Renal vein valves: a prevalence, microanatomical and histological study.

PURPOSE: In the modern era of robotic renal procedures and diagnostics, an even more detailed anatomical understanding than hitherto is necessary. Valves of the renal veins (RVV) have been underemphasized and have been disputed by some authors, and few textbooks describe them. The current anatomical study was performed to address such shortcomings in the literature. METHODS: One hundred renal veins were studied in fifty adult formalin-fixed cadavers. Renal veins were removed from the abdomen after sectioning them flush with their entrance to the renal hilum. The inferior vena cava was then incised longitudinally and opened, and RVV were examined grossly and histologically. A classification scheme was developed and applied to our findings. RESULTS: Nineteen RVVs were observed in the fifty cadavers (38%). Four (8%) valves were found on right sides and fifteen (30%) on left sides. The valves were seen as cord/band-like, folds, and single and double leaflets. Histologically, they were all extensions of the tunica intima. CONCLUSION: On the basis of our study, RVV are not uncommon. They were more common on left sides, and on both sides, they were found within approximately one centimeter of the junction of the inferior vena cava and renal vein. Although the function of such valves cannot be inferred from this anatomical study, the structures of the Single leaflet valve (TS2) and Double leaflet valve (TS3) valves suggest they could prevent venous reflux from the IVC into the kidney.

Collaborative Approach Toward Transplant Candidacy for Obese Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease.

BACKGROUND: An elevated BMI is a major cause of transplant preclusion for patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). This phenomenon exacerbates existing socioeconomic and racial disparities and increases the economic burden of maintaining patients on dialysis. Metabolic bariatric surgery (MBS) in such patients is not widely available. Our center created a collaborative program to undergo weight loss surgery before obtaining a kidney transplant. STUDY DESIGN: We studied the outcomes of these patients after MBS and transplant surgery. One hundred eighty-three patients with ESRD were referred to the bariatric team by the transplant team between January 2019 and June 2023. Of these, 36 patients underwent MBS (20 underwent Roux-en-Y gastric bypass and 16 underwent sleeve gastrectomy), and 10 underwent subsequent transplantation, with another 15 currently waitlisted. Both surgical teams shared resources, including dieticians, social workers, and a common database, for easy transition between teams. RESULTS: The mean starting BMI for all referrals was 46.4 kg/m 2 and was 33.9 kg/m 2 at the time of transplant. The average number of hypertension medications decreased from 2 (range 2 to 4) presurgery to 1 (range 1 to 3) postsurgery. Similarly, hemoglobin A1C levels improved, with preoperative averages at 6.2 (range 5.4 to 7.6) and postoperative levels at 5.2 (range 4.6 to 5.8) All transplants are currently functioning, with a median creatinine of 1.5 (1.2 to 1.6) mg/dL (glomerular filtration rate 46 [36.3 to 71]). CONCLUSIONS: A collaborative approach between bariatric and transplant surgery teams offers a pathway toward transplant for obese ESRD patients and potentially alleviates existing healthcare disparities. ESRD patients who undergo MBS have unique complications to be aware of. The improvement in comorbidities may lead to superior posttransplant outcomes.

Balancing Waitlist Dropout in Pancreas Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The time a patient spends on the waiting list for a Simultaneous Pancreas-Kidney (SPK) transplant depends on several donor and recipient-specific factors. The average wait-list time for SPK in the United States has been about 1 to 3 years, significantly shorter than the average wait time for kidney-only transplantation. A single-center retrospective analysis of SPK waitlisted candidates was performed to determine the implication of wait-list time on dropout from the wait-list due to death or poor health. METHODS: We analyzed all deceased donor Simultaneous Pancreas-Kidney wait-listed candidates between Jan 1994 and June 2021. Waitlisted candidates who got transplanted (TG) were compared to those who dropped out from the wait list due to death or poor health (DPHG). RESULTS: In the study period, 297 candidates were waitlisted for SPK transplants. Eight candidates were removed, as transplantation was not needed due to improvement in health while on the waiting list. Fourteen wait-listed candidates transferred to another center were also excluded from the study group. Two hundred and thirty wait-listed candidates were transplanted (TG). Forty-five patients were delisted due to death or poor health (DPHG). The mean body mass index of candidates in TG and DPHG were 25.1 and 24.9, respectively. The mean age at dropout in DPHG was 40.7, similar to the mean age at transplant in TG (39.4). The mean age of diabetes onset was slightly lower in TG (17.4) compared to 20.02 in DPHG. The mean days spent by the candidates on the waitlist in DPHG were significantly higher than those in TG (821 days vs 252 days). Eight of the 45 patients (17.7%) in DPHG had 1 or more organ transplants before listing compared to 1 of 230 patients (0.43%) in TG. Despite low wait times for SPK transplants, increased wait times can account for a dropout from the waitlist due to death or poor health. Centers should exercise caution in wait listing SPK candidates with prior organ transplants.

