Cost-effectiveness analysis of pertussis booster vaccination for adolescents in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: In Japan, the introduction of a fifth diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (DTaP) vaccination has been considered, and adolescents aged 11-12 years old who are currently receiving the diphtheria-tetanus (DT) vaccine are one candidate group. We analyze the cost-effectiveness of replacing the DT vaccine with the DTaP vaccine for 11-year-old adolescents and investigate the indirect effect of vaccinated adolescents on unvaccinated infant siblings. We undertake two analyses using high- and low-morbidity pertussis cases, and based on the results, present suggestions for pertussis prevention in the post-COVID-19 pandemic era. METHOD: We used the number of pertussis cases in 2019 as the high-morbidity case and the average number of cases in 2020-2021 as the low-morbidity case, and evaluated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the DTaP strategy to the DT strategy based on quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The economic model contained adolescent and infant sub-models. The indirect effect for infants was considered as the probability of unvaccinated infants avoiding pertussis infection from their vaccinated siblings. RESULTS: The ICER from the payers' perspective was Japanese yen (JPY) 4,254,515 per QALY gained in the high-morbidity case and JPY 62,546,776 per QALY gained in the low-morbidity case. The sensitivity analysis showed that the utility of pertussis had the greatest impact on the ICER, with a 60.58% and 0% probability that the ICER was less than JPY 5 million per QALY gained in the high-morbidity case and low-morbidity case, respectively. CONCLUSION: The cost-effectiveness of replacing the DT vaccine with the DTaP vaccine is affected by the level of pertussis morbidity, with the ICER becoming more favorable in the high-morbidity case. The indirect effect has little impact on the ICER. Thus, policy-makers should continue to monitor the pertussis epidemic in the post-COVID-19 era, and determine the need to introduce a booster based on perceived trends.

Analysis of the cost-effectiveness of proton beam therapy for unresectable pancreatic cancer in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Proton beam therapy (PBT) has recently been included in Japan's social health insurance benefits package. This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of PBT for unresectable, locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) as a replacement for conventional photon radiotherapy (RT). METHODS: We estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of PBT as a replacement for three-dimensional conformal RT (3DCRT), a conventional photon RT, using clinical evidence in the literature and expense complemented by expert opinions. We used a decision tree and an economic and Markov model to illustrate the disease courses followed by LAPC patients. Effectiveness was estimated as quality-adjusted life years (QALY) using utility weights for the health state. Social insurance fees were calculated as the costs. The stability of the ICER against the assumptions made was appraised using sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The effectiveness of PBT and 3DCRT was 1.67610615 and 0.97181271 QALY, respectively. The ICER was estimated to be ¥5,376,915 (US$46,756) per QALY. According to the suggested threshold for anti-cancer therapy from the Japanese authority of ¥7,500,000 (US$65,217) per QALY gain, such a replacement would be considered cost-effective. The one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated stability of the base-case ICER. CONCLUSION: PBT, as a replacement for conventional photon radiotherapy, is cost-effective and justifiable as an efficient use of finite healthcare resources. Making it a standard treatment option and available to every patient in Japan is socially acceptable from the perspective of health economics.

Cost-effectiveness of professional and mechanical oral care for preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is common in nursing home residents and is a leading cause of hospitalization and death. Nursing home residents with cerebrovascular diseases and impaired consciousness are at high risk of aspiration pneumonia. Professional and mechanical oral care by dentists and hygienists in addition to daily oral care by caregivers was shown to be effective in preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents. However, professional and mechanical oral care has not been widely provided in Japan, while daily oral care by caregivers has been widely provided as a basic service in nursing homes. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of providing professional and mechanical oral care for preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents. METHODS: Using a decision tree and Markov modeling, we conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis from the payer's perspective (social insurers and patients) in Japan. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for professional and mechanical oral care compared with daily oral care only was calculated as 4,079,313 Japanese yen (¥; 33,994 United States dollars [US$], US$1 = ¥120) per quality-adjusted life year. CONCLUSIONS: Using the official value of social willingness to pay for a one-quality-adjusted life year gain in Japan of ¥5 million (US$41,667) as the threshold to judge cost-effectiveness, providing professional and mechanical oral care is cost-effective. Our results suggest professional and mechanical oral care for preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents could be justifiable as efficient use of finite healthcare resources. The results have implications for oral care in nursing homes both in Japan and worldwide.

