SARS-CoV-2 infection in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of standardised seroprevalence studies, from January 2020 to December 2021.

INTRODUCTION: Estimating COVID-19 cumulative incidence in Africa remains problematic due to challenges in contact tracing, routine surveillance systems and laboratory testing capacities and strategies. We undertook a meta-analysis of population-based seroprevalence studies to estimate SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Africa to inform evidence-based decision making on public health and social measures (PHSM) and vaccine strategy. METHODS: We searched for seroprevalence studies conducted in Africa published 1 January 2020-30 December 2021 in Medline, Embase, Web of Science and Europe PMC (preprints), grey literature, media releases and early results from WHO Unity studies. All studies were screened, extracted, assessed for risk of bias and evaluated for alignment with the WHO Unity seroprevalence protocol. We conducted descriptive analyses of seroprevalence and meta-analysed seroprevalence differences by demographic groups, place and time. We estimated the extent of undetected infections by comparing seroprevalence and cumulative incidence of confirmed cases reported to WHO. PROSPERO: CRD42020183634. RESULTS: We identified 56 full texts or early results, reporting 153 distinct seroprevalence studies in Africa. Of these, 97 (63%) were low/moderate risk of bias studies. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence rose from 3.0% (95% CI 1.0% to 9.2%) in April-June 2020 to 65.1% (95% CI 56.3% to 73.0%) in July-September 2021. The ratios of seroprevalence from infection to cumulative incidence of confirmed cases was large (overall: 100:1, ranging from 18:1 to 954:1) and steady over time. Seroprevalence was highly heterogeneous both within countries-urban versus rural (lower seroprevalence for rural geographic areas), children versus adults (children aged 0-9 years had the lowest seroprevalence)-and between countries and African subregions. CONCLUSION: We report high seroprevalence in Africa suggesting greater population exposure to SARS-CoV-2 and potential protection against COVID-19 severe disease than indicated by surveillance data. As seroprevalence was heterogeneous, targeted PHSM and vaccination strategies need to be tailored to local epidemiological situations.

Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in standardised first few X cases and household transmission investigations: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

We aimed to estimate the household secondary infection attack rate (hSAR) of SARS-CoV-2 in investigations aligned with the WHO Unity Studies Household Transmission Investigations (HHTI) protocol. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis according to PRISMA 2020 guidelines. We searched Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus and medRxiv/bioRxiv for "Unity-aligned" First Few X cases (FFX) and HHTIs published 1 December 2019 to 26 July 2021. Standardised early results were shared by WHO Unity Studies collaborators (to 1 October 2021). We used a bespoke tool to assess investigation methodological quality. Values for hSAR and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were extracted or calculated from crude data. Heterogeneity was assessed by visually inspecting overlap of CIs on forest plots and quantified in meta-analyses. Of 9988 records retrieved, 80 articles (64 from databases; 16 provided by Unity Studies collaborators) were retained in the systematic review; 62 were included in the primary meta-analysis. hSAR point estimates ranged from 2% to 90% (95% prediction interval: 3%-71%; I 2 = 99.7%); I 2 values remained >99% in subgroup analyses, indicating high, unexplained heterogeneity and leading to a decision not to report pooled hSAR estimates. FFX and HHTI remain critical epidemiological tools for early and ongoing characterisation of novel infectious pathogens. The large, unexplained variance in hSAR estimates emphasises the need to further support standardisation in planning, conduct and analysis, and for clear and comprehensive reporting of FFX and HHTIs in time and place, to guide evidence-based pandemic preparedness and response efforts for SARS-CoV-2, influenza and future novel respiratory viruses.

A year of genomic surveillance reveals how the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic unfolded in Africa.

The progression of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic in Africa has so far been heterogeneous, and the full impact is not yet well understood. In this study, we describe the genomic epidemiology using a dataset of 8746 genomes from 33 African countries and two overseas territories. We show that the epidemics in most countries were initiated by importations predominantly from Europe, which diminished after the early introduction of international travel restrictions. As the pandemic progressed, ongoing transmission in many countries and increasing mobility led to the emergence and spread within the continent of many variants of concern and interest, such as B.1.351, B.1.525, A.23.1, and C.1.1. Although distorted by low sampling numbers and blind spots, the findings highlight that Africa must not be left behind in the global pandemic response, otherwise it could become a source for new variants.

