Hotspots of kidney failure: Analysing Australian metropolitan dialysis demand for service planning.

OBJECTIVE: To locate incident hotspots of dialysis demand in Australian capital cities and measure association with prevalent dialysis demand and socioeconomic disadvantage. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study used Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry data on people commencing dialysis for kidney failure (KF) resident in an Australian capital city, 1 January 2001 - 31 December 2021. Age-sex-standardised dialysis incidence was estimated by Statistical Area Level 3 (SA3) and dialysis prevalence by SA2. RESULTS: A total of 32,391 people commencing dialysis were referenced to SA3s within city metropolitan areas based on residential postcode. Incident hotspots were located in Western Sydney. The highest average annual change of standardised incidence was 8.3 per million people (false discovery rate-corrected 95% CI 1.0,15.7) in Mount Druitt, reflecting a 263% increase in absolute demand from 2001-3 to 2019-21. Incident dialysis for diabetic kidney disease contributed substantially to total growth. Incident hotspots were co-located with areas where prevalent dialysis demand was associated with socioeconomic deprivation. CONCLUSIONS: Novel spatial analyses of geo-referenced registry data located hotspots of kidney failure and associated socio-demographic and comorbid states. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: These analyses advance current abilities to plan dialysis capacity at a local level. Hotspots can be targeted for prevention and slowing the progression of kidney disease.

Calciphylaxis Episodes in the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry.

Introduction: Calciphylaxis is a rare disorder associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Data registries are an invaluable source of information for rare diseases. We reviewed cases of calciphylaxis recorded in the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA) and evaluated associations and outcomes of this condition. Methods: Data was obtained on all cases of calciphylaxis reported between 2019 and 2022 in Australian and New Zealand patients on kidney replacement therapy (KRT). This cohort was compared to all patients in the registry who received KRT from 2019 to 2022 without an episode of calciphylaxis. Cox proportional hazards regression including a time-varying covariate for calciphylaxis episode was conducted for mortality with models restricted to patients on dialysis only. Results: From 2019 to 2022, 333 patients had calciphylaxis episodes reported. Overall incidence rate for patients on dialysis was 4.5 (4.1-5.1) episodes per 1000 patient-years on dialysis. Median age was 63 (interquartile range [IQR]: 55-73) years, 54% were female, 66% had diabetes, 59% were obese (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 30 kg/m2) and 77% were receiving hemodialysis (HD) treatment. Compared to patients without calciphylaxis (n = 46,526), patients with calciphylaxis were more likely to be older, female, and have diabetes, greater BMI, coronary artery, and peripheral vascular disease. The median time to calciphylaxis was 3.2 (IQR: 0.9-6.7) years after KRT commencement. Half of the patients with calciphylaxis died by 12 months from diagnosis. Adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of mortality for patients on dialysis with calciphylaxis <1 year and 1 to 4 years after an episode was 5.8 (4.9-6.9) and 1.5 (1.0-2.1), respectively compared to patients on dialysis without calciphylaxis. Conclusion: Calciphylaxis is a rare but life-threatening condition in people on KRT with the greatest mortality burden within 12 months of diagnosis.

Patient Perspectives of Center-Specific Reporting in Kidney Failure Care: An Australian Qualitative Study.

Introduction: Public reporting of quality of care indicators in healthcare is intended to inform consumer decision-making; however, people may be unaware that such information exists, or it may not capture their priorities. The aim of this study was to understand the views of people with kidney disease about public reporting of dialysis and transplant center outcomes. Methods: This qualitative study involved 27 patients with lived experience of kidney disease in Australia who participated in 11 online focus groups between August and December 2022. Transcripts were analyzed thematically. Results: Patients from all Australian states and territories participated, with 22 (81%) having a functioning kidney transplant and 22 (81%) having current or previous experience of dialysis. Five themes were identified as follows: (i) surrendering to the health system, (ii) the complexity of quality, (iii) benefits for patient care and experience, (iv) concerned about risks and unintended consequences, and (v) optimizing the impact of data. Conclusion: Patients desire choice among kidney services but perceive this as rarely possible in the Australian context. Health professionals are trusted to make decisions about appropriate centers. Public reporting of center outcomes may induce fear and a loss of balanced perspective; however, it was supported by all participants and represents an opportunity for self-advocacy and informed decision-making. Strategies to mitigate potential risks include availability of trusted clinicians and community members to aid in data interpretation, providing context about centers and patients, and framing statistics to promote positivity and hope.

