RESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Over 200,000 hip and knee total joint arthroplasties (TJAs) are performed annually in England and Wales. UK guidelines recommend regular follow-up because missed early failure can result in complex revision surgery, which places additional burden on overstretched orthopaedic services. This study evaluated the feasibility and acceptability of an expert, consensus-based, standardised virtual clinic (VC) approach for TJA follow-up. METHODS: Five UK secondary care orthopaedic centres implemented a standardised VC. Feedback was obtained through patient satisfaction questionnaires and telephone interviews with arthroplasty care practitioners. Key stakeholders subsequently attended an expert discussion forum to achieve consensus on the final VC format and to address obstacles identified during testing. RESULTS: From 19 June 2018 to 11 December 2018, 561 TJA patients [mean age (SD) 70 (9.4) years, 57.8% female, 69.0% hip TJA, 1-28 years postsurgery (median 5 years)] completed a VC. Of these 561 patients, 82.2% were discharged without attending an outpatient appointment and 46 (8.8%) required early face-to-face consultant review. Patient satisfaction with the VC was high (156/188; 83.0%); over 70% of patients indicated a preference for the VC. DISCUSSION: This feasibility study suggested significant resource savings, including time spent by consultant orthopaedic surgeons in outpatient clinics, hospital transport and an estimated saving of up to two-thirds of usual clinic-allotted time. The expert discussion forum provided helpful feedback for supporting more efficient implementation of the VC. CONCLUSIONS: A standardised VC is a feasible alternative to outpatient clinics for the follow-up of hip and knee TJA patients, and is acceptable to key stakeholders, including patients.
Assuntos
Artroplastia de Quadril , Artroplastia do Joelho , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso , Masculino , Seguimentos , Estudos de Viabilidade , Instituições de Assistência AmbulatorialRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: We conducted a systematic review in order to understand the relationship between imaging-visualised meniscus pathologies, hyaline cartilage, joint replacement and pain in knee osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: A search of the Medline, Excerpta Medica database (EMBASE) and Cochrane library databases was performed for original publications reporting association between imaging-detected meniscal pathology (extrusion or tear/damage) and longitudinal and cross-sectional assessments of hyaline articular cartilage loss [assessed on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)], incident joint replacement and pain (longitudinal and cross-sectional) in knee OA. Each association was qualitatively characterised by a synthesis of data from each analysis, based upon study design and quality scoring (including risk of bias assessment and adequacy of covariate adjustment using Cochrane recommended methodology). RESULTS: In total 4,878 abstracts were screened and 82 publications were included (comprising 72 longitudinal analyses and 49 cross-sectional). Using high quality, well-adjusted data, meniscal extrusion and meniscal tear/damage were associated with longitudinal progression of cartilage loss, cross-sectional cartilage loss severity and joint replacement, independently of age, sex and body mass index (BMI). Medial and lateral meniscal tears were associated with cartilage loss when they occurred in the body and posterior horns, but not the anterior horns. There was a lack of high quality, well-adjusted meniscal pathology and pain publications and no clear independent association between meniscal extrusion or tear/damage with pain severity, progression in pain or incident frequent knee symptoms. CONCLUSION: Meniscal features have strong associations with cartilage loss and joint replacement in knee OA, but weak associations with knee pain. Systematic review PROSPERO registration number: CRD 42020210910.
