Diagnostic Performance of 18F-FDG PET/CT According to Delay After Treatment to Detect Subclinical Recurrence of Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remains a malignancy with high rates of locoregional recurrence and poor prognosis for recurrent cases. Early detection of subclinical lesions is challenging but critical for effective patient management. Imaging surveillance after treatment, particularly 18F-FDG PET/CT, has shown promise in the diagnosis of HNSCC recurrence. The aim was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of 18F-FDG PET/CT according to delay after treatment in detecting subclinical recurrence (SCR) in HNSCC patients. Methods: In this retrospective study, all 18F-FDG PET/CT scans were performed at a single center. All adults with histologically proven HNSCC who were treated with curative intent between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2021, were included. They had a normal clinical examination before each scan. Patients who underwent an intensive follow-up strategy after treatment had 18F-FDG PET/CT with an intravenous contrast agent at 3-6 mo and annually thereafter for 5 y. The primary endpoint was diagnostic performance (positive and negative predictive values, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy). Results: In total, 2,566 18F-FDG PET/CT scans were performed among 852 patients, with an average of 3 scans per patient. The overall diagnostic performance measures were as follows: positive predictive value (88%), negative predictive value (98%), sensitivity (98%), specificity (89%), and accuracy (93%). There were no significant differences in diagnostic performance over time. The scans detected 126 cases of SCR (14.8%) and 118 cases of metachronous cancer (13.8%). The incidence of SCR decreased over time, with the highest detection rate in the first 2 y after treatment. Positive predictive value improved over time, reaching 90% for the digital Vision 600 system (third period) compared with 76% for the analog Gemini GXLi system (first period, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified advanced stage, high body mass index, and initial PET/CT upstaging as predictive factors for detection of SCR. Conclusion: Our study demonstrates that 18F-FDG PET/CT has high diagnostic performance in detecting SCR during follow-up after treatment of HNSCC, especially in the first 2 y. Advanced tumor stage, initial PET/CT upstaging, and high body mass index were associated with a higher likelihood of SCR detection. The routine use of 18F-FDG PET/CT during follow-up seems justified for patients with HNSCC.

Heparin Dose Intensity and Organ Support-Free Days in Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19.

Background: Clinical trials suggest that therapeutic-dose heparin may prevent critical illness and vascular complications due to COVID-19, but knowledge gaps exist regarding the efficacy of therapeutic heparin including its comparative effect relative to intermediate-dose anticoagulation. Objectives: The authors performed 2 complementary secondary analyses of a completed randomized clinical trial: 1) a prespecified per-protocol analysis; and 2) an exploratory dose-based analysis to compare the effect of therapeutic-dose heparin with low- and intermediate-dose heparin. Methods: Patients who received initial anticoagulation dosed consistently with randomization were included. The primary outcome was organ support-free days (OSFDs), a combination of in-hospital death and days free of organ support through day 21. Results: Among 2,860 participants, 1,761 (92.8%) noncritically ill and 857 (89.1%) critically ill patients were treated per-protocol. Among noncritically ill per-protocol patients, the posterior probability that therapeutic-dose heparin improved OSFDs as compared with usual care was 99.3% (median adjusted OR: 1.36; 95% credible interval [CrI]: 1.07-1.74). Therapeutic heparin had a high posterior probability of efficacy relative to both low- (94.6%; adjusted OR: 1.26; 95% CrI: 0.95-1.64) and intermediate- (99.8%; adjusted OR: 1.80; 95% CrI: 1.22-2.62) dose thromboprophylaxis. Among critically ill per-protocol patients, the posterior probability that therapeutic heparin improved outcomes was low. Conclusions: Among noncritically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19 who were randomized to and initially received therapeutic-dose anticoagulation, heparin, compared with usual care, was associated with improved OSFDs, a combination of in-hospital death and days free of organ support. Therapeutic heparin appeared superior to both low- and intermediate-dose thromboprophylaxis.

Age-Adjusted and Clinical Probability Adapted D-Dimer Cutoffs to Rule Out Pulmonary Embolism: A Narrative Review of Clinical Trials.

