RESUMO
Hypoparathyroidism is a common sequela of thyroid surgery; in this study, we aimed at exploring the pathogenesis behind it. The following premises suggest that wound fluid might be a causative agent. (i) Parathyroid hormone secretion is under feedback control by the calcium-sensing receptor, which responds to a diverse array of activating ligands. (ii) Postoperative hypoparathyroidism arises from a secretory deficiency of the parathyroid glands. Even in patients later unaffected by hypoparathyroidism, parathyroid hormone levels drop within hours after surgery. (iii) Wound fluid is bound to enter the tissue around the thyroid bed, where the parathyroid glands are located. Its composition is shaped by a series of proteolytic reactions triggered by wounding. Using thyroid drainage as a surrogate, we addressed the possibility that wound fluid contains compounds activating the calcium-sensing receptor. Drainage fluid ultrafiltrate was found to be rich in amino acids, and on separation by HPLC, compounds activating the calcium-sensing receptor partitioned with hydrophilic matter that rendered buffer acidic. The data show that glutamate and aspartate at millimolar concentrations supported activation of the calcium-sensing receptor, an effect contingent on low pH. In the presence of glutamate/aspartate, protons activated the calcium-sensing receptor with a pH50 of 6.1, and at pH 5, produced maximal activation. This synergistic mode of action was exclusive; glutamine/asparagine did not substitute for the acidic amino acids, nor did Ca2+ substitute for protons. NPS-2143, a negative allosteric receptor modulator completely blocked receptor activation by glutamate/aspartate and by fractionated drainage fluid. Thus, wound fluid may be involved in suppressing parathyroid hormone secretion.
RESUMO
Identifying immune modulators that impact neutralizing antibody responses against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is of great relevance. We postulated that high serum concentrations of soluble angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (sACE2) might mask the spike and interfere with antibody maturation toward the SARS-CoV-2-receptor-binding motif (RBM). We tested 717 longitudinal samples from 295 COVID-19 patients and showed a 2- to 10-fold increase of enzymatically active sACE2 (a-sACE2), with up to 1 µg/mL total sACE2 in moderate and severe patients. Fifty percent of COVID-19 sera inhibited ACE2 activity, in contrast to 1.3% of healthy donors and 4% of non-COVID-19 pneumonia patients. A mild inverse correlation of a-sACE2 with RBM-directed serum antibodies was observed. In silico, we show that sACE2 concentrations measured in COVID-19 sera can disrupt germinal center formation and inhibit timely production of high-affinity antibodies. We suggest that sACE2 is a biomarker for COVID-19 and that soluble receptors may contribute to immune suppression informing vaccine design.
RESUMO
The selection of high-affinity B cells and the production of high-affinity antibodies are mediated by T follicular helper cells (Tfhs) within germinal centres (GCs). Therein, somatic hypermutation and selection enhance B cell affinity but risk the emergence of self-reactive B cell clones. Despite being outnumbered compared to their helper counterpart, the ablation of T follicular regulatory cells (Tfrs) results in enhanced dissemination of self-reactive antibody-secreting cells (ASCs). The specific mechanisms by which Tfrs exert their regulatory action on self-reactive B cells are largely unknown. We developed computer simulations to investigate how Tfrs regulate either selection or differentiation of B cells to prevent auto-reactivity. We observed that Tfr-induced apoptosis of self-reactive B cells during the selection phase impedes self-reactivity with physiological Tfr numbers, especially when Tfrs can access centrocyte-enriched GC areas. While this aided in selecting non-self-reactive B cells by restraining competition, higher Tfr numbers distracted non-self-reactive B cells from receiving survival signals from Tfhs. Thus, the location and number of Tfrs must be regulated to circumvent such Tfr distraction and avoid disrupting GC evolution. In contrast, when Tfrs regulate differentiation of selected centrocytes by promoting recycling to the dark zone phenotype of self-reactive GC resident pre-plasma cells (GCPCs), higher Tfr numbers were required to impede the circulation of self-reactive ASCs (s-ASCs). On the other hand, Tfr-engagement with GCPCs and subsequent apoptosis of s-ASCs can control self-reactivity with low Tfr numbers, but does not confer selection advantage to non-self-reactive B cells. The simulations predict that to restrict auto-reactivity, natural redemption of self-reactive B cells is insufficient and that Tfrs should increase the mutation probability of self-reactive B cells.
