Decision-tree derivation and external validation of a new clinical decision rule (DISCERN-FN) to predict the risk of severe infection during febrile neutropenia in children treated for cancer.

BACKGROUND: In 2017, international guidelines proposed new management of febrile neutropenia in children with cancer, adapted to the risk of severe infection by clinical decision rules (CDRs). Until now, none of the proposed CDRs has performed well enough in high-income countries for use in clinical practice. Our study aimed to build and validate a new CDR (DISCERN-FN) to predict the risk of severe infection in children with febrile neutropenia. METHODS: We did two prospective studies. First, a prospective derivation study included all episodes of febrile neutropenia in children (aged <18 years) with a cancer diagnosis and receiving treatment for it who were admitted for an episode of febrile neutropenia, excluding patients already treated with antibiotics for this episode, febrile neutropenia not induced by chemotherapy, those receiving palliative care, and those with a stem cell allograft for less than 1 year, from April 1, 2007, to Dec 31, 2011 from two paediatric cancer centres in France. We collected the children's medical history, and clinical and laboratory data, and analysed their associations with severe infection. Sipina software was used to derive the CDR as a decision tree. Second, a prospective, national, external validation study was done in 23 centres from Jan 1, 2012, to May 31, 2016. The primary outcome was severe infection, defined by bacteraemia, a positive bacterial culture from a usually sterile site, a local infection with a high potential for extension, or an invasive fungal infection. The CDR was applied a posteriori to all episodes to evaluate its sensitivity, specificity, and negative likelihood ratio. FINDINGS: The derivation set included 539 febrile neutropenia episodes (270 episodes in patients with blood cancer [median age 7·5 years, IQR 3·7-11·2; 158 (59 %) boys and 112 (41%) girls] and 269 in patients with solid tumours [median age 6·6 years, IQR 2·9-14·2; 140 (52 %) boys and 129 (48%) girls]). Significant variables introduced into the decision tree were cancer type (solid tumour vs blood cancer), age, high-risk chemotherapy, level of fever, C-reactive protein concentration (at 24-48 h after admission), and leucocyte and platelet counts and procalcitonin (at admission and at 24-48 h after admission). For the derivation set, the CDR sensitivity was 98% (95% CI 93-100), its specificity 56% (51-61), and the negative likelihood ratio 0·04 (0·01-0·15). 1806 febrile neutropenia episodes were analysed in the validation set (mean age 8·1 years [SD 4·8], 1014 (56%) boys and 792 (44%) girls), of which 332 (18%, 95% CI 17-20) were linked with severe infection. For the validation set, the CDR had a sensitivity of 95% (95% CI 91-97), a specificity of 38% (36-41), and a negative likelihood ratio of 0·13 (0·08-0·21). Our CDR reduced the risk of severe infection to a post-test probability of 0·8% (95% CI 0·2-2·9) in the derivation set and 2·4% (1·5-3·9) in the validation set. The validation study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03434795. INTERPRETATION: The use of our CDR substantially reduced the risk of severe infection after testing in both the derivation and validation groups, which suggests that this CDR would improve clinical practice enough to be introduced in appropriate settings. FUNDING: Ligue Nationale Contre le Cancer.

Bone mineral density in adult survivors of childhood acute leukemia: impact of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation and other treatment modalities.

Femoral and lumbar bone mineral densities (BMDs) were measured in 159 adults enrolled in the Leucémies de l'Enfant et de l'Adolescent program, a French prospective multicentric cohort of childhood leukemia survivors. BMDs were expressed as Z-scores, and multivariate linear regression analyses were used to construct association models with potential risk factors. Mean age at evaluation and follow-up was 23 and 14.7 years, respectively. In the whole cohort, mean femoral Z-score was -0.19 ± 0.08. Two factors were associated with lower femoral BMD transplantation (-0.49 ± 0.15 vs -0.04 ± 0.10 in the chemotherapy group; P = .006) and female sex (-0.34 ± 0.10 vs -0.03 ± 0.13; P = .03). Among patients who received a transplant, the only significant risk factor was hypogonadism (-0.88 ± 0.16 vs -0.10 ± 0.23; P = .04). A slight reduction in lumbar BMD (mean Z-score, -0.37 ± 0.08) was detected in the whole cohort without difference between the transplantation and chemotherapy groups. Among patients who received a transplant, younger age at transplantation was correlated with a low lumbar BMD (P = .03). We conclude that adults who had received only chemotherapy for childhood leukemia have a slight reduction in their lumbar BMD and a normal femoral BMD. Patients who received a transplant with gonadal deficiency have a reduced femoral BMD which might increase the fracture risk later in life.

Impact of viable CD45 cells infused on lymphocyte subset recovery after unrelated cord blood transplantation in children.

We studied lymphocyte recovery in 88 children who consecutively underwent unrelated cord blood transplantation for malignant (n = 64) or nonmalignant (n = 24) diseases. All children but 3 received myeloablative conditioning regimens with pretransplant antithymocyte globulin. Median age was 5.6 years (0.1-18 years) and median follow-up was 40 months (10-136 months). The median dose of infused viable CD45(+) cells (vCD45) was 3.35 × 10(7)/kg with a ratio infused vCD45/collected total nucleated cell at 0.46. Immunologic endpoints were: time to achieve CD3(+) >500 and 1500/mm(3), CD4(+) >500/mm(3), CD8(+) >250/mm(3), CD19(+) >200/mm(3), natural killer >100/mm(3). These endpoints were analyzed through the use of cumulative curves for estimating incidence over time in the context of competing risks, and through Fine and Gray models to assess prognostic factors. The median time to reach these endpoints was 33, 97, 214, and 340 days for natural killer, B, CD8, and CD4 cells, respectively. In multivariate analysis, a high infused vCD45 cell dose improved CD3 (P = .014) and CD4 (P = .032) reconstitutions. A young recipient age also favored CD3 recovery (P = .013). With patients grouped according to vCD45 cell dose quartiles, the threshold for a better recovery was 3.35 × 10(7)/kg. Considering the ratio vCD45/TNC, this "immune recovery based" threshold corresponds to a higher cell dose than the minimum usually recommended dose for myelogenous engraftment. This may have important implication for UCB selection.