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INTRODUCTION: Extracranial vascular characteristics determine the accessibility of the large vessel intracranial occlusion for endovascular treatment (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke. We developed and validated a prediction model for failure of the transfemoral approach to aid clinical decision making regarding EVT. METHODS: A prediction model was developed from data of patients included in the Dutch multicenter MR CLEAN Registry (March 18th 2014 until June 15th 2016) with penalized logistic regression. Predictor variables were available prior to the EVT procedure and included age, hypertension and extracranial vascular characteristics assessed on baseline CTA. The prediction model was internally validated, temporally validated within a second MR CLEAN Registry cohort (June 15th 2016 until November 1st 2017) and updated by re-estimating the coefficients using the combined cohort. RESULTS: Failure of the transfemoral approach occurred in 7% of patients, in both cohorts (derivation cohort: n=887, median age 71 years, interquartile range [IQR] 60-80, 52% men; validation cohort: n=1111, median age 73 years, IQR 62-81, 51% men). The prediction model had a c-statistic of 0.81 (95%CI: 0.76-0.86) in the derivation cohort, 0.69 (95%CI: 0.62-0.75) at temporal validation, and 0.75 (95%CI: 0.71-0.79) in the final prediction model, with the following penalized ß-coefficients for predictors age (per decade): 0.26, hypertension: -0.16, severe aortic arch elongation: 1.45, bovine aortic arch: 0.44, elongation of the supra-aortic arteries: 0.72, cervical ICA elongation: 0.44, and high-grade stenosis of the cervical ICA: 0.78. CONCLUSION: Our prediction model showed good performance for prediction of failure to reach the intracranial occlusion by the transfemoral approach.
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Objective: Several studies have shown that patients admitted with an acute myocardial infarction during the weekends have a higher mortality rate than those admitted during weekdays, possibly attributable to less trained personnel available and a lower use of medical procedures. The current study aimed to assess this 'weekend-effect' in a nationwide registry. Methods: In the Netherlands, all inhabitants are, by law, obliged to have health insurance and all claim data are centrally registered. In 2012 and 2013, all national diagnose-codings of STEMI and NSTEMI patients were acquired. One-year mortality rates and treatment with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were compared between weekdays and weekends (holidays included). Results: In total, 59,534 patients (67 ± 13 years, 39,545(66%) male) were included of whom 33,904(57%) had a NSTEMI. Overall 6857(12%) patients died in the year following the acute myocardial infarction registration. In STEMI patients, no differences in one-year mortality rates were observed between admission on weekdays or weekends. In NSTEMI patients, one-year mortality was higher in those admitted during weekends (weekdays 11% versus weekends 13%, P < .001). Furthermore, STEMI patients admitted during weekends were more often treated with PCI (weekdays 77% versus weekends 81%, P < .001). Conversely, NSTEMI patients admitted during weekends were less often treated with PCI (weekdays 35% versus weekends 32%, P < .001). Conclusion: Differences in treatment and mortality rates exist between acute myocardial infarction patients admitted during weekdays and weekends. NSTEMI patients admitted during weekends are less often treated with PCI and have a higher mortality rate than patients admitted during weekdays.