Research on Traditional Chinese Medicine: Domain Knowledge Graph Completion and Quality Evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge graphs (KGs) can integrate domain knowledge into a traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) intelligent syndrome differentiation model. However, the quality of current KGs in the TCM domain varies greatly, related to the lack of knowledge graph completion (KGC) and evaluation methods. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to investigate KGC and evaluation methods tailored for TCM domain knowledge. METHODS: In the KGC phase, according to the characteristics of TCM domain knowledge, we proposed a 3-step "entity-ontology-path" completion approach. This approach uses path reasoning, ontology rule reasoning, and association rules. In the KGC quality evaluation phase, we proposed a 3-dimensional evaluation framework that encompasses completeness, accuracy, and usability, using quantitative metrics such as complex network analysis, ontology reasoning, and graph representation. Furthermore, we compared the impact of different graph representation models on KG usability. RESULTS: In the KGC phase, 52, 107, 27, and 479 triples were added by outlier analysis, rule-based reasoning, association rules, and path-based reasoning, respectively. In addition, rule-based reasoning identified 14 contradictory triples. In the KGC quality evaluation phase, in terms of completeness, KG had higher density and lower sparsity after completion, and there were no contradictory rules within the KG. In terms of accuracy, KG after completion was more consistent with prior knowledge. In terms of usability, the mean reciprocal ranking, mean rank, and hit rate of the first N tail entities predicted by the model (Hits@N) of the TransE, RotatE, DistMult, and ComplEx graph representation models all showed improvement after KGC. Among them, the RotatE model achieved the best representation. CONCLUSIONS: The 3-step completion approach can effectively improve the completeness, accuracy, and availability of KGs, and the 3-dimensional evaluation framework can be used for comprehensive KGC evaluation. In the TCM field, the RotatE model performed better at KG representation.

Gill lesions are the main cause of death in yellowfin seabream (Acanthopagrus latus) following infection with Amyloodinium ocellatum.

Amyloodiniosis, caused by the ectoparasite Amyloodinium ocellatum, affects the healthy development of mariculture. This study used a local infection method to identify the pathogenic target organ responsible for the death of infected fish. Comparing the relationship between the abundance of trophonts in gills and skin with the mortality of infected fish using local infection showed that severe gill infections cause the mortality of infected fish. At the 40 % survival rate of infected fish, the parasite abundance in the gill was 14,167 ± 4371. The gill filaments of the infected fish were structurally disordered, with pronounced lesions associated with the presence of trophonts, such as epithelial cell degeneration and massive lymphocytic infiltration. However, the skin showed no obvious pathological changes. The TUNEL assay showed a significant presence of apoptotic cells concentrated in the area of A. ocellatum infection. The trophonts on the gills developed faster than those parasitising the skin and fins. Microbiome analysis revealed that at the phylum level, Proteobacteria, Bacteroidota, and Firmicutes are abundant in the skin, while Verrucomicrobiota, Bacteroidota, and Proteobacteria are abundant in the gills of A. latus. Furthermore, A. ocellatum infection significantly reduced (p < 0.05) the richness and diversity of the gill microbial community of A. latus. Infection by A. ocellatum increased the relative abundance of several putative pathogenic bacteria (Flavobacterium and Nocardia) in the gill and skin of A. latus, possibly increasing the likelihood of disease in the host. In conclusion, these results evidenced that severe gill infections by A. ocellatum cause mortality in infected fish, which clarifies the direction for exploring the pathogenesis of amyloodiniosis.

Enhanced Electrochemical Performance and Cycling Stability of the (NH4)8[VIV12VV7O41(OH)9]·11H2O Cathode in Aqueous Zinc Ion Batteries.