Diagnosis of pulmonary embolism remains a challenge for clinicians as its differential diagnosis is wide. The use of sequential diagnostic strategies based on the assessment of clinical probability, D-dimer measurement, and computed tomography pulmonary angiography have been validated in large prospective outcome studies. D-dimer measurement at a standard cutoff of 500 µg/L has gained wide acceptance to rule out pulmonary embolism in around 20 to 30% of patients with a clinically suspected pulmonary embolism. To improve the efficiency of D-dimer measurement, different ways of selecting a higher, albeit safe cutoff were explored: the age-adjusted D-dimer cutoff and the clinical adapted D-dimer cutoff. While both have been prospectively validated in large studies, some differences do exist. In particular, the prevalence of pulmonary embolism in these different validation studies was very different. Overall, the age-adjusted cutoff seems to be safer and less efficient, while the clinical probability adapted cutoff seems more efficient and less safe. Here, we report the available data regarding these two different ways to increase the diagnostic yield of D-dimer. Also, well beyond the accuracy of these adjusted/adapted cutoffs, some external factors, such as the prevalence of pulmonary embolism in the tested population and the clinical setting, have an important impact of the negative predictive value and on the overall efficiency of these cutoffs. Therefore, we also discuss which cutoff should be used according to the expected prevalence of the disease and according to the clinical setting.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation purulence status and its association with pulmonary embolism: protocol for a systematic review with meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) increases the risk of pulmonary embolism (PE). AECOPD and PE have similar symptoms which results in a high proportion of patients with AECOPD undergoing imaging to rule out PE. Finding predictors and explanatory factors of PE in AECOPD, such as purulence status, could help reduce the need for imaging. This systematic review with meta-analysis aims to evaluate if there is an association between purulence status in AECOPD and PE diagnosis. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: MEDLINE, EMBASE and CENTRAL will be searched from database inception to April 2024. Randomised trials, cohort studies and cross-sectional studies on the prevalence of PE in patients with AECOPD will be included if the prevalence of PE based on the AECOPD purulence status is available. There will be no restriction on language. The primary outcome will be PE at the initial assessment and secondary outcomes will be all venous thromboembolism (deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and PE) and DVT, respectively, diagnosed at the initial assessment. Relative risks with their 95% CI will be calculated by using a Mantel-Haenszel random-effect model to compare the association between the risk of PE and the AECOPD purulence status (purulent vs non-purulent/unknown). Subgroup analyses will be performed based on the type of study, systematic search of PE versus no systematic search of PE and localisation of PE. Risk of bias will be evaluated by the ROBINS-E tool, publication bias will be evaluated with the funnel plot. The manuscript will be drafted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis statement. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study does not require ethics approval. This work will be submitted for presentation at an international conference and for publication in a peer-reviewed journal. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42023459429.

Safety of outpatient management of cancer-associated pulmonary embolism: a retrospective study.

Not available.

Comparison of three diagnostic strategies for suspicion of pulmonary embolism: planar ventilation-perfusion scan (V/Q), CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) and single photon emission CT ventilation-perfusion scan (SPECT V/Q): a protocol of a randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a challenge to diagnose and when missed, exposes patients to potentially fatal recurrent events. Beyond CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) and planar ventilation/perfusion (V/Q) scan, single photon emission CT (SPECT) V/Q emerged a new diagnostic modality of scintigraphic acquisition that has been reported to improve diagnostic performances. To date, no management outcome study or randomised trial evaluated an algorithm based on SPECT V/Q for PE diagnosis. We present the design of a randomised multicentre, international management study comparing SPECT V/Q with validated strategies. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We will include a total of 3672 patients with suspected PE requiring chest imaging, randomised into three different groups, each using a different diagnostic strategy based on SPECT V/Q, CTPA and planar V/Q scan. Randomisation will be unbalanced (2:1:1), with twice as many patients in SPECT V/Q arm (n=1836) as in CTPA and planar V/Q arms (n=918 in each). Our primary objective will be to determine whether a diagnostic strategy based on SPECT V/Q is non-inferior to previously validated strategies in terms of diagnostic exclusion safety as assessed by the 3-month risk of thromboembolism in patients with a negative diagnostic workup. Secondary outcomes will be the proportion of patients diagnosed with PE in each arm, patients requiring additional tests, the incidence of major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding and the incidence and cause of death in each arm. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This trial is funded by a grant from Brest University Hospital and by INVENT. The study protocol was approved by Biomedical Research Ethics Committee. The investigator or delegate will obtain signed informed consent from all patients prior to inclusion in the trial. Our results will inform future clinical practice guidelines and solve the current discrepancy between nuclear medicine guidelines and clinical scientific society guidelines. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02983760.

Risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism and bleeding in patients with acute isolated subsegmental pulmonary embolism.