Cost-effectiveness analyses of 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for Japanese elderly.

BACKGROUND: Despite the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) vaccination programme implementation, pneumococcal disease (PD) remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality among the elderly in Japan, particularly since childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) vaccination programme continues to alter the serotype PD distribution among the elderly. Recently, in the United States, PCV15/PCV20 were recommended for adults aged ≥ 65 years and those aged 19-64 years with certain underlying conditions. In Japan, PCV15 is under the approval application process and PCV20 undergoing clinical trials, which has warranted the need in evaluating their value for money. METHODS: We conducted cost-effectiveness analyses with Markov model and calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of PCV15/PCV20 vaccination programme compared to status quo from payers' perspective. Transition probabilities and utility weights in estimating quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), and disease treatment costs were either estimated or obtained from literature. To reflect the situation of COVID-19 pandemic, epidemiological data from 2020 and beyond were used. RESULTS: Compared to the current vaccination programme, PCV20 vaccination programme gained more QALYs with less cost, while PCV15 vaccination programme cost ¥35,020 (US$318, US$1 = ¥110) to gain an additional QALY. Replacing PPSV23 vaccination programme with PCV20 vaccination programme is cost-saving. One-way sensitivity analyses revealed that lower VE limits of PCVs against non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP) have large impact to change the result from PCV20 vaccination programme dominated PPSV23 vaccination programme to PPSV23 vaccination programme dominated PCV20 vaccination programme. CONCLUSION: In the COVID-19 era, replacing current PPSV23 with a single-dose PCV15- or PCV20 immunisation programme for 65-year-old adults in Japan is highly cost-effective, while the PCV 20 vaccination programme was observed to be more favourable.

Cost-effectiveness analyses of monovalent mumps vaccination programs for Japanese children.

BACKGROUND: The most common preventative measure against mumps is vaccination with mumps vaccine. Over 122 countries have implemented mumps vaccine routine immunization programs, mostly via Measles-Mumps-Rubella (MMR) vaccine. In Japan, the unexpectedly high incidence of aseptic meningitis caused by mumps vaccine led to the discontinuation of the MMR national vaccination program in 1993, inadvertently resulting in the re-emergence of mumps. Plans of introducing monovalent mumps vaccine into routine vaccination schedule have become one of the emerging topics in health policy that has warranted the need in evaluating its value for money. METHODS: We conducted cost-effectiveness analyses with Markov model and calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of two different vaccination programs (a single-dose program at one-year-old, a two-dose program with second dose uptakes at five) compared to status quo from both payers' and societal perspectives. Transition probabilities and utility weights in estimating quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), and disease treatment costs were either estimated or obtained from literature. Costs per vaccination were assumed at ¥6140 (US$58;1US$ = ¥106). RESULTS: Both programs reduce disease treatment costs compared to status quo, while the reduction cannot offset vaccination cost. ICER of either program is found to be under ¥5,000,000 (US$47,170)/QALY willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold from either perspective. Results of probabilistic sensitivity analyses expressed by net monetary benefit indicated that at the WTP threshold, the acceptability is at 92.6% for two-dose vaccination program, 0% for single-dose vaccination program, and 7.4% for current no vaccination program. Two-dose program was optimal among the alternatives. One-way sensitivity analyses revealed that proportion of mumps-related hearing loss among mumps cases and vaccine effectiveness (VE) were key variables in changing the ICERs. CONCLUSION: Routine vaccination program of single- and two-dose programs were cost-effective from both payers' and societal perspectives. Between the two, the two-dose vaccination program was observed to be more favorable.

