Plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 is associated with leukocyte telomere length in American Indians: findings from the Strong Heart Family Study.

Essentials Plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) advanced cellular senescence in experiment studies. No population study exists on the association between PAI-1 and biological aging in American Indians. We found cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between higher PAI-1 and shorter telomere length. Our findings suggest a pathway linking PAI-1 with biological aging beyond metabolic factors. SUMMARY: Background Plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) promotes cellular aging both in vitro and in vivo. Telomere length is a marker of biological aging. Objectives To examine the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between plasma PAI-1 and leukocyte telomere length in a large-scale epidemiological study of American Indians. Methods We measured leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and plasma PAI-1 in 2560 American Indians who were free of overt cardiovascular disease (CVD) and participated in the Strong Heart Family Study (SHFS) clinical examination in 2001-2003. LTL and PAI-1 were repeatedly measured in 475 participants who attended SHFS clinical visits in both 2001-2003 and 1998-1999. A generalized estimating equation model was used to examine the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between PAI-1 and LTL, adjusting for known risk factors. Results A higher level of plasma PAI-1 was negatively associated with shorter age-adjusted LTL (ß = -0.023; 95% CI, -0.034 to -0.013). This association was attenuated (ß = -0.015; 95% CI, -0.029 to -0.002) after adjustments for demographics, study site, lifestyle (smoking, drinking and physical activity) and metabolic factors (obesity, blood pressure, fasting glucose, insulin, lipids and kidney function). Further adjustment for hsCRP did not change this association (ß = -0.015; 95% CI, -0.029 to -0.001). Longitudinal analysis revealed that change in plasma PAI-1 was also inversely associated with change in LTL after adjusting for demographics, follow-up years, lifestyle factors, changes in metabolic factors, baseline levels of PAI-1 and LTL (ß = -0.0005; 95% CI, -0.0009 to -0.0001). Conclusions A higher level of plasma PAI-1 was associated with shorter LTL in American Indians. This finding may suggest a potential role of PAI-1 in biological aging among American Indians.

Serum uric acid does not predict incident metabolic syndrome in a population with high prevalence of obesity.

AIM: To evaluate whether uric acid (UA) predicts 4-yr incidence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in non-diabetic participants of the Strong Heart Study (SHS) cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this population-based prospective study we analyzed 1499 American Indians (890 women), without diabetes or MetS, controlled during the 4th SHS exam and re-examined 4 years later during the 5th SHS exam. Participants were divided into sex-specific tertiles of UA and the first two tertiles (group N) were compared with the third tertile (group H). Body mass index (BMI = 28.3 ± 7 vs. 31.1 ± 7 kg/m(2)), fat-free mass (FFM = 52.0 ± 14 vs. 54.9 ± 11 kg), waist-to-hip ratio, HOMA-IR (3.66 vs. 4.26), BP and indices of inflammation were significantly higher in group H than in group N (all p < 0.001). Incident MetS at the time of the 5th exam was more frequent in group H than group N (35 vs. 28%, OR 1.44 (95% CI = 1.10-1.91; p < 0.01). This association was still significant (OR = 1.13, p = 0.04) independently of family relatedness, sex, history of hypertension, HOMA-IR, central adiposity and renal function, but disappeared when fat-free mass was included in the model. CONCLUSIONS: In the SHS, UA levels are associated to parameters of insulin resistance and to indices of inflammation. UA levels, however, do not predict incident MetS independently of the initial obesity-related increased FFM.

