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3.
Obstet Gynecol ; 95(4): 589-95, 2000 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10725495

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of lack of progress in labor as a reason for cesarean delivery and to compare published diagnostic criteria with the labor characteristics of women with this diagnosis. METHODS: We reviewed medical records and did a postpartum telephone survey to collect data from 733 women who delivered full-term, nonbreech infants by unplanned cesarean between March 1993 and February 1994. These were a subset of 2447 births sampled at delivery from 30 hospitals in Los Angeles County and Iowa. We measured the proportion of unplanned cesareans done for lack of progress in labor, the cervical dilatation at the time of cesarean, length of the second stage, and slope of the active phase among the women. We estimated the proportion of these cesareans that conformed to the ACOG criteria for the diagnosis of lack of progress. RESULTS: Lack of progress was a reason for 68% of unplanned, vertex cesareans. At least 16% of the subjects who had cesareans for lack of progress were in the latent phase of labor according to ACOG criteria. The second stage was not prolonged in 36% of the women who delivered at 10 cm. CONCLUSION: Lack of progress in labor is a dominant reason for cesarean delivery. Many cesareans are done during the latent phase of labor, and in the second stage of labor when it is not prolonged. These practices do not conform to published diagnostic criteria for lack of progress.


Assuntos
Cesárea , Complicações do Trabalho de Parto/cirurgia , Adolescente , Adulto , Cesárea/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Complicações do Trabalho de Parto/epidemiologia , Gravidez , Prevalência , Fatores de Tempo
4.
J Neurol Sci ; 170(2): 77-89, 1999 Nov 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10561522

RESUMO

Associations between myasthenia gravis (MG) and CNS functions have been made for over 80 years. An increased incidence of psychiatric disorders, epilepsy and multiple sclerosis as well as electroencephalographic (EEG) abnormalities and abnormal evoked responses have been noted in patients with MG. Descriptions of sleep and memory disturbances in MG patients appeared as knowledge accumulated about the role of brain cholinergic systems in sleep and memory. The inference of many of these studies has been that the alleged central cholinergic effects in MG were caused either by the anticholinesterases used to treat MG or by antibodies to muscle nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (nAchR) present in the serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of MG patients. The antigenic differences between muscle nAchR and neuronal nAchRs, together with the very low concentrations of muscle nAchR antibodies in the CSF, make highly unlikely the claims that CNS cholinergic systems are affected by these muscle antibodies in MG patients. Evoked response abnormalities, if indeed present, are more likely caused by peripheral than central mechanisms, and sleep abnormalities in MG also probably originate in the periphery rather than in the CNS, the result of hypoxia caused by oropharyngeal, intercostal and diaphragmatic muscle weakness which may worsen during sleep, especially during REM sleep. Such hypoxia may account for some of the EEG abnormalities noted in MG patients, but the association of MG with epilepsy appears to be either coincidental or the result of uncontrolled MG. Significant excessive daytime sleepiness resulting from sleep disturbances can also impair memory and the performance of MG patients on neuropsychological tests, as can the presence of mental depression. The psychological aspects of MG can be attributed to the expected consequences of a chronic but unpredictable neuromuscular disease involving weakness of breathing, swallowing, talking, limb and eye movement. Considering the number and variety of claims for direct CNS involvement in MG, the evidence for this is remarkably unconvincing. The quality of MG treatment, both physical and psychological, is a presently undefined variable which might help explain the diametrically opposed results which have been obtained in some of the studies reviewed. Adequate respiratory muscle strength during sleep is an often overlooked peripheral influence upon mental functioning and general well-being of MG patients.


Assuntos
Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Miastenia Gravis/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Junção Neuromuscular/fisiopatologia , Receptores Nicotínicos/metabolismo
5.
JAMA ; 281(24): 2305-15, 1999.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10386555

