The Dermatomyositis Disease Symptom Questionnaire (DM-DSQ): A Measure to Assess the Patient Experience of Dermatomyositis Symptoms.

OBJECTIVE: Dermatomyositis (DM) symptoms negatively impact the quality of life of individuals living with the disease. Disease-specific, patient-reported outcome (PRO) instruments are needed to assess symptoms important to individuals with DM. This study conceptualized patient DM experience and disease activity definition, which refined development of a novel PRO instrument capturing patient-reported symptoms, the Dermatomyositis Disease Symptom Questionnaire (DM-DSQ). METHODS: An observational, qualitative study was conducted with 30 individuals with DM (age ≥18 years) in the US. A 1-hour semi-structured interview, including concept elicitation and cognitive debriefing, was conducted with each participant. Inductive coding was used to identify concepts; a saturation analysis was conducted to confirm sample size. Concepts from transcripts were used to refine the preliminary conceptual model and DM-DSQ items. RESULTS: Concept elicitation analysis findings included disease symptoms (e.g., muscle weakness) and functional impacts (e.g., walking). The analysis achieved conceptual saturation: the first 5 interviews uncovered most of the concepts. During cognitive debriefing of the DMDSQ, participants found the items relevant, comprehensive, and easily understood (except for "skin sensitivity in sunlight"). The revised DM-DSQ content preliminarily appears valid in the patient population surveyed, pending further additions and debriefing based on refinement of the preliminary conceptual disease model and items. CONCLUSION: The DM-DSQ is being used in a phase 2 clinical trial and could become a valuable tool for studies evaluating PROs in patients with DM. Preliminary results indicate its content validity; extensive psychometric analysis using clinical trial data will determine its ability to capture symptoms for patients with DM.

Rivaroxaban for stroke patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (RISAPS): protocol for a randomized controlled, phase IIb proof-of-principle trial.

Background: Optimal secondary prevention antithrombotic therapy for patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS)-associated ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or other ischemic brain injury is undefined. The standard of care, warfarin or other vitamin K antagonists at standard or high intensity (international normalized ratio (INR) target range 2.0-3.0/3.0-4.0, respectively), has well-recognized limitations. Direct oral anticoagulants have several advantages over warfarin, and the potential role of high-dose direct oral anticoagulants vs high-intensity warfarin in this setting merits investigation. Objectives: The Rivaroxaban for Stroke patients with APS trial (RISAPS) seeks to determine whether high-dose rivaroxaban could represent a safe and effective alternative to high-intensity warfarin in adult patients with APS and previous ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or other ischemic brain manifestations. Methods: This phase IIb prospective, randomized, controlled, noninferiority, open-label, proof-of-principle trial compares rivaroxaban 15 mg twice daily vs warfarin, target INR range 3.0-4.0. The sample size target is 40 participants. Triple antiphospholipid antibody-positive patients are excluded. The primary efficacy outcome is the rate of change in brain white matter hyperintensity volume on magnetic resonance imaging, a surrogate marker of presumed ischemic damage, between baseline and 24 months follow-up. Secondary outcomes include additional neuroradiological and clinical measures of efficacy and safety. Exploratory outcomes include high-dose rivaroxaban pharmacokinetic modeling. Conclusion: Should RISAPS demonstrate noninferior efficacy and safety of high-dose rivaroxaban in this APS subgroup, it could justify larger prospective randomized controlled trials.