Assuntos
Linfócitos B , Centro Germinativo , Linfócitos T Reguladores , Diferenciação Celular , AutoanticorposRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Outcomes of paediatric thyroid surgery have only been reported in smaller series or over long intervals. The aim of this multicentre study was to describe the recent outcomes of paediatric thyroid surgery in Germany and Austria. METHODS: Patients aged less than or equal to 18 years who underwent thyroid surgery and were prospectively documented in the StuDoQ|Thyroid registry between March 2017 and August 2022 were studied. RESULTS: In total, 604 patients from 90 institutions were included. The mean age was 15.4 years and 75 per cent of patients were female. The most frequent benign pathologies were nodular goitre (35.6 per cent), follicular adenoma (30.1 per cent), and Graves' disease (28.5 per cent). Among 126 thyroid malignancies, papillary thyroid carcinoma was diagnosed in 77.8 per cent of patients, follicular thyroid carcinoma was diagnosed in 10.3 per cent of patients, and medullary thyroid carcinoma was diagnosed in 8.7 per cent of patients. Lymph node metastases were found in 45.9 per cent of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma and in 36.4 per cent of patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma. Vascular invasion was found in 62.9 per cent of patients with follicular thyroid carcinoma. The mean tumour diameters were 18, 42, and 13 mm in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma, follicular thyroid carcinoma, and medullary thyroid carcinoma respectively. Early postoperative recurrent laryngeal nerve injury was seen in 27 of 556 patients (4.9 per cent) (22 of 617 (3.6 per cent) nerves at risk with intermittent intraoperative nerve monitoring and 5 of 237 (2.1 per cent) nerves at risk with continuous intraoperative nerve monitoring). Persistent recurrent laryngeal nerve injury was documented in 4 of 556 patients (0.7 per cent). Early postoperative hypoparathyroidism correlated with Graves' disease, thyroid carcinoma, and lymph node dissection. CONCLUSION: Papillary thyroid carcinoma and follicular thyroid carcinoma in children were often advanced at presentation. Persistent or recurrent lymph node metastases were mainly seen in papillary thyroid carcinoma. Overall survival was excellent, but longer follow-up is needed.
Assuntos
Adenocarcinoma Folicular , Doença de Graves , Traumatismos do Nervo Laríngeo Recorrente , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide , Humanos , Criança , Feminino , Adolescente , Masculino , Áustria/epidemiologia , Câncer Papilífero da Tireoide/cirurgia , Metástase Linfática , Tireoidectomia/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/patologia , Adenocarcinoma Folicular/cirurgia , Doença de Graves/cirurgiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Techniques for autofluorescence have been introduced to visualize the parathyroid glands during surgery and to reduce hypoparathyroidism after thyroidectomy. METHODS: This parallel multicentre RCT investigated the use of Fluobeam® LX to visualize the parathyroid glands by autofluorescence during total thyroidectomy compared with no use. There was no restriction on the indication for surgery. Patients were randomized 1 : 1 and were blinded to the group allocation. The hypothesis was that autofluorescence enables identification and protection of the parathyroid glands during thyroidectomy. The primary endpoint was the rate of low parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels the day after surgery. RESULTS: Some 535 patients were randomized, and 486 patients received an intervention according to the study protocol, 246 in the Fluobeam® LX group and 240 in the control group. Some 64 patients (26.0 per cent) in the Fluobeam® LX group and 77 (32.1 per cent) in the control group had low levels of PTH after thyroidectomy (P = 0.141; relative risk (RR) 0.81, 95 per cent c.i. 0.61 to 1.07). Subanalysis of 174 patients undergoing central lymph node clearance showed that 15 of 82 (18 per cent) in the Fluobeam® LX group and 31 of 92 (33 per cent) in the control group had low levels of PTH on postoperative day 1 (P = 0.021; RR 0.54, 0.31 to 0.93). More parathyroid glands were identified during operation in patients who had surgery with Fluobeam® LX, and fewer parathyroid glands in the surgical specimen on definitive histopathology. No specific harm related to the use of Fluobeam® LX was reported. CONCLUSION: The use of autofluorescence during thyroidectomy did not reduce the rate of low PTH levels on postoperative day 1 in the whole group of patients. It did, however, reduce the rate in a subgroup of patients. Registration number: NCT04509011 (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov).
