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1.
Helicobacter ; 29(4): e13120, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39138610

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Helicobacter pylori screening with eradication reduces gastric cancer (GC) development. However, it was unknown at what age the H. pylori screening should be implemented to achieve the greatest benefits at the least cost. This study aimed to determine the optimal age of H. pylori screening for primary GC prevention. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A state transition model for a hypothetical cohort of 15-year-olds from a healthcare payer perspective on a lifetime horizon was developed. Nine ages for H. pylori testing were considered: 15, 18, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, and 80 years. H. pylori screening was compared with no screening and annual, biennial, and triennial endoscopies starting at age 50. The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, GC cases, stage I GC cases, and GC-related deaths. One-way, two-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the uncertainty of the parameters. RESULTS: All H. pylori screenings at ages 15-80 were more cost-effective than all endoscopies and no screening. H. pylori screening at age 15 yielded the greatest cost-saving and benefits. The cost-effectiveness was sensitive to the adherence rate of H. pylori screening at age 15. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves showed that H. pylori screening at age 15 was 99.6% cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$50,000 per QALY gained. Compared with no screening and biennial endoscopy in 15.6 million 15-year-olds from 2022 to 2037, respectively, H. pylori screening at age 15 saves US$9.70 million and US$2.39 billion, increases 1.26 million QALYs with 1312 LYs and 651 LYs, prevents 436 GC cases with 254 stage I GC cases and 305 stage I GC cases, and avoids 176 GC-related deaths and 72 GC-related deaths. CONCLUSIONS: The optimal age for population-based H. pylori screening at ages 15-80 is the youngest, 15 years old. Shifting population-based H. pylori screening to younger people will reduce GC morbidity and mortality worldwide, along with a detailed investigation of the feasibility and long-term consequences of H. pylori eradication at a young age.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Humanos , Infecções por Helicobacter/diagnóstico , Infecções por Helicobacter/economia , Infecções por Helicobacter/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Helicobacter pylori/isolamento & purificação , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Masculino , Fatores Etários , Feminino , Neoplasias Gástricas/prevenção & controle , Neoplasias Gástricas/diagnóstico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
2.
Epidemiol Infect ; 152: e13, 2024 Jan 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38178725

RESUMO

Schizophrenia is recognized as a significant risk factor for tuberculosis (TB). This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interferon-γ release assay (IGRA) with preventive treatment for screening of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) in individuals with schizophrenia. A state transition model was developed from a healthcare payer perspective on a lifetime horizon. Ten strategies were compared by combining two different tests for LTBI, i.e. IGRA and tuberculin skin test (TST), and five different preventive treatments, i.e. 9-month isoniazid (9H), 3-month isoniazid and rifapentine (3HP) by directly observed therapy, 3HP by self-administered therapy, 3-month isoniazid and rifampin (3RH), and 4-month rifampin (4R). The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, drug-sensitive tuberculosis (DS-TB) cases, and TB-related deaths. For both bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG)-vaccinated and non-BCG-vaccinated individuals, IGRA with 4R was the most cost-effective and TST with 3RH was the least effective. Among schizophrenic individuals in Japan, IGRA with 4R saved US$17.8 million, increased 58,981 QALYs and 935 LYs, and prevented 222 DS-TB cases and 75 TB-related deaths compared with TST with 3RH. In individuals with schizophrenia, IGRA with 4R is recommended for LTBI screening with preventive treatment to reduce costs, morbidity, and mortality from TB.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Latente , Esquizofrenia , Tuberculose , Humanos , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Isoniazida/uso terapêutico , Rifampina , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Teste Tuberculínico , Programas de Rastreamento
3.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 17(2): e0011129, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36809372

