Concomitant human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and screening for elimination of HPV and cervical cancer.

HPV vaccination with concomitant HPV-based screening of young women has been proposed for faster cervical cancer elimination. We describe the baseline results of a population-based trial of this strategy to reduce the incidence of HPV. All 89,547 women born 1994-1999 and resident in the capital region of Sweden were personally invited to concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening with 26,125 women (29.2%) enrolled between 2021-05-03 and 2022-12-31. Baseline HPV genotyping of cervical samples from the study participants finds, compared to pre-vaccination prevalences, a strong decline of HPV16 and 18 in birth cohorts previously offered vaccination, some decline for cross-protected HPV types but no decline for HPV types not targeted by vaccines. Our dynamic transmission modelling predicts that the trial could reduce the incidence of high-risk HPV infections among the 1994-1998 cohorts by 62-64% in 3 years. Baseline results are prevalences of HPV infection, validated transmission model projections, and power estimates for evaluating HPV incidence reductions at follow-up (+/-0.1% with 99.9% confidence). In conclusion, concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening appears to be a realistic option for faster cervical cancer elimination. Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT04910802; EudraCT number: 2020-001169-34.

Human papillomavirus negative high grade cervical lesions and cancers: Suggested guidance for HPV testing quality assurance.

BACKGROUND: Some high-grade cervical lesions and cervical cancers (HSIL+) test negative for human papillomavirus (HPV). The HPV-negative fraction varies between 0.03 % and 15 % between different laboratories. Monitoring and extended re-analysis of HPV-negative HSIL+ could thus be helpful to monitor performance of HPV testing services. We aimed to a) provide a real-life example of a quality assurance (QA) program based on re-analysis of HPV-negative HSIL+ and b) develop international guidance for QA of HPV testing services based on standardized identification of apparently HPV-negative HSIL+ and extended re-analysis, either by the primary laboratory or by a national HPV reference laboratory (NRL). METHODS: There were 116 initially HPV-negative cervical specimens (31 histopathology specimens and 85 liquid-based cytology samples) sent to the Swedish HPV Reference Laboratory for re-testing. Based on the results, an international QA guidance was developed through an iterative consensus process. RESULT: Standard PCR testing detected HPV in 55.2 % (64/116) of initially "HPV-negative" samples. Whole genome sequencing of PCR-negative samples identified HPV in an additional 7 samples (overall 61.2 % HPV positivity). Reasons for failure to detect HPV in an HSIL+ lesion are listed and guidance to identify cases for extended re-testing, including which information should be included when referring samples to an NRL are presented. CONCLUSION: Monitoring the proportion of and reasons for failure to detect HPV in HSIL+ will help support high performance and quality improvement of HPV testing services. We encourage implementation of QA strategies based on re-analysis of "HPV negative" HSIL+ samples.

The International Human Papillomavirus Reference Center: Standardization, collaboration, and quality assurance in HPV research and diagnostics.

The International Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Reference Center (IHRC) confirms and assigns type numbers to novel HPV types, maintains a reference clone repository, and issues international proficiency panels for HPV screening and genotyping. Furthermore, the Center coordinates the Global HPV Reference Laboratory Network that promotes collaboration and international exchange of experiences among national HPV reference laboratories, to further international standardization and quality assurance in the HPV field. The established HPV types (n = 225) belong to 5 different genera: alpha (n = 65), beta (n = 54), gamma (n = 102), mu (n = 3) and nu (n = 1). Since the last published IHRC overview in 2018, 6 novel types have been established, with 5/6 belonging to the gamma genus and 1/6 to beta genus. Also, 474 reference clones have been provided to 55 different research laboratories and the global proficiency program for HPV genotyping has seen an increasing proficiency (despite a decrease seen in 2019), from 68% proficiency in 2017 to 77.3% in 2022. The first proficiency study for HPV screening found an international proficiency of up to 77%. In summary, increasing complexity of the HPVs and demands on quality assurance in the era of cervical cancer elimination requires international efforts to support proficiency and recognized quality and order among HPV types.

