Prediction of Renal Graft Function 1 Year After Adult Deceased-Donor Kidney Transplantation Using Variables Available Prior to Transplantation.

BACKGROUND Kidney transplantation is still the best therapy for patients with end-stage renal disease, but the demand for donor organs persistently surpasses the supply. A prognostic model using pre-transplant data for the prediction of renal graft function would be helpful to optimize organ allocation and avoid futile transplantations. MATERIAL AND METHODS Retrospective data of 2431 patients who underwent kidney transplantation between January 01, 2000, and December 31, 2012 with subsequent ten-year clinical follow-up in our transplant center were analyzed. Of these, 1172 patients met the inclusion criteria. Multivariable regression modelling was used to develop a prognostic model for the prediction of graft function after 1 year utilizing only pre-transplant data. The final model was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. RESULTS Donor age, donor serum creatinine, recipient body mass index, re-transplantations beyond the second kidney transplantation, and cold ischemia time had an independent, significant influence on graded renal graft function 1 year after kidney transplantation. AUROC analysis of the prognostic model was >0.700 for all GFR categories except KDIGO G5, indicating high sensitivity and specificity of prediction. CONCLUSIONS For improvement of renal graft function, organs from older donors or donors with high serum creatinine should not be used in obese recipients and for re-transplantations beyond the second one. Cold ischemia time should be as short as possible.

Active immunological participation and metabolic shutdown of kidney structural cells during kidney transplant rejection.

Contrary to immune cells, the response of the kidney structural cells in rejection is less established. We performed single-cell RNA sequencing on 18 kidney transplant biopsies from 14 recipients. Single-cell RNA sequencing identified cells from the major compartments of the kidney, next to infiltrated immune cells. Endothelial cells from the glomerulus, peritubular capillaries and vasa recta showed upregulation of class I and II HLA genes, adhesion molecules and cytokines and chemokines, suggesting an active participation in the alloimmune process, with compartment-specific differences. Epithelial cells including proximal tubular, loop of Henle and collecting duct cells, also showed increased expression of immune genes. Strikingly, in proximal tubule cells a strong downregulation of energy metabolism upon inflammation was observed. There was a large overlap between the cell-specific expression changes upon alloimmune inflammation and those observed in two large micro-array biopsy cohorts. In conclusion, the kidney structural cells, being the main target of the alloimmune process, appear to actively contribute herein, enhancing the damaging effects of the infiltrating immune cells. In epithelial cells, a profound shutdown of metabolism was seen upon inflammation, which associated with poor kidney function. These observations highlight the critical role of the graft in triggering and sustaining rejection after transplantation.

Kidney re-transplantation in the ipsilateral iliac fossa: a surgeon's perspective on perioperative outcome.

Background: Compared with primary transplantation, ipsilateral renal re-transplantation is associated with an increased risk of surgical complications and inferior graft outcomes. This study investigates whether an ipsilateral re-transplantation approach per se is an independent risk factor for surgical complications and early graft loss. Methods: In this retrospective, single-centre analysis, surgical complications and early graft outcomes of ipsilateral kidney re-transplantations from January 2007 to December 2017 were compared with primary transplantations and contralateral re-transplantations. Univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for surgical complications requiring surgical revision and graft loss within the first year after transplantation. Results: Of the 1489 kidney transplantations, 51 were ipsilateral, 159 were contralateral re-transplantations and 1279 were primary transplantations. Baseline characteristics did not differ between the ipsilateral and contralateral re-transplant recipients except for current and highest panel reactive antibody levels. Major complications requiring surgical revision were significantly more frequent in ipsilateral re-transplantations (P = .010) than in primary transplantations but did not differ between ipsilateral and contralateral re-transplantations (P = .217). Graft loss within the first year after transplant was 15.7% in the ipsilateral versus 8.8% in the contralateral re-transplant group (P = .163) versus 6.4% in the primary transplantation group (P = .009). In a multivariate regression model, ipsilateral re-transplantation was not identified as an independent risk factor for complications requiring surgical revision or first-year graft loss. Conclusions: Ipsilateral renal re-transplantation is not a risk factor for inferior outcomes. Graft implantation into a pre-transplanted iliac fossa is a feasible and valid therapeutic option.

