Targeting autophagy in diabetic cardiomyopathy: From molecular mechanisms to pharmacotherapy.

Diabetic cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a cardiac microvascular complication caused by metabolic disorders. It is characterized by myocardial remodeling and dysfunction. The pathogenesis of DCM is associated with abnormal cellular metabolism and organelle accumulation. Autophagy is thought to play a key role in the diabetic heart, and a growing body of research suggests that modulating autophagy may be a potential therapeutic strategy for DCM. Here, we have summarized the major signaling pathways involved in the regulation of autophagy in DCM, including Adenosine 5'-monophosphate-activated protein kinase (AMPK), mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR), Forkhead box subfamily O proteins (FOXOs), Sirtuins (SIRTs), and PTEN-inducible kinase 1 (PINK1)/Parkin. Given the significant role of autophagy in DCM, we further identified natural products and chemical drugs as regulators of autophagy in the treatment of DCM. This review may help to better understand the autophagy mechanism of drugs for DCM and promote their clinical application.

Simultaneous assessment of stress hyperglycemia ratio and glycemic variability to predict mortality in patients with coronary artery disease: a retrospective cohort study from the MIMIC-IV database.

BACKGROUND: Stress hyperglycemia and glycemic variability (GV) can reflect dramatic increases and acute fluctuations in blood glucose, which are associated with adverse cardiovascular events. This study aimed to explore whether the combined assessment of the stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) and GV provides additional information for prognostic prediction in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: Patients diagnosed with CAD from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database (version 2.2) between 2008 and 2019 were retrospectively included in the analysis. The primary endpoint was 1-year mortality, and the secondary endpoint was in-hospital mortality. Levels of SHR and GV were stratified into tertiles, with the highest tertile classified as high and the lower two tertiles classified as low. The associations of SHR, GV, and their combination with mortality were determined by logistic and Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: A total of 2789 patients were included, with a mean age of 69.6 years, and 30.1% were female. Overall, 138 (4.9%) patients died in the hospital, and 404 (14.5%) patients died at 1 year. The combination of SHR and GV was superior to SHR (in-hospital mortality: 0.710 vs. 0.689, p = 0.012; 1-year mortality: 0.644 vs. 0.615, p = 0.007) and GV (in-hospital mortality: 0.710 vs. 0.632, p = 0.004; 1-year mortality: 0.644 vs. 0.603, p < 0.001) alone for predicting mortality in the receiver operating characteristic analysis. In addition, nondiabetic patients with high SHR levels and high GV were associated with the greatest risk of both in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 10.831, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.494-26.105) and 1-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 5.830, 95% CI 3.175-10.702). However, in the diabetic population, the highest risk of in-hospital mortality (OR = 4.221, 95% CI 1.542-11.558) and 1-year mortality (HR = 2.013, 95% CI 1.224-3.311) was observed in patients with high SHR levels but low GV. CONCLUSIONS: The simultaneous evaluation of SHR and GV provides more information for risk stratification and prognostic prediction than SHR and GV alone, contributing to developing individualized strategies for glucose management in patients with CAD admitted to the ICU.

Non-insulin-based insulin resistance indexes in predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence following ablation: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance (IR) is involved in the pathophysiological processes of arrhythmias. Increasing evidence suggests triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index, metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR), triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio are simple and reliable surrogates for IR. Although they have been associated with atrial fibrillation (AF), evidence supporting this is limited. Here, this is the first study to investigate the association between TyG-BMI index and AF recurrence following radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA). The performance of the four non-insulin-based IR indexes in predicting AF recurrence after ablation was explored. METHODS: A total of 2242 AF patients who underwent a de novo RFCA between June 2018 to January 2022 at two hospitals in China were included in this retrospective study. The predictive values of IR indexes for AF recurrence after ablation were assessed. RESULTS: During 1-year follow-up, 31.7% of patients experienced AF recurrence. The multivariable analysis revealed that TyG index, METS-IR, and TyG-BMI index were independent risk factors for AF recurrence. Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a connection between METS-IR, TyG-BMI index, and AF recurrence (P < 0.001). Furthermore, incorporating the METS-IR or TyG-BMI index to the basic risk model with fully adjusted factors considerably enhanced the forecast of AF recurrence, as demonstrated by the C-statistic, continuous net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement. CONCLUSIONS: TyG index, METS-IR, and TyG-BMI index were independently associated with AF recurrence following ablation. Among the four non-insulin-based IR indexes, TyG-BMI had the highest predictive value, followed by METS-IR.