Ecological diversity profiles of non-vaccine-targeted HPVs after gender-based community vaccination efforts.

The long-term effect of population-level human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination on the viral ecology of the untargeted HPVs is poorly understood. We performed an 8-year follow-up of 33 communities randomized to gender-neutral HPV16/18 vaccination, girls-only HPV16/18 vaccination, and control communities without HPV vaccination. The 1992/93 and 1994 birth cohorts were invited in school years 2007/8 and 2008/9. Follow-up cervico-vaginal sampling at 18 and 22 years of age, 4 and 8 years post-vaccination, respectively, were attended by 11,396 and 5,602 participants. HPV types 6/11/16/18/31/33/35/39/45/51/52/56/58/59/66/68 were genotyped and used for the community-level ecological diversity estimations. Gender-neutral vaccination communities with a stronger herd immunity than girls-only vaccination communities show a significantly increased HPV α-diversity (p = 1.1 × 10-8) from 4 to 8 years post-vaccination, despite the clearance of the vaccine-targeted HPVs in these communities. This likely sign of niche occupation by the non-vaccine-targeted HPVs will potentially affect the future cervical cancer screening programs but should not interfere with the WHO mission to eliminate cervical cancer.

Impact of cervical screening by human papillomavirus genotype: Population-based estimations.

BACKGROUND: Cervical screening programs use testing for human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes. Different HPV types differ greatly in prevalence and oncogenicity. We estimated the impact of cervical screening and follow-up for each HPV type. METHODS AND FINDINGS: For each type of HPV, we calculated the number of women needed to screen (NNS) and number of women needing follow-up (NNF) to detect or prevent one cervical cancer case, using the following individual level input data (i) screening and cancer data for all women aged 25 to 80 years, resident in Sweden during 2004 to 2011 (N = 3,568,938); (ii) HPV type-specific prevalences and screening histories among women with cervical cancer in Sweden in 2002 to 2011(N = 4,254); (iii) HPV 16/18/other HPV prevalences in the population-based HPV screening program (N = 656,607); and (iv) exact HPV genotyping in a population-based cohort (n = 12,527). Historical screening attendance was associated with a 72% reduction of cervical cancer incidence caused by HPV16 (71.6%, 95% confidence interval (CI) [69.1%, 73.9%]) and a 54% reduction of cancer caused by HPV18 (53.8%, 95% CI [40.6%, 63.1%]). One case of HPV16-caused cervical cancer could be prevented for every 5,527 women attending screening (number needed to screen, NNS). Prevention of one case of HPV16-caused cervical cancer required follow-up of 147 HPV16-positive women (number needed to follow-up, NNF). The NNS and NNF were up to 40 to 500 times higher for HPV types commonly screened for with lower oncogenic potential (HPV35,39,51,56,59,66,68). For women below 30 years of age, NNS and NNF for HPV16 were 4,747 and 289, respectively, but >220,000 and >16,000 for HPV35,39,51,56,59,66,68. All estimates were either age-standarized or age-stratified. The primary limitation of our study is that NNS is dependent on the HPV prevalence that can differ between populations and over time. However, it can readily be recalculated in other settings and monitored when HPV type-specific prevalence changes. Other limitations include that in some age groups, there was little data and extrapolations had to be made. Finally, there were very few cervical cancer cases associated with certain HPV types in young age group. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed that the impact of cervical cancer screening varies depending on the HPV type screened for. Estimating and monitoring the impact of screening by HPV type can facilitate the design of effective and efficient HPV-based cervical screening programs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov with numbers NCT00479375, NCT01511328.

First international proficiency study on human papillomavirus testing in cervical cancer screening.

