The impact of air temperature and humidity on Children's blood pressure mediated by Lipids: A prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Few studies illustrate the mechanism between air temperature and blood pressure (BP) in childhood. This study aims to investigate the associations between air temperature, humidity exposure, and BP trajectories in children and adolescents, and explore the potential mediating roles of lipid profiles in these relationships. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 5,971 children with 10,800 person-times measurements at baseline from the Chongqing Health Cohort, with evaluations conducted in 2014-2015 (baseline) and follow-ups in 2016 (urban areas) and 2019 (urban and rural areas). Multilevel mixed-effects models were used to analyse the impacts of air temperature and humidity on BP levels and the incidence of elevated BP, while accounting for potential confounders. Mediation analyses were performed to evaluate the mediating effects of lipid profiles, including low-density lipoprotein (LDL), total cholesterol (TC), and specific lipid species. RESULTS: After adjusting for covariates, higher air temperature quartiles were associated with both decreased BP levels and elevated BP risk (RR: 0.83; 95 % CIs: 0.78, 0.89; P = 0.028). Conversely, higher humidity quartiles exhibited a U-shaped relationship with BP levels. Greater variability in air temperature was linked to increase BP levels. The cumulative effects of air temperature exposure on BP were significant from pregnancy to age 10, with females exhibiting larger effects (ß:-3.291, 95 % CIs: -4.242,-2.340, P < 0.001). LDL and TC partially mediated the associations between air temperature and BP levels, particularly in males. Specific lipid species, including SM (d21:1), LPC (17:0), and PC (O-36:3), also exhibited significant mediating effects. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides novel insights into the intricate interplay between air temperature, humidity, lipid metabolism, and blood pressure regulation in children. Lower average temperatures and extreme humidity levels were associated with increased risks of elevated BP, potentially mediated by lipid profiles. Early interventions targeting air temperature exposure and lipid metabolism could mitigate hypertension risk, promoting improved cardiovascular outcomes in children.

Life's essential 8 and risk of subclinical atherosclerosis progression: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated the benefits of ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) in reducing cardiovascular risk. However, its role in subclinical atherosclerosis (SA) progression remains unclear. We aim to examine the association of CVH, estimated by the American Heart Association's new Life's Essential 8 (LE8), with the progression of SA. METHODS: This prospective cohort study was conducted among 972 asymptomatic Chinese participants and followed up for 5.7 years. The LE8 score (range, 0-100) consisted of blood pressure, lipids, glucose, body mass index, smoking status, diet health, physical activity and sleep health was evaluated in 1998 and 2008-2009. Progression of SA was determined by carotid plaque and coronary artery calcification (CAC) in 2008-2009 and 2013-2014. Log-binomial regression model was used to estimate the association of LE8 score with SA progression. RESULTS: Each 10 points increment in LE8 score was associated with 15.2% (RR: 0.848, 95% CI: 0.797-0.902), 17.7% (RR: 0.823, 95% CI: 0.766-0.884) and 12.0% (RR: 0.880, 95% CI: 0.845-0.916) lower risks of carotid plaque, CAC and overall SA progression, respectively. Compared with participants with non-ideal CVH at both visits, the participants with ideal CVH at both visits had 39.1% (RR: 0.609, 95% CI: 0.494-0.752), 41.0% (RR: 0.590, 95% CI: 0.456-0.764) and 29.7% (RR: 0.703, 95% CI: 0.598-0.825) lower risks of carotid plaque, CAC and overall SA progression, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Higher LE8 scores were associated with lower risks of SA progression. Besides, long-term maintenance of optimal CVH was more beneficial to prevent SA progression.

Physical activity, long-term fine particulate matter exposure and type 2 diabetes incidence: A prospective cohort study.

Background: Despite the adverse effects of ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) on type 2 diabetes and the beneficial role of physical activity (PA), the influence of PM2.5 on the relationship between PA and type 2 diabetes remains unclear. Methods: In this prospective study with 71,689 participants, PA was assessed by a questionnaire and was categorized into quartiles for volume and three groups for intensity. Long-term PM2.5 exposure was calculated using 1-km resolution satellite-based PM2.5 estimates. PM2.5 exposure and PA's effect on type 2 diabetes were assessed by cohort-stratified Cox proportional hazards models, individually and in combination. Results: In 488,166 person-years of follow-up, 5487 incident type 2 diabetes cases were observed. The association between PA and type 2 diabetes was modified by PM2.5. Compared with the lowest quartile of PA volume, the highest quartile was associated with reduced type 2 diabetes risk in low PM2.5 stratification (≤65.02 µg/m3) other than in high PM2.5 stratification (>65.02 µg/m3), with the hazard ratio (HR) of 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.66-0.85) and 1.10 (95% CI: 0.99-1.22), respectively. Similar results were observed for PA intensity. High PM2.5 exposure combined with the highest PA levels increased the risk of type 2 diabetes the most (HR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.59-2.01 for PA volume; HR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.64-2.02 for PA intensity). Conclusion: PA could reduce type 2 diabetes risk in low-pollution areas, but high PM2.5 exposure may weaken or even reverse the protective effects of PA. Safety and health benefits of PA should be thoroughly assessed for long-term polluted residents.