RESUMO

CONTEXT: Studies of selected populations suggest that not all persons infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) receive adequate care. OBJECTIVE: To examine variations in the care received by a national sample representative of the adult US population infected with HIV. DESIGN: Cohort study that consisted of 3 interviews from January 1996 to January 1998 conducted by the HIV Cost and Services Utilization Consortium. PATIENTS AND SETTING: Multistage probability sample of 2864 respondents (68% of those targeted for sampling), who represent the 231400 persons at least 18 years old, with known HIV infection receiving medical care in the 48 contiguous United States in early 1996 in facilities other than emergency departments, the military, or prisons. The first follow-up consisted of 2466 respondents and the second had 2267 (65% of all surviving sampled subjects). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Service utilization (<2 ambulatory visits, at least 1 emergency department visit that did not lead to hospitalization, at least 1 hospitalization) and medication utilization (receipt of antiretroviral therapy and prophylaxis against Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia). RESULTS: Inadequate HIV care was commonly reported at the time of interviews conducted from early 1996 to early 1997 but declined to varying degrees by late 1997. Twenty-three percent of patients initially and 15% of patients subsequently had emergency department visits that did not lead to hospitalization, 30% initially and 26% subsequently of those who had CD4 cell counts below 0.20 x 10(9)/L did not receive P carinii pneumonia prophylaxis, and 41% initially and 15% subsequently of those who had CD4 cell counts below 0.50 x 10(9)/L did not receive antiretroviral therapy (protease inhibitor or nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor). Inferior patterns of care were seen for many of these measures in blacks and Latinos compared with whites, the uninsured and Medicaid-insured compared with the privately insured, women compared with men, and other risk and/or exposure groups compared with men who had sex with men even after CD4 cell count adjustment. With multivariate adjustment, many differences remained statistically significant. Even by early 1998, fewer blacks, women, and uninsured and Medicaid-insured persons had started taking antiretroviral medication (CD4 cell count adjusted P values <.001 to <.005). CONCLUSIONS: Access to care improved from 1996 to 1998 but remained suboptimal. Blacks, Latinos, women, the uninsured, and Medicaid-insured all had less desirable patterns of care. Strategies to ensure optimal care for patients with HIV requires identifying the causes of deficiency and addressing these important shortcomings in care.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV/economia , Infecções por HIV/terapia , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Assistência Ambulatorial/estatística & dados numéricos , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Análise Multivariada , Probabilidade , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estados Unidos
6.
Neurology ; 51(5): 1433-9, 1998 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9818874

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To contribute to a better understanding of a poorly appreciated pioneer of therapeutic neurology, Mary Broadfoot Walker, MD. BACKGROUND: At a time when the treatment of myasthenia gravis (MG) was "a source of discouragement to the patient and a cause of nightmare for the physician," Mary Walker demonstrated that temporary relief of myasthenic symptoms could be produced by subcutaneous injection of physostigmine or neostigmine (Prostigmin; Roche, Basel, Switzerland). She also pioneered the concept of a circulating factor as the etiology of myasthenia and was the first to report hypokalemia in familial periodic paralysis. Throughout her career she was dependent on her salaried jobs as a medical officer in several large London hospitals and was thus forced to turn down an offer of an honorary staff position with research beds. DESIGN/METHODS: Previously unpublished material written by persons who lived at the same time as Mary Walker is incorporated with the published record into an account of Mary Walker's accomplishments as assessed by her contemporaries. RESULTS: 1) Although Mary Walker's 1934 report on physostigmine for MG was ignored by most of those in clinical medicine at the time, those responsible for the financing of British medical research vainly hoped that it could be used as an example of the practical outcome of basic research. 2) Her 1935 demonstration of the beneficial effect of neostigmine (Prostigmin) was greeted with general skepticism because of the rapidity with which the patient's symptoms of myasthenic weakness improved, but she was soon vindicated by published confirmatory reports from several contemporaries. 3) Her 1938 demonstrations of what came to be known as "the Mary Walker effect" may have helped her reputation because subsequent published opinions of her contributions were generally favorable, although some people continue to disparage her even today. CONCLUSION: Mary Walker, with her brief case reports and her frequent demonstrations, not only offered symptomatic treatment for MG that has stood the test of time, but also provided the most convincing evidence at the time that the neuromuscular junction was the focus of the disease.


Assuntos
Inibidores da Colinesterase/história , Miastenia Gravis/tratamento farmacológico , Miastenia Gravis/história , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso/história , Neurologia/história , Inibidores da Colinesterase/uso terapêutico , História do Século XIX , História do Século XX , Humanos , Neostigmina/história , Neostigmina/uso terapêutico , Fisostigmina/história , Fisostigmina/uso terapêutico
9.
Health Serv Res ; 32(4): 511-28, 1997 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9327816