BACKGROUND: Although cervical screening using Human Papillomavirus (HPV) testing is globally recommended public health policy, there has been no international proficiency studies specifically targeting HPV testing for cervical screening. OBJECTIVE: To obtain the first global overview of the current proficiency of HPV testing services for cervical cancer screening. STUDY DESIGN: A coded proficiency panel of 12 samples containing HPV types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58 or 35/39/51/56/59/68 in human DNA in varying amounts as well as control. Datasets detecting at least a) 10 International Units (IU) of HPV16 and 18, b) 1000 IU of HPV types 31, 33, 45, 52, 58 and c) having no false positives were considered proficient. RESULTS: In total, 84 laboratories worldwide submitted 158 datasets (some laboratories used >1 HPV testing platform). Of those, 122 (77%) were 100% proficient. Only 14/158 datasets (9%) contained false positive results. Comparison of results with assays approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) suggest that future proficiency requirements should also accommodate assays detecting only 100 IU of HPV16/18. A pool of low oncogenicity HPV types that contributed very little to sensitivity, but adversely affected specificity, was detectable by most datasets. CONCLUSION: Internationally recognized proficiency studies of HPV screening, traceable to international standards, provided an overview of current testing performance. There was a high level of proficiency in terms of sensitivity and few false positives, but specificity was not optimal and further research on optimal specificity of HPV screening tests may be warranted.

Assessment of Human Papillomavirus Non-16/18, Type-Specific Risk for Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 3 or Worse Among Women With Cervical Atypical Glandular Cells.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the risk for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 (CIN 3) or worse (including adenocarcinoma in situ [AIS] and invasive cervical cancer) associated with non-16/18 human papillomavirus (HPV) types (other HPV) among women with atypical glandular cells (AGC) in cervical cytology. METHODS: This population-based cohort study evaluates the risk of CIN 3 or worse associated with other HPV types. Human papillomavirus genotyping was performed on Pap tests collected in Sweden from 341 women with AGC that were positive for other HPV types from February 17, 2014, to December 31, 2018. The women were followed for histopathologic outcomes using comprehensive registry linkages until December 31, 2019. Cumulative incidence proportions of CIN 3 or worse by specific HPV type were calculated using 1-minus Kaplan-Meier function. Hazard ratios (HRs) for CIN 3 or worse were generated using multivariate Cox regression. RESULTS: Of 341 women, 134 (39.3%) had CIN 3-AIS, but there were only five (1.5%) women in the cohort with invasive cervical cancer. Human papillomavirus 45 preceded 80.0% of invasive cervical cancer cases. Among women positive for HPV33, 82.9% (95% CI 58.0-97.3%) had CIN 3 or worse during follow-up. Positivity for HPV31 conferred the highest HR for CIN 3 or worse relative to other types, both in primary cytology and primary HPV screening (HR 2.71, 95% CI 1.47-5.00 and HR 3.41, 95% CI 1.95-5.96, respectively). CONCLUSION: Among non-16/18 HPV types in AGC, HPV31 and 33 had the highest risk for CIN 3 or worse, whereas most of the women with invasive cancer were positive for HPV45. Extended HPV genotyping may be helpful for the management of AGC.

Metatranscriptome analysis in human papillomavirus negative cervical cancers.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) negative cancers are associated with symptomatic detection, late-stage diagnosis, and worse prognosis. It is thus essential to investigate all possible infectious agents and biomarkers that could early identify these HPV negative cancers. We aimed to analyze and compare the metatranscriptome present in HPV positive and HPV negative cervical cancers. We analyzed the whole RNA sequencing files from 223 HPV negative cervical cancers (negativity established after confirming cervical cancer diagnosis, sample adequacy and subjecting specimens to PCR and unbiased RNA sequencing), 223 HPV positive tumors and 11 blank paraffin block pools (used as controls) using Kraken2 software. Overall, 84 bacterial genera were detected, with 6/84 genera showing a positive median number of reads/sample and being present in both cervical tumor groups (HPV positive and negative). Viral reads belonged to 63 different viral genera, with 6/63 genera showing a positive median annotated read/sample value. No significant difference among genera was detected except for the presence of alpha-papillomaviruses. Metatranscriptome of bacteria and viruses present in HPV positive and HPV negative cervical cancers show no significant difference, except for HPV. Further studies are needed to early identify this biologically distinct group of cervical cancers.

