Conflict among experts in health recommendations and corresponding public trust in health experts.

Importance: Public trust in health experts has been decreasing leading to decreased adherence to expert recommendations. Objective: To evaluate public perceptions of conflict and uncertainty among experts in healthcare recommendations and association with decreased trust in health entities for accurate health information. Methods: Analysis of the US nationally representative Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS 6-2022). Adults aged 18 and older were respondents to the survey (unweighted n = 5,842, representing 241 million adults). The main outcome was trust in doctors, scientists and government health agencies for health information. Analyses examined trust in experts with public perceptions of conflict about recommendations and changing recommendations. Results: There was high trust in doctors for health information (95%) versus 84% in scientists and 70% in government health agencies. Only 18% have high trust in the health information on social media. Respondents who felt expert recommendations change often were less likely to have high trust (65%) in government agencies compared to those who felt that the recommendations did not often change (82%) (p < 0.01). In logistic regressions controlling for age, sex, race, education, income and trust in social media for health information perceptions of low conflict among expert health recommendations is associated with likelihood of high trust in government health agencies (OR 2.86; 95% CI 1.96-4.15). Conclusion: The public has low trust in government health agencies and perceptions of conflict among experts over recommendations is likely playing a role in the erosion of trust in health experts.

Impact of COVID-19 on Chronic Ambulatory-Care-Sensitive Condition Emergency Department Use Among Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic social distancing requirements encouraged patients to avoid public spaces including in-office health care visits. Ambulatory-care-sensitive conditions (ACSCs) represent conditions that can be managed with quality primary care and when access is limited, these conditions can lead to avoidable emergency department (ED) visits. METHODS: Using national data on ED visits from 2019 to 2021 in the National Hospital Ambulatory Care Survey, we examined the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on ACSC ED visits among older adults (aged ≥65). RESULTS: The proportion of ED visits among older adults that were for ACSCs increased between 2019 (17.4%) and 2021 (18.5%). The trend in both rural (26.4%-28.6%) and urban areas (15.4%-16.8%) shows a significant jump from 2019 to 2021 (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: This rise in ACSC ED use is consistent with a delay in normal primary care during the pandemic.

Performance Evaluation of the Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT-4) on the Family Medicine In-Training Examination.

OBJECTIVE: In this study, we sought to comprehensively evaluate GPT-4 (Generative Pre-trained Transformer)'s performance on the 2022 American Board of Family Medicine's (ABFM) In-Training Examination (ITE), compared with its predecessor, GPT-3.5, and the national family residents' performance on the same examination. METHODS: We utilized both quantitative and qualitative analyses. First, a quantitative analysis was employed to evaluate the model's performance metrics using zero-shot prompt (where only examination questions were provided without any additional information). After this, qualitative analysis was executed to understand the nature of the model's responses, the depth of its medical knowledge, and its ability to comprehend contextual or new information through chain-of-thoughts prompts (interactive conversation) with the model. RESULTS: This study demonstrated that GPT-4 made significant improvement in accuracy compared with GPT-3.5 over a 4-month interval between their respective release dates. The correct percentage with zero-shot prompt increased from 56% to 84%, which translates to a scaled score growth from 280 to 690, a 410-point increase. Most notably, further chain-of-thought investigation revealed GPT-4's ability to integrate new information and make self-correction when needed. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, GPT-4 has demonstrated notably high accuracy, as well as rapid reading and learning capabilities. These results are consistent with previous research indicating GPT-4's significant potential to assist in clinical decision making. Furthermore, the study highlights the essential role of physicians' critical thinking and lifelong learning skills, particularly evident through the analysis of GPT-4's incorrect responses. This emphasizes the indispensable human element in effectively implementing and using AI technologies in medical settings.

Advanced Practice Providers in Departments of Family Medicine: Status, Supervision, and Services.