An observational cohort study examined the change point of kidney function stabilization in the initial period after transplantation.

Baseline kidney function following kidney transplantation is often used in research and clinical decision-making yet is not well defined. Here, a method to determine baseline function was proposed and validated on three single-center retrospective cohorts consisting of 922 patients from Belgium (main cohort) and two validation cohorts of 987 patients from the Netherlands and 519 patients from Germany. For each transplant, a segmented regression model was fitted on the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) evolution during the first-year post-transplantation. This yielded estimates for change point timing, rate of eGFR change before and after change point and eGFR value at change point, now considered the "baseline function". Associations of eGFR evolution with recipient/donor characteristics and the graft failure rate were assessed with linear regression and Cox regression respectively. The change point occurred on average at an eGFR value of 43.7±14.6 mL/min/1.73m2, at a median time of 6.5 days post-transplantation. Despite significant associations with several baseline donor-recipient characteristics (particularly, donor type; living vs deceased), the predictive value of these characteristics for eGFR value and timing of the change point was limited. This followed from a large heterogeneity within eGFR trajectories, which in turn indicated that favorable levels of kidney function could be reached despite a suboptimal initial evolution. Segmented regression consistently provided a good fit to early eGFR evolution, and its estimate of the change point can be a useful reference value in future analyses. Thus, our study shows that baseline kidney function after transplantation is heterogeneous and partly related to pretransplant donor characteristics.

Long-Term Outcomes with Prolonged-Release Tacrolimus in Kidney Transplantation: A Retrospective Real-World Data Analysis.

BACKGROUND Long-term real-world outcomes data for kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) converting from immediate-release tacrolimus (IRT) to prolonged-release tacrolimus (PRT) are limited. MATERIAL AND METHODS A retrospective, non-interventional review of adult KTRs treated with PRT for ≥1 month was conducted in Germany. Data were extracted from time of transplant (2008-2014) to 2018. Primary composite endpoints (graft loss, biopsy-confirmed acute rejection, graft dysfunction) and secondary endpoints (all-cause mortality, kidney function course, and tacrolimus dose/trough levels) were analyzed for sub-cohorts: de novo PRT, early conversion from IRT (within 6 months post-transplant), and late conversion (7 months to 3 years). RESULTS Analysis included 163 patients (101 de novo, 12 early converters, and 50 late converters). The overall Kaplan-Meier estimate of freedom from efficacy failure through 5 years was 0.537, (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.455-0.612) (de novo: 0.512 [0.407-0.608]; early converters: 0.500 [0.208-0.736]; late converters: 0.594 [0.443-0.717]). The overall survival rate was 0.925 (95% CI 0.872-0.957) (de novo: 0.900 [0.823-0.945]; early converters: 0.917 [0.539-0.988]; late converters: 0.977 [0.846-0.997]). During follow-up, there was a gradual reduction in tacrolimus dose and trough levels; kidney function remained stable in all cohorts. Multivariable analysis found re-transplantation, organ donor quality, best estimated glomerular filtration rate 8-12 weeks after transplant, and treatment center (between-center differences in age, sex, donor status/quality) were significantly associated with efficacy failure. CONCLUSIONS There was no difference in long-term survival profiles between KTRs who received PRT de novo vs those who converted from IRT, with 5-year survival remaining high in both groups.

Free heme and hemopexin in acute kidney injury after cardiopulmonary bypass and transient renal ischemia.

Free heme is released from hemoproteins during hemolysis or ischemia reperfusion injury and can be pro-inflammatory. Most studies on nephrotoxicity of hemolysis-derived proteins focus on free hemoglobin (fHb) with heme as a prosthetic group. Measurement of heme in its free, non-protein bound, form is challenging and not commonly used in clinical routine diagnostics. In contrast to fHb, the role of free heme in acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) surgery is unknown. Using an apo-horseradish peroxidase-based assay, we identified free heme during CPB surgery as predictor of AKI in patients undergoing cardiac valve replacement (n = 37). Free heme levels during CPB surgery correlated with depletion of hemopexin (Hx), a heme scavenger-protein. In mice, the impact of high levels of circulating free heme on the development of AKI following transient renal ischemia and the therapeutic potential of Hx were investigated. C57BL/6 mice were subjected to bilateral renal ischemia/reperfusion injury for 15 min which did not cause AKI. However, additional administration of free heme in this model promoted overt AKI with reduced renal function, increased renal inflammation, and reduced renal perfusion on functional magnetic resonance imaging. Hx treatment attenuated AKI. Free heme administration to sham operated control mice did not cause AKI. In conclusion, free heme is a predictor of AKI in CPB surgery patients and promotes AKI in transient renal ischemia. Depletion of Hx in CPB surgery patients and attenuation of AKI by Hx in the in vivo model encourage further research on Hx therapy in patients with increased free heme levels during CPB surgery.