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Artroplastia de Substituição , Cartilagem Articular , Osteoartrite do Joelho , Cartilagem Articular/diagnóstico por imagem , Cartilagem Articular/patologia , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Articulação do Joelho/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Meniscos Tibiais/diagnóstico por imagem , Meniscos Tibiais/patologia , Meniscos Tibiais/cirurgia , Osteoartrite do Joelho/complicações , Osteoartrite do Joelho/patologia , Osteoartrite do Joelho/cirurgia , Dor/patologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Autoantibodies (AutoAbs) have been observed in osteoarthritis (OA) with broad antigenicity, although their prevalence and role remain unclear. Post-translational modification (PTMs) of proteins (oxidation, carbamylation, citrullination) is associated with synovitis and can lead to AutoAb development. Given the prevalence of synovitis, we explored whether AutoAbs to PTM-antigens are common in OA compared with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Serum (n = 895) was obtained from healthy controls, OA and RA patients; and arthritic synovial fluid (SF, n = 290). ELISAs were used to quantify anti-citrullinated peptide (ACPA), anti-carbamylated protein (anti-CarP), anti-oxidized collagen (anti-ROS-CI/CII) antibodies. RESULTS: In sera, positivity for PTM-antigens AutoAbs was observed at a lower frequency in OA with 64.1% (95%CI: 57.2-70.1%) more ACPA+ and 29.8% (21.0-37.3%) more anti-CarP + patients in RA (both P < 0.0001). Levels of ACPA, anti-CarP were also lower in OA (P < 0.0001). Anti-ROS-CII positivity was lower in OA compared to RA (16.6%, 4.8-28.6%) less frequent, P = 0.033) but not anti-native-CII. There was no impact of age/gender on AutoAbs associations with diseases either looking at positivity or levels. In SF, OA patients were often ACPA+ (45.9%) although less frequently than in RA (P = 0.004). Anti-CarP were rarely observed (<5% all samples). All collagen AutoAbs were more frequent in RA compared to OA (all P < 0.010) but only levels of anti-CII and anti-ROS-CII were significantly higher in they RA (P < 0.050). CONCLUSION: Although the frequency of AutoAbs for PTM proteins were lower in OA sera compared to RA, a higher proportion of OA SF were positive. The relative retention of AutoAbs in the OA joint requires further investigation.
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Artrite Reumatoide/sangue , Artrite Reumatoide/imunologia , Autoanticorpos/sangue , Osteoartrite/sangue , Osteoartrite/imunologia , Processamento de Proteína Pós-Traducional , Sinovite/sangue , Sinovite/imunologia , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to explore the feasibility of using a non-absorbable biocompatible polyester patch to augment open repair of massive rotator cuff tears (Patch group) and compare outcomes with other treatment options (Non-patch group). METHODS: Participants referred to orthopaedic clinics for rotator cuff surgery were recruited. Choice of intervention (Patch or Non-patch) was based on patient preference and intra-operative findings. Oxford Shoulder Score (OSS), Shoulder Pain and Disability Index (SPADI), and Constant score were completed at baseline and 6 months. Shoulder MRI was performed at baseline and 6 months to assess fat fraction and Goutallier classification pre- and post- treatment. Feasibility outcomes (including retention, consent and missing data) were assessed. RESULTS: Sixty-eight participants (29 in the Patch group, 39 in Non-patch group) were included (mean age 65.3 years). Conversion to consent (92.6%), missing data (0% at baseline), and attrition rate (16%) were deemed successful feasibility endpoints. There was significant improvement in the Patch group compared to Non-patch at 6 months in OSS (difference in medians 9.76 (95% CI 2.25, 17.29) and SPADI: 22.97 (95% CI 3.02, 42.92), with no substantive differences in Constant score. The patch group had a higher proportion of participants improving greater than MCID for OSS (78% vs 62%) and SPADI (63% vs 50%) respectively. Analysis of the 48 paired MRIs demonstrated a slight increase in the fat fraction for supraspinatus (53 to 55%), and infraspinatus (26 to 29%) at 6 months. These differences were similar and in the same direction when the participants were analysed by treatment group. The Goutallier score remained the same or worsened one grade in both groups equally. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates that a definitive clinical trial investigating the use of a non-absorbable patch to augment repair of massive rotator cuff tears is feasible. In such patients, the patch has the potential to improve shoulder symptoms at 6 months. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN, ISRCTN79844053, Registered 15th October 2014 (retrospectively registered).