INTRODUCTION: Approximately 10 % of all diagnosed pulmonary embolism are isolated to the subsegmental vessels. The risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with an acute subsegmental pulmonary embolism (SSPE) managed with or without anticoagulant therapy remains poorly understood. METHODS: This is an observational cohort study including consecutive adult patients diagnosed with acute isolated SSPE between June 01, 2019, and August 31, 2022. We excluded patients with a concomitant diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis and those who had an indication for long-term anticoagulation. The primary outcome was objectively confirmed recurrent VTE. RESULTS: Overall, 118 patients with acute SSPE were included in the analysis. The mean (± standard deviation [SD]) age of the participants was 59 ± 17 years and 44 % of them had active cancer. Mean (±SD) duration of follow-up was 438 ± 426 days. Seventy-seven patients (65 %) were initially treated with anticoagulation, whereas 41 patients (35 %) were not. Of the 77 patients receiving anticoagulant therapy, 23 (30 %) received extended-duration anticoagulation (beyond 3 months) for secondary prevention. Overall, recurrent VTE events occurred in 6/118 (5 %, 95 % CI 2.4 to 10.7) patients. Four events (4/77 = 5.2 %, 95 % CI 2.0 to 12.6) occurred in initially treated patients. Two recurrent VTE occurred in patients initially left untreated (2/41 = 4.9 %, 95 % CI 1.4 to 16.1). Half of the recurrent VTE occurred in patients with active cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients diagnosed with an acute SSPE received anticoagulation. The incidence of recurrent VTE detected over time was relatively high, especially in patients with cancer.

Pulmonary embolism risk stratification: external validation of the 4-level Clinical Pretest Probability Score (4PEPS).

Background: The 4-level clinical pretest probability score (4PEPS) was recently introduced as a clinical decision rule for the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE). Based on the score, patients are classified into clinical pretest probability categories (c-PTP). The "very low" category aims at excluding PE without further testing; "low" and "moderate" categories require D-dimer testing with specific thresholds, while patients with a "high" pretest directly proceed to imaging. Objectives: To provide further external validation of the 4PEPS model. Methods: The 4PEPS was applied to a previously collected prospective database of 756 patients with clinically suspected PE enrolled from European emergency departments in 2002 to 2003. The safety threshold for the failure rate in our study was calculated at 1.95% based on a 26% prevalence of PE in our study, as per the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis Scientific and Standardization Committee guidance. Results: Patients were classified as follows: 90 (12%) in the very low c-PTP group, of whom 5 (5.6%; 95% CI, 2.4%-12.4%) had PE; 363 (49%) in the low c-PTP group, of whom 34 had PE (9.4%); 246 (34%) in the moderate c-PTP group, of whom 124 (50%) had PE; and 35 (5%) in the high c-PTP group of whom 30 (86%) had PE. Overall, the failure rate of the 4PEPS was 9/734 (1.2%; 95% CI, 0.59%-2.23%) Overall, 9 out of 734 patients (1.2%; 95% CI, 0.59%-2.23%) were diagnosed with PE despite a negative 4PEPS rule; 5 (5.6%) from the very low c-PTP group, 3 (1.4%) in the low c-PTP group, and 1 (3.2%) in the moderate c-PTP group. Conclusion: We provide external validation data of the 4PEPS. In this high-prevalence cohort (26% prevalence), PE prevalence in the very low-risk group was higher than expected. A prospective validation study is needed before implementing the 4PEPS model in routine clinical practice.

Diagnostic strategies in postpartum individuals with suspected venous thromboembolism: A scoping review.

BACKGROUND: The risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is increased postpartum and contributes to important morbidity and mortality. While there have been advances in evaluating diagnostic algorithms for suspected VTE during pregnancy, there is limited data for postpartum individuals. OBJECTIVE: We conducted a scoping review to describe and evaluate diagnostic strategies used to investigate suspected VTE in postpartum individuals. METHODS: A comprehensive search strategy was conducted in Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (January 1, 2000-September 30, 2022) to identify original articles that reported on diagnostic strategies in postpartum individuals with suspected VTE. We extracted demographics, clinical decision rules used, D-dimer and imaging completed, including test performance and VTE outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 13 studies conducted across 11 countries with separate postpartum data were included for 759 individuals with suspected PE (n = 634) or DVT (n = 125), including unpublished data (n = 251). Among those with suspected PE, computed tomography pulmonary angiography was conducted more commonly (n = 522) than ventilation-perfusion scans (n = 69), with PE positivity rates that ranged from 4 %-27.6 % and 0-50 % across studies, respectively. Among 131 postpartum individuals with suspected PE who had a D-dimer measured, only 4.6 % (6/131) had a negative D-dimer test. For postpartum individuals with suspected DVT, the most common diagnostic test was compression ultrasonography (positivity rate 12.2 %-18.6 %). There were limited retrospective data evaluating the clinical decision rules. CONCLUSIONS: There are heterogeneous approaches globally in the diagnosis of suspected postpartum VTE. Limited high-quality data available underscores the need for more robust evidence to inform clinical practice.