Although vanadium-based compounds possess several advantageous characteristics, such as multivalency, open structure, and high theoretical specific capacity, which render them highly promising candidates for cathode materials in aqueous zinc ion batteries (AZIBs), their large-scale application still necessitates addressing the challenges posed by slow kinetics resulting from low conductivity and capacity degradation caused by material dissolution. Therefore, we have successfully synthesized high-purity mixed multivalent (NH4)8[VIV12VV7O41(OH)9]·11H2O (NVO) crystalline materials via a liquid-phase precipitation modulation method and employed it as an innovative AZIB cathode material for the first time. It exhibits a remarkable reversible specific capacity of 240 and 102.2 mAh g-1 after undergoing 1000 cycles at current densities of 1 and 5 A g-1, respectively, highlighting its exceptional cycling stability and electrochemical performance. The results from cyclic voltammetry (CV) and GITT tests demonstrate that the dominant factor influencing the charge storage is the pseudocapacitive behavior, which is accompanied by an exceptionally high diffusion coefficient of Zn2+ at a rate of 10-10 cm2 s-1. The highly reversible intercalation-deintercalation of Zn2+ in NVO/Zn cells is demonstrated through ex-situ TEM, XRD, and XPS analyses. This work provides a benchmark for the development of high-performance POV electrode materials.

Clot patterns determined by DSA and CTA can help predict intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis in acute ischemic stroke patients.

Background: This study examines whether clot patterns at large artery occlusion sites, as observed using digital subtraction angiography (DSA) and computed tomography angiography (CTA), can reliably indicate intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis (ICAS) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients treated with stent retriever thrombectomy for intracranial occlusions at our institute since 2017, with follow-up assessments conducted at 3 months. The patients were grouped based on the initial angiography clot topographies (i.e., cut-off or tapered signs). We assessed the potential of these topographies in predicting ICAS, including a clinical outcome analysis based on clot pattern, age, Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) classification, and onset-to-door time. Results: Among 131 patients (with a mean age of 66.6 years), the clot pattern emerged as a significant predictor of ICAS. The DSA-based model had a predictive area under the curve (AUC) of 0.745, with 55.1% sensitivity and 94.0% specificity. A multivariate model including age, onset-to-door time, TOAST classification as large artery atherosclerosis (LAA), and the presence of the tapered sign in clot patterns had an AUC of 0.916. In patients over 65 years of age with an onset-to-door time of >5 h and exhibiting a tapered sign in the clot pattern, the AUC reached 0.897. The predictive ability of the tapered sign was similar in DSA and CTA, showing 73.4% agreement between modalities. Conclusion: The clot pattern with the tapered sign as observed using DSA is significantly associated with ICAS. Incorporating this clot pattern with age, TOAST classification as LAA, and onset-to-door time enhances the prediction of ICAS. The clot pattern identified by CTA is also a reliable predictor, highlighting the importance of assessing clot patterns in ICAS identification.

Stem to prevent periprosthetic fracture after notching in total knee arthroplasty.

Improper osteotomy during total knee arthroplasty (TKA) can lead to anterior femoral notching, which increases the risk of periprosthetic fractures due to stress concentration. One potential solution is the addition of an intramedullary stem to the femoral component. However, the optimal stem length remains unclear. In this study, we aimed to determine the optimal stem length using finite element models. Finite element models of femurs were developed with unstemmed prostheses and prostheses with stem lengths of 50, 75, and 100 mm. Under squat loading conditions, the von Mises stress at the notch and stress distribution on four transversal sections of the femur were analyzed. Additionally, micromotion of the prosthesis-bone interface was evaluated to assess initial stability. The unstemmed prosthesis exhibited a von Mises stress of 191.8 MPa at the notch, which decreased to 43.1, 8.8, and 23.5 MPa for stem lengths of 50, 75, and 100 mm, respectively. The stress reduction on four selected femoral transversal sections compared with the unstemmed prosthesis was 40.0%, 84.4%, and 67.1% for stem lengths of 50, 75, and 100 mm, respectively. Micromotion analysis showed a maximum of 118.8 µm for the unstemmed prosthesis, which decreased significantly with the application of stems, particularly at the anterior flange. Intramedullary stems effectively reduced stress concentration at the femoral notch. The 50-mm stem length provided the optimal combination of reduced notch stress, minimized stress-shielding effect, and decreased micromotion at the anterior flange.