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Human T-cell leukemia virus type 1 (HTLV-1) causes adult T-cell leukemia-lymphoma (ATL) and HTLV-1-associated myelopathy-tropical spastic paraparesis (HAM/TSP) with a poor prognosis. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and health impact of HTLV-1 antenatal screening. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A state-transition model was developed for HTLV-1 antenatal screening and no screening over a lifetime horizon from a healthcare payer perspective. A hypothetical cohort of 30-year-old individuals was targeted. The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), HTLV-1 carriers, ATL cases, HAM/TSP cases, ATL-associated deaths, and HAM/TSP-associated deaths. The willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at US$50,000 per QALY gained. In the base-case analysis, HTLV-1 antenatal screening (US$76.85, 24.94766 QALYs, 24.94813 LYs, ICER; US$40,100 per QALY gained) was cost-effective compared with no screening (US$2.18, 24.94580 QALYs, 24.94807 LYs). Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to the maternal HTLV-1 seropositivity rate, HTLV-1 transmission rate with long-term breastfeeding from HTLV-1 seropositive mothers to children, and the cost of the HTLV-1 antibody test. HTLV-1 antenatal screening was cost-effective when the maternal HTLV-1 seropositivity rate was greater than 0.0022 and the cost of the HTLV-1 antibody test was lower than US$94.8. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using a second-order Monte-Carlo simulation showed that HTLV-1 antenatal screening was 81.1% cost-effective at a WTP threshold of US$50,000 per QALY gained. For 10,517,942 individuals born between 2011 and 2021, HTLV-1 antenatal screening costs US$785 million, increases19,586 QALYs and 631 LYs, and prevents 125,421 HTLV-1 carriers, 4,405 ATL cases, 3,035 ATL-associated deaths, 67 HAM/TSP cases, and 60 HAM/TSP-associated deaths, compared with no screening over a lifetime. CONCLUSION/SIGNIFICANCE: HTLV-1 antenatal screening is cost-effective and has the potential to reduce ATL and HAM/TSP morbidity and mortality in Japan. The findings strongly support the recommendation for HTLV-1 antenatal screening as a national infection control policy in HTLV-1 high-prevalence countries.


Assuntos
Vírus Linfotrópico T Tipo 1 Humano , Leucemia-Linfoma de Células T do Adulto , Paraparesia Espástica Tropical , Adulto , Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Análise Custo-Benefício , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas , Diagnóstico Pré-Natal
4.
Dig Dis Sci ; 68(5): 1735-1746, 2023 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36565366

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Helicobacter pylori (HP) eradication therapy is an efficient primary prevention method to reduce gastric cancer development. In Japan, biennial endoscopic screening for individuals aged 50 years and older is currently conducted as a national gastric cancer prevention program. AIMS: We aimed to evaluate which strategy was the most optimal and cost-effective among HP eradication strategy, annual, biennial, and triennial endoscopic screening, and no screening as a national gastric cancer prevention program. METHODS: We developed a state-transition model for HP eradication strategy, annual, biennial, and triennial endoscopic screening, and no screening using a healthcare payer perspective and a lifetime horizon. We targeted a hypothetical cohort of the Japanese population in their 20 s to 80 s. The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, gastric cancer cases, and deaths from gastric cancer. We performed one-way, two-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: HP eradication strategy was more cost-effective than endoscopic screening at any interval in all age groups. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to HP infection rate. Cost-effective acceptability curves by Monte Carlo simulations for 10,000 trials demonstrated that HP eradication strategy was 100% cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$50,000 per QALY gained in all age groups. Over a lifetime, HP eradication strategy saves US$28.07 billion, increases 37.16 million QALYs, prevents 4.47 million gastric cancer cases, and saves 319,870 lives from gastric cancer. CONCLUSION: A population-based HP eradication strategy is optimal and cost-effective for a national gastric cancer prevention program in Japan, replacing the current secondary prevention-focused biennial endoscopic screening.


