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1.
Lancet Reg Health Eur ; 40: 100887, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38549731

RESUMO

Background: Cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality have declined across developed economies and granular up-to-date cost-effectiveness evidence is required for treatments targeting large populations. To assess the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of standard and higher intensity statin therapy in the contemporary UK population 40-70 years old. Methods: A cardiovascular disease microsimulation model, developed using the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration data (117,896 participants; 5 years follow-up), and calibrated in the UK Biobank cohort (501,854 participants; 9 years follow-up), projected risks of myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, diabetes, cancer and vascular and nonvascular death for all UK Biobank participants without and with statin treatment. Meta-analyses of trials and cohort studies informed statins' relative effects on cardiovascular events, incident diabetes, myopathy and rhabdomyolysis. UK healthcare perspective was taken (2020/2021 UK£) with costs per 28 tablets of £1.10 for standard (35%-45% LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) reduction) and £1.68 for higher intensity (≥45% LDL-C reduction) generic statin. Findings: Across categories by sex, age, LDL-C, and cardiovascular disease history/10-year cardiovascular risk, lifetime standard statin increased survival by 0.28-1.85 years (0.20-1.09 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)), and higher intensity statin by further 0.06-0.40 years (0.03-0.20 QALYs) per person. Standard statin was cost-effective across all categories with incremental cost per QALY from £280 to £8530, with higher intensity statin cost-effective at higher cardiovascular risks and higher LDL-C levels. Stopping statin early reduced benefits and was not cost-effective. Interpretation: Lifetime low-cost statin therapy is cost-effective across all 40-70 years old in UK. Strengthening and widening statin treatment could cost-effectively improve population health. Funding: UK NIHR Health Technology Assessment Programme (17/140/02).

2.
Diabetes Res Clin Pract ; 210: 111612, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38479447

RESUMO

Globally ≈10% of adults have diabetes, with 80% in disadvantaged regions, hence low-cost renoprotective agents are desirable. Fenofibrate demonstrated microvascular benefits in several cardiovascular end-point diabetes trials, but knowledge of effects in late-stage kidney disease is limited. We report new FIELD substudy data and call for further kidney outcomes data.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Fenofibrato , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Fenofibrato/uso terapêutico , Rim , Hipolipemiantes/uso terapêutico
3.
Br J Gen Pract ; 2024 Feb 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38373851

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: UK cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality have declined in recent decades but socioeconomic inequalities persist. AIM: To present a new CVD model, and project health outcomes and the impact of guideline-recommended statin treatment across quintiles of socioeconomic deprivation in the UK. DESIGN AND SETTING: A lifetime microsimulation model was developed using 117 896 participants in 16 statin trials, 501 854 UK Biobank (UKB) participants, and quality-of-life data from national health surveys. METHOD: A CVD microsimulation model was developed using risk equations for myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularisation, cancer, and vascular and non-vascular death, estimated using trial data. The authors calibrated and further developed this model in the UKB cohort, including further characteristics and a diabetes risk equation, and validated the model in UKB and Whitehall II cohorts. The model was used to predict CVD incidence, life expectancy, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the impact of UK guideline-recommended statin treatment across socioeconomic deprivation quintiles. RESULTS: Age, sex, socioeconomic deprivation, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular events were key CVD risk determinants. Model-predicted event rates corresponded well to observed rates across participant categories. The model projected strong gradients in remaining life expectancy, with 4-5-year (5-8 QALYs) gaps between the least and most socioeconomically deprived quintiles. Guideline-recommended statin treatment was projected to increase QALYs, with larger gains in quintiles of higher deprivation. CONCLUSION: The study demonstrated the potential of guideline-recommended statin treatment to reduce socioeconomic inequalities. This CVD model is a novel resource for individualised long-term projections of health outcomes of CVD treatments.