Laparoscopic Living Donor Nephrectomy: A Single Center Comparison of Three Different Techniques.

Background and Objectives: In this study, we compare three different surgical approaches at a single institution. Pure laparoscopic donor nephrectomy with Pfannenstiel incision (PLDN) was compared with hand-assisted laparoscopic donor nephrectomy via midline hand port (HALDNM) and hand-assisted laparoscopic donor nephrectomy via left iliac hand port (HALDNL). Methods: This study included all laparoscopic left donor nephrectomies performed at our institution between January 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021. Donor characteristics including age, sex, body mass index, number of renal arteries, duration of surgical procedure, warm ischemia time (WIT), and length of hospital stay were compared. Cosmetic scores were calculated by totaling the length of all incisions placed. Postoperative complications within 90 days were compared. Results: During the study period 71 laparoscopic donor nephrectomies were performed of which 26 were HALDNM, 24 were HALDNL, and 21 were PLDN. Donor characteristics were similar in all three groups. Total operative time was significantly lower in HALDNM (181 minutes) than PLDN (233 minutes) and HALDNL (242 minutes) (p < 0.001). The WIT was comparable in all three groups: HALDNL (7.2 minutes), PLDN (4.1 minutes), and HALDM (4.9 minutes) (p = 0.913). Median cosmetic score was significantly better in the PLDN group (8.2 cm) when compared to HALDNM (11.1 cm) and HALDNL (9.9 cm) (p < 0.001). Conclusion: Our results show that all three technical modifications of laparoscopic donor nephrectomy are safe and feasible with good postoperative outcomes. HALDNM has the added benefit of decreased operative time while PLDN has a cosmetic advantage.

Kidney Transplant Outcomes in Recipients Over the Age of 70.

BACKGROUND: Patients older than 70 years are the fastest-growing age group of patients requiring renal replacement therapy. This has resulted in a corresponding increase in the number of elderly transplant recipients. We hypothesized that graft survival in this population would be comparable to that seen in the literature on kidney transplant recipients under 70 years of age. METHODS: This was a retrospective, single-center review of outcomes of kidney transplant recipients aged ≥70 years. Patients were dichotomized based on whether their allograft originated from a living or deceased donor. RESULTS: A total of 59 recipients aged ≥70 years underwent kidney transplantation. Of these, five (8.5%) were lost to follow-up within the first year post transplant and excluded from the analysis. History of cerebrovascular accident (p = 0.003), coronary artery disease (p = 0.03), postoperative return to the operating room (p = 0.03), and readmission within one year of transplant were predictive of graft loss (p = 0.003). Overall graft survival in our cohort declined from 92.6% at one year to 53.8% at five years. Death-censored graft survival was 100% at one year and decreased to 80.8% at five years. There were no differences seen in patient, graft, or death-censored graft survival based on donor type. CONCLUSIONS: Kidney transplant patients over 70 years, as seen in our cohort, had good short-term outcomes. Graft survival is similar to rates seen in younger cohorts but the decline in this rate over time is steeper in the older age group, possibly due to decreased patient survival. These findings could be validated further in larger multi-center studies.

Short and Long-Term Outcomes of Kidney Transplant Recipients Diagnosed With COVID-19 Infection: A Single-Center Observational Study.

