Derivation and external validation of a simple risk score for predicting severe acute kidney injury after intravenous cisplatin: cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and externally validate a prediction model for severe cisplatin associated acute kidney injury (CP-AKI). DESIGN: Multicenter cohort study. SETTING: Six geographically diverse major academic cancer centers across the US. PARTICIPANTS: Adults (≥18 years) receiving their first dose of intravenous cisplatin, 2006-22. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was CP-AKI, defined as a twofold or greater increase in serum creatinine or kidney replacement therapy within 14 days of a first dose of intravenous cisplatin. Independent predictors of CP-AKI were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, which was developed in a derivation cohort and tested in an external validation cohort. For the primary model, continuous variables were examined using restricted cubic splines. A simple risk model was also generated by converting the odds ratios from the primary model into risk points. Finally, a multivariable Cox model was used to examine the association between severity of CP-AKI and 90 day survival. RESULTS: A total of 24 717 adults were included, with 11 766 in the derivation cohort (median age 59 (interquartile range (IQR) 50-67)) and 12 951 in the validation cohort (median age 60 (IQR 50-67)). The incidence of CP-AKI was 5.2% (608/11 766) in the derivation cohort and 3.3% (421/12 951) in the validation cohort. Each of the following factors were independently associated with CP-AKI in the derivation cohort: age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, serum creatinine level, hemoglobin level, white blood cell count, platelet count, serum albumin level, serum magnesium level, and cisplatin dose. A simple risk score consisting of nine covariates was shown to predict a higher risk of CP-AKI in a monotonic fashion in both the derivation cohort and the validation cohort. Compared with patients in the lowest risk category, those in the highest risk category showed a 24.00-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 13.49-fold to 42.78-fold) higher odds of CP-AKI in the derivation cohort and a 17.87-fold (10.56-fold to 29.60-fold) higher odds in the validation cohort. The primary model had a C statistic of 0.75 and showed better discrimination for CP-AKI than previously published models, the C statistics for which ranged from 0.60 to 0.68 (DeLong P<0.001 for each comparison). Greater severity of CP-AKI was monotonically associated with shorter 90 day survival (adjusted hazard ratio 4.63 (95% CI 3.56 to 6.02) for stage 3 CP-AKI versus no CP-AKI). CONCLUSION: This study found that a simple risk score based on readily available variables from patients receiving intravenous cisplatin could predict the risk of severe CP-AKI, the occurrence of which is strongly associated with death.

AKI treated with kidney replacement therapy in critically Ill allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent complication following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), but few studies have focused on AKI treated with kidney replacement therapy (AKI-KRT), particularly among critically ill patients. We investigated the incidence, risk factors, and 90-day mortality associated with AKI-KRT in 529 critically ill adult allo-HSCT recipients admitted to the ICU within 1-year post-transplant at two academic medical centers between 2011 and 2021. AKI-KRT occurred in 111 of the 529 patients (21.0%). Lower baseline eGFR, veno-occlusive disease, thrombotic microangiopathy, admission to an ICU within 90 days post-transplant, and receipt of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), total bilirubin ≥5.0 mg/dl, and arterial pH <7.40 on ICU admission were each associated with a higher risk of AKI-KRT. Of the 111 patients with AKI-KRT, 97 (87.4%) died within 90 days. Ninety-day mortality was 100% in each of the following subgroups: serum albumin ≤2.0 g/dl, total bilirubin ≥7.0 mg/dl, arterial pH ≤7.20, IMV with moderate-to-severe hypoxemia, and ≥3 vasopressors/inotropes at KRT initiation. AKI-KRT was associated with a 6.59-fold higher adjusted 90-day mortality in critically ill allo-HSCT vs. non-transplanted patients. Short-term mortality remains exceptionally high among critically ill allo-HSCT patients with AKI-KRT, highlighting the importance of multidisciplinary discussions prior to KRT initiation.