Comparison of clinical and serological features in thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome patients, with and without associated systemic lupus erythematosus, followed for up to 42 years: A single centre retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of concomitant systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) on the clinicopathological manifestations of thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). METHODS: This single-centre, retrospective study compared clinical and antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) data from 118 patients, 58 with SLE-associated APS (SLE-APS), and 60 with primary APS. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 13.9 (IQR 7.7-19.3) and 8.6 years (3.5-10.6) for the SLE-APS cohort and PAPS cohort, respectively. Age at diagnosis of APS was lower in the SLE-APS cohort (mean 35.9 vs PAPS: 46.7 years; p < 0.05). Distribution of aPL subtypes was similar across cohorts. 198 thrombotic events were identified overall (index plus recurrent), with venous thromboembolism (VTE) and arterial thrombosis each occurring in just over half of patients in both cohorts. Microvascular thrombosis (12.1% vs 0%), and a mixed (any combination of venous, arterial and microvascular) thrombotic phenotype (19.0% vs 6.7%, p = 0.05) were more prevalent in SLE-APS patients. Recurrent thrombosis incidence rates (∼0.5 events/10-patient years), and Kaplan-Meier recurrence-free survival after index thrombosis, were similar. In the PAPS cohort, only: (i) triple-aPL-positivity was associated with a significantly higher recurrent thrombosis event rate (incidence rate ratio 2.22, p = 0.03) and lower recurrence-free survival after first thrombosis (log-rank test p = 0.01); (ii) lupus anticoagulant (LA)-positivity was associated with higher prevalance of arterial thrombosis (RR 2.69, p = 0.01), and lower prevlance of VTE (RR 0.48, p < 0.001), versus LA-negativity. CONCLUSION: Concomitant SLE does not appear to modify long-term recurrent thrombosis risk, or aPL phenotypes, in patients with APS. Triple-aPL-positivity and LA-positive status may have less influence on thrombotic outcomes in patients with SLE-APS compared to PAPS.

ACK1 and BRK non-receptor tyrosine kinase deficiencies are associated with familial systemic lupus and involved in efferocytosis.

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease, the pathophysiology and genetic basis of which are incompletely understood. Using a forward genetic screen in multiplex families with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) we identified an association between SLE and compound heterozygous deleterious variants in the non-receptor tyrosine kinases (NRTKs) ACK1 and BRK. Experimental blockade of ACK1 or BRK increased circulating autoantibodies in vivo in mice and exacerbated glomerular IgG deposits in an SLE mouse model. Mechanistically, non-receptor tyrosine kinases (NRTKs) regulate activation, migration, and proliferation of immune cells. We found that the patients' ACK1 and BRK variants impair efferocytosis, the MERTK-mediated anti-inflammatory response to apoptotic cells, in human induced Pluripotent Stem Cell (hiPSC)-derived macrophages, which may contribute to SLE pathogenesis. Overall, our data suggest that ACK1 and BRK deficiencies are associated with human SLE and impair efferocytosis in macrophages.

Remission and low disease activity are associated with lower healthcare costs: results from the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) inception cohort.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to determine the independent impact of definitions of remission/low disease activity (LDA) on direct/indirect costs (DCs, ICs) in a multicentre inception cohort. METHODS: Patients from 31 centres in 10 countries were enrolled within 15 months of diagnosis and assessed annually. Five mutually exclusive disease activity states (DAS) were defined as (1) remission off-treatment: clinical (c) SLEDAI-2K=0, without prednisone/immunosuppressants; (2) remission on-treatment: cSLEDAI-2K=0, prednisone ≤5 mg/day and/or maintenance immunosuppressants; (3) LDA-Toronto Cohort (TC): cSLEDAI-2K≤2, without prednisone/immunosuppressants; (4) modified lupus LDA state (mLLDAS): SLEDAI-2K≤4, no activity in major organs/systems, no new activity, prednisone ≤7.5 mg/day and/or maintenance immunosuppressants and (5) active: all remaining assessments.At each assessment, patients were stratified into the most stringent DAS fulfilled and the proportion of time in a DAS since cohort entry was determined. Annual DCs/ICs (2021 Canadian dollars) were based on healthcare use and lost workforce/non-workforce productivity over the preceding year.The association between the proportion of time in a DAS and annual DC/IC was examined through multivariable random-effects linear regressions. RESULTS: 1692 patients were followed a mean of 9.7 years; 49.0% of assessments were active. Remission/LDA (per 25% increase in time in a remission/LDA state vs active) were associated with lower annual DC/IC: remission off-treatment (DC -$C1372; IC -$C2507), remission on-treatment (DC -$C973; IC -$C2604,) LDA-TC (DC -$C1158) and mLLDAS (DC -$C1040). There were no cost differences between remission/LDA states. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that systemic lupus erythematosus patients who achieve remission, both off and on-therapy, and reductions in disease activity incur lower costs than those experiencing persistent disease activity.

Anti-KIF20B autoantibodies are associated with cranial neuropathy in systemic lupus erythematosus.