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Artroscopia/instrumentação , Materiais Biocompatíveis , Lesões do Manguito Rotador/cirurgia , Manguito Rotador/diagnóstico por imagem , Idoso , Estudos de Viabilidade , Feminino , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Poliésteres , Manguito Rotador/fisiologia , Manguito Rotador/cirurgia , Lesões do Manguito Rotador/diagnóstico por imagem , Articulação do Ombro/fisiologia , Dor de Ombro/cirurgia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
AIMS: This study aimed to develop a virtual clinic for the purpose of reducing face-to-face orthopaedic consultations. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Anonymized experts (hip and knee arthroplasty patients, surgeons, physiotherapists, radiologists, and arthroplasty practitioners) gave feedback via a Delphi Consensus Technique. This consisted of an iterative sequence of online surveys, during which virtual documents, made up of a patient-reported questionnaire, standardized radiology report, and decision-guiding algorithm, were modified until consensus was achieved. We tested the patient-reported questionnaire on seven patients in orthopaedic clinics using a 'think-aloud' process to capture difficulties with its completion. RESULTS: A patient-reported 13-item questionnaire was developed covering pain, mobility, and activity. The radiology report included up to ten items (e.g. progressive periprosthetic bone loss) depending on the type of arthroplasty. The algorithm concludes in one of three outcomes: review at surgeon's discretion (three to 12 months); see at next available clinic; or long-term follow-up/discharge. CONCLUSION: The virtual clinic approach with attendant documents achieved consensus by orthopaedic experts, radiologists, and patients. The robust development and testing of this standardized virtual clinic provided a sound platform for organizations in the United Kingdom to adopt a virtual clinic approach for follow-up of hip and knee arthroplasty patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2019;101-B:951-959.
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Assistência ao Convalescente/normas , Artroplastia de Quadril , Artroplastia do Joelho , Tomada de Decisão Clínica/métodos , Procedimentos Clínicos/normas , Telemedicina/normas , Assistência ao Convalescente/métodos , Algoritmos , Técnica Delphi , Humanos , Medidas de Resultados Relatados pelo Paciente , Radiografia , Telemedicina/métodos , Reino UnidoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: There are few guidelines for clinical trials of interventions for prevention of post-traumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA), reflecting challenges in this area. An international multi-disciplinary expert group including patients was convened to generate points to consider for the design and conduct of interventional studies following acute knee injury. DESIGN: An evidence review on acute knee injury interventional studies to prevent PTOA was presented to the group, alongside overviews of challenges in this area, including potential targets, biomarkers and imaging. Working groups considered pre-identified key areas: eligibility criteria and outcomes, biomarkers, injury definition and intervention timing including multi-modality interventions. Consensus agreement within the group on points to consider was generated and is reported here after iterative review by all contributors. RESULTS: The evidence review identified 37 studies. Study duration and outcomes varied widely and 70% examined surgical interventions. Considerations were grouped into three areas: justification of inclusion criteria including the classification of injury and participant age (as people over 35 may have pre-existing OA); careful consideration in the selection and timing of outcomes or biomarkers; definition of the intervention(s)/comparator(s) and the appropriate time-window for intervention (considerations may be particular to intervention type). Areas for further research included demonstrating the utility of patient-reported outcomes, biomarkers and imaging outcomes from ancillary/cohort studies in this area, and development of surrogate clinical trial endpoints that shorten the duration of clinical trials and are acceptable to regulatory agencies. CONCLUSIONS: These considerations represent the first international consensus on the conduct of interventional studies following acute knee joint trauma.
