Managing erosion and deposition to stabilize a silt-laden river.

Human regulations are involved in the hydrogeomorphic processes of silt-laden rivers with unprecedented intensity, and further, affect the structures and functions of the riverine social-ecosystem. The braided reach (BR) of the lower Yellow River is one of the world's most sediment-rich and dynamic rivers. In the recent twenty years, the Xiaolangdi Reservoir constructed upstream and the growing river training works have deeply changed the conditions of the BR, however, the behaviors of the fluvial system under multiple human influences and their mechanisms remain unexplored. Here we systematically analyze the changes in the BR in the past four decades from the view of a coupled human and natural system. We find that compared with the pre-dam period, the channel of the BR in the post-dam period is 60 % narrower and 122 % deeper. Meanwhile, the lateral erosion rate and lateral accretion rate have decreased by 164 m yr-1 and 236 m yr-1, and the flood transport capacity has increased by nearly 79 %. These changes were mainly caused by anthropic flow regime changes and boundary modifications, whose relative contributions were 71 ± 10 % and 29 ± 10 %, respectively. The interactions among channel morphology change, regional flood risk and human activities underpinned the evolution of the fluvial system by shifting the human-river relationship. Reach-scale stabilization of a silt-laden river needs the effective management of erosion and deposition processes, which calls for integrated management of soil conservation, dam regulation, and floodplain governance at a basin scale. Lessons from the lower Yellow River have important implications for other rivers faced with siltation problems, especially in the Global South.

Estimating daily evapotranspiration in the agricultural-pastoral ecotone in Northwest China: A comparative analysis of the Complementary Relationship, WRF-CLM4.0, and WRF-Noah methods.

Accurate estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) over regional scale is essential for ecohydrological research, agricultural production, and water resources management. However, few studies have been done to estimate regional ET in data lacking, highly heterogeneous arid areas such as the Agricultural-Pastoral Ecotone in Northwest China (APENC). In this study, we compared three actual ET-estimation methods driven by Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in a semi-arid region. We selected the state of the art Weather Research and Forecasting-Community Land Model 4.0 (WRF-CLM4.0) model, the widely used WRF-Noah model and an empirical Complementary Relationship (CR) model to compare their model structures and mechanisms of estimating daily ET in the study region. The WRF model was chosen to address the problem of data scarcity in the study region and to derive model input for ET estimation with high spatial resolution. The seasonal and pooled performances of the three models were verified with in situ observations. Results indicate that the WRF-CLM4.0 model shows a better applicability in the study region, with a superior performance for the pooled datasets (Pearson correlation coefficient [r] = 0.89, root-mean-square error [RMSE] = 0.66 mm/d and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient [NSE] = 0.90), while the CR model has a comparable performance (r = 0.91, RMSE = 0.86 mm/d and NSE = 0.85) and the WRF-Noah model shows the worst performance (r = 0.82, RMSE = 0.94 mm/d and NSE = 0.81). The differences are mainly caused by different representations of the land surface characteristics and hydrology of the study region by the three different models. Our analysis shows that the WRF-CLM4.0 model and the CR model are more applicable to the APENC than the WRF-Noah model. For regional applications, the CR model, with fewer parameters and simpler structure, is able to capture the local characteristic and well-suited for data lacking, highly heterogeneous landscapes such as the APENC.

Contrasting streamflow regimes induced by melting glaciers across the Tien Shan - Pamir - North Karakoram.

The glacierized Tien Shan - Pamir - Karakoram mountain complex supplies water to about 42 million people. Yet, the knowledge about future glacial runoff in response to future climate is limited. Here, we address this issue using a hydrological model, that includes the three components of glacial runoff: ice melt, snowmelt and the runoff of rainfall over ice. The model is forced by climate projections of the CMIP5 models. We find that the three components exhibit different long-term trajectories, sometimes opposite in sign to the long-term trend in glacier impacts. For the eastern slope basins, streamflow is projected to increase by 28% (ranging from 9 to 44%, from climate model variation (CMV)) by the late 21st century, under the representative concentration pathway, RCP8.5. Ice melt contributes 39% (25 to 65%, CMV) of the total streamflow increase. However, streamflow from the western slopes is projected to decrease by 5% (-24 to 16%, CMV), due to the smaller contribution of ice melt, less precipitation and higher evapotranspiration. Increasing water supply from the eastern slopes suggests more water availability for currently degraded downstream ecosystems in the Xinjiang province of China, while the likely decreasing streamflow in Central Asian rivers on the western slopes indicates new regulations will be needed.