Assuntos
Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Neoplasias Gástricas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/prevenção & controle , Endoscopia , Infecções por Helicobacter/diagnóstico , Infecções por Helicobacter/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos
5.
Helicobacter ; 27(3): e12886, 2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35343031

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Most peptic ulcer cases are associated with Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection or the use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). H. pylori eradication therapy is recommended for the treatment of H. pylori-positive peptic ulcers. We aimed to assess and validate the cumulative economic and health effects of H. pylori eradication strategy for the treatment of peptic ulcers compared with PPI therapy strategy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed a cohort state-transition model for H. pylori eradication strategy and PPI therapy strategy over a lifetime horizon from a healthcare payer perspective. We targeted two hypothetical cohorts of H. pylori-positive patients with gastric and duodenal ulcers aged 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, and 80. The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, ulcer recurrence cases, and ulcer-associated deaths. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of uncertainty. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, H. pylori eradication strategy was less costly with greater benefits than PPI therapy strategy in all age groups. Cost-effectiveness was not sensitive to any variables in all age groups. Sensitivity analyses showed strong robustness of the results. From 2000 to 2020, H. pylori eradication strategy saved US$14.07 billion over a lifetime, increased 8.65 million QALYs and 1.23 million LYs over a lifetime, and prevented 551,298 ulcer recurrence cases and 59,465 ulcer-associated deaths, compared with PPI therapy strategy. CONCLUSIONS: H. pylori eradication strategy not only has contributed significantly to preventing ulcer recurrence and reducing ulcer-associated deaths but also has resulted in great cost savings. All over the world, H. pylori eradication strategy is likely to have yielded a comparable magnitude of economic and health benefits, depending on the epidemiology of H. pylori-related peptic ulcers and the healthcare environment in each country.


Assuntos
Antiulcerosos , Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Úlcera Péptica , Antiulcerosos/uso terapêutico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Infecções por Helicobacter/complicações , Humanos , Úlcera Péptica/tratamento farmacológico , Úlcera Péptica/prevenção & controle , Úlcera/tratamento farmacológico
6.
BMC Pulm Med ; 22(1): 19, 2022 Jan 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34996423

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Never smokers in Asia have a higher incidence of lung cancer than in Europe and North America. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) for never smokers in Japan and the United States. METHODS: We developed a state-transition model for three strategies: LDCT, chest X-ray (CXR), and no screening, using a healthcare payer perspective over a lifetime horizon. Sensitivity analyses were also performed. Main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and deaths from lung cancer. The willingness-to-pay level was US$100,000 per QALY gained. RESULTS: LDCT yielded the greatest benefits with the lowest cost in Japan, but the ICERs of LDCT compared with CXR were US$3,001,304 per QALY gained for American men and US$2,097,969 per QALY gained for American women. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to the incidence of lung cancer. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated that LDCT was cost-effective 99.3-99.7% for Japanese, no screening was cost-effective 77.7% for American men, and CXR was cost-effective 93.2% for American women. Compared with CXR, LDCT has the cumulative lifetime potential for 60-year-old Japanese to save US$117 billion, increase 2,339,349 QALYs and 3,020,102 LYs, and reduce 224,749 deaths, and the potential for 60-year-old Americans to cost US$120 billion, increase 48,651 QALYs and 67,988 LYs, and reduce 2,309 deaths. CONCLUSIONS: This modelling study suggests that LDCT screening for never smokers has the greatest benefits and cost savings in Japan, but is not cost-effective in the United States. Assessing the risk of lung cancer in never smokers is important for introducing population-based LDCT screening.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer/economia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Pulmonares/economia , não Fumantes , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econométricos , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
7.
Pancreas ; 51(8): 1019-1028, 2022 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36607949

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of microRNA compared with carbohydrate antigen 19-9, abdominal ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging, endoscopic ultrasound, computed tomography, positron emission tomography, and no screening for pancreatic cancer (PC) screening in patients with diabetes. METHODS: We developed a state-transition model from a health care payer perspective and a lifetime horizon. We targeted 3 hypothetical cohorts of patients with long-standing type 2 diabetes (LSD), new-onset diabetes (NOD), and LSD having intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), aged 40, 50, 60, and 70 years. The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years, life expectancy life-years, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, and deaths from PC. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, abdominal ultrasound in patients with LSD and microRNA in patients with NOD and LSD having IPMN were the most cost-effective for all age groups. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to PC incidence and the cost of microRNA. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that microRNA was 42% to 54% cost-effective for NOD and 76% to 78% cost-effective for LSD having IPMN at a willingness-to-pay level of US $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. MicroRNA prevented 30,641 PC deaths in diabetic patients compared with no screening. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with NOD and LSD having IPMN, microRNA-based PC screening is cost-effective and recommended for early PC detection.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , MicroRNAs , Neoplasias Intraductais Pancreáticas , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Análise Custo-Benefício , MicroRNAs/genética , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/genética , Neoplasias Pancreáticas
8.
Helicobacter ; 26(5): e12837, 2021 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34278663