Cost-effectiveness of mass screening for dipstick hematuria in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Dipstick urine tests are a simple and inexpensive method for detecting kidney and urological diseases, such as IgA nephropathy and bladder cancer. The nationwide mass screening program, Specific Health Checkup (SHC), started in Japan in 2008 and targeted all adults between 40 and 74 years of age. Dipstick urine tests for proteinuria and glucosuria are mandatory as part of the SHC, but dipstick urine tests for hematuria are not. However, the dipstick hematuria test is often administered simultaneously with these mandatory tests by some health insurers. Hematuria is common in Japanese general screening participants, particularly elderly women, and the necessity of mass screening using the dipstick hematuria test has been discussed. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of mass screening for dipstick hematuria tests in addition to the SHC. METHODS: Using a decision tree and Markov modeling, we conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis from a Japanese societal perspective. RESULTS: Compared with the current SHC, mass screening for dipstick hematuria tests, in addition to the SHC, costs less and gains more, which means cost-saving. Similar findings were observed in the sex-specific analysis. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that mandating the dipstick hematuria test could be justifiable as an efficient use of finite healthcare resources. The results have implications for mass screening programs not only in Japan but worldwide.

Cost-effectiveness of pertussis booster vaccination for preschool children in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: Japan currently recommends four doses of the diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (DTaP) vaccine in its routine vaccination program, but the introduction of a fifth dose is currently under consideration. An objective of the booster vaccination is to prevent severe cases of pertussis in infants through herd immunity. Thus, the aim of this analysis was to demonstrate the cost-effectiveness of a fifth-dose of the DTaP vaccine for 6-year-old children, taking herd immunity for unvaccinated infants into account. METHOD: An economic model analysis was conducted comparing the cost and effectiveness of the two strategies based on quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). We evaluated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the booster strategy to the no booster strategy. This model contained two sub-models: one for children aged 6 years or older and one for infants under 3 months old. Herd immunity for infants is modeled as when siblings in the same family are infected. RESULTS: The ICER was JPY 71,605,491 (USD 656,931) per QALY gained from the societal perspective, and 7.10% of incremental QALYs (0.0000934) were from a reduction in infant infection. In the sensitivity analysis, no variables moved the ICER under the threshold (JPY 5,000,000 per QALY gained), and the duration of pertussis disease and the incidence rate of pertussis had a significant impact on the ICER. When the disease burden of pertussis decreased, the booster strategy resulted in fewer QALYs gained and greater costs compared with the no booster strategy. CONCLUSION: The introduction of a DTaP booster vaccination to the routine immunization schedule can be expected to reduce the number of pertussis cases in the target population. However, our study showed that adding a booster vaccination for 6-year-old children to the schedule in Japan would not be cost-effective in terms of achieving herd immunity among unvaccinated infants.

Behaviour modification intervention for patients with chronic kidney disease could provide a mid- to long-term reduction in public health care expenditure: budget impact analysis.

BACKGROUND: A recent cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) study evaluated the widespread diffusion of behaviour modification intervention for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Incorporating this behaviour modification intervention, comprising educational sessions on nutrition/lifestyle and support for regular patient visits, to the current CKD guideline-based practice was found to be cost-effective. This study aimed to examine the affordability of this efficient new practice under the hypothesis that the behaviour modification intervention would be initiated by general physicians (GPs). METHODS: A budget impact analysis was conducted by defining the target population as patients aged 40-74 years with stage-3-5 CKD based on the prevalence of definitive CKD in the Japanese general population. Costs expended by social insurers without discount were counted as budgets. We estimated the annual budget impact for 15 years by running our CEA model, assuming that it would be good for the span. RESULTS: We estimated the number of patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) to decrease by 4,496 in the fifteenth year of the new practice using our CEA model. Compared to that in the current practice, the budget impact as total additional expenditure of the new practice was estimated to be negative by the tenth year in the base case. CONCLUSIONS: The widespread diffusion of behaviour modification intervention would contain public health care expenditure over the mid-to-long term, resulting from a reduction in progression to ESKD. We suggest that providing sufficient economic incentives to GPs and strengthening recommendations in CKD guidelines would realise effective GP-initiated interventions.