BACKGROUND: Cranial neuropathies (CN) are a rare neuropsychiatric SLE (NPSLE) manifestation. Previous studies reported that antibodies to the kinesin family member 20B (KIF20B) (anti-KIF20B) protein were associated with idiopathic ataxia and CN. We assessed anti-KIF20B as a potential biomarker for NPSLE in an international SLE inception cohort. METHODS: Individuals fulfilling the revised 1997 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) SLE classification criteria were enrolled from 31 centres from 1999 to 2011 and followed annually in the Systemic Lupus Erythematosus International Collaborating Clinics inception cohort. Anti-KIF20B testing was performed on baseline (within 15 months of diagnosis or first annual visit) samples using an addressable laser bead immunoassay. Logistic regression (penalised maximum likelihood and adjusting for confounding variables) examined the association between anti-KIF20B and NPSLE manifestations (1999 ACR case definitions), including CN, occurring over the first 5 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Of the 1827 enrolled cohort members, baseline serum and 5 years of follow-up data were available on 795 patients who were included in this study: 29.8% were anti-KIF20B-positive, 88.7% female, and 52.1% White. The frequency of anti-KIF20B positivity differed only for those with CN (n=10) versus without CN (n=785) (70.0% vs 29.3%; OR 5.2, 95% CI 1.4, 18.5). Compared with patients without CN, patients with CN were more likely to fulfil the ACR haematological (90.0% vs 66.1%; difference 23.9%, 95% CI 5.0%, 42.8%) and ANA (100% vs 95.7%; difference 4.3%, 95% CI 2.9%, 5.8%) criteria. In the multivariate analysis adjusting for age at baseline, female, White race and ethnicity, and ACR haematological and ANA criteria, anti-KIF20B positivity remained associated with CN (OR 5.2, 95% CI 1.4, 19.1). CONCLUSION: Anti-KIF20B is a potential biomarker for SLE-related CN. Further studies are needed to examine how autoantibodies against KIF20B, which is variably expressed in a variety of neurological cells, contribute to disease pathogenesis.

Comparing pregnancy outcomes in patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) and Undifferentiated Connective Tissue Disease (UCTD): a descriptive cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Females diagnosed with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) face an elevated risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs). However, the evidence regarding whether a similar association exists in patients with undifferentiated connective tissue disease (UCTD) is inconclusive. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review (2006-2019) of pregnancy outcomes among patients with SLE (n = 51) and UCTD (n = 20) within our institution. We examined the occurrence of various APOs, encompassing miscarriage, stillbirth, termination, preterm birth, pre-eclampsia, eclampsia, HELLP syndrome, intrauterine growth restriction, abruption placentae, congenital heart block, or other cardiac abnormalities. RESULTS: The mean age at pregnancy was 35 ±â€¯7.0 years for patients with SLE and 35 ±â€¯6.8 years for those with UCTD (p = 0.349). The proportion of Caucasian women was 47% in SLE and 80% in UCTD. Pregnancies in both groups were planned (81% in SLE and 77% in UCTD), and patients presented with inactive disease at conception (96% in SLE and 89% in UCTD). Hydroxychloroquine at conception was utilized by 86% of women with SLE, in contrast to 36% in the UCTD group. Both, SLE and UCTD cohorts exhibited low rates of disease flares during pregnancy and/or puerperium (14% vs. 10%). The incidence of APOs was 15.6% in SLE patients compared to 5% in those with UCTD (Risk difference 19.5%; 95% confidence interval: -3.9 to 43.1; p = 0.4237). CONCLUSION: Our study underscores the importance of strategic pregnancy planning and the maintenance of appropriate treatment throughout pregnancy to ensure optimal disease management and minimize adverse outcomes in both SLE and UCTD pregnancies.

A large cohort comparison of very late-onset systemic lupus erythematosus with younger-onset patients.