4.
Clin Chim Acta ; 555: 117799, 2024 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38309558

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) levels are often elevated in cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, no study has assessed its association with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a population free of clinically evident CVD. METHODS: A total of 5543 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants (mean age 62.7 years, 47.5 % male), free of clinically evident CVD at baseline, were studied. From baseline (2000-2002), 1606 deaths (including 387 CVD deaths) were observed over a median follow-up of 17.7 years. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association of plasma FGF21 levels with mortality. RESULTS: FGF21 levels at baseline were associated with all-cause mortality, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors, including demographic, socioeconomic and cardiovascular risk factors (adjusted hazard ratio 1.08 [95% confidence interval 1.01, 1.16] per 1 SD increase in ln-transformed levels; 1.27 for the highest vs, lowest quartile). Baseline FGF21 levels were significantly associated with both CVD and non-CVD mortality in unadjusted models. However, the association with non-CVD mortality, but not CVD mortality, remained statistically significant after adjusting for covariates. Similar results were obtained in FGF21 quartile analyses and also when using competing risk regression or matched case-control cohort in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In subjects without clinically-evident CVD at baseline, over 17.7 years follow-up there is a modest association of baseline FGF21 levels with all-cause mortality. The finding that this is driven primarily by a significant association with non-CVD mortality over almost two decades merits further investigation.


Assuntos
Aterosclerose , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Sistema Cardiovascular , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Crescimento de Fibroblastos
5.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 83(6): 652-664, 2024 Feb 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38325990

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In FOURIER (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research with PCSK9 Inhibition in Subjects with Elevated Risk), during a median follow-up of 2.2 years, risk reduction for major adverse cardiovascular event with evolocumab was greater in patients with multivessel disease (MVD). The FOURIER Open-Label Extension (FOURIER-OLE) provides an additional median follow-up of 5 years. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess the long-term benefit of evolocumab in patients with and without MVD. METHODS: FOURIER randomized 27,564 patients to evolocumab vs placebo; 6,635 entered FOURIER-OLE. Patients with coronary artery disease were categorized based on the presence of MVD (≥40% stenosis in ≥2 large vessels). The primary endpoint was cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, or coronary revascularization; the key secondary endpoint was cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke. RESULTS: Of 23,656 patients in FOURIER with coronary artery disease, 25.4% had MVD; 5,887 patients continued into FOURIER-OLE. The risk reduction with initial allocation to evolocumab tended to be greater in patients with MVD than in those without: 23% (HR: 0.77 [95% CI: 0.68-0.87]) vs 11% (HR: 0.89 [95% CI: 0.82-0.96]) for the primary and 31% (HR: 0.69 [95% CI: 0.59-0.81]) vs 15% (HR: 0.85 [95% CI: 0.77-0.94]) for the key secondary endpoints (Pinteraction = 0.062 and Pinteraction = 0.031, respectively). The magnitude of benefit tended to grow during the first several years, reaching 37% to 38% reductions in risk in patients with MVD and 23% to 28% reductions in risk in patients without MVD. CONCLUSIONS: Evolocumab reduced the rate of major adverse cardiovascular event in patients with and without MVD. The benefit tended to occur earlier and was larger in patients with MVD. However, the magnitude grew over time in both groups. These data support early initiation of intensive low-density lipoprotein cholesterol lowering both in patients with and without MVD.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados , Anticolesterolemiantes , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Infarto do Miocárdio , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/complicações , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/tratamento farmacológico , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/induzido quimicamente , Pró-Proteína Convertase 9 , Anticolesterolemiantes/uso terapêutico , Inibidores de PCSK9 , Resultado do Tratamento , Infarto do Miocárdio/tratamento farmacológico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/tratamento farmacológico
6.
Heart ; 110(9): 618-625, 2024 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38331560

RESUMO

Inflammation has a direct role in the development of atherosclerotic vascular disease, and oral colchicine displays broad anti-inflammatory properties. Several large, randomised controlled trials (RCTs) have evaluated colchicine's impact on cardiovascular outcomes. Results from a meta-analysis of these trials demonstrate that colchicine reduces the risk of recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) by 25%, leading to its recent approval by the Food and Drug Administration for the treatment and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Despite this, colchicine has not been shown to confer any survival benefit in these trials. The non-significant reduction in cardiovascular death of 18% (95% CI: 45% decrease to 23% increase) is outweighed by a more prominent, borderline non-significant increase in the risk of non-cardiovascular death by 38% (95% CI: 1% decrease to 92% increase). Key populations including those with heart failure, those undergoing surgical revascularisation, women, elderly individuals and non-Caucasians are under-represented in completed trials, which limits generalisability. C reactive protein has been proposed as a biomarker for colchicine response and shows promise for identifying a high-risk population where the benefit on MACE reduction and specifically reduced cardiovascular death might outweigh any real increased risk of non-cardiovascular death; however, this approach is still to be validated in ongoing RCTs. In conclusion, while colchicine shows promise in reducing MACE, its net risk-benefit profile requires further elucidation before its widespread adoption into clinical practice for the secondary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Much more large-scale, long-term trial data are still needed in this space.