Associations of variability in blood glucose and systolic blood pressure with mortality in patients with coronary artery disease: A retrospective cohort study from the MIMIC-IV database.

AIMS: Variability of metabolic parameters, such as glycemic variability (GV) and systolic blood pressure variability (SBPV), are associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. However, whether these parameters have additive effects on mortality in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU) remains unclear. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled patients with CAD from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database. The highest tertile of variability was defined as high variability. A variability scoring system was established, which assigned 0 points to tertile 1, 1 point to tertile 2, and 2 points to tertile 3 for GV and SBPV. RESULTS: Among 4237 patients with CAD, 400 patients died in hospital, and 967 patients died during 1-year follow-up. High GV and high SBPV were associated with an increased risk of mortality. The effects of GV and SBPV on in-hospital mortality were partially mediated by ventricular arrhythmias (18.0 % and 6.6 %, respectively). The risk of mortality gradually increased with the number of high-variability parameters and increasing variability scores. CONCLUSIONS: GV and SBPV have additive effects on the risk of mortality in patients with CAD hospitalized in the ICU. Ventricular arrhythmias partially mediate the effects of GV and SBPV on in-hospital mortality.

Maximum stress hyperglycemia ratio within the first 24 h of admission predicts mortality during and after the acute phase of acute coronary syndrome in patients with and without diabetes: A retrospective cohort study from the MIMIC-IV database.

AIMS: The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is significantly associated with short-term adverse cardiovascular events. However, the association between SHR and mortality after the acute phase of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) remains controversial. METHODS: This study used data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database. Patients with ACS hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU) were retrospectively enrolled. RESULTS: A total of 2668 ACS patients were enrolled. The incidence of in-hospital and 1-year mortality was 4.7 % and 13.2 %, respectively. The maximum SHR had a higher prognostic value for predicting both in-hospital and 1-year mortality than the first SHR. Adding the maximum SHR to the SOFA score could significantly improve the prognostic prediction. In the landmark analysis at 30 days, the maximum SHR was a risk factor for mortality within 30 days regardless of whether patients had diabetes. However, it was no longer associated with mortality after 30 days in patients with diabetes after adjustment (HR = 1.237 per 1-point increment, 95 % CI 0.854-1.790). CONCLUSIONS: The maximum SHR was significantly associated with mortality in patients with ACS hospitalized in the ICU. However, caution is warranted if it is used for predicting mortality after 30 days in patients with diabetes.

A Comparison of the Prognostic Value of Liver Fibrosis Scores in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients With and Without Type 2 Diabetes.

Liver fibrosis scores have been demonstrated to be associated with poor prognosis after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, no studies have compared the prognostic value of these scores in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with and without diabetes. We retrospectively enrolled 1576 AMI patients who underwent PCI. There were 177 all-cause deaths and 111 cardiac deaths during follow-up (median 3.8 years). The non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) showed a better prognostic value than the fibrosis-8 (FIB-8) score (Harrell's C-index: 0.703 vs 0.671, P = .014) and the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score (Harrell's C-index: 0.703 vs 0.648, P < .001) in the overall population. In the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis, the NFS also had the highest area under the curve across all time points. Consistent results were observed in diabetic and non-diabetic populations. Adding the NFS to traditional cardiovascular risk factors significantly improved the prediction both for all-cause mortality (Harrell's C-index: 0.806 vs 0.771, P < .001) and cardiac death (Harrell's C-index: 0.800 vs 0.771, P = .014). The NFS showed a better prognostic value than the FIB-8 score and the FIB-4 score in patients with AMI undergoing PCI, which might be preferable for estimating the risk of mortality regardless of the presence or absence of diabetes.