Management and outcomes of superficial vein thrombosis: a single-center retrospective study.

Background: Guidelines suggest but cannot recommend the optimal management of superficial vein thrombosis (SVT). Objectives: To identify the prevalence of asymptomatic deep vein thrombosis (DVT) at the time of SVT diagnosis, and to report the treatment and 3-month complications of patients with only SVT more than 3 cm from deep vein junction (or unknown distance). Methods: We performed a single-center retrospective review of patients referred to the Ottawa Hospital thrombosis unit with ultrasound (US)-diagnosed SVT, and followed patients with only SVT for 3 months. Results: Three hundred sixteen patients with SVT were included. Of the 218 patients without DVT symptoms at presentation, 19 (8.7%; 95% CI, 5.7%-13.2%) were found to have asymptomatic concomitant DVT (11 proximal and 8 distal), and 45 (20.6%) had SVT within 3 cm of the saphenofemoral or saphenopopliteal junctions. Among the 192 patients diagnosed with SVT only, we observed 3-month thrombotic complications in 56 (29.2%; 95% CI, 23.2%-36.0%) patients, with a total of 69 events: 11 (5.7%) DVTs, 2 (1.0%) pulmonary embolisms, 37 (19.2%) SVT extensions, and 19 (9.8%) SVT recurrences. Eighty-two percent (9/11) of the 3-month DVT and pulmonary embolism events occurred in patients who initially received conservative management. Therapeutic treatment doses were most effective. Conclusion: At the time of SVT diagnosis, many patients had asymptomatic DVT and SVT near the deep venous system, supporting the systematic use of initial US in patients clinically diagnosed with SVT. The observed differences in 3-month complication rates, according to the treatment provided, highlight the need for large-scale randomized controlled trials to establish optimal management.

Obesity as a Predictor for Pulmonary Embolism and Performance of the Age-Adjusted D-Dimer Strategy in Obese Patients with Suspected Pulmonary Embolism.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is a risk factor for venous thromboembolism, but studies evaluating its association with pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with suspected PE are lacking. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether body mass index (BMI) and obesity (i.e., BMI ≥30 kg/m2) are associated with confirmed PE in patients with suspected PE and to assess the efficiency and safety of the age-adjusted D-dimer strategy in obese patients. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of a multinational, prospective study, in which patients with suspected PE were managed according to the age-adjusted D-dimer strategy and followed for 3 months. Outcomes were objectively confirmed PE at initial presentation, and efficiency and failure rate of the diagnostic strategy. Associations between BMI and obesity, and PE were examined using a log-binomial model that was adjusted for clinical probability and hypoxia. RESULTS: We included 1,593 patients (median age: 59 years; 56% women; 22% obese). BMI and obesity were not associated with confirmed PE. The use of the age-adjusted instead of the conventional D-dimer cut-off increased the proportion of obese patients in whom PE was considered ruled out without imaging from 28 to 38%. The 3-month failure rate in obese patients who were left untreated based on a negative age-adjusted D-dimer cut-off test was 0.0% (95% confidence interval: 0.0-2.9%). CONCLUSION: BMI on a continuous linear scale and obesity were not predictors of confirmed PE among patients presenting with a clinical suspicion of PE. The age-adjusted D-dimer strategy appeared safe in ruling out PE in obese patients with suspected PE.

