Impact of the addition of bevacizumab, oxaliplatin, or irinotecan to fluoropyrimidin in the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer in elderly patients.

INTRODUCTION: The clinical benefit of double-front-line therapy (including oxaliplatin or irinotecan or bevacizumab plus 5-fluorouracil (5FU) or capecitabine) compared to monotherapy (5FU or capecitabine) in elderly (> 70 years) patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (MCRC) is controversial. We performed a meta-analysis of published randomized studies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The selection of the studies was carried out using PubMed with the following keywords: "metastatic colorectal cancer," "elderly," "oxaliplatin," "irinotecan," "bevacizumab," "survival." The efficacy endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Hazard ratios (HRs) with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were collected from the studies and pooled. By convention, an HR < 1 was a result in favor of biotherapy. RESULTS: This meta-analysis (MA) included ten studies: three assessing irinotecan (FFCD 2001-02, CAIRO, and an already published MA by Folprecht), three assessing oxaliplatin (FOCUS2, FFCD 2000-05, and a published study by De Gramont), and four assessing bevacizumab (PRODIGE-20, AVEX, AGITG-MAX, and "AVF2192g" by Kabbinavar). Our MA included 1652 patients (62% of men). Concerning age, we chose a cut-off of 70 years or a cut-off of 75 years, corresponding to the available data for each study. The performance index (PS) was 0-1 for about 90% of patients, with the exception of FFCD 2001-02 and FOCUS2 which included 30% of patients with PS2. Overall, the addition of bevacizumab to fluoropyrimidin statistically improves both OS and PFS (HR = 0.78; CI 0.63-0.96 and HR = 0.55; CI 0.44-0.67, respectively). The addition of oxaliplatin did not statistically improve OS (= 0.99; CI 0.85-1.17) but improves PFS (HR = 0.81; CI 0.67-0.97) as well as the addition of irinotecan (HR = 1.01; CI 0.84-1.22 and HR = 0.82; CI 0.68-1.00, respectively). CONCLUSION: In previously untreated elderly patients with MCRC, the addition of bevacizumab to fluoropyrimidin appears more effective in terms of OS or PFS than the addition of oxaliplatin or irinotecan.

Aspirin versus placebo in stage III or high-risk stage II colon cancer with PIK3CA mutation: A French randomised double-blind phase III trial (PRODIGE 50-ASPIK).

Oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy is standard of care for radically resected stage III colon cancer and an accepted option for high-risk stage II. Two recent retrospective studies strongly suggested that low-dose aspirin used (100 mg/d) after surgical resection of colorectal cancer with a PIK3CA mutation could act as a targeted therapy with a major protective effect on the risk of recurrence. We propose a double-blind randomized phase III study to evaluate aspirin (100 mg/d during 3 years or until recurrence) versus placebo. Main inclusion criteria are patients aged 18 or 20, stage III or high risk stage II. The primary endpoint of the study is 3-year disease-free survival (DFS). Hypotheses are to improve 3-years DFS from placebo: 72% to aspirin: 83% (HR = 0.56). 94 events and 264 patients with PIK3CA mutation are required. The secondary endpoints are DFS at 5 years, the overall survival rate at 5 years, grade 3-4 severe bleeding.

Geriatric factors analyses from FFCD 2001-02 phase III study of first-line chemotherapy for elderly metastatic colorectal cancer patients.

AIM: Several predictors of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) outcomes have been described. Specific geriatric characteristics could be of interest to determine prognosis. METHOD: Elderly patients (75+) with previously untreated mCRC were randomly assigned to receive infusional 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy, either alone (FU) or in combination with irinotecan (IRI). Geriatric evaluations were included as an optional procedure. The predictive value of geriatric parameters was determined for the objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: From June 2003 to May 2010, the FFCD 2001-02 randomised trial enrolled 282 patients. A baseline geriatric evaluation was done in 123 patients; 62 allocated to the FU arm and 61 to the IRI arm. The baseline Charlson index was ≤1 in 75%, Mini-Mental State Examination was ≤27/30 in 31%, Geriatric Depression Scale was >2 in 10% and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) was impaired in 34% of the patients. Multivariate analyses revealed that no geriatric parameter was predictive for ORR or PFS. Normal IADL was independently associated with better OS. The benefit of doublet chemotherapy on PFS differed in subgroups of patients ≤80 years, with unresected primary tumour, leucocytes >11,000 mm3 and carcinoembryonic antigen >2N. There was a trend towards better OS in patients with normal IADL. CONCLUSION: The autonomy score was an independent predictor for OS. A trend toward a better efficacy of doublet chemotherapy in some subgroups of patients was reported and should be further explored.