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) eradication reduces gastric cancer risk. Since 2013, a population-wide H. pylori eradication strategy for patients with chronic gastritis has begun to prevent gastric cancer in Japan. The aim of this study was to evaluate the economic and health effects of H. pylori eradication strategy in national gastric cancer prevention program. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed a cohort state-transition model for H. pylori eradication and no eradication over a lifetime horizon from a healthcare payer perspective, and performed one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. We targeted a hypothetical cohort of H. pylori-positive patients aged 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, and 80. The main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, gastric cancer cases, and deaths from gastric cancer. RESULTS: H. pylori eradication was more effective and cost-saving for all age groups than no eradication. Sensitivity analyses showed strong robustness of the results. From 2013-2019 for 8.50 million patients, H. pylori eradication saved US$3.75 billion, increased 11.11 million QALYs and 0.45 million LYs, and prevented 284,188 cases and 65,060 deaths. For 35.59 million patients without eradication, H. pylori eradication has the potential to save US$14.82 billion, increase 43.10 million QALYs and 1.66 million LYs, and prevent 1,084,532 cases and 250,256 deaths. CONCLUSIONS: National policy using population-wide H. pylori eradication to prevent gastric cancer has significant cost savings and health impacts for young-, middle-, and old-aged individuals in Japan. The findings strongly support the promotion of H. pylori eradication strategy for all age groups in high-incidence countries.


Assuntos
Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Neoplasias Gástricas , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Infecções por Helicobacter/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Políticas , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/prevenção & controle
10.
Dig Dis Sci ; 66(12): 4220-4226, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33417196

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: After successful Helicobacter pylori eradication, patients with gastric mucosal atrophy are at high risk of gastric cancer. Endoscopy can detect early gastric cancer with high sensitivity. AIMS: This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of annual endoscopy versus biennial endoscopy versus no screening for gastric cancer screening in patients after successful Helicobacter pylori eradication. METHODS: We developed decision trees with Markov models for a hypothetical cohort of patients aged 50 years after successful Helicobacter pylori eradication over a lifetime horizon from a healthcare payer perspective. Main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs) with discounting at a fixed annual rate of 3%, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: In a base-case analysis, biennial endoscopy (US$4305, 19.785QALYs, 19.938LYs) was more cost-effective than annual endoscopy (US$7516, 19.808QALYs, 19.958LYs, ICER; US$135,566/QALY gained) and no screening (US$14,326, 19.704QALYs, 19.873LYs). In scenario analyses, biennial endoscopy for patients with mild-to-moderate gastric mucosal atrophy and annual endoscopy for patients with severe gastric mucosal atrophy were the most cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to incidence of gastric cancer and the proportion of stage I. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses using Monte Carlo simulation demonstrated that at a willingness-to-pay level of US$100,000/QALY gained, biennial endoscopy was optimal 99.9% for patients with mild-to-moderate gastric mucosal atrophy, and that annual endoscopy was optimal 98.4% for patients with severe gastric mucosal atrophy. CONCLUSIONS: Based on cancer risk assessment of gastric mucosal atrophy and cost-effectiveness results, annual or biennial endoscopic surveillance could be established for patients after successful Helicobacter pylori eradication.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer/economia , Mucosa Gástrica/patologia , Gastroscopia/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Infecções por Helicobacter/tratamento farmacológico , Helicobacter pylori/efeitos dos fármacos , Neoplasias Gástricas/patologia , Atrofia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Árvores de Decisões , Feminino , Mucosa Gástrica/microbiologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/diagnóstico , Infecções por Helicobacter/microbiologia , Helicobacter pylori/patogenicidade , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Neoplasias Gástricas/microbiologia , Fatores de Tempo
11.
Pancreas ; 49(8): 1052-1056, 2020 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32769852

