Sex and Psychosocial Differences in Acute Stress Symptoms Prior to Open-Heart Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Acute stress symptoms can occur while cardiac patients await open-heart surgery (OHS). The distress leads to poor outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the association of sex and psychosocial factors (quality-of-life and character strengths). METHOD: Our study cohort included 481 pre-OHS patients (female 42%; mean age 62 years). Medical indices/factors were obtained from the Society of Thoracic Surgeon's national database. Multiple regression analyses were performed following pre-planned steps and adjusting medical factors. RESULTS: Our findings revealed that sex differences in trauma-related symptoms were associated with poor mental well-being, alongside comorbidities. Both mental well-being and comorbidity factors were directly related to acute stress symptoms, while dispositional optimism had an inverse association with this outcome. CONCLUSION: To improve OHS outcomes, our findings suggest healthcare providers be attentive to pre-OHS acute stress symptoms, pay greater attention to the emotional well-being of their female patients, and develop supportive interventions to enhance personality strengths.

Cost-effectiveness of an in-development adult-formulated 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US adults aged 50 years or older.

Indirect effects of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) have diminished the cost-effectiveness of current adult vaccine recommendations. An in-development adult-formulated 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV21) may play a critical role in reducing pneumococcal illness by targeting a larger number of serotypes responsible for adult pneumococcal infections. This study assesses the cost-effectiveness of PCV21 in US adults aged 50 years or older compared with currently recommended pneumococcal vaccines, from both the societal and healthcare perspectives. A Markov model evaluated the lifetime cost-effectiveness of PCV21 (given at age 50 years only, at ages 50/65 years, and risk-based at ages < 65 years plus age-based at age 65 years) compared to no vaccination and to currently recommended pneumococcal vaccines given either as currently recommended or routinely at ages 50/65 years. The analysis was conducted in hypothetical Black and non-Black cohorts aged 50 years or older, with and without considering childhood pneumococcal vaccination indirect effects. Model parameters were based on US data. Parameter uncertainty was assessed using 1-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. From the societal perspective, PCV21 at ages 50/65 years compared to PCV21 at age 50 years cost $7,410 per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained in Black cohort analyses and $85,696/QALY gained in the non-Black cohort; PCV21 at ages 50/65 years had the most favorable public health outcomes. From the healthcare perspective, compared to no vaccination, PCV21 at age 50 years cost $46,213/QALY gained in the Black cohort and $86,629/QALY in non-Blacks. All other strategies were dominated in both cohorts and from both perspectives. When considering childhood pneumococcal vaccination indirect effects, costs of PCV21 at ages 50/65 years remained less than $140,000/QALY gained from the societal perspective in both populations. PCV21 is potentially cost-effective compared to currently approved pneumococcal vaccines in adults aged 50 years or older from both the societal and healthcare perspectives.

Pneumococcal Vaccination Strategies in 50-Year-Olds to Decrease Racial Disparities: A US Societal Perspective Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This study assesses the impact of expanding pneumococcal vaccination to all 50-year-olds to decrease racial disparities by estimating from the societal perspective, the cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) and 15-valent conjugate vaccine followed by 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PCV15/PPSV23) for 50-year-olds. METHODS: A Markov model compared the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23 in all general population 50- and 65-years-olds compared with current US recommendations and with no vaccination in US Black and non-Black cohorts. US data informed model parameters. Pneumococcal disease societal costs were estimated using direct and indirect costs of acute illness and of pneumococcal-related long-term disability and mortality. Hypothetical 50-year-old cohorts were followed over their lifetimes with costs and effectiveness discounted 3% per year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses assessed model uncertainty. RESULTS: In Black cohorts, PCV20 for all at ages 50 and 65 was the least costly strategy and had greater effectiveness than no vaccination and current recommendation strategies, whereas PCV15/PPSV23 at 50 and 65 cost more than $1 million per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared with PCV20 at 50 and 65. In non-Black cohorts, PCV20 at 50 and 65 cost $62 083/QALY and PCV15/PPSV23 at 50 and 65 cost more than $1 million/QALY with current recommendations, again being more costly and less effective. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, PCV20 at 50 and 65 was favored in 85.7% (Black) and 61.8% (non-Black) of model iterations at a $100 000/QALY gained willingness-to-pay threshold. CONCLUSIONS: When considering the societal costs of pneumococcal disease, PCV20 at ages 50 and 65 years in the general US population is a potentially economically viable strategy, particularly in Black cohorts.

