Variable importance analysis with interpretable machine learning for fair risk prediction.

Machine learning (ML) methods are increasingly used to assess variable importance, but such black box models lack stability when limited in sample sizes, and do not formally indicate non-important factors. The Shapley variable importance cloud (ShapleyVIC) addresses these limitations by assessing variable importance from an ensemble of regression models, which enhances robustness while maintaining interpretability, and estimates uncertainty of overall importance to formally test its significance. In a clinical study, ShapleyVIC reasonably identified important variables when the random forest and XGBoost failed to, and generally reproduced the findings from smaller subsamples (n = 2500 and 500) when statistical power of the logistic regression became attenuated. Moreover, ShapleyVIC reasonably estimated non-significant importance of race to justify its exclusion from the final prediction model, as opposed to the race-dependent model from the conventional stepwise model building. Hence, ShapleyVIC is robust and interpretable for variable importance assessment, with potential contribution to fairer clinical risk prediction.

Assertive community treatment for high-utilizing alcohol misuse patients: a before-and-after cohort study protocol.

BACKGROUND: The challenge posed by Alcohol-Related Frequent Attenders (ARFAs) in Emergency Departments (EDs) is growing in Singapore, marked by limited engagement with conventional addiction treatment pathways. Recognizing this gap, this study aims to explore the potential benefits of Assertive Community Treatment (ACT) - an innovative, community-centered, harm-reduction strategy-in mitigating the frequency of ED visits, curbing Emergency Medical Services (EMS) calls, and uplifting health outcomes across a quartet of Singaporean healthcare institutions. METHODS: Employing a prospective before-and-after cohort design, this investigation targeted ARFAs aged 21 years and above, fluent in English or Mandarin. Eligibility was determined by a history of at least five ED visits in the preceding year, with no fewer than two due to alcohol-related issues. The study contrasted health outcomes of patients integrated into the ACT care model versus their experiences under the exclusive provision of standard emergency care across Hospitals A, B, C and D. Following participants for half a year post-initial assessment, the evaluation metrics encompassed socio-demographic factors, ED, and EMS engagement frequencies, along with validated health assessment tools, namely Christo Inventory for Substance-misuse Services (CISS) scores, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) Loneliness scores, and Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale Revised (CESD-R-10) scores. DISCUSSION: Confronted with intricate socio-economic and medical challenges, the ARFA cohort often grapples with heightened vulnerabilities in relation to alcohol misuse. Pioneering the exploration of ACT's efficacy with ARFAs in a Singaporean context, our research is anchored in a patient-centered approach, designed to comprehensively address these multifaceted clinical profiles. While challenges, like potential high attrition rates and sporadic data collection, are anticipated, the model's prospective contribution towards enhancing patient well-being and driving healthcare efficiencies in Singapore is substantial. Our findings have the potential to reshape healthcare strategies and policy recommendations. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04447079. Initiated on 25 June 2020.

Temporal trends in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with an initial non-shockable rhythm in Singapore.

Aim: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with an initial non-shockable rhythm is the predominant form of OHCA in adults. We evaluated its 10-year trends in epidemiology and management in Singapore. Methods: Using the national OHCA registry we studied the trends of 20,844 Emergency Medical Services-attended adult OHCA from April 2010 to December 2019. Survival to hospital discharge was the primary outcome. Trends and outcomes were analyzed using linear and logistic regression, respectively. Results: Incidence rates of adult OHCAs increased during the study period, driven by non-shockable OHCA. Compared to shockable OHCA, non-shockable OHCAs were significantly older, had more co-morbidities, unwitnessed and residential arrests, longer no-flow time, and received less bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and in-hospital interventions (p < 0.001). Amongst non-shockable OHCA, age, co-morbidities, residential arrests, no-flow time, time to patient, bystander CPR and epinephrine administration increased during the study period, while presumed cardiac etiology decreased (p < 0.05). Unlike shockable OHCA, survival for non-shockable OHCA did not improve (p < 0.001 for trend difference). The likelihood of survival for non-shockable OHCA significantly increased with witnessed arrest (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.02) and bystander CPR (aOR 3.25), but decreased with presumed cardiac etiology (aOR 0.65), epinephrine administration (aOR 0.66), time to patient (aOR 0.93) and age (aOR 0.98). Significant two-way interactions were observed for no-flow time and residential arrest with bystander CPR (aOR 0.96 and 0.40 respectively). Conclusion: The incidence of non-shockable OHCA increased between 2010 and 2019. Despite increased interventions, survival did not improve for non-shockable OHCA, in contrast to the improved survival for shockable OHCA.

