Correction: Smoking cessation and obesity-related morbidities and mortality in a 20-year follow-up study.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0279443.].

Non-dipping blood pressure pattern is associated with cardiovascular events in a 21-year follow-up study.

Non-dipping blood pressure (BP) pattern is a predictor for cardiovascular (CV) events and mortality. We evaluated dipping status change and its association with incidence of non-fatal CV events in middle-aged subjects. The OPERA study was carried out during the years 1991-1993, with a follow-up study 21.7 years later. In this study, we included 452 participants with 24-h ambulatory BP measurements (ABPM) available in both surveys. The study population was divided into four groups according to the dipping pattern change: dipping-dipping (n = 152/33.6%), dipping-non-dipping (n = 198/43.8%), non-dipping-dipping (n = 20/4.4%), and non-dipping-non-dipping (n = 82/18.1%). Sixty-five participants experienced a CV event (14.4%) during the 21.7 (SD 0.8) years of follow-up. The incidence of events was highest (28%) in the non-dipping-non-dipping group, and lowest (6.6%) in the dipping-dipping group (p < 0.001). In Cox regression analyses the covariates were age, sex, total cholesterol, hypertension and use of antihypertensive medication, systolic office BP and ambulatory mean or nighttime systolic BP, as well as the change in the variables during the follow-up period. After adjustments, the association of the non-dipping-non-dipping pattern with CV events compared with the dipping-dipping pattern remained significant (HR 4.01; 95% CI 1.89-8.67, p < 0.001). In summary, non-dipping-non-dipping pattern was associated with non-fatal CV events in the long term, and the effect was independent of the conventional risk factors including office and ambulatory BP levels.

Leisure time and occupational physical activity, overall and cardiovascular mortality: a 24-year follow-up in the OPERA study.

BACKGROUND: In earlier studies, the health benefits of physical activity have only been related to leisure time physical activity (LTPA). High occupational physical activity (OPA) might even be harmful. The current physical activity recommendations do not separate the OPA and LTPA. We investigated the effect of LTPA and OPA on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality during long-term follow-up. We also examined how heavy work affects the benefits of leisure time exercise. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study was part of the OPERA study and the baseline examinations were conducted between the years 1991 and 1993. The Follow-up of events continued until the end of the year 2020. Study subjects (n = 1044) were divided into four groups according to their LTPA ("no exercise", "irregular", "regular" and "heavy regular") and into three groups according to their OPA ("no activity", "mild" and "heavy"). The amount of exercise was self-reported and the exercise status was defined at the beginning of the study. Study subjects were followed up for their overall mortality (26 years), fatal and non-fatal CVD events (24 and 20 years) and heart failure (20 years). The survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox-proportional hazard models. RESULTS: "Heavy" OPA group subjects belonging to the "irregular" (less than 1-2 times 30 min exercise per week) LTPA group experienced the lowest overall mortality compared to other LTPA groups. Also, overall mortality was increased in the "mild" (p = 0.002) and CVD mortality in the" heavy" (p = 0.005) OPA group compared to "no activity". The incidence of heart failure was increased in the "no exercise" LTPA compared to the "heavy regular" (p = 0.015) group. CONCLUSIONS: Study subjects who were in physically demanding occupations (heavy OPA) seemed to benefit from less LTPA than WHO currently recommends. Thus we suggest targeting different LTPA recommendations to different OPA groups.

Overall mortality was increased in the "mild" and CVD mortality in the" heavy" OPA group compared to "no activity" OPA in 26-year follow-up.Study subjects in physically demanding occupations benefitted more from less LTPA than the WHO currently recommends.High LTPA protected middle-aged study subjects from heart failure compared with sedentary study subjects at 20-year follow-up.

Comparing ultrasonographically assessed carotid and abdominal aorta plaques in cardiovascular disease risk estimation.