Improving human papillomavirus (HPV) testing in the cervical cancer elimination era: The 2021 HPV LabNet international proficiency study.

BACKGROUND: Proficient Human Papillomavirus (HPV) genotyping services are essential to support HPV and cervical cancer elimination strategies, in particular to support HPV vaccine research. OBJECTIVES: To perform a global HPV genotyping proficiency study, with evaluation in relation to previous proficiency studies. STUDY DESIGN: The proficiency panel contained 44 coded samples (40 samples containing one or more purified HPV types (HPV6/11/16/18/31/33/35/39/45/51/52/56/58/59/68a/68b) in human DNA, 1 human DNA control and 3 DNA extraction controls). Proficiency required detection of both single and multiple infections of 50 International Units of HPV 16/18, of 500 genome equivalents for other HPV types and no false positivity. RESULTS: One hundred and thirty-two laboratories submitted 211 datasets. Most assays used (182/211 datasets) were commercially available. An all-time high of 75% of the datasets were 100% proficient. One or more false positives were found in 17.5% of datasets. Among laboratories who participated in the 2019 proficiency study, full proficiency increased from 25% in 2019 to 60% in 2021. The high overall proficiency was mostly attributable to a large number of new laboratories, which used similar assays. CONCLUSIONS: The worldwide deterioration in comparability and reliability of HPV testing found in 2019 is now reversed and an overall increase in proficiency is found.

Head-to-Head Comparison of Bi- and Nonavalent Human Papillomavirus Vaccine-Induced Antibody Responses.

For head-to-head comparison of human papillomavirus (HPV) antibody levels induced by different vaccines, 25-year-old vaccine-naive women were given either the bivalent (n = 188) or the nonavalent HPV vaccine (n = 184). Six months after vaccination antibodies against pseudovirions from 17 different HPV types (HPV6/11/16/18/31/33/35/39/45/51/52/56/58/59/66/68/73) were measured. Antibodies against HPV16/18 were higher after bivalent HPV vaccination (mean international units [IU] 1140.1 and 170.5 for HPV16 and 18, respectively) than after nonavalent vaccination (265.1 and 22.3 IUs, respectively). The bivalent vaccine commonly induced antibodies against the nonvaccine HPV types 31/33/35/45 or 58. The nonavalent vaccine induced higher antibodies against HPV6/11/31/33/45/52/58 and 35.

Human Papillomavirus Infection Determines Prognosis in Cervical Cancer.

PURPOSE: Detection of human papillomavirus (HPV) by polymerase chain reaction in invasive cervical cancer is strongly associated with prognosis but previous studies have not considered sequencing efforts. We aimed to assess the association when also including comprehensive analysis of HPV infection by deep sequencing and a longer follow-up period. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We subjected all 392 of 2,845 invasive cervical cancer cases that were polymerase chain reaction-negative for HPV to RNA sequencing on the NovaSeq 6000 platform (Illumina) and identified an additional 169 cases as HPV-positive. We followed all women from date of diagnosis to December 31, 2016, emigration, or death, whichever occurred first. The main outcome was all-cause mortality by December 31, 2016. We calculated 5-year cumulative relative survival ratios compared with the female general population and used Poisson regression to estimate excess hazard ratios of all-cause mortality by infection with any of the 13 most oncogenic (high-risk [hr]) HPV types in the tumor. All models were adjusted for age, time since diagnosis, stage, histology, and education level. RESULTS: The 5-year cumulative relative survival ratio was 0.45 (95% CI, 0.39 to 0.51) in the hrHPV-negative group, and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.75) in the hrHPV-positive group. This translated to a statistically significantly 43% lower excess mortality in the hrHPV-positive group compared with the hrHPV-negative (corresponding to an excess hazard ratio 0.57; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.69). There was no association between HPV risk group, clade, or number of HPV infections and prognosis. CONCLUSION: hrHPV status is a strong determinant of cervical cancer prognosis over 15 years after diagnosis, above and beyond other established factors.