PURPOSE: Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) are at an increased risk of severe disease and death caused by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection. There is a paucity of information on the evolution of graft function among hospitalized KTRs who overcome the infection. METHODS: The study included adult KTRs at a single transplant institute who were diagnosed with COVID-19 and needed hospitalization between March 15, 2020, and January 15, 2021. We analyzed patient demographics, comorbid risk factors, and inpatient clinical courses for patients who were able to recover from the infection. Kidney function was analyzed pre-infection, during initial hospitalization, and up to 12 months post-infection. RESULTS: We identified 48 KTRs who were diagnosed with COVID-19 infection during the study period. Eighteen KTRs among these needed hospitalization for symptoms of fever and respiratory distress. Four patients died of COVID-19 infection-related complications and were excluded from the study. The 14 remaining patients in the study were predominantly of the Black race (85.7%), with a median time since transplant of four years. Of the patients, 64.3% developed acute kidney injury (AKI), with an average peak serum creatinine (sCr) of 2.6 mg/dl and a glomerular filtration rate (GFR) of 35. The mean sCr and GFR of the group were 2 mg/dl and 44 at baseline (prior to infection). This represented an increase in their sCr and GFR of 34% and 29%, respectively. The median follow-up post-infection was 14.5 months. sCr and GFR were 1.87 mg/dl and 47 at three to six months, and 1.89 mg/dl and 48 at nine to 12 months post-infection. New onset proteinuria was noted in five out of 14 patients (36%), with complete resolution of the same in all at three to six months follow-up. Of patients with AKI, 78% had complete recovery at three to six months follow-up. The mean baseline sCr and GFR of patients who had incomplete recovery was 2.35 and 31.5 with pre-existing proteinuria. Of our entire cohort, there was only one patient who experienced graft loss. This patient had a baseline sCr and GFR of 3.8 mg/dl and 22, existing proteinuria on urinalysis, and a history of biopsy-proven rejection. CONCLUSION: AKI is common among KTRs who are hospitalized with COVID-19 infection. Most of these recovered, although we noted that patients with baseline lower kidney function and existing proteinuria had a lower recovery rate.

Resolution of Disseminated Angiosarcoma in a Kidney Transplant Recipient After Treatment With Sirolimus: A Case Report.

Angiosarcoma is a rare, almost universally fatal malignant neoplasm in kidney transplant recipients. No evidence-based guidelines are available for disseminated disease. Here, we report a case of a 66-year-old woman who developed disseminated angiosarcoma 4 months after living nonrelated kidney transplant. She underwent only 2 rounds of chemotherapy because of intolerable adverse effects. Her mycophenolic acid and tacrolimus were withdrawn and sirolimus use was started. In addition to its immunosuppressant effects, sirolimus has been shown to have antineoplastic properties. Remarkably, at almost 2 years post-transplant, the patient has had complete resolution of all gross metastatic disease with only immunosuppressant medication changes. This case highlights the interesting possibility that sirolimus is an effective adjunct treatment for disseminated angiosarcoma in kidney transplant recipients.

A Sisyphean Task for Residents: Preparing Literature Reviews About Adverse Events Presented at Morbidity and Mortality Conferences.

OBJECTIVE: Surgery Morbidity and Mortality (M&M) presentations include a thorough literature review. This requires a significant amount of time expenditure frequently incompatible with the current surgical resident work hours. Additionally, literature reviews can be redundant for commonly encountered adverse events. The goal of this study was to explore (a) how surgery residents perform literature reviews, and (b) how repetitive presented adverse events are. DESIGN: A survey was sent out during the academic year 2019-2020. The Morbidity and Mortality repository for that academic year was indexed, and the proportion of adverse events having occurred more than once calculated. The amount of time spent on literature reviews, proportion of repetitive adverse events as well as degree of thoroughness of reviews was evaluated on a 1 to 5 Likert scale. SETTING: Tulane University General Surgery program, New Orleans, LA, USA. PARTICIPANTS: All clinically active residents. RESULTS: All residents, filled out the survey. Seventeen out of 29 (58.6%) residents reported dedicating approximately one hour performing literature reviews. Median studying time was 1 hour (interquartile range: 1-1.5 hours). Seventeen out of 29 (58.6%) residents employed 2 resources. The most common combination of resources was PubMed and Google (11/29, 37.9%). Most residents (21/29, 72.4%) believed that their thoroughness was at most average (≤3/5 on a Likert scale) and 27/29 (93.1%) believed that their literature review could have been more thorough. More than half of the adverse events presented were found to be redundant during that academic year. CONCLUSIONS: Time spent reviewing the literature does not allow for a thorough review, and a significant portion of adverse events presented are redundant. A central repository for literature reviews of adverse events would improve the quality of reviews and avoid duplicating efforts.