BACKGROUND: Individual risk estimation is an essential part of cardiovascular (CV) disease prevention. Several imaging parameters have been studied for this purpose. Based on mounting evidence, international guidelines recommend the ultrasound assessment of carotid artery plaques to refine individual risk estimation. Previous studies have not compared carotid artery and abdominal aorta plaques in CV risk estimation. Our aim was to explore this matter in a prospective study setting. METHODS: Participants were part of the Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis (OPERA) project. All participants (n = 1007, 50% males, aged 51.3 ± 6.0 years) were clinically examined in the beginning of 1990's and followed until the end 2014 for fatal and non-fatal CV events. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 22.5 (17.5-23.2) years, 246 (24%) participants suffered a CV event and 79 (32%) of those CV events were fatal. When compared to those without plaques, both carotid (hazard ratio, HR 2.854 [95% confidence interval, CI, 2.188-3.721, p < 0.001) and abdominal aorta plaques (HR 2.534 [1.503-4.274], p < 0.001) were major risk factors for CV events as an aggregate endpoint. These associations remained even after adjusting the multivariable models with age, sex, systolic blood pressure, smoking, diabetes, LDL cholesterol, and with previous CV events (coronary artery disease and stroke/transient ischemic attack). However, only carotid plaques were significant risk factors for fatal CV events: multivariable adjusted HR 2.563 (1.452-4.524), p = 0.001. Furthermore, reclassification and discrimination parameters were improved only when carotid plaques were added to a baseline risk model. Adding abdominal aorta plaques to the baseline risk model improved C-statistic from 0.718 (0.684-0.751) to 0.721 (0.688-0.754) whereas carotid plaques improved it to 0.743 (0.710-0.776). CONCLUSIONS: Both carotid and abdominal aorta plaques are significant risk factors for CV events, but only carotid plaques provide prognostic information beyond traditional CV risk factors on fatal CV events. If one ultrasound parameter for plaque detection and CV risk estimation had to be chosen, carotid plaques may be preferred over abdominal aorta.

Association of high-sensitivity troponin T with outcomes in asymptomatic non-severe aortic stenosis: a post-hoc substudy of the SEAS trial.

Background: High-sensitivity Troponin T (hsTnT), a biomarker of cardiomyocyte overload and injury, relates to aortic valve replacement (AVR) and mortality in severe aortic stenosis (AS). However, its prognostic value remains unknown in asymptomatic patients with AS. We aimed to investigate if an hsTnT level >14 pg/mL (above upper limit of normal 99th percentile) is associated with echocardiographic AS-severity, subsequent AVR, ischaemic coronary events (ICE), and mortality in asymptomatic patients with non-severe AS. Methods: In this post-hoc sub-analysis of the multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled SEAS trial (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00092677), we included asymptomatic patients with mild to moderate-severe AS. We ascertained baseline and 1-year hsTnT concentrations and examined the association between baseline levels and the risk of the primary composite endpoint, defined as the first event of all-cause mortality, isolated AVR (without coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG)), or ICE. Multivariable regressions and competing risk analyses examined associations of hsTnT level >14 pg/mL with clinical correlates and 5-year risk of the primary endpoint. Findings: Between January 6, 2003, and March 4, 2004, a total of 1873 patients were enrolled in the SEAS trial, and 1739 patients were included in this post-hoc sub-analysis. Patients had a mean (SD) age of 67.5 (9.7) years, 61.0% (1061) were men, 17.4% (302) had moderate-severe AS, and 26.0% (453) had hsTnT level >14 pg/mL. The median hsTnT difference from baseline to 1-year was 0.8 pg/mL (IQR, -0.4 to 2.3). In adjusted linear regression, log(hsTnT) did not correlate with echocardiographic AS severity (p = 0.36). In multivariable Cox regression, a hsTnT level >14 pg/mL vs. hsTnT ≤14 pg/mL was associated with an increased risk of the primary composite endpoint (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.18-1.70; p = 0.0002). In a competing risk model of first of the individual components of the primary endpoint, a hsTnT level >14 pg/mL was associated with ICE risk (HR 1.71; 95% CI, 1.23-2.38; p = 0.0013), but not with isolated AVR (p = 0.064) or all-cause mortality (p = 0.49) as the first event. Interpretation: hsTnT level is within the reference range (≤14 pg/mL) in 3 out of 4 non-ischaemic patients with asymptomatic mild-to-moderate AS and remains stable during a 1-year follow-up regardless of AS-severity. An hsTnT level >14 pg/mL was mainly associated with subsequent ICE, which suggest that hsTnT concentration is primarily a risk marker of subclinical coronary atherosclerotic disease. Funding: Merck & Co., Inc., the Schering-Plough Corporation, the Interreg IVA program, Roche Diagnostics Ltd., and Gangstedfonden. Open access publication fee funding provided by prof. Olav W. Nielsen and Department of Cardiology, Bispebjerg University Hospital, Denmark.

