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OBJECTIVE: Excess mortality has been demonstrated in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) compared with the general population. We aimed to investigate the 5-year and 10-year all-cause mortality in patients with SLE compared with the general population in recent decades. METHODS: Nationwide population-based exposure matched cohort study. Incident cases of SLE diagnosed between 1996 and 2015 were identified using administrative health registries and followed until 2020, allowing for 5 and 10 years of follow-up. Patients with SLE were matched 1:5 on age and sex with individuals from the Danish general population. Time-to-event analyses were performed using the pseudo-observation approach. RESULTS: In total, 1351 incident cases of SLE and 6755 matched controls were identified. The crude risk difference (RD) for 5 years mortality decreased over the study period from 10.3% (95% CI 6.5-14.1%) to 4.6% (95% CI 1.4-7.8%) for patients with SLE compared with controls. The relative risk (RR) for 5-year mortality decreased similarly in the same period. Adjustment for comorbidities revealed lower RD and RR for mortality, but the decreasing trend remained. Crude and adjusted RD and RR for 10-year mortality did not change over calendar period. The 10-year RR was highest in young patients <50 years of age. CONCLUSION: Five-year mortality risk decreased over time for both patients with SLE and matched controls. However, excess 5-year mortality in the most recent calendar period and mortality late in the disease course remained. Continued focus on preventing disease progression and comorbidity is required.
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(1) Background: Smoking cessation may be very difficult, even if smoking aggravates the prognosis of a disease, which has been shown to be the case for persons with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). In contrast, an association in patients with osteoarthritis (OA) is still disputed. The primary objective was to compare smokers diagnosed with RA and OA to controls, regarding smoking cessation rates after following the intensive 'Gold Standard programme' (GSP). Secondary objectives included the identification of significant prognostic factors for successful quitting. (2) Methods: In total, 24,652 patients were included in this prospective cohort study, after attending the national GSP for smoking cessation intervention 2006-2016, as registered in the Danish Smoking Cessation Database. Data were linked to the National Patient Register. Hereof, 227 patients (1%) were diagnosed with seropositive RA and 2899 (12%) with OA. Primary outcome was continuous abstinence six months after the planned quitting date. (3) Results: In total, 16,969 (69%) of the patients participated in the follow-up interviews. The adjusted odds ratios for successful quitting were similar to the control group for both RA (1.28, 95% CI: 0.90-1.80) and OA patients (0.92, 0.82-1.03). The outermost, strongest positive factor for successful quitting was compliance, defined as attending ≥75% of the meetings. To a lesser degree, attending an individual intervention was a positive predictor, while being heavy smokers, disadvantaged smokers, women, living with a smoker, and if GSP was recommended by health professionals were negative predictors. (4) Conclusions: The odds ratios for quitting were similar to controls for both RA and OR patients. Additional research is needed to determine effective actions towards increased attendance at the programmes.