Dialysis Needle-Related Distress: Patient Perspectives on Identification, Prevention, and Management.

Introduction: Needle-related distress is common among people receiving hemodialysis and affects quality of life and treatment decisions, yet little evidence exists to guide management. This study explored patients' experiences of needle-related distress to inform the development of prevention, identification, and management strategies. Methods: Semistructured interviews concerning dialysis cannulation, needle-related distress, and potential solutions were conducted with people with current or recent experience of hemodialysis (N = 15) from a tertiary hospital-based service. Interviews ceased at thematic saturation. Transcripts were analyzed thematically. Results: There were 4 themes and 11 subthemes generated: (i) uncovering a hidden source of distress (dismissal and minimization by others; suffering in silence to stay alive; preparation, assessment, and education); (ii) coping with cannulation pain and trauma (interaction between physical damage, pain, and distress; operator dependency-the importance of nurse skill and technique); (iii) the environment created by dialysis nurses (emotional transference; communication during cannulation; valuing empathy and person-centered care; a psychosocially supportive dialysis unit); and (iv) supporting patient self-management of distress (accessing tools to help themselves; distraction to reduce distress). Conclusion: Needle-related distress is an often-hidden element of the hemodialysis experience. Patients learn to tolerate it as an inevitable part of dialysis for survival. Nurses' technical skills and the dialysis environment they create are key determinants of the patient cannulation experience. Proposed solutions include psychological screening, education for patients to self-manage distress, and training for nurses in communication and providing relevant psychological support.

Trends in the Incidence of End-Stage Kidney Disease in Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes in Australia, 2010-2019.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Trends in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) among people with diabetes may inform clinical management and public health strategies. We estimated trends in the incidence of ESKD among people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Australia from 2010-2019 and evaluated their associated factors. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 71,700 people with type 1 and 1,112,690 people with type 2 diabetes registered on the Australian National Diabetes Services Scheme (NDSS). We estimated the incidence of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) via linkage to the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA) and the incidence of KRT or death from ESKD by linking the NDSS to the ANZDATA and the National Death Index for Australia. PREDICTORS: Calendar time, sex, age, and duration of diabetes. OUTCOME: Incidence of KRT and KRT or death from ESKD. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Incidence of ESKD, trends over time, and associations with factors related to these trends were modeled using Poisson regression stratified by diabetes type and sex. RESULTS: The median duration of diabetes increased from 15.3 to 16.8 years in type 1 diabetes, and from 7.6 to 10.2 years in type 2 diabetes between 2010 and 2019. The incidence of KRT and KRT or death from ESKD did not significantly change over this time interval among people with type 1 diabetes. Conversely, the age-adjusted incidence of KRT and KRT or death from ESKD increased among males with type 2 diabetes (annual percent changes [APCs]: 2.52% [95% CI, 1.54 to -3.52] and 1.27% [95% CI, 0.53 2.03], respectively), with no significant change among females (0.67% [95% CI, -0.68 to 2.04] and 0.07% [95% CI, -0.81 to 0.96], respectively). After further adjustment for duration of diabetes, the incidence of ESKD fell between 2010 and 2019, with APCs of-0.09% (95% CI, -1.06 to 0.89) and-2.63% (95% CI, -3.96 to-1.27) for KRT and-0.97% (95% CI, -1.71 to-0.23) and-2.75% (95% CI, -3.62 to-1.87) for KRT or death from ESKD among males and females, respectively. LIMITATIONS: NDSS only captures 80%-90% of people with diabetes; lack of clinical covariates limits understanding of trends. CONCLUSIONS: While the age-adjusted incidence of ESKD increased for males and was stable for females over the last decade, after adjusting for increases in duration of diabetes the risk of developing ESKD has decreased for both males and females. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Previous studies showed an increase in new cases of kidney failure among people with type 2 diabetes, but more recent data have not been available. Here, we report trends in the rate of kidney failure for people with type 2 diabetes from 2010 to 2019 and showed that while more people with type 2 diabetes are developing kidney failure, accounting for the fact that they are also surviving longer (and therefore have a higher chance of kidney failure) the growth in this population is not caused by a higher risk of kidney failure. Nevertheless, more people are getting kidney failure than before, which will impact health care systems for years to come.

Projecting the future: modelling Australian dialysis prevalence 2021-30.