Factors associated with fragility fractures in type 2 diabetes: An analysis of the randomised controlled Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) study.

AIMS: Fracture risk is elevated in some type 2 diabetes patients. Bone fragility may be associated with more clinically severe type 2 diabetes, although prospective studies are lacking. It is unknown which diabetes-related characteristics are independently associated with fracture risk. In this post-hoc analysis of fracture data from the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) trial (ISRCTN#64783481), we hypothesised that diabetic microvascular complications are associated with bone fragility. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The FIELD trial randomly assigned 9795 type 2 diabetes participants (aged 50-75 years) to receive oral co-micronised fenofibrate 200 mg (n = 4895) or placebo (n = 4900) daily for a median of 5 years. We used Cox proportional hazards models to identify baseline sex-specific diabetes-related parameters independently associated with incident fractures. RESULTS: Over 49,470 person-years, 137/6138 men experienced 141 fractures and 143/3657 women experienced 145 fractures; incidence rates for the first fracture of 4∙4 (95% CI 3∙8-5∙2) and 7∙7 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 6∙5-9∙1), respectively. Fenofibrate had no effect on fracture outcomes. In men, baseline macrovascular disease (HR 1∙52, 95% CI 1∙05-2∙21, p = 0∙03), insulin use (HR 1∙62, HR 1∙03-2∙55, p = 0∙03), and HDL-cholesterol (HR 2∙20, 95% CI 1∙11-4∙36, p = 0∙02) were independently associated with fracture. In women, independent risk factors included baseline peripheral neuropathy (HR 2∙04, 95% CI 1∙16-3∙59, p = 0∙01) and insulin use (HR 1∙55, 95% CI 1∙02-2∙33, p = 0∙04). CONCLUSIONS: Insulin use and sex-specific complications (in men, macrovascular disease; in women, neuropathy) are independently associated with fragility fractures in adults with type 2 diabetes.

Carotid and femoral bruits as cardiovascular risk indicators in a middle-aged Finnish population: A 20-year prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Effective treatment and prevention of cardiovascular (CV) diseases requires reliable methods of assessing individual CV event risk. Although standardized risk calculators like Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) are sufficient in most instances, sometimes more specific clinical examination is needed to determine the most optimal intervention and its intensity. AIM: To study whether carotid and femoral bruits provide prognostic information on CV events, CV mortality and all-cause mortality beyond traditional CV risk factors. METHODS: 1045 subjects (49.8% men), aged 51.3 ± 5.97 years were clinically examined in the beginning of 1990's. The subjects were followed for over 20 years and data on CV events and causes of deaths was collected. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 241 (23.1%) of the subjects died and 82 (34.6%) of the deaths were of CV origin. Carotid bruits were a significant risk factor for CV deaths only if subjects with previous CV events were included. After adjusting for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, smoking, diabetes, LDL cholesterol, coronary artery disease and stroke, carotid bruits posed a hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) of 4.15 (2.39-8.52) p<0.001 for CV deaths. After excluding subjects with previous CV events (after which n = 941) neither carotid nor femoral bruits were statistically associated with CV events or all-cause mortality. Adding carotid or femoral bruits in the baseline risk model with traditional CV risk factors did not improve C-statistic, reclassification, or discrimination of the subjects. CONCLUSIONS: Carotid and femoral bruits do not provide clinically useful information in a pure primary prevention setting. Carotid bruits might be useful in evaluating the overall CV risk in a population where recurrent CV events may occur.

