Community Validation of an Approach to Detect Delayed Diagnosis of Appendicitis in Big Databases.

BACKGROUND: Detection of delayed diagnosis using administrative databases may illuminate the healthcare settings at highest risk. A method for detection of delays in claims has been validated in children's hospitals. We sought to further validate the method in community emergency departments (EDs). METHODS: We studied patients <21 years old diagnosed with appendicitis from 2008 to 2019 in 8 eastern Massachusetts EDs. Eligible patients had 2 ED encounters within 7 days, the second with an appendicitis diagnosis. Delayed diagnosis was evaluated in medical records by trained reviewers. A previously validated trigger tool was applied to participants' electronic medical record data. The tool used data elements included in administrative data, including initial encounter diagnoses, time between encounters, presence of medical complexity, and ultimate length of stay. The tool assigned a probability of delayed diagnosis for each patient. Test characteristics at 4 confidence thresholds were determined, and the area under the receiver operating curve was calculated. RESULTS: We analyzed 68 children with 2 encounters leading to a diagnosis of appendicitis (i.e., possible delay). When assigning a delayed diagnosis prediction to patients at 4 thresholds of confidence (>0%, >50%, >75%, and >90% confident), the positive predictive values were respectively 74%, 89%, 92%, and 89%; the negative predictive values were respectively 100%, 57%, 50%, and 33%. The area under the receiver operating curve was 0.837 (95% confidence interval 0.719-0.954). CONCLUSIONS: A trigger tool that identifies delays in diagnosis using only administrative data in community EDs has a high positive predictive value for true delay. The tool may be applied in community EDs.

Clinician factors associated with delayed diagnosis of appendicitis.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association of clinician demographics and practice patterns with delayed diagnosis of appendicitis. METHODS: We included children with appendicitis at 13 regional emergency departments (EDs). We screened patients with a previous ED visit within 7 days for delayed diagnosis by chart review. We evaluated the association of clinician characteristics using logistic regression with random intercepts for site and clinician and delay as the outcome. RESULTS: Among 7,452 children with appendicitis, 105 (1.4%) had delayed diagnosis. Clinicians in the lowest quartile of obtaining blood in their general practice were more likely to have delayed diagnosis (odds ratio 4.9 compared to highest quartile, 95% confidence interval 1.8, 13.8). Clinicians' imaging rates, specialty, sex, and experience were not associated with delayed diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians who used more blood tests in their general practice had a lower risk of delayed diagnosis of appendicitis, possible evidence that lower risk tolerance has benefits.

Delayed diagnosis of serious paediatric conditions in 13 regional emergency departments.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate rates, risk factors and outcomes of delayed diagnosis of seven serious paediatric conditions. METHODS: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional study of children under 21 years old visiting 13 community and tertiary emergency departments (EDs) with appendicitis, bacterial meningitis, intussusception, mastoiditis, ovarian torsion, sepsis or testicular torsion. Delayed diagnosis was defined as having a previous ED encounter within 1 week in which the condition was present per case review. Patients with delayed diagnosis were each matched to four control patients without delay by condition, facility and age. Conditional logistic regression models evaluated risk factors of delay. Complications were compared between by delayed diagnosis status. RESULTS: Among 14 972 children, delayed diagnosis occurred in 1.1% (range 0.3% for sepsis to 2.6% for ovarian torsion). Hispanic (matched OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.69 to 4.35) and non-Hispanic black (OR 2.40, 95% CI 1.21 to 4.79) race/ethnicity were associated with delayed diagnosis, whereas Asian and other race/ethnicity were not. Public (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.42 to 3.44) and other (OR 2.43, 95% CI 1.50 to 3.93) insurance were also associated with delay. Non-English language was associated with delay (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.02 to 2.69). Abnormal vital signs were associated with a lower likelihood of delay (OR 0.15, 95% CI 0.09 to 0.25). In an adjusted model, Hispanic race/ethnicity, other insurance, abnormal vital signs and complex chronic conditions (CCCs) were associated with delay. The odds of a complication were 2.5-fold (95% CI 1.6 to 3.8) higher among patients with a delay. CONCLUSION: Delayed diagnosis was uncommon across 13 regional EDs but was more likely among children with Hispanic ethnicity, CCCs or normal vital signs. Delays were associated with a higher risk of complications.