Transcriptional and spatial profiling of the kidney allograft unravels a central role for FcyRIII+ innate immune cells in rejection.

Rejection remains the main cause of premature graft loss after kidney transplantation, despite the use of potent immunosuppression. This highlights the need to better understand the composition and the cell-to-cell interactions of the alloreactive inflammatory infiltrate. Here, we performed droplet-based single-cell RNA sequencing of 35,152 transcriptomes from 16 kidney transplant biopsies with varying phenotypes and severities of rejection and without rejection, and identified cell-type specific gene expression signatures for deconvolution of bulk tissue. A specific association was identified between recipient-derived FCGR3A+ monocytes, FCGR3A+ NK cells and the severity of intragraft inflammation. Activated FCGR3A+ monocytes overexpressed CD47 and LILR genes and increased paracrine signaling pathways promoting T cell infiltration. FCGR3A+ NK cells overexpressed FCRL3, suggesting that antibody-dependent cytotoxicity is a central mechanism of NK-cell mediated graft injury. Multiplexed immunofluorescence using 38 markers on 18 independent biopsy slides confirmed this role of FcγRIII+ NK and FcγRIII+ nonclassical monocytes in antibody-mediated rejection, with specificity to the glomerular area. These results highlight the central involvement of innate immune cells in the pathogenesis of allograft rejection and identify several potential therapeutic targets that might improve allograft longevity.

Urinary collagen peptides: Source of markers for bone metabolic processes in kidney transplant recipients.

INTRODUCTION: Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) are at an increased risk of fractures. Total urinary hydroxyproline excretion served as marker for bone resorption (BR) but was replaced by ß-CrossLaps (CTX), a C-terminal collagen α-1(I) chain (COL1A1) telopeptide. We investigated the low-molecular-weight urinary proteome for peptides associated with changes in bone metabolism after kidney transplantation. METHODS: Clinical and laboratory data including serum levels of CTX in 96 KTR from two nephrology centers were correlated with signal intensities of urinary peptides identified by capillary electrophoresis mass spectrometry. RESULTS: Eighty-two urinary peptides were significantly correlated with serum CTX levels. COL1A1 was the predominant peptide source. Oral bisphosphonates were administered for decreased bone density in an independent group of 11 KTR and their effect was evaluated on the aforementioned peptides. Study of the peptides cleavage sites revealed a signature of Cathepsin K and MMP9. Seventeen of these peptides were significantly associated with bisphosphonate treatment, all showing a marked reduction in their excretion levels compared to baseline. DISCUSSION: This study provides strong evidence for the presence of collagen peptides in the urine of KTR that are associated with BR and that are sensitive to bisphosphonate treatment. Their assessment might become a valuable tool to monitor bone status in KTR.

High Macrophage Densities in Native Kidney Biopsies Correlate With Renal Dysfunction and Promote ESRD.

Introduction: Macrophages and monocytes are main players in innate immunity. The relevance of mononuclear phagocyte infiltrates on clinical outcomes remains to be determined in native kidney diseases. Methods: Our cross-sectional study included 324 patients with diagnostic renal biopsies comprising 17 disease entities and normal renal tissues for comparison. All samples were stained for CD68+ macrophages. Selected groups were further subtyped for CD14+ monocytes and CD163+ alternatively activated macrophages. Using precise pixel-based digital measurements, we quantified cell densities as positively stained areas in renal cortex and medulla as well as whole renal tissue. Laboratory and clinical data of all cases at the time of biopsy and additional follow-up data in 158 cases were accessible. Results: Biopsies with renal disease consistently revealed higher CD68+-macrophage densities and CD163+-macrophage densities in cortex and medulla compared to controls. High macrophage densities correlated with impaired renal function at biopsy and at follow-up in all diseases and in diseases analyzed separately. High cortical CD68+-macrophage densities preceded shorter renal survival, defined as requirement of permanent dialysis. CD14+ monocyte densities showed no difference compared to controls and did not correlate with renal function. Conclusion: Precise quantification of macrophage densities in renal biopsies may contribute to risk stratification to identify patients with high risk for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and might be a promising therapeutic target in renal disease.