High-Dose FOLFIRI plus Bevacizumab in the Treatment of Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients with Two Different UGT1A1 Genotypes: FFCD 0504 Study.

High-dose FOLFIRI has an acceptable safety profile and promising efficacy. UDP-glucuronosyltransferase: (UGT1A1) polymorphism may be predictive of toxicity and efficacy of irinotecan. This phase II study aimed to evaluate the combination of high-dose FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab in patients with previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer (MCRC) based on their UGT1A1 genotype. Patients with the UGT1A1 *1/*1 (group 1) or *1/*28 (group 2) genotype received bevacizumab plus high-dose FOLFIRI every 2 weeks. Using the Bryant and Day design with objective response rate and toxicity as the primary endpoints, 54 patients in each group were required with a planned interim analysis after inclusion of 17 patients per group. We planned to stop the trial at the interim analysis if ≤ 7 patients exhibited an objective response (OR) and/or ≥ 3 patients exhibited severe toxicity. At the interim analysis, ORs were higher than the number expected: 52.9% (group 1) and 58.8% (group 2). More than three toxic events occurred in both groups and, according to the interim analysis rule, the trial was closed due to unacceptable toxicity. Recruitment was stopped when 86 patients were included and an analysis on overall population was done for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The median PFS was 10.7 months (group 1) and 10.4 months (group 2). The median OS was 25.5 months (group 1) and 23.9 months (group 2). This trial does not support the use of the intensive treatment with HD-FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab combination for MCRC in patients with the UGTA1*1/UGT1A1*1 or UGT1A1*1/UGT1A1*28 genotype.

Impact of neoadjuvant chemoradiation on lymph node status in esophageal cancer: post hoc analysis of a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: The study objectives were to analyze the impact of the number of lymph nodes (LNs) reported as resected (NLNr) and the number of LNs invaded (NLNi) on the prognosis of esophageal cancer (EC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. BACKGROUND: Pathological LN status is a major disease prognostic factor and marker of surgical quality. The impact of neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) on LN status remains poorly studied in EC. METHODS: Post hoc analysis from a phase III randomized controlled trial comparing nCRT and surgery (group nCRT) to surgery alone (group S) in stage I and II EC (NCT00047112). Only patients who underwent surgical resection were considered (n = 170). RESULTS: nCRT resulted in tumoral downstaging (pT0, 40.7% vs 1.1%, P < 0.001), LN downstaging (pN0, 69.1% vs 47.2%, P = 0.016), and reduction in the median NLNr [16.0 (range, 0-47.0) vs 22.0 (range, 3.0-58.0), P = 0.001] and NLNi [0 (range, 0-25) vs 1.0 (range, 0-25), P = 0.001]. A good histological response (TRG1/2) in the resected esophageal specimen correlated with reduced median NLNi [0 (range, 0-10) vs 1.0 (range, 0-4), P = 0.007]. After adjustment by treatment, NLNi [hazards ratio (HR) (1-3 vs 0) 3.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.3-5.5, and HR (>3 vs 0) 3.5, 95% CI: 2.0-6.2, P < 0.001] correlated with prognosis, whereas NLNr [HR (<15 vs ≥15) 0.95, 95% CI: 0.6-1.4, P = 0.807 and HR (<23 vs ≥23) 1.4, 95% CI: 0.9-2.0, P = 0.131] did not. In Poisson regression analysis, nCRT was an independent predictive variable for reduced NLNr [exp(coefficient) 0.80, 95% CI: 0.66-0.96, P = 0.018]. CONCLUSIONS: nCRT is not only responsible for disease downstaging but also predicts fewer LNs being identified after surgical resection for EC. This has implications for the current quality criteria for surgical resection.

Prospective, randomized, multicenter, phase III study of fluorouracil, leucovorin, and irinotecan versus epirubicin, cisplatin, and capecitabine in advanced gastric adenocarcinoma: a French intergroup (Fédération Francophone de Cancérologie Digestive, Fédération Nationale des Centres de Lutte Contre le Cancer, and Groupe Coopérateur Multidisciplinaire en Oncologie) study.