The Prognostic Value of the Age-D-Dimer-Albumin Score in Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: The Age-D-dimer-Albumin (ADA), the CREDO-Kyoto, and the PARIS scores have been established to predict thrombotic events. However, the prognostic performance of these scores compared to the GRACE score in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has not been reported. METHODS: Consecutive AMI patients treated with PCI were retrospectively enrolled at a teaching hospital in China from January 2016 to December 2019. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality and the secondary endpoint was cardiac death. Harrell's C-index and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used to compare the prognostic value of these scores with the GRACE score for mortality. RESULTS: Of the 1,578 patients enrolled, the mean age was 62.5 years, and 23.5% were female. During a median follow-up of 3.8 years, 146 all-cause deaths and 80 cardiac deaths occurred. The ADA score showed a better prognostic performance than the GRACE (Harrell's C-index: 0.800 vs. 0.749; p = 0.003), the CREDO-Kyoto (Harrell's C-index: 0.800 vs. 0.765; NRI = 0.348, p < 0.001), and the PARIS scores (Harrell's C-index: 0.800 vs. 0.694; NRI = 0.556, p < 0.001). In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, the ADA score was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.641 per 10-point increment, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.397-1.929) and cardiac death (HR = 1.636 per 10-point increment, 95% CI: 1.325-2.020). The risk of all-cause mortality and cardiac death increased with the rising of the ADA score. CONCLUSION: The ADA score showed a better prognostic performance than the GRACE, the CREDO-Kyoto, and the PARIS scores in patients with AMI undergoing PCI, which was a potential predictive tool for mortality.

Relationship Between Epicardial Adipose Tissue Volume and Recurrence After Ablation in Premature Ventricular Complexes.

BACKGROUND: Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is recognized as a clinical diagnostic marker for cardiometabolic disease. Thicker EAT may be associated with recurrence of ventricular tachycardia after ablation. The association between EAT volume and recurrence of premature ventricular complexes (PVC) following ablation has not been clarified. We investigated the association between EAT volume and PVC recurrence following radiofrequency catheter ablation.Methods and Results: This retrospective study included 401 patients with PVC undergoing catheter ablation with preprocedural non-contrast computed tomography between 2017 and 2022. The impact of EAT volume in predicting PVC recurrence after ablation was analyzed. The mean (±SD) age of patients was 50.2±13.3 years. Multivariable Cox analysis revealed that a large EAT volume was an independent predictor of PVC recurrence after ablation during a median follow-up of 16.3 months. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a difference in postablation PVC recurrence between the 2 groups dichotomized around the EAT volume cut-off. The risk of recurrence increased with increasing EAT volume according to restricted cubic spline regression. Furthermore, PVC originating from epicardial locations had larger EAT volumes than those originating from the right ventricular outflow tract. CONCLUSIONS: A large EAT volume was independently associated with PVC recurrence following ablation. Patients with PVC originating from epicardial sites had large EAT volumes. EAT volume may help stratify patients according to their risk of PVC recurrence after ablation.

The optimal definition and prediction nomogram for left ventricular remodelling after acute myocardial infarction.

AIMS: Left ventricular (LV) remodelling after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is associated with heart failure and increased mortality. There was no consensus on the definition of LV remodelling, and the prognostic value of LV remodelling with different definitions has not been compared. We aimed to find the optimal definition and develop a prediction nomogram as well as online calculator that can identify patients at risk of LV remodelling. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective, observational study included 829 AMI patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention from January 2015 to January 2020. Echocardiography was performed within the 48 h of admission and at 6 months after infarction to evaluate LV remodelling, defined as a 20% increase in LV end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), a 15% increase in LV end-systolic volume (LVESV), or LV ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% at 6 months. The impact of LV remodelling on long-term outcomes was analysed. Lasso regression was performed to screen potential predictors, and multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to establish the prediction nomogram. The area under the curve, calibration curve and decision curve analyses were used to determine the discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness of the remodelling nomogram. The incidences of LV remodelling defined by LVEDV, LVESV and LVEF were 24.85% (n = 206), 28.71% (n = 238) and 14.60% (n = 121), respectively. Multivariable Cox regression models demonstrated that different definitions of LV remodelling were independently associated with the composite endpoint. However, only remodelling defined by LVEF was significantly connected with long-term mortality (hazard ratio = 2.78, 95% confidence interval 1.41-5.48, P = 0.003). Seven variables were selected to construct the remodelling nomogram, including diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, AMI type, stent length, N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide, troponin I, and glucose. The prediction model had an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.766. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis indicated consistency and better net benefit in the prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: LV remodelling defined by LVEDV, LVESV and LVEF were independent predictors for long-term mortality or heart failure hospitalization in AMI patients after percutaneous coronary intervention. However, only remodelling defined by LVEF was suitable for predicting all-cause death. In addition, the nomogram can provide an accurate and effective tool for the prediction of postinfarct remodelling.

Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty and stenting vs aggressive medical management on stroke or intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

There are currently two main treatment strategies mainly for high-risk patients: percutaneous transluminal angioplasty and stenting (PTAS) and aggressive medical management (AMM). However, the choice between PTAS or AMM remains controversial for patients with stroke or intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis (ICAS). The investigators searched the PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane library databases. Randomized controlled trial (RCT) comparing PTAS and AMM for patients with stroke or ICAS were selected. RevMan 5.3 was used to analyze the results and assess risk of bias. The primary endpoints are stroke and death within 30 days after enrollment, or ischemic stroke in the territory of the qualifying artery beyond 30 days, and entire follow-up endpoints. The secondary outcomes were the disabling or fatal stroke, and incidence of death within 3 years. Four studies, 989 patients were included in this article. The AMM group was superior in the entire follow-up endpoint (OR 0.56; 95% CI 0.40, 0.79). The AMM also better in primary endpoint within 30 days (OR 0.32; 95% CI 0.17, 0.61). There was no significant difference beyond 30 days (OR 1.08; 95% CI 0.63, 1.86). The remaining outcomes, such as stroke and death, were not significantly different (P > 0.05). This meta-analysis shows AMM is significantly more effective than PTAS in subjects with ICAS due to the high rate of periprocedural stroke (OR 0.32; 95% CI 0.17, 0.61) and stroke during the entire follow-up (OR 0.56; 95% CI 0.40, 0.79) associated with PTAS. Furthermore, PTAS offers no additional benefits over AMM beyond 30 days (OR 1.08; 95% CI 0.63, 1.86).

Prognostic Value of Different Versions of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score in Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, which can reflect liver and renal function, is associated with poor prognosis. However, the prognostic performance of the modified MELD score in patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has not been fully evaluated and compared. This study retrospectively enrolled 5324 patients. During a median follow-up of 2.85 years, 412 patients died. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves at 3 years indicated that the MELD including albumin (MELD-Albumin) score had the highest prognostic performance (AUC = .721) than the MELD score (AUC = .630), the MELD excluding the international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score (AUC = .606), and the MELD including sodium (MELD-Na) score (AUC = .656) (all P < .001). The MELD-Albumin score, the MELD score, and the MELD-Na score were independent predictors of long-term mortality; however, the MELD-XI score was not when treated as a categorical variable (P = .254). Adding the MELD-Albumin score to the model of clinical risk factors could improve the prognostic performance. For the subgroup analysis, the association between the MELD-Albumin score and long-term mortality was more pronounced in patients ≤75 years (interaction P value = .005). The MELD-Albumin score showed the strongest prognostic performance than the other versions of the MELD score in patients undergoing elective PCI.

Non-Invasive Liver Fibrosis Scores Are Associated With Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in Patients Undergoing Elective Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

Previous studies have demonstrated that non-invasive liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) are associated with kidney function deterioration. This study aimed to assess the predictive performance of LFSs in contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). This retrospective study involved 5627 patients. The frequency of CA-AKI was 6.3% (n = 353). In a multivariate logistic analysis after adjustment, non-invasive LFSs, including fibrosis-5 score (FIB-5), fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index were independent risk factors for CA-AKI (all P < .05), whereas the Forns score was not (P > .05). The highest predictive performance was observed for FIB-5 (area under the curve [AUC] = .644) compared to other LFSs. A restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed approximately linear relationships between LFSs and risks of CA-AKI. Furthermore, adding FIB-5 (AUC = .747; net reclassification improvement [NRI] = .441, P < .001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI] = .008, P < .001) or AAR (AUC = .747; NRI = .419, P < .001; IDI = .006, P = .010) to an established clinical risk model could significantly improve the prediction of CA-AKI. The LFSs were significantly associated with CA-AKI, possibly serving as predictive tools for early identification of CAD patients undergoing elective PCI that are at high risk of CA-AKI.