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to assess cost-effectiveness of abdominal ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging, endoscopic ultrasound, computed tomography, positron emission tomography, and no screening for pancreatic cancer screening in familial high-risk individuals (HRIs). METHODS: We developed decision trees with Markov models for a hypothetical cohort of familial HRIs at the age of 50 year using a healthcare sector perspective and a lifetime horizon. Main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS: In a base-case analysis, abdominal ultrasound was the most cost-effective (US $11,035, 17.4875 QALYs). Magnetic resonance imaging yielded the best benefits. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to the incidence of pancreatic cancer. Endoscopic ultrasound was more cost-effective than abdominal ultrasound when the incidence of pancreatic cancer was greater than 0.008 and under 0.016. Magnetic resonance imaging was more cost-effective than endoscopic ultrasound when the incidence of pancreatic cancer was greater than 0.016. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using Monte-Carlo simulation for 10,000 trials demonstrated that abdominal ultrasound was cost-effective 76% of the time at a willingness-to-pay threshold of US $50,000/QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: Abdominal ultrasound is the most cost-effective and recommended for pancreatic cancer screening in familial HRIs in Japan. Evaluating the risk of pancreatic cancer among familial HRIs as a target for screening is significant.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer/economia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/economia , Pâncreas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/diagnóstico , Ultrassonografia/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Endossonografia/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Japão , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons/métodos , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Ultrassonografia/métodos
12.
Int J Infect Dis ; 92S: S72-S77, 2020 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32171953

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost of a screening program for identifying latent tuberculosis (TB) infections in migrants to Oman. METHODS: A Markov model was used to estimate the cost of screening using an interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) applied to all migrants from high TB endemic countries, followed by preventive TB treatment. RESULTS: The model compared seven different scenarios, with a comparison of the direct cost and the quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) saved. CONCLUSIONS: IGRA testing followed by 3 months of preventive treatment with rifapentine/isoniazid (3HP) was the most cost-effective intervention.


Assuntos
Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico , Migrantes , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Isoniazida/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Latente/economia , Cadeias de Markov , Programas de Rastreamento , Omã , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Rifampina/análogos & derivados , Rifampina/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose/prevenção & controle
13.
Scand J Gastroenterol ; 54(6): 685-689, 2019 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31190581

RESUMO

Background: The latest version of Japanese guidelines for effective secondary prevention of gastric cancer recommend upper gastrointestinal series (UGI) and endoscopy in adults 50 years of age and older. A Helicobacter pylori antibody test and eradication (H. pylori screening) reduces gastric cancer risk. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of H. pylori screening, compared to UGI and endoscopy in high prevalence countries. Methods: We developed decision trees with Markov models using a healthcare payer perspective and a lifetime horizon. Targeted populations were hypothetical cohorts of asymptomatic individuals at the age of 50, 60, 70 and 80 years. We calculated per-person costs and effectiveness with discounting at a fixed annual rate of 3% and compared incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Results: H. pylori screening was cost-saving and more cost-effective for individuals at the age of 50, 60, 70, and 80 than UGI and endoscopy. One-way and multiway sensitivity analyses showed the robustness of the cost-effectiveness results. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses using Monte-Carlo simulation for 10,000 trials demonstrated that H. pylori screening was cost-effective 100% of the time at a willingness-to-pay level of US$50,000/QALY gained. Conclusions: H. pylori screening for the adults 50 years of age and older could be cost-effective compared to UGI and endoscopy in high prevalence countries. The main reasons for the superiority of H. pylori screening are that an H. pylori antibody test has a higher sensitivity and specificity than UGI and endoscopy and the benefits to reduce gastric cancer incidence and mortality.