Identification of Natural Molecular Determinants of Ross River Virus Type I Interferon Modulation.

Ross River virus (RRV) belongs to the genus Alphavirus and is prevalent in Australia. RRV infection can cause arthritic symptoms in patients and may include rash, fever, arthralgia, and myalgia. Type I interferons (IFN) are the primary antiviral cytokines and trigger activation of the host innate immune system to suppress the replication of invading viruses. Alphaviruses are able to subvert the type I IFN system, but the mechanisms used are ill defined. In this study, seven RRV field strains were analyzed for induction of and sensitivity to type I IFN. The sensitivities of these strains to human IFN-ß varied significantly and were highest for the RRV 2548 strain. Compared to prototype laboratory strain RRV-T48, RRV 2548 also induced higher type I IFN levels both in vitro and in vivo and caused milder disease. To identify the determinants involved in type I IFN modulation, the region encoding the nonstructural proteins (nsPs) of RRV 2548 was sequenced, and 42 amino acid differences from RRV-T48 were identified. Using fragment swapping and site-directed mutagenesis, we discovered that substitutions E402A and R522Q in nsP1 as well as Q619R in nsP2 were responsible for increased sensitivity of RRV 2548 to type I IFN. In contrast, substitutions A31T, N219T, S580L, and Q619R in nsP2 led to induction of higher levels of type I IFN. With exception of E402A, all these variations are common for naturally occurring RRV strains. However, they are different from all known determinants of type I IFN modulation reported previously in nsPs of alphaviruses.IMPORTANCE By identifying natural Ross River virus (RRV) amino acid determinants for type I interferon (IFN) modulation, this study gives further insight into the mechanism of type I IFN modulation by alphaviruses. Here, the crucial role of type I IFN in the early stages of RRV disease pathogenesis is further demonstrated. This study also provides a comparison of the roles of different parts of the RRV nonstructural region in type I IFN modulation, highlighting the importance of nonstructural protein 1 (nsP1) and nsP2 in this process. Three substitutions in nsP1 and nsP2 were found to be independently associated with enhanced type I IFN sensitivity, and four independent substitutions in nsP2 were important in elevated type I IFN induction. Such evidence has clear implications for RRV immunobiology, persistence, and pathology. The identification of viral proteins that modulate type I IFN may also have importance for the pathogenesis of other alphaviruses.

Characterization of Barmah Forest virus pathogenesis in a mouse model.

Alphaviruses including Barmah Forest virus (BFV) and Ross River virus (RRV) cause arthritis, arthralgia and myalgia in humans. The rheumatic symptoms in human BFV infection are very similar to those of RRV. Although RRV disease has been studied extensively, little is known about the pathogenesis of BFV infection. We sought to establish a mouse model for BFV to facilitate our understanding of BFV infectivity, tropism and pathogenesis, and to identify key pathological and immunological mechanisms of BFV infection that may distinguish between infections with BFV and RRV. Here, to the best of our knowledge, we report the first study assessing the virulence and replication of several BFV isolates in a mouse model. We infected newborn Swiss outbred mice with BFV and established that the BFV2193 prototype was the most virulent strain. BFV2193 infection resulted in the highest mortality among all BFV variant isolates, comparable to that of RRV. In comparison with RRV, C57BL/6 mice infected with BFV showed delayed onset, moderate disease scores and early recovery of the disease. BFV replicated poorly in muscle and did not cause the severe myositis seen in RRV-infected mice. The mRNAs for the inflammatory mediators TNF-α, IL-6, CCL2 and arginase-1 were highly upregulated in RRV- but not BFV-infected muscle. To our knowledge, this is the first report of a mouse model of BFV infection, which we have used to demonstrate differences between BFV and RRV infections and to further understand disease pathogenesis. With an increasing number of BFV cases occurring annually, a better understanding of the disease mechanisms is essential for future therapeutic development.

Arthritogenic alphaviral infection perturbs osteoblast function and triggers pathologic bone loss.