OBJECTIVES: Age has a significant impact on systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). However, data on very late-onset SLE (vlSLE) are scarce. We have compared the clinical and serological features of vlSLE patients with younger-onset patients. METHODS: We assessed the clinical and laboratory data of all patients fulfilling SLE classification criteria evaluated at a university hospital from 1978 to 2023. Patients were divided into 4 groups according to age at diagnosis: juvenile SLE (jSLE <8 years); adult SLE (aSLE 18-49 years); late SLE (lSLE 50-59 years); vlSLE (≥60 years). RESULTS: 845 patients were enrolled. The jSLE, aSLE, lSLE, and vlSLE groups included 153, 630, 47, and 15 patients, respectively. The vlSLE group tended to have a lower female-to-male ratio (4:1; p=0.282), was mainly Caucasian (93.3%; p<0.001), and had the lowest survival time (20.3 years; p<0.001). vlSLE patients had the lowest prevalence of positive anti-dsDNA antibodies (26.7%; p=0.010) and low C3 levels (13.3%; p<0.001). Although arthritis was less common among vlSLE patients (73.3%; p=0.043), they more commonly developed Sjögren's syndrome (SS 33.3%; p<0.001) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA 13.3%; p<0.001). Infections and malignancy were the main causes of death. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with younger patients, in vlSLE, female predominance is less pronounced. Arthritis, anti-dsDNA antibodies and low C3 levels are less frequent. SS and RA are more common. Despite lower disease activity, vlSLE patients have the lowest survival rate. While uncommon, SLE should not be excluded as a possible diagnosis in the elderly.

Thioredoxin is a metabolic rheostat controlling regulatory B cells.

Metabolic programming is important for B cell fate, but the bioenergetic requirement for regulatory B (Breg) cell differentiation and function is unknown. Here we show that Breg cell differentiation, unlike non-Breg cells, relies on mitochondrial electron transport and homeostatic levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS). Single-cell RNA sequencing analysis revealed that TXN, encoding the metabolic redox protein thioredoxin (Trx), is highly expressed by Breg cells, unlike Trx inhibitor TXNIP which was downregulated. Pharmacological inhibition or gene silencing of TXN resulted in mitochondrial membrane depolarization and increased ROS levels, selectively suppressing Breg cell differentiation and function while favoring pro-inflammatory B cell differentiation. Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), characterized by Breg cell deficiencies, present with B cell mitochondrial membrane depolarization, elevated ROS and fewer Trx+ B cells. Exogenous Trx stimulation restored Breg cells and mitochondrial membrane polarization in SLE B cells to healthy B cell levels, indicating Trx insufficiency underlies Breg cell impairment in patients with SLE.

Can complement activation be the missing link in antiphospholipid syndrome?

APS is an autoimmune disorder with life-threatening complications that, despite therapeutic advantages, remains associated with thrombotic recurrences and treatment failure. The role of complement activation in APS pathogenesis is increasingly recognised, specifically in obstetric APS. However, its exact role in thrombotic APS and on the severity of the disease is not yet fully elucidated. Further mechanistic studies are needed to delineate the role of complement activation in the various APS clinical manifestations with aim to identify novel markers of disease severity, together with clinical trials to evaluate the efficacy of complement inhibition in APS. This could ultimately improve risk stratification in APS, patient tailored targeted therapy with complement inhibition identified as an adjunctive treatment. This article reviews current findings and challenges about complement activation in APS, discusses the potential role of platelet mediated complement activation in this setting and provides an overview on clinical implications and current therapeutics.

Collaborative research in myositis-related disorders: MIHRA, a global shared community model.

Myositis International Health and Research Collaborative Alliance (MIHRA) is a newly formed purpose-built non-profit charitable research organization dedicated to accelerating international clinical trial readiness, global professional and lay education, career development and rare disease advocacy in IIM-related disorders. In its long form, the name expresses the community's scope of engagement and intent. In its abbreviation, MIHRA, conveys linguistic roots across many languages, that reflects the IIM community's spirit with meanings such as kindness, community, goodness, and peace. MIHRA unites the global multi-disciplinary community of adult and pediatric healthcare professionals, researchers, patient advisors and networks focused on conducting research in and providing care for pediatric and adult IIM-related disorders to ultimately find a cure. MIHRA serves as a resourced platform for collaborative efforts in investigator-initiated projects, consensus guidelines for IIM assessment and treatment, and IIM-specific career development through connecting research networks.MIHRA's infrastructure, mission, programming and operations are designed to address challenges unique to rare disease communities and aspires to contribute toward transformative models of rare disease research such as global expansion and inclusivity, utilization of community resources, streamlining ethics and data-sharing policies to facilitate collaborative research. Herein, summarises MIHRA operational cores, missions, vision, programming and provision of community resources to sustain, accelerate and grow global collaborative research in myositis-related disorders.