Impact of time-to-compression on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival outcomes: A national registry study.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to quantify the association of no-flow interval in out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) with the odds of neurologically favorable survival and survival to hospital discharge/ 30th day. Our secondary aim was to explore futility thresholds to guide clinical decisions, such as prehospital termination of resuscitation. METHODS: All OHCAs from 2012 to 2017 in Singapore were extracted. We examined the association between no-flow interval (continuous variable) and survival outcomes using univariate and multivariable logistic regressions. The primary outcome was survival with favorable cerebral performance (Glasgow-Pittsburgh Cerebral Performance Categories 1/2), the secondary outcome was survival to hospital discharge/ 30th day if not discharged. To determine futility thresholds, we plotted the adjusted probability of good neurological outcomes to no-flow interval. RESULTS: 12,771 OHCAs were analyzed. The per-minute adjusted OR when no-flow interval was incorporated as a continuous variable in the multivariable model was: good neurological function- aOR 0.98 (95%CI: 0.97-0.98); survival to discharge- aOR 0.98 (95%CI: 0.98-0.99). Taking the 1% futility of survival line gave a no-flow interval cutoff of 12 mins (NPV 99%, sensitivity 85% and specificity 42%) overall and 7.5 mins for witnessed arrests. CONCLUSION: We demonstrated that prolonged no-flow interval had a significant effect on lower odds of favorable neurological outcomes, with medical futility occurring when no-flow interval was >12 mins (>7.5 mins for witnessed arrest). Our study adds to the literature of the importance of early CPR and EMS response and provided a threshold beyond traditional 'down-times', which could aid clinical decisions in TOR or OHCA management.

Management of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest during COVID-19: A Tale of Two Cities.

Variations in the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) have been reported. We aimed to, using population-based registries, compare community response, Emergency Medical Services (EMS) interventions and outcomes of adult, EMS-treated, non-traumatic OHCA in Singapore and metropolitan Atlanta, before and during the pandemic. Associations of OHCA characteristics, pre-hospital interventions and pandemic with survival to hospital discharge were analyzed using logistic regression. There were 2084 cases during the pandemic (17 weeks from the first confirmed COVID-19 case) and 1900 in the pre-pandemic period (corresponding weeks in 2019). Compared to Atlanta, OHCAs in Singapore were older, received more bystander interventions (cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR): 65.0% vs. 41.4%; automated external defibrillator application: 28.6% vs. 10.1%), yet had lower survival (5.6% vs. 8.1%). Compared to the pre-pandemic period, OHCAs in Singapore and Atlanta occurred more at home (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.05 and 2.03, respectively) and were transported less to hospitals (aOR 0.59 and 0.36, respectively) during the pandemic. Singapore reported more witnessed OHCAs (aOR 1.96) yet less bystander CPR (aOR 0.81) during pandemic, but not Atlanta (p < 0.05). The impact of COVID-19 on OHCA outcomes did not differ between cities. Changes in OHCA characteristics and management during the pandemic, and differences between Singapore and Atlanta were likely the result of systemic and sociocultural factors.

Inter-hospital trends of post-resuscitation interventions and outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Singapore.

INTRODUCTION: Hospital-based resuscitation interventions, such as therapeutic temperature management (TTM), emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) can improve outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). We investigated post-resuscitation interventions and hospital characteristics on OHCA outcomes across public hospitals in Singapore over a 9-year period. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of all OHCA cases that presented to 6 hospitals in Singapore from 2010 to 2018. Data were extracted from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study Clinical Research Network (PAROS CRN) registry. We excluded patients younger than 18 years or were dead on arrival at the emergency department. The outcomes were 30-day survival post-arrest, survival to admission, and neurological outcome. RESULTS: The study analysed 17,735 cases. There was an increasing rate of provision of TTM, emergency PCI and ECMO (P<0.001) in hospitals, and a positive trend of survival outcomes (P<0.001). Relative to hospital F, hospitals B and C had lower provision rates of TTM (≤5.2%). ECMO rate was consistently <1% in all hospitals except hospital F. Hospitals A, B, C, E had <6.5% rates of provision of emergency PCI. Relative to hospital F, OHCA cases from hospitals A, B and C had lower odds of 30-day survival (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]<1; P<0.05 for hospitals A-C) and lower odds of good neurological outcomes (aOR<1; P<0.05 for hospitals A-C). OHCA cases from academic hospitals had higher odds ratio (OR) of 30-day survival (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.5) than cases from hospitals without an academic status. CONCLUSION: Post-resuscitation interventions for OHCA increased across all hospitals in Singapore from 2010 to 2018, correlating with survival rates. The academic status of hospitals was associated with improved survival.