Assuntos
Traumatismos do Joelho/complicações , Osteoartrite do Joelho/etiologia , Osteoartrite do Joelho/prevenção & controle , Doença Aguda , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/métodos , Medicina Baseada em Evidências/métodos , Humanos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Bone shape and bone marrow lesions (BMLs) represent different features of Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-detected subchondral pathology in osteoarthritis (OA). The aim of this study was to determine how these features are related and how they change in OA progression. METHODS: 600 participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) FNIH Biomarkers Initiative were included, having Kellgren-Lawrence grade 1-3, at baseline and MRI data at baseline and 24 months. The associations between 3D quantitative bone shape vectors and presence of (MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score) MOAKS semi-quantitative BMLs (total BML size ≥1) were analysed for femurs and tibias using linear regression. Responsiveness over 24 months was calculated for both features in four pre-defined progression groups and reported as standardised response means (SRMs). Multilevel models investigated the longitudinal relationship between change in BML size and change in bone shape. RESULTS: Mean age was 61.5, 59% female and mean body mass index (BMI) 30.7. Correlation between baseline femur vector and BML was r = 0.28, P < 0.001. The presence of BMLs was associated with higher bone shape vector; coefficient (95% CI) 0.75 (0.54, 0.96) and 0.57 (0.38, 0.77) for femur and tibia respectively, both P < 0.001. After covariate adjustment, only the femur remained significant [coefficient 0.49, (95% CI 0.30, 0.68)]. Longitudinally bone vector demonstrated more responsiveness to change than BMLs (SRM 0.89 vs 0.13) while multilevel models revealed that increase in BML size was related to a more positive bone shape vector (representing worsening OA). CONCLUSION: There is a relationship between bone shape and BMLs, with prevalence of BMLs associated with increasing OA bone shape. Bone shape demonstrated greater responsiveness than semi-quantitative BMLs.
Assuntos
Medula Óssea/patologia , Fêmur/patologia , Imageamento Tridimensional , Articulação do Joelho/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Osteoartrite do Joelho/diagnóstico , Tíbia/patologia , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Meniscal pathology is integral to knee osteoarthritis (OA) and its progression; it provides a progression biomarker and a potential treatment target. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) demonstrates large heterogeneity in meniscal damage; this structural complexity means measurement is difficult. The aim of this study was to apply novel 3D image analysis to determine which meniscal pathologies demonstrated most change during OA progression. METHODS: Knee images were selected from the progression cohort of the Osteoarthritis Initiative choosing participants with risk factors for medial OA progression. Medial and lateral menisci were manually segmented then analysed using a statistical shape model of the tibia as a reference surface. Responsiveness was assessed at 1 year using standardised response means (SRMs) for four constructs: meniscal volume, extrusion volume, thickness and tibial coverage; anatomical sub-regions of these constructs were also explored. RESULTS: Paired images from 86 participants (median age 61.5, 49% female, 56% obese) were included. Reliability of the novel meniscal measurements was very good intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs all > 0.98). Meniscal volume and extrusion demonstrated no significant change. Moderate responsiveness was observed for medial meniscus thickness (SRM -0.35) and medial tibial coverage (SRM -0.36). No substantial change was seen for the lateral meniscus measures. Sub-region analysis did not improve responsiveness; while greater change was seen in the posterior medial compartment, it was associated with increased variance of the change. CONCLUSIONS: The location of meniscal damage was consistently in the posterior medial region, and two measurements (thickness and tibial coverage) were most responsive. Meniscal measures should add to discriminatory power in OA progression assessment.
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Meniscos Tibiais/patologia , Osteoartrite do Joelho/patologia , Idoso , Índice de Massa Corporal , Doenças das Cartilagens/patologia , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tamanho do Órgão , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores SexuaisRESUMO
To systematically review the evidence to determine the clinical outcomes and the important methodological quality features of interventional studies on adults with non-inflammatory multi-joint pain (MJP). Systematic search of published and unpublished literature using the databases: AMED, CINAHL, MEDLINE, EMBASE, psycINFO, SPORTDiscus, PEDro, OpenGrey, the EU Clinical Trials Register, World Health Organization International Clinical Trial Registry Platform, ClinicalTrials.gov and the ISRCTN registry (search: inception to 19th October 2017). All papers reporting the clinical outcomes of non-pharmacological interventions for people with non-inflammatory MJP were included. Studies were critically appraised using the Downs and Black Critical Appraisal and the TIDieR reporting checklists. Data were analysed using a Best Evidence Synthesis approach. From 3824 citations, four papers satisfied the eligibility criteria. Three studies reported outcomes from multidisciplinary rehabilitation programmes and one study reported the findings of a spa therapy intervention. All interventions significantly improved pain, function and quality of life in the short-term. There was limited reporting of measures for absenteeism, presenteeism and psychosocial outcomes. The evidence was 'weak', and due to a lack of controlled trials, there is limited evidence to ascertain treatment effectiveness. Design consideration for future trials surround improved reporting of participant characteristics, interventions and the standardisation of core outcome measures. There is insufficient high-quality trial data to determine the effectiveness of treatments for non-inflammatory MJP. Given the significant health burden which this condition presents on both individuals and wider society, developing and testing interventions and accurately reporting these, should be a research priority. Registration PROSPERO (CRD42013005888).