Burden of employment loss and absenteeism in adults and caregivers of children with sickle cell disease.

ABSTRACT: Sickle cell disease (SCD) is a genetic disorder affecting 100 000 people with an estimated annual medical cost of $3 billion in the United States; however, the economic impact on patients is not well described. We aimed to examine the indirect economic burden and test the hypothesis that socioeconomic status and greater social vulnerability risks are associated with increased absenteeism and employment loss. We surveyed adults and caregivers of children with SCD at 5 US centers from 2014 to 2021. Logistic regression models were used to examine the associations of employment loss and missed days of work with demographics and social determinants. Indirect costs were estimated by multiplying the self-reported missed days of work and job loss by 2022 average wages by the state of the participating institution. Of the 244 participants, 10.3% reported employment loss in the last 5 years, and 17.5% reported missing 10 or more days of work. Adults had 3 times more employment loss compared with caregivers of children with SCD (OR, 3.18; 95% CI, 1.12-9.01) but fewer missed days of work (OR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.11-0.0.51). Participants who did not live with a partner reported increased employment loss (OR, 4.70; 95% CI, 1.04-21.17) and more missed days of work (OR, 4.58; 95% CI, 1.04-20.15). The estimated annual indirect economic burden was $2 266 873 ($9290 per participant). Adults with SCD and caregivers of children with SCD commonly report employment loss and missed days of work as important risk factors. The high indirect economic burden suggests that future economic evaluations of SCD should include SCD-related indirect economic burden.

Societal Cost of Racial Pneumococcal Disease Disparities in US Adults Aged 50 Years or Older.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the societal cost of racial disparities in pneumococcal disease among US adults aged ≥  50 years. METHODS: In a model-based analysis, societal costs of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and hospitalized nonbacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBP) were estimated using (1) direct medical costs plus indirect costs of acute illness; (2) indirect costs of pneumococcal mortality; and (3) direct and indirect costs of related disability. Disparities costs were calculated as differences in average per-person pneumococcal disease cost between Black and non-Black adults aged ≥  50 years multiplied by the Black population aged ≥  50 years. Costs were in 2019 US dollars (US$), with future costs discounted at 3% per year. RESULTS: Total direct and indirect costs per IPD case were US$186,791 in Black populations and US$182,689 in non-Black populations; total hospitalized NBP costs per case were US$100,632 (Black) and US$96,781 (non-Black). The difference in population per-person total pneumococcal disease costs between Black and non-Black adults was US$47.85. Combined societal costs of disparities for IPD and hospitalized NBP totaled US$673.2 million for Black adults aged ≥  50 years. Disease and disability risks, life expectancy, and case-fatality rates were influential in one-way sensitivity analyses, but the lowest cost across all analyses was US$194 million. The 95% probability range of racial disparity costs were US$227.2-US$1156.9 million in a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: US societal cost of racial pneumococcal disease disparities in persons aged ≥ 50 years is substantial. Successful pneumococcal vaccination policy and programmatic interventions to mitigate these disparities could decrease costs and improve health.

Comparing super-utilizers and lower-utilizers among commercial- and Medicare-insured adults with sickle cell disease.