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: (1) To describe the issues in developing a clinical predictor of cesarean delivery that could be used to adjust reported cesarean rates for case mix, and (2) to compare its performance to other, simpler predictors using clinical and statistical criteria. DATA SOURCES: Singleton births greater than 2,500 grams in Washington State in 1989 and 1990 for whom mothers and infant hospital discharge records could be matched to birth certificate data. DESIGN: Statistical analysis of retrospective merged hospital and birth certificate data, which were used to develop variables and models to predict the probability that any particular delivery would be a cesarean. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Merged data led to better predictor variables than those based on one source. A simple four-category hierarchical classification into births with prior cesarean, breech but no prior cesarean, first birth, and other explains 30 percent of the variance in individual cesarean rates. The full clinical model fit the data well and explained 37 percent of the variance. Multiparas without serious complications comprised 35 percent of the mothers and averaged less than 2 percent cesareans. A hospital's predicted cesarean rate depends strongly on the proportion of its births that are first births. CONCLUSION: Government and private agencies have reported cesarean rates as measures of hospital performance. Depending on data and resources available, both simple and complex measures of case mix can be used to adjust reported rates. These adjustments should not include all variables related to the rates. Proper adjustments may not alter hospital rankings greatly, but they will improve the validity and acceptability of the reports.


Assuntos
Cesárea/estatística & dados numéricos , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados/classificação , Declaração de Nascimento , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Gravidez , Probabilidade , Análise de Regressão , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Washington
10.
Health Serv Res ; 32(1): 71-86, 1997 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9108805

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To predict the geographical effects of community rating of health insurance premiums on the amount individuals pay for insurance. DATA SOURCES: We estimate premiums and health expenditures for a 5 percent sample of Californians from the 1990 U.S. Census (the Public Use Microdata Sample) and use data from Blue Cross of California to adjust for regional price differences in services. STUDY DESIGN: We use an episodic health simulation model to estimate health expenditures for 975,074 Californians. Because the simulations do not reflect expenditure differences due to price variation in cost of services, we adjust these data for relative price differences by county. This leaves us with a sample of Californians for whom we have estimated health expenditures. We then compute average expenditures within areas of different sizes (all California, two regions, within counties) to estimate community-rated premiums. We then compare these premiums with actual expenditures on a county-by-county basis. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: With a single California-wide premium, rural residents pay premiums that exceed their use of care, while urban residents pay premiums that are less than their use of care. These transfers are substantial. Dividing California into regional risk pools at the county level still results in poorer communities providing substantial subsidies to their more wealthy counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: Mandated community rating of premiums in a heterogeneous state such as California results in large unintended transfers of wealth from poorer, rural communities to urban, wealthier communities. Allowing premiums to vary with the regional cost of medical care would eliminate some of the transfers without sacrificing the benefits of community rating. Subsidies to low-income families could also effectively mitigate this redistribution. UTILITY: This article points out some potentially regressive consequences of geographic community rating and suggests ways to mitigate them.


Assuntos
Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Seguro Saúde/economia , Métodos de Controle de Pagamentos/métodos , California , Área Programática de Saúde/economia , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/classificação , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/economia , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/estatística & dados numéricos , Honorários e Preços/normas , Humanos , Fundos de Seguro , Modelos Teóricos , População Rural , População Urbana
11.
Med Care ; 34(3): 249-63, 1996 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8628044

RESUMO

A randomized trial to evaluate the Florida site of the Program for Prepaid Managed Care showed that the plan, a staff model health maintenance organization, was successful in attracting Medicaid enrollees. The evaluation established that the health maintenance organization was able to limit members' utilization. The savings were in the form of lower likelihood of using care. The amount of services received, once care was initiated, was the same in both fee-for service Medicaid and health maintenance organizations. The authors detected no differences in inpatient use or costs. Additionally, they found evidence that the plan attracted sicker than average enrollees, so this reduced utilization translates into Medicaid program savings.


Assuntos
Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/economia , Medicaid/organização & administração , Planos Governamentais de Saúde/economia , Adolescente , Adulto , Capitação , Criança , Controle de Custos , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Demografia , Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado , Feminino , Florida , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Medicaid/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise Multivariada , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Estados Unidos
12.
Med Care ; 32(10): 1004-18, 1994 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7934268

RESUMO

This paper describes a procedure used to link Medicaid claims data to California vital statistics records for very low birthweight infants. The linkage involved about 53,000 infants born from 1980 to 1987 and 1.46 million claims for delivery/birth-related hospital admissions during the same period. Because the two data files did not share a unique identifier, record linkage required combining evidence across several linking variables: delivery hospital, delivery/birth date or hospitalization period, names, mother's age, and zip code. To combine the various pieces of evidence, we used record linkage theory to compute scores that measure the likelihood of a match, i.e., that two records correspond to the same delivery. These scores appropriately weight the various pieces of evidence for or against a match. Implementation required dealing with large amounts of missing data in one of the files, errors and variations in reported names, and the need to minimize the number of incorrect links. The approach applies to a wide range of linkage problems. The ability to combine existing datasets to form new datasets containing analysis variables from each facilitates analyses that would otherwise be impossible, or prohibitively expensive.