Assuntos
Infecções por Helicobacter/diagnóstico , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Neoplasias Gástricas/diagnóstico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticorpos Antibacterianos/análise , Análise Custo-Benefício , Endoscopia , Feminino , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/prevenção & controle , Helicobacter pylori/isolamento & purificação , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Método de Monte Carlo , Prevalência , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Testes Sorológicos , Neoplasias Gástricas/microbiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/mortalidade
14.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 14(5): 489-498, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27238907

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Long-term expatriates from low to high tuberculosis (TB) incidence countries get high rates of active TB and latent TB infection (LTBI). TB screening for expatriates is important for occupational health. Interferon-gamma release assays are more accurate than tuberculin skin test (TST). Rifapentine plus isoniazid for 3 months (3HP) is as effective as 9 months of isoniazid (9H) with a higher treatment-completion rate. METHODS: Decision trees and Markov models were constructed using a societal perspective on a lifetime horizon. The target population was a hypothetical cohort of 30 year-old expatriates. Seven strategies; TST with 3HP or 9H, QuantiFERON®-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT) with 3HP or 9H, T-SPOT®.TB (TSPOT) with 3HP or 9H and chest X-ray examination (CXR) were modeled. The main outcome measure of effectiveness was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. RESULTS: QFT with 3HP yielded the greatest benefits with the lowest cost ($US 674.8; 25.95660 QALYs [year 2012 values]). CXR was the least cost-effective ($US 13,666.8; 24.62917 QALYs). Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to adherence rate of 3HP and QFT specificity, but not to BCG vaccination rate. CONCLUSIONS: Entry LTBI screening using QFT treated with 3HP is recommended on the basis of cost effectiveness among long-term expatriates from low to high incidence countries.


Assuntos
Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Isoniazida/uso terapêutico , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico , Rifampina/análogos & derivados , Viagem , Adulto , Simulação por Computador , Análise Custo-Benefício , Árvores de Decisões , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Tuberculose Latente/microbiologia , Tuberculose Latente/transmissão , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Programas de Rastreamento , Rifampina/uso terapêutico
15.
J Infect ; 68(1): 32-42, 2014 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23973660

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost effectiveness for tuberculosis (TB) screening of high-risk human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positive pregnant women by using interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs) compared to the tuberculin skin test (TST) in low TB incidence countries. METHODS: We constructed Markov models using a public health payer perspective. The target population was a hypothetical cohort of 20 year-olds HIV positive pregnant women until age 50 years in three most common screening situations; close contacts, immigrants from high burden countries and occasional screenings. BCG vaccination status was considered. Five strategies; TST, QuantiFERON®-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT), T-SPOT®. TB (T-SPOT), TST followed by QFT and TST followed by T-SPOT were modeled. The main outcome measure of effectiveness was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. The incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of each screening arm was applied and compared. RESULTS: In the base case analyses of close contacts, T-SPOT yielded the greatest benefits at the lowest cost. In the base case analyses of immigrants and occasional screenings, TST followed by QFT yielded the greatest benefits at the lowest cost. CONCLUSIONS: Using an IGRA for TB screening of high-risk HIV positive pregnant women is recommended on the basis of the cost effectiveness in low TB incidence countries.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV/microbiologia , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/virologia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/virologia , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/economia , Adulto Jovem
16.
Eur J Radiol ; 82(8): 1353-8, 2013 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23489981