Smoking cessation and obesity-related morbidities and mortality in a 20-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Smoking is the biggest preventable factor causing mortality and morbidity and the health benefits of smoking cessation are commonly known. Smoking cessation-related weight gain is well documented. We evaluated the association between smoking cessation and the incidence of obesity-related morbidities such as hypertension, diabetes and metabolic syndrome as well as mortality. We also evaluated telomere length related to smoking cessation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study was part of the OPERA (Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis) study. The mean follow up time among the 600 study subjects was 20 years. We divided the study subjects into four groups by smoking status ("never", "current", "ex-smokers" and "quit") and analyzed their health status. "Ex-smokers" had quit smoking before baseline and "quit" quit during the follow-up time. Information about total mortality between the years 2013-2020 was also utilized. RESULTS: During the follow-up time systolic blood pressure decreased the most in the "current" and in the "ex-smoker" groups. Office SBP decreased the least in the "quit" group (p = 0.001). BMI increased the most in the "quit" and the least in the "ex-smokers" group (p = 0.001). No significant increases were seen in the incidence of obesity-related-diseases, such as metabolic syndrome, hypertension and diabetes was seen. There was no significant difference in the shortening of telomeres. Odds of short-term mortality was increased in the "current" group (2.43 (CI 95% 1.10; 5.39)), but not in the "quit" (1.43 (CI 95% 0.73-2.80)) or "ex-smoker" (1.02 (CI 95% 0.56-1.86)) groups when compared to "never" group. CONCLUSIONS: Even though, the blood pressure levels were unfavorable in the "quit" group, there was no significant increase in the incidence of obesity-related-diseases, and a noticeable benefit in short-term mortality was seen during the 6-year follow-up. The benefits of smoking cessation outweigh the disadvantages in the long-term.

Long-term metabolic fate and mortality in obesity without metabolic syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Obesity and metabolic syndrome (MetS) are known to expose to atrial fibrillation (AF), cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and mortality. Metabolically healthy obesity refers to obesity without MetS. This study aimed to investigate how obesity and MetS modify the risk of CVD, AF and mortality in very long-time follow-up. METHODS: Finnish middle-aged subjects (n = 1045) were grouped into four subgroups according to the presence of obesity and MetS. CVD events and AF were followed for 24 years and total mortality for 30 years. Moreover, 600 available patients had a follow-up visit for metabolic examinations after approximately 22 years. RESULTS: One-hundred and sixty-two (30%) subjects without obesity or MetS died during the follow-up. Ninety-two (17%) of the patients in this group had a CVD event and 58 (11%) were diagnosed with AF. As compared to them, obese subjects without MetS had similar metabolic fate and mortality (mortality 26 (38%), p = .143; CVD event 12 (18%), p = .858 and AF 7 (10%), p = .912, respectively), whereas subjects with obesity and MetS had greater mortality (102 (49%), p < .001), more CVD (71 (34%), p < .001) and AF (49 (23%), p < .001). Non-obese individuals with MetS had greater rates of mortality (96 (44%), p < .001) and CVD (80 (37%), p < .001), but not of AF (26 (12%), p = .606). Of the 40 subjects with obesity but without MetS at baseline and available for the follow-up visit, 15 (38%) were metabolically healthy at the follow-up visit. CONCLUSIONS: In the present long-term follow-up study, the presence of MetS, but not obesity only, implies a greater risk of mortality and CVD. The risk of AF is increased only in subjects with both obesity and MetS. However, obesity without MetS tends to progress eventually to obesity with MetS. Key messagesThe presence of metabolic syndrome (MetS), but not obesity only, entails a greater risk of mortality and cardiovascular diseases.The risk of atrial fibrillation is increased only in subjects with both obesity and MetS.Obesity without MetS tends to progress eventually to obesity with MetS.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and its prognosis associates with shorter leucocyte telomeres in a 21-year follow-up study.

Leucocyte telomere length (LTL) has been associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but the evidence is imperfect. Furthermore, liver fibrosis has been shown to correlate with mortality and recent studies have also found associations with LTL and fibrosis suggesting that LTL may have additional prognostic value in liver diseases. Our objective was to study the association of LTL and NAFLD and evaluate the association of LTL in prognosis of NAFLD subjects. Study subjects (n = 847) were middle-aged hypertensive patients. All participants were evaluated for NAFLD and their LTL was measured at baseline. Outcomes were obtained from Finnish Causes-of-Death Register and the Care Register for Health Care in Statistics Finland to the end of 2014. An inverse association with NAFLD prevalence and LTL length was observed (p < .001 for trend). Shortest telomere tertile possessed statistically significantly more NAFLD subjects even with multivariate analysis (shortest vs. middle tertile HR 1.98 p = .006 and shortest vs. longest tertile HR 2.03 p = .007). For the study period, mortality of the study group showed statistically significant relation with telomere length in univariate but not for multivariate analysis. In subgroup analysis, LTL did not associate with prognosis of non-NAFLD subjects. However, LTL was inversely associated with overall mortality in the subjects with NAFLD in both univariate (HR 0.16 p = .007) and multivariate analysis (HR 0.20 p = .045). In middle-aged Caucasian cohort, shorter leucocyte telomeres associated independently with increased prevalence of NAFLD. Shorter LTL was not associated with mortality in non-NAFLD patients whereas it predicted mortality of NAFLD patients independently.