Effects of ball milling treated wheat flour and maltodextrin on the texture and oil absorption properties of fried batter-coated cashews and almonds.

In this study, the effects of wheat flour treated with ball milling (BM) and maltodextrin on the oil absorption and textural characteristics of fried batter-coated cashews and almonds (BCAs) were investigated. The result showed that the crystallinity of the starch granules in wheat flour decreased after the BM treatment. Furthermore, the ΔH of the batter decreased as the BM time was elongated, but the addition of maltodextrin had no significant impact on ΔH. Both BM-treated wheat flour and maltodextrin increased the fracturability and decreased the oil content of the fried BCAs' batter. The addition of BM-treated wheat flour and maltodextrin decreased the oil content of the batter from 28.93% to 18.75% for batter-coated cashews and from 30.92% to 18.61% for batter-coated almonds. Overall, the addition of BM-treated wheat flour and maltodextrin in batter is an effective approach to decrease oil content and improve the textural quality of fried BCAs.

Tuning electronic structure of metal-free dual-site catalyst enables exclusive singlet oxygen production and in-situ utilization.

Developing eco-friendly catalysts for effective water purification with minimal oxidant use is imperative. Herein, we present a metal-free and nitrogen/fluorine dual-site catalyst, enhancing the selectivity and utilization of singlet oxygen (1O2) for water decontamination. Advanced theoretical simulations reveal that synergistic fluorine-nitrogen interactions modulate electron distribution and polarization, creating asymmetric surface electron configurations and electron-deficient nitrogen vacancies. These properties trigger the selective generation of 1O2 from peroxymonosulfate (PMS) and improve the utilization of neighboring reactive oxygen species, facilitated by contaminant enrichment at the fluorine-carbon Lewis-acid adsorption sites. Utilizing these insights, we synthesize the catalyst through montmorillonite (MMT)-assisted pyrolysis (NFC/M). This method leverages the role of MMT as an in-situ layer-stacked template, enabling controlled decomposition of carbon, nitrogen, and fluorine precursors and resulting in a catalyst with enhanced structural adaptability, reactive site accessibility, and mass-transfer capacity. The NFC/M demonstrates an impressive 290.5-fold increase in phenol degradation efficiency than the single-site analogs, outperforming most of metal-based catalysts. This work not only underscores the potential of precise electronic and structural manipulations in catalyst design but also advances the development of efficient and sustainable solutions for water purification.

Structural and functional analysis of aquaporins in Bombus terrestris.

Bombus terrestris are efficient pollinators in forestry and agriculture, with higher cold tolerance than other bees. Yet, their cold tolerance mechanism remains unclear. Aquaporins (AQPs) function as cell membrane proteins facilitating rapid water flow, aiding in osmoregulation. Recent studies highlight the importance of insect AQPs in dehydration and cold stress. Comparative transcriptome analysis of B. terrestris under cold stress revealed up-regulation of four AQPs, indicating their potential role in cold tolerance. Seven AQPs-Eglp1, Eglp2, Eglp3, DRIP, PRIP, Bib, and AQP12L-have been identified in B. terrestris. These are widely expressed in various tissues, particularly in the alimentary canal and Malpighian tubules. Functional analysis of BterAQPs in the Xenopus laevis oocytes expressing system showed distinct water and glycerol selectivity, with BterDrip exhibiting the highest water permeability. Molecular modeling of BterDrip revealed six transmembrane domains, two NPA motifs, and an ar/R constriction region (Phe131, His256, Ser265, and Arg271), likely contributing to its water selectivity. Silencing BterDRIP accelerated mortality in B. terrestris under cold stress, highlighting the crucial role of BterDRIP in their cold tolerance and providing a molecular mechanism for their cold adaptation.