Discordant High Remnant Cholesterol With LDL-C Increases the Risk of Stroke: A Chinese Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies focusing on assessing the effects of remnant cholesterol (RC) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) on stroke may not consider their mutual influence. We aimed to explore the associations of RC and discordant high RC with LDL-C with stroke, ischemic stroke (IS), and hemorrhagic stroke. METHODS: This prospective cohort study was conducted based on 3 cohorts of the China-PAR (Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China) project. RC was calculated as non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol minus LDL-C estimated by Martin/Hopkins equations. Concordant/discordant categories for RC versus LDL-C were determined based on cut-points of 130 mg/dL for LDL-C and equivalent percentile (32.50 mg/dL) for RC. Cox models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios and 95% CIs for incident stroke. RESULTS: Among 113 448 participants recruited at baseline, a total of 98 967 participants were eligible for the final analysis (mean age of 51.44 years; 40.45% were men). During 728 776.87 person-years of follow-up, 2859 stroke cases, 1811 IS cases, and 849 hemorrhagic stroke cases were observed. RC was positively associated with stroke and IS, but not hemorrhagic stroke, with adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) of 1.06 (1.02-1.10), 1.09 (1.04-1.13), and 0.95 (0.88-1.03) for per SD increase in RC. Compared with low LDL-C/low RC group, low LDL-C/high RC group had higher risks of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.02-1.30]) and IS (1.19, 1.03-1.38), while high LDL-C/low RC group had no increased risk of stroke (1.07 [0.95-1.20]) and IS (1.09 [0.94-1.25]). CONCLUSIONS: Higher RC was associated with increased risks of stroke and IS but not hemorrhagic stroke. Discordantly high RC, not discordantly high LDL-C, conferred higher risks of stroke and IS. Our findings support further lowering RC by interventions to reduce residual IS risk.

Association of genetic variants related to combined lipid-lowering and antihypertensive therapies with risk of cardiovascular disease: 2 × 2 factorial Mendelian randomization analyses.

BACKGROUND: Lipid-lowering drugs and antihypertensive drugs are commonly combined for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the relationship of combined medications with CVD remains controversial. We aimed to explore the associations of genetically proxied medications of lipid-lowering and antihypertensive drugs, either alone or both, with risk of CVD, other clinical and safety outcomes. METHODS: We divided 423,821 individuals in the UK Biobank into 4 groups via median genetic scores for targets of lipid-lowering drugs and antihypertensive drugs: lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) mediated by targets of statins or proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors, lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) mediated by targets of ß-blockers (BBs) or calcium channel blockers (CCBs), combined genetically lower LDL-C and SBP, and reference (genetically both higher LDL-C and SBP). Associations with risk of CVD and other clinical outcomes were explored among each group in factorial Mendelian randomization. RESULTS: Independent and additive effects were observed between genetically proxied medications of lipid-lowering and antihypertensive drugs with CVD (including coronary artery disease, stroke, and peripheral artery diseases) and other clinical outcomes (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, and dementia) (P > 0.05 for interaction in all outcomes). Take the effect of PCSK9 inhibitors and BBs on CVD for instance: compared with the reference, PCSK9 group had a 4% lower risk of CVD (odds ratio [OR], 0.96; 95%CI, 0.94-0.99), and a 3% lower risk was observed in BBs group (OR, 0.97; 95%CI, 0.94-0.99), while combined both were associated with a 6% additively lower risk (OR, 0.94; 95%CI, 0.92-0.97; P = 0.87 for interaction). CONCLUSIONS: Genetically proxied medications of combined lipid-lowering and antihypertensive drugs have an independent and additive effects on CVD, other clinical and safety outcomes, with implications for CVD clinical practice, subsequent trials as well as drug development of polypills.

Metabolomics signature of blood pressure salt sensitivity and its link to cardiovascular disease: A dietary salt-intervention trial.