Cardiometabolic risk in overweight subjects with or without relative fat-free mass deficiency: the Strong Heart Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Sarcopenia is a condition mainly due to loss of fat-free mass (FFM) in elderly individuals. RFFMD, however, is also frequent in obese subjects due to abnormal body composition. Objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of relative fat-free mass deficiency (RFFMD) on cardiometabolic (CM) risk in obese normoglycemic individuals. METHODS AND RESULTS: Overweight/obese American Indians from the Strong Heart Study population, without diabetes and with FBG ≤ 110 mg/dL and with GFR >60 mg/mL/1.73 m(2) were selected for this analysis (n = 742). RFFMD was defined on the basis of a multivariable equation previously reported. Fasting glucose and 2 h-OGTT were measured together with urine albumin/creatinine excretion, laboratory and anthropometric parameters. In addition to lower FFM and greater adipose mass, participants with RFFMD had higher body mass index, waist circumference, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, insulin resistance and urinary albumin/creatinine than participants with normal FFM (all p < 0.001); they also had a greater prevalence of hypertension, impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) or OGTT-diabetes than participants with normal FFM (all p < 0.003) and a near 2-fold greater probability of significant proteinuria (p < 0.01). RFFMD was more frequent in women than in men: significant sex-RFFMD interactions were found for BMI and waist circumference (both p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: RFFMD in overweight/obese normoglycemic individuals is associated with greater probability of hypertension, abnormalities of glucose tolerance and proteinuria. Assessment of RFFRMD might, therefore, help stratifying cardiometabolic risk among normoglycemic individuals with overweight/obesity.

Epidemiology and genetic determinants of progressive deterioration of glycaemia in American Indians: the Strong Heart Family Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Type 2 diabetes is a chronic, heterogeneous disease and a major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. The underlying mechanisms leading to progression to type 2 diabetes are not fully understood and genetic tools may help to identify important pathways of glycaemic deterioration. METHODS: Using prospective data on American Indians from the Strong Heart Family Study, we identified 373 individuals defined as progressors (diabetes incident cases), 566 individuals with transitory impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and 1,011 controls (normal fasting glycaemia at all visits). We estimated the heritability (h(2)) of the traits and the evidence for association with 16 known variants identified in type 2 diabetes genome-wide association studies. RESULTS: We noted high h(2) for diabetes progression (h(2) = 0.65 ± 0.16, p = 2.7 × 10(-6)) but little contribution of genetic factors to transitory IFG (h(2) = 0.09 ± 0.10, p = 0.19) for models adjusted for multiple risk factors. At least three variants (in WFS1, TSPAN8 and THADA) were nominally associated with diabetes progression in age- and sex-adjusted analyses with estimates showing the same direction of effects as reported in the discovery European ancestry studies. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our findings do not exclude these loci for diabetes susceptibility in American Indians and suggest phenotypic heterogeneity of the IFG trait, which may have implications for genetic studies when diagnosis is based on a single time-point measure.

Dietary patterns and their association with cardiovascular risk factors in a population undergoing lifestyle changes: The Strong Heart Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Rates of cardiovascular disease (CVD) are disproportionately high in American Indians (AI), and changes in lifestyle may be responsible. It is not known whether diverse dietary patterns exist in this population and whether the patterns are associated with CVD risk factors. This article describes the relationships between dietary patterns and CVD risk factors in this high-risk population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Nutrition data were collected via food frequency questionnaire from 3438 Strong Heart Study (SHS) participants, ≥ age 15 y. All participants were members of 94 extended families. The final sample consisted of 3172 men and women. Diet patterns were ascertained using factor analysis with the principal component factoring method. We derived four predominant dietary patterns: Western, traditional AI/Mexican, healthy, and unhealthy. Participants following the Western pattern had higher LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) (p < 0.001), slightly higher systolic blood pressure (BP) (p < 0.001), lower HDL cholesterol (HDL-C) (p < 0.001), and slightly lower homeostasis model assessment estimates of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) in the lowest vs. highest deciles of adherence to this pattern (p < 0.001). The traditional diet was associated with higher HDL-C (p < 0.001), but higher body mass index (BMI) (p < 0.001) and HOMA-IR (p < 0.001). Followers of the healthy pattern had lower systolic BP, LDL-C, BMI, and HOMA-IR in increasing deciles (p < 0.001). The unhealthy pattern was associated with higher LDL-C. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary patterns reflect the changing lifestyle of AI and several of the patterns are associated with CVD risk factors. Evolving methods of food preparation have made the traditional pattern less healthy.

