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1.
Health Econ ; 30 Suppl 1: 105-118, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31762143

RESUMO

We investigate the returns to college attendance in Canada in terms of health and mortality reduction. To do so, we first use a dynamic health microsimulation model to document how interventions that incentivize college attendance among high school graduates may impact their health trajectory, health care consumption, and life expectancy. We find large returns both in terms of evity (4.1 years additional years at age 51), reduction in the prevalence of various health conditions (10-15 percentage points reduction in diabetes and 5 percentage points for stroke), and health care consumption (27.3% reduction in lifetime hospital stays, 19.7 for specialists). We find that education impacts mortality mostly by delaying the incidence of health conditions as well as providing a survival advantage conditional on having diseases. Second, we provide quasi-experimental evidence on the impact of college attendance on long-term health outcomes by exploiting the Canadian Veteran's Rehabilitation Act, a program targeted towards returning WW-II veterans and which incentivized college attendance. The impact on mortality is found to be larger than those estimated from the health microsimulation model (hazard ratio of 0.216 compared with 0.6 in the simulation model), which suggests substantial returns to college education in terms of healthy life extension which we estimate to be approximately one million canadian dollars.


Assuntos
Expectativa de Vida , Canadá/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Universidades
2.
PLoS One ; 13(1): e0190538, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29300783

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We assess how different scenarios of cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention, aimed at meeting targets set by the World Health Organization (WHO) for 2025), may impact healthcare spending in Quebec, Canada over the 2050 horizon. METHODS: We provide long-term forecasts of healthcare use and costs at the Quebec population level using a novel dynamic microsimulation model. Using both survey and administrative data, we simulate the evolution of the Quebec population's health status until death, through a series of dynamic transitions that accounts for social and demographic characteristics associated with CVD risk factors. RESULTS: A 25% reduction in CVD mortality between 2012 and 2025 achieved through decreased incidence could contain the pace of healthcare cost growth towards 2050 by nearly 7 percentage points for consultations with a physician, and by almost 9 percentage points for hospitalizations. Over the 2012-2050 period, the present value of cost savings is projected to amount to C$13.1 billion in 2012 dollars. The years of life saved due to improved life expectancy could be worth another C$38.2 billion. Addressing CVD mortality directly instead would bring about higher healthcare costs, but would generate more value in terms of years of life saved, at C$69.6 billion. CONCLUSIONS: Potential savings associated with plausible reductions in CVD, aimed at reaching a World Health Organization target over a 12-year period, are sizeable and may help address challenges associated with an aging population.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Redução de Custos , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida , Quebeque/epidemiologia
3.
BMC Psychiatry ; 13: 221, 2013 Sep 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24016390

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Among schizophrenia patients relapsed on an oral antipsychotic (AP), this study compared the impact of switching to atypical AP long-acting injectable therapy (LAT) versus continuing oral APs on hospitalization and emergency room (ER) visit recurrence. METHODS: Electronic records from the Premier Hospital Database (2006-2010) were analyzed. Adult patients receiving oral APs during a schizophrenia-related hospitalization were identified and, upon relapse (i.e., rehospitalization for schizophrenia), were stratified into (a) patients switching to atypical LAT and (b) patients continuing with oral APs. Atypical LAT relapse patients were matched 1:3 with oral AP relapse patients, using a propensity score model. Andersen-Gill Cox proportional hazards models assessed the impact of atypical LAT versus oral AP on time to multiple recurrences of all-cause hospitalizations and ER visits. No adjustment was made for multiplicity. RESULTS: Atypical LAT (N = 1032) and oral AP (N = 2796) patients were matched and well-balanced with respect to demographic (mean age: 42.1 vs 42.4 years, p = .5622; gender: 43.6% vs 44.6% female, p = .5345), clinical, and hospital characteristics. Over a mean 30-month follow-up period, atypical LATs were associated with significantly lower mean number of rehospitalizations (1.25 vs 1.61, p < .0001) and ER visits (2.33 vs 2.67, p = .0158) compared with oral APs, as well as fewer days in hospital (mean days: 13.46 vs. 15.69, p = .0081). Rehospitalization (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.76-0.87, p < .0001) and ER visit (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.87-0.93, p < .0001) rates were significantly lower for patients receiving atypical LAT versus oral APs. CONCLUSIONS: This hospital database analysis found that in relapsed schizophrenia patients, atypical LATs were associated with lower rehospitalization and ER visit rates than oral APs.


Assuntos
Antipsicóticos/uso terapêutico , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Risperidona/uso terapêutico , Esquizofrenia/tratamento farmacológico , Administração Oral , Adulto , Antipsicóticos/administração & dosagem , Bases de Dados Factuais , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Feminino , Humanos , Injeções Intramusculares , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Recidiva , Estudos Retrospectivos , Risperidona/administração & dosagem
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