Hospitalised patients with unexplained chest pain: incidence and prognosis.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of unexplained chest pain patients provides valuable information for evaluation of health services. OBJECTIVE: To examine prognosis of unexplained chest pain. METHODS: Using data from in- and outpatient hospital visits in Norway of patients discharged with a main diagnosis of unexplained chest pain (ICD-10: R072-R074) in 2010-2012, the 1-year incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD), any cardio-vascular disease (CVD) and mortality was evaluated. Cases with prior 2-year history of CVD or chest pain were excluded. Cox proportional hazards evaluated outcomes by patient characteristics and standardized mortality ratios evaluated observed versus expected mortality. RESULTS: Of 59 569 patients identified (20-89 years of age), the majority (86%) were referred to hospital by out-of-hours emergency care centres. Subsequent CHD was noted for 12.5%, 19.5% and 25.0% of men and 7.2%, 11.0%, 14.0% of women aged 45-64, 65-74 and 75-89 years, respectively. The per cent of deaths attributed to CVD were greatest within the first 2 months of postdischarge. Total mortality rates (per 1000 person-years) were 6.6 in men and 4.7 in women aged 45-64 and 69.2 in men and 39.5 in women aged 75-89 years. Relative to the general population, mortality was 53% and 45% higher for men and women under 65 years of age, respectively, attributed primarily to non-CVD causes. CONCLUSION: Patients in Norway discharged with unexplained chest pain are an at-risk group in terms of incident CHD, any CVD and mortality, including non-CVD mortality during the first-year postdischarge. The results suggest that unexplained chest pain patients may benefit from greater healthcare coordination between medical disciplines.

Prostate and breast cancer in four Nordic countries: A comparison of incidence and mortality trends across countries and age groups 1975-2013.

In recent decades, management of prostate and breast cancer patients has changed considerably. The purpose of our study is to interpret patterns of prostate and breast cancer incidence and mortality in four Nordic countries across age groups and time periods. Prostate and breast cancer incidence and mortality data (1975-2013) were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Joinpoint regression models were used to identify changes in the trends. A more prominent increase in prostate than breast cancer incidence was observed. From the mid-1990s, mortality rates in patients below 75 years of age have decreased for both cancers in all four countries. The relative decline in breast cancer mortality from 1985-1989 to 2009-2013 were largest in women under 50 years of age, with reductions in mortality rates ranging from 38% in Finland to 55% in Denmark. In the age group 55-74 years, mortality rates for prostate cancer declined more than for breast cancer in all countries except Denmark, ranging from 14% in Denmark to 39% in Norway. The substantial decrease in breast cancer mortality in women below regular screening age and the reductions in mortality from both cancers in Denmark from the mid-1990s are consistent with beneficial contributions from improved treatment besides mammography screening and increased PSA testing. Alongside similar mortality decreases, the larger increases in prostate cancer incidence as compared to breast cancer indicate that a higher proportion of prostate cancer cases are overdiagnosed.

Scandinavian clinical practice guideline on choice of fluid in resuscitation of critically ill patients with acute circulatory failure.

BACKGROUND: The task force on Acute Circulatory Failure of the Scandinavian Society of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine produced this guideline with recommendations concerning the use of crystalloid vs. colloid solutions in adult critically ill patients with acute circulatory failure. METHODS: Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology was used to grade the quality of evidence and to determine the strengths of the recommendations. As efficacy and harm may vary in different subpopulations of patients with acute circulatory failure, we produced recommendations for general intensive care unit (ICU) patients and those with sepsis, trauma and burn injury. RESULTS: For general ICU patients and those with sepsis, we recommend using crystalloids for resuscitation rather than hydroxyethyl starch and we suggest using crystalloids rather than gelatin and albumin. For patients with trauma we recommend to use crystalloids for resuscitation rather than colloid solutions. For patients with burn injury we provide no recommendations as there are very limited data from randomised trials on fluid resuscitation in this patient population. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend using crystalloid solutions rather than colloid solutions for resuscitation in the majority of critically ill patients with acute circulatory failure.

A calibration study of SAPS II with Norwegian intensive care registry data.

BACKGROUND: Mortality prediction is important in intensive care. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II is a tool for predicting such mortality. However, the original SAPS II is poorly calibrated to current intensive care unit (ICU) populations because it draws on data, which is more than 20 years old. We aimed to improve the calibration of SAPS II using data from the Norwegian Intensive Care Registry (NIR). This is the first recalibration of SAPS II for Nordic data. METHODS: A first-level customization was applied to improve calibration of the original SAPS II model (Model A). NIR data used covered more than 90% of adult patients admitted to ICUs in Norway from 2008 to 2010 (n = 30712). RESULTS: The modified SAPS II, Model B, outperformed the original Model A with respect to calibration. Model B gave more accurate predictions of mortality than Model A (Hosmer-Lemeshow's C: 22.01 vs. 689.07; Brier score: 0.120 vs. 0.131; Cox's calibration regression: α = -0.093 vs. -0.747, ß = 0.921 vs. 0.735, (α|ß = 1) = -0.009 vs. -0.630). The standardized mortality ratio was 0.73 [95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.70-0.76] for Model A and 0.99 (95% CI of 0.95-1.04) for Model B. Discrimination was good for both models (area under receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.83 for both models). CONCLUSIONS: As expected, Model B is better calibrated than Model A, and both models have similar uniformity of fit and equal discrimination. Introducing Model B into Norwegian ICUs may improve precision in decision-making. Units will have a more realistic benchmark for the assessment of ICU performance. Mortality risk estimates from Model B are better than previous SAPS II estimates have been.