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis contact investigation is one of the important public health strategies to control tuberculosis worldwide. Recently, high resolution computed tomography (HRCT) has been reported as a more accurate radiological method with higher sensitivity and specificity than chest X-ray (CXR) to detect active tuberculosis. In this study, we assessed the cost effectiveness of HRCT compared to CXR in combination with QuantiFERON(®)-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT) or the tuberculin skin test (TST) for tuberculosis contact investigation. METHODS: We constructed Markov models using a societal perspective on the lifetime horizon. The target population was a hypothetical cohort of immunocompetent 20-year-old contacts with smear-positive tuberculosis patients in developed countries. Six strategies; QFT followed by CXR, QFT followed by HRCT, TST followed by CXR, TST followed by HRCT, CXR alone and HRCT alone were modeled. All costs and clinical benefits were discounted at a fixed annual rate of 3%. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, QFT followed by HRCT strategy yielded the greatest benefit at the lowest cost ($US 6308.65; 27.56045 quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs])[year 2012 values]. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to BCG vaccination rate. CONCLUSIONS: The QFT followed by HRCT strategy yielded the greatest benefits at the lowest cost. HRCT chest imaging, instead of CXR, is recommended as a cost effective addition to the evaluation and management of tuberculosis contacts in public health policy.


Assuntos
Busca de Comunicante/economia , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Vigilância da População , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/economia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/economia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Busca de Comunicante/estatística & dados numéricos , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Taxa de Sobrevida , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/estatística & dados numéricos , Teste Tuberculínico , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos , Adulto Jovem
17.
Nephrol Dial Transplant ; 28(3): 682-8, 2013 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23239835

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The incidence of tuberculosis and latent tuberculosis infection in hemodialysis patients is higher than that in the general population. Our aim was to assess the cost effectiveness of QuantiFERON(®)-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT) compared with the tuberculin skin test (TST) and the chest x-ray examination (CXR) for tuberculosis screening of hemodialysis patients. METHODS: Markov models were constructed using a societal perspective on the lifetime horizon. The target population was a hypothetical cohort of 40-year-old hemodialysis patients. All costs and clinical benefits were discounted at a fixed annual rate of 3%. Three strategies QFT, TST and CXR were modeled. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, QFT yielded the greatest benefits at the lowest cost [US$7694.43; 4.19 258 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs)] compared with the TST (US$9337.81; 4.18 543 QALYs) and CXR (US$12 951.36; 4.14 821 QALYs) (year 2012 values). The cost effectiveness was sensitive to the the Bacillus Calmette Guérin (BCG) vaccination rate. The TST strategy was more cost effective than the QFT strategy at the willingness-to-pay level of US$50 000/QALY gained when the rate of BCG vaccination was 0.18 or lower. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curve of 40-year-old patients by Monte Carlo simulations for 10 000 trials demonstrated that the QFT was the most cost effective with a value of 100% at all willingness-to-pay levels compared with TST and CXR. CONCLUSIONS: The QFT is the most cost-effective method for the tuberculosis screening of hemodialysis patients. Interferon-γ release assays should be recommended in clinical practice on the basis of their cost effectiveness, as well as their higher specificity, compared with TST and CXR.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Diálise Renal/economia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/economia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Prognóstico , Radiografia Torácica/economia , Teste Tuberculínico/economia , Tuberculose/microbiologia , Raios X
18.
Mol Diagn Ther ; 16(3): 181-90, 2012 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22594558

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To assess the cost effectiveness of school-based tuberculosis (TB) screening using QuantiFERON®-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT) versus the tuberculin skin test (TST) and chest x-ray examination (CXR). METHODS: We constructed Markov models of first-year high-school and university students, using a societal perspective, and followed them up until the age of 80 years. Three strategies (QFT, TST, and CXR) were modeled. All costs and clinical benefits were discounted at a fixed annual rate of 3%. RESULTS: In the base-case analyses of 16-year-old high-school students and 19-year-old university students, the QFT strategy yielded the greatest benefits at the lowest cost [in year 2009 values] (16-year-olds: $US627.89, 29.69835 quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]; 19-year-olds: $US646.04, 29.15361 QALYs), compared with the TST strategy (16-year-olds: $US943.50, 29.69767 QALYs; 19-year-olds: $US998.62, 29.15288 QALYs) and the CXR strategy (16-year-olds: $US7286.24, 29.69532 QALYs; 19-year-olds: $US7305.19, 29.14911 QALYs). On one-way sensitivity analyses, the bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination rate was not sensitive to the TST strategy. On probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the QFT strategy was the most cost effective, with a willingness-to-pay level of $US50 000/QALY gained. CONCLUSION: The QFT strategy provided the greatest benefits at the lowest cost for school-based TB screening. There appears to be little role for TST or CXR in screening of school populations. Current practices using either TST or CXR screening should be reconsidered on the basis of cost effectiveness.