Assuntos
Aterosclerose , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Colchicina , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Anti-Inflamatórios/uso terapêutico , Aterosclerose/tratamento farmacológico , Aterosclerose/prevenção & controle , Doenças Cardiovasculares/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Colchicina/uso terapêutico , Inflamação/tratamento farmacológico , Masculino
7.
Am Heart J ; 267: 22-32, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37871782

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Refractory Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest (r-OHCA) is common and the benefit versus harm of intra-arrest transport of patients to hospital is not clear. OBJECTIVE: To assess the rate of survival to hospital discharge in adult patients with r-OHCA, initial rhythm pulseless ventricular tachycardia (VT)/ventricular fibrillation (VF) or Pulseless Electrical Activity (PEA) treated with 1 of 2 locally accepted standards of care:1 expedited transport from scene; or2 ongoing advanced life support (ALS) resuscitation on-scene. HYPOTHESIS: We hypothesize that expedited transport from scene in r-OHCA improves survival with favorable neurological status/outcome. METHODS/DESIGN: Phase III, multi-center, partially blinded, prospective, intention-to-treat, safety and efficacy clinical trial with contemporaneous registry of patient ineligible for the clinical trial. Eligible patients for inclusion are adults with witnessed r-OHCA; estimated age 18 to 70, assumed medical cause with immediate bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR); initial rhythm of VF/pulseless VT, or PEA; no return of spontaneous circulation following 3 shocks and/or 15 minutes of professional on-scene resuscitation; with mechanical CPR available. Two hundred patients will be randomized in a 1:1 ratio to either expedited transport from scene or ongoing ALS at the scene of cardiac arrest. SETTING: Two urban regions in NSW Australia. OUTCOMES: Primary: survival to hospital discharge with cerebral performance category (CPC) 1 or 2. Secondary: safety, survival, prognostic factors, use of ECMO supported CPR and functional assessment at hospital discharge and 4 weeks and 6 months, quality of life, healthcare use and cost-effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: The EVIDENCE trial will determine the potential risks and benefits of an expedited transport from scene of cardiac arrest.


Assuntos
Reanimação Cardiopulmonar , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Taquicardia Ventricular , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Estudos Prospectivos , Qualidade de Vida
8.
Bioinform Adv ; 3(1): vbad148, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37928342

RESUMO

Summary: Technologies identifying single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in DNA sequencing yield an avalanche of data requiring analysis and interpretation. Standard methods may require many weeks of processing time. The use of statistical methods requiring data sorting, matrix inversions of a high-dimension and replication in subsets of the data on multiple outcomes exacerbate these times.A method which reduces the computational time in problems with time-to-event outcomes and hundreds of thousands/millions of SNPs using Cox-Snell residuals after fitting the Cox proportional hazards model (PH) to a fixed set of concomitant variables is proposed. This yields coefficients for SNP effect from a Cox-Snell adjusted Poisson model and shows a high concordance to the adjusted PH model.The method is illustrated with a sample of 10 000 SNPs from a genome-wide association study in a diabetic population. The gain in processing efficiency using the proposed method based on Poisson modelling can be as high as 62%. This could result in saving of over three weeks processing time if 5 million SNPs require analysis. The method involves only a single predictor variable (SNP), offering a simpler, computationally more stable approach to examining and identifying SNP patterns associated with the outcome(s) allowing for a faster development of genetic signatures. Use of deviance residuals from the PH model to screen SNPs demonstrates a large discordance rate at a 0.2% threshold of concordance. This rate is 15 times larger than that based on the Cox-Snell residuals from the Cox-Snell adjusted Poisson model. Availability and implementation: The method is simple to implement as the procedures are available in most statistical packges. The approach involves obtaining Cox-Snell residuals from a PH model, to a binary time-to-event outcome, for factors which need to be common when assessing each SNP. Each SNP is then fitted as a predictor to the outcome of interest using a Poisson model with the Cox-Snell as the exposure variable.

