Predictors of the variability in neuromuscular block duration following succinylcholine: A prospective, observational study.

BACKGROUND: The duration of neuromuscular block (NMB) following succinylcholine administration is characterised by a high interindividual variability. However, this has not yet been quantified in a large sample of surgical patients. The significance of underlying clinical factors is unknown. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to profile the variability in NMB duration following a standard dose of succinylcholine and to investigate contributing clinical and genetic factors. DESIGN: A prospective, observational study. SETTING: Tertiary referral centre. PATIENTS: In a total of 1630 surgical patients undergoing a rapid sequence induction and intubation, clinical risk factors for a prolongation in NMB duration following succinylcholine were assessed. In a subset of 202 patients, additional biochemical and molecular genetic investigations of butyrylcholinesterase were performed. INTERVENTION: A standard 1 mg kg dose of succinylcholine after administration of an induction drug and an opioid. MAIN OUTCOME: NMB duration measured as the time between administration of succinylcholine until reappearance of palpable muscular response to supramaximal transcutaneous ulnar nerve stimulation. RESULTS: NMB varied from 80 s to 44 min with a median duration of 7.3 min. Sixteen percent of patients had NMB duration in excess of 10 min. A multivariable survival model identified physical status, sex, age, hepatic disease, pregnancy, history of cancer and use of etomidate or metoclopramide as independent risk factors for a prolonged NMB. Three novel butyrylcholinesterase variants were identified: p.Ile5Thr; p.Val178Ile; and p.Try231Ser. CONCLUSION: Neuromuscular blockade duration in excess of 10 min occurred in 16% of a general surgical population following a single dose of succinylcholine. The multivariable model of clinical risk factors for prolonged NMB revealed a negative predictive value of 87%, thereby indicating that absence of such risk factors may reliably predict a shorter duration of NMB. In patients with clinical risk factors for a prolonged NMB or with butyrylcholinesterase mutations, an alternative to succinylcholine should be considered.