Does cardiovascular phenotype explain the association between diabetes and incident heart failure? The Strong Heart Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Diabetes remains a predictor of incident heart failure (HF), independent of intercurrent myocardial infarction (MI) and concomitant risk factors. Initial cardiovascular (CV) characteristics, associated with incident heart failure (HF) might explain the association of diabetes with incident HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants to the 2nd Strong Heart Study exam, without prevalent HF or coronary heart disease, or glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min/1.73 m(2), were analyzed (n = 2757, 1777 women, 1278 diabetic). Cox regression of incident HF (follow-up 8.91 ± 2.76 years) included incident MI censored as a competing risk event. Acute MI occurred in 96 diabetic (7%) and 84 non-diabetic participants (6%, p = ns). HF occurred in 156 diabetic (12%) and in 68 non-diabetic participants (5%; OR = 2.89, p < 0.001). After accounting for competing MI and controlling for age, gender, BMI, systolic blood pressure, smoking habit, plasma cholesterol, antihypertensive treatment, heart rate, fibrinogen and C-reactive protein, incident HF was predicted by greater LV mass index, larger left atrium, lower systolic function, greater left atrial systolic force and urinary albumin/creatinine excretion. Risk of HF was reduced with more rapid LV relaxation and anti-hypertensive therapy. Diabetes increases hazard of HF by 66% (0.02 < p < 0.001). The effect of diabetes could be explained by the level of HbA1c. CONCLUSIONS: Incident HF occurs more frequently in diabetes, independent of intercurrent MI, abnormal LV geometry, subclinical systolic dysfunction and indicators of less rapid LV relaxation, and is influenced by poor metabolic control. Identification of CV phenotype at high-risk for HF in diabetes should be advised.

Coffee consumption and the incidence of type 2 diabetes in men and women with normal glucose tolerance: the Strong Heart Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It was reported that high coffee consumption was related to decreased diabetes risk. The aim of this study is to examine the association between coffee consumption and the incidence of type 2 diabetes in persons with normal glucose tolerance in a population with a high incidence and prevalence of diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective cohort study, information about daily coffee consumption was collected at the baseline examination (1989-1992) in a population-based sample of American Indian men and women 45-74 years of age. Participants with normal glucose tolerance (N = 1141) at the baseline examination were followed for an average of 7.6 years. The incidence of diabetes was compared across the categories of daily coffee consumption. The hazard ratios of diabetes related to coffee consumption were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for potential confounders. Levels of coffee consumption were positively related to levels of current smoking and inversely related to body mass index, waist circumference, female gender, and hypertension. Compared to those who did not drink coffee, participants who drank 12 or more cups of coffee daily had 67% less risk of developing diabetes during the follow-up (hazard ratio: 0.33, 95% confidence interval: 0.13, 0.81). CONCLUSION: In this population, a high level of coffee consumption was associated with a reduced risk of deterioration of glucose metabolism over an average 7.6 years of follow-up. More work is needed to understand whether there is a plausible biological mechanism for this observation.