Cost-Effectiveness of Behavior Modification Intervention for Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease in the FROM-J Study.

OBJECTIVES: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant public health problem. An advanced, or innovative, CKD care system of clinical practice collaboration among general physicians (GPs), nephrologists, and other healthcare workers achieved behavior modification in patients with Stage 3 CKD in the Frontier of Renal Outcome Modifications in Japan (FROM-J) study. This behavior modification intervention consisted of educational sessions on nutrition and lifestyle, as well as encouragement of patients' regular visits. The intervention contributed to slowing CKD progression. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the widespread diffusion of the behavior modification intervention proven effective by the FROM-J study. METHODS: A cost-effectiveness analysis was carried out to compare the behavior modification intervention with the current practice recommended by the latest CKD clinical guidelines for GPs. A Markov model with a societal perspective under Japan's health system was constructed. We assumed that the behavior modification intervention proven effective by the FROM-J study would be initiated by GPs for targeted patient cohorts-patients aged 40-74 years with Stage 3 CKD-as a part of the innovative CKD care system. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for the behavior modification intervention compared with current guideline-based practice was calculated as 145,593 Japanese yen (¥; $1,324 United States dollars [$]) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). CONCLUSIONS: Using the suggested value of social willingness to pay for a one-QALY gain in Japan of ¥5 million (US$45,455) as the threshold to judge cost-effectiveness, the behavior modification intervention is cost-effective. Our results suggest that diffusing the behavior modification intervention proven effective by the FROM-J study could be justifiable as an efficient use of finite healthcare resources. GPs could be encouraged to initiate this intervention by revising the National Health Insurance fee schedule and strengthening clinical guidelines regarding behavior modification interventions.

Budget impact analysis reveals walk-in fingertip HbA1c testing in community pharmacies could provide a significant long-term reduction in public expenditure.

In Japan, a new opportunistic community-based walk-in HbA1c testing program at pharmacies was enabled in 2014. An economic evaluation of this program from societal perspective has previously been published. This study examines the effect of a subsidy program for walk-in HbA1c-testing at community pharmacies in Japan on public health care expenditure by conducting a budget impact analysis from payer's perspective. The study focused on Adachi Ward in Tokyo, where a pioneering subsidy program was implemented. It examined the budget impact of the subsidy program over a 15 years. The total subsidy paid by the local authority during the first year was 2909 USD. Public expenditure remained positive for the first five years before becoming negative in the sixth year, eventually resulting in savings of 221,000 USD in the 15th year. The cost of treating type 2 diabetes that is detected early is offset by a reduction in expensive treatments for complicated cases. Subsidizing walk-in fingertip HbA1c testing in community pharmacies is likely to result in a significant reduction in public expenditure over the mid-to long term. Our result suggests that a similar strategy in other areas could also have a potentially favorable budget impact.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of influenza vaccination during pregnancy in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Pregnant women and infants are known as high risk groups for influenza. WHO recommend pregnant women be vaccinated with inactivated influenza vaccine. In Japan, some municipalities started to give subsidy to encourage pregnant women to receive a shot on their own accord, which has made the introduction of seasonal antepartum maternal vaccination program (AMVP) into the routine vaccination list a current topic in health policy and has raised the need to evaluate the value for money of such possibility. METHODS: We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to evaluate the efficiency of conducting AMVP in Japan. A decision tree model was adopted taking into consideration the duration of single-year vaccine effectiveness for infants and for mothers. The program targeted pregnant women aged 20-49 years old at or over 12 weeks gestation during October 1 through March 30. Estimated probabilities of treatments received due to influenza for pregnant/postpartum women or their infants varied by calendar time, vaccination status, and/or gestational age. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) compared with current no-AMVP from societal perspective was calculated. Transition probabilities, utility weights to estimate quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and disease treatment costs were either calculated or extracted from literature. Costs per vaccination was assumed at ¥3,529/US$32.1. RESULTS: AMVP reduces disease treatment costs, while the reduction cannot offset the vaccination cost. Incremental QALYs were at 0.00009, among them 84.2% were from infants. ICER was ¥7,779,356/US$70,721 per QALY gained. One-way sensitivity analyses revealed that vaccine effectiveness for infant and costs per shot were the two main key variables affecting the ICER. CONCLUSION: We found that vaccinating pregnant women with influenza vaccine to prevent unvaccinated infants and pregnant/postpartum women from influenza-associated disease in Japan can be cost-effective from societal perspective, under the WHO-suggested "cost-effective" criteria (1-3 times of GDP).