Membrane tethering of CreER decreases uninduced cell labeling and cytotoxicity while maintaining recombination efficiency.

Genetic lineage tracing is indispensable to unraveling the origin, fate, and plasticity of cells. However, the intrinsic leakiness in the CreER-loxP system raises concerns on data interpretation. Here, we reported the generation of a novel dual inducible CreER-loxP system with superior labeling characteristics. This two-component system consists of membrane localized CreER (mCreER: CD8α-FRB-CS-CreER) and TEV protease (mTEVp: CD8α-FKBP-TEVp), which are fusion proteins incorporated with the chemically induced dimerization machinery. Rapamycin and tamoxifen induce sequential dimerization of FKBP and FRB, cleavage of CreER from the membrane, and translocation into the nucleus. The labeling leakiness in Ad293 cells reduced dramatically from more than 70% to less than 5%. This tight labeling feature depends largely on the association of mCreER with HSP90, which conceals the TEV protease cutting site between FRB and CreER and thus preventing uninduced cleavage of the membrane-tethering CreER. Membrane-bound CreER also diminished significantly cytotoxicity. Our studies showed mCreER under the control of the rat insulin promoter increased labeling specificity in MIN6 islet beta-cells. Viability and insulin secretion of MIN6 cells remained intact. Our results demonstrate that this novel system can provide more stringent temporal and spatial control of gene expression and will be useful in cell fate probing.

Association between neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio and contrast-associated acute kidney injury in patients without chronic kidney disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Neutrophil and albumin are well-known biomarkers of inflammation, which are highly related to contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI). We aim to explore the predictive value of neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR) for CA-AKI and long-term mortality in patients without chronic kidney disease (CKD) undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: We retrospectively observed 5083 consenting patients from January 2012 to December 2018. CA-AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥50% or 0.3 mg/dL within 48 h after contrast medium exposure. RESULTS: The incidence of CA-AKI was 5.6% (n=286). The optimal cut-off value of NPAR for predicting CA-AKI was 15.7 with 66.8% sensitivity and 61.9% specificity [C statistic=0.679; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.666-0.691]. NPAR displayed higher area under the curve values in comparison to neutrophil percentage (p < 0.001) and neutrophil-to-albumin ratio (NAR) (p < 0.001), but not albumin (p = 0.063). However, NPAR significantly improved the prediction of CA-AKI assessed by the continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) compared to neutrophil percentage (NRI=0.353, 95% CI: 0.234-0.472, p < 0.001; IDI=0.017, 95% CI: 0.010-0.024, p < 0.001) and albumin (NRI=0.141, 95% CI: 0.022-0.260, p = 0.020; IDI=0.009, 95% CI: 0.003-0.015, p = 0.003) alone. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, multivariate analysis showed that NPAR >15.7 was a strong independent predictor of CA-AKI (odds ratio =1.90, 95% CI: 1.38-2.63, p < 0.001). Additionally, NPAR >15.7 was significantly associated with long-term mortality during a median of 2.9 years of follow-up (hazard ratio =1.68, 95% CI: 1.32-2.13; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: NPAR was an independent predictor of CA-AKI and long-term mortality in patients without CKD undergoing elective PCI.

Association Between Different Versions of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score and Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in Patients Undergoing Elective Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: Pre-procedure liver dysfunction was associated with acute kidney injury after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The aim of this study is to assess and compare the predictive value of different liver function scoring systems for contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) in patients undergoing elective PCI.Methods and Results:A total of 5,569 patients were retrospectively enrolled. The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) including albumin (MELD-Albumin) score (AUC=0.661) had the strongest predictive value in comparison to the MELD score (AUC=0.627), the MELD excluding the international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score (AUC=0.560), and the MELD including sodium (MELD-Na) score (AUC=0.652). In the fully adjusted logistic regression model, the MELD-Albumin score and the MELD-Na score were independently associated with CA-AKI regardless of whether they were treated as continuous or categorical variables; however, this was not the case for the MELD score and the MELD-XI score. Furthermore, the addition of the MELD-Albumin score significantly improved the reclassification beyond the fully adjusted logistic regression model. The study further explored the association between different versions of the MELD score and CA-AKI using restricted cubic splines and found a linear relationship between the MELD-Albumin score and the risk of CA-AKI. CONCLUSIONS: The MELD-Albumin score had the highest predictive value for CA-AKI in patients undergoing elective PCI. The addition of the MELD-Albumin score to the existing risk prediction model significantly improved the reclassification for CA-AKI.