ABSTRACT: Sickle cell disease (SCD) is a rare but costly condition in the United States. Super-utilizers have been defined as a subset of the population with high health care encounters or expenditures. Although super-utilizers have been described in other disease states, little is known about super-utilizers among adults with SCD. This study aimed to characterize the differences in expenditures, overall health care encounters, and pain episode encounters between super-utilizers (top 10% expenditures) and lower-utilizers with SCD (high, top 10%-24.9%; moderate, 25%-49.9%; and low, bottom 50% expenditures). A retrospective longitudinal cohort of adults with SCD were identified using validated algorithms in MarketScan and Medicare claim databases from 2016 to 2020. Encounters and expenditures were analyzed from inpatient, outpatient, and emergency department settings. Differences in encounters and expenditures between lower-utilizers and super-utilizers were compared using logistic regression. Among super-utilizers, differences in encounters and expenditures were compared according to incidences of pain episode encounters. The study population included 5666 patients with commercial insurance and 8600 with Medicare. Adjusted total annual health care expenditure was 43.46 times higher for super-utilizers than for low-utilizers among commercial-insured and 13.37 times higher in Medicare-insured patients. Among super-utilizers, there were patients with few pain episode encounters who had higher outpatient expenditures than patients with a high number of pain episode encounters. Our findings demonstrate the contribution of expensive outpatient care among SCD super-utilizers, in which analyses of high expenditure have largely focused on short-term care. Future studies are needed to better understand super-utilizers in the SCD population to inform the effective use of preventive interventions and/or curative therapies.

The association between cardiovascular disease and breast and gynecologic cancers among black female patients.

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about whether a breast or gynecologic cancer diagnosis increases long-term cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among Black females. The purpose of this study was to determine whether a breast or gynecologic cancer diagnosis is associated with CVD risk and identify determinants of subsequent CVD risk among Black females with an incident breast or gynecologic cancer diagnosis. METHODS: Using the Southern Community Cohort Study data from 2002-2016, this study was designed to analyze CVD incidence among Black females without cancer or CVD at enrollment. Cox proportional hazards regression models with or without covariates were used to explore the relationship between a breast or gynecologic cancer diagnosis and CVD risk among women without cancer as well as without CVD at enrollment (N=11,486). In addition, Cox proportional hazards regression models, excluding those who developed CVD before breast and gynecologic cancer diagnosis and those with other types of cancers, were used to assess determinants of CVD risk among breast and gynecologic cancer survivors. RESULTS: Of 11,486 Black females, 531 developed a breast or gynecological cancer (4.6%) over a median follow-up of 140 months (interquartile range: 123-159 months). Compared to women without cancer, women with a breast or gynecological cancers had greater than 20% higher risk of incident CVD during the follow-up period. Without adjusting for covariates, positive association between CVD risk and breast cancer was observed (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.11 - 1.39; p < 0.001); as well as between CVD risk and a gynecological cancer (HR = 1.23; 95% CI = 1.03 - 1.46; p = 0.021). Yet, after adjusting for covariates, CVD risk was only significantly associated with breast cancer (p = 0.001) but not gynecologic cancer. In cancer case-only analyses, CVD risk was significantly increasing with age (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Like study populations of predominantly White females, our results suggest that, adjusting for covariates, Black females possess a higher risk of CVD following a breast cancer diagnosis compared to women who did not develop breast cancer. Our results suggest a need for active CVD surveillance in the cancer survivorship phase.

Cost-effectiveness of an in-development adult-formulated pneumococcal vaccine in older US adults.

INTRODUCTION: CDC pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for older adults now include either 15- or 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15/PCV20). However, an in-development 21-valent vaccine (PCV21), formulated based on adult pneumococcal disease epidemiology, could substantially increase coverage of disease-causing pneumococcal serotypes, particularly in Black older adults, who are at greater risk. The potential public health impact and cost-effectiveness of PCV21 compared to currently recommended vaccines in older adults is unclear. METHODS: A Markov decision model compared current pneumococcal vaccination recommendations to PCV21 use in Black and non-Black 65-year-old cohorts. CDC Active Bacterial Core surveillance data informed population and serotype-specific pneumococcal disease risk. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated using Delphi panel estimates and clinical trial data, with variation in sensitivity analyses. Potential indirect effects on adult disease from PCV15 childhood vaccination were examined. All model parameters were varied individually and collectively in sensitivity analyses. Scenarios with decreased PCV21 effectiveness and potential COVID-19 pandemic effects were also examined. RESULTS: In the Black cohort, the PCV21 strategy cost $88,478 per quality adjusted life-year (QALY) gained without and $97,952/QALY with childhood PCV15 indirect effects. PCV21 in the non-Black cohort cost $127,436/QALY gained without and $141,358/QALY with childhood PCV15 effects. Current recommendation strategies were economically unfavorable, regardless of population or indirect childhood vaccination effects. Results favoring PCV21 use were robust in sensitivity analyses and alternative scenarios. CONCLUSION: An in-development PCV21 vaccine would likely be economically and clinically favorable compared to currently recommended pneumococcal vaccines in older adults. While PCV21 was more favorable in Black cohort analyses, results for both Black and non-Black populations were economically reasonable, highlighting the potential importance of adult-specific pneumococcal vaccine formulations and, pending further investigation, potentially justifying a future general population recommendation for PCV21 use in older adults.