Individuals with a high degree of salt sensitivity (SS) have a greater risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), but whether SS fosters CVD by influencing metabolomics homeostasis remains unclear. This study aimed to reveal the role of the SS-related metabolomics signature in the development of CVDs, based on the MetaSalt study, which was a dietary salt-intervention trial conducted at four centers in China in 2019. A total of 528 participants were recruited and underwent 3 days of baseline observations, a 10-day low-salt intervention, and a 10-day high-salt intervention. Plasma untargeted metabolomics, lipidomics, and BP measurements were scheduled at each stage. Participants were grouped into extreme SS, moderate SS, and salt-resistant (SR) individuals according to their BP responses to salt. Linear mixed models were used to identify SS-related metabolites and determine the relationship between the SS-related metabolomics signature and arterial stiffness. Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were applied to establish the causal pathways among the SS-related metabolites, BP, and CVDs. Among the 713 metabolites, 467 were significantly changed after the high-salt intervention. Among them, the changes in 30 metabolites from the low-salt to the high-salt intervention differed among the SS groups. Of the remaining nonsalt-related metabolites, the baseline levels of 11 metabolites were related to SS. These 41 metabolites explained 23% of the variance in SS. Moreover, SS and its metabolomics signature were positively correlated with arterial stiffness. MR analyses demonstrated that the SS-related metabolites may affect CVD risk by altering BP, indicating that the increase in BP was the consequence of the changes in SS-related metabolites rather than the cause. Our study revealed that the metabolomics signature of SS individuals differs from that of SR individuals and that the changes in SS-related metabolites may increase arterial stiffness and foster CVDs. This study provides insight into understanding the biology and targets of SS and its role in CVDs.

Dietary intake changes the associations between long-term exposure to fine particulate matter and the surrogate indicators of insulin resistance.

The relationship of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and insulin resistance remains inclusive. Our study aimed to investigate this association in the project of Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR). Specifically, we examined the associations between long-term PM2.5 exposure and three surrogate indicators of insulin resistance: the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG), TyG with waist circumference (TyG-WC) and metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR). Additionally, we explored potential effect modification of dietary intake and components. Generalized estimating equations were used to evaluate the associations between PM2.5 and the indicators with an unbalanced repeated measurement design. Our analysis incorporated a total of 162,060 observations from 99,329 participants. Each 10 µg/m3 increment of PM2.5 was associated with an increase of 0.22 % [95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.20 %, 0.25 %], 1.60 % (95 % CI: 1.53 %, 1.67 %), and 2.05 % (95 % CI: 1.96 %, 2.14 %) in TyG, TyG-WC, and METS-IR, respectively. These associations were attenuated among participants with a healthy diet, particularly those with sufficient intake of fruit and vegetable, fish or tea (pinteraction < 0.0028). For instance, among participants with a healthy diet, TyG increased by 0.11 % (95 % CI: 0.08 %, 0.15 %) per 10 µg/m3 PM2.5 increment, significantly lower than the association observed in those with an unhealthy diet. The findings of this study emphasize the potential of a healthy diet to mitigate these associations, highlighting the urgency for improving air quality and implementing dietary interventions among susceptible populations in China.

Somatic and Germline Variants and Coronary Heart Disease in a Chinese Population.

Importance: The genetic basis of coronary heart disease (CHD) has expanded from a germline to somatic genome, including clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP). How CHIP confers CHD risk in East Asian individuals, especially those with small clones (variant allele fraction [VAF] 0.5%-2%) and different genetic backgrounds, was completely unknown. Objective: To investigate the CHIP profile in a general Chinese cohort by deep sequencing and further explore the association between CHIP and incident CHD considering germline predisposition. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from 3 prospective cohorts in the project Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China. Participants without cardiovascular disease or cancer at baseline were enrolled in 2001 and 2008 and had a median follow-up of 12.17 years extending into 2021. Exposures: CHIP mutations were detected by targeted sequencing (mean depth, 916×). A predefined CHD polygenic risk score (PRS) comprising 531 variants was used to evaluate germline predisposition. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was first incident CHD. Results: Among 6181 participants, the median (IQR) age was 53.83 years (45.35-62.39 years); 3082 participants (49.9%) were female, and 3099 (50.1%) were male. A total of 1100 individuals (17.80%) harbored 1372 CHIP mutations at baseline. CHIP was independently associated with incident CHD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.42; 95% CI, 1.18-1.72; P = 2.82 × 10-4) and presented a risk gradient with increasing VAF (P = 3.98 × 10-3 for trend). Notably, individuals with small clones, nearly half of CHIP carriers, also demonstrated a higher CHD risk compared with non-CHIP carriers (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.02-1.74; P = .03) and were 4 years younger than those with VAF of 2% or greater (median age, 58.52 vs 62.70 years). Heightened CHD risk was not observed among CHIP carriers with low PRS (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.64-1.64; P = .92), while high PRS and CHIP jointly contributed a 2.23-fold increase in risk (95% CI, 1.51-3.29; P = 6.29 × 10-5) compared with non-CHIP carriers with low PRS. Interestingly, the diversity in CHIP-related CHD risk within each PRS group was substantially diminished when removing variants in the inflammatory pathway from the PRS. Conclusions: This study revealed that elevated CHD risk attributed to CHIP was nonnegligible even for small clones. Inflammation genes involved in CHD could aggravate or abrogate CHIP-related CHD risk.