Ion-Selective Metathesis Design of Flow-Electrode Capacitive Deionization for Energy-Saving and Anti-Scaling Softening of Brackish Water.

While flow-electrode capacitive deionization (FCDI) is recognized as an attractive desalination technology, its practical implementation has been hindered by the ease of scaling and energy-intensive nature of the single-cell FCDI system, particularly when treating brackish water with elevated levels of naturally coexisting SO42- and Ca2+. To overcome these obstacles, we propose and design an innovative ion-selective metathesis FCDI (ISM-FCDI) system, consisting of a two-stage tailored cell design. Results indicate that the specific energy consumption per unit volume of water for the ISM-FCDI is lower (by up to ∼50%) than that of a conventional single-stage FCDI due to the parallel circuit structure of the ISM-FCDI. Additionally, the ISM-FCDI benefits from a conspicuous disparity in the selective removal of ions at each stage. The separate storage of Ca2+ and SO42- by the metathesis process in the ISM-FCDI (46.25% Ca2+, 14.25% SO42- in electrode 1 and 4.75% Ca2+, 35.25% SO42- in electrode 2) can effectively prevent scaling. Furthermore, configuration-performance analysis on the ion-selective migration suggests that the properties of the ion exchange membrane, rather than the carbon species, govern the selectivity of ion removal. This work introduces system-level enhancements aimed at enhancing energy conservation and scaling prevention, providing critical optimization of the FCDI for brackish water softening.

CDKL3 is a targetable regulator of cell cycle progression in cancers.

Cell cycle regulation is largely abnormal in cancers. Molecular understanding and therapeutic targeting of the aberrant cell cycle are essential. Here, we identified that an underappreciated serine/threonine kinase, cyclin-dependent kinase-like 3 (CDKL3), crucially drives rapid cell cycle progression and cell growth in cancers. With regard to mechanism, CDKL3 localizes in the nucleus and associates with specific cyclin to directly phosphorylate retinoblastoma (Rb) for quiescence exit. In parallel, CDKL3 prevents the ubiquitin-proteasomal degradation of cyclin-dependent kinase 4 (CDK4) by direct phosphorylation on T172 to sustain G1 phase advancement. The crucial function of CDKL3 in cancers was demonstrated both in vitro and in vivo. We also designed, synthesized, and characterized a first-in-class CDKL3-specific inhibitor, HZ1. HZ1 exhibits greater potency than CDK4/6 inhibitor in pan-cancer treatment by causing cell cycle arrest and overcomes acquired resistance to CDK4/6 inhibitor. In particular, CDKL3 has significant clinical relevance in colon cancer, and the effectiveness of HZ1 was demonstrated by murine and patient-derived cancer models. Collectively, this work presents an integrated paradigm of cancer cell cycle regulation and suggests CDKL3 targeting as a feasible approach in cancer treatment.

Long non-coding RNA SNHG7 serves as a diagnostic biomarker for acute coronary syndrome and its predictive value for the clinical outcome after percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is one of the common causes of cardiovascular death. The related lncRNAs were novel approaches for early diagnosis and intervention. This paper focused on the clinical function of SNHG7 for patients after PCI. METHODS: The expression of SNHG7 was assessed in ACS patients. The predictive roles of SNHG7 were unveiled by the ROC curve. The relationship between SNHG7 and Gensini scores was judged by Pearson analysis. One-year follow-up was conducted and all patients were catalogued into different groups based on the prognosis. The qRT-PCR, K-M curve, and Cox regression analysis were performed to document the prognostic significance of SNHG7. RESULTS: SNHG7 was highly expressed in ACS and its three subtypes. SNHG7 showed a certain value in predicting ACS, UA, NSTEMI, and STEMI. Gensini is a closely correlated indicator of SNHG7. The declined expression of SNHG7 was observed in the non-MACE and survival groups. The risk of MACE and death was increased in the group with high expression of SNHG7. SNHG7 was an independent biomarker in patients with ACS after PCI. CONCLUSIONS: SNHG7 might be a diagnostic and prognostic tool for ACS patients.