9.
Intern Med J ; 53(11): 2128-2131, 2023 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37997276

RESUMO

In 6002 Australian adults with type 2 diabetes and a median 5-year follow-up in the FIELD (Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes) trial, baseline socioeconomic status (SES) and self-reported education level were not related to development of on-trial sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy. Similarly, in a retinal photography substudy (n = 549), two-step diabetic retinopathy progression was not related to SES or education.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Retinopatia Diabética , Fenofibrato , Adulto , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Retinopatia Diabética/epidemiologia , Austrália/epidemiologia , Escolaridade
10.
Resusc Plus ; 16: 100482, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37822456

RESUMO

Background: The benefit of rapid transport from the scene to definitive in-hospital care versus extended on-scene resuscitation in out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) is uncertain. Aim: To assess the use of expedited transport from the scene of OHCA compared with more extended on-scene resuscitation of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in adults. Methods: A systematic search of the literature was conducted using MEDLINE, Embase, and SCOPUS. Randomised control trials (RCTs) and observational studies were included. Studies reporting transport timing for OHCA patients with outcome data on survival were identified and reviewed. Two investigators assessed studies identified by screening for relevance and assessed bias using the ROBINS-I tool. Studies with non-dichotomous timing data or an absence of comparator group(s) were excluded. Outcomes of interest included survival and favourable neurological outcome. Survival to discharge and favourable neurological outcome were meta-analysed using a random-effects model. Results: Nine studies (eight cohort studies, one RCT) met eligibility criteria and were considered suitable for meta-analysis. On pooled analysis, expedited (or earlier) transfer was not predictive of survival to discharge (odds ratio [OR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.53 to 2.53, I2 = 99%, p = 0. 65) or favorable neurological outcome (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.48 to 2.37, I2 = 99%, p = 0.85). The certainty of evidence across studies was assessed as very low with a moderate risk of bias. Region of publication was noted to be a major contributor to the significant heterogeneity observed amongst included studies. Conclusions: There is inconclusive evidence to support or refute the use of expedited transport of refractory OHCA.

11.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 82(13): 1343-1359, 2023 09 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37730292

RESUMO

Reducing the incidence and prevalence of standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs) is critical to tackling the global burden of coronary artery disease (CAD). However, a substantial number of individuals develop coronary atherosclerosis despite no SMuRFs. SMuRFless patients presenting with myocardial infarction have been observed to have an unexpected higher early mortality compared to their counterparts with at least 1 SMuRF. Evidence for optimal management of these patients is lacking. We assembled an international, multidisciplinary team to develop an evidence-based clinical pathway for SMuRFless CAD patients. A modified Delphi method was applied. The resulting pathway confirms underlying atherosclerosis and true SMuRFless status, ensures evidence-based secondary prevention, and considers additional tests and interventions for less typical contributors. This dedicated pathway for a previously overlooked CAD population, with an accompanying registry, aims to improve outcomes through enhanced adherence to evidence-based secondary prevention and additional diagnosis of modifiable risk factors observed.


Assuntos
Aterosclerose , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Infarto do Miocárdio , Humanos , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/epidemiologia , Procedimentos Clínicos , Fatores de Risco de Doenças Cardíacas
12.
Diabetes Care ; 46(6): 1271-1281, 2023 06 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37125963

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: In this study we aim to unravel genetic determinants of coronary heart disease (CHD) in type 2 diabetes (T2D) and explore their applications. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed a two-stage genome-wide association study for CHD in Chinese patients with T2D (3,596 case and 8,898 control subjects), followed by replications in European patients with T2D (764 case and 4,276 control subjects) and general populations (n = 51,442-547,261). Each identified variant was examined for its association with a wide range of phenotypes and its interactions with glycemic, blood pressure (BP), and lipid controls in incident cardiovascular diseases. RESULTS: We identified a novel variant (rs10171703) for CHD (odds ratio 1.21 [95% CI 1.13-1.30]; P = 2.4 × 10-8) and BP (ß ± SE 0.130 ± 0.017; P = 4.1 × 10-14) at PDE1A in Chinese T2D patients but found only a modest association with CHD in general populations. This variant modulated the effects of BP goal attainment (130/80 mmHg) on CHD (Pinteraction = 0.0155) and myocardial infarction (MI) (Pinteraction = 5.1 × 10-4). Patients with CC genotype of rs10171703 had >40% reduction in either cardiovascular events in response to BP control (2.9 × 10-8 < P < 3.6 × 10-5), those with CT genotype had no difference (0.0726 < P < 0.2614), and those with TT genotype had a threefold increase in MI risk (P = 6.7 × 10-3). CONCLUSIONS: We discovered a novel CHD- and BP-related variant at PDE1A that interacted with BP goal attainment with divergent effects on CHD risk in Chinese patients with T2D. Incorporating this information may facilitate individualized treatment strategies for precision care in diabetes, only when our findings are validated.