Prognostic Factors of Mortality in Vibrio vulnificus Sepsis and Soft Tissue Infections: Meta-Analysis.

Background: Vibrio vulnificus is a rare but life-threatening infection that effects the population near warm coastal areas. This infection could be fulminant and rapidly progress to severe sepsis and necrotizing soft tissue infection. Early diagnosis and treatment are critical to saving patients' lives. With multiple studies reporting discrepancies in prognostic factors and different treatment protocols, we aimed through this meta-analysis to assess these factors and protocols and the impact on the outcome of the infection. Materials and Methods: In accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, a systematic search of PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases by two independent reviewers was reported. Studies evaluating prognostic factors and treatment outcomes of Vibrio vulnificus infections were included. Comprehensive Meta-Analysis, version 3.0 was used. Results: Two hundred eleven studies were identified. Of those, eight studies met our inclusion criteria. The following factors on presentation were associated with higher mortality rates; concomitant liver disease (odds ratio [OR], 4.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.43-7.87; p < 0.001), renal disease (OR, 3.90; 95% CI, 1.37-11.12; p = 0.011), septic shock (OR, 2.82; 95% CI, 1.84-4.31; p < 0.001), higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score (OR, 3.40; 95% CI, 2.26-5.12; p < 0.001), elevated band cells count (OR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.13-6.0; p = 0.024), hypoalbuminemia (OR, 3.41; 95% CI, 1.58-7.35; p = 0.002), and infection involving multiple limbs (OR, 4.36; 95% CI, 1.72-11.07; p = 0.002). Interestingly, different antibiotic regimens did not have any impact on outcomes, however, delayed surgical intervention after the first 12 or 24 hours was associated with higher mortality rates (OR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.39-5.0; p = 0.003 and OR, 2.99; 95% CI, 1.54-5.78; p = 0.001, respectively). Conclusion: The presence of liver or renal disease, higher APACHE II scores, septic shock, hypoalbuminemia, or elevated band cell on presentation should alert the physician to the higher risk of mortality. Different antibiotic regimens did not impact the outcomes in these patients and delayed surgical intervention is associated with worsening of mortality.

The burden of readmission after discharge from necrotizing soft tissue infection.

BACKGROUND: The need for extensive surgical debridement with necrotizing soft tissue infections (NSTIs) may put patients at high risk for unplanned readmission. However, there is a paucity of data on the burden of readmission in patients afflicted with NSTI. We hypothesized that unplanned readmission would significantly contribute to the burden of disease after discharge from initial hospitalization. METHODS: The Nationwide Readmission Database was used to identify adults undergoing debridement for NSTI hospitalizations from 2010 to 2017. Risk factors for 90-day readmission were assessed by Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: There were a total of 82,738 NSTI admissions during the study period, of which 25,076 (30.3%) underwent 90-day readmissions. Median time to readmission was 25 days (interquartile range, 9-49 days). Fragmentation of care, longer length of index stay (>2 weeks), and Medicaid status were independent risk factors for readmission. Median cost of a readmission was US $10,543. Readmission added 174,640 hospital days to episodes of care over the study period, resulting in an estimated financial burden of US $1.4 billion. CONCLUSION: Unplanned readmission caused by NSTIs is common and costly. Interventions that target patients at risk for readmission may help decrease the burden of disease. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Economic/Epidemiological, level IV.

A Comparison of Growth Factors and Cytokines in Fresh Frozen Plasma and Never Frozen Plasma.

BACKGROUND: Fresh frozen plasma (FFP) contains proinflammatory mediators released from cellular debris during frozen storage. In addition, recent studies have shown that transfusion of never-frozen plasma (NFP), instead of FFP, may be superior in trauma patients. We hypothesized that FFP would have higher levels of inflammatory mediators when compared to NFP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: FFP (n = 8) and NFP (n = 8) samples were obtained from an urban, level 1 trauma center blood bank. The cytokines in these samples were compared using a Milliplex (Milliplex Sigma) human cytokine magnetic bead panel multiplex assay for 41 different biomarkers. RESULTS: Growth factors that were higher in NFP included platelet-derived growth factor-AA (PDGF-AA; 8.09 versus 108.00 pg/mL, P < 0.001) and PDGF-AB (0.00 versus 215.20, P= 0.004). Soluble CD40-ligand (sCD40L), a platelet activator and pro-coagulant, was higher in NFP (31.81 versus 80.45 pg/mL, P< 0.001). RANTES, a leukocyte chemotactic cytokine was higher in NFP (26.19 versus 1418.00 pg/mL, P< 0.001). Interleukin-4 (5.70 versus 0.00 pg/mL, P= 0.03) and IL-8 (2.20 versus 0.52 pg/ml, P= 0.03) levels were higher in were higher in FFP. CONCLUSIONS: Frozen storage of plasma may result in decrease of several growth factors and/or pro-coagulants found in NFP. In addition, the freezing and thawing process may induce release of pro-inflammatory chemokines. Further studies are needed to determine if these cytokines result in improved outcomes with NFP over FFP in transfusion of trauma patients.

Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in pediatric COVID-19 patients: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to systematically review the clinical and laboratory features of patients with the multisystem inflammatory syndrome in pediatrics diagnosed during the COVID-19 pandemic. DATA SOURCES: A literature search in Web of Science, PubMed, Scopus, and Science Direct was made up to June 29, 2020. RESULTS: Analysis of 15 articles (318 COVID-19 patients) revealed that although many patients presented with the typical multisystem inflammatory syndrome in pediatrics, Kawasaki-like features as fever (82.4%), polymorphous maculopapular exanthema (63.7%), oral mucosal changes (58.1%), conjunctival injections (56.0%), edematous extremities (40.7%), and cervical lymphadenopathy (28.5%), atypical gastrointestinal (79.4%) and neurocognitive symptoms (31.8%) were also common. They had elevated serum lactic acid dehydrogenase, D-dimer, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, interleukin-6, troponin I levels, and lymphopenia. Nearly 77.0% developed hypotension, and 68.1% went into shock, while 41.1% had acute kidney injury. Intensive care was needed in 73.7% of cases; 13.2% were intubated, and 37.9% required mechanical ventilation. Intravenous immunoglobulins and steroids were given in 87.7% and 56.9% of the patients, respectively, and anticoagulants were utilized in 67.0%. Pediatric patients were discharged after a hospital stay of 6.77 days on average (95% CI 4.93-8.6). CONCLUSIONS: Recognizing the typical and atypical presentation of the multisystem inflammatory syndrome in pediatric COVID-19 patients has important implications in identifying children at risk. Monitoring cardiac and renal decompensation and early interventions in patients with multisystem inflammatory syndrome is critical to prevent further morbidity.

Gastroenterology manifestations and COVID-19 outcomes: A meta-analysis of 25,252 cohorts among the first and second waves.

A meta-analysis was performed to identify patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) presenting with gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms during the first and second pandemic waves and investigate their association with the disease outcomes. A systematic search in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and EMBASE was performed up to July 25, 2020. The pooled prevalence of the GI presentations was estimated using the random-effects model. Pairwise comparison for the outcomes was performed according to the GI manifestations' presentation and the pandemic wave of infection. Data were reported as relative risk (RR), or odds ratio and 95% confidence interval. Of 125 articles with 25,252 patients, 20.3% presented with GI manifestations. Anorexia (19.9%), dysgeusia/ageusia (15.4%), diarrhea (13.2%), nausea (10.3%), and hematemesis (9.1%) were the most common. About 26.7% had confirmed positive fecal RNA, with persistent viral shedding for an average time of 19.2 days before being negative. Patients presenting with GI symptoms on admission showed a higher risk of complications, including acute respiratory distress syndrome (RR = 8.16), acute cardiac injury (RR = 5.36), and acute kidney injury (RR = 5.52), intensive care unit (ICU) admission (RR = 2.56), and mortality (RR = 2.01). Although not reach significant levels, subgroup-analysis revealed that affected cohorts in the first wave had a higher risk of being hospitalized, ventilated, ICU admitted, and expired. This meta-analysis suggests an association between GI symptoms in COVID-19 patients and unfavorable outcomes. The analysis also showed improved overall outcomes for COVID-19 patients during the second wave compared to the first wave of the outbreak.