PURPOSE: To compare epirubicin, cisplatin, and capecitabine (ECX) with fluorouracil, leucovorin, and irinotecan (FOLFIRI) as first-line treatments in patients with advanced gastric or esophagogastric junction (EGJ) adenocarcinoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This open, randomized, phase III study was carried out in 71 centers. Patients with locally advanced or metastatic gastric or EGJ cancer were randomly assigned to receive either ECX as first-line treatment (ECX arm) or FOLFIRI (FOLFIRI arm). Second-line treatment was predefined (FOLFIRI for the ECX arm and ECX for the FOLFIRI arm). The primary criterion was time-to-treatment failure (TTF) of the first-line therapy. Secondary criteria were progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), toxicity, and quality of life. RESULTS: In all, 416 patients were included (median age, 61.4 years; 74% male). After a median follow-up of 31 months, median TTF was significantly longer with FOLFIRI than with ECX (5.1 v 4.2 months; P = .008). There was no significant difference between the two groups in median PFS (5.3 v 5.8 months; P = .96), median OS (9.5 v 9.7 months; P = .95), or response rate (39.2% v 37.8%). First-line FOLFIRI was better tolerated (overall rate of grade 3 to 4 toxicity, 69% v 84%; P < .001; hematologic adverse events [AEs], 38% v 64.5%; P < .001; nonhematologic AEs: 53% v 53.5%; P = .81). CONCLUSION: FOLFIRI as first-line treatment for advanced gastric and EGJ cancer demonstrated significantly better TTF than did ECX. Other outcome results indicate that FOLFIRI is an acceptable first-line regimen in this setting and should be explored as a backbone regimen for targeted agents.

Surgery alone versus chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery for stage I and II esophageal cancer: final analysis of randomized controlled phase III trial FFCD 9901.

PURPOSE: Although often investigated in locally advanced esophageal cancer (EC), the impact of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in early stages is unknown. The aim of this multicenter randomized phase III trial was to assess whether NCRT improves outcomes for patients with stage I or II EC. METHODS: The primary end point was overall survival. Secondary end points were disease-free survival, postoperative morbidity, in-hospital mortality, R0 resection rate, and prognostic factor identification. From June 2000 to June 2009, 195 patients in 30 centers were randomly assigned to surgery alone (group S; n = 97) or NCRT followed by surgery (group CRT; n = 98). CRT protocol was 45 Gy in 25 fractions over 5 weeks with two courses of concomitant chemotherapy composed of fluorouracil 800 mg/m(2) and cisplatin 75 mg/m(2). We report the long-term results of the final analysis, after a median follow-up of 93.6 months. RESULTS: Pretreatment disease was stage I in 19.0%, IIA in 53.3%, and IIB in 27.7% of patients. For group CRT compared with group S, R0 resection rate was 93.8% versus 92.1% (P = .749), with 3-year overall survival rate of 47.5% versus 53.0% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.99; 95% CI, 0.69 to 1.40; P = .94) and postoperative mortality rate of 11.1% versus 3.4% (P = .049), respectively. Because interim analysis of the primary end point revealed an improbability of demonstrating the superiority of either treatment arm (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.75 to 1.59; P = .66), the trial was stopped for anticipated futility. CONCLUSION: Compared with surgery alone, NCRT with cisplatin plus fluorouracil does not improve R0 resection rate or survival but enhances postoperative mortality in patients with stage I or II EC.

Feasibility of preoperative and postoperative chemoradiotherapy in gastric adenocarcinoma. Two phase II studies done in parallel. Fédération Francophone de Cancérologie Digestive 0308.