Genetic Predisposition, Sedentary Behavior, and Incident Coronary Artery Disease: A Prospective Chinese Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: Whether the association of sedentary behaviors with coronary artery disease (CAD) can be influenced by genetic susceptibility remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the joint and interplay effects between genetic risk and sedentary time (ST) and to further explore the extent to which the risk for CAD can be counteracted by reducing ST in different genetic groups. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 39,164 Chinese adults without CAD history. Genetic susceptibility was quantified by a predefined polygenic risk score (PRS) with 540 genetic variants, and daily ST was assessed by questionnaire. We analyzed the modification effect of genetic risk on the association of ST with CAD using the Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11.60 yr, 1156 CAD events were documented. Higher ST and PRS were separately related to elevated CAD risk. Significant additive interaction was also observed (relative excess risk due to interaction: 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.27-1.28). Compared with participants with low genetic risk and low ST (<6 h·d -1 ), those with high genetic risk and high ST (≥10 h·d -1 ) had the highest CAD risk, with the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% CI of 4.22 (2.65-6.71). When stratified by genetic risks, participants with high ST had gradient increment of CAD risks across low, intermediate, and high genetic risk groups, with HR (95% CI) values of 1.21 (0.61-2.40), 1.57 (1.14-2.16), and 2.15 (1.40-3.31), respectively. For the absolute risk reduction, individuals with high genetic risk achieved the greatest benefit from low ST ( Ptrend = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: Genetic susceptibility may synergistically interact with ST to increase CAD risk. Reducing ST could attenuate the CAD risk, especially among individuals with high genetic risk.

Fine Particulate Matter Exposure, Genetic Susceptibility, and the Risk of Incident Stroke: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Both genetic factors and environmental air pollution contribute to the risk of stroke. However, it is unknown whether the association between air pollution and stroke risk is influenced by the genetic susceptibilities of stroke and its risk factors. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 40 827 Chinese adults without stroke history. Satellite-based monthly fine particulate matter (PM2.5) estimation at 1-km resolution was used for exposure assessment. Based on 534 identified genetic variants from genome-wide association studies in East Asians, we constructed 6 polygenic risk scores for stroke and its risk factors, including atrial fibrillation, blood pressure, type 2 diabetes, body mass index, and triglyceride. The Cox proportional hazards model was applied to evaluate the hazard ratios and 95% CIs for the associations of PM2.5 and polygenic risk score with incident stroke and the potential effect modifications. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 12.06 years, 3147 incident stroke cases were documented. Compared with the lowest quartile of PM2.5 exposure, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for stroke in the highest quartile group was 2.72 (2.42-3.06). Among individuals at high genetic risk, the relative risk of stroke was 57% (1.57; 1.40-1.76) higher than those at low genetic risk. Although no statistically significant interaction was found, participants with both the highest PM2.5 and high genetic risk showed the highest risk of stroke, with ≈4× that of the lowest PM2.5 and low genetic risk group (hazard ratio, 3.55 [95% CI, 2.84-4.44]). Similar upward gradients were observed in the risk of stroke when assessing the joint effects of PM2.5 and genetic risks of blood pressure, type 2 diabetes, body mass index, atrial fibrillation, and triglyceride. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with a higher risk of incident stroke across different genetic susceptibilities. Our findings highlighted the great importance of comprehensive assessment of air pollution and genetic risk in the prevention of stroke.