Assuntos
Doença das Coronárias , Nucleotídeo Cíclico Fosfodiesterase do Tipo 1 , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Infarto do Miocárdio , Humanos , Doença das Coronárias/genética , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , População do Leste Asiático , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Objetivos , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Infarto do Miocárdio/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Nucleotídeo Cíclico Fosfodiesterase do Tipo 1/genética
13.
Proteomics Clin Appl ; 17(3): e2200106, 2023 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36891577

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Robust, affordable plasma proteomic biomarker workflows are needed for large-scale clinical studies. We evaluated aspects of sample preparation to allow liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) analysis of more than 1500 samples from the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) trial of adults with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Using LC-MS with data-independent acquisition we evaluated four variables: plasma protein depletion, EDTA or citrated anti-coagulant blood collection tubes, plasma lipid depletion strategies and plasma freeze-thaw cycles. Optimised methods were applied in a pilot study of FIELD participants. RESULTS: LC-MS of undepleted plasma conducted over a 45 min gradient yielded 172 proteins after excluding immunoglobulin isoforms. Cibachrome-blue-based depletion yielded additional proteins but with cost and time expenses, while immunodepleting albumin and IgG provided few additional identifications. Only minor variations were associated with blood collection tube type, delipidation methods and freeze-thaw cycles. From 65 batches involving over 1500 injections, the median intra-batch quantitative differences in the top 100 proteins of the plasma external standard were less than 2%. Fenofibrate altered seven plasma proteins. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: A robust plasma handling and LC-MS proteomics workflow for abundant plasma proteins has been developed for large-scale biomarker studies that balance proteomic depth with time and resource costs.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Fenofibrato , Adulto , Humanos , Cromatografia Líquida/métodos , Fenofibrato/farmacologia , Fenofibrato/uso terapêutico , Proteômica/métodos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Projetos Piloto , Espectrometria de Massas em Tandem , Proteínas Sanguíneas/metabolismo , Biomarcadores
14.
Diabetes Metab Res Rev ; 39(5): e3631, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36893361

RESUMO

AIMS: Fracture risk is elevated in some type 2 diabetes patients. Bone fragility may be associated with more clinically severe type 2 diabetes, although prospective studies are lacking. It is unknown which diabetes-related characteristics are independently associated with fracture risk. In this post-hoc analysis of fracture data from the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) trial (ISRCTN#64783481), we hypothesised that diabetic microvascular complications are associated with bone fragility. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The FIELD trial randomly assigned 9795 type 2 diabetes participants (aged 50-75 years) to receive oral co-micronised fenofibrate 200 mg (n = 4895) or placebo (n = 4900) daily for a median of 5 years. We used Cox proportional hazards models to identify baseline sex-specific diabetes-related parameters independently associated with incident fractures. RESULTS: Over 49,470 person-years, 137/6138 men experienced 141 fractures and 143/3657 women experienced 145 fractures; incidence rates for the first fracture of 4∙4 (95% CI 3∙8-5∙2) and 7∙7 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 6∙5-9∙1), respectively. Fenofibrate had no effect on fracture outcomes. In men, baseline macrovascular disease (HR 1∙52, 95% CI 1∙05-2∙21, p = 0∙03), insulin use (HR 1∙62, HR 1∙03-2∙55, p = 0∙03), and HDL-cholesterol (HR 2∙20, 95% CI 1∙11-4∙36, p = 0∙02) were independently associated with fracture. In women, independent risk factors included baseline peripheral neuropathy (HR 2∙04, 95% CI 1∙16-3∙59, p = 0∙01) and insulin use (HR 1∙55, 95% CI 1∙02-2∙33, p = 0∙04). CONCLUSIONS: Insulin use and sex-specific complications (in men, macrovascular disease; in women, neuropathy) are independently associated with fragility fractures in adults with type 2 diabetes.


