Approaches for Evaluating Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability as a Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factor: A Scoping Review.

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its mortality, independent of mean blood pressure (BP). However, in real world clinical practice this phenomenon is under-appreciated by clinicians. Serial BPV measured at clinical visits are frequently considered random fluctuations. This scoping review aims to review methodologies for estimating BPV, including metrics, frequency of BP measurements, BPV observation and follow-up durations. The review also compares studies that used electronic health record (EHR) data and those that used non-EHR data to assess BPV. We found little or no consensus on metrics used for BPV estimation in either study using EHR or non-EHR data. The non-EHR studies followed a stricter protocol for BP measurement than the EHR-based studies. Both groups of studies used comparable methodologies to estimate BPV.

Estimation of couple fecundity in the general population and the association with monthly time-varying ambient particulate matter exposure in low- and middle-income countries: A population-based multi-center epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: Declining total fertility rates have been observed in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, it remains unclear if this trend is related to a reduction in fecundity of general population. Research evidence on contributing factors to fecundity reduction is also limited. We aimed to first estimate couple fecundity in LMICs and then investigate its association with ambient particulate matter (PM) exposure. METHODS: Using the information from Demographic and Health Surveys between 2003 and 2019, we estimated median time to pregnancy (TTP) and infertility prevalence across 30 LMICs, by employing a current duration approach. Individual PM (PM1, PM2.5, and PM10) exposure during the period of 'at risk' of pregnancy was assessed by months. An accelerated failure model was used to elucidate the association between monthly time-varying PM exposure and TTP. Subsequently, we estimated the prolonged TTP attributable to PM exposures above the World Health Organization (WHO)'s recommended air quality level in 2021. RESULTS: Within the study regions, median TTP ranged from 6.90 (95 % CI 6.02-7.87) months in Latin America & Caribbean to 10.29 (95 % CI 9.28-11.36) months in East Asia & Pacific, with corresponding infertility prevalence varying from 33 % (95 % CI 29 %-36 %) to 44 % (95 % CI 41 %-48 %). Our estimations indicated that TTP was 1.08 (95 % CI: 0.99-1.18), 1.12 (95 % CI 1.06-1.19), and 1.05 (95 % CI 1.03-1.07) times longer for every 10 µg/m3 increment in PM1, PM2.5, and PM10, respectively. The prolonged TTP attributable to PM exposures surpassing the WHO guideline ranged from 0.11 to 2.81 months across the studied regions. DISCUSSION: Ambient particulate matter is identified as a potential contributing factor to impaired fecundity in general population of LMICs. The findings underscore the importance of coordinated efforts to control ambient air pollution to mitigate the risk of fecundity reduction among the general population.

Association Between Visit to Visit Blood Pressure Variability and Cardiovascular Outcome: A Meta-Analysis.

Visit-to-visit (VVV) blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with cardiovascular disease. However, in practice, BPV at sequential clinic visits is often regarded as mere random fluctuations and frequently under-appreciated by the clinicians. Therefore, this meta-analysis aims to compare the effect size of VVV BPV on cardiovascular outcome, by comparing studies that have used the electronic health record (EHR) and non-EHR data. The pooled hazard ratio for VVV BPV is comparable between studies using EHR and non-EHR data. Studies using EHR reported a pooled hazard ratio (HR) for VVV systolic BPV of 1.22 (95% CI: 1.07-1.38), while non-EHR studies had a HR of 1.16 (95% CI: 1.10-1.22). The pooled HR for VVV diastolic BPV in EHR studies was 1.09 (95% CI: 0.86-1.39), whereas non-EHR studies showed a HR of 1.10 (95% CI: 1.04-1.17). EHR data is a reliable source for assessing BPV, which in turn can predict the CVD outcomes.

Difficult Toddler Temperament - Prevalence and Associated Factors at 18-Month Follow-Up of a Birth Cohort.

Purpose: Difficult temperament coupled with other risk factors may lead to mental health problems in childhood and have long-lasting effects in adolescence and adulthood. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of parental perception of difficult temperament in toddlers and identify significant factors associated with individual and family-level sociodemographic risk factors. Patients and Methods: The prevalence of parental perception of difficult temperament was derived from items in the 18-month follow-up questionnaire within the Watch Me Grow (WMG) longitudinal birth cohort study in a multicultural and socioeconomically disadvantaged community in Sydney, Australia. Data was available for 500 children and their parents. Descriptive analysis was used to calculate the participant characteristics and the prevalence of parental perception of difficult temperament, whereas multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to assess significant risk factors associated with a difficult temperament. Results: Parental perception of difficult temperament in the cohort was 7.3% (n = 492). Findings of the multivariable logistic regression showed that screen time >2 hours a day (AOR 2.43, 95% CI: 1.2, 4.9), child not being read to (AOR 3.92, 95% CI: 1.8, 8.5), and family history of mental health problems (AOR 2.69, 95% CI: 1.1, 6.5) significantly increased the odds of having a difficult temperament. Conclusion: Toddlers with difficult temperament were less likely to have received stimulatory experiences, and their families were more likely to be under greater stress. The findings emphasize the importance of parental support and anticipatory guidance in promoting nurturing care to facilitate child health and development, particularly in disadvantaged communities.