BACKGROUND: For resectable gastric cancer, both postoperative chemoradiotherapy and perioperative chemotherapy demonstrate high-level evidence for improved survival in Western populations. To evaluate the feasibility of pre- or postoperative chemoradiotherapy, we proposed two multicentre phase II studies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with localised, histologically confirmed gastric cancer and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status <2 judged suitable for curative resection were eligible. Eligible patients were assigned to either preoperative chemoradiotherapy followed by surgical resection or surgical resection followed by chemoradiotherapy depending on each centre. Chemoradiotherapy regimen included four courses of FOLFIRI (5 Fluorouracil, Leucovorin, Irinotecan) regimen then Concurrent fluorouracil at 200 mg/m2/d by continuous infusion 5 days each week. A dose of 50 Gy in 25 fractions in the preoperative study, or 45 Gy in 25 fractions in the postoperative study, was delivered. The primary end-point for both studies was the proportion of patients, who completed the therapeutic sequence. RESULTS: Between September 2007 and January 2010, 63 patients were included in both studies. The postoperative study was stopped for futility at the first step. In the preoperative study, 31 patients (73.8%, confidence interval (CI) 95%: 65.8-90.1%) received complete therapeutic sequence. Serum albumin and dietary restriction evaluated by QLQ-STO22 (Quality of Life-Stomach module) score were significantly linked with chemoradiotherapy feasibility in univariate analysis with respectively Odds-ratio (OR) 1.16 [CI 95%: 1.01-1.33] and 0.17 [0.03-0.89], p=0.04. Median overall survival time was 26.4 months in the preoperative study. CONCLUSION: Feasibility of chemoradiotherapy was not achieved for these studies: 73.8% (CI 95%: 65.8-90.1) and 42.9% (CI 95%: 21.8-66%) in preoperative and postoperative settings respectively.

Animal manure application and soil organic carbon stocks: a meta-analysis.

The impact of animal manure application on soil organic carbon (SOC) stock changes is of interest for both agronomic and environmental purposes. There is a specific need to quantify SOC change for use in national greenhouse gas (GHG) emission inventories. We quantified the response of SOC stocks to manure application from a large worldwide pool of individual studies and determined the impact of explanatory factors such as climate, soil properties, land use and manure characteristics. Our study is based on a meta-analysis of 42 research articles totaling 49 sites and 130 observations in the world. A dominant effect of cumulative manure-C input on SOC response was observed as this factor explained at least 53% of the variability in SOC stock differences compared to mineral fertilized or unfertilized reference treatments. However, the effects of other determining factors were not evident from our data set. From the linear regression relating cumulative C inputs and SOC stock difference, a global manure-C retention coefficient of 12% ± 4 (95% Confidence Interval, CI) could be estimated for an average study duration of 18 years. Following an approach comparable to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we estimated a relative SOC change factor of 1.26 ± 0.14 (95% CI) which was also related to cumulative manure-C input. Our results offer some scope for the refinement of manure retention coefficients used in crop management guidelines and for the improvement of SOC change factors for national GHG inventories by taking into account manure-C input. Finally, this study emphasizes the need to further document the long-term impact of manure characteristics such as animal species, especially pig and poultry, and manure management systems, in particular liquid vs. solid storage.

Randomised controlled trial of lipiodol transarterial chemoembolisation with or without amiodarone for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: There is no consensus about the most effective method for transarterial chemoembolisation of hepatocellular carcinoma. AIM: The aim of this phase II trial was to compare the efficacy and toxicity of lipiodol transarterial chemoembolisation with amiodarone in association with pirarubicin or doxorubicin versus lipiodol transarterial chemoembolisation with anthracycline alone in a control group. METHODS: Patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma and Child-Pugh A/B7 were considered eligible for the trial. transarterial chemoembolisation was repeated every 6 weeks for a maximum of 4 sessions. RESULTS: Thirteen patients were randomised in the amiodarone group, and 14 were randomised in the control group. The two groups were comparable with respect to their baseline characteristics. The objective response rate according to the EASL criteria was 62% (95% CI 35-88) in the amiodarone group and 50% (95% CI 24-76) in the control group. At 1 and 2 years, survival rates were 77% (95% CI 44-92) and 52% (95% CI 22-75) in the amiodarone group, and 57% (95% CI 28-78) and 40% (95% CI 15-65) in the control group, respectively. There was no difference between the two groups in terms of toxicity. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that lipiodol transarterial chemoembolisation with anthracycline and amiodarone was safe but did not increase survival compared with lipiodol transarterial chemoembolisation with anthracycline alone in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Effect of amifostine on survival among patients treated with radiotherapy: a meta-analysis of individual patient data.

