Diagnostic value of the electrocardiogram in the assessment of prior myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The best available imaging technique for the detection of prior myocardial infarction (MI) is cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) with late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). Although the electrocardiogram (ECG) still plays a major role in the diagnosis of prior MI, the diagnostic value of the ECG remains uncertain. This study evaluates the diagnostic value of the ECG in the assessment of prior MI. METHODS: In this retrospective study, data from electronic patient files were collected of 1033 patients who had undergone CMR with LGE between January 2014 and December 2017. After the exclusion of 59 patients, the data of 974 patients were analysed. Twelve-lead ECGs were blinded and evaluated for signs of prior MI by two cardiologists separately. Disagreement in interpretation was resolved by the judgement of a third cardiologist. Outcomes of CMR with LGE were used as the gold standard. RESULTS: The sensitivity of the ECG in the detection of MI was 38.0% with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 31.6-44.8%. The specificity was 86.9% (95% CI 84.4-89.1%). The positive and negative predictive value were 43.6% (95% CI 36.4-50.9%) and 84.0% (95% CI 81.4-86.5%) respectively. In 170 ECGs (17.5%), the two cardiologists disagreed on the presence or absence of MI. Inter-rater variability was moderate (κ 0.51, 95% CI 0.45-0.58, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The ECG has a low diagnostic value in the detection of prior MI. However, if the ECG shows no signs of prior MI, the absence of MI is likely. This study confirms that a history of MI should not be based solely on an ECG.

Negative predictive value of SPECT for the occurrence of MACE in a medium-sized clinic in the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND: Single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) is an important prognostic tool in evaluating coronary artery disease (CAD), with a high negative predictive value (NPV) for the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). The prognostic value of SPECT is disputed in women, patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), diabetes, left bundle branch block (LBBB) and renal impairment. METHODS: Seven hundred sixty-two patients without prior history of CAD who had SPECT without perfusion deficits were followed for 2 years for MACE. Predictive variables for the occurrence of MACE were reviewed by Cox proportional hazard regression, considering clinical information, resting-ECG data and SPECT data. RESULTS: The NPV of SPECT for the occurrence of MACE within 2 years was 95.8 %. Multivariate Cox regression revealed male gender as the only significant predictor for the occurrence of MACE, besides a positive stress ECG at SPECT and a low LVEF. AF, LBBB, renal impairment and diabetes had no significant effect on the prognosis after normal SPECT. CONCLUSION: SPECT with normal perfusion images has great NPV in a medium-sized clinic in the Netherlands, even in patients with LBBB, AF, diabetes and renal impairment. MACE-free survival, however, was negatively influenced by male gender; we therefore propose more caution in men.

[The metabolic syndrome: a cluster of vascular risk factors]. / Het metabool syndroom: een cluster van vasculaire risicofactoren.

The metabolic syndrome is a cluster of several vascular risk factors (impaired glucose metabolism, dyslipidaemia, hypertension and central adiposity). The prevalence of the metabolic syndrome is high, varying between 10 and 40% depending on age and sex. This prevalence will increase in the years to come due to the increased prevalence of overweight/obesity. To identify the metabolic syndrome, there is a readily applicable definition for daily clinical practice, i.e. the presence of three or more of the following characteristics: hyperglycaemia, hypertension, low plasma HDL cholesterol level, high plasma triglyceride level and central adiposity. The underlying pathophysiology is not fully clarified, but insulin resistance plays an important role in this syndrome. The metabolic syndrome is associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and an increased risk for the development of diabetes mellitus type 2. In subjects with one or two components of the metabolic syndrome and in patients with manifest vascular disease, it seems advisable to be alert to the presence of the other components in order to either diagnose or exclude the metabolic syndrome. Although clinical evidence is lacking, from a pathophysiological point of view it seems reasonable to focus the treatment on reducing insulin resistance, which can be achieved by weight reduction and an increase in physical activity. Treatment of the individual risk factors may also be considered, depending on the degree of vascular risk.