Prediction Models for Intravenous Immunoglobulin Non-Responders of Kawasaki Disease Using Machine Learning.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) is a prominent therapeutic agent for Kawasaki disease (KD) that significantly reduces the incidence of coronary artery anomalies. Various methodologies, including machine learning, have been employed to develop IVIG non-responder prediction models; however, their validation and reproducibility remain unverified. This study aimed to develop a predictive scoring system for identifying IVIG nonresponders and rigorously test the accuracy and reliability of this system. METHODS: The study included an exposure group of 228 IVIG non-responders and a control group of 997 IVIG responders. Subsequently, a predictive machine learning model was constructed. The Shizuoka score, including variables such as the "initial treatment date" (cutoff: < 4 days), sodium level (cutoff: < 133 mEq/L), total bilirubin level (cutoff: ≥ 0.5 mg/dL), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (cutoff: ≥ 2.6), was established. Patients meeting two or more of these criteria were grouped as high-risk IVIG non-responders. Using the Shizuoka score to stratify IVIG responders, propensity score matching was used to analyze 85 patients each for IVIG and IVIG-added prednisolone treatment in the high-risk group. In the IVIG plus prednisolone group, the IVIG non-responder count significantly decreased (p < 0.001), with an odds ratio of 0.192 (95% confidence interval 0.078-0.441). CONCLUSIONS: Intravenous immunoglobulin non-responders were predicted using machine learning models and validated using propensity score matching. The initiation of initial IVIG-added prednisolone treatment in the high-risk group identified by the Shizuoka score, crafted using machine learning models, appears useful for predicting IVIG non-responders.

Non-Invasive Myocardial Work Indices in Infants Born to Mothers With Diabetes in Pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: This study used echocardiography to investigate non-invasive myocardial work (MCW) indices in infants born to mothers with diabetes mellitus (DM) in pregnancy (gestational DM: GDM), including those diagnosed under novel classification criteria and those with pre-existing DM.Methods and Results: This single-centered, retrospective study included 25 infants born to mothers with GDM (termed "infant with GDM"), which was diagnosed by oral glucose tolerance test results during pregnancy or the presence of diabetes before the current pregnancy. We evaluated the relationship between the infant's MCW, such as global constructive work (GCW), global work index (GWI), global work efficiency (GWE), and global wasted work (GWW), and the mother's GDM maximal HbA1c during pregnancy. HbA1c level in GDM significantly negatively correlated with GWI* (r=-0.565) and GCW* (r=-0.641). In infants with GDM, GWI and GCW were significantly higher with <6.5% HbA1c than in those with >6.5% HbA1c GDM; however, the specific-layer global longitudinal strain analyses did not show any significant differences between the groups. The pressure-strain loop in infants with >6.5% HbA1c in GDM tended to be smaller than in those infants with <6.5% HbA1c GDM. CONCLUSIONS: The hyperglycemic environment of GDM leads to impaired MCW in the infants. MCW is useful for screening for cardiac illnesses among infants with GDM. Appropriate maternal blood glucose management while maintaining HbA1c <6.5% might be beneficial for the cardiac performance of infants with GDM.

Comparison of cardiac function before and after Micra implantation using pool scintigraphy and myocardial work: A case report.

Leadless pacemakers, specifically Micra (Medtronic), have recently become a preferred alternative to transvenous pacemakers for use in bradyarrhythmia. Problems with conventional transvenous pacemakers include wound infection, lead disconnection, and tricuspid valve dysfunction. While Micra has the advantage of not being associated with the aforementioned complications, there have been reports of cardiac injury during Micra implantation, which have raised safety concerns. Many reports have evaluated Micra safety, but its effect on cardiac function remains unclear. In an 85-year-old man with bradycardic atrial fibrillation, a heart rate of approximately 35 bpm, and symptoms of dizziness, we analyzed ventricular workload, ejection fraction of the left and right ventricles, and inter/intraventricular synchrony using cardiac blood pool scintigraphy and myocardial work. Micra was successfully implanted into the right ventricular septum via the left femoral vein. A follow-up, 2 days later, showed no major complications associated with Micra pacing threshold and impedance. At this time, there was no apparent worsening of heart failure. Micra implantation for bradycardic atrial fibrillation has the potential to improve left ventricular work efficiency without the loss of ventricular synchrony.

Echocardiographic Reference Ranges of Non-Invasive Myocardial Work Indices in Newborns.