Where are we now in biological drugs for myositis?

Idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) are a rare and heterogeneous group of chronic autoimmune disorders. Up to 40% of IIM patients have long-term sequelae and significant functional disability. Its management can be challenging. New therapies are badly needed. The small number of cases with diverse presentations, and different diagnostic criteria interfere significantly with clinical trial results. Only intravenous immunoglobulin has been internationally approved for IIM patients. Most clinical trials of new biological therapies have failed to meet their primary endpoints in IIM, with only one biological drug recommended for refractory IIM treatment (rituximab), although not approved. We review several new emerging biological drugs including B cell depletion therapies, abatacept, janus-kinase inhibitors, and aldesleukin. Encouragingly, some phase II randomized controlled trials have evaluated the efficacy and safety of new biologics in IIM, demonstrating an improvement in clinical and laboratory measures.

Platelets and Thrombotic Antiphospholipid Syndrome.

Antiphospholipid antibody syndrome (APS) is an autoimmune disorder characterised by thrombosis and the presence of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL): lupus anticoagulant and/or IgG/IgM anti-ß2-glycoprotein I and anticardiolipin antibodies. APS carries significant morbidity for a relatively young patient population from recurrent thrombosis in any vascular bed (arterial, venous, or microvascular), often despite current standard of care, which is anticoagulation with vitamin K antagonists (VKA). Platelets have established roles in thrombosis at any site, and platelet hyperreactivity is clearly demonstrated in the pathophysiology of APS. Together with excess thrombin generation, platelet activation and aggregation are the common end result of all the pathophysiological pathways leading to thrombosis in APS. However, antiplatelet therapies play little role in APS, reserved as a possible option of low dose aspirin in addition to VKA in arterial or refractory thrombosis. This review outlines the current evidence and mechanisms for excessive platelet activation in APS, how it plays a central role in APS-related thrombosis, what evidence for antiplatelets is available in clinical outcomes studies, and potential future avenues to define how to target platelet hyperreactivity better with minimal impact on haemostasis.

The impact of antiphospholipid antibodies/antiphospholipid syndrome on systemic lupus erythematosus.

aPLs are a major determinant of the increased cardiovascular risk in patients with SLE. They adversely affect clinical manifestations, damage accrual and prognosis. Apart from the antibodies included in the 2006 revised classification criteria for APS, other non-classical aPLs might help in identifying SLE patients at increased risk of thrombotic events. The best studied are IgA anti-ß2-glycoprotein I, anti-domain I ß2-glycoprotein I and aPS-PT. Major organ involvement includes kidney and neuropsychiatric systems. aPL/APS severely impacts pregnancy outcomes. Due to increased thrombotic risk, these patients require aggressive cardiovascular risk factor control. Primary prophylaxis is based on low-dose aspirin in high-risk patients. Warfarin is the gold-standard drug for secondary prophylaxis.

Bleeding events in thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome: prevalence, severity, and associated damage accrual.

Background: Life-long anticoagulation increases bleeding risk in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). The Damage Index for Antiphospholipid Syndrome does not include bleeding events in damage accrual. Objectives: We aimed to characterize the prevalence, severity, and damage associated with bleeding events in patients with APS. Methods: This was a single-center retrospective analysis of patients with thrombotic APS (2006 Sydney criteria). Bleeding events were reviewed up to 43 years and classified according to the ISTH definitions into 2 groups: 1) major bleedings and 2) nonmajor bleedings (minor bleedings and clinically relevant nonmajor bleedings). Damage events were recorded as bleeding events a) resulting in permanent (>6 months) decrease in organ function and b) complicated by total/partial organ resection. Results: Among 197 patients (2412 patient-years [PYs] of follow-up), all of whom had been exposed to antithrombotic therapy, 40.6% experienced 167 bleedings (6.9 events per 100 PYs), of whom 61.3% had nonmajor bleedings (77.2% of bleedings: 42.6% minor, 57.4% clinically relevant nonmajor) and 38.8% had major bleedings (22.8% of bleedings; 1.6 events per 100 PYs). Soft/connective tissue was affected in 44.3% of bleedings, and 94.6% were nonmajor bleedings. Central nervous system was affected in 20.9% of bleedings, and 62.9% were major bleedings. Bleeding events were spontaneous in 90.4% of cases, and thrombocytopenia was likely involved in 62.2% of bleedings. Damage occurred in 11.4% of bleedings and affected 7.6% of patients. Most of the damage was associated with central nervous system events (8.4% of all bleedings). Conclusion: Approximately 40% of patients experienced at least 1 bleeding, and almost 8% of patients were left with organ damage not recognized by the current version of the Damage Index for Antiphospholipid Syndrome.