Crystal structure and characterization of monascin from the extracts of Monascus purpureus-fermented rice.

We present a novel solid form of monascin, an azaphilonoid derivative extracted from Monascus purpureus-fermented rice. The crystal structure, C21H26O5, was characterized by single-crystal X-ray diffraction and belongs to the orthorhombic space group P212121. To gain insight into the electronic properties of the short contacts in the crystalline state of monascin, we utilized the Experimental Library of Multipolar Atom Model 2 (ELMAM2) database to transfer the electron density of monascin in its crystalline state. Hirshfeld surface analysis, fingerprint analysis, electronic properties and energetic characterization reveal that intermolecular C-H...O hydrogen bonds play a crucial role in the noncovalent bonding interactions by connecting molecules into two- and three-dimensional networks. The molecular electrostatic potential (MEP) map of the monascin molecule demonstrates that negatively charged regions located at four O atoms are favoured binding sites for more positively charged amino acid residues during molecular recognition. In addition, powder X-ray diffraction confirms that no transformation occurs during the crystallization of monascin.

The determinants of COVID-19 case reporting across Africa.

Background: According to study on the under-estimation of COVID-19 cases in African countries, the average daily case reporting rate was only 5.37% in the initial phase of the outbreak when there was little or no control measures. In this work, we aimed to identify the determinants of the case reporting and classify the African countries using the case reporting rates and the significant determinants. Methods: We used the COVID-19 daily case reporting rate estimated in the previous paper for 54 African countries as the response variable and 34 variables from demographics, socioeconomic, religion, education, and public health categories as the predictors. We adopted a generalized additive model with cubic spline for continuous predictors and linear relationship for categorical predictors to identify the significant covariates. In addition, we performed Hierarchical Clustering on Principal Components (HCPC) analysis on the reporting rates and significant continuous covariates of all countries. Results: 21 covariates were identified as significantly associated with COVID-19 case detection: total population, urban population, median age, life expectancy, GDP, democracy index, corruption, voice accountability, social media, internet filtering, air transport, human development index, literacy, Islam population, number of physicians, number of nurses, global health security, malaria incidence, diabetes incidence, lower respiratory and cardiovascular diseases prevalence. HCPC resulted in three major clusters for the 54 African countries: northern, southern and central essentially, with the northern having the best early case detection, followed by the southern and the central. Conclusion: Overall, northern and southern Africa had better early COVID-19 case identification compared to the central. There are a number of demographics, socioeconomic, public health factors that exhibited significant association with the early case detection.

Childhood intra- and extra-familial maltreatment and later-life trajectories of depressive symptoms: evidence from China.

BACKGROUND: Both late-life depression and childhood maltreatment have become major global public health issues, given their prevalence and social-economic and health consequences. However, previous studies have solely focused on the relationship of childhood maltreatment to average levels of depressive symptoms. The current study addresses this gap of knowledge by simultaneously examining the impacts of childhood intra- and extra-familial maltreatment on age trajectories of depressive symptoms in later life in the Chinese context. METHODS: Hierarchical linear models were applied to data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011-2018, N = 12,669 individuals aged 45 to 80, comprising N = 43,348 person-years). Depressive symptoms were measured by the CES-D-10 scale. Childhood intra-familial maltreatments were measured by physical abuse and emotional neglect, while extra-familial maltreatment was measured by peer bullying. All analyses were conducted separately by gender in Stata 16. RESULTS: Childhood extrafamilial peer bullying (ß = 1.628, p < 0.001), and intrafamilial physical abuse (ß = 0.746, p < 0.001) and emotional neglect (ß = 0.880, p < 0.001) were associated with higher later-life depressive symptoms levels in the whole sample. Peer bullying differences in depressive symptoms widened with age for both men and women. Physical abuse differences in depressive symptoms remained stable over the life course among men but increased among women. Emotional neglect differences in depressive symptoms decreased with age among men, while it increased first and then decreased among women. CONCLUSIONS: Findings in this study suggest that childhood maltreatment is not only associated with later-life poorer mental health but contributes to increasing inequalities in mental health as people age, especially among peer-bullying victims and women.