Psychosocial Factors Associated With Physical Activity Among Low-Income Overweight or Obese Mothers with Young Children.

PURPOSE: Investigate the associations between psychosocial factors and physical activity. DESIGN: Secondary data analysis utilizing baseline data of a large-scale community-based randomized controlled lifestyle behavior intervention. SETTING: The Special Supplemental Program for Women, Infants, and Children in Michigan, USA. SUBJECTS: Low-income overweight or obese mothers with young children (N = 740, 65% response rate). MEASURES: Survey data were collected via phone interview. Predictors included self-efficacy, autonomous motivation, emotional coping, and social support. Self-reported leisure physical activity was the outcome variable. Covariates were age, race, smoking, employment, education, body mass index, and postpartum status. ANALYSIS: A multiple linear regression model was applied. RESULTS: Self-efficacy (ß = .32, 95% CI = .11, .52, P = .003) and autonomous motivation (ß = .10, 95% CI = .03, .17, P = .005) were positively associated with physical activity. However, emotional coping and social support were not associated with physical activity. CONCLUSION: Future research should examine the longitudinal association of key psychosocial factors with physical activity.

Cost-effectiveness of revised US pneumococcal vaccination recommendations in underserved minority adults < 65-years-old.

BACKGROUND: The 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV15/PCV20) were recently recommended for US adults, giving either PCV20 alone or PCV15 followed by 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) to all 65 + -year-olds and to high-risk younger adults. However, general population recommendations to vaccinate all 50-year-olds could reduce racial pneumococcal disease disparities given greater risk in underserved minority populations. METHODS: A Markov model examining hypothetical 50-year-old Black cohorts (serving as a proxy for underserved minorities) and non-Black cohorts estimated the incremental cost effectiveness of US adult pneumococcal vaccination recommendations compared to PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23 for all 50-year-olds with no vaccination thereafter, or PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23 for all at ages 50 and 65 years (50/65). Model parameters came from US databases, clinical trials, and Delphi panels. Cohorts were followed over their lifetimes from a healthcare perspective discounted at 3 %/year. RESULTS: PCV15/PPSV23 given at ages 50/65 had greatest public health impact. In Black cohorts, PCV15/PPSV23 at age 50 cost $104,723/quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared to PCV20 at age 50, while PCV15/PPSV23 at 50/65 cost $240,952/QALY gained compared to PCV15/PPSV23 at age 50. Both current recommendation options were more expensive and less effective than other strategies in both cohorts. In sensitivity analyses, age-based PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23 use at ages 50 or 50/65 could be favorable depending on vaccine effectiveness or differential vaccine uptake, while current recommendations remained unfavorable. CONCLUSION: Recent risk-based US adult pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for adults < 65-years-old, were economically and clinically unfavorable compared to general population vaccination of all 50-year-olds in Black and non-Black cohorts. An age-based pneumococcal vaccination recommendation at age 50 years may reduce inequities in pneumococcal disease burden.

Cost-Effectiveness of Newly Recommended Pneumococcal Vaccination Strategies in Older Underserved Minority Adults in the USA.

