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Background and Objectives: Previous approaches pursuing normative modelling for analyzing heterogeneity in Alzheimer's Disease (AD) have relied on a single neuroimaging modality. However, AD is a multi-faceted disorder, with each modality providing unique and complementary info about AD. In this study, we used a deep-learning based multimodal normative model to assess the heterogeneity in regional brain patterns for ATN (amyloid-tau-neurodegeneration) biomarkers. Methods: We selected discovery (n = 665) and replication (n = 430) cohorts with simultaneous availability of ATN biomarkers: Florbetapir amyloid, Flortaucipir tau and T1-weighted MRI (magnetic resonance imaging) imaging. A multimodal variational autoencoder (conditioned on age and sex) was used as a normative model to learn the multimodal regional brain patterns of a cognitively unimpaired (CU) control group. The trained model was applied on individuals on the ADS (AD Spectrum) to estimate their deviations (Z-scores) from the normative distribution, resulting in a Z-score regional deviation map per ADS individual per modality. Regions with Z-scores < -1.96 for MRI and Z-scores > 1.96 for amyloid and tau were labelled as outliers. Hamming distance was used to quantify the dissimilarity between individual based on their outlier deviations across each modality. We also calculated a disease severity index (DSI) for each ADS individual which was estimated by averaging the deviations across all outlier regions corresponding to each modality. Results: ADS individuals with moderate or severe dementia showed higher proportion of regional outliers for each modality as well as more dissimilarity in modality-specific regional outlier patterns compared to ADS individuals with early or mild dementia. DSI was associated with the progressive stages of dementia, (ii) showed significant associations with neuropsychological composite scores and (iii) related to the longitudinal risk of CDR progression. Findings were reproducible in both discovery and replication cohorts. Discussion: Our is the first study to examine the heterogeneity in AD through the lens of multiple neuroimaging modalities (ATN), based on distinct or overlapping patterns of regional outlier deviations. Regional MRI and tau outliers were more heterogenous than regional amyloid outliers. DSI has the potential to be an individual patient metric of neurodegeneration that can help in clinical decision making and monitoring patient response for anti-amyloid treatments.
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Normative modelling is a method for understanding the underlying heterogeneity within brain disorders like Alzheimer Disease (AD), by quantifying how each patient deviates from the expected normative pattern that has been learned from a healthy control distribution. Existing deep learning based normative models have been applied on only single modality Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) neuroimaging data. However, these do not take into account the complementary information offered by multimodal M RI, which is essential for understanding a multifactorial disease like AD. To address this limitation, we propose a multi-modal variational autoencoder (mmVAE) based normative modelling framework that can capture the joint distribution between different modalities to identify abnormal brain volume deviations due to AD. Our multi-modal framework takes as input Freesurfer processed brain region volumes from T1-weighted (cortical and subcortical) and T2-weighed (hippocampal) scans of cognitively normal participants to learn the morphological characteristics of the healthy brain. The estimated normative model is then applied on AD patients to quantify the deviation in brain volumes and identify abnormal brain pattern deviations due to the progressive stages of AD. We compared our proposed mmVAE with a baseline unimodal VAE having a single encoder and decoder and the two modalities concatenated as unimodal input. Our experimental results show that deviation maps generated by mmVAE are more sensitive to disease staging within AD, have a better correlation with patient cognition and result in higher number of brain regions with statistically significant deviations compared to the unimodal baseline model.
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OBJECTIVE: Alzheimer disease (AD) is the most common cause of dementia, a syndrome characterized by cognitive impairment severe enough to interfere with activities of daily life. We aimed to conduct a systematic literature review (SLR) of studies that applied machine learning (ML) methods to clinical data derived from electronic health records in order to model risk for progression of AD dementia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We searched for articles published between January 1, 2010, and May 31, 2020, in PubMed, Scopus, ScienceDirect, IEEE Explore Digital Library, Association for Computing Machinery Digital Library, and arXiv. We used predefined criteria to select relevant articles and summarized them according to key components of ML analysis such as data characteristics, computational algorithms, and research focus. RESULTS: There has been a considerable rise over the past 5 years in the number of research papers using ML-based analysis for AD dementia modeling. We reviewed 64 relevant articles in our SLR. The results suggest that majority of existing research has focused on predicting progression of AD dementia using publicly available datasets containing both neuroimaging and clinical data (neurobehavioral status exam scores, patient demographics, neuroimaging data, and laboratory test values). DISCUSSION: Identifying individuals at risk for progression of AD dementia could potentially help to personalize disease management to plan future care. Clinical data consisting of both structured data tables and clinical notes can be effectively used in ML-based approaches to model risk for AD dementia progression. Data sharing and reproducibility of results can enhance the impact, adaptation, and generalizability of this research.