Modulation of Monocyte Response by MicroRNA-15b/106a/374a During Antibody-mediated Rejection in Kidney Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Increasing evidence suggest that microRNAs are involved in the physiopathology of acute or chronic renal disease. In kidney transplantation, as key regulators of cellular homeostasis, microRNAs may be involved in the regulation of immune cell function and the allograft response. Here, we investigated the change in circulating microRNA expression profile and their involvement in the profound transcriptional changes associated with antibody-mediated rejection (AMR). METHODS: Blood samples were collected at the time of the 710 kidney allograft biopsies at 4 European transplant centers. Messenger RNA and microRNA profiling analyses were performed in a discovery-to-validation study within 3 independent cohorts encompassing N = 126, N = 135, and N = 416 patients, respectively. RESULTS: Compared with samples with no AMR, 14 microRNAs were significantly decreased in AMR samples. Among them, expression levels of microRNA-15b, microRNA-106a, and microRNA-374a gradually decreased with the severity of AMR lesions. From their in silico-predicted target genes, a high proportion proved to be significantly upregulated in the paired transcriptomic analysis. Gene ontology analyses of microRNA-15b/-106a/-374a suggested enrichment in myeloid-related pathways, which was further refined by in silico and ex vivo transcriptomic analyses, showing a specific origin from classical CD14 + monocytes. Finally, human CD14 + monocytes were subjected to transduction by antago-microRNAs to mimic AMR pathology. MicroRNA-15b/-106a/-374a impairment resulted in cellular activation with an increased expression of CD69, CRIM1, IPO7, and CAAP1, direct and common targets of the 3 microRNAs. CONCLUSIONS: Together, our data provide new insights into circulating microRNAs as markers and key players in AMR, and they suggest monocyte involvement in this process.

Cell-Free Hemoglobin in Acute Kidney Injury after Lung Transplantation and Experimental Renal Ischemia/Reperfusion.

Cell-free hemoglobin (CFH), a pro-oxidant and cytotoxic compound that is released in hemolysis, has been associated with nephrotoxicity. Lung transplantation (LuTx) is a clinical condition with a high incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI). In this study, we investigated the plasma levels of CFH and haptoglobin, a CFH-binding serum protein, in prospectively enrolled LuTx patients (n = 20) with and without AKI. LuTx patients with postoperative AKI had higher CFH plasma levels at the end of surgery compared with no-AKI patients, and CFH correlated with serum creatinine at 48 h. Moreover, CFH levels inversely correlated with haptoglobin levels, which were significantly reduced at the end of surgery in LuTx patients with AKI. Because multiple other factors can contribute to AKI development in the complex clinical setting of LuTx, we next investigated the role of exogenous CFH administration in a mouse model of mild bilateral renal ischemia reperfusion injury (IRI). Exogenous administration of CFH after reperfusion caused overt AKI with creatinine increase, tubular injury, and enhanced markers of renal inflammation compared with vehicle-treated animals. In conclusion, CFH is a possible factor contributing to postoperative AKI after LuTx and promotes AKI in an experimental model of mild transient renal ischemia. Targeting CFH might be a therapeutic option to prevent AKI after LuTx.

Understanding fibrosis pathogenesis via modeling macrophage-fibroblast interplay in immune-metabolic context.

Fibrosis is a progressive biological condition, leading to organ dysfunction in various clinical settings. Although fibroblasts and macrophages are known as key cellular players for fibrosis development, a comprehensive functional model that considers their interaction in the metabolic/immunologic context of fibrotic tissue has not been set up. Here we show, by transcriptome-based mathematical modeling in an in vitro system that represents macrophage-fibroblast interplay and reflects the functional effects of inflammation, hypoxia and the adaptive immune context, that irreversible fibrosis development is associated with specific combinations of metabolic and inflammatory cues. The in vitro signatures are in good alignment with transcriptomic profiles generated on laser captured glomeruli and cortical tubule-interstitial area, isolated from human transplanted kidneys with advanced stages of glomerulosclerosis and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, two clinically relevant conditions associated with organ failure in renal allografts. The model we describe here is validated on tissue based quantitative immune-phenotyping of biopsies from transplanted kidneys, demonstrating its feasibility. We conclude that the combination of in vitro and in silico modeling represents a powerful systems medicine approach to dissect fibrosis pathogenesis, applicable to specific pathological conditions, and develop coordinated targeted approaches.