Predictive value of aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio for contrast-associated acute kidney injury in patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Pre-procedure liver insufficiency has been demonstrated as a poor prognostic factor after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Recent research discovered that the aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (De-Ritis ratio) reflects the severity of liver insufficiency and was associated with adverse outcomes. We aim to evaluate the predictive value of the De-Ritis ratio for contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) and long-term mortality in patients undergoing elective PCI. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 5780 consenting patients undergoing elective PCI between January 2012 and December 2018. CA-AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥0.3 mg/dl or ≥50% within 48 h after the administration of contrast media. RESULTS: The incidence of CA-AKI was 6.3% (n = 363). The De-Ritis ratio >1.30 was identified as the best cut-off value for CA-AKI prediction. The De-Ritis ratio showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.636 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.605-0.667] in predicting CA-AKI, which was significantly greater than alanine aminotransferase (p<0.001) and aspartate aminotransferase (p = 0.012) alone. Furthermore, compared to currently recognized liver function assessment tools, the predictive value of the De-Ritis ratio on CA-AKI was similar to the MELD score (AUC: 0.636 vs 0.626, p = 0.631) and higher than the MELD-XI score (AUC: 0.636 vs 0.561, p<0.001). Multivariate logistic analysis showed that the De-Ritis ratio >1.30 was independently associated with CA-AKI (odds ratio=1.551, 95% CI: 1.185-2.030, p = 0.001). The addition of the De-Ritis ratio to the fully adjusted logistic regression model has significant incremental effects on the risk prediction for CA-AKI with a continuous net reclassification improvement of 0.395 (p<0.001) and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.005 (p = 0.018). Additionally, the De-Ritis ratio >1.30 was significantly associated with long-term mortality (hazard ratio=1.285, 95% CI: 1.007-1.641, p = 0.044). CONCLUSIONS: The De-Ritis ratio was an independent risk factor for CA-AKI and long-term mortality in patients undergoing elective PCI.

Prediction of asymptomatic COVID-19 infections based on complex network.

Novel coronavirus pneumonia (COVID-19) epidemic outbreak at the end of 2019 and threaten global public health, social stability, and economic development, which is characterized by highly contagious and asymptomatic infections. At present, governments around the world are taking decisive action to limit the human and economic impact of COVID-19, but very few interventions have been made to target the transmission of asymptomatic infected individuals. Thus, it is a quite crucial and complex problem to make accurate forecasts of epidemic trends, which many types of research dedicated to deal with it. In this article, we set up a novel COVID-19 transmission model by introducing traditional SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infected-removed) disease transmission models into complex network and propose an effective prediction algorithm based on the traditional machine learning algorithm TrustRank, which can predict asymptomatic infected individuals in a population contact network. Our simulation results show that our method largely outperforms the graph neural network algorithm for new coronary pneumonia prediction and our method is also robust and gives good results even if the network information is incomplete.

A Comparison Between Two Definitions of Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury for Long-Term Mortality in Elderly and Non-elderly Patients After Elective Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

Background: Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is responsible for a substantial proportion of the observed mortality that occurs after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), particularly in elderly patients. However, there has been significant and debate over whether the optimal definition of CA-AKI persists over prolonged periods due to variations in the prevalence and effects on prognosis. In this study, we aimed to identify whether different definitions of CA-AKI exert differential impacts on long-term mortality when compared between elderly and non-elderly patients receiving elective PCI. Methods: We prospectively investigated 5,587 consenting patients undergoing elective PCI between January 2012 and December 2018. We considered two classical definitions of CA-AKI from the European Society of Urogenital Radiology (ESUR) and the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the association between CA-AKI and long-term mortality. We also performed interaction and stratified analyses according to age (≤75 or >75 years). Results: The incidence of CA-AKI according to the ESUR and AKIN definitions was 18.7 and 6.1%, respectively. After a median follow-up of 2.1 years, multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that CA-AKI according to the AKIN definition was a risk factor for long-term mortality in the overall population [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.20; 95% confidential interval (CI): 1.51-3.22; p < 0.001]; however, this was not the case for the ESUR definition (HR = 1.27; 95% CI: 0.92-1.76; p = 0.153). Further interaction analysis identified a significant interaction between age and the ESUR definition (p = 0.040). Stratified analyses also found an association between the ESUR definition and long-term mortality in patients >75 years of age (p = 0.011), but not in patients ≤75 years of age (p = 0.657). Conclusion: As a stringent definition of CA-AKI, the AKIN definition was significantly associated with long-term mortality in both non-elderly and elderly patients. However, in elderly patients, the more lenient definition provided by the ESUR was also significantly correlated with long-term mortality, which could sensitively identify high-risk elderly patients and may provide a better alternative.