Maternal influenza vaccination relates to receiving relevant information among pregnant women in Japan.

Maternal vaccination for seasonal influenza is currently not listed as a routine vaccination in the national vaccination schedule of Japan. However, many pregnant women voluntarily receive an influenza vaccination. We explored the factors related to influenza vaccine uptake. We particularly focused on factors related to any recommendation, such as advice or suggestions from another individual. We conducted a cross-sectional web-based questionnaire survey in Japan among pregnant women or mothers who had recently given birth in March 2017 and 2018. Logistic regression models were used to determine the factors influencing vaccination uptake. Key individuals regarding maternal vaccination were examined using the network visualization software Gephi. The total number of valid responses was 2204 in 2017 and 3580 in 2018. Over 40% of respondents had been vaccinated with the seasonal influenza vaccine at some point in both years. Of the vaccinated respondents, over 80% received advice regarding the influenza vaccination. Obstetricians were the most common source of advice in both years. Among respondents who chose more than two sources, the largest link in the network of sources was found between the obstetrician and family members. Attention to public concern or potential recommenders, by public health authorities, not just pregnant women, about the benefits of maternal influenza vaccination is important.

Cost-effectiveness of Recombinant Zoster Vaccine (RZV) and Varicella Vaccine Live (VVL) against herpes zoster and post-herpetic neuralgia among adults aged 65 and over in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The approval of the extended use of 1-dose varicella vaccine (VVL) in adults aged 50 and older against herpes zoster (HZ) in 2016 and the 2-dose recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) in 2018 raised the need to evaluate the value for money between these two vaccines. METHODS: We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis with Markov modelling to evaluate the efficiency of the immunisation programmes from payer's perspective. Eight strategies with different ages to receive VVL or RZV were set, namely: 65-84 year old (y.o.), 70-84 y.o., 75-84 y.o., and 80-84 y.o. VVL- or RZV-strategy. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) compared with curative care scenario were calculated. The health statuses following the target cohort were as follows: acute HZ followed by recovery, post-herpetic neuralgia followed by recovery, post HZ/PHN, recurrence of HZ, and general death. RESULTS: At the vaccination cost ¥8000 (US$73) for 1-dose ZVL and ¥30,000 (US$273) for 2-dose RZV, ICERs ranged from ¥2,633,587/US$23,942 (age 80-84 y.o.) to ¥3,434,267 or US$31,221 (age 65-84 y.o.)/QALY gained for VVL-strategies; from ¥5,262,227 or US$47,838 (age 80-84 y.o.) to ¥6,278,557 or US$57,078/QALY gained (age 65-84 y.o.) for RZV-strategies. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves derived from probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed that if the cost-effective threshold was at ¥3,000,000 or US$27,273/QALY, the acceptability was 90.7% and 8.8% for 65-84 VVL-strategy and 65-84 RZV-strategy, respectively; if at ¥5,000,000 or US$45,455/QALY, 56.2% and 43.8%, and if at ¥10,000,000 or US$90,909/QALY 11.9% and 88.1%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Vaccinating individuals aged 65-84 y.o., 70-84 y.o., 75-84 y.o., 80-84 y.o. with VVL or RZV to prevent HZ-associated disease in Japan can be cost-effective from payer's perspective, with vaccination costs at ¥8,000 per shot for VVL, ¥30,000 for 2-dose RZV. While the results suggesting that only 65-84 VVL-strategy and 65-84 RZV strategy should be considered when introducing HZ immunisation programme. The optimal strategy varies depending on the willingness-to-pay threshold.