Nonvaccine human papillomavirus genotype common in women with HIV failing cervical precancer treatment.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess failure after treatment of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+) by HIV status and human papillomavirus (HPV) type. DESIGN: A population-based register study. METHODS: The Swedish National HIV Registry, the Swedish Population Registry and the Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry were linked to identify all women in Stockholm and Gothenburg counties (Sweden) living with HIV and diagnosed with CIN2+ sometime between 1983 and 2014 (n = 179). HIV-negative controls with CIN2+, were matched (2 : 1) for country of birth. CIN2+ biopsies were retrieved from biobanks and genotyped. Absolute risk and adjusted odds ratios (adjOR) of treatment failure by HIV status given HPV type (HPV16/18 vs. non-HPV16/18) were calculated. RESULTS: HPV16 (32%) and HPV35 (24%) dominated in women living with HIV (WLWH) with failure, HPV35 mainly in women born in sub-Saharan Africa (67%). The absolute risk of failure in women with HPV16/18 was 26% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 14-44] in WLWH and 12% in HIV-negative (95% CI 7-19). The absolute risk of failure in women with non-HPV16/18 was 20% (95% CI 12-31) in WLWH and 5% in HIV-negative (95% CI 2-11). WLWH with non-HPV16/18 were six times more likely to fail than HIV-negative (adjOR 6.1, 95% CI 2.0-18.6). CONCLUSION: HPV35, not included in current HPV vaccines, was the second most common type in WLWH with failure. WLWH with non-HPV16/18 were six times more likely to fail than HIV-negative. This could have implications for surveillance and vaccination post CIN2+ treatment, particularly in WLWH from sub-Saharan Africa.

Audit of laboratory sensitivity of human papillomavirus and cytology testing in a cervical screening program.

The globally recommended public health policy for cervical screening is primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening with cytology triaging of positives. To ensure optimal quality of laboratory services we have conducted regular audits of cervical smears taken before cervical cancer or cancer in situ (CIN3+) within an HPV-based screening program. The central cervical screening laboratory of Stockholm, Sweden, identified cases of CIN3+ who had had a previous cervical screening test up to 3 years before and randomly selected 300 cervical liquid-based cytology (LBC) samples for auditing. HPV testing with Roche Cobas was performed either at screening or with biobanked samples. HPV negative samples and subsequent biopsies were retrieved and tested with modified general primer HPV PCR and, if still HPV-negative, the LBCs and biopsies were whole genome sequenced. The Cobas 4800 detected HPV in 1020/1052 (97.0%) LBC samples taken before CIN3+. Further analyses found HPV in 28 samples, with nine of those containing HPV types not targeted by the Cobas 4800 test. There were 4 specimens (4/1052, 0.4%) where no HPV was detected. By comparison, the proportion of CIN3+ cases that were positive in a previous cytology were 91.6%. We find that the routine HPV screening test had a sensitivity in the real-life screening program of 97.0%. Regular laboratory audits of cervical samples taken before CIN3+ can be readily performed within a real-life screening program and provide assurance that the laboratory of the real-life program has the expected performance.

Systematic evaluation of SARS-CoV-2 antigens enables a highly specific and sensitive multiplex serological COVID-19 assay.

OBJECTIVE: The COVID-19 pandemic poses an immense need for accurate, sensitive and high-throughput clinical tests, and serological assays are needed for both overarching epidemiological studies and evaluating vaccines. Here, we present the development and validation of a high-throughput multiplex bead-based serological assay. METHODS: More than 100 representations of SARS-CoV-2 proteins were included for initial evaluation, including antigens produced in bacterial and mammalian hosts as well as synthetic peptides. The five best-performing antigens, three representing the spike glycoprotein and two representing the nucleocapsid protein, were further evaluated for detection of IgG antibodies in samples from 331 COVID-19 patients and convalescents, and in 2090 negative controls sampled before 2020. RESULTS: Three antigens were finally selected, represented by a soluble trimeric form and the S1-domain of the spike glycoprotein as well as by the C-terminal domain of the nucleocapsid. The sensitivity for these three antigens individually was found to be 99.7%, 99.1% and 99.7%, and the specificity was found to be 98.1%, 98.7% and 95.7%. The best assay performance was although achieved when utilising two antigens in combination, enabling a sensitivity of up to 99.7% combined with a specificity of 100%. Requiring any two of the three antigens resulted in a sensitivity of 99.7% and a specificity of 99.4%. CONCLUSION: These observations demonstrate that a serological test based on a combination of several SARS-CoV-2 antigens enables a highly specific and sensitive multiplex serological COVID-19 assay.