Lifestyle improvement and the reduced risk of cardiovascular disease: the China-PAR project.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of healthy lifestyles are well recognized. However, the extent to which improving unhealthy lifestyles reduces cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk needs to be discussed. We evaluated the impact of lifestyle improvement on CVD incidence using data from the China-PAR project (Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China). METHODS: A total of 12,588 participants free of CVD were followed up for three visits after the baseline examination. Changes in four lifestyle factors (LFs) (smoking, diet, physical activity, and alcohol consumption) were assessed through questionnaires from the baseline to the first follow-up visit. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The risk advancement periods (RAPs: the age difference between exposed and unexposed participants reaching the same incident CVD risk) and population-attributable risk percentage (PAR%) were also calculated. RESULTS: A total of 909 incident CVD cases occurred over a median follow-up of 11.14 years. Compared with maintaining 0-1 healthy LFs, maintaining 3-4 healthy LFs was associated with a 40% risk reduction of incident CVD (HR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.45-0.79) and delayed CVD risk by 6.31 years (RAP: -6.31 [-9.92, -2.70] years). The PAR% of maintaining 3-4 unhealthy LFs was 22.0% compared to maintaining 0-1 unhealthy LFs. Besides, compared with maintaining two healthy LFs, improving healthy LFs from 2 to 3-4 was associated with a 23% lower risk of CVD (HR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.60-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term sustenance of healthy lifestyles or improving unhealthy lifestyles can reduce and delay CVD risk.

Egg consumption and risk of coronary artery disease, potential amplification by high genetic susceptibility: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Remarkable heterogeneity has been observed among population-based studies on egg consumption and risk of coronary artery disease (CAD). Whether genetic susceptibility serves as a potential explanation for this inconsistency remains unknown. OBJECTIVES: We performed a prospective cohort study to investigate the association of egg consumption with incident CAD at different genetic susceptibilities. METHODS: We included 34,111 participants without CAD at baseline from the project of Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China. Egg consumption was assessed with food frequency questionnaires. Genetic susceptibility was quantified by a predefined polygenic risk score (PRS) with 540 genetic variants. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of incident CAD associated with egg consumption and PRS were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Over a median 11.7 y of follow-up, 1,128 incident cases of CAD were recorded. Both higher egg consumption and increased PRS were related to higher risk of CAD. When stratified by genetic risk, each increment of 3 eggs/wk was associated with a 5% higher risk of CAD for participants at low to intermediate genetic risk (HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.09), whereas risk increased to HR 1.10 (95% CI: 1.05, 1.16) for those at high genetic risk; a significant synergistic interaction was also indicated at both multiplicative (Pinteraction = 0.007) and additive (relative excess risk: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.24, 1.22) scales. When the joint effect was examined, in comparison with those at low to intermediate genetic risk and consuming <1 egg/wk, the HR (95% CI) was 2.95 (2.41, 3.62) for participants with high genetic risk and consumption of ≥10 eggs/wk, and the corresponding standardized 10-y CAD rates increased from 1.37% to 4.24%. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic predisposition may synergistically interact with egg consumption in relation to increased CAD risk. PRS-stratified recommendations on egg consumption may help formulate personalized nutrition policies.

Effect of Air Pollution on Heart Failure: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) poses a significant global disease burden. The current evidence on the impact of air pollution on HF remains inconsistent. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to conduct a systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis to provide a more comprehensive and multiperspective assessment of the associations between short- and long-term air pollution exposure and HF from epidemiological evidences. METHODS: Three databases were searched up to 31 August 2022 for studies investigating the association between air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, CO, O3) and HF hospitalization, incidence, or mortality. A random effects model was used to derive the risk estimations. Subgroup analysis was conducted by geographical location, age of participants, outcome, study design, covered area, the methods of exposure assessment, and the length of exposure window. Sensitivity analysis and adjustment for publication bias were performed to test the robustness of the results. RESULTS: Of 100 studies covering 20 countries worldwide, 81 were for short-term and 19 were for long-term exposure. Almost all air pollutants were adversely associated with the risk of HF in both short- and long-term exposure studies. For short-term exposures, we found the risk of HF increased by 1.8% [relative risk (RR)=1.018, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.011, 1.025] and 1.6% (RR=1.016, 95% CI: 1.011, 1.020) per 10-µg/m3 increment of PM2.5 and PM10, respectively. HF was also significantly associated with NO2, SO2, and CO, but not O3. Positive associations were stronger when exposure was considered over the previous 2 d (lag 0-1) rather than on the day of exposure only (lag 0). For long-term exposures, there were significant associations between several air pollutants and HF with RR (95% CI) of 1.748 (1.112, 2.747) per 10-µg/m3 increment in PM2.5, 1.212 (1.010, 1.454) per 10-µg/m3 increment in PM10, and 1.204 (1.069, 1.356) per 10-ppb increment in NO2, respectively. The adverse associations of most pollutants with HF were greater in low- and middle-income countries than in high-income countries. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of our results. DISCUSSION: Available evidence highlighted adverse associations between air pollution and HF regardless of short- and long-term exposure. Air pollution is still a prevalent public health issue globally and sustained policies and actions are called for to reduce the burden of HF. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11506.