Genome-wide linkage scan for plasma high density lipoprotein cholesterol, apolipoprotein A-1 and triglyceride variation among American Indian populations: the Strong Heart Family Study.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have identified chromosomal regions linked to variation in high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), apolipoprotein A-1 (apo A-1) and triglyceride (TG), although results have been inconsistent and previous studies of American Indian populations are limited. OBJECTIVE: In an attempt to localise quantitative trait loci (QTLs) influencing HDL-C, apo A-1 and TG, we conducted genome-wide linkage scans of subjects of the Strong Heart Family Study. METHODS: We implemented analyses in 3484 men and women aged 18 years or older, at three study centres. RESULTS: With adjustment for age, sex and centre, we detected a QTL influencing both HDL-C (logarithm of odds (LOD) = 4.4, genome-wide p = 0.001) and apo A-1 (LOD = 3.2, genome-wide p = 0.020) nearest marker D6S289 at 6p23 in the Arizona sample. Another QTL influencing apo A-1 was found nearest marker D9S287 at 9q22.2 (LOD = 3.0, genome-wide p = 0.033) in the North and South Dakotas. We detected a QTL influencing TG nearest marker D15S153 at 15q22.31 (LOD = 4.5 in the overall sample and LOD = 3.8 in the Dakotas sample, genome-wide p = 0.0044) and when additionally adjusted for waist, current smoking, current alcohol, current oestrogen, lipid treatment, impaired fasting glucose, and diabetes, nearest marker D10S217 at 10q26.2 (LOD = 3.7, genome-wide p = 0.0058) in the Arizona population. CONCLUSIONS: The replication of QTLs in regions of the genome that harbour well known candidate genes suggest that chromosomes 6p, 9q and 15q warrant further investigation with fine mapping for causative polymorphisms in American Indians.

Metabolic syndrome and left ventricular hypertrophy in the prediction of cardiovascular events: the Strong Heart Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is associated with increased prevalence of echocardiographic LV hypertrophy (LVH), a potent predictor of cardiovascular (CV) outcome. Whether MetS increases risk of CV events independently of presence of LVH has never been investigated. It is also unclear whether LVH predicts CV risk both in the presence and absence of MetS. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants in the 2nd Strong Heart Study examination without prevalent coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure or renal insufficiency (plasma creatinine >2.5mg/dL) were studied (n=2758; 1746 women). MetS was defined by WHO criteria. Echocardiographic LV hypertrophy was defined using population-specific cut-point value for LV mass index (>47.3g/m(2.7)). After controlling for age, sex, LDL-cholesterol, smoking, plasma creatinine, diabetes, hypertension and obesity, participants with MetS had greater probability of LVH than those without MetS (OR=1.55 [1.18-2.04], p<0.002). Adjusted hazard of composite fatal and non-fatal CV events was greater when LVH was present, in participants without (HR=2.03 [1.33-3.08]) or with MetS (HR=1.64 [1.31-2.04], both p<0.0001), with similar adjusted population attributable risk (12% and 14%). After adjustment for LVH, risk of incident CV events remained 1.47-fold greater in MetS (p<0.003), an effect, however, that was not confirmed when diabetic participants were excluded. CONCLUSION: LVH is a strong predictor of composite 8-year fatal and non-fatal CV events either in the presence or in the absence of MetS and accounts for a substantial portion of the high CV risk associated with MetS.

Sex-specific interaction between APOE genotype and carbohydrate intake affects plasma HDL-C levels: the Strong Heart Family Study.

Low plasma levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) are identified as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Sexual dimorphism, however, is widely reported in both HDL-C and CVD, with the underlying explanations of these sexual differences not fully understood. HDL-C is a complex trait influenced by both genes and dietary factors. Here we examine evidence for a sex-specific effect of APOE and the macronutrient carbohydrate on HDL-C, triglycerides (TG) and apoprotein A-1 (ApoA-1) in a sample of 326 male and 423 female participants of the Strong Heart Family Study (SHFS). Using general estimating equations in SAS to account for kinship correlations, stratifying by sex, and adjusting for age, body mass index (BMI) and SHS center, we examine the relationship between APOE genotype and carbohydrate intake on circulating levels of HDL-C, TG, and ApoA-1 through a series of carbohydrate-by-sex interactions and stratified analyses. APOE-by-carbohydrate intake shows significant sex-specific effects. All males had similar decreases in HDL-C levels associated with increased carbohydrate intake. However, only those females with APOE-4 alleles showed significantly lower HDL-C levels as their percent of carbohydrate intake increased, while no association was noted between carbohydrate intake and HDL-C in those females without an APOE-4 allele. These findings demonstrate the importance of understanding sex differences in gene-by-nutrient interaction when examining the complex architecture of HDL-C variation.