Predictive value of plasma volume status for contrast-induced nephropathy in patients with heart failure undergoing PCI.

AIMS: Contrast-induced nephropathy remains a common complication of coronary procedure and increases poor outcomes, especially in patients with heart failure. Plasma volume expansion relates to worsening prognosis of heart failure. We hypothesized that calculated plasma volume status (PVS) might provide predictive utility for contrast-induced nephropathy in patients with heart failure undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled 441 patients with heart failure undergoing elective PCI from 2012 to 2018. Pre-procedural estimated PVS by the Duarte's formula (Duarte-ePVS) and Kaplan-Hakim formula (KH-ePVS) were calculated for all patients. CIN was defined as an absolute serum creatinine (SCr) increase ≥0.5 mg/dL or a relative increase ≥25% compared with the baseline value within 48 h of contrast medium exposure. We assessed the association between PVS and CIN in patients with heart failure undergoing elective PCI. In 441 patients, 28 (6.3%) patients developed CIN. The median Duarte-ePVS was 4.44 (3.87, 5.13) and the median KH-ePVS was -0.03 (-0.09, 0.05). The best cutoff values for Duarte-ePVS and KH-ePVS to predict CIN were 4.64 (with 78.6% sensitivity and 61.7% specificity) and 0.04 (with 64.5% sensitivity and 75.5% specificity), respectively. After adjusting for potential confounding variables, KH-ePVS > 0.04 [odds ratio (OR) 2.685, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.012-7.123, P = 0.047] remained significantly associated with CIN whereas Duarte-ePVS was not. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-procedural KH-ePVS is an independent risk factor for CIN in patients with heart failure undergoing elective PCI. The best cutoff point of KH-ePVS for predicting CIN was 0.04.

Sulfatides are endogenous ligands for the TLR4-MD-2 complex.

Many endogenous molecules, mostly proteins, purportedly activate the Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4)-myeloid differentiation factor-2 (MD-2) complex, the innate immune receptor for lipopolysaccharide (LPS) derived from gram-negative bacteria. However, there is no structural evidence supporting direct TLR4-MD-2 activation by endogenous ligands. Sulfatides (3-O-sulfogalactosylceramides) are natural, abundant sulfated glycolipids that have variously been shown to initiate or suppress inflammatory responses. We show here that short fatty acid (FA) chain sulfatides directly activate mouse TLR4-MD-2 independent of CD14, trigger MyD88- and TRIF-dependent signaling, and stimulate tumor necrosis factor α (TNFα) and type I interferon (IFN) production in mouse macrophages. In contrast to the agonist activity toward the mouse receptor, the tested sulfatides antagonize TLR4-MD-2 activation by LPS in human macrophage-like cells. The agonistic and antagonistic activities of sulfatides require the presence of the sulfate group and are inversely related to the FA chain length. The crystal structure of mouse TLR4-MD-2 in complex with C16-sulfatide revealed that three C16-sulfatide molecules bound to the MD-2 hydrophobic pocket and induced an active dimer conformation of the receptor complex similar to that induced by LPS or lipid A. The three C16-sulfatide molecules partially mimicked the detailed interactions of lipid A to achieve receptor activation. Our results suggest that sulfatides may mediate sterile inflammation or suppress LPS-stimulated inflammation, and that additional endogenous negatively charged lipids with up to six lipid chains of limited length might also bind to TLR4-MD-2 and activate or inhibit this complex.