RESUMO
PURPOSE: Patients undergoing extraction are at risk for bisphosphonate-related osteonecrosis of the jaws (BRONJ). A C-terminal crosslinking telopeptide (CTX) level lower than 150 pg/mL has been suggested as a predictor of BRONJ risk. The authors aimed to increase the precision of estimates of the risk of BRONJ in osteoporosis after extraction and to assess value of CTX testing at extraction time in cases of BRONJ in a large prospective cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients on oral bisphosphonates for osteoporosis referred for extractions over a period of 6.5 years were included in a standard protocol. Pre-extraction fasted CTX levels were obtained. All patients were followed until healing. If the CTX level was lower than 150 pg/mL, they were offered a drug holiday. If they declined, if the CTX level was above 150 pg/mL at baseline, or after the drug holiday, they had extractions performed under local anesthesia. Age-matched controls not on bisphosphonates were identified. RESULTS: Nine hundred fifty patients had 2,461 extractions. One hundred eighty-one patients had a CTX level lower than 150 pg/mL. Four patients developed BRONJ; all had a CTX level lower than 150 pg/mL. All were on alendronate. The case-control comparison approached significance (<150 pg/mL; P = .073). Alendronate was associated with a low CTX level (P < .05). A CTX level lower than 150 pg/mL had a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 81%. Bayesian analysis yielded a population expected risk of BRONJ of 0.29% (95% confidence interval, 0.12-0.52); the expected risk was 0.42% for a CTX level lower than 150 pg/mL and 0.13% for a CTX level higher than 150 pg/mL. CONCLUSION: The risk of BRONJ for patients with osteoporosis on bisphosphonates having extractions is approximately 0.2%. A CTX level lower than 150 pg/mL is sensitive and is associated with an approximately 3-fold greater risk of BRONJ.