Experiences with an integrated screening programme targeted at women who had a hypertensive disorder or diabetes in pregnancy in the Netherlands: a qualitative study.

OBJECTIVES: Pregnancy is a predictor of women's health later in life. The risk of eventually developing cardiovascular disease (CVD) and/or type 2 diabetes (T2D) increases three to seven times, after pre-eclampsia, hypertension gravidarum or gestational diabetes. The Heart for Women in The Hague project was designed to offer targeted screening to this high-risk population. This research aimed to gather insight regarding the initial experiences of healthcare providers and women with pre-eclampsia, hypertension gravidarum or gestational diabetes. DESIGN AND SETTING: This study applied a qualitative semistructured interview design using an interview guide based on 'The Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR).' Interviews were recorded, transcribed and coded in accordance with the five main CFIR themes. The setting of the study was primary and secondary care in The Hague, the Netherlands. Interviews were carried out from December 2021 until February 2022. The language was Dutch or English. PARTICIPANTS: Participants (n=13) were women of the target population (n=7) and relevant healthcare professionals (n=6). RESULTS: Healthcare providers and women were generally positive concerning screening. Healthcare providers agreed that this forgotten group deserves attention and felt that the regional transmural agreement (RTA) provided a clear policy. Women stated that they would like screening to continue and were open-minded regarding lifestyle guidance. Reported barriers included current lack of an easy way of contacting the population after a year, lack of knowledge among the women concerning increased risk, unfamiliarity of new colleagues with the RTA and lack of evidence that screening actually prevents disease. CONCLUSION: Implementation of screening programmes to prevent or delay the development of CVD and/or T2D after complicated pregnancies will likely improve awareness in both patients and healthcare providers. Healthcare providers considered the RTA important because it concerns a forgotten high-risk population. Future research should focus on the improved effectiveness of tailored interventions to delay or prevent CVD.

Added Predictive Value of Female-Specific Factors and Psychosocial Factors for the Risk of Stroke in Women Under 50.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Female-specific factors and psychosocial factors may be important in the prediction of stroke but are not included in prediction models that are currently used. We investigated whether addition of these factors would improve the performance of prediction models for the risk of stroke in women younger than 50 years. METHODS: We used data from the Stichting Informatievoorziening voor Zorg en Onderzoek, population-based, primary care database of women aged 20-49 years without a history of cardiovascular disease. Analyses were stratified by 10-year age intervals at cohort entry. Cox proportional hazards models to predict stroke risk were developed, including traditional cardiovascular factors, and compared with models that additionally included female-specific and psychosocial factors. We compared the risk models using the c-statistic and slope of the calibration curve at a follow-up of 10 years. We developed an age-specific stroke risk prediction tool that may help communicating the risk of stroke in clinical practice. RESULTS: We included 409,026 women with a total of 3,990,185 person-years of follow-up. Stroke occurred in 2,751 women (incidence rate 6.9 [95% CI 6.6-7.2] per 10,000 person-years). Models with only traditional cardiovascular factors performed poorly to moderately in all age groups: 20-29 years: c-statistic: 0.617 (95% CI 0.592-0.639); 30-39 years: c-statistic: 0.615 (95% CI 0.596-0.634); and 40-49 years: c-statistic: 0.585 (95% CI 0.573-0.597). After adding the female-specific and psychosocial risk factors to the reference models, the model discrimination increased moderately, especially in the age groups 30-39 (Δc-statistic: 0.019) and 40-49 years (Δc-statistic: 0.029) compared with the reference models, respectively. DISCUSSION: The addition of female-specific factors and psychosocial risk factors improves the discriminatory performance of prediction models for stroke in women younger than 50 years.

SCORE2 cardiovascular risk prediction models in an ethnic and socioeconomic diverse population in the Netherlands: an external validation study.

Background: Socioeconomic status and ethnicity are not explicitly incorporated as risk factors in the four SCORE2 cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk models developed for country-wide implementation across Europe (low, moderate, high and very-high model). The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of the four SCORE2 CVD risk prediction models in an ethnic and socioeconomic diverse population in the Netherlands. Methods: The SCORE2 CVD risk models were externally validated in socioeconomic and ethnic (by country of origin) subgroups, from a population-based cohort in the Netherlands, with GP, hospital and registry data. In total 155,000 individuals, between 40 and 70 years old in the study period from 2007 to 2020 and without previous CVD or diabetes were included. Variables (age, sex, smoking status, blood pressure, cholesterol) and outcome first CVD event (stroke, myocardial infarction, CVD death) were consistent with SCORE2. Findings: 6966 CVD events were observed, versus 5495 events predicted by the CVD low-risk model (intended for use in the Netherlands). Relative underprediction was similar in men and women (observed/predicted (OE-ratio), 1.3 and 1.2 in men and women, respectively). Underprediction was larger in low socioeconomic subgroups of the overall study population (OE-ratio 1.5 and 1.6 in men and women, respectively), and comparable in Dutch and the combined "other ethnicities" low socioeconomic subgroups. Underprediction in the Surinamese subgroup was largest (OE-ratio 1.9, in men and women), particularly in the low socioeconomic Surinamese subgroups (OE-ratio 2.5 and 2.1 in men and women). In the subgroups with underprediction in the low-risk model, the intermediate or high-risk SCORE2 models showed improved OE-ratios. Discrimination showed moderate performance in all subgroups and the four SCORE2 models, with C-statistics between 0.65 and 0.72, similar to the SCORE2 model development study. Interpretation: The SCORE 2 CVD risk model for low-risk countries (as the Netherlands are) was found to underpredict CVD risk, particularly in low socioeconomic and Surinamese ethnic subgroups. Including socioeconomic status and ethnicity as predictors in CVD risk models and implementing CVD risk adjustment within countries is desirable for adequate CVD risk prediction and counselling. Funding: Leiden University Medical Centre and Leiden University.

Large health disparities in cardiovascular death in men and women, by ethnicity and socioeconomic status in an urban based population cohort.

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic status and ethnicity are not incorporated as predictors in country-level cardiovascular risk charts on mainland Europe. The aim of this study was to quantify the sex-specific cardiovascular death rates stratified by ethnicity and socioeconomic factors in an urban population in a universal healthcare system. METHODS: Age-standardized death rates (ASDR) were estimated in a dynamic population, aged 45-75 in the city of The Hague, the Netherlands, over the period 2007-2018, using data of Statistics Netherlands. Results were stratified by sex, ethnicity (country of birth) and socioeconomic status (prosperity) and compared with a European cut-off for high-risk countries (ASDR men 225/100,000 and women 175/100,000). FINDINGS: In total, 3073 CVD deaths occurred during 1·76 million person years follow-up. Estimated ASDRs (selected countries of birth) ranged from 126 (95%CI 89-174) in Moroccan men to 379 (95%CI 272-518) in Antillean men, and from 86 (95%CI 50-138) in Moroccan women to 170 (95%CI 142-202) in Surinamese women. ASDRs in the highest and lowest prosperity quintiles were 94 (95%CI 90-98) and 343 (95%CI 334-351) for men, and 43 (95%CI 41-46) and 140 (95%CI 135-145), for women, respectively. INTERPRETATION: In a diverse urban population, large health disparities in cardiovascular ASDRs exists across ethnic and socioeconomic subgroups. Identifying these high-risk subgroups followed by targeted preventive efforts, might provide a basis for improving cardiovascular health equity within communities. Instead of classifying countries as high-risk or low-risk, a shift towards focusing on these subgroups within countries might be needed. FUNDING: Leiden University Medical Center and Leiden University.