RESUMO
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Influenza virus infection can contribute to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this study is to confirm if the increase in seasonal influenza rates is associated with a growth in hospitalisation and mortality rates for acute cardiovascular diseases (ACVD). METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of hospital discharges due to ACVD (myocardial infarction, unstable angina, heart failure and ischemic stroke) in the Castilla y León (Spain) hospital system between 2001 and 2015. Hospitalisation and hospital mortality rates due to ACVD, and influenza rates in Castilla y León between 2001 and 2015 were studied. To calculate hospitalisation and mortality rates, the hospital discharges database was used; for influenza rates, the weekly reports of the Sentinel System for the surveillance of influenza in Spain (Carlos III Health Institute) were used. A statistical analysis of linear and multivariate logistic regressions was performed. RESULTS: 239,586 ACVD (myocardial infarction: 55,004; unstable angina: 15,406; heart failure: 11,1647; ischemic stroke: 57,529) were studied. Increasing rates of influenza were associated with increased mortality due to ACVD and all the diseases studied, except unstable angina. A linear correlation was observed between influenza rates and hospitalisation (r2=0.03; p=0.02) and mortality (r2=0.14; p<0.001) rates by ACVD. Virtually all influenza rates were associated, as independent variables, to an increase in mortality due to ACVD, being higher in rates>139/100,000 inhabitants (OR: 1.25; p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The rates of hospitalisation and in-hospital mortality due to ACVD in the period 2001-2015 increased in relation to infection rates due to the influenza virus.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Estações do Ano , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Angina Instável/mortalidade , Causas de Morte , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espanha/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidadeRESUMO
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: To analyze hospitalization and mortality rates due to acute cardiovascular disease (ACVD). METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of the hospital discharge database of Castile and León from 2001 to 2015, selecting patients with a principal discharge diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), unstable angina, heart failure, or acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Trends in the rates of hospitalization/100 000 inhabitants/y and hospital mortality/1000 hospitalizations/y, overall and by sex, were studied by joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 239 586 ACVD cases (AMI 55 004; unstable angina 15 406; heart failure 111 647; AIS 57 529) were studied. The following statistically significant trends were observed: hospitalization: ACVD, upward from 2001 to 2007 (5.14; 95%CI, 3.5-6.8; P < .005), downward from 2011 to 2015 (3.7; 95%CI, 1.0-6.4; P < .05); unstable angina, downward from 2001 to 2010 (-12.73; 95%CI, -14.8 to -10.6; P < .05); AMI, upward from 2001 to 2003 (15.6; 95%CI, 3.8-28.9; P < .05), downward from 2003 to 2015 (-1.20; 95%CI, -1.8 to -0.6; P < .05); heart failure, upward from 2001 to 2007 (10.70; 95%CI, 8.7-12.8; P < .05), upward from 2007 to 2015 (1.10; 95%CI, 0.1-2.1; P < .05); AIS, upward from 2001 to 2007 (4.44; 95%CI, 2.9-6.0; P < .05). Mortality rates: downward from 2001 to 2015 in ACVD (-1.16; 95%CI, -2.1 to -0.2; P < .05), AMI (-3.37, 95%CI, -4.4 to -2, 3, P < .05), heart failure (-1.25; 95%CI, -2.3 to -0.1; P < .05) and AIS (-1.78; 95%CI, -2.9 to -0.6; P < .05); unstable angina, upward from 2001 to 2007 (24.73; 95%CI, 14.2-36.2; P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: The ACVD analyzed showed a rising trend in hospitalization rates from 2001 to 2015, which was especially marked for heart failure, and a decreasing trend in hospital mortality rates, which were similar in men and women. These data point to a stabilization and a decline in hospital mortality, attributable to established prevention measures.