Assuntos
Hipocalcemia , Hipoparatireoidismo , Humanos , Glândulas Paratireoides/cirurgia , Tireoidectomia/efeitos adversos , Tireoidectomia/métodos , Hormônio Paratireóideo , Hipoparatireoidismo/etiologia , Hipoparatireoidismo/prevenção & controle , Linfonodos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/prevenção & controle , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/cirurgia , Hipocalcemia/etiologiaRESUMO
The magnitude and quality of the germinal center (GC) response decline with age, resulting in poor vaccine-induced immunity in older individuals. A functional GC requires the co-ordination of multiple cell types across time and space, in particular across its two functionally distinct compartments: the light and dark zones. In aged mice, there is CXCR4-mediated mislocalization of T follicular helper (TFH) cells to the dark zone and a compressed network of follicular dendritic cells (FDCs) in the light zone. Here we show that TFH cell localization is critical for the quality of the antibody response and for the expansion of the FDC network upon immunization. The smaller GC and compressed FDC network in aged mice were corrected by provision of TFH cells that colocalize with FDCs using CXCR5. This demonstrates that the age-dependent defects in the GC response are reversible and shows that TFH cells support stromal cell responses to vaccines.
Assuntos
Linfócitos T Auxiliares-Indutores , Vacinas , Animais , Camundongos , Linfócitos B , Células T Auxiliares Foliculares , Centro Germinativo , EnvelhecimentoRESUMO
Germinal centers (GCs) that form within lymphoid follicles during antibody responses are sites of massive cell death. Tingible body macrophages (TBMs) are tasked with apoptotic cell clearance to prevent secondary necrosis and autoimmune activation by intracellular self antigens. We show by multiple redundant and complementary methods that TBMs derive from a lymph node-resident, CD169-lineage, CSF1R-blockade-resistant precursor that is prepositioned in the follicle. Non-migratory TBMs use cytoplasmic processes to chase and capture migrating dead cell fragments using a "lazy" search strategy. Follicular macrophages activated by the presence of nearby apoptotic cells can mature into TBMs in the absence of GCs. Single-cell transcriptomics identified a TBM cell cluster in immunized lymph nodes which upregulated genes involved in apoptotic cell clearance. Thus, apoptotic B cells in early GCs trigger activation and maturation of follicular macrophages into classical TBMs to clear apoptotic debris and prevent antibody-mediated autoimmune diseases.