Objectives To project the prevalence of people receiving dialysis in Australia for 2021-30 to inform service planning and health policy. Methods Estimates were based on data from 2011 to 2020 from the Australia & New Zealand Dialysis & Transplant (ANZDATA) Registry and the Australian Bureau of Statistics. We projected dialysis and functioning kidney transplant recipient populations for the years 2021-30. Discrete-time, non-homogenous Markov models were built on probabilities for transition between three mutually exclusive states (Dialysis, Functioning Transplant, Death), for five age groups. Two scenarios were employed - stable transplant rate vs a continued increase - to assess the impact of these scenarios on the projected prevalences. Results Models projected a 22.5-30.4% growth in the dialysis population from 14 554 in 2020 to 17 829 ('transplant growth') - 18 973 ('transplant stable') by 2030. An additional 4983-6484 kidney transplant recipients were also projected by 2030. Dialysis incidence per population increased and dialysis prevalence growth exceeded population ageing in 40-59 and 60-69 year age groups. The greatest dialysis prevalence growth was seen among those aged ≥70 years. Conclusion Modelling of the future prevalence of dialysis use highlights the increasing demand on services expected overall and especially by people aged ≥70 years. Appropriate funding and healthcare planning must meet this demand.

Pre-eclampsia after Kidney Transplantation: Rates and Association with Graft Survival and Function.

BACKGROUND: Transplanted women have high rates of pre-eclampsia. However, determinants of pre-eclampsia and association with graft survival and function remain uncertain. We aimed to determine rates of pre-eclampsia and its association with kidney transplant survival and function. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study analyzing post-kidney transplantation pregnancies (≥20 weeks gestation) from the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (2000-2021). Graft survival was assessed in 3 models accounting for repeated pregnancies and episodes of pre-eclampsia. RESULTS: Pre-eclampsia status was captured in 357/390 pregnancies and occurred in 133 pregnancies (37%). The percentage of pregnancies reported to have pre-eclampsia rose from 27% in 2000-2004, to 48% from 2018-2021. Reported prior exposure to calcineurin inhibitors was high overall, and higher in women who had pre-eclampsia (97% vs 88%, p=0.005). Seventy-two (27%) graft failures were identified after a pregnancy, with median follow-up of 8.08 years. Although women with pre-eclampsia had higher median preconception serum creatinine concentration (1.24 ((IQR) 1.00-1.50) vs. 1.13 (0.99-1.36) mg/dL; p=0.02), in all survival models, pre-eclampsia was not associated with higher death-censored graft failure. In multivariable analysis of maternal factors (age, body mass index, primary kidney disease and transplant-pregnancy interval, preconception serum creatinine concentration, era of birth event and Tacrolimus or Cyclosporin exposure) only era and preconception serum creatinine concentration ≥1.24 mg/dL (odds ratio 2.48, 95% CI 1.19-5.18) was associated with higher pre-eclampsia risk. Both preconception eGFR <45 ml/min/1.73m 2 (adjusted HR 5.55, 95% CI 3.27-9.44, p<0.001) and preconception serum creatinine concentration ≥1.24 mg/dL (adjusted HR 3.06, 95% CI 1.77-5.27, p<0.001) were associated with a higher risk of graft failure even after adjusting for maternal characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: In this large and contemporaneous registry cohort, pre-eclampsia was not associated with worse graft survival or function. Preconception kidney function was the main determinant of graft survival.

Hip Arthroplasty Outcomes in the Presence of Kidney Failure: A National Data Linkage Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients who have kidney failure are at higher risk of requiring total hip arthroplasty (THA) and are at higher risk of complications. This study compared the rate of revision surgery and mortality following THA between patients who have kidney failure receiving long term dialysis or who had a kidney transplant and those who did not have kidney failure. METHODS: A data linkage study was performed using data from 2 national registries: a registry of dialysis and kidney transplant patients and a registry of THA procedures. Both registries had coverage of almost all procedures or treatments in Australia. Data from September 1999 to December 2016 were used. Mortality and revision surgery were compared between patients receiving dialysis, those who had a functioning kidney transplant, and patients who did not have kidney failure using Cox and Fine-Gray (competing risk) regression models. A total of 383,478 primary THA procedures were identified as people receiving dialysis (n = 490), who had a functioning kidney transplant (n = 459), or who did not have kidney failure (n = 382,529). RESULTS: There was no significant difference in the overall rate of revision surgery between the groups (dialysis versus no kidney failure HR = 1.20; 95% CI 0.76, 1.88, transplant versus no kidney failure (hazard ratio) HR = 1.01; 95% (confidence interval) CI 0.66, 1.53). The risk for death after surgery was significantly higher in the dialysis group compared to both the functioning transplant group (HR = 3.44; 95%CI 1.58, 7.5), and in those without kidney failure (HR = 4.13; 95%CI 3.25, 5.25). CONCLUSION: The rate of mortality after THA in patients on dialysis is higher than in patients who have a functioning transplant or those who do not have kidney failure, but there is no early excess mortality to suggest a difference in this metric due to the surgery.