Do elderly intensive care unit patients receive less intensive care treatment and have higher mortality?

BACKGROUND: The number of elderly (≥ 80 years) will increase markedly in Norway over the next 20 years, increasing the demand for health-care services, including intensive care. The aims of this study were to see if intensive care unit (ICU) resource use and survival are different for elderly ICU patients than for younger adult ICU patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study comparing ICU patients between 50 and 79.9 years (Group I) with patients over 80 years (Group II) registered in the Norwegian Intensive Care Registry from 2006 to 2009. A subgroup analysis of 5-year age groups was performed. RESULTS: A total of 27,921 patients were analysed. The ICU/hospital mortalities were 14.3%/21.4% (Group I) and 19.8%/32.4% (Group II). Overall mortality increased with increasing age, and hospital mortality rate increased more than ICU mortality. The observed difference in admission categories could not explain the significant difference in median length of stay (LOS), 2.3 days (Group I) vs. 2.0 days (Group II). The elderly received less mechanical ventilatory support (40.6% vs. 56.1%) and had shorter median ventilatory support time, 0.8 days vs. 1.9 days. Median LOS dropped from around 80 years on, ventilator support time from around 65-70 years. CONCLUSION: Octogenarians had shorter ICU stays, had higher overall mortality, had a shift of dying at the ward rather than in the ICU, and received less and shorter mechanical ventilatory support.

Cognitive impairments after critical illness.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairments are common after critical illness. Aetiology and effects of cognitive impairments in this setting are not fully revealed. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of critical illness and intensive care unit (ICU) treatment on cerebral function. METHODS: Adult ICU patients with no previous history of cerebral disorders were included. Non-delirious patients scoring ≥ 24 on mini-mental state examination on ICU discharge were explored neuropsychologically using the Cambridge Neuropsychological Test Automated Battery (CANTAB) to classify cognitive impairments. Tests were repeated at 3 and 12 months. Results were compared with a normal reference population and a surgical comparison group. RESULTS: We included 55 patients. Eighteen of 28 patients were cognitively impaired, and it was not possible to classify 27 patients. The ICU survivors tested with CANTAB scored significantly lower than the reference population. They also scored worse than a surgical comparison group but significantly on only one of 10 measures. At 3 months follow-up, included patients scored significantly worse on one of 10 reported CANTAB measures. There were no differences at 12 months. We found no associations between age, co-morbidity, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, presence of cardiovascular disease, duration of ventilatory support and length of ICU stay, and cognitive impairments. Having a cognitive impairment did not affect other outcome measures such as mortality, health-related quality of life, and institutionalization. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive impairments are common after critical illness and may be caused by the critical illness in itself. Incidences are high after ICU discharge (64%) but drops rapidly during the first 3 months after discharge.

Regional trends in prostate cancer incidence, treatment with curative intent and mortality in Norway 1980-2007.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the trends in prostate cancer incidence, treatment with curative intent and mortality across regions and counties in Norway, and to consider changes in incidence (an indicator for early diagnosis) and treatment with curative intent as explanatory factors for the decreasing prostate cancer mortality rates. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Prostate cancer incidence and mortality data (1980-2007) alongside treatment data (1987-2005) were obtained from the national, population-based Cancer Registry of Norway. Joinpoint regression models were fitted to age-adjusted incidence, treatment and mortality rates to identify linear changes in the trends. RESULTS: Both age-adjusted incidence rates and rates of curative treatment of prostate cancer increased significantly in all five regions of Norway since the early 1990s. There was a strong positive correlation between increasing incidence and increasing use of curative treatment. The frequency of curative treatment in Western Norway was almost threefold that in the Northern and Central regions around year 2000. Subsequently, the regional trends converged and only minor differences in prostate cancer incidence and use of curative treatment were observed by 2005. The declines in mortality were observed earliest in the regions with the highest incidence and the most frequent use of curative treatment, while the largest decreases in mortality were found in counties where the largest increases in curative treatment were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The elucidation of the prostate cancer mortality trends is hindered by an inability to tease out the potential effects of early treatment from the more general impact of improved and more active treatment. However, it is likely that both sets of intervention have contributed to the decline in prostate cancer mortality in Norway since 1996.

Cognitive dysfunction and health-related quality of life after a cardiac arrest and therapeutic hypothermia.