Assuntos
Centro Germinativo , Linfonodos , Macrófagos , Apoptose , Linfócitos B , Linfonodos/citologia , Macrófagos/citologia , Macrófagos/metabolismoRESUMO
Sequencing of B-cell and T-cell immune receptor repertoires helps us to understand the adaptive immune response, although it only provides information about the clonotypes (lineages) and their frequencies and not about, for example, their affinity or antigen (Ag) specificity. To further characterize the identified clones, usually with special attention to the particularly abundant ones (dominant), additional time-consuming or expensive experiments are generally required. Here, we present an extension of a multiscale model of the germinal center (GC) that we previously developed to gain more insight in B-cell repertoires. We compare the extent that these simulated repertoires deviate from experimental repertoires established from single GCs, blood, or tissue. Our simulations show that there is a limited correlation between clonal abundance and affinity and that there is large affinity variability among same-ancestor (same-clone) subclones. Our simulations suggest that low-abundance clones and subclones, might also be of interest since they may have high affinity for the Ag. We show that the fraction of plasma cells (PCs) with high B-cell receptor (BcR) mRNA content in the GC does not significantly affect the number of dominant clones derived from single GCs by sequencing BcR mRNAs. Results from these simulations guide data interpretation and the design of follow-up experiments.
Assuntos
Linfócitos B , Centro Germinativo , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos B/genéticaRESUMO
A variety of B cell clones seed the germinal centers, where a selection stringency expands the fitter clones to generate higher affinity antibodies. However, recent experiments suggest that germinal centers often retain a diverse set of B cell clones with a range of affinities and concurrently carry out affinity maturation. Amid a tendency to flourish germinal centers with fitter clones, how several B cell clones with differing affinities can be concurrently selected remains poorly understood. Such a permissive selection may allow non-immunodominant clones, which are often rare and of low-affinity, to somatically hypermutate and result in a broad and diverse B cell response. How the constituent elements of germinal centers, their quantity and kinetics may modulate diversity of B cells, has not been addressed well. By implementing a state-of-the-art agent-based model of germinal center, here, we study how these factors impact temporal evolution of B cell clonal diversity and its underlying balance with affinity maturation. While we find that the extent of selection stringency dictates clonal dominance, limited antigen availability on follicular dendritic cells is shown to expedite the loss of diversity of B cells as germinal centers mature. Intriguingly, the emergence of a diverse set of germinal center B cells depends on high affinity founder cells. Our analysis also reveals a substantial number of T follicular helper cells to be essential in balancing affinity maturation with clonal diversity, as a low number of T follicular helper cells impedes affinity maturation and also contracts the scope for a diverse B cell response. Our results have implications for eliciting antibody responses to non-immunodominant specificities of the pathogens by controlling the regulators of the germinal center reaction, thereby pivoting a way for vaccine development to generate broadly protective antibodies.
Assuntos
Centro Germinativo , Células T Auxiliares Foliculares , Linfócitos B , Antígenos , Células Dendríticas FolicularesRESUMO
Liquid biopsy is a promising tool for therapy monitoring of cancer patients, but a need for further research in this field exists in order to improve sensitivity, specificity, standardization and minimize costs. In our present study, we evaluated two panels of transcripts related with the presence of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) (Panel 1: CK19, EpCAM, SCGB2A2 and Panel 2: EMP2, SLC6A8, HJURP, MAL2, PPIC and CCNE2) in two cohorts of breast cancer patients (metastatic and early). A blood cell fraction possibly containing CTCs was isolated with density gradient centrifugation, followed by RNA isolation and qPCR using TaqMan® or RT-qPCR using hybridization probes. The positivity rates of the investigated panels were similar, albeit higher in metastatic (69.4% Panel 1, 75.0% Panel 2; total 86.1%) compared to early (18.9% Panel 1, 23.3% Panel 2; total 31.1%) breast cancer patients. CK19, SCGB2A2, EMP2, HJURP, MAL2, and CCNE2 individually correlated with shorter overall survival in the metastatic patient cohort. The findings highlight the additional value of Panel 2 markers, which are in contrast to CK19 and EpCAM not solely linked to an epithelial phenotype.