BACKGROUND: Nurse practitioners (NP), physician assistants (PA), and other advanced practice providers (APP) are one solution to meet health care workforce shortage. Our study examined clinical workforce decisions and perceptions of APPs and family physicians (FPs) from the perspective of a national survey chairs of Departments of Family Medicine. METHODS: A survey was developed and distributed to family medicine department chairs as identified by the Association of Departments of Family Medicine (ADFM). In addition to demographic information, respondents were asked if their department directly employs APPs, major factors influencing departments of family medicine to hire APPs, services to patients currently being provided by APPs, and services preferentially provided by APPs. Descriptive statistics were reviewed. Bivariate analyses and Chi-square were computed comparing perceptions of APPs and FPs by how these types of health care providers are currently used in the respondent's clinical operation. RESULTS: The overall response rate for the survey was 48.4% (109/225). Most departments of family medicine (62.4%) use APPs. Access to care and filing gaps in team-based care are the primary factors for APP employment. Although most departments have APPs provide services that include complex chronic conditions complicated by coexisting conditions or not yet controlled, most department chairs do not prefer APPs provide these services. DISCUSSION: The role APPs in terms of specific patient care activities and services in the health care team of departments of family medicine is often in conflict with preferred roles as delineated by the chair.

Health Care Costs Following COVID-19 Hospitalization Prior to Vaccine Availability.

BACKGROUND: Postacute sequelae of coronavirus (PASC) disease of 2019 (COVID-19) include morbidity and mortality, but little is known of the impact on medical expenditures. This study measures patients' health care costs after COVID hospitalization before vaccinations. METHODS: The Merative MarketScan database is used to track trends in medical expenditures for commercially insured patients hospitalized for COVID-19 (case subjects) compared with COVID-19 patients not hospitalized (control subjects) using a propensity score matching model. Medical expenditures were estimated from 30-, 60-, and 120-day clean periods after an initial COVID-19 encounter through the end of 2020. RESULTS: Average total medical expenditures were 96% higher for individuals hospitalized for COVID-19 starting 30 days after initial COVID-19 encounter and almost 70% higher 120 days after based on the propensity score matching. The average spending differential was $11,242 30 days after and $4959 120 days after. This effect is highest for inpatient admissions and services 60 days after at $56,862 and lowest among pharmaceuticals 120 days after at $329. The magnitude of the difference is greater for those with hypertension or diabetes where total expenditures is $14,958 30 days after, and $5962 120 days after compared with those without these chronic conditions. DISCUSSION: The results suggest both health and economic implications for COVID-19 hospitalization and supports the use of vaccinations to help mitigate these implications. PASC includes increased health care costs for hospitalized patients, particularly for those with chronic conditions. Preventing COVID-19 hospitalization has economic value in terms of reduced medical spending in addition to health benefits associated with reduced morbidity and mortality.

The Daily Mile: The Impact of an Elementary School-Based Exercise Program on Pulmonary Function.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Implementing a structured activity to encourage exercise in children may be a strategy with benefits. We evaluated pulmonary function in elementary school children participating in a school-based exercise program called The Daily Mile. METHODS: During the fall semester, we implemented The Daily Mile program in one elementary school and compared pulmonary function in children in the intervention school pre- and postintervention to children in a control school in the same community. The primary outcomes were forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC), and FEV1% (the FEV1/FVC ratio). RESULTS: The children in the control school showed no significant change in FEV1% during the semester (P=.06). On the other hand, children in the intervention school showed a significant improvement in FEV1% during the same semester (P=.001). This effect was consistent even when stratifying by asthma and sports participation. CONCLUSIONS: The Daily Mile has benefits for pulmonary function in children. Although family physicians should continue to encourage their patients to have a healthy lifestyle, a more effective approach may be to encourage schools to adopt a program that teachers oversee and administer in a structured way.

Documentation and Treatment of Obesity in Primary Care Physician Office Visits: The Role of the Patient-Physician Relationship.

INTRODUCTION: An ongoing patient-physician relationship may increase the likelihood of acknowledging obesity and providing a treatment plan. The purpose of the study was to investigate if continuity of care was associated with recording of obesity and receipt of a weight-loss treatment plan. METHODS: We analyzed data from the 2016 and 2018 National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey. Only adult patients with measured body mass index of ≥ 30 were included. Our primary measures were acknowledgment of obesity, treatment of obesity, continuity of care, and obesity-associated comorbid conditions. RESULTS: Among patients who were objectively obese, only 30.6% had an acknowledgment of the patient's body composition in the visit. In adjusted analyses, continuity of care was not significantly related to recording of obesity but did significantly increase the likelihood of treatment for obesity. Continuity of care was only significantly related to obesity treatment when defined as a visit with the patient's established primary care physician. The effect was not seen with continuity with the practice. DISCUSSION: There are many missed opportunities for prevention of obesity-related disease. Continuity of care with a primary care physician was associated with benefits in treatment likelihood, but greater emphasis on managing obesity in a primary care visit seems warranted.