Background: Myocardial work (MCW), estimated using non-invasive pressure-strain loops, is a novel approach for assessing left ventricular function. MCW offers potential advantages over left ventricular ejection fraction and global longitudinal strain (GLS). This study aimed to establish a reference range for MCW in newborns. Methods and Results: Overall, 113 healthy newborns (mean [±SD] birth weight 3,120±378 g) were included in the study. After entering peripheral systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP) values, global constructive work (GCW), global work index (GWI), global work efficiency (GWE), and global wasted work (GWW) were calculated using EchoPAC software (version 204). Considering a mean [±SD] GLS of -16.3±2.8%, the mean [±SD] GWI, GCW, GWW, and GWE was 698.7±147.9 mmHg%, 1,008.5±200.1 mmHg%, 58.1±28.1 mmHg%, and 93.1±2.9%, respectively. All MCW parameters in newborns were lower than those previously reported in children and adults. However, GWI and GCW were more closely correlated with BP and GLS, as in adulthood and children. Estimation of the correlation between MCW and the frame rate index revealed no significant correlations among MCW parameters. Conclusions: Cardiac function in newborns was evaluated by assessing MCW. With the establishment of reference ranges and normative MCW data for newborns, routine clinical use and rotational mechanics are likely to become increasingly common. Future studies are needed to determine whether MCW is useful in screening for cardiac illness among newborns.

Efficacy and safety of propranolol cream in infantile hemangioma: A prospective pilot study.

Infantile hemangioma (IH) is a common tumor in infants that gradually resolves and is often untreated. However, for cosmetic reasons, parents often opt for treatment. Oral propranolol, the first-line therapy for IH, is sometimes associated with several side effects, including hypotension, bradycardia, and hypoglycemia. No clinical studies on topical propranolol have been conducted using standardized procedures. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of topical propranolol in patients with IH. This multicenter, prospective pilot study was conducted from June 2019 to October 2020 and involved eight Japanese infants aged 35-150 days with proliferating IH. Patients were treated with 5% propranolol cream twice daily. We examined the efficacy rate based on central evaluation (complete or near-complete healing of the target hemangioma) at weeks 24 and 12, respectively, compared to baseline values. The efficacy rate at week 24 was 68.8% (95% confidence interval: 44.1-85.9%). The surface area, maximum diameter, and color intensity of the target IH decreased over time. Adverse event and drug-related adverse event rates were 87.5% and 0%, respectively. Propranolol cream may be effective and safe in Japanese patients with IH and may be considered a first-choice treatment for small and superficial IHs in cosmetically problematic areas.

Targeted Use of Prednisolone with Intravenous Immunoglobulin for Kawasaki Disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) therapy for acute-stage Kawasaki disease (KD) is the first-line treatment for preventing the development of coronary artery aneurysms (CAA). Corticosteroids (prednisolone) and infliximab are often used in patients at a high risk of CAA or those with CAA at diagnosis; however, there are only a few reports of non-responders to corticosteroids as an adjuvant therapy or rescue alternative to IVIG. In this study, we compared the therapeutic effects of primary and secondary prednisolone with IVIG for KD. METHODS: We established the following three protocols: A was a secondary rescue prednisolone protocol; B was no prednisolone and second-line infliximab protocol, and C was the primary prednisolone protocol. The indication for prednisolone administration was based on the following: primary prednisolone administration, Kobayashi score; and secondary administration, Shizuoka score. RESULTS: Four hundred and sixty-nine patients were enrolled in the three protocols. A comparison between primary and secondary prednisolone and IVIG, as the first-line therapy revealed that the number of first non-responders in C group was 7 (8.3%), which was significantly lower than the 50 (20.9%) in A group. There was a significant difference in the first and second non-responders among the three groups, and the number of non-responders in A group was 6 (2.5%), which was significantly lower than the 13 (9.9%) in B group (p < 0.001, by Bonferroni test). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that IVIG non-responders among the protocol groups had an adjusted odds ratio of 6.47. Fifteen IVIG non-responders were administered infliximab as a second-line therapy, and of them, 9 (60%) showed therapy resistance. CAA occurred in 21 patients (4.6%). There was no significant difference among each protocol group. CONCLUSIONS: The number of IVIG non-responders in the group with prednisolone administration was lower than that in the group without prednisolone administration. Secondary rescue infliximab therapy for IVIG non-responders resulted in a lower defervescence effect than the secondary rescue IVIG with prednisolone administration. Further prospective randomized studies are needed to identify factors useful for preventing IVIG non-responders and determine the optimal rescue therapy for preventing CAA.

Hemodynamic changes in neonates born to mothers with Graves' disease.