Assuntos
Complicações do Diabetes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Fenofibrato , Fraturas Ósseas , Insulinas , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Complicações do Diabetes/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Fenofibrato/uso terapêutico , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Fraturas Ósseas/etiologia , Fraturas Ósseas/prevenção & controle , Insulinas/uso terapêutico , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
15.
Diabetes Technol Ther ; 25(5): 356-362, 2023 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36802246

RESUMO

Objective: To explore the impact of missing data on the accuracy of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) metrics collected for a 2-week period in a clinical trial. Research Design and Methods: Simulations were conducted to examine the effect of various patterns of missingness on the accuracy of CGM metrics as compared with a "complete" data set. The proportion of missing data, the "block size" in which the data were missing, and the missing mechanism were modified for each "scenario." The degree of agreement between simulated and "true" glycemic measures under each scenario was presented as R2. Results: Under all missing patterns, R2 declined as the proportion of missing data increased, however, as the "block size" of missing data increased, the percentage of missing data had a more pronounced effect on the agreement between measures. For a 14-day CGM data set to be considered representative for percentage time in range (%TIR), at least 70% of CGM data should be available over at least 10 days (R2 > 0.9). Skewed outcome measures, such as percentage time below range and coefficient of variation, were more affected by missing data than the less skewed measures (%TIR, percentage time above range, mean glucose). Conclusions: Both the degree and pattern of missing data impact upon the accuracy of recommended CGM-derived glycemic measures. In planning research, an understanding of patterns of missing data in the study population is required to gauge the likely effects of missing data on outcome accuracy. Trial registration number: Australian New Zealand Clinic Trials Registry ACTRN12616000753459.


Assuntos
Glicemia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Humanos , Glucose , Automonitorização da Glicemia , Benchmarking , Austrália
16.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 41(5): 547-559, 2023 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36826687

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to develop prediction models for the individual-level impacts of cardiovascular events on UK healthcare costs. METHODS: In the UK Biobank, people 40-70 years old, recruited in 2006-2010, were followed in linked primary (N = 192,983 individuals) and hospital care (N = 501,807 individuals) datasets. Regression models of annual primary and annual hospital care costs (2020 UK£) associated with individual characteristics and experiences of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, coronary revascularization, incident diabetes mellitus and cancer, and vascular and nonvascular death are reported. RESULTS: For both people without and with previous cardiovascular disease (CVD), primary care costs were modelled using one-part generalised linear models (GLMs) with identity link and Poisson distribution, and hospital costs with two-part models (part 1: logistic regression models the probability of incurring costs; part 2: GLM with identity link and Poisson distribution models the costs conditional on incurring any). In people without previous CVD, mean annual primary and hospital care costs were £360 and £514, respectively. The excess primary care costs were £190 and £360 following MI and stroke, respectively, whereas excess hospital costs decreased from £4340 and £5590, respectively, in the year of these events, to £190 and £410 two years later. People with previous CVD had more than twice higher annual costs, and incurred higher excess costs for cardiovascular events. Other characteristics associated with higher costs included older age, female sex, south Asian ethnicity, higher socioeconomic deprivation, smoking, lower level of physical activities, unhealthy body mass index, and comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: These individual-level healthcare cost prediction models could inform assessments of the value of health technologies and policies to reduce cardiovascular and other disease risks and healthcare costs. An accompanying Excel calculator is available to facilitate the use of the models.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus , Infarto do Miocárdio , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/terapia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapia , Reino Unido
17.
Graefes Arch Clin Exp Ophthalmol ; 261(8): 2117-2133, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36801971

RESUMO

Developments in retinal imaging technologies have enabled the quantitative evaluation of the retinal vasculature. Changes in retinal calibre and/or geometry have been reported in systemic vascular diseases, including diabetes mellitus (DM), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and more recently in neurodegenerative diseases, such as dementia. Several retinal vessel analysis softwares exist, some being disease-specific, others for a broader context. In the research setting, retinal vasculature analysis using semi-automated software has identified associations between retinal vessel calibre and geometry and the presence of or risk of DM and its chronic complications, and of CVD and dementia, including in the general population. In this article, we review and compare the most widely used semi-automated retinal vessel analysis softwares and their associations with ocular imaging findings in common systemic diseases, including DM and its chronic complications, CVD, and dementia. We also provide original data comparing retinal calibre grading in people with Type 1 DM using two softwares, with good concordance.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Demência , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Retinopatia Diabética , Humanos , Retinopatia Diabética/complicações , Vasos Retinianos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/complicações , Demência/complicações
19.
Intern Med J ; 53(9): 1595-1601, 2023 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35666643