Trends of Geriatric Certification and Practice Patterns of Family Physicians: 1988-2019.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Demand for geriatric care is increasing due to aging population. Trends in maintaining certification in geriatrics are unreported. Our objective was to describe the historic trend of family physicians who certified in geriatric medicine (FPs-GM) since 1988 and to assess differences in practice patterns between FPs-GM and family physicians (FPs). METHODS: We performed a retrospective descriptive study using administrative data collected by the American Board of Family Medicine (ABFM). The study population was family physicians registering to continue their ABFM certification from 2017 to 2019. Medicare public use billing data was linked to ABFM administrative data on certification history. We used univariate analysis for descriptive analysis and logistic regression to identify contributors of recertification in geriatrics. RESULTS: We identified a total of 3,207 FPs-GM between 1988 and 2019. More than half maintained GM certification since 2009 (57%), with male gender, White race, and urban practice associated with maintaining GM certification; 61% of their patients were older adults. FPs-GM were more likely to be in an academic practice setting with nearly half (53%) also practicing in hospitals or nursing homes. In the adjusted regression model, younger FPs or FPs who treat more older patients were significantly more likely to be recertified in geriatrics whereas other demographics and practice characteristics were not significant. CONCLUSIONS: Most FPs who recently earned GM certification tended to retain certification since the required accredited fellowship started in 1995.

Recruiting Indigenous Patients Into Clinical Trials: A Circle of Trust.

The Circle of Trust is a new conceptual model that can help investigators and the American Indian/Alaska Natives (AI/AN) community work together to promote inclusion of AI/AN populations in clinical trials to improve health outcomes. Racial/ethnic minority groups remain underrepresented in clinical trials and this creates the need and opportunity for novel approaches. Indigenous populations are particularly underrepresented in clinical trials. Studies show that AI/AN have the lowest representation of race/ethnic groups in the United States. American Indian/Alaska Natives suffer from significant health disparities with higher rates of morbidity and mortality and lower rates for preventative measures and access to health services. A variety of barriers to recruitment of minority patients exist at several levels including the system/institutional, interpersonal, and the individual. The authors, experts in AI/AN health and recruitment of minorities into research, collaborated to modify the currently existing and published "trust triangle" model that focuses on minority recruitment to include participants, researcher, and trusted entity. We advocate for expanding the trust triangle into a circle of trust inclusive of community. The "circle of trust" is a new conceptual model that can help investigators and the AI/AN community work together to promote inclusion of AI/AN populations in clinical trials to improve health outcomes.

Association of dual COVID-19 and seasonal influenza vaccination with COVID-19 infection and disease severity.

The clinical guideline states that COVID-19 vaccination can be administered concurrently with Influenza (flu) vaccination (dual vaccination). Using data from the 2021 National Health Interview Survey, we conducted descriptive analysis and multivariate logistic regressions to examine the association between dual vaccination status and self-reported COVID-19 infection and severity. Among 21,387 (weighted 185,251,310) U.S. adults, about 22% did not receive either the flu or COVID-19 vaccine, 6.0% received the flu vaccine only, 29.1% received the COVID-19 vaccine only, and 42.5% received both vaccines. In the multivariate analysis, individuals with dual vaccination (OR, 0.65, 95% CI, 0.56-0.75) and COVID-19 vaccine only (OR, 0.71, 95% CI, 0.61-0.82) were significantly less likely to report COVID-19 infection when compared with those unvaccinated. There was no significant difference in self-reported COVID-19 symptom severity by vaccination status. The results suggest that dual vaccination may be an effective strategy to reduce the contagious respiratory disease burden.

Inflammation and poverty as individual and combined predictors of 15-year mortality risk in middle aged and older adults in the US.

