Predicting Patterns of Distant Metastasis in Breast Cancer Patients following Local Regional Therapy Using Machine Learning.

Up to 30% of breast cancer (BC) patients will develop distant metastases (DM), for which there is no cure. Here, statistical and machine learning (ML) models were developed to estimate the risk of site-specific DM following local-regional therapy. This retrospective study cohort included 175 patients diagnosed with invasive BC who later developed DM. Clinicopathological information was collected for analysis. Outcome variables were the first site of metastasis (brain, bone or visceral) and the time interval (months) to developing DM. Multivariate statistical analysis and ML-based multivariable gradient boosting machines identified factors associated with these outcomes. Machine learning models predicted the site of DM, demonstrating an area under the curve of 0.74, 0.75, and 0.73 for brain, bone and visceral sites, respectively. Overall, most patients (57%) developed bone metastases, with increased odds associated with estrogen receptor (ER) positivity. Human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) positivity and non-anthracycline chemotherapy regimens were associated with a decreased risk of bone DM, while brain metastasis was associated with ER-negativity. Furthermore, non-anthracycline chemotherapy alone was a significant predictor of visceral metastasis. Here, clinicopathologic and treatment variables used in ML prediction models predict the first site of metastasis in BC. Further validation may guide focused patient-specific surveillance practices.

The evolving regulatory landscape in regenerative medicine.

Regenerative medicine as a field has emerged as a new component of modern medicine and medical research that encompasses a wide range of products including cellular and acellular therapies. As this new field emerged, regulatory agencies like the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) rapidly adapted existing regulatory frameworks to address the transplantation, gene therapy, cell-based therapeutics, and acellular biologics that fall under the broader regenerative medicine umbrella. Where it has not been possible to modify existing regulation and processes, entirely new frameworks have been generated with the intention of providing flexible, forward-facing systems to regulate this rapidly growing field. This review discusses the current state of FDA regulatory affairs in the context of stem cells and extracellular vesicles by highlighting gaps in the current regulatory system and then discussing where regulatory science in regenerative medicine may be headed based on these gaps and the FDA's historical ability to deal with emerging fields. Lastly, we utilize case studies in stem cell and acellular based treatments to demonstrate how regulatory science has evolved in regenerative medicine and highlight the ongoing clinical efforts and challenges of these therapies.

Quantitative digital histopathology and machine learning to predict pathological complete response to chemotherapy in breast cancer patients using pre-treatment tumor biopsies.

Complete pathological response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is a prognostic factor for breast cancer (BC) patients and is correlated with improved survival. However, pCR rates are variable to standard NAC, depending on BC subtype. This study investigates quantitative digital histopathology coupled with machine learning (ML) to predict NAC response a priori. Clinicopathologic data and digitized slides of BC core needle biopsies were collected from 149 patients treated with NAC. The nuclei within the tumor regions were segmented on the histology images of biopsy samples using a weighted U-Net model. Five pathomic feature subsets were extracted from segmented digitized samples, including the morphological, intensity-based, texture, graph-based and wavelet features. Seven ML experiments were conducted with different feature sets to develop a prediction model of therapy response using a gradient boosting machine with decision trees. The models were trained and optimized using a five-fold cross validation on the training data and evaluated using an unseen independent test set. The prediction model developed with the best clinical features (tumor size, tumor grade, age, and ER, PR, HER2 status) demonstrated an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.73. Various pathomic feature subsets resulted in models with AUCs in the range of 0.67 and 0.87, with the best results associated with the graph-based and wavelet features. The selected features among all subsets of the pathomic and clinicopathologic features included four wavelet and three graph-based features and no clinical features. The predictive model developed with these features outperformed the other models, with an AUC of 0.90, a sensitivity of 85% and a specificity of 82% on the independent test set. The results demonstrated the potential of quantitative digital histopathology features integrated with ML methods in predicting BC response to NAC. This study is a step forward towards precision oncology for BC patients to potentially guide future therapies.

Assessment of Digital Pathology Imaging Biomarkers Associated with Breast Cancer Histologic Grade.