Association of Long-Term Exposure to Ambient Fine Particulate Matter with Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Incidence Varies across Populations with Different Predicted Risks: The China-PAR Project.

Previous studies have established a significant link between ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) incidence, but whether this association varies across populations with different predicted ASCVD risks was uncertain previously. We included 109,374 Chinese adults without ASCVD at baseline from the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project. We obtained PM2.5 data of participants' residential address from 2000 to 2015 using a satellite-based spatiotemporal model. Participants were classified into low-to-medium and high-risk groups according to the ASCVD 10-year and lifetime risk prediction scores. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for PM2.5 exposure-related incident ASCVD, as well as the multiplication and additive interaction, were calculated using stratified Cox proportional hazard models. The additive interaction between risk stratification and PM2.5 exposure was estimated by the synergy index (SI), the attributable proportion due to the interaction (API), and the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI). Over the follow-up of 833,067 person-years, a total of 4230 incident ASCVD cases were identified. Each 10 µg/m3 increment of PM2.5 concentration was associated with 18% (HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.14-1.23) increased risk of ASCVD in the total population, and the association was more pronounced among individuals having a high predicted ASCVD risk than those having a low-to-medium risk, with the HR (95% CI) of 1.24 (1.19-1.30) and 1.11 (1.02-1.20) per 10 µg/m3 increment in PM2.5 concentration, respectively. The RERI, API, and SI were 1.22 (95% CI: 0.62-1.81), 0.22 (95% CI: 0.12-0.32), and 1.37 (95% CI: 1.16-1.63), respectively. Our findings demonstrate a significant synergistic effect on ASCVD between ASCVD risk stratification and PM2.5 exposure and highlight the potential health benefits of reducing PM2.5 exposure in Chinese, especially among those with high ASCVD risk.

Prevalence of familial hypercholesterolemia and its association with coronary artery disease: A Chinese cohort study.

Background: Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is underrecognized, and its association with coronary artery disease (CAD) remains limited, especially in China. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of FH and its relationship with CAD in a large Chinese cohort. Methods: FH was defined using the Make Early Diagnosis to Prevent Early Death (MEDPED) criteria. The crude and age-sex standardized prevalence of FH were calculated based on surveys of the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project during 2007-2008. The associations of FH with incident CAD and its major subtypes were estimated with the cohort-stratified multivariate Cox proportional hazard models based on the data from the baseline to the last follow-up (2018-2020). Results: Among 98,885 included participants, 190 participants were defined as FH. Crude and age-sex standardized prevalence and 95% confidence interval (CI) of FH were 0.19% (0.17%-0.22%) and 0.13% (0.10%-0.16%), respectively. The prevalence varied across age groups and peaked in the group of 60-<70 years (0.28%), and the peak prevalence (0.18%) in males was earlier, yet lower than the peak crude prevalence in females (0.41%). During a mean follow-up of 10.7 years, 2493 cases of incident CAD were identified. After multivariate adjustment, FH patients had a 2.03-fold greater risk of developing CAD compared to non-FH participants. Conclusions: The prevalence of FH was estimated to be 0.19% in the participants, and it was associated with an elevated risk of incident CAD. Our study suggests that early screening of FH has certain public health significance for the prevention of CAD.

Satellite-Based Long-Term Spatiotemporal Trends in Ambient NO2 Concentrations and Attributable Health Burdens in China From 2005 to 2020.

Despite the recent development of using satellite remote sensing to predict surface NO2 levels in China, methods for estimating reliable historical NO2 exposure, especially before the establishment of NO2 monitoring network in 2013, are still rare. A gap-filling model was first adopted to impute the missing NO2 column densities from satellite, then an ensemble machine learning model incorporating three base learners was developed to estimate the spatiotemporal pattern of monthly mean NO2 concentrations at 0.05° spatial resolution from 2005 to 2020 in China. Further, we applied the exposure data set with epidemiologically derived exposure response relations to estimate the annual NO2 associated mortality burdens in China. The coverage of satellite NO2 column densities increased from 46.9% to 100% after gap-filling. The ensemble model predictions had good agreement with observations, and the sample-based, temporal and spatial cross-validation (CV) R 2 were 0.88, 0.82, and 0.73, respectively. In addition, our model can provide accurate historical NO2 concentrations, with both by-year CV R 2 and external separate year validation R 2 achieving 0.80. The estimated national NO2 levels showed a increasing trend during 2005-2011, then decreased gradually until 2020, especially in 2012-2015. The estimated annual mortality burden attributable to long-term NO2 exposure ranged from 305 thousand to 416 thousand, and varied considerably across provinces in China. This satellite-based ensemble model could provide reliable long-term NO2 predictions at a high spatial resolution with complete coverage for environmental and epidemiological studies in China. Our results also highlighted the heavy disease burden by NO2 and call for more targeted policies to reduce the emission of nitrogen oxides in China.