RESUMO
Multicellular life requires altruistic cooperation between cells. The adaptive immune system is a notable exception, wherein germinal center B cells compete vigorously for limiting positive selection signals. Studying primary human lymphomas and developing new mouse models, we found that mutations affecting BTG1 disrupt a critical immune gatekeeper mechanism that strictly limits B cell fitness during antibody affinity maturation. This mechanism converted germinal center B cells into supercompetitors that rapidly outstrip their normal counterparts. This effect was conferred by a small shift in MYC protein induction kinetics but resulted in aggressive invasive lymphomas, which in humans are linked to dire clinical outcomes. Our findings reveal a delicate evolutionary trade-off between natural selection of B cells to provide immunity and potentially dangerous features that recall the more competitive nature of unicellular organisms.
Assuntos
Linfócitos B , Transformação Celular Neoplásica , Linfoma Difuso de Grandes Células B , Proteínas de Neoplasias , Animais , Humanos , Camundongos , Afinidade de Anticorpos/genética , Linfócitos B/patologia , Centro Germinativo , Mutação , Proteínas de Neoplasias/genética , Linfoma Difuso de Grandes Células B/genética , Transformação Celular Neoplásica/genética , Seleção GenéticaRESUMO
Antibody affinity maturation depends on the formation of germinal centers (GCs) in lymph nodes. This process generates a massive number of apoptotic B cells, which are removed by a specialized subset of phagocytes, known as tingible body macrophages (TBMs). Although defects in these cells are associated with pathological conditions, the identity of their precursors and the dynamics of dying GC B cell disposal remained unknown. Here, we demonstrate that TBMs originate from pre-existing lymph node-resident precursors that enter the lymph node follicles in a GC-dependent manner. Intravital imaging shows that TBMs are stationary cells that selectively phagocytose GC B cells via highly dynamic protrusions and accommodate the final stages of B cell apoptosis. Cell-specific depletion and chimeric mouse models revealed that GC B cells drive TBM formation from bone marrow-derived precursors stationed within lymphoid organs prior to the immune challenge. Understanding TBM dynamics and function may explain the emergence of various antibody-mediated autoimmune conditions.
Assuntos
Linfonodos , Macrófagos , Camundongos , Animais , Linfonodos/patologia , Centro Germinativo , Linfócitos B , DendritosRESUMO
We develop a novel approach integrating epidemiological and economic models that allows data-based simulations during a pandemic. We examine the economically optimal opening strategy that can be reconciled with the containment of a pandemic. The empirical evidence is based on data from Germany during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Our empirical findings reject the view that there is necessarily a conflict between health protection and economic interests and suggest a non-linear U-shape relationship: it is in the interest of public health and the economy to balance non-pharmaceutical interventions in a manner that further reduces the incidence of infections. Our simulations suggest that a prudent strategy that leads to a reproduction number of around 0.75 is economically optimal. Too restrictive policies cause massive economic costs. Conversely, policies that are too loose lead to higher death tolls and higher economic costs in the long run. We suggest this finding as a guide for policy-makers in balancing interests of public health and the economy during a pandemic.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Saúde Pública , Políticas , Alemanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Introduction: A protective humoral response to pathogens requires the development of high affinity antibodies in germinal centers (GC). The combination of antigens available during immunization has a strong impact on the strength and breadth of the antibody response. Antigens can display various levels of immunogenicity, and a hierarchy of immunodominance arises when the GC response to an antigen dampens the response to other antigens. Immunodominance is a challenge for the development of vaccines to mutating viruses, and for the development of broadly neutralizing antibodies. The extent by which antigens with different levels of immunogenicity compete for the induction of high affinity antibodies and therefore contribute to immunodominance is not known. Methods: Here, we perform in silico simulations of the GC response, using a structural representation of antigens with complex surface amino acid composition and topology. We generate antigens with complex domains of different levels of immunogenicity and perform simulations with combinations of these domains. Results: We found that GC dynamics were driven by the most immunogenic domain and immunodominance arose as affinity maturation to less immunogenic domain was inhibited. However, this inhibition was moderate since the less immunogenic domain exhibited a weak GC response in the absence of the most immunogenic domain. Less immunogenic domains reduced the dominance of GC responses to more immunogenic domains, albeit at a later time point. Discussion: The simulations suggest that increased vaccine valency may decrease immunodominance of the GC response to strongly immunogenic domains and therefore, act as a potential strategy for the natural induction of broadly neutralizing antibodies in GC reactions.