Changes Induced by Early Hand-Arm Bimanual Intensive Therapy Including Lower Extremities in Young Children With Unilateral Cerebral Palsy: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Intensive interventions are provided to young children with unilateral cerebral palsy (UCP), classically focused on the upper extremity despite the frequent impairment of gross motor function. Hand-Arm Bimanual Intensive Therapy Including Lower Extremities (HABIT-ILE) effectively improves manual dexterity and gross motor function in school-aged children. Objective: To verify if HABIT-ILE would improve manual abilities in young children with UCP more than usual motor activity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective randomized clinical trial (November 2018 to December 2021), including 2 parallel groups and a 1:1 allocation, recruitment took place at European university hospitals, cerebral palsy specialized centers, and spontaneous applications at 3 sites: Brussels, Belgium; Brest, France; and Pisa, Italy. Matched (age at inclusion, lesion type, cause of cerebral palsy, and affected side) pairs randomization was performed. Young children were assessed at baseline (T0), 2 weeks after baseline (T1), and 3 months after baseline (T2). Health care professionals and assessors of main outcomes were blinded to group allocation. At least 23 young children (in each group) aged 12 to 59 months with spastic/dyskinetic UCP and able to follow instructions were needed. Exclusion criteria included uncontrolled seizures, scheduled botulinum toxin injections, orthopedic surgery scheduled during the 6 months before or during the study period, severe visual/cognitive impairments, or contraindications to magnetic resonance imaging. Interventions: Two weeks of usual motor activity including usual rehabilitation (control group) vs 2 weeks (50 hours) of HABIT-ILE (HABIT-ILE group). Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome: Assisting Hand Assessment (AHA); secondary outcomes: Gross Motor Function Measure-66 (GMFM-66), Pediatric Evaluation of Disability Inventory-Computer Adaptive Test (PEDI-CAT), and Canadian Occupational Performance Measure (COPM). Results: Of 50 recruited young children (26 girls [52%], median age; 35.3 months for HABIT-ILE group; median age, 32.8 months for control group), 49 were included in the final analyses. Change in AHA score from T0 to T2 was significantly greater in the HABIT-ILE group (adjusted mean score difference [MD], 5.19; 95% CI, 2.84-7.55; P < .001). Changes in GMFM-66 (MD, 4.72; 95% CI, 2.66-6.78), PEDI-CAT daily activities (MD, 1.40; 95% CI, 0.29-2.51), COPM performance (MD, 3.62; 95% CI, 2.91-4.32), and satisfaction (MD, 3.53; 95% CI, 2.70-4.36) scores were greater in the HABIT ILE group. Conclusions and Relevance: In this clinical trial, early HABIT-ILE was shown to be an effective treatment to improve motor performance in young children with UCP. Moreover, the improvements had an impact on daily life activities of these children. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04020354.

Prediction of Acute Radiation-Induced Lung Toxicity After Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy Using Dose-Volume Parameters From Functional Mapping on Gallium 68 Perfusion Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography.

PURPOSE: The aim of this work was to compare anatomic and functional dose-volume parameters as predictors of acute radiation-induced lung toxicity (RILT) in patients with lung tumors treated with stereotactic body radiation therapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Fifty-nine patients treated with stereotactic body radiation therapy were prospectively included. All patients underwent gallium 68 lung perfusion positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) imaging before treatment. Mean lung dose (MLD) and volumes receiving x Gy (VxGy, 5-30 Gy) were calculated in 5 lung volumes: the conventional anatomic volume (AV) delineated on CT images, 3 lung functional volumes (FVs) defined on lung perfusion PET imaging (FV50%, FV70%, and FV90%; ie, the minimal volume containing 50%, 70%, and 90% of the total activity within the AV), and a low FV (LFV; LFV = AV - FV90%). The primary endpoint of this analysis was grade ≥2 acute RILT at 3 months as assessed with National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5. Dose-volume parameters in patients with and without acute RILT were compared. Receiver operating characteristic curves assessing the ability of dose-volume parameters to discriminate between patients with and without acute RILT were generated, and area under the curve (AUC) values were calculated. RESULTS: Of the 59 patients, 10 (17%) had grade ≥2 acute RILT. The MLD and the VxGy in the AV and LFV were not statistically different between patients with and without acute RILT (P > .05). All functional parameters were significantly higher in acute RILT patients (P < .05). AUC values (95% CI) for MLD AV, LFV, FV50%, FV70%, and FV90% were 0.66 (0.46-0.85), 0.60 (0.39-0.80), 0.77 (0.63-0.91), 0.77 (0.64-0.91), and 0.75 (0.58-0.91), respectively. AUC values for V20Gy AV, LFV, FV50%, FV70%, and FV90% were 0.65 (0.44-0.87), 0.64 (0.46-0.83), 0.82 (0.69-0.95), 0.81 (0.67-0.96), and 0.75 (0.57-0.94), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The predictive value of PET perfusion-based functional parameters outperforms the standard CT-based dose-volume parameters for the risk of grade ≥2 acute RILT. Functional parameters could be useful for guiding radiation therapy planning and reducing the risk of acute RILT.