Efficacy and safety of low levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol: trans-ancestry linear and non-linear Mendelian randomization analyses.

AIMS: LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) is a well-established risk factor for coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the optimal LDL-C level with regard to efficacy and safety remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the causal relationships between LDL-C and efficacy and safety outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed 353 232 British from the UK Biobank and 41 271 Chinese from the China-PAR project. Linear and non-linear Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were performed to evaluate the causal relation between genetically proxied LDL-C and CAD, all-cause mortality, and safety outcomes (including haemorrhagic stroke, diabetes mellitus, overall cancer, non-cardiovascular death, and dementia). No significant non-linear associations were observed for CAD, all-cause mortality, and safety outcomes (Cochran Q P > 0.25 in British and Chinese) with LDL-C levels above the minimum values of 50 and 20 mg/dL in British and Chinese, respectively. Linear MR analyses demonstrated a positive association of LDL-C with CAD [British: odds ratio (OR) per unit mmol/L increase, 1.75, P = 7.57 × 10-52; Chinese: OR, 2.06, P = 9.10 × 10-3]. Furthermore, stratified analyses restricted to individuals with LDL-C levels less than the guideline-recommended 70 mg/dL demonstrated lower LDL-C levels were associated with a higher risk of adverse events, including haemorrhagic stroke (British: OR, 0.72, P = 0.03) and dementia (British: OR, 0.75, P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: In British and Chinese populations, we confirmed a linear dose-response relationship of LDL-C with CAD and found potential safety concerns at low LDL-C levels, providing recommendations for monitoring adverse events in people with low LDL-C in the prevention of cardiovascular disease.

We used the Mendelian randomization method to estimate the causal relationships between LDL-C and efficacy and safety outcomes in the UK Biobank and the China-PAR project.We found a linear rather than a non-linear relationship between genetically proxied LDL cholesterol and coronary artery disease.There are potential safety concerns (including haemorrhagic stroke and dementia) for people who have low LDL-C levels.

Age and Genetic Risk Score and Rates of Blood Lipid Changes in China.

Importance: Blood lipids are the primary cause of atherosclerosis. However, little is known about relationships between rates of blood lipid changes and age and genetic risk. Objective: To evaluate associations of blood lipid change rates with age and polygenic risk. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort is from the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China, which was established from 1998 to 2008. Participants were followed up until 2020 (mean [SD] follow-up, 13.8 [4.3] years) and received 4 repeated lipid measurements. Data analysis was performed from June to August 2022. A total of 47 691 participants with available genotype data were recruited, and 37 317 participants aged 18 years or older were included in the final analysis after excluding participants who were lost to follow-up or with major chronic diseases, and those without blood lipid measurements at baseline and any follow-up survey. Exposures: Age and polygenic risk scores based on 126 lipid-related genetic variants. Main Outcomes and Measures: The estimated annual changes (EAC) of blood lipids in milligrams per deciliter. Results: This study evaluated 37 317 participants (mean [SD] age of 51.37 [10.82] years; 15 664 [41.98%] were male). The associations of EACs of blood lipids with age differed substantially between male and female participants. Male participants experienced declining change as they got older for total cholesterol (EAC, 0.34 [95% CI, 0.14 to 0.54] mg/dL for age <40 years vs 0.01 [95% CI, -0.11 to 0.13] mg/dL for age ≥60 years), triglyceride (EAC, 3.28 [95% CI, 2.50 to 4.07] mg/dL for age <40 years vs -1.70 [95% CI, -2.02 to -1.38] mg/dL for age ≥60 years), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) (EAC, 0.15 [95% CI, -0.02 to 0.32] mg/dL for age <40 years vs 0.01 [95% CI, -0.10 to 0.11] mg/dL for age ≥60 years). Female participants had inverse V-shaped associations and the greatest rate of change appeared in the age group of 40 to 49 years (EAC for total cholesterol, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.22 to 1.44] mg/dL; EAC for triglyceride, 2.28 [95% CI, 1.94 to 2.62] mg/dL; and EAC for LDL-C, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.84 to 1.03] mg/dL). Change in levels of blood lipids were also associated with polygenic risk. Participants at low polygenic risk tended to shift toward lower blood lipid levels, with EACs of -0.16 (95% CI, -0.25 to -0.07) mg/dL; -1.58 (95% CI, -1.78 to -1.37) mg/dL; and -0.13 (95% CI, -0.21 to -0.06) mg/dL for total cholesterol, triglyceride, and LDL-C, respectively. Participants with high polygenic risk had the greatest rates of change for total cholesterol, triglyceride, and LDL-C (EAC, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.03 to 1.21] mg/dL; EAC, 3.57 [95% CI, 3.24 to 3.91] mg/dL; and EAC, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.65 to 0.81] mg/dL, respectively). Similar patterns were also observed across sex and age groups. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, EACs of blood lipids were significantly associated with age and polygenic risk, suggesting that prevention strategies for lipids should focus on individuals with high genetic risk and in the critical age window.