Chemoembolization Versus Radioembolization for Neuroendocrine Liver Metastases: A Meta-analysis Comparing Clinical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown intra-arterial therapies to be effective in controlling neuroendocrine liver metastases (NELMs), but the evidence supporting the selection of specific methods is limited. This meta-analysis is the first to compare survival outcomes between transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and transarterial radioembolization (TARE) in the treatment of NELM. METHODS: A systematic search according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines in PubMed and Embase databases was conducted in February 2020 for published studies comparing survival outcomes between TACE and TARE in the treatment of NELM. RESULTS: Six eligible cohort studies with a total of 643 patients were identified. The TACE and TARE groups were similar in terms of age, sex, hepatic tumor burden, tumor grade, and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) score. The patients treated with TACE had significantly better overall survival (odds ratio [OR], 1.92; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14-3.22, p = 0.014) than those treated with TARE. Overall survival ranged from 16.8 to 81.9 months with TACE and from 14.5 to 66.8 months with TARE. No significant differences in hepatic progression-free survival (OR, 1.01; 95% CI 0.75-1.35; p = 0.96) or tumor response were observed within the first 3 months (OR, 2.87; 95% CI 0.81-10.21; p = 0.10) or thereafter (OR, 0.98; 95% CI 0.12-7.86; p = 0.99). The complication rates were similar between the two groups, with 6.9% of the TACE patients versus 8.5% of TARE patients reporting major complications (OR, 1.16; 95% CI 0.54-2.48; p = 0.71) and respectively 44.6% and 58.8% of the TACE and TARE patients reporting minor adverse events (OR, 1.08; 95% CI 0.39-2.99; p = 0.88). CONCLUSIONS: Despite similar tumor responses, an overall survival benefit was associated with TACE treatment of NELM compared with TARE treatment. Randomized controlled trials are warranted to confirm this finding and clarify whether certain subpopulations benefit from different transarterial methods.

Vitamin D insufficiency as a potential culprit in critical COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: As an immune modulator, vitamin D has been implicated in the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) outcome. We aim to systematically explore the association of vitamin D serum levels with COVID-19 severity and prognosis. METHODS: The standardized mean difference (SMD) or odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were applied to estimate pooled results from six studies. The prognostic performance of vitamin D serum levels for predicting adverse outcomes with detection of the best cutoff threshold was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Decision tree analysis by combining vitamin D levels and clinical features was applied to predict severity in COVID-19 patients. RESULTS: Mean vitamin D serum level of 376 patients, was 21.9 nmol/L (95% CI = 15.36-28.45). Significant heterogeneity was found (I2 = 99.1%, p < .001). Patients with poor prognosis (N = 150) had significantly lower serum levels of vitamin D compared with those with good prognosis (N = 161), representing an adjusted standardized mean difference of -0.58 (95% Cl = -0.83 to -0.34, p < .001). CONCLUSION: Serum vitamin D levels could be implicated in the COVID-19 prognosis. Diagnosis of vitamin D deficiency could be a helpful adjunct in assessing patients' potential of developing severe COVID-19. Appropriate preventative and/or therapeutic intervention may improve COVID-19 outcomes.

Time-varying Reproductive Rates for SARS-CoV-2 and its Implications as a Means of Disease Surveillance on Lockdown Restrictions.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the time-varying reproductive rates for SARS-CoV-2 and its implication in Louisiana. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Basic reproductive number (R0) and effective reproductive number (Re or Rt) are 2 measures of the ability of an infectious agent to spread in the environment. They differ in that R0 assumes zero immunity in the population, while Re or Rt accounts for change over time. Reproductive number modeling is influenced by several factors, including serial interval, the time between the onset of symptoms in an infector, and a secondary case. Quantification of the ability of a pathogen to spread is essential in guiding policy. METHODS: Here, we construct epidemic curves and calculate daily Rt values for the state of Louisiana and each of its 9 regions. RESULTS: Our results demonstrated variation over both time and geography in calculated R0 and Rt values. Generally, as time has progressed, predicted R0 and Rt values have decreased. In Louisiana, mean Rt was calculated at 3.07 in March and 0.82 by May. A reproductive number less than one is important as it indicates infectious spread will decline with time. The most recent finding of mean Rt = 0.82 is important. It stands in stark contrast to the situation in April when New Orleans, Louisiana, had the highest per capita coronavirus mortality rate in the United States - twice that of New York City and 4 times the rate in Seattle. CONCLUSION: As locations around the world begin to lift restrictions, monitoring of infectious spread will be essential.