PURPOSE: Cardiac insufficiency is a major morbidity in neonatal hyperthyroidism. It is important to assess the hemodynamics in neonates born to mothers with Graves' disease (GD). This study prospectively evaluated the hemodynamic changes in neonates born to mothers with GD. METHODS: Overall, 80 newborns were enrolled. Thirty-six neonates were born to mothers with GD who were positive for thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) receptor antibody (TRAb), and 44 were born to mother negative for TRAb. The serum levels of TSH, free triiodothyronine (FT3), free thyroxine (FT4), and N-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), the cardiac output, and cardiac index (CI) evaluated by echocardiography were compared between the two groups at several postnatal points (day of delivery and 5, 10, and 30 days of life). RESULTS: The TRAb-positive newborns had higher FT4 levels and CI on Day 5 (both p < 0.05) and higher FT3 (p < 0.05) and FT4 levels (p < 0.01) and CI (p < 0.01) but lower TSH levels (p < 0.05) on Day 10 than the TRAb-negative newborns. The TRAb-positive newborns had significantly higher NT-proBNP levels on Days 5 (median 752 vs. 563 pg/mL, p = 0.034) and 10 (median 789 vs. 552 pg/mL, p = 0.002) than the TRAb-negative newborns. CONCLUSIONS: Hemodynamic changes in neonates born to TRAb-positive mothers with GD resulted in a higher CI and NT-proBNP levels than in those with TRAb-negative mothers from postnatal days 5 to 10.

The association between congenital heart disease and small for gestational age with regard to the prevalence and outcomes.

AIM: To evaluate the association between small for gestational age (SGA) and the prevalence of congenital heart disease (CHD) and the association of the SGA status with the outcomes among infants with CHD. METHODS: Echocardiography was performed within the first 5 days of life in 5664 consecutive infants. Infants were classified into four groups according to the presence or absence of SGA and CHD. All CHD infants were followed up until either spontaneous resolution of all cardiac lesions, invasive intervention or death. All newborns without CHD were followed for mortality until the final follow-up date. RESULTS: A total of 303 infants were diagnosed with CHD, while 610 were diagnosed with SGA. Among the CHD infants, 56 were SGA, and 247 were not. A multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that the adjusted odds ratio of SGA (9.71, P < .001) was significantly higher than that of other parameters concerning predictors of invasive intervention or death. The mortality rate in the presence of both SGA and CHD (hazard ratio: 33.6, P < .001) was markedly higher than in the absence of both. CONCLUSION: SGA was a significant predictor of invasive intervention for CHD. The combination of CHD and SGA carried a high risk of death beyond that of either alone.

The combination of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios as a novel predictor of intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in patients with Kawasaki disease: a multicenter study.

INTRODUCTION: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been reported to be a predictor for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) recently. The objective of the present study was to elucidate the predictive validity of this new marker in a multicenter study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 520 consecutive KD patients (development data set) and 332 subsequent patients (validation data set) at 7 hospitals in Japan. RESULTS: Both NLR and PLR were significantly higher in the IVIG-resistant group than in the IVIG-responsive group. When we set the cut-off point as NLR ≥ 4.11 and PLR ≥ 119, multiple logistic regression analyses showed that a high NLR and PLR before initial IVIG were independent predictors of IVIG resistance, and their combination was a stronger predictor than either alone. The sensitivity and specificity of the combination of NLR ≥ 4.11 and PLR ≥ 119 were 0.58 and 0.73 in the development data set. Validated using an independent data set, they were 0.54 and 0.72 in the validation data set. On comparing the AUC of this predictor with those of the Gunma and Kurume scores, the AUC was highest for this predictor, followed by the Gunma score and Kurume score (0.70, 0.68, and 0.64, respectively). DISCUSSION: The predictive validity of the combination of a high NLR and PLR, which is a simple and convenient indicator, was equal to or better than that of the existing scoring systems. The new predictive marker may be a suitable indicator for predicting IVIG resistance in KD patients.

Successful Management of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension by Monitoring N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Serum Levels in a Preterm Infant with Chronic Lung Disease: A Case Report.