Assuntos
Formação de Anticorpos , Centro Germinativo , Anticorpos Amplamente Neutralizantes , Imunização , AntígenosRESUMO
Staphylococcus aureus can lead to chronic infections and abscesses in internal organs including kidneys, which are associated with the expansion of myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) and their suppressive effect on T cells. Here, we developed a mathematical model of chronic S. aureus infection that incorporates the T-cell suppression by MDSCs and suggests therapeutic strategies for S. aureus clearance. A therapeutic protocol with heat-killed S. aureus (HKSA) was quantified in silico and tested in vivo. Contrary to the conventional administration of heat-killed bacteria as vaccination prior to infection, we administered HKSA as treatment in chronically infected hosts. Our treatment eliminated S. aureus in kidneys of all chronically S. aureus-infected mice, reduced MDSCs, and reversed T-cell dysfunction by inducing acute inflammation during ongoing, chronic infection. This study is a guideline for a treatment protocol against chronic S. aureus infection and renal abscesses by repurposing heat-killed treatments, directed by mathematical modeling.
RESUMO
Antibody diversification and selection of B cells occur in dynamic structures called germinal centers (GCs). Passively administered soluble antibodies regulate the GC response by masking the antigen displayed on follicular dendritic cells (FDCs). This suggests that GCs might intercommunicate via naturally produced soluble antibodies, but the role of such GC-GC interactions is unknown. In this study, we performed in silico simulations of interacting GCs and predicted that intense interactions by soluble antibodies limit the magnitude and lifetime of GC responses. With asynchronous GC onset, we observed a higher inhibition of late formed GCs compared to early ones. We also predicted that GC-GC interactions can lead to a bias in the epitope recognition even in the presence of equally dominant epitopes due to differences in founder cell composition or initiation timing of GCs. We show that there exists an optimal range for GC-GC interaction strength that facilitates the affinity maturation towards an incoming antigenic variant during an ongoing GC reaction. These findings suggest that GC-GC interactions might be a contributing factor to the unexplained variability seen among individual GCs and a critical factor in the modulation of GC response to antigenic variants during viral infections.
Assuntos
Anticorpos , Centro Germinativo , Linfócitos B , Células Dendríticas Foliculares , EpitoposRESUMO
Germinal centers (GCs) are transient structures where affinity maturation of B cells gives rise to high affinity plasma and memory cells. The mechanism of GC shutdown is unclear, despite being an important phenomenon maintaining immune homeostasis. In this study, we used a mathematical model to identify mechanisms that can independently promote contraction of GCs leading to shutdown. We show that GC shutdown can be promoted by antigen consumption by B cells, antigen masking by soluble antibodies, alterations in follicular dendritic cell (FDC) network area, modulation of immune complex cycling rate constants, alterations in T follicular helper signaling, increased terminal differentiation and reduced B cell division capacity. Proposed mechanisms promoted GC contraction by ultimately decreasing the number of B cell divisions and recycling cells. Based on the in-silico predictions, we suggest a combination of experiments that can be potentially employed by future studies to unravel the mechanistic basis of GC shutdown such as measurements of the density of pMHC presentation of B cells, FDC network size per B cell, fraction of cells expressing differentiation markers. We also show that the identified mechanisms differentially affect the efficiency of GC reaction estimated based on the quantity and quality of resulting antibodies.