One-year outcomes of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The pandemic has led to adverse short-term outcomes for patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). It is unknown if this translates to poorer long-term outcomes. In Singapore, the escalation of the outbreak response on February 7, 2020 demanded adaptation of STEMI care to stringent infection control measures. A total of 321 patients presenting with STEMI and undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention at a tertiary hospital were enrolled and followed up over 1-year. They were allocated into three groups based on admission date-(1) Before outbreak response (BOR): December 1, 2019-February 6, 2020, (2) During outbreak response (DOR): February 7-March 31, 2020, and (3) control group: November 1-December 31, 2018. The incidence of cardiac-related mortality, cardiac-related readmissions, and recurrent coronary events were examined. Although in-hospital outcomes were worse in BOR and DOR groups compared to the control group, there were no differences in the 1-year cardiac-related mortality (BOR 8.7%, DOR 7.1%, control 4.8%, p = 0.563), cardiac-related readmissions (BOR 15.1%, DOR 11.6%, control 12.0%, p = 0.693), and recurrent coronary events (BOR 3.2%, DOR 1.8%, control 1.2%, p = 0.596). There were higher rates of additional PCI during the index admission in DOR, compared to BOR and control groups (p = 0.027). While patients admitted for STEMI during the pandemic may have poorer in-hospital outcomes, their long-term outcomes remain comparable to the pre-pandemic era.

Incidence, characteristics and complications of dispatcher-assisted cardiopulmonary resuscitation initiated in patients not in cardiac arrest.

AIM: Dispatcher-assisted cardiopulmonary resuscitation (DA-CPR) can increase bystander CPR rates and improve outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Despite the use of protocols, dispatchers may falsely recognise some cases to be in cardiac arrest. Hence, this study aimed to find the incidence of DA-CPR initiated for non-OHCA cases, its characteristics and clinical outcomes in the Singapore population. METHODS: This was a multi-centre, observational study of all dispatcher-recognised cardiac arrests cases between January to December 2017 involving three tertiary hospitals in Singapore. Data was obtained from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study cohort. Audio review of dispatch calls from the national emergency ambulance service were conducted and information about patients' clinical outcomes were prospectively collected from health records. Univariate analysis was performed to determine factors associated with in-hospital mortality among non-OHCA patients who received DA-CPR. RESULTS: Of the 821 patients recognised as having OHCA 328 (40.0%) were not in cardiac arrest and 173 (52.7%) of these received DA-CPR. No complications from chest compressions were found from hospital records. The top diagnoses of non-OHCA patients were cerebrovascular accidents (CVA), syncope and infection. Only final diagnoses of CVA (aOR 20.68), infection (aOR 17.34) and myocardial infarction (aOR 32.19) were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: In this study, chest compressions initiated on patients not in cardiac arrest by dispatchers did not result in any reported complications and was not associated with in-hospital mortality. This provides reassurance for the continued implementation of DA-CPR.

Evaluating the effectiveness of interprofessional advanced cardiac life support training: a sequential mixed-methods approach.

Interprofessional advanced cardiac life support (IP-ACLS) training is a holistic learning experience; thus, our research team incorporated this training into an undergraduate programme. Considering that IP-ACLS training is a new paradigm in nursing education, evaluating its effectiveness is essential. This research aimed to (1) evaluate the effectiveness of this training on improving the perceived level of interprofessional collaboration, self-efficacy and emotion regulation and (2) explore the learning experience of nursing students during training. The study design adopted a sequential mixed-method approach comprising a two-group pretest and posttest design amongst 120 students, followed by nine focus group discussions. Quantitative results demonstrated significant improvements in the perceived level of interprofessional collaboration, self-efficacy and emotion regulation at post-intervention and follow-up. Qualitative data were collected through video recording and field notes. Thematic analysis was performed following the method of Braun and Clarke. Qualitative analysis of focus group transcripts identified three themes: synergistic partnership, clinical readiness and improving further training. Quantitative and qualitative results were integrated in accordance with the mixed data analysis framework. These results complemented one another. The training provided an authentic learning experience and a good steppingstone to nursing students who are preparing to work interprofessionally in the future.