Machine learning-supported interpretation of kidney graft elementary lesions in combination with clinical data.

Interpretation of kidney graft biopsies using the Banff classification is still heterogeneous. In this study, extreme gradient boosting classifiers learned from two large training datasets (n = 631 and 304 cases) where the "reference diagnoses" were not strictly defined following the Banff rules but from central reading by expert pathologists and further interpreted consensually by experienced transplant nephrologists, in light of the clinical context. In three external validation datasets (n = 3744, 589, and 360), the classifiers yielded a mean ROC curve AUC (95%CI) of: 0.97 (0.92-1.00), 0.97 (0.96-0.97), and 0.95 (0.93-0.97) for antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR); 0.94 (0.91-0.96), 0.94 (0.92-0.95), and 0.91 (0.88-0.95) for T cell-mediated rejection; >0.96 (0.90-1.00) with all three for interstitial fibrosis-tubular atrophy. We also developed a classifier to discriminate active and chronic active ABMR with 95% accuracy. In conclusion, we built highly sensitive and specific artificial intelligence classifiers able to interpret kidney graft scoring together with a few clinical data and automatically diagnose rejection, with excellent concordance with the Banff rules and reference diagnoses made by a group of experts. Some discrepancies may point toward possible improvements that could be made to the Banff classification.

A Single Oral Dose of Diclofenac Causes Transition of Experimental Subclinical Acute Kidney Injury to Chronic Kidney Disease.

Nephrotoxic drugs can cause acute kidney injury (AKI) and analgesic nephropathy. Diclofenac is potentially nephrotoxic and frequently prescribed for pain control. In this study, we investigated the effects of single and repetitive oral doses of diclofenac in the setting of pre-existing subclinical AKI on the further course of AKI and on long-term renal consequences. Unilateral renal ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) for 15 min was performed in male CD1 mice to induce subclinical AKI. Immediately after surgery, single oral doses (100 mg or 200 mg) of diclofenac were administered. In a separate experimental series, repetitive treatment with 100 mg diclofenac over three days was performed after IRI and sham surgery. Renal morphology and pro-fibrotic markers were investigated 24 h and two weeks after the single dose and three days after the repetitive dose of diclofenac treatment using histology, immunofluorescence, and qPCR. Renal function was studied in a bilateral renal IRI model. A single oral dose of 200 mg, but not 100 mg, of diclofenac after IRI aggravated acute tubular injury after 24 h and caused interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy two weeks later. Repetitive treatment with 100 mg diclofenac over three days aggravated renal injury and caused upregulation of the pro-fibrotic marker fibronectin in the setting of subclinical AKI, but not in sham control kidneys. In conclusion, diclofenac aggravated renal injury in pre-existing subclinical AKI in a dose and time-dependent manner and already a single dose can cause progression to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in this model.

Biological pathways and comparison with biopsy signals and cellular origin of peripheral blood transcriptomic profiles during kidney allograft pathology.