Assuntos
Células Dendríticas Foliculares , Centro Germinativo , Antígenos de Diferenciação , Linfócitos B , Transdução de SinaisRESUMO
Amino acids and their metabolites are key regulators of immune responses, and plasma levels may change profoundly during acute disease states. Using targeted metabolomics, we evaluated concentration changes in plasma amino acids and related metabolites in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP, n = 29; compared against healthy controls, n = 33) from presentation to hospital through convalescence. We further aimed to identify biomarkers for acute CAP vs. the clinically potentially similar infection-triggered COPD exacerbation (n = 13). Amino acid metabolism was globally dysregulated in both CAP and COPD. Levels of most amino acids were markedly depressed in acute CAP, and total amino acid concentrations on admission were an accurate biomarker for the differentiation from COPD (AUC = 0.93), as were reduced asparagine and threonine levels (both AUC = 0.92). Reduced tryptophan and histidine levels constituted the most accurate biomarkers for acute CAP vs. controls (AUC = 0.96, 0.94). Only kynurenine, symmetric dimethyl arginine, and phenylalanine levels were increased in acute CAP, and the kynurenine/tryptophan ratio correlated best with clinical recovery and resolution of inflammation. Several amino acids did not reach normal levels by the 6-week follow-up. Glutamate levels were reduced on admission but rose during convalescence to 1.7-fold above levels measured in healthy control. Our data suggest that dysregulated amino acid metabolism in CAP partially persists through clinical recovery and that amino acid metabolism constitutes a source of promising biomarkers for CAP. In particular, total amino acids, asparagine, and threonine may constitute plasma biomarker candidates for the differentiation between CAP and infection-triggered COPD exacerbation and, perhaps, the detection of pneumonia in COPD.
Assuntos
Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas , Pneumonia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Asparagina , Biomarcadores , Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas/diagnóstico , Convalescença , Humanos , Cinurenina , Treonina , TriptofanoRESUMO
Background: During the first wave of COVID-19, hospital and intensive care unit beds got overwhelmed in Italy leading to an increased death burden. Based on data from Italian regions, we disentangled the impact of various factors contributing to the bottleneck situation of healthcare facilities, not well addressed in classical SEIR-like models. A particular emphasis was set on the undetected fraction (dark figure), on the dynamically changing hospital capacity, and on different testing, contact tracing, quarantine strategies. Methods: We first estimated the dark figure for different Italian regions. Using parameter estimates from literature and, alternatively, with parameters derived from a fit to the initial phase of COVID-19 spread, the model was optimized to fit data (infected, hospitalized, ICU, dead) published by the Italian Civil Protection. Results: We show that testing influenced the infection dynamics by isolation of newly detected cases and subsequent interruption of infection chains. The time-varying reproduction number (R t) in high testing regions decreased to <1 earlier compared to the low testing regions. While an early test and isolate (TI) scenario resulted in up to ~31% peak reduction of hospital occupancy, the late TI scenario resulted in an overwhelmed healthcare system. Conclusions: An early TI strategy would have decreased the overall hospital usage drastically and, hence, death toll (â¼34% reduction in Lombardia) and could have mitigated the lack of healthcare facilities in the course of the pandemic, but it would not have kept the hospitalization amount within the pre-pandemic hospital limit.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Different parts of an organism like the gut, endocrine, nervous and immune systems constantly exchange information. Understanding the pathogenesis of various systemic chronic diseases increasingly relies on understanding how these subsystems orchestrate their activities. METHODS: We started from the working hypothesis that energy is a fundamental quantity that governs activity levels of all subsystems and that interactions between subsystems control the distribution of energy according to acute needs. Based on physiological knowledge, we constructed a mathematical model for the energy flow between subsystems and analysed the resulting organismal responses to in silico infections. RESULTS: The model reproduces common behaviour in acute infections and suggests several host parameters that modulate infection duration and therapeutic responsiveness. Moreover, the model allows the formulation of conditions for the induction of chronic infections and predicts that alterations in energy released from fat can lead to the transition from clearance of acute infections to a chronic inflammatory state. IMPACT: These results suggest a fundamental role for brain and fat in controlling immune response through systemic energy control. In particular, it suggests that lipolysis resistance, which is known to be involved in obesity and ageing, might be a survival programme for coping with chronic infections.