INTRODUCTION: US pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for adults aged 65 years or older recently changed, with options for either 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) or the combination of 15-valent conjugate vaccine (PCV15) followed by 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) 1 year later. Underserved minority adults are at higher risk for pneumococcal disease. METHODS: A Markov decision analysis model estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness of the newly adopted general population pneumococcal vaccination strategies in older underserved minority adults. The model examined hypothetical 65-year-old US Black cohorts (serving as a proxy for underserved minorities) and non-Black cohorts receiving PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23, or no vaccination. Main outcome measures included incremental cost-effectiveness per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained and pneumococcal disease public health outcomes. RESULTS: Black cohorts had a greater risk of pneumococcal disease hospitalization compared to non-Black cohorts. In Black cohorts, total per person PCV20 strategy costs, compared to no vaccination, were $124 higher while gaining 0.00073 QALY, or $169,540/QALY gained. PCV15/PPSV23 cost $535,797/QALY compared to PCV20. In the non-Black cohort, PCV20 cost $210,529/QALY gained compared to no vaccination and PCV15/PPSV23 cost $728,423/QALY. Plausible variation of vaccine effectiveness minimally affected PCV20 strategy results and made PCV15/PPSV23 more unfavorable. In scenarios where the simpler one-vaccine PCV20 strategy increased absolute vaccine uptake by 10%, PCV20 cost-effectiveness changed minimally while PCV15/PPSV23 cost in excess of $6 million/QALY in the Black cohort. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses that varied all parameters simultaneously, PCV15/PPSV23 was unlikely to be favored at thresholds less than $500,000/QALY gained. CONCLUSION: General population recommendations for PCV20 use are substantially more economically reasonable in Black and non-Black older adult populations than PCV15/PPSV23. If using a single vaccine increases uptake, which is potentially more likely in the underserved, then PCV20 use becomes even more favorable.

Factors Associated with Beverage Intake in Low-Income, Overweight, or Obese Pregnant Women.

This study examined consumption proportions and factors associated with sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), artificially sweetened beverages (ASBs), and 100% fruit juice (FJ) consumption. We recruited Non-Hispanic Black (n = 136) and White (n = 192) low-income overweight or obese pregnant women aged 18 to 46 years (mean = 25.7 years) from the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children clinics in Michigan, USA. Independent variables included weight status, trimester, smoking, stress, education, employment, race, and age. Dependent variables were high (consuming ≥ 1 serving/day) versus low consumptions of SSB, ASB, and 100% FJ. Multivariate logistic regression modeling was performed to examine factors associated with beverage consumption. Out of the sample, 48.2%, 6.7%, and 31.3% reported high SSB, ASB, and 100% FJ consumption, respectively. SSB consumption was associated with smoking (OR: 3.77, p < 0.001), education (OR: 0.57, p = 0.03), and race (OR: 1.69, p = 0.03). Artificially sweetened beverage consumption was not associated with any factors examined. One hundred percent FJ consumption was associated with stress (OR: 0.90, p = 0.03) and race (OR: 4.48, p < 0.001). Clinicians may advocate for reductions in SSB and 100% FJ consumption tailored to client consumption characteristics.

Factors Associated with Home Food Environment in Low-Income Overweight or Obese Pregnant Women.

Limited research has examined factors associated with home food availability. This study investigated the associations among demographics, body mass index category, stress, and home food availability among low-income overweight or obese pregnant women. This cross-sectional study enrolled 332 participants who were non-Hispanic black or white. We performed logistic regression modeling for unprocessed food, processed food, overall ultra-processed food, and three subcategories of ultra-processed food (salty snacks, sweet snacks and candies, and soda). Black women were less likely than white women to have large amounts of processed foods (OR = 0.56), salty snacks (OR = 0.61), and soda (OR = 0.49) available at home. Women with at least some college education or at least a college education were more likely to have large amounts of unprocessed food (OR = 2.58, OR = 4.38 respectively) but less likely to have large amounts of soda (OR = 0.44; OR = 0.22 respectively) available at home than their counterparts. Women with higher stress were less likely to have large amounts of unprocessed food available at home (OR = 0.58) than those with lower stress. Home food availability varied by race, education, and levels of stress in low-income overweight or obese pregnant women.

Economic evaluation of regular transfusions for cerebral infarct recurrence in the Silent Cerebral Infarct Transfusion Trial.