BACKGROUND: Evaluating histologic grade for breast cancer diagnosis is standard and associated with prognostic outcomes. Current challenges include the time required for manual microscopic evaluation and interobserver variability. This study proposes a computer-aided diagnostic (CAD) pipeline for grading tumors using artificial intelligence. METHODS: There were 138 patients included in this retrospective study. Breast core biopsy slides were prepared using standard laboratory techniques, digitized, and pre-processed for analysis. Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) were developed to identify the regions of interest containing malignant cells and to segment tumor nuclei. Imaging-based features associated with spatial parameters were extracted from the segmented regions of interest (ROIs). Clinical datasets and pathologic biomarkers (estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and human epidermal growth factor 2) were collected from all study subjects. Pathologic, clinical, and imaging-based features were input into machine learning (ML) models to classify histologic grade, and model performances were tested against ground-truth labels at the patient-level. Classification performances were evaluated using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. RESULTS: Multiparametric feature sets, containing both clinical and imaging-based features, demonstrated high classification performance. Using imaging-derived markers alone, the classification performance demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.745, while modeling these features with other pathologic biomarkers yielded an AUC of 0.836. CONCLUSION: These results demonstrate an association between tumor nuclear spatial features and tumor grade. If further validated, these systems may be implemented into pathology CADs and can assist pathologists to expeditiously grade tumors at the time of diagnosis and to help guide clinical decisions.

Machine Learning Frameworks to Predict Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Breast Cancer Using Clinical and Pathological Features.

PURPOSE: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is used to treat locally advanced breast cancer (LABC) and high-risk early breast cancer (BC). Pathological complete response (pCR) has prognostic value depending on BC subtype. Rates of pCR, however, can be variable. Predictive modeling is desirable to help identify patients early who may have suboptimal NAC response. Here, we test and compare the predictive performances of machine learning (ML) prediction models to a standard statistical model, using clinical and pathological data. METHODS: Clinical and pathological variables were collected in 431 patients, including tumor size, patient demographics, histological characteristics, molecular status, and staging information. A standard multivariable logistic regression (MLR) was developed and compared with five ML models: k-nearest neighbor classifier, random forest (RF) classifier, naive Bayes algorithm, support vector machine, and multilayer perceptron model. Model performances were measured using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and statistically compared. RESULTS: MLR predictors of NAC response included: estrogen receptor (ER) status, human epidermal growth factor-2 (HER2) status, tumor size, and Nottingham grade. The strongest MLR predictors of pCR included HER2+ versus HER2- BC (odds ratio [OR], 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07 to 0.23; P < .001) and Nottingham grade G3 versus G1-2 (G1-2: OR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.20 to 0.65; P < .001). The area under the curve (AUC) for the MLR was AUC = 0.64. Among the various ML models, an RF classifier performed best, with an AUC = 0.88, sensitivity of 70.7%, and specificity of 84.6%, and included the following variables: menopausal status, ER status, HER2 status, Nottingham grade, tumor size, nodal status, and presence of inflammatory BC. CONCLUSION: Modeling performances varied between standard versus ML classification methods. RF ML classifiers demonstrated the best predictive performance among all models.

Personalized Breast Cancer Treatments Using Artificial Intelligence in Radiomics and Pathomics.

Progress in computing power and advances in medical imaging over recent decades have culminated in new opportunities for artificial intelligence (AI), computer vision, and using radiomics to facilitate clinical decision-making. These opportunities are growing in medical specialties, such as radiology, pathology, and oncology. As medical imaging and pathology are becoming increasingly digitized, it is recently recognized that harnessing data from digital images can yield parameters that reflect the underlying biology and physiology of various malignancies. This greater understanding of the behaviour of cancer can potentially improve on therapeutic strategies. In addition, the use of AI is particularly appealing in oncology to facilitate the detection of malignancies, to predict the likelihood of tumor response to treatments, and to prognosticate the patients' risk of cancer-related mortality. AI will be critical for identifying candidate biomarkers from digital imaging and developing robust and reliable predictive models. These models will be used to personalize oncologic treatment strategies, and identify confounding variables that are related to the complex biology of tumors and diversity of patient-related factors (ie, mining "big data"). This commentary describes the growing body of work focussed on AI for precision oncology. Advances in AI-driven computer vision and machine learning are opening new pathways that can potentially impact patient outcomes through response-guided adaptive treatments and targeted therapies based on radiomic and pathomic analysis.