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Heart failure is a major burden in Australia in terms of morbidity, mortality and healthcare expenditure. Multiple evidence-based therapies are recommended for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), but data on physician adherence to therapy guidelines are limited. AIM: To compare use of HFrEF therapies against current evidence-based guidelines in an Australian hospital inpatient population. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients admitted with a principal diagnosis of HFrEF across six metropolitan hospitals in Sydney, Australia, between January 2015 and June 2016. Use of medical and device therapies was compared with guideline recommendations using individual patient indications/contraindications. Readmission and mortality data were collected for a 1-year period following the admission. RESULTS: Of the 1028 HFrEF patients identified, 39 were being managed with palliative intent, leaving 989 patients for the primary analysis. Use of beta-blockers (87.7% actual use/93.6% recommended use) and diuretics (88.4%/99.3%) was high among eligible patients. There were large evidence-practice gaps for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers (ACEI/ARB; 66.4%/89.0%) and aldosterone antagonists (41.0%/77.1%). In absolute terms, use of these therapies each increased by over 11% from admission. Ivabradine (11.5%/21.2%), automated internal cardiac defibrillators (29.5%/66.1%) and cardiac resynchronisation therapy (13.1%/28.7%) were used in a minority of eligible patients. Over the 1-year follow-up period, the mortality rate was 14.8%, and 44.2% of patients were readmitted to hospital at least once. CONCLUSION: Hospitalisation is a key mechanism for initiation of HFrEF therapies. The large evidence-practice gaps for ACEI/ARB and aldosterone antagonists represent potential avenues for improved HFrEF management.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Antagonistas de Receptores de Mineralocorticoides/uso terapêutico , Volume Sistólico , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Austrália/epidemiologia , Hospitais , Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapêutico
20.
Intern Med J ; 53(7): 1188-1195, 2023 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34779559

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Nationally, Indigenous Australians are more likely to have diabetes and diabetic retinopathy (DR) than non-Indigenous Australians. However, the prevalence of DR and impaired vision in regional primary care settings is unclear. AIM: To describe the prevalence and severity of DR and presenting vision level among Indigenous Australian adults with diabetes attending an indigenous primary care clinic in regional Australia. METHODS: Participants underwent nurse-led retinal imaging and DR screening with offsite retinal grading in the integrated Diabetes Education and Eye Screening (iDEES) project implemented at a regional indigenous primary healthcare setting between January 2018 and March 2020. RESULTS: Of 172 eligible adults, 135 (79%) were recruited and screened for DR and vision level. The median age was 56 (46-67) years, 130 (96%) had type 2 diabetes of median (interquartile range) duration 6 (2-12) years and 48 (36%) were male. Images from 132 (97.8%) participants were gradable. DR was present in 38 (29%) participants: mild non-proliferative in 33 (25%); moderate-severe in three (2.5%); and sight-threatening two (1.5%). Subnormal presenting vision was present in 33%. CONCLUSIONS: A nurse-led model of care integrating diabetes eye screening and education at a single visit was successful at recruiting Indigenous Australian adults with diabetes, screening their vision and acquiring a high rate of gradable images. Even for a short duration of known diabetes, DR was present in three out of 10 patients screened.


Assuntos
Povos Aborígenes Australianos e Ilhéus do Estreito de Torres , Retinopatia Diabética , Serviços de Saúde do Indígena , Programas de Rastreamento , Papel do Profissional de Enfermagem , Baixa Visão , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Austrália/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Retinopatia Diabética/diagnóstico , Retinopatia Diabética/epidemiologia , Retinopatia Diabética/etiologia , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Programas de Rastreamento/enfermagem , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Atenção Primária à Saúde/métodos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos da Visão/diagnóstico , Transtornos da Visão/epidemiologia , Transtornos da Visão/etiologia , Baixa Visão/diagnóstico , Baixa Visão/epidemiologia , Baixa Visão/etiologia , Idoso , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto/métodos , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde do Indígena/provisão & distribuição , Povos Aborígenes Australianos e Ilhéus do Estreito de Torres/estatística & dados numéricos
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