In 2020, the American Society of Hematology published evidence-based guidelines for cerebrovascular disease in individuals with sickle cell anemia (SCA). Although the guidelines were based on National Institutes of Health-sponsored randomized controlled trials, no cost-effectiveness analysis was completed for children with SCA and silent cerebral infarcts. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis comparing regular blood transfusion vs standard care using SIT (Silent Cerebral Infarct Transfusion) Trial participants. This analysis included a modified societal perspective with direct costs (hospitalization, emergency department visit, transfusion, outpatient care, and iron chelation) and indirect costs (special education). Direct medical costs were estimated from hospitalizations from SIT hospitals and unlinked aggregated hospital and outpatient costs from SIT sites by using the Pediatric Health Information System. Indirect costs were estimated from published literature. Effectiveness was prevention of infarct recurrence. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio using a 3-year time horizon (mean SIT Trial participant follow-up) compared transfusion vs standard care. A total of 196 participants received transfusions (n = 90) or standard care (n = 106), with a mean age of 10.0 years. Annual hospitalization costs were reduced by 54% for transfusions vs standard care ($4929 vs $10 802), but transfusion group outpatient costs added $22 454 to $137 022 per year. Special education cost savings were $2634 over 3 years for every infarct prevented. Transfusion therapy had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $22 025 per infarct prevented. Children with preexisting silent cerebral infarcts receiving blood transfusions had lower hospitalization costs but higher outpatient costs, primarily associated with the oral iron chelator deferasirox. Regular blood transfusion therapy is cost-effective for infarct recurrence in children with SCA. This trial is registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT00072761.

Higher-Valency Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines: An Exploratory Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in U.S. Seniors.

INTRODUCTION: Use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in nonimmunocompromised adults aged ≥65 years is controversial. Higher-valency conjugate vaccines (15-valent and 20-valent ) are under development; their potential cost effectiveness in older adults is unknown, particularly when potential indirect (herd immunity) effects from childhood vaccination are considered. METHODS: A Markov model estimated the cost effectiveness of current U.S. recommendations and alternative strategies using currently available and in-development pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in seniors. Separately, strategies using a hypothetical 20-valent vaccine adding the 7 most common disease-causing non-13-valent vaccine serotypes were considered. Sensitivity analyses were performed and alternative scenarios were examined. Data were gathered and the analyses were performed in 2020. RESULTS: In analyses considering only existing and in-development vaccines, sole 20-valent vaccine use cost $172,491/quality-adjusted life year gained compared with current U.S. recommendations under baseline assumptions (equal serotype effectiveness and no childhood vaccination indirect effects). Strategies using 15-valent vaccine were more costly and less effective. When 13-valent/20-valent vaccines were assumed ineffective against pneumococcal serotype 3 and 15-valent vaccine was fully effective, 15-valent vaccine cost $237,431/quality-adjusted life year gained. With indirect effects considered, 15-valent or 20-valent vaccine cost >$449,000/quality-adjusted life year gained. When adding hypothetical 20-valent vaccine under baseline assumptions, hypothetical 20-valent vaccine cost $139,348/quality-adjusted life year gained. CONCLUSIONS: In-development pneumococcal conjugate vaccines may be economically unreasonable in older adults, regardless of serotype effectiveness assumptions, particularly when considering potential indirect effects from use of those vaccines in children. Adult vaccines containing high-risk serotypes not contained in childhood vaccines may be more promising.

Should older adult pneumococcal vaccination recommendations change due to decreased vaccination in children during the pandemic? A cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic is causing declines in childhood immunization rates. We examined potential COVID-19-related changes in pediatric 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) use, subsequent impact on childhood and adult pneumococcal disease rates, and how those changes might affect the favorability of PCV13 use in non-immunocompromised adults aged ≥65 years. METHODS: A Markov model estimated pediatric disease resulting from decreased PCV13 use in children aged <5 years; absolute decreases from 10 to 50% for 1-2 years duration were examined, assuming no catch-up vaccination and that decreased vaccination led to proportionate increases in PCV13 serotype pneumococcal disease in children and seniors. Integrating pediatric model output into a second Markov model examining 65-year-olds, we estimated the cost effectiveness of older adult pneumococcal vaccination strategies while accounting for potential epidemiologic changes from decreased pediatric vaccination. RESULTS: One year of 10-50% absolute decreases in PCV13 use in <5-year-olds increased pneumococcal disease by an estimated 4-19% in seniors; 2 years of decreased use increased senior rates by 8-38%. In seniors, a >53% increase in pneumococcal disease was required to favor PCV13 use in non-immunocompromised seniors at a $200,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained threshold, which corresponded to absolute decreases in pediatric PCV13 vaccination of >50% over a 2-year period. In sensitivity analyses, senior PCV13 vaccination was unfavorable if absolute decreases in pediatric PCV13 receipt were within plausible ranges, despite model assumptions favoring PCV13 use in seniors. CONCLUSION: COVID-19-related decreases in pediatric PCV13 use would need to be both substantial and prolonged to make heightened PCV13 use in non-immunocompromised seniors economically favorable.

