Left atrial diameter, left ventricle filling indices, and association with all-cause mortality: Results from the population-based Tromsø Study.

AIMS: To examine the associations between diastolic dysfunction indices and long-term risk of all-cause mortality in adults over 23-year follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants (n = 2734) of the population-based Tromsø Study of Norway had echocardiography in 1994-1995. Of these 67% were repeated in 2001 and/or 2007-2008. Mortality between 1994 and 2016 was determined by linkage to the national death registry. Cox regression was used to model the hazard of all-cause mortality in relation to left atrial parameters (treated as time-dependent using repeated measurements) adjusted for traditional risk factors and cardiovascular disease. During the follow-up, 1399 participants died. Indexed left atrial diameter, mitral peak E deceleration time, and mitral peak E to peak A ratio showed an U-shaped association with all-cause mortality. Combining left atrial diameter with mitral peak E deceleration time increased the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality whereas adding mitral peak E to peak A ratio did not increase prognostic value. We estimated new optimal cutoff values of left atrial diameter, mitral peak E deceleration time, and mitral peak E to peak A ratio for all-cause mortality outcome. E/e' had a cubic relation to mortality. CONCLUSION: Both enlarged and small left atrial diameters were associated with increased all-cause mortality risk. A combination of Doppler-based left ventricle filling parameters had an incremental effect on all-cause mortality risk. The cutoff values of diastolic dysfunction indices we determined had similar all-cause mortality prediction ability as those recommended by American Association of Echocardiography and European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging.

Incidence of aortic stenosis in subjects with normal and slightly elevated aortic gradients and flow.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to describe the progression rate into manifest aortic stenosis (AS) in subjects with normal aortic valves or in an early phase of calcific aortic valve disease. METHODS: Participants were recruited from the Tromsø Study, a population-based health survey. In our prospective cohort study, we performed two echocardiographical examinations (2001 and 2008) of a random sample of 1884 participants. AS was defined as a mean aortic valve gradient ≥15 mm Hg or a peak flow exceeding 2.6 m/s. Those with lesser values were stratified into three groups based on mean gradients (cut-off 5 and 10 mm Hg) and peak aortic flow (cut-off 1.5 and 2 m/s). RESULTS: At baseline, 71 participants had gradients from 10 to 14.9 mm Hg, of whom 32.4% developed AS during follow-up. AS developed in only 3.6% of those with a baseline gradient of 5-9.9 mm Hg and in 0.3% of those with a gradient <5 mm Hg. Almost identical separations were obtained among the three flow velocity groups. Of the 45 subjects who developed incident AS, 56% acquired mild, 33% moderate and 11% severe AS. Their mean gradient progression rate was 2.7 mm Hg/year. CONCLUSIONS: The results support that subjects with a mean aortic valve gradient of 10-15 mm Hg or aortic flow >2.0 m/s should be followed routinely. This group identifies about half of those who develop AS in the following 7 years.

Association between diastolic dysfunction and future atrial fibrillation in the Tromsø Study from 1994 to 2010.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between echocardiographic measurements with emphasis on diastolic dysfunction and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a population-based cohort study. METHODS: We followed 2406 participants from the Tromsø Study from 1994 to 2010. Left atrial (LA) size and mitral Doppler indices as measured by echocardiography were used for evaluating diastolic dysfunction. Information concerning age, systolic blood pressure, height, heart rate, body mass index, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, self-reported use of alcohol, smoking, coffee, physical activity, antihypertensive treatment, prevalent coronary heart disease, valvular heart disease, heart failure, hypertrophy, diabetes and palpitations were obtained at baseline. The outcome measure was clinical AF, documented by an ECG. RESULTS: AF was detected in 462 subjects (193 women). Mean age at baseline was 62.6 years. Incidence rate of clinical AF was 12.6 per 1000 person-years. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, moderately enlarged LA was associated with 60% (95% CI 1.2 to 2.0) increased risk of AF. Severely enlarged LA had HR for AF of 4.2 (95% CI 2.7 to 6.5) with p value for linear trend <0.001, and the association was similar in both sexes. Abnormal mitral Doppler flow adjusted for predictor variables did not show a statistically significant association with AF risk. However, when LA size was also adjusted for, the risk of AF increased by 30% (95% CI 1.0 to 1.6). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that enlarged LA as a measure for diastolic dysfunction is a significant risk factor for AF in both sexes, and adding measures of abnormal diastolic flow increased the predictive ability significantly.

Assessment of risk factors for developing incident aortic stenosis: the Tromsø Study.

To disclose risk factors of incident aortic stenosis (AS) and progression of established AS. A prospective cohort study. The Tromsø Study, a population based health survey. Over a 14 years span we performed three repeated echocardiographic examinations (1994, 2001 and 2008) of a random sample of initially 3,243 participants. Data from the only hospital serving this population were included in the follow up. Throughout the study 132 participants were diagnosed with incident AS, defined as mean aortic valve gradient ≥15 mmHg. Cox proportional hazards regression disclosed age (HR 1.11, 95 %CI 1.08-1.14), systolic blood pressure (BP) (HR 1.01, 95 % CI 1.00-1.02), active smoking (HR 1.71, 95 % CI 1.09-2.67), and waist circumference (HR 1.02, 95 % CI 1.00-1.03) as independent predictors of incident AS. Analysis of risk factors for progression of AS disclosed a higher mean aortic gradient at first measurement (p = 0.015), weight (p = 0.015), a low haemoglobin (Hgb) (p = 0.030) and high density lipoprotein (HDL) (p = 0.032) as significant independent predictors. Age, systolic BP, smoking and waist circumference were independent predictors of incident AS, whereas cholesterol was not. Mean aortic gradient at first measurement, weight, an elevated HDL and low Hgb increase the progression rate of the disease. Our data indicate that calcific aortic valve disease is a distinct pathophysiological process, with age, smoking and "wear and tear" of the valve being major contributors to the disease development.

The evolving epidemiology of valvular aortic stenosis. the Tromsø study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess prevalence, incidence, prognosis and progression of degenerative valvular aortic stenosis (AS). SETTING: The Tromsø Study and the University Hospital of North Norway. DESIGN: Population based prospective study. POPULATION: Over a 14 year span we performed three repeated echocardiographic examinations (1994, 2001 and 2008) of a random sample of initially 3273 participants. Data from the only hospital serving this population were included. RESULTS: There were 164 subjects with AS. Prevalence consistently increased with age, average values being 0.2% in the 50-59 year cohort, 1.3% in the 60-69 year cohort, 3.9% in the 70-79 year cohort and 9.8% in the 80-89 year cohort. The incidence rate in the study was 4.9‰/year. The mean annual increase in mean transvalvular pressure gradient was 3.2 mm Hg. The increase was lower in mild AS than in more severe disease, disclosing a non-linear development of the gradient, but with large individual variations. Mortality was not significantly increased in the asymptomatic AS-group (HR = 1.28), nor in those who received aortic valve replacement (n = 34, HR = 0.93), compared with the general population. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to document the incidence and prognosis of AS in a general population with surgery as a treatment option. It reveals an accelerated progression of the aortic mean gradient as the disease advances. The prognosis of AS seems to be comparable with the normal population in the asymptomatic stage and after successful surgery, indicating that the follow-up and timing of surgery has been adequate for this patient group.