BACKGROUND: Evidence-based treatment protocols including therapeutic hypothermia have increased hospital survival to over 50% in unconscious out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors. In this study we estimated the incidence of cognitive dysfunctions in a group of cardiac arrest survivors with a high functional outcome treated with therapeutic hypothermia. Secondarily, we assessed the cardiac arrest group's level of cognitive performance in each tested cognitive domain and investigated the relationship between cognitive function and age, time since cardiac arrest and health-related quality of life (HRQOL). METHODS: We included 26 patients 13-28 months after a cardiac arrest. All patients were scored using the Cerebral Performance Category scale (CPC) and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Twenty-five of the patients were tested for cognitive function using the Cambridge Neuropsychological Test Automated Battery (CANTAB). These patients were tested using four cognitive tests: Motor Screening Test, Delayed Matching to Sample, Stockings of Cambridge and Paired Associate Learning from CANTAB. All patients filled in the Short Form-36 for the assessment of HRQOL. RESULTS: Thirteen of 25 (52%) patients were classified as having a cognitive dysfunction. Compared with the reference population, there was no difference in the performance in motor function and delayed memory but there were significant differences in executive function and episodic memory. We found no associations between cognitive function and age, time since cardiac arrest or HRQOL. CONCLUSION: Half of the patients had a cognitive dysfunction with reduced performance on executive function and episodic memory, indicating frontal and temporal lobe affection, respectively. Reduced performance did not affect HRQOL.

Impact of the post-World War II generation on intensive care needs in Norway.

BACKGROUND: A high birth rate during the first two decades following World War II has increased the proportion of elderly people in present-day society and, consequently, the demand for health-care services. The impact on intensive care services may become dramatic because the age distribution of critically ill patients is skewed towards the elderly. We have used registry data and population statistics to forecast the demand for intensive care services in Norway up until the year 2025. METHODS: Data collected by the Norwegian intensive care registry (NIR), showing the age distribution in Norwegian intensive care units (ICU) during the years 2006 and 2007, were used with three different Norwegian prognostic models of population growth for the years 2008-2025 to compute the expected increase in intensive care unit bed-days (ICU bed-days). RESULTS: The elderly were overrepresented in Norwegian ICUs in 2006-2007, with patients from 60 to 79 years of age occupying 44% of ICU bed-days. Population growth from 2008 to 2025 was estimated to be from 11.1 to 26.4%, depending on the model used. Growth will be much larger in the age group 60-79 years. Other factors kept unchanged, this will result in an increase in the need for intensive care (ICU bed-days) of between 26.1 and 36.9%. CONCLUSION: The demand for intensive care beds will increase markedly in Norwegian hospitals in the near future. This will have serious implications for the planning of infrastructure, education of health care personnel, as well as financing of our health care system.

Quality of life 2-7 years after major trauma.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the present study was to assess potential long-term reduction in health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in adult trauma patients 2-7 years after discharge from an intensive care unit (ICU), and to study possible determinants of the HRQOL reduction. METHODS: Follow-up study of a cohort of 341 trauma patients admitted to the ICU of a university hospital during 1998-2003. Of the 228 eligible patients, 210 (92%) completed the study. A telephone interview using the EuroQol 5-D (EQ-5D) was conducted. Patients reported their HRQOL both at present and before trauma. RESULTS: Before trauma 88% reported in retrospect no problem in any EQ-5D dimension, compared with 20% at follow-up. After trauma (median 4.0 years) 58% suffered pain/discomfort, 44% reported alterations in usual activities, 40% reduced mobility, 35% anxiety/depression, and 15% limited autonomy. A total of 74% experienced reduction in HRQOL. Severe problems were reported by 16%. Women experienced more anxiety/depression than men. Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II and Injury Severity Score (ISS) were significantly associated with impaired HRQOL, while age was not. Patients with severe head injury reported better HRQOL than those without severe head injury. CONCLUSION: More than 2 years post-injury, 74% reported impaired HRQOL but only 16% had severe problems. The majority still suffered pain/discomfort, indicating that pain management is a key factor in improving long-term outcome after severe trauma.

Survival and quality of life 12 years after ICU. A comparison with the general Norwegian population.

OBJECTIVES: To study the long-term (12 year) survival and quality of life (QOL) in former ICU patients. SETTING: Two hundred and thirty-six ICU admissions from a total of 219 patients treated in a Norwegian University Hospital in 1987. DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the ICU stays and a prospective observation of survival using available information from the Norwegian Peoples Registry. QOL was studied in survivors in 2000 using the Short Form-36 (SF-36) questionnaire. Survival was compared with available statistics for the general Norwegian population (gender- and age-matched), and QOL was compared with published data from a Norwegian reference population. INTERVENTIONS: None. RESULTS: A total of 106 (48.4 %) patients survived the first 12 years after ICU. Of the non-survivors (113) 66.4 % died within the first year. Two years after discharge the further survival of former ICU patients was 0.763 compared to 0.826 in the general population (difference 0.063 with 95 % CI from -0.007 to 0.134). QOL was significantly less than in the reference population in six of the eight scales of SF-36 (average 82.5%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that the long-term outcome after ICU is good, with an acceptable QOL and a life expectancy comparable with the general population in survivors 2 years after the ICU stay.