Is further research on adult pneumococcal vaccine uptake improvement programs worthwhile? Α value of information analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal vaccination policy for US adults is evolving, but previous research has shown that programs to increase vaccine uptake are economically favorable, despite parameter uncertainty. Using value of information (VOI) analysis and prior analyses, we examine the value of further research on vaccine uptake program parameters. METHODS: In US 50-64-year-olds, current vaccine recommendations with and without an uptake program were analyzed. In older adults, current recommendations and an alternative strategy (polysaccharide vaccine for all, adding conjugate vaccine only for the immunocompromised) with and without uptake programs were examined. Uptake program parameters were derived from a clinical trial (absolute uptake increase 12.3% [range 0-25%], per-person cost $1.78 [range $0.70-$2.26]), with other parameters obtained from US databases. VOI analyses incorporated probabilistic sensitivity analysis outputs into R-based regression techniques. RESULTS: In 50-64-year-olds, an uptake program cost $54,900/QALY gained compared to no uptake program. For ages ≥65, the program cost $287,000/QALY gained with the alternative strategy and $765,000/QALY with current recommendations. In younger adults, population-level expected value of perfect information (EVPI) was $59.7 million at $50,000/QALY gained and $2.8 million at $100,000/QALY gained. In older adults, EVPI values ranged from ~$1 million to $34.5 million at $100,000 and $200,000/QALY thresholds. The population expected value of partial perfect information (EVPPI) for combined uptake program cost and uptake improvement parameters in the younger population was $368,700 at $50,000/QALY and $43,900 at $100,000/QALY gained thresholds. In older adults, population EVPPI for vaccine uptake program parameters was $0 at both thresholds, reaching a maximum value of $445,000 at a $225,000/QALY threshold. Other model parameters comprised larger components of the global EVPI. CONCLUSION: VOI results do not support further research on pneumococcal vaccine uptake programs in adults at commonly cited US cost-effectiveness benchmarks. Further research to reduce uncertainty in other aspects of adult pneumococcal vaccination is justifiable.

Awareness and Use of Contraceptive Methods and Perceptions of Long-Acting Reversible Contraception Among White and Non-White Women.

Background: Unintended pregnancies continue to account for half of all pregnancies in the United States, primarily due to incorrect or inconsistent use of contraception methods. Long-acting reversible contraception (LARC) methods are safe and highly effective, yet underutilized. Low uptake of LARC may be due to inadequate education, misconceptions, and cultural factors such as race, ethnicity, or religion. This study examined racial differences in contraceptive awareness and use among women seeking care at family health centers. Materials and Methods: Focus groups were used to identify recurrent themes in contraceptive choice of participants and develop a survey, completed by nonpregnant female patients 18-45 years of age from seven family health centers. Results: Among a total of 465 participants, 210 (46.2%) of whom were non-white, awareness of most types of birth control was generally high. Awareness of all types of contraceptives was significantly higher among white than non-white women (p < 0.001). Across most types of contraceptives, use was significantly higher among white women than non-white women with the exception of injectable hormones which were used significantly more often by non-white women (46.0% vs. 28.5%; p < 0.001). Reasons for using LARC did not vary by type nor by race but reasons for not using LARC varied by race and by specific method. Conclusions: Differing patterns of awareness, use, and perceptions of contraceptive methods between white and non-white women were revealed. By understanding factors that influence contraceptive awareness, use, and perceptions, clinicians can better address the contraceptive needs and concerns of their female patients. Clinical Trial # NCT03486743.