Arthritogenic alphaviruses including Ross River virus (RRV), Sindbis virus, and chikungunya virus cause worldwide outbreaks of musculoskeletal disease. The ability of alphaviruses to induce bone pathologies remains poorly defined. Here we show that primary human osteoblasts (hOBs) can be productively infected by RRV. RRV-infected hOBs produced high levels of inflammatory cytokine including IL-6. The RANKL/OPG ratio was disrupted in the synovial fluid of RRV patients, and this was accompanied by an increase in serum Tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase 5b (TRAP5b) levels. Infection of bone cells with RRV was validated using an established RRV murine model. In wild-type mice, infectious virus was detected in the femur, tibia, patella, and foot, together with reduced bone volume in the tibial epiphysis and vertebrae detected by microcomputed tomographic (µCT) analysis. The RANKL/OPG ratio was also disrupted in mice infected with RRV; both this effect and the bone loss were blocked by treatment with an IL-6 neutralizing antibody. Collectively, these findings provide previously unidentified evidence that alphavirus infection induces bone loss and that OBs are capable of producing proinflammatory mediators during alphavirus-induced arthralgia. The perturbed RANKL/OPG ratio in RRV-infected OBs may therefore contribute to bone loss in alphavirus infection.

Enhanced arbovirus surveillance with deep sequencing: Identification of novel rhabdoviruses and bunyaviruses in Australian mosquitoes.

Viral metagenomics characterizes known and identifies unknown viruses based on sequence similarities to any previously sequenced viral genomes. A metagenomics approach was used to identify virus sequences in Australian mosquitoes causing cytopathic effects in inoculated mammalian cell cultures. Sequence comparisons revealed strains of Liao Ning virus (Reovirus, Seadornavirus), previously detected only in China, livestock-infecting Stretch Lagoon virus (Reovirus, Orbivirus), two novel dimarhabdoviruses, named Beaumont and North Creek viruses, and two novel orthobunyaviruses, named Murrumbidgee and Salt Ash viruses. The novel virus proteomes diverged by ≥ 50% relative to their closest previously genetically characterized viral relatives. Deep sequencing also generated genomes of Warrego and Wallal viruses, orbiviruses linked to kangaroo blindness, whose genomes had not been fully characterized. This study highlights viral metagenomics in concert with traditional arbovirus surveillance to characterize known and new arboviruses in field-collected mosquitoes. Follow-up epidemiological studies are required to determine whether the novel viruses infect humans.

Macrophage migration inhibitory factor receptor CD74 mediates alphavirus-induced arthritis and myositis in murine models of alphavirus infection.

OBJECTIVE: Arthrogenic alphaviruses such as Ross River virus (RRV) and chikungunya virus (CHIKV) circulate worldwide. This virus class causes debilitating illnesses that are characterized by arthritis, arthralgia, and myalgia. In previous studies, we identified macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) as a critical inflammatory factor in the pathogenesis of alphaviral diseases. The present study was undertaken to characterize the role of CD74, a cell surface receptor of MIF, in both RRV- and CHIKV-induced alphavirus arthritides. METHODS: Mouse models of RRV and CHIKV infection were used to investigate the immunopathogenesis of arthritic alphavirus infection. The role of CD74 was assessed using histologic analysis, real-time polymerase chain reaction, flow cytometry, and plaque assay. RESULTS: In comparison to wild-type mice, CD74-/- mice developed only mild clinical features and had low levels of tissue damage. Leukocyte infiltration, characterized predominantly by inflammatory monocytes and natural killer cells, was substantially reduced in the infected tissue of CD74-/- mice, but production of proinflammatory cytokines and chemokines was not decreased. CD74 deficiency was associated with increased monocyte apoptosis, but had no effect on monocyte migratory capacity. Consistent with these findings, alphaviral infection resulted in a dose-dependent up-regulation of CD74 expression in human peripheral blood mononuclear cells, and serum MIF levels were significantly elevated in patients with RRV or CHIKV infection. CONCLUSION: CD74 appears to regulate immune responses to alphaviral infection through its effects on cellular recruitment and survival. These findings suggest that both MIF and CD74 play a critical role in mediating alphaviral disease, and blocking these factors with novel therapeutic agents could substantially ameliorate the pathologic manifestations.

Dengue virus therapeutic intervention strategies based on viral, vector and host factors involved in disease pathogenesis.