Integrating polygenic and clinical risks to improve stroke risk stratification in prospective Chinese cohorts.

The utility of the polygenic risk score (PRS) to identify individuals at higher risk of stroke beyond clinical risk remains unclear, and we clarified this using Chinese population-based prospective cohorts. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the 10-year risk, and Fine and Gray's models were used for hazard ratios (HRs), their 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and the lifetime risk according to PRS and clinical risk categories. A total of 41,006 individuals aged 30-75 years with a mean follow-up of 9.0 years were included. Comparing the top versus bottom 5% of the PRS, the HR was 3.01 (95%CI 2.03-4.45) in the total population, and similar findings were observed within clinical risk strata. Marked gradients in the 10-year and lifetime risk across PRS categories were also found within clinical risk categories. Notably, among individuals with intermediate clinical risk, the 10-year risk for those in the top 5% of the PRS (7.3%, 95%CI 7.1%-7.5%) reached the threshold of high clinical risk (⩾7.0%) for initiating preventive treatment, and this effect of the PRS on refining risk stratification was evident for ischemic stroke. Even among those in the top 10% and 20% of the PRS, the 10-year risk would also exceed this level when aged ⩾50 and ⩾60 years, respectively. Overall, the combination of the PRS with the clinical risk score improved the risk stratification within clinical risk strata and distinguished actual high-risk individuals with intermediate clinical risk.

Maternal Exposure to PM2.5 and the Risk of Congenital Heart Defects in 1.4 Million Births: A Nationwide Surveillance-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Evidence remains limited about the association of maternal exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (airborne particles with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 µm [PM2.5]) with fetal congenital heart defects (CHDs) in highly polluted regions, and few studies have focused on preconception exposure. METHODS: Using a nationwide surveillance-based case-control design in China, we examined the association between maternal exposure to PM2.5 during periconception (defined as 3 months before conception until 3 months into pregnancy) and risk of CHD in offspring. The study included 1 434 998 births involving 7335 CHDs from 2014 through 2017 on the basis of the National Population-Based Birth Defects Surveillance System, covering 30 provinces, municipalities, or municipal districts in China. We assigned maternal PM2.5 exposure during the periconception period to each participant using satellite-based PM2.5 concentrations at 1-km spatial resolution. Multilevel logistic regression models were used to calculate the multivariable-adjusted odds ratio and 95% CI for CHDs in offspring associated with maternal PM2.5 exposure, and the exposure-response association was investigated using restricted cubic spline analysis. Subgroup or sensitivity analyses were conducted to identify factors that may modify the association. RESULTS: The average maternal exposure to PM2.5 levels across all participants was 56.51 µg/m3 (range, 10.95 to 182.13 µg/m3). For each 10 µg/m³ increase in maternal PM2.5 exposure, the risk of CHDs in offspring was increased by 2% (odds ratio, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.00 to 1.05]), and septal defect was the most influenced subtype (odds ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 1.01 to 1.08]). The effect of PM2.5 on CHD risk was more pronounced during the preconception period. Mothers <35 years of age, those living in northern China, and those living in low-income areas were more susceptible to PM2.5 exposure than their counterparts (all P<0.05). PM2.5 exposure showed a linear association with total CHDs or specific CHD types. CONCLUSIONS: High maternal PM2.5 exposure, especially during the preconception period, increases risk of certain types of CHD in offspring. These findings are useful for CHD prevention and highlight the public health benefits of improving air quality in China and other highly polluted regions.