Understanding the impact of HIV on mpox transmission in the MSM population: A mathematical modeling study.

The recent mpox outbreak (in 2022-2023) has different clinical and epidemiological features compared with previous outbreaks of the disease. During this outbreak, sexual contact was believed to be the primary transmission route of the disease. In addition, the community of men having sex with men (MSM) was disproportionately affected by the outbreak. This population is also disproportionately affected by HIV infection. Given that both diseases can be transmitted sexually, the endemicity of HIV, and the high sexual behavior associated with the MSM community, it is essential to understand the effect of the two diseases spreading simultaneously in an MSM population. Particularly, we aim to understand the potential effects of HIV on an mpox outbreak in the MSM population. We develop a mechanistic mathematical model of HIV and mpox co-infection. Our model incorporates the dynamics of both diseases and considers HIV treatment with anti-retroviral therapy (ART). In addition, we consider a potential scenario where HIV infection increases susceptibility to mpox, and investigate the potential impact of this mechanism on mpox dynamics. Our analysis shows that HIV can facilitate the spread of mpox in an MSM population, and that HIV treatment with ART may not be sufficient to control the spread of mpox in the population. However, we showed that a moderate use of condoms or reduction in sexual contact in the population combined with ART is beneficial in controlling mpox transmission. Based on our analysis, it is evident that effective control of HIV, specifically through substantial ART use, moderate condom compliance, and reduction in sexual contact, is imperative for curtailing the transmission of mpox in an MSM population and mitigating the compounding impact of these intertwined epidemics.

Identification of habitat suitability for the dominant zoonotic tick species Haemaphysalis flava on Chongming Island, China.

Haemaphysalis ticks are pathogenic vectors that threaten human and animal health and were identified in Chongming, the third largest island in China. To understand the distribution of these ticks and determine their potential invasion risk, this study aimed to identify the habitat suitability of the dominant tick H. flava based on natural environmental factors. Geographic information system (GIS) images were combined with sample points from tick investigations to map the spatial distribution of H. flava. Data on 19 bioclimatic variables, environmental variables, and satellite-based landscapes of Chongming Island were retrieved to create a landcover map related to natural environmental determinants of H. flava. These data included 38 sites associated with the vectors to construct species distribution models with MaxEnt, a model based on the maximum entropy principle, and to predict habitat suitability for H. flava on Chongming Island in 2050 and 2070 under different climate scenarios. The model performed well in predicting the H. flava distribution, with a training area under the curve of 0.84 and a test area under the curve of 0.73. A habitat suitability map of the whole study area was created for H. flava. The resulting map and natural environment analysis highlighted the importance of the normalized difference vegetation index and precipitation in the driest month for the bioecology of H. flava, with 141.61 km2 (11.77%), 282.94 km2 (23.35%), and 405.30 km2 (33.69%) of highly, moderately, and poorly suitable habitats, respectively. The distribution decreased by 135.55 km2 and 138.82 km2 in 2050 and 2070, respectively, under the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 1.2.6 climate change scenario. However, under SSP 5.8.5, the total area will decrease by 128.5 km2 in 2050 and increase by 151.64 km2 in 2070. From a One Health perspective, this study provides good knowledge that will guide tick control efforts to prevent the spread of Haemaphysalis ticks or transmission risk of Haemaphysalis-borne infections at the human-animal-environment interface on the island.

Value of combining targeted emergency nursing with psychological nursing in children with febrile convulsions.