Association of Annual N-Terminal Pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide Measurements With Clinical Events in Patients With Asymptomatic Nonsevere Aortic Stenosis: A Post Hoc Substudy of the SEAS Trial.

IMPORTANCE: Recent studies have questioned the presumed low-risk status of patients with asymptomatic nonsevere aortic stenosis (AS). Whether annual N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) measurements are useful for risk assessment is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of annual NT-proBNP measurements with clinical outcomes in patients with nonsevere AS. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of annual NT-proBNP concentrations in the multicenter, double-blind Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis (SEAS) randomized clinical trial was performed. SEAS was conducted from January 6, 2003, to April 1, 2008. Blood samples were analyzed in 2016, and data analysis was performed from February 10 to October 10, 2021. SEAS included 1873 patients with asymptomatic AS not requiring statin therapy with transaortic maximal flow velocity from 2.5 to 4.0 m/s and preserved ejection fraction. This substudy included 1644 patients (87.8%) with available blood samples at baseline and year 1. EXPOSURES: Increased age- and sex-adjusted NT-proBNP concentrations at year 1 and a 1.5-fold or greater relative NT-proBNP concentration change from baseline to year 1. Moderate AS was defined as baseline maximal flow velocity greater than or equal to 3.0 m/s. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Aortic valve events (AVEs), which are a composite of aortic valve replacement, cardiovascular death, or incident heart failure due to AS progression, were noted. Landmark analyses from year 1 examined the association of NT-proBNP concentrations with outcomes. RESULTS: Among 1644 patients, 996 were men (60.6%); mean (SD) age was 67.5 (9.7) years. Adjusted NT-proBNP concentrations were within the reference range (normal) in 1228 of 1594 patients (77.0%) with NT-proBNP values available at baseline and in 1164 of 1644 patients (70.8%) at year 1. During the next 2 years of follow-up, the AVE rates per 100 patient-years for normal vs increased adjusted NT-proBNP levels at year 1 were 1.39 (95% CI, 0.86-2.23) vs 7.05 (95% CI, 4.60-10.81) for patients with mild AS (P < .01), and 10.38 (95% CI, 8.56-12.59) vs 26.20 (95% CI, 22.03-31.15) for those with moderate AS (P < .01). Corresponding all-cause mortality rates were 1.05 (95% CI, 0.61-1.81) vs 4.17 (95% CI, 2.42-7.19) for patients with mild AS (P < .01), and 1.60 (95% CI, 0.99-2.57) vs 4.78 (95% CI, 3.32-6.87) for those with moderate AS (P < .01). In multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models, the combination of a 1-year increased adjusted NT-proBNP level and 1.5-fold or greater NT-proBNP level change from baseline was associated with the highest AVE rates in both patients with mild AS (hazard ratio, 8.12; 95% CI, 3.53-18.66; P < .001) and those with moderate AS (hazard ratio, 4.05; 95% CI, 2.84-5.77; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The findings of this study suggest that normal NT-proBNP concentrations at 1-year follow-up are associated with low AVE and all-cause mortality rates in patients with asymptomatic nonsevere AS. Conversely, an increased 1-year NT-proBNP level combined with a 50% or greater increase from baseline may be associated with high AVE rates. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00092677.

Higher hemoglobin levels are an independent risk factor for adverse metabolism and higher mortality in a 20-year follow-up.

The aim of this study was to cross-sectionally and longitudinally examine whether higher hemoglobin (Hb) levels within the normal variation associate with key components of metabolic syndrome and total and cardiovascular mortality. The study included 967 Finnish subjects (age 40-59 years) followed for ≥ 20 years. The focus was on Hb levels, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and mortality rates. Higher Hb levels associated positively with key anthropometric and metabolic parameters at baseline. At the follow-up similar associations were seen in men. The highest Hb quartile showed higher leptin levels and lower adiponectin levels at baseline and follow-up (p < 0.05) and lower plasma ghrelin levels at baseline (p < 0.05). Higher baseline Hb levels associated independently with prevalence of type 2 diabetes at follow-up (p < 0.01). The highest Hb quartile associated with higher serum alanine aminotransferase levels (p < 0.001) and independently with increased risk for liver fat accumulation (OR 1.63 [1.03; 2.57]) at baseline. The highest Hb quartile showed increased risk for total (HR = 1.48 [1.01; 2.16]) and CVD-related mortality (HR = 2.08 [1.01; 4.29]). Higher Hb levels associated with an adverse metabolic profile, increased prevalence of key components of metabolic syndrome and higher risk for CVD-related and total mortality.