Serial D-dimers after anticoagulant cessation in unprovoked venous thromboembolism: Data from the REVERSE cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: While several risk stratification tools have been developed to predict the risk of recurrence in patients with an unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE), only 1 in 4 patients are categorized as low-risk. Rather than a one-time measure, serial D-dimer assessment holds promise to enhance the prediction of VTE recurrence after oral anticoagulant (OAC) cessation. METHODS: Using the REVERSE cohort, we compared VTE recurrence among patients with normal D-dimer levels (<490 ng/mL among males under age 70, <500 ng/mL in others) at OAC cessation and 1-month follow-up, to those with an elevated D-dimer level at either timepoint. We also evaluated VTE recurrence based on absolute increase in D-dimer levels between the two timepoints (e.g., ∆D-dimer) according to quartiles. RESULTS: Among 214 patients with serial D-dimer levels measured at OAC cessation and 1-month follow-up, an elevated D-dimer level at either timepoint was associated with a numerically higher risk of recurrent VTE than patients with normal D-dimer levels at both timepoints (6.9 % vs. 4.2 % per year, hazard ratio 1.6; 95 % CI 0.9-2.7). Among women with <2 HERDOO2 criteria, a normal D-dimer level at both timepoints predicted a very low risk of recurrent VTE during follow-up (0.8 % per year, 95 % CI 0.1-2.8). Irrespective of baseline value, recurrent VTE risk was only 3 % per year (95 % CI 1.4-5.6) among patients in the lowest ∆D-dimer quartile. CONCLUSION: Serial normal D-dimer levels have the potential to identify patients at a low risk of recurrent VTE. In addition, ∆D-dimer, irrespective of its elevation above cutoff threshold, may predict recurrent VTE.

Pulmonary embolism diagnostic strategies in patients with COPD exacerbation: Post-hoc analysis of the PEP trial.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of pulmonary embolism (PE) is approximately 11-17 % in patients with an acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AE-COPD). The optimal diagnostic strategy for PE in these patients remains undetermined. AIMS: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of standard (revised Geneva and Wells PE scores combined with fixed D-dimer cut-off) and computed tomography pulmonary angiogram (CTPA)-sparing diagnostic strategies (ADJUST-PE, YEARS, PEGeD, 4PEPS) in patients with AE-COPD. METHOD: Post-hoc analyses of data from the multicenter prospective PEP study were performed. The primary outcome was the diagnostic failure rate of venous thromboembolism (VTE) during the entire study period. Secondary outcomes included diagnostic failure rate of PE and deep venous thrombosis (DVT), respectively, during the entire study period and the number of CTPA needed per diagnostic strategy. RESULTS: 740 patients were included. The revised Geneva and Wells PE scores combined with fixed D-dimer cut-off had a diagnostic failure rate of VTE of 0.7 % (95%CI 0.3 %-1.7 %), but >70.0 % of the patients needed imaging. All CTPA-sparing diagnostic algorithms reduced the need for CTPAs (-10.1 % to -32.4 %, depending on the algorithm), at the cost of an increased VTE diagnosis failure rate of up to 2.1 % (95%CI 1.2 %-3.4 %). CONCLUSION: Revised Geneva and Wells PE scores combined with fixed D-dimer cut-off were safe, but a high number of CTPA remained needed. CTPA-sparing algorithms would reduce imaging, at the cost of an increased VTE diagnosis failure rate that exceeds the safety threshold. Further studies are needed to improve diagnostic management in this population.

An Intensive 18F-Fludeoxyglucose-Positron Emission Tomography With Computed Tomography-Based Strategy of Follow-Up in Patients Treated for Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Who Are Clinically Asymptomatic.