Retrospective case-control study exploring pretransplant predictors for loss of kidney transplant function or death among indigenous kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: The factors affecting the outcomes among Indigenous kidney transplant recipients is not fully understood. We conducted a retrospective case control study to identify risk factors beyond those explained by the ANZDATA registry. AIM: To identify the risk factors for loss of kidney transplant function or death among Indigenous kidney transplant recipients. METHODS: Cases were defined as all Indigenous Australian kidney transplant recipients from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2015 from the major hospitals in the Northern Territory (NT) and South Australia (SA) who experienced graft loss (including patient death) up to 2-years post-transplant. Controls (matched 4:1) were defined as all indigenous kidney transplant recipients during the same period with functioning transplants at 2-years post-transplant operation. Matching was done on gender and diabetes status. Regression analysis adjusted for age was used for comparing cases and controls. RESULTS: There were 17 cases and 68 matched controls. Among cases, the odds ratio for more than one hospital admission episode (compared with ≤1 episode) in the 2-year pretransplant period was 6.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.2-32.5). However, there were no significant differences in the frequency of comorbidities at renal replacement therapy start, cardiovascular intervention pretransplant, pretransplant infection screening, age and gender of the donors, frequency of admission episodes where an infection was documented, the total length of inpatient stay or admission to intensive care unit during pretransplant hospital admission between cases and controls. CONCLUSION: Early graft loss was associated with a higher frequency of hospital admissions in the 2-years pretransplant period. In contrast, other measured factors in the pretransplant period did not predict these adverse outcomes.

Maximizing Oral Health Outcomes of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander People With End-stage Kidney Disease Through Culturally Secure Partnerships: Protocol for a Mixed Methods Study.

BACKGROUND: Dialysis for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is the leading cause of hospitalization among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander individuals in Australia. Poor oral health is commonly the only obstacle preventing Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people with ESKD in Australia from receiving kidney transplant. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to improve access, provision, and delivery of culturally secure dental care for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander individuals with ESKD in South Australia through the following objectives: investigate the facilitators of and barriers to providing oral health care to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients with ESKD in South Australia; investigate the facilitators of and barriers to maintaining oral health among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people with ESKD in South Australia; facilitate access to and completion of culturally secure dental care for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander individuals with ESKD and their families; provide oral health promotion training for Aboriginal health workers (AHWs) at each of the participating Aboriginal Community Controlled Health Services, with a specific emphasis on oral health needs of patients with ESKD; generate co-designed strategies to better facilitate access to and provision of culturally secure dental services for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people living with ESKD; and evaluate participant progress and AHW oral health training program. METHODS: This collaborative study is divided into 3 phases: exploratory phase (baseline), intervention phase (baseline), and evaluation phase (after 6 months). The exploratory phase will involve collaboration with stakeholders in different sectors to identify barriers to providing oral health care; the intervention phase will involve patient yarns, patient oral health journey mapping, clinical examinations, culturally secure dental care provision, and strategy implementation workshops; and the evaluation phase will involve 6-month follow-up clinical examinations, participant evaluations of dental care provision, and AHW evaluation of oral health training. RESULTS: Stakeholder interviews were initiated in November 2021, and participant recruitment commenced in February 2022. The first results are expected to be submitted for publication in December 2022. CONCLUSIONS: Expected outcomes will identify the burden of oral disease experienced by Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people with ESKD in South Australia. Qualitative outcomes are expected to develop a deeper appreciation of the unique challenges regarding oral health for individuals with ESKD. Through stakeholder engagement, responsive strategies and policies will be co-designed to address participant-identified and stakeholder-identified challenges to ensure accessibility to culturally secure dental services for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander individuals with ESKD. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): PRR1-10.2196/39685.