Linkage analysis of LDL cholesterol in American Indian populations: the Strong Heart Family Study.

Previous studies have demonstrated that low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) concentration is influenced by both genes and environment. Although rare genetic variants associated with Mendelian causes of increased LDL-C are known, only one common genetic variant has been identified, the apolipoprotein E gene (APOE). In an attempt to localize quantitative trait loci (QTLs) influencing LDL-C, we conducted a genome-wide linkage scan of LDL-C in participants of the Strong Heart Family Study (SHFS). Nine hundred eighty men and women, age 18 years or older, in 32 extended families at three centers (in Arizona, Oklahoma, and North and South Dakota) were phenotyped for LDL-C concentration and other risk factors. Using a variance component approach and the program SOLAR, and after accounting for the effects of covariates, we detected a QTL influencing LDL-C on chromosome 19, nearest marker D19S888 at 19q13.41 [logarithm of odds (LOD) = 4.3] in the sample from the Dakotas. This region on chromosome 19 includes many possible candidate genes, including the APOE/C1/C4/C2 gene cluster. In follow-up association analyses, no significant evidence for an association was detected with the APOE*2 and APOE*4 alleles (P = 0.76 and P = 0.53, respectively). Suggestive evidence of linkage to LDL-C was detected on chromosomes 3q, 4q, 7p, 9q, 10p, 14q, and 17q. These linkage signals overlap positive findings for lipid-related traits and harbor plausible candidate genes for LDL-C.

Catalyzed ozonation process with GAC and metal doped-GAC for removing organic pollutants.

The purpose of this study was to investigate the catalytic role of granular activated carbon (GAC), and metal (Mn or Fe) doped-GAC, on the transformation of ozone into more reactive secondary radicals, such as hydroxyl radicals (*OH), for the treatment of wastewater. The GAC doped with Mn showed the highest catalytic performance in terms of ozone decomposition into OH radicals. Likewise, activated carbon alone accelerated the ozone decomposition, resulting in the formation of *OH radicals. In the presence of promoters, the ozone depletion rate was enhanced further by the Mn-GAC catalyst system, even under aqueous acidic pH conditions.

Evidence for joint action of genes on diabetes status and CVD risk factors in American Indians: the strong heart family study.

OBJECTIVES: Previous research among American Indians of the strong heart family study (SHFS) has demonstrated significant heritabilities for CVD risk factors and implicated diabetes as an important predictor of several of the phenotypes. Moreover, we recently demonstrated that genetic effects on CVD risk factors differed in diabetic and nondiabetic individuals. In this paper, we investigated whether a significant genetic influence on diabetes status could be identified, and whether there is evidence for joint action of genes on diabetes status and related CVD risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: Approximately 950 men and women, age 18 or older, in 32 extended families, were examined between 1997 and 1999. We estimated the effects of genes and environmental covariates on diabetes status using a threshold model and a maximum likelihood variance component approach. Diabetes status exhibited a residual heritability of 22% (h2=0.22). We also estimated the genetic and environmental correlations between diabetes susceptibility and eight risk factors for CVD. All eight CVD risk factors displayed significant genetic correlations with diabetes status (BMI (rhoG=0.55), fibrinogen (rhoG=0.40), HDL-C (rhoG=-0.37), ln triglycerides (rhoG=0.65), FAT (rhoG=0.38 ), PAI-1 (rhoG=0.67), SBP (rhoG=0.57), and WHR (rhoG=0.58)). Three of eight traits (HDL-C (rhoE=-0.32), ln triglycerides (rhoE=0.33), and fibrinogen (rhoE=0.20)) displayed significant environmental correlations with diabetes status. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that in the context of a high prevalence of diabetes, still unidentified diabetes genes may play an important role in influencing variation in CVD risk factors.

Prevalence and correlates of mitral valve prolapse in a population-based sample of American Indians: the Strong Heart Study.