Nighttime ambulatory pulse pressure predicts cardiovascular and all-cause mortality among middle-aged participants in the 21-year follow-up.

Office pulse pressure (PP) is a predictor for cardiovascular (CV) events and mortality. Our aim was to evaluate ambulatory PP as a long-term risk factor in a random cohort of middle-aged participants. The Opera study took place in years 1991-1993, with a 24-h ambulatory blood pressure measurement (ABPM) performed to 900 participants. The end-points were non-fatal and fatal CV events, and deaths of all-causes. Follow-up period, until the first event or until the end of the year 2014, was 21.1 years (mean). Of 900 participants, 22.6% died (29.6% of men/15.6% of women, p<.001). A CV event was experienced by 208 participants (23.1%), 68.3% of them were male (p<.001). High nighttime ambulatory PP predicted independently CV mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 2.60; 95% confidence interval [CI 95%] 1.08-6.31, p=.034) and all-cause mortality in the whole population (HR 1.72; Cl 95% 1.06-2.78, p=.028). In males, both 24-h PP and nighttime PP associated with CV mortality and all-cause mortality (24-h PP HR for CV mortality 2.98; CI 95% 1.11-8.04, p=.031 and all-cause mortality HR 2.40; CI 95% 1.32-4.37, p=.004). Accordingly, nighttime PP; HR for CV mortality 3.13; CI 95% 1.14-8.56, p=.026, and for all-cause mortality HR 2.26; CI 95% 1.29-3.96, p=.004. Cox regression analyses were adjusted by sex, CV risk factors, and appropriate ambulatory mean systolic BP. In our study, high ambulatory nighttime PP was detected as a long-term risk factor for CV and all-cause mortality in middle-aged individuals.

Abdominal aorta plaques are better in predicting future cardiovascular events compared to carotid intima-media thickness: A 20-year prospective study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Both carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and arterial plaques have been shown to predict future CV events. Since there are no previous studies on the subject, our objective was to compare carotid IMT and the length of plaques in abdominal-pelvic main arteries in CV risk assessment in a prospective study setting with a follow-up of over 20 years. METHODS: A total of 1007 patients (50% men), aged 51 ± 6.0 years, participated in the current study. Carotid IMT and the summarized plaque length (SUM) from abdominal aorta to common femoral arteries were ultrasonographically assessed. Patients were followed-up a median (1st-3rd quartile) of 22.5 (17.5-23.2) years for CV events. RESULTS: SUM significantly predicted CV events (HR per every 10 mm increase: 1.035, 95% CI: 1.027-1.044, p < 0.001). Those in the highest SUM tertile had over 3-fold risk for CV event (HR: 3.392, 95% CI: 2.427-4.741, p < 0.001) when compared to those in the lowest tertile. SUM significantly predicted CV events even after adjusting for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, smoking (pack-years), LDL cholesterol and IMT. Adding SUM to the established model improved C-index (95% CI) from 0.706 (0.674-0.738) to 0.718 (0.688-0.747) as well as both discrimination (p < 0.001) and reclassification (p < 0.001) of the patients. In contrast, IMT predicted cardiovascular events only in univariate analysis and it did not improve discrimination or reclassification of the patients. CONCLUSIONS: In light of our findings, SUM is a superior indicator and clinical tool for evaluating the overall CV risk compared to carotid IMT.

Risk factors for major adverse cardiovascular events after the first acute coronary syndrome.