Background: Chronic systemic inflammation and poverty are both linked to an increased mortality risk. The goal of this study was to determine if there is a synergistic effect of the presence of inflammation and poverty on the 15-year risk of all-cause, heart disease and cancer mortality among US adults. Methods: We analyzed the nationally representative National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999 to 2002 with linked records to the National Death Index through the date December 31, 2019. Among adults aged 40 and older, 15-year mortality risk associated with inflammation, C-reactive protein (CRP), and poverty was assessed in Cox regressions. All-cause, heart disease and cancer mortality were the outcomes. Results: Individuals with elevated CRP at 1.0 mg/dL and poverty were at greater risk of 15-year adjusted, all-cause mortality (HR = 2.45; 95% CI 1.64, 3.67) than individuals with low CRP and were above poverty. For individuals with just one at risk characteristic, low inflammation/poverty (HR = 1.58; 95% CI 1.30, 1.93), inflammation/above poverty (HR = 1.59; 95% CI 1.31, 1.93) the mortality risk was essentially the same and substantially lower than the risk for adults with both. Individuals with both elevated inflammation and living in poverty experience a 15-year heart disease mortality risk elevated by 127% and 15-year cancer mortality elevated by 196%. Discussion: This study extends the past research showing an increased mortality risk for poverty and systemic inflammation to indicate that there is a potential synergistic effect for increased mortality risk when an adult has both increased inflammation and is living in poverty.

Gastroenterology Specialist Supply and Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in the U.S., 2014-2018.

Background and Aims: The burden of early-onset colorectal cancer (EoCRC) has been increasing among young adult populations in the U.S. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the incidence and mortality of EoCRC and the supply of gastroenterology (GI) specialists and primary care physicians (PCP). Methods: This was an ecological study of EoCRC cases among US counties that occurred between 2014 and 2018. Data was obtained from US cancer statistics. County-level data, including sociodemographic (eg, percentage of female, non-White residents, poverty rate, rurality) and physician supply (GI specialists and PCPs) was obtained from area health resources files. We estimated linear mixed-effects models with the county as a random effect to examine the association of physician supply with 5-year average age-adjusted EoCRC incidence and mortality. Models were adjusted for aggregate county-level socioeconomic characteristics. Multicollinearity was tested through variation inflation. Results: Analysis included 855 US counties. Mean age-adjusted EoCRC incidence and mortality rates between 2014-2018 were 9.5 (standard deviation [SD]: 2.7) and 2.7 (SD: 0.8) per 100,000 persons, respectively. In the adjusted model, GI supply was associated with lower EoCRC incidence (-5.6 percentage-point change per SD; 95% confidence interval, -11.0 to -0.1) but not with EoCRC mortality (P = .558). PCP supply was associated with lower EoCRC mortality (-27.0 percentage-point change per SD; 95% confidence interval, -46.1 to -7.8) but not with EoCRC incidence (P = .077). Conclusion: Greater GI specialist supply was associated with a reduction in EoCRC incidence but not improved mortality. Study findings suggest the need for early colorectal cancer screening efforts and the potential for expanding GI services and referrals in medically underserved areas.

Systemic inflammation among adults with diagnosed and undiagnosed cardiometabolic conditions: a potential missed opportunity for cardiovascular disease prevention.

Context: Systemic inflammation is associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Since inflammation is not screened in the population, the prevalence, particularly among individuals with undiagnosed cardiometabolic disease, is unclear. Objective: To assess the prevalence of elevated inflammation using high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) (>0.30 mg/dL) in adults with no cardiometabolic disease, undiagnosed disease and diagnosed disease. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of the 2015-2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey which allows for population estimates of the US population. Adults > = 20 years old were included. HsCRP levels >0.30 mg/dL represented inflammation. Individuals were classified into disease defined as having one or more of the following: diagnosed disease--diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, or obesity by diagnosis; undiagnosed disease (self-report of no doctor diagnosis but positive biomarker); no disease. Results: 12,946 unweighted individuals representing 315,354,183 adults in the US population were assessed. The proportion of adults with systemic inflammation is 34.63%. The proportion of individuals aged 20 years and older with no disease, undiagnosed disease and diagnosed disease and inflammation was 15.1, 29.1 and 41.8%, respectively. When stratifying by race/ethnicity among individuals with elevated inflammation Non-Hispanic Black people have the highest prevalence (50.35%) in individuals with diagnosed disease followed by Hispanics (46.13%) and Non-Hispanic White people (40.15%) (p < 0.01). In logistic regressions adjusted for sociodemographic variables, individuals with undiagnosed cardiometabolic disease have an increased risk of elevated inflammation as measured by CRP (OR 2.38; 95%CI = 1.90-2.99). Conclusion: In conclusion, a substantial proportion of the adult population, particularly minority and low socioeconomic populations, have elevated inflammation. Systemic inflammation may be a potential focus for disease prevention and disease progression in primary care.