Dengue virus (DV) is the most widespread arbovirus, being endemic in over 100 countries, and is estimated to cause 50 million infections annually. Viral factors, such as the genetic composition of the virus strain can play a role in determining the virus virulence and subsequent clinical disease severity. Virus vector competence plays an integral role in virus transmission and is a critical factor in determining the severity and impact of DV outbreaks. Host genetic variations in immune-related genes, including the human leukocyte antigen, have also been shown to correlate with clinical disease and thus may play a role in regulating disease severity. The host's immune system, however, appears to be the primary factor in DV pathogenesis with the delicate interplay of innate and acquired immunity playing a crucial role. Although current research of DV pathogenesis has been limited by the lack of an appropriate animal model, the development of DV therapeutics has been a primary focus of research groups around the world. In the past decade advances in both the development of vaccines and anti-virals have increased in dramatically. This review summarises the current understanding of viral, vector and host factors which contribute to dengue virus pathogenesis and how this knowledge is critically important in the development of pharmaceutical interventions.

Infectivity in chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes) of plasma collected before HCV RNA detectability by FDA-licensed assays: implications for transfusion safety and HCV infection outcomes.

Serial plasma aliquots (50 mL) obtained from 10 commercial donors who converted from hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA negative to positive were transfused into 2 chimpanzees to assess infectivity during early HCV infection. Plasma, obtained 4 days before HCV RNA detectability by licensed assays, transmitted HCV infection to chimpanzee X355. The infectious PCR-negative plasma was subsequently shown to be positive in 2 of 23 replicates using a sensitive transcription-mediated amplification (TMA) assay, and estimated to contain 1.2 HCV RNA copies/mL (60 copies/50 mL transfused). Plasma units obtained up to 8 weeks earlier were not infectious in a second susceptible chimp, even when from donors with low-level, intermittent HCV RNA detection. Chimp x355 developed acute viremia with subsequent seroconversion, but cleared both virus and Ab in 17 weeks. When rechallenged 38 months later with 6000 RNA copies/mL from the same donor, X355 was transiently reinfected and again rapidly lost all HCV markers. We conclude that: (1) transfusions can transmit HCV infection before RNA detection, but the interval of test-negative infectivity is very brief; (2) early "blips" of HCV RNA appear noninfectious and can be ignored when calculating residual transfusion risk; and (3) markers of HCV infection can be lost rapidly after exposure to low-dose inocula.

Phylogenetic analysis of WNV in North American blood donors during the 2003-2004 epidemic seasons.

West Nile Virus (WNV) collected from 179 human blood donors in 25 US states and three Canadian provinces during the 2003 and 2004 epidemic seasons were genetically analyzed. The evolution of WNV during its Western spread was examined by envelope (E) gene sequencing of all 179 cases and full open reading frame sequencing of a subset of 20 WNV to determine if geographic and temporal segregation of distinct viral variants had occurred. Median joining network analysis was used to examine the genetic relationship between E gene variants and identified four large genetic clusters showing the gradual accumulation of mutations during the virus' western expansion. Two related WNV variants and their descendents, undetected in prior years, expanded in frequency. Apparent founder effects were observed in some regional outbreaks possibly due to local WNV colonization by a limited number of viruses. Amino acid mutations associated with newly expanding genetic variants reflect either selectively neutral mutational drift and/or mutations providing replicative advantages over the previously dominant forms of WNV.

Wide range of quasispecies diversity during primary hepatitis C virus infection.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections may be initiated by multiple infectious particles, resulting in a genetically heterogeneous viral population, or by a single particle, leading to a clonal population in the initial stage of infection. To determine which of these scenarios is most common, we evaluated the genetic diversity of HCV quasispecies in 12 seronegative subjects with primary infection following community exposures, six acutely infected recipients of HCV-seropositive blood transfusions and six seropositive individuals with infections of undetermined durations. RNA isolated from plasma and a region of the HCV envelope gene including the first hypervariable region (HVR-1) was reverse transcription-PCR amplified and subcloned, and multiple plasmid clones were sequenced. Phylogenetic analysis indicated that all HCV variants clustered by individuals. Genetic distances among HCV variants within recently infected subjects ranged from 1 to 7.8%. On the basis of the estimated mutation rate of HCV in vivo and the Taq polymerase error rate, primary infection viral quasispecies were classified as genetically heterogeneous when the maximum sequence divergence between genetic variants in the same person was >3%. Heterogeneous quasispecies were detected in 4 of 12 preseroconversion subjects, 1 of 6 transfusion recipients, and 4 of 6 seropositive subjects. The high level of viral quasispecies genetic diversity found in at least a third of recently infected individuals is consistent with the transmission of multiple infectious particles. Community-acquired HCV infection, predominantly the result of needle sharing by injection drug users, therefore appears to be frequently initiated by the successful transmission of multiple viral variants.