AIMS: To evaluate risk factors for major adverse cardiac event (MACE) after the first acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and to examine the prevalence of risk factors in post-ACS patients. METHODS: We used Finnish population-based myocardial infarction register, FINAMI, data from years 1993-2011 to identify survivors of first ACS (n = 12686), who were then followed up for recurrent events and all-cause mortality for three years. Finnish FINRISK risk factor surveys were used to determine the prevalence of risk factors (smoking, hyperlipidaemia, diabetes and blood pressure) in post-ACS patients (n = 199). RESULTS: Of the first ACS survivors, 48.4% had MACE within three years of their primary event, 17.0% were fatal. Diabetes (p = 4.4 × 10-7), heart failure (HF) during the first ACS attack hospitalization (p = 6.8 × 10-15), higher Charlson index (p = 1.56 × 10-19) and older age (p = .026) were associated with elevated risk for MACE in the three-year follow-up, and revascularization (p = .0036) was associated with reduced risk. Risk factor analyses showed that 23% of ACS survivors continued smoking and cholesterol levels were still high (>5mmol/l) in 24% although 86% of the patients were taking lipid lowering medication. CONCLUSION: Diabetes, higher Charlson index and HF are the most important risk factors of MACE after the first ACS. Cardiovascular risk factor levels were still high among survivors of first ACS.

Soluble ST2, a biomarker of fibrosis, is associated with multiple risk factors, chronic diseases and total mortality in the OPERA study.

Several diseases have a deleterious fibrosis component. Biomarkers indicating potential clinical utility that reliably reflect the degree of fibrosis have been introduced, one of them being soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2). The aim of our study was to explore the association of cardiometabolic risk factors, different diseases and total mortality with biomarker sST2 and see, how fibrosis is portrayed in these conditions. In addition, we were interested to see if sST2 levels could predict fibrosis in the long-term (21 years). The Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis (OPERA) survey collected data on the same individuals in years 1991-1993 (baseline, n = 1045), 2013-2014 (follow-up, n = 600) and mortality data until year 2019. Smoking at baseline retained a significant association with sST2 levels reflecting fibrosis development 20 years later. In the multivariate model male gender, diabetes, quick-index, levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALAT), high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) were associated with elevated sST2 levels at the examination 2013-2014. sST2 levels were higher among subjects suffering from cardiovascular disease (p = .031), cancer (p = .021), mild cognitive decline (p = .046) and diabetes (p < .001). Total mortality was assessed by using the Cox proportional hazard survival model analysis. sST2 (log-transformed) was an independent predictor of total mortality (HR 9.4; 95% CI 2.8-31.4, p<.001) when age, gender, diabetes, smoking, quick-index, levels of ALAT, HDL-cholesterol and hsCRP were added as covariates. In addition, elevated levels indicated worse prognosis and predicted mortality.

Resistin is a risk factor for all-cause mortality in elderly Finnish population: A prospective study in the OPERA cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Resistin is a small, cysteine-rich proinflammatory molecule that is primarily secreted by peripheral blood mononuclear cells and macrophages in humans. Previous studies have shown resistin to participate in various pathological processes including atherosclerosis and cancer progression but not many studies have assessed the role of resistin as a risk factor for all-cause mortality. The objective of this prospective study was to evaluate whether resistin predicts mortality among elderly Finnish people. METHODS: The study population consisted of 599 elderly (71.7 ± 5.4 years) patients and the follow-up was approximately six years. A thorough clinical examination including anthropometric and other clinical measurements such as blood pressure as well as various laboratory parameters (including resistin) was conducted at baseline. RESULTS: After the follow-up, 65 (11%) of the patients died. Resistin was a significant risk factor for all-cause mortality (HR 3.02, 95% CI: 1.64-5.56, p<0.001) when the highest tertile was compared to the lowest. Resistin remained as a significant risk factor even after adjusting for various covariates such as age, sex, systolic blood pressure, smoking habits, alcohol consumption, medications (antihypertensive, lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering), hsCRP and leisure time physical activity. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for resistin demonstrated area under the curve (AUC) of 0.656 (95% CI: 0.577-0.734), p<0.001 and an optimal cutoff value of 12.88 ng/ml. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that resistin is a significant risk factor for all-cause mortality among elderly Finnish subjects, independent from traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

Peptide hormones and risk for future cardiovascular events among prediabetics: a 20-year follow-up in the OPERA study.