Assuntos
Declaração de Nascimento , Bases de Dados Factuais , Atestado de Óbito , Mortalidade Infantil , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Medicaid/estatística & dados numéricos , Registro Médico Coordenado/métodos , Viés , California/epidemiologia , Parto Obstétrico/economia , Parto Obstétrico/estatística & dados numéricos , Parto Obstétrico/tendências , Feminino , Morte Fetal/epidemiologia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/tendências , Hospitalização/economia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/tendências , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Formulário de Reclamação de Seguro , Funções Verossimilhança , Gravidez , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos
13.
JAMA ; 272(12): 934-40, 1994 Sep 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8084060

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To compare the appropriateness of coronary angiography and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) use between the United States and Canada. DESIGN: Retrospective randomized medical record review. SETTING: All hospitals performing coronary angiography and/or CABG surgery in two Canadian provinces (Ontario and British Columbia); in New York State, 15 randomly selected hospitals that provide coronary angiography and 15 randomly selected hospitals that provide CABG surgery. PATIENTS: All patients were randomly selected. For coronary angiography, 533 patients in Canada and 1333 patients in New York were selected; for CABG, 556 patients in Canada and 1336 patients in New York were selected. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Percentage of patients in each country who had coronary angiography or CABG for necessary, appropriate, uncertain, or inappropriate indications as rated by criteria developed separately in each country and the complications of those procedures. RESULTS: For coronary angiography, 9% of Canadian cases and 10% of New York cases were rated inappropriate using Canadian criteria compared with 5% and 4%, respectively, using US criteria. For CABG, 4% of Canadian cases and 6% of New York cases were rated inappropriate by Canadian criteria compared with 3% and 2%, respectively, using US criteria. A lower proportion of procedures were performed on persons aged 75 years or older in Canada than in New York for both coronary angiography (5% vs 11%; P < .001) and CABG (6% vs 14%; P < .001). Women were also represented in lower proportions among angiography cases in Canada than in New York (28% vs 35%; P = .023). Canadian patients with left main coronary disease waited significantly longer between angiography and CABG than did New York patients (P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Rates of inappropriate use of cardiac procedures were low in Canada and New York, which suggests that the regionalization of cardiac procedures that characterizes both health care systems contributes to better clinical decision making. Differences in the use of cardiac procedures among the elderly in the two countries merits further comparative examination.


Assuntos
Angiografia Coronária/estatística & dados numéricos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/estatística & dados numéricos , Resultado do Tratamento , Revisão da Utilização de Recursos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Colúmbia Britânica , Angiografia Coronária/mortalidade , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Coleta de Dados , Feminino , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , New York , Ontário , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Padrões de Prática Médica/estatística & dados numéricos , Avaliação da Tecnologia Biomédica , Revisão da Utilização de Recursos de Saúde/métodos
14.
Health Serv Res ; 29(1): 95-112, 1994 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8163382

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated how mortality differences between groups of municipal versus voluntary hospitals are affected by case-mix adjustment methods. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SETTING: We sampled about 10,000 random admissions from administrative data for patients hospitalized with each of six conditions in hospitals in New York City during 1984-1987. STUDY DESIGN: We developed logistic regression models adjusting for age and gender, for principal diagnosis, for "limited other diagnoses" (secondary diagnoses that were very unlikely to result from care received), for "full other diagnoses" (all secondary diagnoses irrespective of whether they might have been due to care received), for previous diagnoses, and for other variables. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: For five of the six conditions, when the limited other diagnoses adjustment was used there was higher mortality in the municipal hospitals (p < .05), with 3.3 additional deaths/100 admissions for myocardial infarction, 1.2 for pneumonia, 8.3 for stroke, 2.8 for head trauma, and 0.8 for hip repair. However, when the full other diagnoses adjustment was used, differences remained significant only for stroke (4.3 additional deaths/100 admissions) and head trauma (1.3) (p < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Estimates of mortality differences between New York City municipal and voluntary hospitals are substantially affected by which secondary diagnoses are used in case-mix adjustment. Judgments of quality should not be based on administrative data unless models can be developed that validly capture level of sickness at admission.