PURPOSE: Mitral valve prolapse is heritable and occurs frequently in the general population despite associations with mitral regurgitation and infective endocarditis, suggesting that selective advantages might be associated with mitral valve prolapse. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Clinical examination and 2-dimensional and color Doppler echocardiography were performed in 3340 American Indian participants in the Strong Heart Study. RESULTS: Mitral valve prolapse (clear-cut billowing of one or both mitral leaflets across the mitral anular plane in 2-dimensional parasternal long-axis recordings or >2-mm late systolic posterior displacement of mitral leaflets by M mode) occurred in 37 (1.8%) of 2077 women and 20 (1.6%) of 1263 men (P = 0.88); 32 (3.5%) of 907 patients with normal glucose tolerance, 11 (2.3%) of 486 patients with impaired glucose tolerance, and 13 (0.7%) of 1735 patients with diabetes (P <0.0001). Participants with mitral valve prolapse had lower mean (+/- SD) body mass index (28 +/- 5 kg/m(2) vs. 31 +/- 6 kg/m(2), P = 0.001) and blood pressure (124/71 +/- 19/10 mm Hg vs. 130/75 +/- 21/10 mm Hg, P <0.05), as well as lower levels of fasting glucose, triglycerides, serum creatinine, and log urine albumin/creatinine ratio (all P <0.001), than did those without mitral valve prolapse, although all subjects were similar in age (60 +/- 8 years). Participants with mitral valve prolapse had lower ventricular septal (0.87 +/- 0.08 cm vs. 0.93 +/- 0.13 cm) and posterior wall thicknesses (0.82 +/- 0.08 cm vs. 0.87 +/- 0.10 cm), mass (38 +/- 7 g/m(2.7) vs. 42 +/- 11 g/m(2.7)), and relative wall thickness (0.33 +/- 0.04 vs. 0.35 +/- 0.05), and increased stress-corrected midwall shortening (all P <0.01). Mitral valve prolapse was associated with a higher prevalence of mild (16 of 57 [28%] vs. 614 of 3283 [19%]) and more severe mitral regurgitation (5 of 57 [9%] vs. 48 of 3283 [1%], P <0.0001). Regression analyses showed prolapse was associated with low ventricular relative wall thickness, high midwall function, and low urine albumin/creatinine ratio, independent of age, sex, body mass index, and diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Mitral valve prolapse is fairly common and is strongly associated with mitral regurgitation in the general population. However, it is also associated with lower body weight, blood pressure, and prevalence of diabetes; a more favorable metabolic profile and ventricular geometry; and better myocardial and renal function.

Fibrinogen and preclinical echocardiographic target organ damage: the strong heart study.

Relations of fibrinogen to preclinical target organ damage, such as left ventricular hypertrophy, systolic dysfunction, and increased arterial stiffness while accounting for traditional risk factors, are unknown in a population-based sample free of clinically overt coronary heart disease. Therefore, we studied clinical and echocardiographic characteristics of 2709 American Indians participating in the Strong Heart Study without symptomatic atherosclerosis. The study sample was divided into tertiles of fibrinogen (cut-points, 3.24 and 3.83 g/L). Mean age, body mass index, proportion of women, and prevalences of hypertension and diabetes increased from the first to third tertile of fibrinogen. After adjustment for covariates, systolic and pulse pressures did not significantly differ among tertiles of fibrinogen, whereas diastolic pressure was slightly lower in the third than in lower tertiles of fibrinogen. HDL cholesterol was lower and plasma creatinine and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio was higher in the third tertile of fibrinogen. Left ventricular mass index, pulse pressure/stroke index, an estimate of arterial stiffness, and cardiac index were higher and left ventricular systolic function and total peripheral resistance were lower in the third than in two lower tertiles of fibrinogen independent of major covariates. In multiple regression analyses, left ventricular mass and pulse pressure/stroke index were positively associated with, and stress-corrected midwall shortening negatively associated with fibrinogen, independent of major covariates. Participants with fibrinogen >3.83 g/L were more likely to have at least 1 preclinical cardiovascular abnormality such as left ventricular hypertrophy, elevated arterial stiffness, or systolic myocardial dysfunction independent of covariates including renal dysfunction (adjusted odds ratio, 1.38; P<0.001). Thus, in a population sample of adults without clinically overt coronary heart disease, elevated fibrinogen is an independent correlate of prognostically relevant cardiovascular target organ damage.