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Artralgia/terapia , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/métodos , Tratamento Conservador/métodos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Adulto , Idoso , Artralgia/diagnóstico , Artralgia/fisiopatologia , Artralgia/psicologia , Benchmarking , Medicina Baseada em Evidências , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Qualidade de Vida , Recuperação de Função Fisiológica , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto JovemRESUMO
AIMS: Increasing demand for total hip and knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA) and associated follow-up has placed huge demands on orthopaedic services. Feasible follow-up mechanisms are therefore essential. METHODS: We conducted an audit of clinical follow-up decision-making for THA/TKA based on questionnaire/radiograph review compared with local practice of Arthroplasty Care Practitioner (ACP)-led outpatient follow-up. In all 599 patients attending an ACP-led THA/TKA follow-up clinic had a pelvic/knee radiograph, completed a pain/function questionnaire and were reviewed by an ACP. An experienced orthopaedic surgeon reviewed the same radiographs and questionnaires, without patient contact or knowledge of the ACP's decision. Each pathway classified patients into: urgent review, annual monitoring, routine follow-up or discharge. RESULTS: In total, 401 hip and 198 knee patients were included. There was substantial agreement between the ACP and surgeon for both hip (kappa = 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62 to 0.76) and knee (kappa = 0.81, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.88). Positive agreement was very high for discharge and routine follow-up; however the ACP was more likely to select annual monitoring and the surgeon urgent review. DISCUSSION: Review of the questionnaire/radiograph together identified all patients in need of increased surveillance, with good agreement for on-going patient management. However, review of the radiograph or questionnaire alone missed some patients with potential problems. A radiograph in conjunction with a questionnaire as a review may represent a cost effective THA/TKA follow-up mechanism. TAKE HOME MESSAGE: A questionnaire and radiograph-based remote review may represent a cost-effective total joint arthroplasty follow-up mechanism; thereby reducing the considerable burden that follow-up currently places on the NHS.
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Artroplastia de Quadril/métodos , Artroplastia do Joelho/métodos , Idoso , Assistência Ambulatorial , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Seguimentos , Articulação do Quadril/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Articulação do Joelho/diagnóstico por imagem , Auditoria Médica , Variações Dependentes do Observador , Radiografia , Consulta Remota/métodos , Reoperação , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Radiographic measures of osteoarthritis (OA) are based upon two dimensional projection images. Active appearance modelling (AAM) of knee magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) enables accurate, 3D quantification of joint structures in large cohorts. This cross-sectional study explored the relationship between clinical characteristics, radiographic measures of OA and 3D bone area (tAB). METHODS: Clinical data and baseline paired radiographic and MRI data, from the medial compartment of one knee of 2588 participants were obtained from the NIH Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI). The medial femur (MF) and tibia (MT) tAB were calculated using AAM. 'OA-attributable' tAB (OA-tAB) was calculated using data from regression models of tAB of knees without OA. Associations between OA-tAB and radiographic measures of OA were investigated using linear regression. RESULTS: In univariable analyses, height, weight, and age in female knees without OA explained 43.1%, 32.1% and 0.1% of the MF tAB variance individually and 54.4% when included simultaneously in a multivariable model. Joint space width (JSW), osteophytes and sclerosis explained just 5.3%, 14.9% and 10.1% of the variance of MF OA-tAB individually and 17.4% when combined. Kellgren Lawrence (KL) grade explained approximately 20% of MF OA-tAB individually. Similar results were seen for MT OA-tAB. CONCLUSION: Height explained the majority of variance in tAB, confirming an allometric relationship between body and joint size. Radiographic measures of OA, derived from a single radiographic projection, accounted for only a small amount of variation in 3D knee OA-tAB. The additional structural information provided by 3D bone area may explain the lack of a substantive relationship with these radiographic OA measures.