The 2019 HPV Labnet international proficiency study: Need of global Human Papillomavirus Proficiency Testing.

BACKGROUND: Accurate and internationally comparable human papillomavirus (HPV) testing services are essential for cervical cancer elimination programs. The WHO HPV Laboratory Network started issuing international HPV testing proficiency panels in 2008. OBJECTIVES: We report the results of the 2019 global proficiency study and evaluate the proficiency over time. STUDY DESIGN: The proficiency panel contained 40 coded samples containing mixes of purified HPV types (HPV6/11/16/18/31/33/35/39/45/51/52/56/58/59/68a/68b) and 4 controls. Proficiency required detection of both single and multiple infections of 50 International Units of HPV 16/18, of 500 genome equivalents (10x higher concentration) for other HPV types, and no false positives (stricter requirement compared to previous panels). RESULTS: Seventy-eight laboratories submitted 110 datasets with 38 different assays. Most samples (38/44) were reported with 100% proficiency in most datasets. Mostly commercial assays were used (88/110 datasets). Overall, 47.3% of the datasets were 100% proficient. False positivity was detected in at least one sample in 30.1% of datasets. When analysing all datasets ever since 2008 using exactly the same proficiency criteria, there was a steady improvement up to 2017 (the proportion of datasets being completely proficient increased from 25% to 73%). However, in the 2019 proficiency testing the proportion of fully proficient datasets dropped to 50%. CONCLUSIONS: Although we initially documented a worldwide improvement in comparability and reliability of HPV testing services, the trend now appears to be reversed. In response, the International HPV Reference Center will provide support for improved quality of laboratory services, including issuing of global proficiency panels every year.

Antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 and risk of past or future sick leave.

The extent that antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 may protect against future virus-associated disease is unknown. We invited all employees (n = 15,300) at work at the Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden to participate in a study examining SARS-Cov-2 antibodies in relation to registered sick leave. For consenting 12,928 healthy hospital employees antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 could be determined and compared to participant sick leave records. Subjects with viral serum antibodies were not at excess risk for future sick leave (adjusted odds ratio (OR) controlling for age and sex: 0.85 [95% confidence interval (CI) (0.85 (0.43-1.68)]. By contrast, subjects with antibodies had an excess risk for sick leave in the weeks prior to testing [adjusted OR in multivariate analysis: 3.34 (2.98-3.74)]. Thus, presence of viral antibodies marks past disease and protection against excess risk of future disease. Knowledge of whether exposed subjects have had disease in the past or are at risk for future disease is essential for planning of control measures.Trial registration: First registered on 02/06/20, ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04411576.

High Amounts of SARS-CoV-2 Precede Sickness Among Asymptomatic Health Care Workers.

BACKGROUND: Whether severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) positivity among asymptomatic subjects reflects past or future disease may be difficult to ascertain. METHODS: We tested 9449 employees at Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden for SARS-CoV-2 RNA and antibodies, linked the results to sick leave records, and determined associations with past or future sick leave using multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Subjects with high amounts of SARS-CoV-2 virus, indicated by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) cycle threshold (Ct) value, had the highest risk for sick leave in the 2 weeks after testing (odds ratio [OR], 11.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.29-22.80) whereas subjects with low amounts of virus had the highest risk for sick leave in the 3 weeks before testing (OR, 6.31; 95% CI, 4.38-9.08). Only 2.5% of employees were SARS-CoV-2 positive while 10.5% were positive by serology and 1.2% were positive in both tests. Serology-positive subjects were not at excess risk for future sick leave (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, .71-1.57). CONCLUSIONS: High amounts of SARS-CoV-2 virus, as determined using PCR Ct values, was associated with development of sickness in the next few weeks. Results support the concept that PCR Ct may be informative when testing for SARS-CoV-2. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT04411576.