Outcomes of atypical (B3) core biopsy lesions diagnosed across BreastScreen NSW, Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Atypical or B3 lesions comprise a heterogeneous group of uncertain malignant potential. B3 lesions diagnosed on core biopsy are usually recommended for diagnostic open biopsy. Identifying factors which could allow conservative management of B3 lesions would be helpful in avoiding unnecessary surgery. The aim of this study was to identify the upgrade rate to malignancy for B3 core biopsy lesions and to compare characteristics of lesions which were malignant and benign at excision. METHOD: This retrospective study used data from BreastScreen New South Wales (NSW), Australia, of women who were diagnosed with B3 lesions on needle biopsy from 2011 to 2019. RESULTS: During the study period, 1927 B3 lesions were included. The upgrade rate to malignancy was 26.4%. Of the malignant lesions on excision, 29.6% were invasive and 69.2% were in situ. The rates of upgrade to invasive cancer and DCIS varied substantially with the core biopsy lesion type. Lesions with atypia on core biopsy had significantly higher upgrade rates to malignancy at 34.7% compared to 13.6% for lesions without atypia (p < 0.0001). Lesions with malignant pathology were significantly larger than those with benign pathology (difference = 5.1 mm (95% CI 2.7-7.5 mm), p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The overall upgrade rate of B3 lesions to malignancy was 26.4%. The majority of the lesions were upgraded to DCIS instead of invasive cancer. Upgrade rates varied by lesion type. Lesions with atypia had significantly higher upgrade rates to cancer compared to lesions without atypia. Malignant lesions were significantly larger than benign lesions.

Estimates of global mortality burden associated with short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2·5).

BACKGROUND: The acute health effects of short-term (hours to days) exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2·5) have been well documented; however, the global mortality burden attributable to this exposure has not been estimated. We aimed to estimate the global, regional, and urban mortality burden associated with short-term exposure to PM2·5 and the spatiotemporal variations in this burden from 2000 to 2019. METHODS: We combined estimated global daily PM2·5 concentrations, annual population counts, country-level mortality rates, and epidemiologically derived exposure-response functions to estimate the mortality attributable to short-term PM2·5 exposure from 2000 to 2019, in the continental regions and in 13 189 urban centres worldwide at a spatial resolution of 0·1°â€ˆ× 0·1°. We tested the robustness of our mortality estimates with different theoretical minimum risk exposure levels, lag effects, and exposure-response functions. FINDINGS: Approximately 1 million (95% CI 690 000-1·3 million) premature deaths per year from 2000 to 2019 were attributable to short-term PM2·5 exposure, representing 2·08% (1·41-2·75) of total global deaths or 17 (11-22) premature deaths per 100 000 population. Annually, 0·23 million (0·15 million-0·30 million) deaths attributable to short-term PM2·5 exposure were in urban areas, constituting 22·74% of the total global deaths attributable to this cause and accounting for 2·30% (1·56-3·05) of total global deaths in urban areas. The sensitivity analyses showed that our worldwide estimates of mortality attributed to short-term PM2·5 exposure were robust. INTERPRETATION: Short-term exposure to PM2·5 contributes a substantial global mortality burden, particularly in Asia and Africa, as well as in global urban areas. Our results highlight the importance of mitigation strategies to reduce short-term exposure to air pollution and its adverse effects on human health. FUNDING: Australian Research Council and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

