Identifying a Heterogeneous Effect of Atrial Fibrillation Screening in Older Adults: A Secondary Analysis of the VITAL-AF Trial.

Background: One-time screening trials for atrial fibrillation (AF) have produced mixed results; however, it is unclear if there is a subset of individuals for whom screening would be effective. Identifying such a subgroup would support targeted screening. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of VITAL-AF, a randomized trial of one-time, single-lead ECG screening during primary care visits. We tested two approaches to identify heterogeneous screening effects. First, we developed an effect-based model for heterogeneous screening effects using a potential outcomes framework. Specifically, we predicted the likelihood of AF diagnosis under both screening and usual care conditions using LASSO, a penalized regression method. The difference between these probabilities was the predicted screening effect. Second, we used the CHARGE-AF score, a validated AF risk model, to test for a heterogeneous screening effect. We used interaction testing to determine if observed AF diagnosis rates in the screening and control groups differed when stratified by decile of the predicted screening effect and predicted AF risk. Results: Baseline characteristics were similar between the screening (n=15187) and usual care (n=15078) groups (mean age 74 years, 59% female). On average, screening did not significantly increase the AF diagnosis rate (2.55 vs. 2.30 per 100 person-years, rate difference 0.24, 95%CI -0.18 to 0.67). In the effect-based analysis, in the highest decile of predicted screening efficacy (n=3026), AF diagnosis rates were higher in the screening group (6.5 vs. 3.06 per 100 person-years, rate difference 3.45, 95%CI 1.62 to 5.28, interaction p-value 0.003). In this group, the mean age was 84 years, 68% were female, and 55% had vascular disease. The risk-based analysis did not identify a subgroup where screening was more effective. Predicted screening effectiveness and predicted baseline AF risk were poorly correlated and demonstrated a U-shaped relationship (Spearman coefficient 0.13). Conclusions: In a secondary analysis of the VITAL-AF trial, we identified a small subgroup where one-time screening was associated with increased AF diagnoses using an effect-based approach. In this study, predicted AF risk was a poor proxy for predicted screening efficacy. These data caution against the assumption that high AF risk is necessarily correlated with high screening efficacy.

Estimating Community Disruption from Nighttime Gunshots in 6 U.S. Cities, 2015 to 2021.

BACKGROUND: Gunshots affect those directly involved in an incident and those in the surrounding community. The community-level impact of nighttime gunshots, which may be particularly disruptive to the sleep of nearby community members, is unknown. OBJECTIVE: Our aim is to estimate the number of people potentially affected by nighttime gunshots and the relationship between nighttime gunshots and median household income in the USA. DESIGN: We collected publicly available data on the timing and location of gunshots in six U.S. cities (Baltimore, MD; Boston, MA; Washington, D.C.; New York, NY; Philadelphia, PA; and Portland, OR) from 2015 to 2021. We then analyzed the data by computing rate ratios (RRs) to compare the frequency of gunshots during nighttime hours (6:00 pm to 5:59 am) versus daytime hours (6:00 am to 5:59 pm). Additionally, we used geospatial mapping to create choropleth maps to visualize the variation in nighttime gunshot density across cities. We estimated, using city-wide population, person-nights potentially impacted by the sound of gunshots within areas of 0.2- (low) and 0.5-mile (high) radius. Finally, for five of six cities where data on median household income were available by census tract, we built nonlinear regression models to estimate the relationship between the number of nighttime gunshots and median household income. KEY RESULTS: We analyzed 72,236 gunshots. Gunshots were more common during the nighttime than daytime (overall RR = 2.5). Analyses demonstrated that the low estimates for the mean annual number of person-nights impacted by nighttime gunshots were 0.4 million in Baltimore and Portland, 1.3 million in Philadelphia, 1.6 million in Boston, 2.9 million in New York City, and 5.9 million in Washington. The number of nighttime gunshots was inversely related to median household income. CONCLUSIONS: Nighttime gunshots are prevalent, particularly in low-income neighborhoods, and may have under-recognized effects on the surrounding community.

Concomitant Medications for Progressive Supranuclear Palsy: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

This secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial examines changes in the progression of progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) associated with 31 concomitant medication classes used by study participants over 1 year.

Characterizing Gun Violence by Time, Day of the Week, Holidays, and Month in 6 US Cities, 2015-2021.

Developing interventions to prevent firearm-related violence and to address its consequences requires an improved understanding of when these violent events are most likely to occur. We explored gunshot events in 6 of the most populated cities in the United States by time of day, day of week, holiday/non-holiday, and month using publicly available datasets. In some of these cities, gunshot events occurred most often at nighttime, on holidays and weekends, and during summer months, with significant interaction effects. There were also time-related changes in characteristics of the victims. Primary prevention efforts aimed at curbing firearm-related violence should consider these differential risks.

Examining understandability, information quality, and presence of misinformation in popular YouTube videos on sleep compared to expert-led videos.

The Internet is a common source of sleep information but may be subject to commercial bias and misinformation. We compared the understandability, information quality, and presence of misinformation of popular YouTube videos on sleep to videos with credible experts. We identified the most popular YouTube videos on sleep/insomnia and 5 videos from experts. Videos were assessed for understanding and clarity using validated instruments. Misinformation and commercial bias were identified by consensus of sleep medicine experts. The most popular videos received, on average, 8.2 (± 2.2) million views; the expert-led videos received, on average, 0.3 (± 0.2) million views. Commercial bias was identified in 66.7% of popular videos and 0% of expert videos (P < .012). The popular videos featured more misinformation than expert videos (P < .001). The popular videos about sleep/insomnia on YouTube featured misinformation and commercial bias. Future research may explore methods for disseminating evidence-based sleep information. CITATION: Robbins R, Epstein LJ, Iyer JM, et al. Examining understandability, information quality, and presence of misinformation in popular YouTube videos on sleep compared to expert-led videos. J Clin Sleep Med. 2023;19(5):991-994.

Impact of sleep deficiency on surgical performance: a prospective assessment.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Sleep deficiency can adversely affect the performance of resident physicians, resulting in greater medical errors. However, the impact of sleep deficiency on surgical outcomes, particularly among attending surgeons, is less clear. METHODS: Sixty attending surgeons from academic and community departments of surgery or obstetrics and gynecology were studied prospectively using direct observation and self-report to explore the effect of sleep deprivation on patient safety, operating room communication, medical errors, and adverse events while operating under 2 conditions, post-call (defined as > 2 hours of nighttime clinical duties) and non-post-call. RESULTS: Each surgeon contributed up to 5 surgical procedures post-call and non-post-call, yielding 362 cases total (150 post-call and 210 non-post-call). Most common were caesarian section and herniorrhaphy. Hours of sleep on the night before the operative procedure were significantly less post-call (4.98 ± 1.41) vs non-post-call (6.68 ± 0.88, P < .01). Errors were infrequent and not related to hours of sleep or post-call status. However, Non-Technical Skills for Surgeons ratings demonstrated poorer performance while post-call for situational awareness, decision-making, and communication/teamwork. Fewer hours of sleep also were related to lower ratings for situational awareness and decision-making. Decreased self-reported alertness was observed to be associated with increased procedure time. CONCLUSIONS: Sleep deficiency in attending surgeons was not associated with greater errors during procedures performed during the next day. However, procedure time was increased, suggesting that surgeons were able to compensate for sleep loss by working more slowly. Ratings on nontechnical surgical skills were adversely affected by sleep deficiency. CITATION: Quan SF, Landrigan CP, Barger LK, et al. Impact of sleep deficiency on surgical performance: a prospective assessment. J Clin Sleep Med. 2023;19(4):673-683.