Assuntos
Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Vacina BCG , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Instituições Acadêmicas/economia , Teste Tuberculínico/economia , Tuberculose/economia , Universidades/economia , Adulto Jovem
19.
Am J Infect Control ; 39(10): e67-72, 2011 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21839543

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Currently, an annual chest X-ray examination (CXR) for detection of active tuberculosis (TB) in employees aged ≥40 years is recommended in the guidelines of the Japan Industrial Safety and Health Law. Interferon-γ release assays are new alternatives to the tuberculin skin test for detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection, with higher specificity than the tuberculin skin test and without cross-reactivity with the Bacille Calmette-Guérin vaccine. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of employee TB screening using QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT) versus CXR. METHODS: Markov models were constructed. The target population was a hypothetical cohort of immunocompetent 40-year-old individuals, using a societal perspective and a lifetime horizon. All costs and clinical benefits were discounted at a fixed annual rate of 3%. RESULTS: In a base-case analysis, the QFT strategy was the most cost-effective ($US 262.84; 22.87049 quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) compared with no screening ($448.38; 22.85452 QALYs) and CXR ($543.50; 22.85453 QALYs) [year 2009 values]. CONCLUSION: The QFT strategy is currently robust for screening Bacille Calmette-Guérin- vaccinated employees in Japan. There appears to be little role for CXR. These findings may be applicable to other countries in terms of choosing optimal TB screening for employees.


Assuntos
Pessoal de Saúde , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Saúde Ocupacional , Radiografia Torácica/economia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Adulto , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/métodos , Japão , Masculino , Radiografia Torácica/métodos , Raios X
20.
Mol Diagn Ther ; 14(4): 229-36, 2010 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20799765

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of tuberculosis (TB) in the elderly is higher than that in the general population, and elderly populations are considered a high-risk group. Currently, annual TB screening of Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG)-vaccinated people aged over 65 years is performed by an annual chest x-ray examination (CXR) in Japan. Interferon-gamma release assays (QuantiFERON-TB Gold and QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube [QFT]) are new alternatives to the tuberculin skin test to diagnose latent TB infection (LTBI) that have no cross-reactivity with the BCG vaccine. We evaluated the cost effectiveness of QFT versus CXR versus no screening in BCG-vaccinated elderly populations. METHODS: We constructed a Markov model to evaluate the cost effectiveness of QFT, CXR, and no screening. The target population was a hypothetical cohort of 1000 immunocompetent 65-year-olds, using a societal perspective and a lifetime horizon. All costs and clinical benefits were discounted at a fixed annual rate of 3%. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, a no-screening strategy resulted in the lowest cost ($US303.51; 14.6475 quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) compared with CXR ($US393.22; 14.6477 QALYs) and QFT ($US525.45; 14.6516 QALYs) [year 2008 values]. The sensitivity of QFT, as well as the prevalence of TB and LTBI, influenced the cost effectiveness; when the sensitivity of QFT was higher than 0.89, QFT became more cost effective than providing no screening. As the prevalence of LTBI and TB increased, the QFT strategy became progressively more cost effective. CONCLUSIONS: Providing no routine TB screening is currently the most cost-effective strategy for BCG-vaccinated elderly populations in Japan. There appears to be little role for CXR in TB screening of elderly populations. These findings may be applicable to other countries with intermediate and high TB risks when choosing optimal TB screening of elderly populations.


Assuntos
Testes Imunológicos/economia , Interferon gama/análise , Interferon gama/imunologia , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico , Radiografia Pulmonar de Massa/economia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Vacina BCG/administração & dosagem , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Japão , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico por imagem , Tuberculose Latente/imunologia , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagem , Tuberculose Pulmonar/imunologia
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