Outdoor artificial light at night and incident cardiovascular disease in adults: A national cohort study across China.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) become a major public health concern. Evidence concerning the effects of outdoor artificial light at night (ALAN) on CVD in adults is scarce. We aimed to investigate the extent to which outdoor ALAN could affect the risk of CVD over a exposure range. Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, a population-based longitudinal study, launched in 2011-2012 and follow up till 2018, covering 28 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities across mainland China. This study included 14,097 adults aged ≥45 years. Outdoor ALAN exposure (in nanowatts per centimeters squared per steradian) within 500 m of each participant's baseline residence was obtained from satellite image data. CVD was defined from medical diagnosis. The population was divided into three groups based on outdoor ALAN exposure from low to high. Cox regression model was used to estimate the association between outdoor ALAN exposure and incident CVD with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs). The mean (SD) age of the cohort was 57.6 (9.1) years old and 49.3 % were males. Outdoor ALAN exposure of study participants ranged from 0.02 to 39.79 nW/cm2/sr. During 83,033 person-years of follow-up, 2190 (15.5 %) cases of CVD were identified. Both low (HR: 1.21; 95 % CI: 1.02-1.43) and high (HR: 1.23; 95 % CI: 1.04-1.46) levels of outdoor ALAN exposure group were associated with higher risk of CVD compared with intermediate levels of outdoor ALAN exposure group. Body mass index was a significant effect modifier in the association between outdoor ALAN and risk of CVD, with stronger effects among those who was overweight or obese. The findings of this study suggest that low and high outdoor ALAN exposure were associated with a higher risk for CVD. More attention should be given to the cardiovascular effects associated with outdoor ALAN exposure.

Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability in Cardiovascular Disease.

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD), independently of mean blood pressure (BP). However, in real world clinical practice, this phenomenon is frequently considered as random fluctuation. This review aimed to investigate the differences among studies investigating visit-to-visit BPV and CVD using electronic health record (EHR) and clinical trial data. Our review suggests that BP values in clinical trial data are derived using a stricter protocol compared to EHR data. Furthermore, there was no consensus on metrics used in estimation of BPV.

Acute air pollution and temperature exposure as independent and joint triggers of spontaneous preterm birth in New South Wales, Australia: a time-to-event analysis.

Introduction: Exposure to high ambient temperatures and air pollution has been shown to increase the risk of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB). Less clear are the effects of cold and the joint effects of air pollution and temperature. Methods: Using a Cox proportional hazard regression model, we assessed the risk of independent and combined short-term exposure to ambient daily mean temperature and PM2.5 associated with sPTB in the last week before delivery on overall sPTB (weeks 23-36) and three subtypes: extremely sPTB, very sPTB, and moderate-to-late sPTB for a birth cohort of 1,318,570 births from Australia (Jan 2001-Dec 2019), while controlling for chronic exposure (i.e., throughout pregnancy except the last week before delivery) to PM2.5 and temperature. The temperature was modeled as a natural cubic spline, PM2.5 as a linear term, and the interaction effect was estimated using a multiplicative term. For short-term exposure to temperature hazard ratios reported are relative to the median temperature (18.1°C). Results: Hazard ratios at low temperature [5th percentile(11.5°C)] were 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90, 1.00), 1.08 (95% CI: 0.84, 1.4), 0.87 (95% CI: 0.71, 1.06), and 1.00 (95% CI: 0.94, 1.06) and greater for high temperature [95th percentile (24.5°C)]: 1.22 (95% CI: 1.16, 1.28), 1.27 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.57), and 1.26 (95% CI: 1.05, 1.5) and 1.05 (1.00, 1.11), respectively, for overall, extremely, very, and moderate-to-late sPTBs. While chronic exposure to PM2.5 had adverse effects on sPTB, short-term exposure to PM2.5 appeared to have a negative association with all types of sPTB, with hazard ratios ranging from 0.86 (95th CI: 0.80, 0.94) to 0.98 (95th CI: 0.97, 1.00) per 5 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5. Discussion: The risk of sPTB was found to increase following acute exposure to hot and cold ambient temperatures. Earlier sPTB subtypes seemed to be the most vulnerable. This study adds to the evidence that short-term exposure to ambient cold and heat and longer term gestational exposure to ambient PM2.5 are associated with an elevated risk of sPTB.

Climate change, environmental extremes, and human health in Australia: challenges, adaptation strategies, and policy gaps.

Climate change presents a major public health concern in Australia, marked by unprecedented wildfires, heatwaves, floods, droughts, and the spread of climate-sensitive infectious diseases. Despite these challenges, Australia's response to the climate crisis has been inadequate and subject to change by politics, public sentiment, and global developments. This study illustrates the spatiotemporal patterns of selected climate-related environmental extremes (heatwaves, wildfires, floods, and droughts) across Australia during the past two decades, and summarizes climate adaptation measures and actions that have been taken by the national, state/territory, and local governments. Our findings reveal significant impacts of climate-related environmental extremes on the health and well-being of Australians. While governments have implemented various adaptation strategies, these plans must be further developed to yield concrete actions. Moreover, Indigenous Australians should not be left out in these adaptation efforts. A collaborative, comprehensive approach involving all levels of government is urgently needed to prevent, mitigate, and adapt to the health impacts of climate change.