We measured the serial changes in N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels in a 6-month-old male infant with chronic lung disease (CLD) complicated by pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The patient was born at the 24th week of gestation weighing 695 g. At 1 month after birth, an echocardiogram confirmed the diagnosis of CLD with PAH. He was treated with inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) and oral sildenafil and discharged from the hospital. At 190 days of age, the patient was readmitted to our department because of a viral upper respiratory infection. At 195 days of age, his respiratory condition worsened with pulmonary edema and his NT-proBNP level was determined to be 10,117 pg/mL. The patient was immediately administered iNO, and his respiratory condition improved, and NT-proBNP levels decreased. However, he experienced repeated severe cyanosis attacks. Before the attacks, his NT-proBNP level was > 1,000 pg/mL. Therefore, we continuously administered iNO until his NT-proBNP level decreased to < 1,000 pg/mL. We safely discontinued iNO administration at 473 days of age. In conclusion, serial change in NT-proBNP is a surrogate marker with prognostic value in patients with PAH associated with CLD.

Cardiac Function in Infants Born to Mothers With Gestational Diabetes　- Estimation of Early Diastolic Intraventricular Pressure Differences.

Background: This study compared the myocardial performance of infants born to mothers with gestational diabetes mellitus (IGDM) and without GDM (controls) under the new GDM definitions. Methods and Results: The subjects consisted of 36 IGDM and 39 control infants. GDM diagnosis was based on oral glucose tolerance test during pregnancy or the presence of diabetes prior to the current pregnancy. Between-group infant cardiac function was determined and compared using 2-D speckle tracking analysis, intraventricular pressure difference (IVPD) and IVP gradient (IVPG), using color M-mode Doppler imaging. IVPD and IVPG were higher in IGDM than in the controls, particularly the mid-apical IVPG. The global circumferential strain (GCS) and endocardial GCS were higher in IGDM than in controls. Increased maternal glycated hemoglobin was correlated with reduced transmural and epicardial GCS in the IGDM. Maternal maximum fasting blood sugar had a mild, positive correlation with IVPD and IVPG. Conclusions: Ventricular sucking force, measured as the IVPD, IVPG, and endocardial GCS, were higher in IGDM than in the controls. A hyperglycemic environment during pregnancy leads to impaired cardiac performance in IGDM, compared with control infants. IGDM might have favorable systolic and diastolic cardiac performance due to cardiac metabolic adaptations occurring before poor glucose control causes impaired cardiac performance.

Development of suction force during early diastole from the left atrium to the left ventricle in infants, children, and adolescents.

Although the suction force that moves blood into the left ventricle during early diastole is thought to play an important role in diastolic function, there have been a few studies of this phenomenon in normal children. Suction force is measured as the intraventricular pressure difference (IVPD) and intraventricular pressure gradient (IVPG), which is calculated as IVPD divided by left ventricular length. The purpose of this study was to determine the suction force in infants, children, and adolescents using IVPD and IVPG. We included 120 normal children categorized into five groups based on age: G1 (0-2 years), G2 (3-5 years), G3 (6-8 years), G4 (9-11 years), and G5 (12-16 years). The total, basal, and mid-apical IVPD and IVPG were calculated using color M-mode Doppler imaging of the mitral valve inflow using the Euler equation. The total IVPD increased with age from G1 to G5 (1.75 + 0.51 vs. 2.95 + 0.72 mmHg, respectively; p < 0.001), due to an increase in mid-apical IVPD with constant basal IVPD. Although total IVPG was constant, mid-apical IVPG was larger in G5 than in G1 (0.21 + 0.06 vs. 0.16 + 0.07 mmHg/cm, respectively; p = 0.006). Total, basal, and mid-apical IVPDs were significantly correlated with age and the parameters of heart size and mitral annular e'. Mid-apical IVPG correlated with age and e' positively, but basal IVPG did with age negatively and did not with e'. The suction force increased at the mid-apical segment, correlating with increasing heart size and developing left ventricular relaxation, even after adjustment for left ventricular length.

GATA4 variant identified by whole-exome sequencing in a Japanese family with atrial septal defect: Implications for male sex development.

We identified a heterozygous p.(R284H) variant of GATA4 in a Japanese family with atrial septal defect, including boys with apparently normal male sex development. The findings, together with the previous data, imply that GATA4 variants primarily cause congenital heart disease and rarely result in 46,XY disorder of sex development.

Rapid Detection of the Macrolide Sensitivity of Pneumonia-Causing Mycoplasma pneumoniae Using Quenching Probe Polymerase Chain Reaction (GENECUBE®).

