method. RESULTS: The activities mentioned by participants to be part of their self-perceived functioning could be split into activities necessary to maintain the desired level of independence, and more personal activities that were of value to participants. Both the 'independence activities' and the 'valued activities' mentioned went beyond the activities included in (I)ADL questionnaires. Due to various coping strategies, limitations in activities that are measured in the (I)ADL questionnaires did not necessarily lead to worse self-perceived functioning. CONCLUSION: Self-perceived functioning differs from functioning measured with (I)ADL questionnaires in the items included and the weighing of limitations in activities. Thus, (I)ADL instruments alone are not enough to measure functioning from the perspective of the older person.

Vascular disease and apathy symptoms in the very old: A cross-sectional and longitudinal meta-analysis of individual participant data.

OBJECTIVES: Previous findings suggest a vascular foundation underlying apathy, but transdiagnostic and prospective evidence on vascular apathy is scarce. This study examines the association between vascular disease and the presence and development of apathy symptoms in the very old. METHODS: Four cohorts of the Towards Understanding Longitudinal International older People Studies (TULIPS)-consortium were included in a two-staged, individual participant data meta-analysis using generalized linear mixed models. Vascular disease was defined as a history of any clinical atherosclerotic pathology (angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, intermittent claudication, transient ischemic attack, stroke or related surgeries) and was related to apathy symptoms as repeatedly measured by the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-3A ≥2) over a maximum of 5 years. RESULTS: Of all 1868 participants (median age 85 years old), 53.9% had vascular disease and 44.3% experienced apathy symptoms. Participants with vascular disease had a 76% higher risk of apathy symptoms at baseline (odds ratio (OR) 1.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32-2.35), irrespective of depressive symptoms and only partially explained by stroke. Conversely, there was no association of vascular disease with the occurrence of apathy symptoms longitudinally, both in those with apathy at baseline (OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.84-1.20) and without (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.84-1.09). CONCLUSIONS: Vascular disease in the very old is associated with apathy symptoms cross-sectionally, but not proven longitudinally, independent of depressive symptoms. These findings query a vascular cause underlying apathy symptoms. However, the consistency of our cross-sectional findings in direction and magnitude across the TULIPS-consortium do emphasize international relevance of the interplay of vascular factors and apathy in advanced age, which meaning needs further unravelling.