The appearance of retinopathy and progression to proliferative retinopathy: the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to estimate incidences of any retinopathy and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) by direct ophthalmoscopy and relate them to baseline risk factors in re-examined diabetic survivors from 10 centres of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes. METHODS: After a mean follow-up of 8.4years (11.7 years in Oklahoma), 2877 (71.6%) survivors were resubmitted to standardised direct ophthalmoscopy as at baseline. The presence of any retinopathy and PDR were recorded at each centre and their incidence estimated in those without retinopathy and PDR at baseline. The independent associations of these incidences with baseline risk factors are expressed as odds ratios derived from multiple logistic regression analyses, within individual centres (which included fasting plasma glucose in 8 and triglyceride in 5) and in pooled data. RESULTS: Of the 4662 original patients, 465 (10.4%) of those without and 77 (43.0%) of those with baseline PDR had died (p < 0.001). Any retinopathy was newly reported at follow-up in 47.7 % and PDR in 9.7 % of those free of them at baseline, with reported incidences varying substantially among centres. Incident retinopathy appeared earlier in the known course of diabetes but incidence rates rose more slowly with duration in patients with Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus than in those with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. In pooled data and in some individual centres, any retinopathy incidence gave significantly positive odds ratios with age, diabetes duration, systolic pressure, plasma cholesterol, BMI, insulin treatment and proteinuria, and with fasting plasma glucose in the centres where it was measured. Positive odds ratios for PDR were similarly obtained for age, duration, insulin treatment, cholesterol, proteinuria and fasting glycaemia. Smoking status odds ratios were negative for both outcomes. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: Incidence of ophthalmoscopically ascertained any retinopathy varied about twofold and of PDR about threefold among centres. Although, in part attributable to differences between observers, variation in incidence in all centres and in some cases within centres was associated with a number of baseline risk factors. Such associations are not likely due to observer variation or selection biases and emerged despite the imprecision of clinical ophthalmoscopy. Improved detection and control of these risk factors should reduce the impact of diabetic retinopathy and its consequences.

Follow-up of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes: general description and morbidity.

AIMS: The incidence of retinal, renal and cardiovascular complications and their relation to baseline risk factors was documented in this follow-up study of 10 of the 14 original centres of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD). METHODS: The incidence of specified items of vascular disease and some associated risk factors was ascertained after 7 to 9 years (11-12 years in Oklahoma, USA) follow-up, re-using baseline examination methodology in 3165 patients (66.9 %) and, through secondary information in 717 (15.2%) of the 4729 original patients, of whom 540 (11.4%) had died and 307 (6.5 %) were untraceable. RESULTS: During follow-up, approximately one third of the patients developed hypertension and one third started insulin. Coronary heart disease incidence varied 10 to 20-fold among centres as did limb amputation rates. Inter-centre differences in incident retinopathy and severe visual impairment were smaller but incident clinical proteinuria and renal failure varied markedly. Vascular disease incidence of all categories was high in Native Americans though coronary heart disease incidence was relatively low in Pima Indians and absolutely low in Hong Kong and Tokyo patients. Specific vascular events and their relation with baseline risk factors are analysed in accompanying papers, summarised in the Epilogue. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: These 10 centres reported very different incidence rates of vascular complications. Observer variation, selection biases and competing causes of mortality contributed to these differences but their validity is supported by the more objective outcome indicators. The following papers also suggest that baseline factors such as raised arterial pressure, cholesterol and fasting glucose (in the centres where it was measured) were important and potentially reversible predictors of risk.