The impact on vaccination coverage following introduction of a routine pneumococcal vaccination programme for the elderly in Japan.

In October 2014, a routine pneumococcal vaccination programme in the elderly aged 65-100 years old was initiated in Japan. Currently, this programme is within a transitional period. Eligibility for subsidy under the programme is granted for target ages in 5-year increments, over a 5-year roll-out period. We assessed the impact of the routine vaccination programme on vaccination coverage and explored the factors relating to pneumococcal vaccine uptake. We conducted a cross-sectional web-based survey in 2015 for respondents aged 65-79 years. A total of 3889 respondents answered the survey. The vaccination coverage in this study was estimated as 33.5%. Of the total respondents, 3327 were not vaccinated at initiation of the routine vaccination programme. The uptake of vaccination after implementation of the programme among them was 22.3%. There was a significant relationship between vaccination and eligibility for subsidy under the routine vaccination programme (adjusted odds ratio: 16.7). While there are some limitations to this study, introduction of the routine vaccination programme might affect pneumococcal vaccination coverage in the elderly.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pertussis vaccination during pregnancy in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Both re-emergence of pertussis outbreak among adolescents/adults and recent approval of the extended use of DTaP vaccine for boosting adolescents/adults against pertussis in Japan, have raised the possibility of using aP-containing vaccine in pregnant women to protect neonates and unvaccinated infants. There is a need, therefore, to evaluate the value for money of such possibility. METHODS: We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of conducting antepartum maternal vaccination (AMV) strategy in Japan. Considering the duration of vaccine effectiveness for infant (single year) and for mother (multiple years), the decision tree model and Markov model was adapted for infant and mother, respectively. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) compared with current no AMV strategy from societal perspective were calculated. The transition probabilities, utility weights to estimate quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and disease treatment costs were either calculated or extracted from literature. Costs per vaccination was assumed at ¥6000/US$54.5. Markov model for mothers with one-year cycle runs up to year four after vaccination, based on the waning of vaccine effectiveness. Infant who survived from pertussis was assumed to live until to his/her life expectancy. RESULTS: AMV strategy reduces disease treatment costs, while the reduction cannot offset the vaccination cost. Incremental QALYs were at 0.0002802, among them 79.5% were from infants, and others from mothers. ICER was ¥9,149,317/US$83,176 per QALY gained. One-way sensitivity analyses identified that the incidence rate and costs per shot were the two main key variables to impact the ICER. CONCLUSION: We found that vaccinating pregnant women with aP-containing vaccine to prevent neonatal and unvaccinated infants from pertussis-associated disease in Japan can be cost-effective from societal perspective, under the WHO-suggested "cost-effective" criteria (1 to 3 times of GDP). Pertussis is expected be designated as a notifiable disease in 2018, re-analysis should be conducted when straightforward incidence data is available.

Cost-effectiveness of a New Opportunistic Screening Strategy for Walk-in Fingertip HbA1c Testing at Community Pharmacies in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: A new opportunistic community-based strategy was launched in Japan in April 2014 to detect lifestyle-related diseases, including diabetes, by creating Specimen Measurement Offices (SMOs). SMOs offer walk-in fingertip HbA1c testing. This article aimed to assess the value-for-money of HbA1c testing services at SMOs by conducting a cost-effectiveness analysis. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We compared two scenarios: 1) status quo, defined as HbA1c testing that is available only through conventional screening, and 2) HbA1c testing available at SMOs as a complement to the status quo scenario. The model consisted of a screening module with a decision tree and a disease progression module with a Markov model. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (i.e., cost per quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) over the lifetime analytic horizon as the primary end point of the cost-effectiveness analysis. In this model, we assumed the participant cohort to be people 40-74 years of age who sought walk-in fingertip HbA1c testing at SMOs on the premises of community pharmacies. Costs and outcomes were discounted at a rate of 3%. The cost-effectiveness was analyzed from a societal perspective. RESULTS: The incremental cost per individual for those 40-74 years of age was estimated to be -527 U.S. dollars (USD) (-52,722 Japanese yen [JPY]) for HbA1c testing at SMOs compared with the status quo. Incremental effectiveness was estimated to be 0.0203 QALYs for HbA1c testing at SMOs compared with the status quo. Therefore, this cost-effectiveness analysis showed that compared with the status quo, HbA1c testing at SMOs was more effective and had lower cost for the population studied. CONCLUSIONS: We consider our results to be robust because most simulations were under the threshold of USD 50,000 (JPY 5,000,000) per QALYs gained, by sensitivity analysis. These results will be useful to managers of pharmacies or other health institutions and/or policy makers in local government.