Management and treatment of children, young people and adults with systemic lupus erythematosus: British Society for Rheumatology guideline scope.

The objective of this guideline is to provide up-to-date, evidence-based recommendations for the management of SLE that builds upon the existing treatment guideline for adults living with SLE published in 2017. This will incorporate advances in the assessment, diagnosis, monitoring, non-pharmacological and pharmacological management of SLE. General approaches to management as well as organ-specific treatment, including lupus nephritis and cutaneous lupus, will be covered. This will be the first guideline in SLE using a whole life course approach from childhood through adolescence and adulthood. The guideline will be developed with people with SLE as an important target audience in addition to healthcare professionals. It will include guidance related to emerging approved therapies and account for National Institute for Health and Care Excellence Technology Appraisals, National Health Service England clinical commissioning policies and national guidance relevant to SLE. The guideline will be developed using the methods and rigorous processes outlined in 'Creating Clinical Guidelines: Our Protocol' by the British Society for Rheumatology.

Promising Experimental Treatments for Lupus Nephritis: Key Talking Points and Potential Opportunities.

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a frequent and serious complication of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), impairing patients' quality of life and significantly increasing mortality. Despite optimizing the use of conventional immunosuppressants and other biological drugs, its management remains unsatisfactory. This is mainly due to the heterogeneity of SLE, but also to insufficiently effective treatment regimens and clinical trial limitations (strict criteria, low number of patients included, and side effects). Most clinical trials of new biological therapies have failed to meet their primary endpoints in both general SLE and LN, with only two biological drugs (belimumab and anifrolumab) being approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the treatment of SLE. Recently, several Phase II randomized controlled trials have evaluated the efficacy and safety of new biologics in LN, and some of them have demonstrated an improvement in clinical and laboratory measures. Multi-target therapies are also being successfully developed and encourage a belief that there will be an improvement in LN outcomes.

Predictors of British Isles Lupus Assessment Group-based outcomes in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: Analysis from the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics Inception Cohort.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to identify factors associated with a significant reduction in SLE disease activity over 12 months assessed by the BILAG Index. METHODS: In an international SLE cohort, we studied patients from their 'inception enrolment' visit. We also defined an 'active disease' cohort of patients who had active disease similar to that needed for enrolment into clinical trials. Outcomes at 12 months were; Major Clinical Response (MCR: reduction to classic BILAG C in all domains, steroid dose of ≤7.5 mg and SLEDAI ≤ 4) and 'Improvement' (reduction to ≤1B score in previously active organs; no new BILAG A/B; stable or reduced steroid dose; no increase in SLEDAI). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and cross-validation in randomly split samples were used to build prediction models. RESULTS: 'Inception enrolment' (n = 1492) and 'active disease' (n = 924) patients were studied. Models for MCR performed well (ROC AUC = .777 and .732 in the inception enrolment and active disease cohorts, respectively). Models for Improvement performed poorly (ROC AUC = .574 in the active disease cohort). MCR in both cohorts was associated with anti-malarial use and inversely associated with active disease at baseline (BILAG or SLEDAI) scores, BILAG haematological A/B scores, higher steroid dose and immunosuppressive use. CONCLUSION: Baseline predictors of response in SLE can help identify patients in clinic who are less likely to respond to standard therapy. They are also important as stratification factors when designing clinical trials in order to better standardize overall usual care response rates.