Development of a multivariable prediction model for early revision of total knee arthroplasty - The effect of including patient-reported outcome measures.

BACKGROUND: Revision TKA is a serious adverse event with substantial consequences for the patient. As revision is becoming increasingly common in patients under 65 years, the need for improved preoperative patient selection is imminently needed. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the most important factors of early revision and to develop a prediction model of early revision including assessment of the effect of incorporating data on patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). MATERIAL AND METHODS: A cohort of 538 patients undergoing primary TKA was included. Multiple logistic regression using forward selection of variables was applied to identify the best predictors of early revision and to develop a prediction model. The model was internally validated with stratified 5-fold cross-validation. This procedure was repeated without including data on PROMs to develop a model for comparison. The models were evaluated on their discriminative capacity using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The most important factors of early revision were age (OR 0.63 [0.42, 0.95]; P = 0.03), preoperative EQ-5D (OR 0.07 [0.01, 0.51]; P = 0.01), and number of comorbidities (OR 1.01 [0.97, 1.25]; P = 0.15). The AUCs of the models with and without PROMs were 0.65 and 0.61, respectively. The difference between the AUCs was not statistically significant (P = 0.32). CONCLUSIONS: Although more work is needed in order to reach a clinically meaningful quality of the predictions, our results show that the inclusion of PROMs seems to improve the quality of the prediction model.

The impact of a significant weight loss on inflammation assessed on DCE-MRI and static MRI in knee osteoarthritis: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the impact of weight loss on inflammation in individuals with overweight and knee osteoarthritis (OA) using both static- and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE)-MRI and assess the association of these changes to pain. DESIGN: Individuals with overweight (BMI > 27) and knee OA were examined before and after a >5% weight loss over 8 weeks (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02905864). Using 3-T MRI, inflammation was quantified from non-contrast enhanced static-MRI according to MOAKS and contrast enhanced static MRI according to BLOKS and 11-point whole-knee synovitis score. DCE-MRI was used to assess the inflammation in the infra patellar fat pad (IPFP). Pain was assessed using KOOS. RESULTS: Complete data were available in 117 participants with a mean age of 60 years, BMI of 35 kg/m2 and KOOS pain score of 64. Mean weight loss was 12 kg and KOOS pain was improved by 13 points at follow-up. Change in inflammation was not associated with weight loss in static MRI. None of the MRI variables correlated with the change in KOOS pain. CONCLUSION: Weight loss did not induce a significant change in inflammation in individuals with overweight and OA. The significant clinical beneficial effect of weight loss on knee pain in individuals with overweight and knee OA seems uncoupled to changes in imaging markers of synovitis.

The effects of weight loss on imaging outcomes in osteoarthritis of the hip or knee in people who are overweight or obese: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the structural effects of weight loss on hip or knee osteoarthritis (OA) and to summarize which structural joint pathologies have been examined and the evidence for the outcome measurement instruments applied. DESIGN: Based on a pre-specified protocol (available: PROSPERO CRD42017065263), we conducted a systematic search of the bibliographic databases, Medline, Embase and Web of Science identifying longitudinal articles reporting the effects of weight loss on structural imaging outcomes in OA of the hip or knee in people who are overweight or obese. RESULTS: From 1625 potentially eligible records, 14 articles (from 6 cohorts) were included. 2 cohorts were derived from RCTs. Evaluated pathologies were: articular cartilage (n = 7), joint space width (n = 3), bone marrow lesions (n = 5), synovitis (n = 2), effusion (n = 1), meniscus (n = 3), bone marrow density (n = 1) and infrapatellar fat pad (IPFP; n = 2). Cartilage showed conflicting results when evaluating cartilage thickness by direct thickness measurements. Compositional dGEMRIC and T2 mapping measures in early knee OA showed trends towards reduced cartilage degeneration. Joint space width on conventional radiographs showed no change. Weight loss reduced the size of the IPFP. Synovitis and effusion were not affected. Following weight loss DXA showed bone loss at the hip. CONCLUSION: We did not find consistent evidence of the effects of weight loss on OA structural pathology in people who are overweight or obese. There is a need to achieve consensus on which structural pathologies and measurements to apply in weight loss and OA research.

Decreasing incidence of foot ulcer among patients with type 1 and type 2 diabetes in the period 2001-2014.

AIM: Diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) is a serious complication to diabetes. The aim was to study the incidence of first DFU among patients with type 1 (T1DM) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM), stratified according to etiology: neuropathic, neuro-ischemic or ischemic, over a period of 14years (2001-2014). METHODS: DFU incidence rates were calculated from electronic patient record data from patients with T1DM and complicated T2DM from a large specialized diabetes hospital with a multidisciplinary foot clinic in Denmark. Poisson regression was used to model incidence of first DFU according to calendar year, diabetes type and etiology. RESULTS: Among 5640 patients with T1DM 255 developed a DFU, corresponding to an incidence of 5.8 (95% confidence interval (95%CI) 5.1-6.5) per 1000 patient years; this incidence dropped from 8.1 (95%CI 5.4-11.9) per 1000 patient years in 2002 to 2.6 (95%CI 1.3-5.3) in 2014 (p=0.0059). Among 6953 patients with T2DM 310 developed a DFU, corresponding to an incidence of 11.3 (95%CI 10.1-12.6) per 1000 patient years; this incidence dropped from 17.0 (95%CI 12.2-23.8) per 1000 patient years in 2002 to 8.7 (95%CI 5.3-14.1) per 1000 patient year (p=0.0260) in 2014. CONCLUSION: The incidence of DFU has decreased substantially in T1DM as well as in T2DM. This change was driven by a decrease in incidence of neuropathic ulcers.

Increased healing in diabetic toe ulcers in a multidisciplinary foot clinic-An observational cohort study.

AIM: To study toe ulcer healing in patients with diabetic foot ulcers attending a multidisciplinary foot clinic over a 10 years period. METHODS: The study was retrospective, consecutive and observational during 2001 through 2011. The patients were treated according to the International Consensus on the Diabetic Foot. During the period the chiropodist staffing in the foot clinic was doubled; new offloading material and orthopedic foot corrections for recalcitrant ulcers were introduced. Healing was investigated in toe ulcers in Cox regression models. RESULTS: 2634 patients developed foot ulcers, of which 1461 developed toe ulcers; in 790 patients these were neuropathic, in 551 they were neuro-ischemic and in 120 they were critically ischemic. One-year healing rates increased in the period 2001-2011 from 75% to 91% for neuropathic toe ulcers and from 72% to 80% for neuro-ischemic toe ulcers, while no changes was observed for ischemic toe ulcers. Adjusted for changes in the patient population, the overall rate of healing for neuropathic and neuro-ischemic toe ulcers almost doubled (HR=1.95 [95% CI: 1.36-2.80]). CONCLUSION: The results show that the healing of toe ulcers improved. This outcome could not be explained by changes in the patient characteristics, but coincided with a number of improvements in organization and therapy.