Cost-effectiveness of varicella vaccine against herpes zoster and post-herpetic neuralgia for elderly in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The extended use of varicella vaccine in adults aged 50 and older against herpes zoster (HZ) was recently approved in Japan, which has raised the need to evaluate its value for money. METHODS: We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis with Markov modelling to evaluate the efficiency of varicella vaccine immunisation programme for the elderly in Japan. Four strategies with different ages to receive a shot of vaccine were set, namely: (1) 65-84, (2) 70-84, (3) 75-84 and (4) 80-84years old (y.o.). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) compared with no programme from societal perspective were calculated. The health statuses following the target cohort are as follows: without any HZ-related disease, acute HZ followed by recovery, post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) followed by recovery, post HZ/PHN, and general death. The transition probabilities, utility weights to estimate quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and disease treatment costs were either calculated or cited from literature. Costs of per course of vaccination were assumed at ¥10,000 (US$91). The model with one-year cycle runs until the surviving individual reached 100 y.o. RESULTS: ICERs ranged from ¥2,812,000/US$25,680 to ¥3,644,000/US$33,279 per QALY gained, with 65-84 y.o. strategy having the lowest ICER and 80-84 y.o. strategy the highest. None of the alternatives was strongly dominated by the other, while 80-84 y.o. and 70-84 y.o. strategy were extendedly dominated by 65-84 y.o. STRATEGY: Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed that the probabilities that ICER is under ¥5,000,000/US$45,662 per QALY gained was at 100% for 65-84 y.o., 70-84 y.o., 75-84 y.o. strategy, respectively, and at 98.4% for 80-84 y.o. CONCLUSION: We found that vaccinating individuals aged 65-84, 70-84, 75-84, and 80-84 with varicella vaccine to prevent HZ-associated disease in Japan can be cost-effective from societal perspective, with 65-84 y.o. strategy as the optimal alternative. Results are supported by one-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Economic evaluation of routine infant rotavirus immunisation program in Japan.

Two rotavirus vaccines are currently available in Japan. We estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of routine infant rotavirus immunisation program without defining which vaccine to be evaluated, which reflects the current deliberation at the Health Science Council in charge of Immunisation and Vaccine established by the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare of Japan. Three ICERs were estimated, one from payers' perspective and 2 from societal perspective depending on the scenarios to uptake vaccines. The health statuses following the birth cohort were as follows: not infected by rotavirus, asymptomatic infection, outpatients after infection, hospitalised after infection, developing encephalitis/encephalopathy followed by recovery, sequelae, and death. Costs of per course of vaccination was ¥30,000 (US$283; US$1 = ¥106). The model runs for 60 months with one month cycle. From payers' perspective, estimated ICERs were ¥6,877,000 (US$64,877) per QALY. From societal perspective, immunisation program turns out to be cost-saving for 75% simultaneous vaccination scenario, while it is at ¥337,000 (US$3,179) per QALY gained with vaccine alone scenario. The probability of rotavirus immunisation program to be under ¥5,000,000 (US$47,170) per QALY was at 19.8%, 40.7%, and 75.6% when costs per course of vaccination were set at ¥30,000 (US$283), ¥25,000 (US$236), and ¥20,000 (US$189), respectively. Rotavirus immunisation program has a potential to be cost-effective from payers' perspective and even cost-saving from societal perspective in Japan, however, caution should be taken with regard to the interpretation of the results as cost-effectiveness is critically dependent on vaccination costs.