Human papillomavirus vaccine efficacy against invasive, HPV-positive cancers: population-based follow-up of a cluster-randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination protects against HPV, a necessary risk factor for cervical cancer. We now report results from population-based follow-up of randomised cohorts that vaccination provides HPV-type-specific protection against invasive cancer. METHODS: Individually and/or cluster randomised cohorts of HPV-vaccinated and non-vaccinated women were enrolled in 2002-2005. HPV vaccine cohorts comprised originally 16-17 year-old HPV 16/18-vaccinated PATRICIA (NCT00122681) and 012 trial (NCT00169494) participants (2465) and HPV6/11/16/18-vaccinated FUTURE II (NCT00092534) participants (866). Altogether, 3341 vaccines were followed by the Finnish Cancer Registry in the same way as 16 526 non-HPV-vaccinated controls. The control cohort stemmed from 15 665 originally 18-19 years-old women enrolled in 2003 (6499) or 2005 (9166) and 861 placebo recipients of the FUTURE II trial. The follow-up started 6 months after the clinical trials in 2007 and 2009 and ended in 2019. It was age aligned for the cohorts. FINDINGS: During a follow-up time of up to 11 years, we identified 17 HPV-positive invasive cancer cases (14 cervical cancers, 1 vaginal cancer, 1 vulvar cancer and 1 tongue cancer) in the non-HPV-vaccinated cohorts and no cases in the HPV-vaccinated cohorts. HPV typing of diagnostic tumour blocks found HPV16 in nine cervical cancer cases, HPV18, HPV33 and HPV52 each in two cases and HPV45 in one cervical cancer case. The vaginal, vulvar and tongue cancer cases were, respectively, positive for HPV16, HPV52/66 and HPV213. Intention-to-treat vaccine efficacy against all HPV-positive cancers was 100% (95% CI 2 to 100, p<0.05). INTERPRETATION: Vaccination is effective against invasive HPV-positive cancer. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00122681, Post-results; NCT00169494, Post-results; NCT00092534, Post-results.

Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions.

Prevalence of different HPV genotypes is changing after HPV vaccination. The associated risks are needed for optimizing cervical cancer screening.To estimate HPV type-specific prevalence, odds ratio (OR), and positive predictive value (PPV) for cervical cytological abnormalities, we determined 41 different HPV genotypes in cervical samples from a population-based sample of 8351 women aged 18-51 years before HPV vaccination era (V501-033; NCT01077856).Prevalence of HPV16 was 4.9% (95% CI: 4.4-5.5) with the PPV for high-grade cytology 11.2%, and OR 11.9 (95% CI: 8.5-16.5). Carcinogenic HPVs included in the nonavalent vaccine (HPV16,18,31,33,45,52,58) had a population prevalence of 14.4% (95% CI: 13.5-15.4), with PPV of 8.0% (95% CI: 6.8-9.3) and OR 23.7 (95% CI: 16.0-63.5) for high-grade cytology. HPV types currently included in most screening tests, but not vaccinated against (HPV35,39,51,56,59,66,68) had a joint prevalence of 8.5% (95% CI: 7.8-9.2) with PPV of 4.4% (95% CI: 3.3-5.7) and OR of 2.9 (95% CI: 2.0-4.0) for high-grade cytology. The other 27 non-carcinogenic genotypes had a prevalence of 11.8%, PPV of 2.9% (95% CI:2.1-3.9), and OR 1.5 (95% CI: 1.1-2.2.) for high-grade cytology.These results suggest that HPV screening tests in the post-vaccination era might perform better if restricted to the HPV types in the nonavalent vaccine and screening for all 14 HPV types might result in suboptimal balance of harms and benefits.