Assessing unrealised potential for organ donation after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Organ donation after brain death is the standard practice in many countries. Rates are low globally. This study explores the potential national number of candidates for uncontrolled donations after cardiac death (uDCD) amongst out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients and the influence of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) on the candidacy of these potential organ donors using Singapore as a case study. METHODS: Using Singapore data from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study, we identified all non-traumatic OHCA cases from 2010 to 2016. Four established criteria for identifying uDCD candidates (Madrid, San Carlos Madrid, Maastricht and Paris) were retrospectively applied onto the population. Within these four groups, a condensed ECPR eligibility criteria was employed and thereafter, an estimated ECPR survival rate was applied, extrapolating for possible neurologically intact survivors had ECPR been administered. RESULTS: 12,546 OHCA cases (64.8% male, mean age 65.2 years old) qualified for analysis. The estimated number of OHCA patients who were eligible for uDCD ranged from 4.3 to 19.6%. The final projected percentage of potential uDCD donors readjusted for ECPR survivors was 4.2% (Paris criteria worst-case scenario, n = 532) to 19.4% of all OHCA cases (Maastricht criteria best-case scenario, n = 2428), for an estimated 14.3 to 65.4 uDCD donors per million population per year (pmp/year). CONCLUSIONS: In Singapore case study, we demonstrated the potential numbers of candidates for uDCD among resuscitated OHCA cases. This sizeable pool of potential donors demonstrates the potential for an uDCD program to expand the organ donor pool. A small proportion of these patients might however survive had they been administered ECPR. Further research into the factors influencing local organ and patient outcomes following uDCD and ECPR is indicated.

Impact of COVID-19 on Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in Singapore.

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Singapore. We used data from the Singapore Civil Defence Force to compare the incidence, characteristics and outcomes of all Emergency Medical Services (EMS)-attended adult OHCA during the pandemic (January-May 2020) and pre-pandemic (January-May 2018 and 2019) periods. Pre-hospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) was the primary outcome. Binary logistic regression was used to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for the characteristics of OHCA. Of the 3893 OHCA patients (median age 72 years, 63.7% males), 1400 occurred during the pandemic period and 2493 during the pre-pandemic period. Compared with the pre-pandemic period, OHCAs during the pandemic period more likely occurred at home (aOR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.24-1.75) and were witnessed (aOR: 1.71; 95% CI: 1.49-1.97). They received less bystander CPR (aOR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.61-0.81) despite 65% of witnessed arrests by a family member, and waited longer for EMS (OR ≥ 10 min: 1.71, 95% CI 1.46-2.00). Pre-hospital ROSC was less likely during the pandemic period (aOR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.53-0.84). The pandemic saw increased OHCA incidence and worse outcomes in Singapore, likely indirect effects of COVID-19.

Impact of dispatcher-assisted cardiopulmonary resuscitation and myResponder mobile app on bystander resuscitation.

INTRODUCTION: Bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (B-CPR) is associated with improved out-of hospital cardiac arrest survival. Community-level interventions including dispatcher-assisted CPR (DA-CPR) and myResponder were implemented to increase B-CPR. We sought to assess whether these interventions increased B-CPR. METHODS: The Singapore out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry captured cases that occurred between 2010 and 2017. Outcomes occurring in 3 time periods (Baseline, DA-CPR, and DA-CPR plus myResponder) were compared. Segmented regression of time-series data was conducted to investigate our intervention impact on the temporal changes in B-CPR. RESULTS: A total of 13,829 out-of-hospital cardiac arrest cases were included from April 2010 to December 2017. Higher B-CPR rates (24.8% versus 50.8% vs 64.4%) were observed across the 3 time periods. B-CPR rates showed an increasing but plateauing trend. DA-CPR implementation was significantly associated with an increased B-CPR (level odds ratio [OR] 2.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.79-2.88; trend OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.04), while no positive change was detected with myResponder (level OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.82-1.11; trend OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.98-1.00). CONCLUSION: B-CPR rates in Singapore have been increasing alongside the implementation of community-level interventions such as DA-CPR and myResponder. DA-CPR was associated with improved odds of receiving B-CPR over time while the impact of myResponder was less clear.