Kidney transplant injury processes are associated with molecular changes in kidney tissue, primarily related to immune cell activation and infiltration. How these processes are reflected in the circulating immune cells, whose activation is targeted by strong immunosuppressants, is poorly understood. To study this, we analyzed the molecular alterations in 384 peripheral blood samples from four European transplant centers, taken at the time of a kidney allograft biopsy, selected for their phenotype, using RNA-sequencing. In peripheral blood, differentially expressed genes in 136 rejection and 248 no rejection samples demonstrated upregulation of glucocorticoid receptor and nucleotide oligomerization domain-like receptor signaling pathways. Pathways enriched in antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR) were strongly immune-specific, whereas pathways enriched in T cell-mediated rejection were less immune related. In polyomavirus infection, upregulation of mitochondrial dysfunction and interferon signaling pathways was seen. Next, we integrated the blood results with transcriptomics of 224 kidney allograft biopsies which showed consistently upregulated genes per phenotype in both blood and biopsy. In single-cell RNASeq (scRNASeq) analysis of seven kidney allograft biopsies, the consistently overexpressed genes in ABMR were mostly expressed by infiltrating leukocytes in the allograft. Similarly, in peripheral blood scRNASeq analysis, these genes were overexpressed in ABMR in immune cell subtypes. Furthermore, overexpression of these genes in ABMR was confirmed in independent cohorts in blood and biopsy. Thus, our results highlight the immune activation pathways in peripheral blood leukocytes at the time of kidney allograft pathology, despite the use of current strong immunosuppressants, and provide a framework for future therapeutic interventions.

Noninvasive Diagnosis of Acute Rejection in Renal Transplant Patients Using Mass Spectrometric Analysis of Urine Samples: A Multicenter Diagnostic Phase III Trial.

Timely recognition and treatment of acute kidney graft rejection is important to prevent premature graft failure. A predefined urinary marker set for acute T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR) containing 14 peptides was tested for this purpose in a multicenter in-place validation study. Methods: Three hundred twenty-nine prospectively collected and 306 archived urine samples from 11 transplant centers in Germany, France, and Belgium were examined. Samples were taken immediately before a biopsy, performed for graft dysfunction within the first transplant year. Primary outcomes were sensitivity and specificity of the marker set for the diagnosis of biopsy-proven acute TCMR, with prespecified thresholds of 83% for sensitivity and 70% for specificity. Results: Eighty-two patients (13%) had acute TCMR grade I-III. In relation to the biopsy diagnosis of TCMR, the sensitivity of the urine test was 0.66 (95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.76) and the specificity 0.47 (95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.51), with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.60. The different TCMR grades I-III were not reflected by the marker set, and borderline TCMR was not specifically detected. Secondary independent masked assessment of biopsies consented by 2 pathologists revealed an interobserver kappa value of 0.49 for diagnosing TCMR, compared with the local center's diagnosis. Using this consensus diagnosis, the AUC of the urine test was 0.63 (sensitivity 0.73, specificity 0.45). Post hoc optimization of the marker set improved the diagnostic performance in the study cohort (AUC 0.67) and in an independent patient cohort (AUC 0.69). Conclusions: This study illustrates the difficulty of proteomics-based diagnosis of TCMR and highlights the need for rigorous independent in-place validation and optimization of diagnostic biomarkers.

Kidney injury after lung transplantation: Long-term mortality predicted by post-operative day-7 serum creatinine and few clinical factors.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) after lung transplantation (LuTx) is associated with increased long-term mortality. In this prospective observational study, commonly used AKI-definitions were examined regarding prediction of long-term mortality and compared to simple use of the serum creatinine value at day 7 for patients who did not receive hemodialysis, and serum creatinine value immediately before initiation of hemodialysis (d7/preHD-sCr). METHODS: 185 patients with LuTx were prospectively enrolled from 2013-2014 at our center. Kidney injury was assessed within 7 days by: (1) the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria (KDIGO-AKI), (2) the Acute Disease Quality Initiative 16 Workgroup classification (ADQI-AKI) and (3) d7/preHD-sCr. Prediction of all-cause mortality was examined by Cox regression analysis, and clinical as well as laboratory factors for impaired kidney function post-LuTx were analyzed. RESULTS: AKI according to KDIGO and ADQI-AKI occurred in 115 patients (62.2%) within 7 days after LuTx. Persistent ADQI-AKI, KDIGO-AKI stage 3 and higher d7/preHD-sCr were associated with higher mortality in the univariable analysis. In the multivariable analysis, d7/preHD-sCr in combination with body weight and intra- and postoperative platelet transfusions predicted mortality after LuTx with similar performance as models using KDIGO-AKI and ADQI-AKI (concordance index of 0.75 for d7/preHD-sCr vs., 0.74 and 0.73, respectively). Pre-transplant reduced renal function, diabetes, higher BMI, and intraoperative ECMO predicted higher d7/preHD-sCr (r2 = 0.354, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our results confirm the importance of AKI in lung transplant patients; however, a simple and pragmatic indicator of renal function, d7/preHD-sCr, predicts long-term mortality equally reliable as more complex AKI-definitions like KDIGO and ADQI.