PURPOSE: Controversy exists regarding whether or not amifostine might reduce the efficacy of cancer treatment. The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the impact of amifostine on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients treated with radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Updated data from individual patients with non-small-cell lung cancer, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, and pelvic cancer treated with radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy and randomly assigned to amifostine or not were included. The primary end point was OS. RESULTS: Twenty-two randomized trials (2279 patients) were potentially eligible. Data were available for 16 trials (1554 patients), but four trials (435 patients) were excluded after data checking. Ultimately 12 trials and 1119 patients were analyzed. A total of 431 patients were treated with radiotherapy alone (three trials), and 688 patients were treated with chemoradiotherapy (nine trials). Thirty-three percent of patients had lung cancers, 65% had head and neck cancers, and 2% had pelvic carcinomas. Ninety-one percent of patients had locally advanced disease (early stage, 9%). Median follow-up was 5.2 years. The hazard ratio (HR) of death was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.84 to 1.14; P = .78). On the basis of 11 trials (1091 patients), the HR of progression, relapse, or death was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.90 to 1.22; P = .53). The tests for heterogeneity were not significant (P ≥ .73), and there was no significant variation of treatment effect according to sex, age, tumor site, stage, histology, locoregional treatment, or type of administration for either end point. CONCLUSION: Amifostine did not reduce OS and PFS in patients treated with radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy.

Hyperfractionated or accelerated radiotherapy for head and neck cancer.

BACKGROUND: Several trials have studied the role of altered fractionation radiotherapy in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, but the effect of such treatment on survival is not clear. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis was to assess whether this type of radiotherapy could improve survival. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched the Cochrane Ear, Nose and Throat Disorders Group Trials Register; CENTRAL (2010, Issue 3); PubMed; EMBASE; CINAHL; Web of Science; BIOSIS Previews; Cambridge Scientific Abstracts; ISRCTN and additional sources for published and unpublished trials. The date of the most recent search was 8 August 2010. SELECTION CRITERIA: We identified randomised trials comparing conventional radiotherapy with hyperfractionated or accelerated radiotherapy, or both, in patients with non-metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinomas and grouped trials into three pre-specified treatment categories: hyperfractionated, accelerated and accelerated with total dose reduction. Trials were eligible if they began recruitment after 1969 and ended before 1998. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We obtained updated individual patient data. Overall survival was the main outcome measure. The secondary outcome measures were local or regional control rates (or both), distant control rates and cause-specific mortality. MAIN RESULTS: We included 15 trials with 6515 patients. The median follow up was six years. Tumour sites were mostly oropharynx and larynx; 5221 (74%) patients had stage III-IV disease (UICC 2002). There was a significant survival benefit with altered fractionation radiotherapy, corresponding to an absolute benefit of 3.4% at five years (hazard ratio (HR) 0.92, 95% CI 0.86 to 0.97; P = 0.003). The benefit was significantly higher with hyperfractionated radiotherapy (8% at five years) than with accelerated radiotherapy (2% with accelerated fractionation without total dose reduction and 1.7% with total dose reduction at five years, P = 0.02). There was a benefit in locoregional control in favour of altered fractionation versus conventional radiotherapy (6.4% at five years; P < 0.0001), which was particularly efficient in reducing local failure, whereas the benefit on nodal control was less pronounced. The benefit was significantly higher in the youngest patients (under 50 year old) (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.94), 0.95 (95% CI 0.83 to 1.09) for 51 to 60 year olds, 0.92 (95% CI 0.81 to 1.06) for 61 to 70 year olds, and 1.08 (95% CI 0.89 to 1.30) for those over 70 years old; test for trends P = 0.007). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Altered fractionation radiotherapy improves survival in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. Comparison of the different types of altered radiotherapy suggests that hyperfractionation provides the greatest benefit. An update of this IPD meta-analysis (MARCH 2), which will increase the power of this analysis and allow for other comparisons, is currently in progress.