Simplified instructional phrasing in dispatcher-assisted cardiopulmonary resuscitation - when 'less is more'.

INTRODUCTION: In our national emergency dispatch centre, the standard protocol for dispatcher-assisted cardiopulmonary resuscitation (DACPR) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCAs) involves the instruction 'push 100 times a minute 5 cm deep'. As part of quality improvement, the instruction was simplified to 'push hard and fast'. METHODS: We analysed all dispatcher-diagnosed OHCAs over four months in 2018: January to February ('push 100 times a minute 5 cm deep') and August to September ('push hard and fast'). We also performed secondary per-protocol analysis based on the protocol used: (a) standard (n = 48); (b) simplified (n = 227); and (c) own words (n = 231). RESULTS: A total of 506 cases were included: 282 in the 'before' group and 224 in the 'after' group. Adherence to the protocol was 15.2% in the 'before' phase and 72.8% in the 'after' phase (p < 0.001). The mean time between instruction and first compression for the 'before' and 'after' groups was 34.36 seconds and 26.83 seconds, respectively (p < 0.001). Time to first compression was 238.62 seconds and 218.83 seconds in the 'before' and 'after' groups, respectively (p = 0.016). In the per-protocol analysis, the interval between instruction and compression was 37.19 seconds, 28.31 seconds and 32.40 seconds in the standard protocol, simplified protocol and 'own words' groups, respectively (p = 0.005). The need for paraphrasing was 60.4% in the standard protocol group and 81.5% in the simplified group (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Simplified instructions were associated with a shorter interval between instruction and first compression. Efforts should be directed at simplifying DACPR instructions.

myResponder Smartphone Application to Crowdsource Basic Life Support for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: The Singapore Experience.

OBJECTIVE: The Singapore myResponder is a novel smartphone application developed by the Singapore Civil Defence Force (SCDF) that notifies volunteer first responders of a suspected out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) case and locations of Automated External Defibrillators (AED) in the vicinity so that they can assist with resuscitation. We aimed to examine the performance of this application, challenges encountered, and future directions. Methods: We analyzed data from the myResponder app since its launch from April 2015 to July 2019. The number of installations, registered community first responders, suspected OHCA cases, notifications sent by the app, percentage of responders who accepted activation and arrived at scene were reviewed. A subgroup of taxi driving responders (within a 1.5-kilometer response radius) carrying an AED under a subsequent pilot program was also analyzed. Results: By July 2019, 46,689 responders were registered in the myResponder app. There were a total of 19,189 cases created for suspected OHCA, with a median of 358 cases per month (IQR 330-430), in which 10,073 responders accepted activation from myResponder and 4,955 arrived on-scene. A total of 135,599 notifications were sent for these cases, with a median of 7.1 notifications per case (IQR 4.3-8.7). In 2019, the percentages of responders who accepted notification and arrived on scene were 45.8% and 24.1%, respectively. 43% (1110/2581) of responders arrived before EMS crew. Conclusion: The myResponder mobile application is a feasible smart technology solution to improve community response to OHCA, and to increase bystander CPR and AED use. Future directions include increasing the number of active responders, improving response rates, app performance, and better data capture for quality improvement.

Singapore Basic Cardiac Life Support and Automated External Defibrillation Guidelines 2021.

Basic Cardiac Life Support and Automated External Defibrillation (BCLS+AED) refers to the skills required in resuscitating cardiac arrest casualties. On recognising cardiac arrest, the rescuer should call for '995' for Emergency Ambulance and immediately initiate chest compressions. Good-quality chest compressions are performed with arms extended, elbows locked, shoulders directly perpendicular over the casualty's chest, and the heel of the palm placed on the lower half of the sternum. The rescuer compresses hard and fast at 4-6 cm depth for adults at a compression rate of 100-120 per minute, with complete chest recoil after each compression. Two quick ventilations of 400-600 mL each can be delivered via a bag-valve-mask after every 30 chest compressions. Alternatively, a trained, able and willing rescuer can provide mouth-to-mouth ventilation. Cardiopulmonary resuscitation should be stopped only when the casualty wakes up, the emergency team takes over care, or when an automated external defibrillator prompts for heart rhythm analysis or delivery of a shock.

Singapore Advanced Cardiac Life Support Guidelines 2021.