Forecasting of Patient-Specific Kidney Transplant Function With a Sequence-to-Sequence Deep Learning Model.

Importance: Like other clinical biomarkers, trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) after kidney transplant are characterized by intra-individual variability. These fluctuations hamper the distinction between alarming graft functional deterioration or harmless fluctuation within the patient-specific expected reference range of eGFR. Objective: To determine whether a deep learning model could accurately predict the patient-specific expected reference range of eGFR after kidney transplant. Design, Setting, and Participants: A multicenter diagnostic study consisted of a derivation cohort of 933 patients who received a kidney transplant between 2004 and 2013 with 100 867 eGFR measurements from University Hospitals Leuven, Belgium, and 2 independent test cohorts: with 39 999 eGFR measurements from 1 170 patients, 1 from University Hospitals Leuven, Belgium, receiving transplants between 2013 and 2018 and 1 from Hannover Medical School, Germany, receiving transplants between 2003 and 2007. Patients receiving a single kidney transplant, with consecutive eGFR measurements were included. Data were analyzed from February 2019 to April 2021. Exposures: In the derivation cohort 100 867 eGFR measurements were available for analysis and 39 999 eGFR measurements from the independent test cohorts. Main Outcomes and Measures: A sequence-to-sequence model was developed for prediction of a patient-specific expected range of eGFR, based on previous eGFR values. The primary outcome was the performance of the deep learning sequence-to-sequence model in the 2 independent cohorts. Results: In this diagnostic study, a total of 933 patients in the training sets (mean [SD] age, 53.5 [13.3] years; 570 male [61.1%]) and 1170 patients in the independent test sets (cohort 1 [n = 621]: mean [SD] age, 58.5 [12.1] years; 400 male [64.4%]; cohort 2 [n = 549]: mean [SD] age, 50.1 [13.0] years; 316 male [57.6%]) who received a single kidney transplant most frequently from deceased donors, the sequence-to-sequence models accurately predicted future patient-specific eGFR trajectories within the first 3 months after transplant, based on the previous graft eGFR values (root mean square error, 6.4-8.9 mL/min/1.73 m2). The sequence-to-sequence model predictions outperformed the more conventional autoregressive integrated moving average prediction model, at all input/output number of eGFR values. Conclusions and Relevance: In this diagnostic study, a sequence-to-sequence deep learning model was developed and validated for individual forecasting of kidney transplant function. The patient-specific sequence predictions could be used in clinical practice to guide physicians on deviations from the expected intra-individual variability, rather than relating the individual results to the reference range of the healthy population.

Integrative Omics Analysis Unravels Microvascular Inflammation-Related Pathways in Kidney Allograft Biopsies.

In solid-organ transplantation, microRNAs (miRNAs) have emerged as key players in the regulation of allograft cells function in response to injury. To gain insight into the role of miRNAs in antibody-mediated rejection, a rejection phenotype histologically defined by microvascular inflammation, kidney allograft biopsies were subjected to miRNA but also messenger RNA (mRNA) profiling. Using a unique multistep selection process specific to the BIOMARGIN study (discovery cohort, N=86; selection cohort, N=99; validation cohort, N=298), six differentially expressed miRNAs were consistently identified: miR-139-5p (down) and miR-142-3p/150-5p/155-5p/222-3p/223-3p (up). Their expression level gradually correlated with microvascular inflammation intensity. The cell specificity of miRNAs target genes was investigated by integrating their in vivo mRNA targets with single-cell RNA sequencing from an independent allograft biopsy cohort. Endothelial-derived miR-139-5p expression correlated negatively with MHC-related genes expression. Conversely, epithelial-derived miR-222-3p overexpression was strongly associated with degraded renal electrolyte homeostasis and repressed immune-related pathways. In immune cells, miR-150-5p regulated NF-κB activation in T lymphocytes whereas miR-155-5p regulated mRNA splicing in antigen-presenting cells. Altogether, integrated omics enabled us to unravel new pathways involved in microvascular inflammation and suggests that metabolism modifications in tubular epithelial cells occur as a consequence of antibody-mediated rejection, beyond the nearby endothelial compartment.