The incidence of visual impairment and its determinants in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Incidence of severe visual impairment and the ultimate prevalence of all grades of impairment were estimated in the 10 centres of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD) participating in the follow-up. METHODS: Visual function was ascertained at follow-up in 2994 (77.9 %) of the 3845 eligible participating survivors of the 4709 originally recruited for the WHO MSVDD using the same baseline enquiry method. The associations between incident severe visual impairment, follow-up prevalence of all grades of impairment and baseline risk factors were examined by univariate and stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 8.4 year incidence of severe visual impairment was 1.94 % and showed statistically significant univariate correlations with age at diagnosis, diabetes duration, systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose and cholesterol, insulin treatment and strongly with baseline retinopathy. Baseline retinopathy, systolic pressure and cholesterol were statistically significant in multivariable analysis. Differences between centres (0.3% to 3.45%) were not significant. Ultimate prevalence of all grades of impairment differed between centres and within almost all of them was correlated in multivariable analysis with baseline retinopathy and proteinuria. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: Comparisons of incident severe visual impairment between centres are restricted by selective mortality, low incidence rates and relatively small numbers in each centre but before retinopathy, baseline systolic pressure and cholesterol predicted severe visual impairment. Follow-up prevalence of all degrees of impairment varied among centres and were associated with prior retinopathy and renal disease at baseline.

Increased urinary albumin excretion and its associations in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes.

AIM/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to determine variations in the prevalence of increased urinary albumin excretion, associated risk factors and complications in patients with diabetes participating in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes follow-up. METHODS: Urinary albumin to urinary creatinine ratios were measured centrally in 2,033 of the 2,550 (79.7%) re-examined patients from eight centres in seven countries and the frequency of microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria and their associations with risk factors and complications were examined. RESULTS: Macroalbuminuria prevalence (overall 15.6%) varied tenfold (3-37%) among centres, was higher in American Indian and Asian centres and not clearly related to type of diabetes. Microalbuminuria (overall 19.7 %) varied less (12-31%). Increased albumin excretion was related overall to baseline fasting plasma glucose in the pooled group in whom it was measured and to increased arterial pressure, insulin use, coronary heart disease, lower extremity amputation, retinopathy and stroke in most centres. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: Centres varied widely in the prevalence of increased albumin excretion but associations with risk factors and vascular complications were generally similar in most centres and in both major types of diabetes with ethnic and genetic differences probably contributing.

Risk factors for renal failure: the WHO Mulinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to examine risk factors for, and differences in, renal failure in diabetic patients from 10 centres. METHODS: Risk factors for renal failure were examined in 3,558 diabetic patients who did not have renal disease at baseline in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD). RESULTS: In 959 subjects with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 2,559 with Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus, the average follow-up was 8.4 years (+/- 2.7). By the end of the follow-up period 53 patients in the Type I diabetic group and 134 patients in the Type II diabetic group had developed renal failure (incidence rate 6.3:1,000 person years). Increasing age and duration of diabetes were associated with renal failure in Type II and Type I diabetes. In Type II diabetes duration of diabetes was a more important risk factor than age. In both Type I and Type II diabetic retinopathy and proteinuria were strongly associated with renal failure. Systolic blood pressure was associated with renal failure in Type I but not in Type II diabetic patients. ECG abnormalities at baseline, self-reported smoking and cholesterol were not associated with renal failure. Triglycerides were measured in a subset of centres. Among those with Type II, but not Type I diabetes, triglycerides were associated with renal failure independently of systolic blood pressure, proteinuria or retinopathy. In Type II diabetes fasting plasma glucose was associated with renal failure independently of other risk factors. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: We have confirmed the role of proteinuria and retinopathy as markers of renal failure and the importance of hyperglycaemia in renal failure in Type I and Type II diabetes. Plasma triglycerides seem to be an important predictor of renal failure in Type II diabetes. In Type I diabetes systolic blood pressure is an important predictor of renal failure.