Advanced cardiac life support (ACLS) emphasises the use of advanced airway management and ventilation, circulatory support and the appropriate use of drugs in resuscitation, as well as the identification of reversible causes of cardiac arrest. Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation and organ donation, as well as special circumstances including drowning, pulmonary embolism and pregnancy are addressed. Resuscitation does not end with ACLS but must continue in post-resuscitation care. ACLS also covers the recognition and management of unstable pre-arrest tachy- and bradydysrhythmias that may deteriorate further.

Beyond return of spontaneous circulation: update on post-cardiac arrest management in the intensive care unit.

A well-functioning chain of survival is critical for good outcomes following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, a major public health concern in Singapore. While the percentage of survivors to hospital admission has increased over the years, the percentage of survivors to hospital discharge and the number of patients with good neurological recovery can be greatly improved. This underscores the urgent need to focus on 'post-cardiac arrest care', the fifth link in the chain of survival, to improve the outcomes of patients who are admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) after return of spontaneous circulation. This review builds on earlier recommendations of the Singapore National Targeted Temperature Management Workgroup in 2017 to provide a focused update on post-cardiac arrest management and a practical guide for physicians managing resuscitated patients with cardiac arrest in the ICU.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Door-to-Balloon Time for Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention　- Results From the Singapore Western STEMI Network.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the effect of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the outbreak response measures on door-to-balloon time (D2B). This study examined both D2B and clinical outcomes of patients with STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI).Methods and Results:This was a retrospective study of 303 STEMI patients who presented directly or were transferred to a tertiary hospital in Singapore for PPCI from October 2019 to March 2020. We compared the clinical outcomes of patients admitted before (BOR) and during (DOR) the COVID-19 outbreak response. The study outcomes were in-hospital death, D2B, cardiogenic shock and 30-day readmission. For direct presentations, fewer patients in the DOR group achieved D2B time <90 min compared with the BOR group (71.4% vs. 80.9%, P=0.042). This was more apparent after exclusion of non-system delay cases (DOR 81.6% vs. BOR 95.9%, P=0.006). Prevalence of both out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (9.5% vs. 1.9%, P=0.003) and acute mitral regurgitation (31.6% vs. 17.5%, P=0.006) was higher in the DOR group. Mortality was similar between groups. Multivariable regression showed that longer D2B time was an independent predictor of death (odds ratio 1.005, 95% confidence interval 1.000-1.011, P=0.029). CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic and the outbreak response have had an adverse effect on PPCI service efficiency. The study reinforces the need to focus efforts on shortening D2B time, while maintaining infection control measures.

Improved Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival with a Comprehensive Dispatcher-Assisted CPR Program in a Developing Emergency Care System.

OBJECTIVE: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with poor survival. Studies have demonstrated improved survival with early bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (BCPR). This study evaluated the impact of a dispatcher-assisted CPR (DA-CPR) program on BCPR rate and outcomes of OHCA in a developing emergency medical services (EMS) system setting. METHODS: Data were extracted from the national cardiac arrest registry. A before-after analysis was performed between OHCA cases with cardiac etiology conveyed by EMS from April 2010-June 2012 (pre-intervention) and July 2012-December 2015 (post-intervention). Primary outcomes were survival-to-discharge/30 days post-arrest and favorable cerebral performance (Glasgow-Pittsburgh cerebral performance categories 1 and 2). RESULTS: 6365 OHCA cases were analyzed with 2129 in the pre-intervention and 4236 in the post-intervention group. In the post-intervention group, there was an increase in BCPR rates from 24.8% to 53.8% (p < 0.001), adjusted OR 3.67 (aOR; 95%CI: 3.26-4.13). OHCA outcomes also improved with survival-to-discharge rates increasing from 3.0%-4.5% (p < 0.01), aOR 2.10 (95%CI: 1.40-3.17) and favorable cerebral performance increasing from 1.6% to 2.7% (p < 0.05), aOR 2.82 (95%CI: 1.65-4.82). In patients with initial shockable rhythm, BCPR without dispatcher assistance was associated with significantly higher odds of survival-to-discharge (aOR 1.67, 95%CI: 1.06-2.64) and favorable cerebral performance (aOR 2.32, 95%CI: 1.26-4.27) compared to no BCPR. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that a simplified DA-CPR program can be successfully implemented in a developing EMS system and can contribute to higher BCPR rate and in turn, improve OHCA survival. Future studies can examine bystanders' characteristics and quality of the CPR performed to understand their impact on survival.