Meta-analysis on Serial Intervals and Reproductive Rates for SARS-CoV-2.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to systematically review and meta-analyze all literature reporting the basic reproductive number (R0), effective reproductive number (Re or Rt), and the serial interval (SI) values of severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: To assess the rate at which an infectious disease can spread in a population, the 2 measures, R0 and Re or Rt, are widely used. One of the parameters which influence the calculations is the SI, the period between symptom onset in an infector and an infectee. METHODS: Web of Science, PubMed, Scopus, and Science Direct searching up to May 10, 2020, was performed. A continuous random-effect model was applied using the DerSimonian-Laird (inverse variance) method. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 39 articles met the eligibility criteria. Our results demonstrated the mean SI was 5.45 days, with the 95% confidence interval (CI) of 4.23 to 6.66. Pooled estimates for reproduction rates was 3.14 (95% CI: 2.69-3.59) for R0 and 3.18 (95% CI: 2.89-3.47) for Rt. Subgroup analysis by geographical region and date of publication revealed variations over both time and geography in calculated R0 and Rt values. As time has progressed, predicted R0 and Rt values had decreased globally. CONCLUSIONS: The study findings indicate that one SARS-CoV-2-infected person is likely to infect 3 persons, supporting that COVID-19 is a highly contagious disease. As an essential objective metrics implied in risk assessment for this emerging pandemic, monitoring R0 and Re is necessary to indicate the effectiveness or failures of mitigation efforts.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of hematological and immunological markers in COVID-19 infection: A meta-analysis of 6320 patients.

OBJECTIVE: Evidence-based characterization of the diagnostic and prognostic value of the hematological and immunological markers related to the epidemic of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is critical to understand the clinical course of the infection and to assess in development and validation of biomarkers. METHODS: Based on systematic search in Web of Science, PubMed, Scopus, and Science Direct up to April 22, 2020, a total of 52 eligible articles with 6,320 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cohorts were included. Pairwise comparison between severe versus mild disease, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) versus general ward admission and expired versus survivors were performed for 36 laboratory parameters. The pooled standardized mean difference (SMD) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using the DerSimonian Laird method/random effects model and converted to the Odds ratio (OR). The decision tree algorithm was employed to identify the key risk factor(s) attributed to severe COVID-19 disease. RESULTS: Cohorts with elevated levels of white blood cells (WBCs) (OR = 1.75), neutrophil count (OR = 2.62), D-dimer (OR = 3.97), prolonged prothrombin time (PT) (OR = 1.82), fibrinogen (OR = 3.14), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (OR = 1.60), procalcitonin (OR = 4.76), IL-6 (OR = 2.10), and IL-10 (OR = 4.93) had higher odds of progression to severe phenotype. Decision tree model (sensitivity = 100%, specificity = 81%) showed the high performance of neutrophil count at a cut-off value of more than 3.74x109/L for identifying patients at high risk of severe COVID-19. Likewise, ICU admission was associated with higher levels of WBCs (OR = 5.21), neutrophils (OR = 6.25), D-dimer (OR = 4.19), and prolonged PT (OR = 2.18). Patients with high IL-6 (OR = 13.87), CRP (OR = 7.09), D-dimer (OR = 6.36), and neutrophils (OR = 6.25) had the highest likelihood of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Several hematological and immunological markers, in particular neutrophilic count, could be helpful to be included within the routine panel for COVID-19 infection evaluation to ensure risk stratification and effective management.

Unleash multifunctional role of long noncoding RNAs biomarker panel in breast cancer: a predictor classification model.

Aim: We aimed to explore the circulating expression profile of nine lncRNAs (MALAT1, HOTAIR, PVT1, H19, ROR, GAS5, ANRIL, BANCR, MIAT) in breast cancer (BC) patients relative to normal and risky individuals. Methods: Serum relative expressions of the specified long non-coding RNAs were quantified in 155 consecutive women, using quantitative reverse-transcription PCR. Random Forest (RF) and decision tree were also applied. Results: Significant MALAT1 upregulation and GAS5 downregulation could discriminate risky women from healthy controls. Overexpression of the other genes showed good diagnostic performances. Lower GAS5 levels were associated with metastasis and recurrence. RF model revealed a better performance when combining gene expression patterns with risk factors. Conclusion: The studied panel could be utilized as diagnostic/prognostic biomarkers in BC, providing promising epigenetic-based therapeutic targets.