Potential drug resistance polymorphisms in the integrase gene of HIV type 1 subtype A.

Variation in HIV-1 genes within and between subtypes has been best defined in the env gene, however, other more conserved genes vary between subtypes. Integrase (IN) and other regions of the pol gene are highly conserved due to their integral role in HIV replication and therefore are targets for antiviral drugs. In this study 3 individuals, infected heterosexually with HIV-1 subtype A, were examined for IN polymorphisms. Two patients' sequences clustered phylogenetically with other subtype A sequences and one patient's sequence was most similar to the circulating recombinant form CRF_02. No polymorphisms were observed in either of the motifs containing residues critical residues for IN activity. Polymorphisms were observed in a residue associated with resistance to anti-integrase drugs. In addition, a number of unique polymorphisms were observed in one individual (WM1666). IN can vary significantly within a subtype as well as between subtypes, and mutations associated with resistance to anti-integrase compounds can be present in drug naive individuals.

Frequent hepatitis C virus superinfection in injection drug users.

The frequency of hepatitis C virus (HCV) superinfection with a divergent viral strain was determined in a cohort of recently infected young injection drug users (IDUs) with an HCV incidence rate of 25%. HCV was amplified, by use of polymerase chain reaction (PCR), from plasma samples collected from 25 HCV-infected individuals over an average period of 12 months, and their viral sequences were compared. Phylogenetic analysis identified 5 IDUs with superinfection (20%) occurring after seroconversion: 2 IDUs were superinfected with different HCV genotypes, and 3 were superinfected with divergent strains of the same genotype. The superinfecting strains were not detected as minority variants (<0.5%) in the initial plasma HCV quasi species. Extensive measures were taken to exclude PCR contamination and mix-up of samples, and superinfection results were concordant at 2 HCV genetic loci. HCV superinfection in IDUs, both intra- and intergenotype, is therefore a frequent event, with an incidence rate similar to that of de novo infections. These results suggest that no cross-protecting immunity develops during the first year of chronic infection with HCV.

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 superinfection was not detected following 215 years of injection drug user exposure.

Evidence for human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) superinfection was sought among 37 HIV-1-positive street-recruited active injection drug users (IDUs) from the San Francisco Bay area. HIV-1 sequences from pairs of samples collected 1 to 12 years apart, spanning a total of 215 years of exposure, were generated at p17 gag, the V3-V5 region of env, and/or the first exon of tat and phylogenetically analyzed. No evidence of HIV-1 superinfection was detected in which a highly divergent HIV-1 variant emerged at a frequency >20% of the serum viral quasispecies. Based on the reported risk behavior of the IDUs and the HIV-1 incidence in uninfected subjects in the same cohort, a total of 3.4 new infections would have been expected if existing infection conferred no protection from superinfection. Adjusted for risk behaviors, the estimated relative risk of superinfection compared with initial infection was therefore 0.0 (95% confidence interval, 0.00, 0.79; P = 0.02), indicating that existing infection conferred a statistically significant level of protection against superinfection with an HIV-1 strain of the same subtype, which was between 21 and 100%.

Primary infection of a male plasma donor with divergent HIV variants from the same source followed by rapid fluctuations in their relative frequency and viral recombination.

The replication of two HIV-1 variants (>4.0% divergent in the env gene) was observed during primary infection of a frequent plasma donor. Phylogenetic analysis indicated that both HIV-1 variants likely originated from the same source. Heteroduplex tracking analysis of the env V3-V5 region indicated that one of these variant emerged in the plasma at the time of seroconversion, 15 days after the initial detection of HIV-1 RNA. Sequencing of the entire protein-coding region of plasma viruses from Days 2, 22, and 31 showed possible regions of recombination in the pol locus occurring within the first month of infection. The very rapid fluctuations of HIV-1 variant frequencies and their recombination during primary infection may reflect changes in their relative fitness in the face of developing immunological responses.