Assuntos
Fêmur/patologia , Osteoartrite do Joelho/patologia , Tíbia/patologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Estatura , Peso Corporal , Feminino , Fêmur/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Imageamento Tridimensional , Modelos Lineares , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Obesidade/complicações , Tamanho do Órgão , Osteoartrite do Joelho/complicações , Osteoartrite do Joelho/diagnóstico por imagem , Osteófito/diagnóstico por imagem , Osteófito/etiologia , Osteófito/patologia , Radiografia , Tíbia/diagnóstico por imagemRESUMO
This mixed methods study explored the frequency of sport/exercise-related injuries in nonelite sport, participant-reported management and perceptions of potential injury consequences. Focus group participants, who trained two to four times a week and had previously sustained musculoskeletal sports-related injuries, reported seeking medical advice secondary to advice from teammates or online research. General practitioners were viewed as gatekeepers to specialist secondary care and less able to effectively treat sport-related injuries. Participants displayed limited awareness of potential future implications of injury, and considered physical and psychological benefits of exercise more valuable than potential injury-associated risks. In the survey of physically active people, over half reported sustaining an exercise-related injury (562/1002, 56%). Previously injured respondents were less likely to consider consulting a health professional for injury-related advice than those with no injury history (45% vs 64%; P < 0.001) and more likely to continue exercising despite injury (51% vs 37%; P < 0.001). Concerns about injuries largely related to short-term issues; only 32% were concerned about possible long-term joint problems including osteoarthritis. Exercise-related injury was common in nonelite exercise participants. There was some dissatisfaction with care pathways for sports-related injuries and a lack of awareness about appropriate injury management and potential consequences of injury, particularly in the long-term.
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Traumatismos em Atletas/psicologia , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Sistema Musculoesquelético/lesões , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde , Condicionamento Físico Humano/efeitos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Traumatismos em Atletas/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Grupos Focais , Medicina Geral , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Comportamento de Busca de Informação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Satisfação do Paciente , Percepção , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Multiparameter analysis of core regulatory proteins involved in G1-S and G2-M cell-cycle transitions provides a powerful biomarker readout for assessment of the cell-cycle state. We have applied this algorithm to breast cancer to investigate how the cell cycle impacts on disease progression. Protein expression profiles of key constituents of the DNA replication licensing pathway (Mcm2, geminin) and mitotic machinery (Plk1, Aurora A and the Aurora substrate histone H3S10ph) were generated for a cohort of 182 patients and linked to clinicopathological parameters. Arrested differentiation and genomic instability were associated with an increased engagement of cells into the cell division cycle (P<0.0001). Three unique cell-cycle phenotypes were identified: (1) well-differentiated tumours composed predominantly of Mcm2-negative cells, indicative of an out-of-cycle state (18% of cases); (2) high Mcm2-expressing tumours but with low geminin, Aurora A, Plk1 and H3S10ph levels (S-G2-M progression markers), indicative of a G1-delayed/arrested state (24% cases); and (3) high Mcm2-expressing tumours and also expressing high levels of the S-G2-M progression markers, indicative of accelerated cell-cycle progression (58% of cases). The active cell-cycle progression phenotype had a higher risk of relapse when compared with out-of-cycle and G1-delayed/arrested phenotypes (HR=3.90 (1.81-8.40, P<0.001)), and was associated with Her-2 and triple negative subtypes (P<0.001). It is of note that high-grade tumours with the G1-delayed/arrested phenotype showed an identical low risk of relapse compared with well-differentiated out-of-cycle tumours (HR=1.00 (0.22-4.46), P=0.99). Our biomarker algorithm provides novel insights into the cell-cycle state of dynamic tumour cell populations in vivo. This information is of major prognostic significance and may impact on individualised therapeutic decisions. Patients with an accelerated phenotype are more likely to derive benefit from S- and M-phase-directed chemotherapeutic agents.