Background: Prediabetes has proven to have many unfavourable impacts on the cardiovascular system.Methods: The OPERA (Oulu Project Elucidating Risk of Atherosclerosis) study included 1045 middle-aged subjects followed from the years 1990-1993 to 2014. The focus was on peptide hormones.Results: Plasma resistin levels were higher among prediabetics (p = .001), particularly impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) (p < .001), but not impaired fasting glucose (IFG) patients than among normal glucose tolerance (NGT) or diabetes groups. Diabetics showed lower resistin levels than IGT subjects (p < .001). IGT or diabetes groups showed lower adiponectin and higher leptin levels compared to the NGT group (p < .001). The IFG group had the highest blood pressure and left ventricular mass index, even higher than the diabetic group. Diabetics had the highest, prediabetics (IFG + IGT) intermediate and NGT the lowest risk for CVD events during follow-up (p < .001). Among prediabetics, high plasma ghrelin was an independent predictor of CVD events (p < .05) in the Cox regression analysis although it did not significantly improve either classification or discrimination of the patients.Conclusions: Among glucose tolerance groups, patients with IGT had the highest resistin, but equally high leptin and low adiponectin levels as diabetics. Among prediabetics, ghrelin seems to predict independently cardiovascular events in the long term.KEY MESSAGEAmong glucose tolerance groups, patients with IGT had the highest resistin, but equally high leptin and low adiponectin levels as diabetics.Among prediabetics, ghrelin seems to predict independently cardiovascular events in the long term.

Metabolic syndrome but not genetic polymorphisms known to induce NAFLD predicts increased total mortality in subjects with NAFLD (OPERA study).

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) and genetic polymorphisms PNPLA3 rs738409, TM6SF2 rs58542926 and MBOAT7 rs641738 are known inductors of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, knowledge about how these affect the mortality of subjects with NAFLD is scarce. Therefore, we investigated the impact of MetS, PNPLA3 rs738409, TM6SF2 rs58542926 and MBOAT7 rs641738 on overall and cardiovascular disease (CVD) specific mortality among subjects with or without NAFLD. NAFLD diagnosis was based on liver ultrasound at the baseline. After this and other comprehensive examinations, 958 middle-aged Finns, 249 with NAFLD, were followed for 21 years. The mortality data was gathered from the National Death Registry. After multiple adjustments, the NAFLD individuals with MetS had increased risk of overall mortality as compared to the NAFLD subjects without MetS [2.054 (1.011-4.173, p = .046)]. However, PNPLA3 rs738409 [1.049 (0.650-1.692, p = .844)], TM6SF2 rs58542926 [0.721 (0.369-1.411, p = .340)] or MBOAT7 rs641738 [0.885 (0.543-1.439, p = .621)] did not affect the overall mortality. MetS was also a marker of increased risk of CVD mortality (15% vs. 2%, p = .013) while genetic polymorphisms did not affect CVD mortality. In conclusion, MetS, but not the gene polymorphisms studied, predicts increased overall and CVD-specific mortality among NAFLD subjects.

The validity of hospital discharge register data on non-ST-elevation and ST-elevation myocardial infarction in Finland.

Objectives. To examine the validity of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) diagnoses in Finnish nation-wide hospital discharge register (HDR). Design. In the first stage of the study, we sampled 180 patients treated in 1996-2012 for MI in three different hospitals, Oulu university hospital, Turku university hospital and North Karelia Central hospital, 60 patients in each hospital. A cardiology resident classified the patients on the basis of ECG finding into following categories: NSTEMI, STEMI or not classifiable myocardial infarction (NCMI). In the second stage of the study, we sampled altogether 270 additional patients i.e. 90 patients per hospital. Patients were treated between 2012-2014 for STEMI (n = 3 × 30), NSTEMI (n = 3 × 30), and NCMI (n = 3 × 30). The ECGs of these patients were independently evaluated by the cardiology resident and a senior cardiologist and compared with the HDR diagnosis. Results. In the first stage of the study, the agreement between the ECG coding of the cardiology resident and the HDR diagnoses was poor (Cohen's kappa coefficient 0.38 (95% CI 0.10-0.32). In the second stage, the agreement remained at the same poor level (Cohen's kappa = 0.22 (95% CI 0.11-0.03)). The agreement between the cardiology resident and the senior cardiologist was, however, good (Cohen's kappa = 0.75 (95% CI 0.65-0.85)). Conclusions. Our results show that the division of MI diagnoses to STEMI and NSTEMI is not reliable in the Finnish HDR. These diagnoses should not be used as outcomes in scientific research without additional verification from the original ECGs.