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MR-MP) have been reported worldwide. Strategies for the treatment of MR-MP are a key focus of research. The GENECUBE® is a novel, fully automated rapid genetic analyzer. The goals of this study were to assess the macrolide sensitivity of M. pneumoniae (MP) isolates by analyzing 23S ribosomal RNA (rRNA) gene sequences using a GENECUBE®-based system and to determine the validity of this system in determining clinical treatment options for MP pneumonia. METHODS: This was an observational retrospective study including 150 children with MP pneumonia. We used quenching probe polymerase chain reaction (Q-probe PCR) as implemented in the GENECUBE® system to detect macrolide resistance-causing mutations in the MP 23S rRNA gene. We compared the duration of fever between patients receiving initial empirical antibiotic treatment (Empirical T group) and those receiving treatment after Q-probe PCR (PCR First group) diagnosis. RESULTS: Selecting antibiotic treatment after Q-probe PCR significantly shortened the duration of fever compared to empirical antibiotic treatment (PCR First group, median: 6.0 days [n = 32]; Empirical T group, median: 7.5 days [n = 66]; p = 0.002). Comparison of macrolide sensitivity using Q-probe PCR and clinical diagnosis showed that the reliability of Q-probe PCR was nearly validated for macrolide sensitivity. CONCLUSION: Q-probe PCR as implemented by GENECUBE® is a useful tool for the diagnosis of MP pneumonia and enables optimization of the selection of antibiotics in order to rapidly improve the clinical course of disease.

Closure time of ductus arteriosus after birth based on survival analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The correct ductus arteriosus (DA) closure time is somewhere between the opening and closing time confirmed on echo, not on examination. We investigated DA closure time and factors affecting DA closure time using interval censoring analysis. METHODS: This was an observational, retrospective study including 2611 healthy neonates. Echo was performed every 12-24 h after birth until DA closure. We investigated the DA closure time using interval censoring analysis. If the DA was closed on echo, we assumed that the DA was open at birth. We evaluated clinical factors affecting DA closure time. RESULTS: Median DA closure time was 13.5 h (range, 7.7-18.7 h) after birth. DA closure time was associated with primipara status, maternal prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) administration, <2500 g birth weight, and diagnosis of congenital ductus arteriosus aneurysm (DAA). Using proportional hazards regression models, the interval-censored data (primipara, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.099, P = 0.04; PGE2, HR = 0.823, P = 0.03; <2500 g, HR = 1.413, P < 0.01; DAA, HR = 0.570, P < 0.01) were found to be significantly associated with DA closure time. CONCLUSIONS: Estimation of DA closure time by interval censoring analysis is helpful to determine the optimal time to perform echo and to predict risk factors for patent DA.

Association of Severity of Coronary Artery Aneurysms in Patients With Kawasaki Disease and Risk of Later Coronary Events.

Importance: Few studies with sufficient statistical power have shown the association of the z score of the coronary arterial internal diameter with coronary events (CE) in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) with coronary artery aneurysms (CAA). Objective: To clarify the association of the z score with time-dependent CE occurrence in patients with KD with CAA. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter, collaborative retrospective cohort study of 44 participating institutions included 1006 patients with KD younger than 19 years who received a coronary angiography between 1992 and 2011. Main Outcomes and Measures: The time-dependent occurrence of CE, including thrombosis, stenosis, obstruction, acute ischemic events, and coronary interventions, was analyzed for small (z score, <5), medium (z score, ≥5 to <10; actual internal diameter, <8 mm), and large (z score, ≥10 or ≥8 mm) CAA by the Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to identify risk factors for CE after adjusting for age, sex, size, morphology, number of CAA, resistance to initial intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) therapy, and antithrombotic medications. Results: Of 1006 patients, 714 (71%) were male, 341 (34%) received a diagnosis before age 1 year, 501 (50%) received a diagnosis between age 1 and 5 years, and 157 (16%) received a diagnosis at age 5 years or older. The 10-year event-free survival rate for CE was 100%, 94%, and 52% in men (P < .001) and 100%, 100%, and 75% in women (P < .001) for small, medium, and large CAA, respectively. The CE-free rate was 100%, 96%, and 79% in patients who were not resistant to IVIG therapy (P < .001) and 100%, 96%, and 51% in patients who were resistant to IVIG therapy (P < .001), respectively. Cox regression analysis revealed that large CAA (hazard ratio, 8.9; 95% CI, 5.1-15.4), male sex (hazard ratio, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.7-4.8), and resistance to IVIG therapy (hazard ratio, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4-3.6) were significantly associated with CE. Conclusions and Relevance: Classification using the internal diameter z score is useful for assessing the severity of CAA in relation to the time-dependent occurrence of CE and associated factors in patients with KD. Careful management of CE is necessary for all patients with KD with CAA, especially men and IVIG-resistant patients with a large CAA.