Importance: Patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) have a significant risk of locoregional recurrence within the first 2 years, with approximately two-thirds of patients experiencing such recurrence. While early recurrence detection may be associated with improved patient outcomes, the association of such detection with survival remains uncertain. Objective: To investigate the association of an intensive posttreatment follow-up strategy using 18F-fludeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography with computed tomography (18FDG-PET/CT) with survival among patients with HNSCC. Design, Setting, and Participants: This case-control study was conducted among patients treated at 1 of 3 locations in Brest, France (University Hospital, Military Hospital, or Pasteur Clinic). The statistical analysis was conducted from January to June 2023. All adults with histologically proven HNSCC who were treated with curative intent between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2019, and achieved a complete response on imaging at 3 to 6 months were included. They had a minimum of 3 years of follow-up. Exposures: Patients undergoing an intensive posttreatment follow-up strategy had 18FDG-PET/CT (PET/CT group) at months 12, 24, and 36, chosen at the discretion of ear, nose, and throat surgeons. Main Outcomes and Measures: Overall survival (OS) at 3 years. Results: Among 782 patients with HNSCC (642 males [82.1%]; median [IQR] age, 61 [56-68] years), 497 patients had 18FDG-PET/CT during follow-up and 285 patients had conventional follow-up (CFU group). Cox regression analysis showed an association between undergoing 18FDG-PET/CT and lower risk of death (odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.88; P = .002) after adjustment for covariates (age, sex, comorbidities, primary location, stage, surgeon, year of treatment, and treatment). The mean (SD) 3-year OS was significantly better in the PET/CT vs CFU group (72.5% [2.0%] vs 64.3% [2.9%]; P = .002). Analysis based on American Joint Committee on Cancer stage showed significantly better mean (SD) 3-year OS for advanced stages III and IV in the PET/CT group (373 patients) vs CFU group (180 patients; 68.5% [2.4%] vs 55.4% [3.8%]; P < .001), while no significant difference was observed between patients with stage I or II HNSCC. Analysis based on primary tumor site revealed significantly longer mean (SD) 3-year OS for oropharyngeal tumor in the PET/CT group (176 patients) than the CFU group (100 patients; 69.9% [3.5%] vs 60.5% [5.0%]; P = .04). Conclusions and relevance: This case-control study found that use of 18FDG-PET/CT in the standard annual CFU of HNSCC was associated with a 3-year survival benefit, with a larger benefit for patients with advanced initial tumor stage (III-IV) and oropharyngeal disease.

Diagnostic management of acute pulmonary embolism: a prediction model based on a patient data meta-analysis.

AIMS: Risk stratification is used for decisions regarding need for imaging in patients with clinically suspected acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to develop a clinical prediction model that provides an individualized, accurate probability estimate for the presence of acute PE in patients with suspected disease based on readily available clinical items and D-dimer concentrations. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual patient data meta-analysis was performed based on sixteen cross-sectional or prospective studies with data from 28 305 adult patients with clinically suspected PE from various clinical settings, including primary care, emergency care, hospitalized and nursing home patients. A multilevel logistic regression model was built and validated including ten a priori defined objective candidate predictors to predict objectively confirmed PE at baseline or venous thromboembolism (VTE) during follow-up of 30 to 90 days. Multiple imputation was used for missing data. Backward elimination was performed with a P-value <0.10. Discrimination (c-statistic with 95% confidence intervals [CI] and prediction intervals [PI]) and calibration (outcome:expected [O:E] ratio and calibration plot) were evaluated based on internal-external cross-validation. The accuracy of the model was subsequently compared with algorithms based on the Wells score and D-dimer testing. The final model included age (in years), sex, previous VTE, recent surgery or immobilization, haemoptysis, cancer, clinical signs of deep vein thrombosis, inpatient status, D-dimer (in µg/L), and an interaction term between age and D-dimer. The pooled c-statistic was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85-0.89; 95% PI, 0.77-0.93) and overall calibration was very good (pooled O:E ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87-1.14; 95% PI, 0.55-1.79). The model slightly overestimated VTE probability in the lower range of estimated probabilities. Discrimination of the current model in the validation data sets was better than that of the Wells score combined with a D-dimer threshold based on age (c-statistic 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.75) or structured clinical pretest probability (c-statistic 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76-0.81). CONCLUSION: The present model provides an absolute, individualized probability of PE presence in a broad population of patients with suspected PE, with very good discrimination and calibration. Its clinical utility needs to be evaluated in a prospective management or impact study. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO ID 89366.

Accuracy and interrater agreement of death event adjudications by physician trainees: validation of the ISTH definition of pulmonary embolism-related death in an autopsy cohort.