Assuntos
Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitais Municipais/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais Filantrópicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Comorbidade , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados/estatística & dados numéricos , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados/tendências , Feminino , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cidade de Nova Iorque/epidemiologia , Admissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Admissão do Paciente/tendências , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Estudos de Amostragem , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
15.
Am J Public Health ; 83(7): 1024-6, 1993 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8328598

RESUMO

To determine if mortality differences between municipal and voluntary hospitals in New York City persist after adjustment for computerized administrative data (age, sex, principal diagnosis, and secondary diagnosis), six conditions in those hospitals from 1984 through 1987 were studied. Unadjusted mortality was significantly higher in municipal hospitals for myocardial infarction, stroke, and head trauma, and lower for congestive heart failure and pneumonia. Adjustment using administrative data eliminated differences for myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, and pneumonia, but not for stroke and head trauma. We conclude that adjustment using administrative data eliminates some but not all mortality differences between municipal and voluntary hospitals. Medical record review is needed to determine why these differences persist.


Assuntos
Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitais Municipais/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais Filantrópicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados , Humanos , Cidade de Nova Iorque/epidemiologia
16.
JAMA ; 269(18): 2398-402, 1993 May 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8479066

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To develop and test a method for comparing the appropriateness of hysterectomy use in different health plans. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Seven managed care organizations. PATIENTS: Random sample of all nonemergency, non-oncological hysterectomies performed in the seven managed care organizations over a 1-year period. Patients who were not continuously enrolled in a plan for 2 years prior to their hysterectomy were excluded. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion of women undergoing hysterectomy in each plan for inappropriate clinical reasons according to ratings derived from a panel of managed care physicians. RESULTS: Overall, about 16% of women underwent hysterectomy for reasons judged to be clinically inappropriate. Only one plan had significantly more hysterectomies rated inappropriate compared with the group mean (27%, unadjusted). Adjusting for age and race did not affect the rankings of the plans and had little effect on the numeric results. CONCLUSION: The rates of inappropriate use of hysterectomies are similar to those for other procedures and vary to a small degree among health plans. This information may be useful to purchasers when they consider which health plans to offer their employees.


Assuntos
Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/normas , Mau Uso de Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Histerectomia/estatística & dados numéricos , Revisão da Utilização de Recursos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde/organização & administração , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Garantia da Qualidade dos Cuidados de Saúde , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
19.
20.
Ann Intern Med ; 113(10): 747-53, 1990 Nov 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2240877

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the complication or death rate from carotid endarterectomy can be predicted from hospital and physician structural variables, such as the hospital's teaching status or the number of endarterectomies done by the surgeon per year. DESIGN: Survey of medical records. After controlling for the severity of the patient's condition on the basis of data in the medical record at the time of the endarterectomy, regression analyses were used to predict the postoperative stroke, heart attack, and 30-day death rate as a function of patient, physician, and hospital characteristics. SETTING: Three geographic areas (states or large parts of states; average population, 3 million) in the United States. PATIENTS: Random sample of 1302 patients 65 years of age or older having carotid endarterectomy in 1981. INTERVENTION: Carotid endarterectomy. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 1302 patients, 11.3% had a postoperative stroke or heart attack or died within 30 days of the operation. Patient age, race, income, and gender; physician volume, board certification status, and age; and hospital size, for-profit status, ownership, and teaching status were not significantly related to the postoperative complication or death rate. If the surgeon was a graduate of a foreign, but not a Western European or Canadian, medical school, however, the average complication or death rate rose from 10.4% to 19.6% (P less than 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The effectiveness of carotid endarterectomy depends heavily on its complication rate. Because complications after surgery cannot, in general, be predicted from structural variables, referring physicians cannot rely solely on the surgeon's experience and qualifications when recommending a carotid endarterectomy. The surgeon's and the hospital's actual postoperative complication and death rate should be considered.


Assuntos
Artérias Carótidas/cirurgia , Endarterectomia/efeitos adversos , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/epidemiologia , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/etiologia , Endarterectomia/mortalidade , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco
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