Evaluating the coupling effects of climate aridity and vegetation restoration on soil erosion over the Loess Plateau in China.

In this study, the coupling effects of climate aridity and vegetation restoration on runoff and sediment yield over the Loess Plateau were examined and characterized. To take into consideration the complexity of drought, as well as the varied strengths and weaknesses of different drought measures, two drought indices are selected to identify and evaluate drought variability. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data were obtained to monitor and express spatiotemporal variations in vegetation cover. The results show that most regions of the Loess Plateau experienced increasingly severe droughts over the past 40years, and these regions comprise the major source of the Yellow River sediment. Climatic drying initially occurred in the 1990s, and became statistically significant in 2000s. The increasingly severe droughts could negatively impact surface and groundwater supplies as well as soil water storage, but may also minimize surface runoff yield, which is one of the major causes of soil erosion on the Loess Plateau. Vegetation cover on the Loess Plateau was significantly improved after the implementation of "Grain for Green" project, which were helpful for controlling severe soil erosion. With the impacts of the construction of check dams, terraces and large reservoirs, runoff and sediment yield over the Loess Plateau initially exhibited downward trends between 1970 and 1990. After 1990, with the effects of the climate warming and drying, a second sharp reduction in runoff and sediment yield occurred. The coupling effects of climate aridity and vegetation restoration have led to a third significant decrease in runoff and sediment yield over the Loess Plateau after 2000.

Analysis of agricultural land use change in the middle reach of the Heihe River Basin, Northwest China.

The Heihe River Basin (HRB) is the second largest inland river basin in arid Northwest China. The expanding agricultural irrigation, growing industrialization, and increasing urban development in the middle reach have depleted much of the river flow to the lower reach, degrading the corresponding ecosystems. Since the enactment of the State Council of China's new HRB water allocation policy in 2000 tremendous land use and land cover (LULC) changes have taken place to reduce water consumption in the middle reach and deliver more water downstream. This paper analyzes LULC changes during the period of 2000-2009 to understand how the changing land use patterns have altered water resource dynamics in the region. Results, while yet to be further verified in the field, show that from 2000 to 2009, urban, agricultural land, rangeland, and forest areas have increased, and barren area has decreased. Within the cropland, rice (a high water consumption crop) planting area decreased, while corn and wheat (relatively lower water consumption crops) planting areas increased. These changes in land use patterns, especially in the agricultural zones, have ensured the discharge of the required amount of water to the lower reach.

Evaluation of agricultural nonpoint source pollution potential risk over China with a Transformed-Agricultural Nonpoint Pollution Potential Index method.

Agricultural nonpoint source (NPS) pollution has been the most important threat to water environment quality. Understanding the spatial distribution of NPS pollution potential risk is important for taking effective measures to control and reduce NPS pollution. A Transformed-Agricultural Nonpoint Pollution Potential Index (T-APPI) model was constructed for evaluating the national NPS pollution potential risk in this study; it was also combined with remote sensing and geographic information system techniques for evaluation on the large scale and at 1 km2 spatial resolution. This model considers many factors contributing to the NPS pollution as the original APPI model, summarized as four indicators of the runoff, sediment production, chemical use and the people and animal load. These four indicators were analysed in detail at 1 km2 spatial resolution throughout China. The T-APPI model distinguished the four indicators into pollution source factors and transport process factors; it also took their relationship into consideration. The studied results showed that T-APPI is a credible and convenient method for NPS pollution potential risk evaluation. The results also indicated that the highest NPS pollution potential risk is distributed in the middle-southern Jiangsu province. Several other regions, including the North China Plain, Chengdu Basin Plain, Jianghan Plain, cultivated lands in Guangdong and Guangxi provinces, also showed serious NPS pollution potential. This study can provide a scientific reference for predicting the future NPS pollution risk throughout China and may be helpful for taking reasonable and effective measures for preventing and controlling NPS pollution.