BACKGROUND: We previously determined good agreement and high specificity of the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis (ISTH) definition of pulmonary embolism (PE)-related death among an expert central adjudication committee (CAC). CACs are often composed of experts in the corresponding research field. Involving physician trainees in CACs would allow investigators to divide the workload and foster trainees' research experience. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the accuracy of the ISTH definition of PE-related death for PE- versus non-PE-related deaths as confirmed by autopsy and its interrater agreement among physician trainees. METHODS: This retrospective autopsy cohort included all patients with PE-related deaths between January 2010 and July 2019 as well as patients who died in 2018 from a cause other than PE at the New York-Presbyterian Hospital. Based on premortem clinical summaries, two physician trainees independently determined the cause of death using the ISTH definition of PE-related death. We calculated the sensitivity and specificity of the ISTH definition to identify autopsy-confirmed PE-related death and its interrater agreement. RESULTS: Overall, 126 death events were adjudicated (median age, 68 years; 60 [48%] women), of which 29 (23%) were due to PE, as confirmed by autopsy. Sensitivity and specificity of the ISTH definition for autopsy-confirmed PE-related death was 48% (95% CI, 29-67) and 100% (95% CI, 96-100), respectively. Interrater reliability for PE-related death was good (percentage agreement, 93%; 95% CI, 87-96, Cohen's Kappa, 0.67; 95% CI, 44-85). CONCLUSION: Our findings are consistent with our previous validation study. They further support the use of the ISTH definition of PE-related death and revealed high agreement between adjudicators with varied experience.

Accuracy of physicians' intuitive risk estimation in the diagnostic management of pulmonary embolism: an individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: In patients clinically suspected of having pulmonary embolism (PE), physicians often rely on intuitive estimation ("gestalt") of PE presence. Although shown to be predictive, gestalt is criticized for its assumed variation across physicians and lack of standardization. OBJECTIVES: To assess the diagnostic accuracy of gestalt in the diagnosis of PE and gain insight into its possible variation. METHODS: We performed an individual patient data meta-analysis including patients suspected of having PE. The primary outcome was diagnostic accuracy of gestalt for the diagnosis of PE, quantified as risk ratio (RR) between gestalt and PE based on 2-stage random-effect log-binomial meta-analysis regression as well as gestalts' sensitivity and specificity. The variability of these measures was explored across different health care settings, publication period, PE prevalence, patient subgroups (sex, heart failure, chronic lung disease, and items of the Wells score other than gestalt), and age. RESULTS: We analyzed 20 770 patients suspected of having PE from 16 original studies. The prevalence of PE in patients with and without a positive gestalt was 28.8% vs 9.1%, respectively. The overall RR was 3.02 (95% CI, 2.35-3.87), and the overall sensitivity and specificity were 74% (95% CI, 68%-79%) and 61% (95% CI, 53%-68%), respectively. Although variation was observed across individual studies (I2, 90.63%), the diagnostic accuracy was consistent across all subgroups and health care settings. CONCLUSION: A positive gestalt was associated with a 3-fold increased risk of PE in suspected patients. Although variation was observed across studies, the RR of gestalt was similar across prespecified subgroups and health care settings, exemplifying its diagnostic value for all patients suspected of having PE.

Indefinite Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Cost-Effectiveness Study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical practice guidelines recommend indefinite anticoagulation for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE). OBJECTIVE: To estimate the benefit-harm tradeoffs of indefinite anticoagulation in patients with a first unprovoked VTE. DESIGN: Markov modeling study. DATA SOURCES: Systematic reviews and meta-analyses for the long-term risks and case-fatality rates of recurrent VTE and major bleeding. Published literature for costs, quality of life, and other clinical events. TARGET POPULATION: Patients with a first unprovoked VTE who have completed 3 to 6 months of initial anticoagulant treatment. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: Canadian health care public payer. INTERVENTION: Indefinite anticoagulation with direct oral anticoagulants. OUTCOME MEASURES: Recurrent VTE events, major bleeding events, costs in 2022 Canadian dollars (CAD), and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: When compared with discontinuing anticoagulation after initial treatment in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 patients aged 55 years, indefinite anticoagulation prevented 368 recurrent VTE events, which included 14 fatal pulmonary emboli, but induced an additional 114 major bleeding events, which included 30 intracranial hemorrhages and 11 deaths from bleeding. Indefinite anticoagulation cost CAD $16 014 more per person and did not increase QALYs (-0.075 per person). RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: Model results were most sensitive to the case-fatality rate of major bleeding and the annual risk for major bleeding during extended anticoagulation. LIMITATION: The model assumed that risks for recurrent VTE and major bleeding measured in clinical trials at 1 year remained constant during extended anticoagulation. CONCLUSION: Clinicians should use shared decision making to incorporate individual patient preferences and values when considering treatment duration for unprovoked VTE. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Canadian Institutes of Health Research.