RESUMO
To evaluate the prognostic stratification ability of 4C Mortality Score and COVID-19 Mortality Risk Score in different age groups. Retrospective study, including all patients, presented to the Emergency Department of the University Hospital Careggi, between February, 2020 and May, 2021, and admitted for SARS-CoV2. Patients were divided into four subgroups based on the quartiles of age distribution: patients < 57 years (G1, n = 546), 57-71 years (G2, n = 508), 72-81 years (G3, n = 552), and > 82 years (G4, n = 578). We calculated the 4C Mortality Score and COVID-19 Mortality Risk Score. The end-point was in-hospital mortality. In the whole population (age 68 ± 16 years), the mortality rate was 19% (n = 424), and increased with increasing age (G1: 4%, G2: 11%, G3: 22%, and G4: 39%, p < 0.001). Both scores were higher among non-survivors than survivors in all subgroups (4C-MS, G1: 6 [3-7] vs 3 [2-5]; G2: 10 [7-11] vs 7 [5-8]; G3: 11 [10-14] vs 10 [8-11]; G4: 13 [12-15] vs 11 [10-13], all p < 0.001; COVID-19 MRS, G1: 8 [7-9] vs 9 [9-11], G2: 10 [8-11] vs 11 [10-12]; G3: 11 [10-12] vs 12 [11-13]; G4: 11 [10-13] vs 13 [12-14], all p < 0.01). The ability of both scores to identify patients at higher risk of in-hospital mortality, was similar in different age groups (4C-MS: G1 0.77, G2 0.76, G3 0.68, G4 0.72; COVID-19 MRS: G1 0.67, G2 0.69, G3 0.69, G4 0.72, all p for comparisons between subgroups = NS). Both scores confirmed their good performance in predicting in-hospital mortality in all age groups, despite their different mortality rate.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Fatores Etários , Medição de Risco/métodos , Prognóstico , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: To test whether known prognosticators of COVID-19 maintained their stratification ability across age groups. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study. We included all patients (n = 2225), who presented to the Emergency Department of the Careggi University Hospital for COVID-19 in the period February 2020-May 2021, and were admitted to the hospital. The following parameters were analyzed as dichotomized: 1) SpO2/FiO2 ≤ or > 214; 2) creatinine < or ≥ 1.1 mg/dL; 3) Lactic dehydrogenase (LDH) < or ≥ 250 U/mL; 4) C Reactive Protein (CRP) < or ≥ 60 mg/100 mL. We divided the study population in four subgroups, based on the quartiles of distribution of age (G1 18-57 years, G2 57-71 years, G3 72-81 years, G4 > 82). The primary end-point was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: By the univariate analysis, the aforementioned dichotomized variables demonstrated a significant association with in-hospital mortality in all subgroups. We introduced them in a multivariate model: in G1 SpO2/FiO2 ≤ 214 (Relative Risk, RR 15.66; 95%CI 3.98-61,74), in G2 creatinine ≥ 1.1 mg/L (RR 2.87, 95%CI 1.30-6.32) and LDH ≥ 250 UI/L (RR 8.71, 95%CI 1,15-65,70), in G3 creatinine ≥ 1.1 mg/L (RR 1.98, 95%CI 1,17-3.36) and CRP ≥ 60 ng/L (RR 2.14, 95%CI 1.23-3.71), in G4 SpO2/FiO2 ≤ 214 (RR 5.15, 95%CI 2.35-11.29), creatinine ≥ 1.1 mg/L (RR 1.75, 95%CI 1.09-2.80) and CRP ≥ 60 ng/L (RR 1.82, 95%CI 1.11-2.98) were independently associated with an increased in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A mild to moderate respiratory failure showed an independent association with an increased mortality rate only in youngest and oldest patients, while kidney disease maintained a prognostic role regardless of age.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/metabolismo , Creatinina , Hospitalização , Proteína C-Reativa/análiseRESUMO
PURPOSE: We have focused on the two-dimensional (B-mode) and the time-motion (M-mode) analysis of the zone of apposition to determine the reliability of diaphragm ultrasonography in the clinical environment. METHODS: Ten healthy volunteers were enrolled and studied by three operators with different skills in ultrasonography. For every volunteer, each operator acquired three images of the diaphragm for each side, both in B-mode and in M-mode. Then a fourth operator calculated the thickening fraction (TF), by means of the formula TF = (TEI - TEE)/TEE (TEI is the thickness at end inspiration and TEE the thickness at end expiration). Afterwards, intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) were computed on TF to establish reproducibility and repeatability both in the B- and M-modes. A Coefficient of Repeatability or repeatability (CR) ≤ 0.3 was considered acceptable. RESULTS: Both B-mode (CRs 0.16-0.26) and M-mode (CRs 0.10-0.15) were sufficiently repeatable to assess TF, except for the less experienced operator (CRs B-Mode 0.20-0.32). Reproducibility was moderate to good between operators with CRs much narrower for the M-Mode (0.13-0.14). CONCLUSIONS: The results of our study have shown that diaphragm ultrasound is repeatable and reproducible when carried out by a radiologist or an intensivist with a basic curriculum in ultrasonography. The method is more accurate when using the M-mode for less experienced operators, and in this case, repeatability and reproducibility are not sufficient to make clinical decisions. No TF value lower than 36% was obtained using both techniques. This suggests the existence of a cut-off value that could be used as an initial tool to discriminate healthy subjects from those affected by diaphragmatic dysfunction. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: EUDRACT 2015-004635-12.