BACKGROUND: Febrile convulsions are a common pediatric emergency that imposes significant psychological stress on children and their families. Targeted emergency care and psychological nursing are widely applied in clinical practice, but their value and impact on the management of pediatric febrile convulsions are unclear. AIM: To determine the impact of targeted emergency nursing combined with psychological nursing on satisfaction in children with febrile convulsions. METHODS: Data from 111 children with febrile convulsions who received treatment at Nantong Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital between June 2021 and October 2022 were analyzed. The control group consisted of 44 children who received conventional nursing care and the research group consisted of 67 children who received targeted emergency and psychological nursing. The time to fever resolution, time to resolution of convulsions, length of hospital stays, Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, patient compliance, nursing satisfaction of the parents, occurrence of complications during the nursing process, and parental anxiety and depression were compared between the control and research groups. Parental anxiety and depression were assessed using the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HAMD) and the Hamilton Rating Scale for Anxiety (HAMA). RESULTS: The fever resolution, convulsion disappearance, and hospitalization times were longer in the control group compared with the research group (P < 0.0001). The time to falling asleep, sleep time, sleep quality, sleep disturbance, sleep efficiency, and daytime status scores were significantly better in the research group compared with the control group (P < 0.0001). The HAMD and HAMA scores for parents of children in the research group were lower than the scores in the control group after nursing (P < 0.05). Compliance with treatment of children in the research group was higher than in the control group (P < 0.05). Parental satisfaction with nursing in the research group was higher than in the control group (P < 0.05). The total complication rate of children in the control group was higher than in the research group (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Combining psychological nursing with targeted emergency nursing improved the satisfaction of children's families and compliance with treatment and promoted early recovery of clinical symptoms and improvement of sleep quality.

Assessment of bidirectional impact of stigmatization induced self-medication on COVID-19 and malaria transmissions using mathematical modeling: Nigeria as a case study.

The continual social and economic impact of infectious diseases on nations has maintained sustained attention on their control and treatment, of which self-medication has been one of the means employed by some individuals. Self-medication complicates the attempt of their control and treatment as it conflicts with some of the measures implemented by health authorities. Added to these complications is the stigmatization of individuals with some diseases in some jurisdictions. This study investigates the co-infection of COVID-19 and malaria and its related deaths and further highlights how self-medication and stigmatization add to the complexities of the fight against these two diseases using Nigeria as a study case. Using a mathematical model on COVID-19 and malaria co-infection, we address the question: to what degree does the impact of the interaction between COVID-19 and malaria amplify infections and deaths induced by both diseases via self-medication and stigmatization? We demonstrate that COVID-19 related self-medication due to misdiagnoses contributes substantially to the prevalence of disease. The control reproduction numbers for these diseases and quantification of model parameters uncertainties and sensitivities are presented.

Quantifying the basic reproduction number and underestimated fraction of Mpox cases worldwide at the onset of the outbreak.

In 2022, there was a global resurgence of mpox, with different clinical-epidemiological features compared with previous outbreaks. Sexual contact was hypothesized as the primary transmission route, and the community of men having sex with men (MSM) was disproportionately affected. Because of the stigma associated with sexually transmitted infections, the real burden of mpox could be masked. We quantified the basic reproduction number (R 0) and the underestimated fraction of mpox cases in 16 countries, from the onset of the outbreak until early September 2022, using Bayesian inference and a compartmentalized, risk-structured (high-/low-risk populations) and two-route (sexual/non-sexual transmission) mathematical model. Machine learning (ML) was harnessed to identify underestimation determinants. Estimated R 0 ranged between 1.37 (Canada) and 3.68 (Germany). The underestimation rates for the high- and low-risk populations varied between 25-93% and 65-85%, respectively. The estimated total number of mpox cases, relative to the reported cases, is highest in Colombia (3.60) and lowest in Canada (1.08). In the ML analysis, two clusters of countries could be identified, differing in terms of attitudes towards the 2SLGBTQIAP+ community and the importance of religion. Given the substantial mpox underestimation, surveillance should be enhanced, and country-specific campaigns against the stigmatization of MSM should be organized, leveraging community-based interventions.