Time until definitive quality of life score deterioration as a means of longitudinal analysis for treatment trials in patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The Fédération Francophone de Cancérologie Digestive phase III trial in patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma comparing 5FU, folinic acid and cisplatin combination followed by gemcitabine (Arm A) versus the opposite sequence (Arm B) failed to demonstrate a benefit in overall survival. To longitudinally compare the quality of life (QoL) we explored different definitions of time until definitive deterioration (TUDD) of QoL scores according to minimal clinically important difference (MCID) cut-offs. METHODS: QoL was evaluated using the EORTC QLQ-C30 every 8 weeks until death. The following scores were analysed: global health, emotional functioning, physical functioning, fatigue and pain. TUDD was defined as the time interval between randomisation and the first occurrence of a decrease in QLQ-C30 score ≥5 points without any further improvement in QoL score ≥5 points or any further available QoL data. Analyses were repeated using a 10 point MCID and/or including death as event. RESULTS: From 08/2003 to 05/2006, 102 patients in Arm A and 100 in Arm B were included. Using a 5 and a 10 point MCID, TUDD curves of the 5 scores did not differ according to treatment arm., The median TUDD of global health was 5.2 months (4.3-6.2) in Arm A and 6.1 months (5.1-8.5) in Arm B (log-rank p=0.50) including death as an event for a 5 point MCID. Multivariate Cox model showed that tumour localisation and progression were independently associated with TUDD (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The strategy of chemotherapy did not influence the deterioration of QoL. The TUDD approach seems to provide meaningful clinical results that are adapted to metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma trials.

Meta-analysis of chemotherapy in head and neck cancer (MACH-NC): an update on 93 randomised trials and 17,346 patients.

BACKGROUND: Our previous individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis showed that chemotherapy improved survival in patients curatively treated for non-metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), with a higher benefit with concomitant chemotherapy. However the heterogeneity of the results limited the conclusions and prompted us to confirm the results on a more complete database by adding the randomised trials conducted between 1994 and 2000. METHODS: The updated IPD meta-analysis included trials comparing loco-regional treatment to loco-regional treatment+chemotherapy in HNSCC patients and conducted between 1965 and 2000. The log-rank-test, stratified by trial, was used to compare treatments. The hazard ratios of death were calculated. RESULTS: Twenty-four new trials, most of them of concomitant chemotherapy, were included with a total of 87 trials and 16,485 patients. The hazard ratio of death was 0.88 (p<0.0001) with an absolute benefit for chemotherapy of 4.5% at 5 years, and a significant interaction (p<0.0001) between chemotherapy timing (adjuvant, induction or concomitant) and treatment. Both direct (6 trials) and indirect comparisons showed a more pronounced benefit of the concomitant chemotherapy as compared to induction chemotherapy. For the 50 concomitant trials, the hazard ratio was 0.81 (p<0.0001) and the absolute benefit 6.5% at 5 years. There was a decreasing effect of chemotherapy with age (p=0.003, test for trend). CONCLUSION: The benefit of concomitant chemotherapy was confirmed and was greater than the benefit of induction chemotherapy.

Surrogate endpoints for overall survival in locally advanced head and neck cancer: meta-analyses of individual patient data.

BACKGROUND: The gold standard endpoint in randomised trials of locally advanced head and neck squamous-cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is overall survival. Our objective was to study whether duration of locoregional control or event-free survival (EFS) could be considered as surrogate endpoints to estimate the effect of radiotherapy and chemotherapy on overall survival. This would allow a reduction in the duration and cost of the development of new treatments. METHODS: Individual patient data from 104 trials (22 744 patients), with 116 treatment-control comparisons, from four meta-analyses on hyperfractionated or accelerated radiotherapy and concomitant, induction, or adjuvant chemotherapy were analysed. Duration of locoregional control was defined as the time from randomisation to the first locoregional event and EFS as the time to any first event (ie, locoregional relapse, distant recurrence, or death). At the individual level, a rank correlation coefficient between the surrogate endpoint and overall survival was used to assess surrogacy; at the trial level, a correlation coefficient R between treatment effects was used. FINDINGS: At the individual level, overall survival was more strongly correlated with EFS (range of correlations 0.82-0.90) than with locoregional control (0.65-0.76). For radiotherapy, treatment effects on both locoregional control and EFS were strongly correlated with those on overall survival (R=0.94 and 0.98, respectively). For chemotherapy, the correlations between treatment effects on EFS and overall survival were stronger than those between locoregional control and overall survival (range of R 0.79-0.93 vs 0.53-0.84, respectively). INTERPRETATION: EFS is a better correlate with overall survival than locoregional control and could be used as a surrogate for overall survival to assess the treatment effect of radiotherapy and chemotherapy in randomised trials of locally advanced HNSCC.