Fifteen Years of Iodine Prophylaxis in Italy: Results of a Nationwide Surveillance (Period 2015-2019).

CONTEXT: In 2005, a nationwide program of iodine prophylaxis on a voluntary basis was implemented in Italy by law. However, recent data on iodine status are lacking. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate efficiency, effectiveness, and possible adverse effects (increased occurrence of thyroid autoimmunity and hyperthyroidism) of the Italian iodine prophylaxis program. METHODS: From 2015 to 2019, a nationwide survey was performed. The use of iodized salt was evaluated in a sample of 164 593 adults and in 998 school canteens. A sample of 4233 schoolchildren (aged 11-13 years) was recruited to assess urinary iodine concentration, prevalence of goiter, and thyroid hypoechogenicity on ultrasound, with the latter being an indirect indicator of thyroid autoimmunity. Neonatal TSH values of 197 677 infants screened in regions representative of Northern, Central, and Southern Italy were analyzed to investigate the percentage of TSH values >5.0 mIU/L. Data on methimazole prescriptions were analyzed as indirect indicators of new cases of hyperthyroidism. RESULTS: The prevalence of the use of iodized salt was 71.5% in adult population and 78% in school canteens. A median urinary iodine concentration of 124 µg/L, a prevalence of goiter of 2.2%, and a prevalence of thyroid hypoechogenicity of 5.7% were observed in schoolchildren. The percentage of neonatal TSH values >5.0 mIU/L resulted still higher (5.1%) than the World Health Organization threshold of 3.0%, whereas the prescriptions of methimazole showed a reduction of 13.5%. CONCLUSION: Fifteen years of iodine prophylaxis have led to iodine sufficiency in Italy, although there still is concern about iodine nutritional status during pregnancy.

A Data-Driven Approach to Refine Predictions of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Outcomes: A Prospective Multicenter Study.

CONTEXT: The risk stratification of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is crucial in clinical decision making. The most widely accepted method to assess risk of recurrent/persistent disease is described in the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. However, recent research has focused on the inclusion of novel features or questioned the relevance of currently included features. OBJECTIVE: To develop a comprehensive data-driven model to predict persistent/recurrent disease that can capture all available features and determine the weight of predictors. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study, using the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory (ITCO) database (NCT04031339), we selected consecutive cases with DTC and at least early follow-up data (n = 4773; median follow-up 26 months; interquartile range, 12-46 months) at 40 Italian clinical centers. A decision tree was built to assign a risk index to each patient. The model allowed us to investigate the impact of different variables in risk prediction. RESULTS: By ATA risk estimation, 2492 patients (52.2%) were classified as low, 1873 (39.2%) as intermediate, and 408 as high risk. The decision tree model outperformed the ATA risk stratification system: the sensitivity of high-risk classification for structural disease increased from 37% to 49%, and the negative predictive value for low-risk patients increased by 3%. Feature importance was estimated. Several variables not included in the ATA system significantly impacted the prediction of disease persistence/recurrence: age, body mass index, tumor size, sex, family history of thyroid cancer, surgical approach, presurgical cytology, and circumstances of the diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Current risk stratification systems may be complemented by the inclusion of other variables in order to improve the prediction of treatment response. A complete dataset allows for more precise patient clustering.

Real-World Performance of the American Thyroid Association Risk Estimates in Predicting 1-Year Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Outcomes: A Prospective Multicenter Study of 2000 Patients.

Background: One of the most widely used risk stratification systems for estimating individual patients' risk of persistent or recurrent differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. The 2015 ATA version, which has increased the number of patients considered at low or intermediate risk, has been validated in several retrospective, single-center studies. The aims of this study were to evaluate the real-world performance of the 2015 ATA risk stratification system in predicting the response to treatment 12 months after the initial treatment and to determine the extent to which this performance is affected by the treatment center in which it is used. Methods: A prospective cohort of DTC patients collected by the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory web-based database was analyzed. We reviewed all records present in the database and selected consecutive cases that satisfied inclusion criteria: (i) histological diagnosis of DTC, with the exclusion of noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features; (ii) complete data of the initial treatment and pathological features; and (iii) results of 1-year follow-up visit (6-18 months after the initial treatment), including all data needed to classify the estimated response to treatment. Results: The final cohort was composed of 2071 patients from 40 centers. The ATA risk of persistent/recurrent disease was classified as low in 1109 patients (53.6%), intermediate in 796 (38.4%), and high in 166 (8.0%). Structural incomplete responses were documented in only 86 (4.2%) patients: 1.5% in the low-risk, 5.7% in the intermediate-risk, and 14.5% in the high-risk group. The baseline ATA risk class proved to be a significant predictor of structural persistent disease, both for intermediate-risk (odds ratio [OR] 4.67; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.59-8.43) and high-risk groups (OR 16.48; CI 7.87-34.5). Individual center did not significantly influence the prediction of the 1-year disease status. Conclusions: The ATA risk stratification system is a reliable predictor of short-term outcomes in patients with DTC in real-world clinical settings characterized by center heterogeneity in terms of size, location, level of care, local management strategies, and resource availability.

Calcitonin as a biomarker of C cell disease: recent achievements and current challenges.

The neoplastic proliferation of parafollicular thyroid cells (C cells) may occur as either medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) or C cell hyperplasia (CCH) and is generically defined C cell disease. Since Calcitonin (CT) expression is fully maintained in neoplastic C cells, this hormone represents a sensitive marker for neoplasia of C cell derivation such as CCH and MTC. Serum CT levels display a high prognostic value and accurate estimation of tumor burden, allowing early detection of persistence/relapse and representing a reliable marker of response to treatment. Indeed, elevated CT levels can occur in other non-C cell-related conditions (i.e., other malignancies, systemic diseases, and pharmacological treatments). Moreover, some de-differentiated, more aggressive MTCs may present disproportionately low-circulating CT levels, as compared with tumor burden. During the postsurgical follow-up of MTC patients, CT levels usually parallel tumor progression and their increase unambiguously announces persistence/relapse. In this respect, CT Doubling Time (DT) has been proposed as prognostic factor of potential use for the identification of more aggressive MTCs. The present review will summarize the novel achievements on the clinical suitability of CT as a biomarker in clinical oncology and will point the attention to the most recent results concerning the usefulness and the possible drawbacks of circulating CT as a surrogate marker for the identification of rapidly progressing MTC patients, such as those candidate to targeted therapies. The emerging role of circulating CT as a parameter of response to local and systemic therapies will also be illustrated.

Temozolomide treatment of a malignant pheochromocytoma and an unresectable MAX-related paraganglioma.

Pheochromocytomas (PCCs) and paragangliomas (PGLs) are neuroendocrine tumors with a strong genetic background. The mainstay of treatment for PCC/PGLs is surgery. However, for unresectable lesions, no curative treatment is currently available. Temozolomide (TMZ) has been shown to determine radiological and biochemical response in malignant PCC/PGLs. We report two cases of PCC/PGLs treated with TMZ. Case 1 is a 51-year-old man with local and distant recurrence (liver and bone metastases) of right adrenal PCC. Case 2 is a 54-year-old woman with a PCC/PGL syndrome caused by a mutation in MAX gene (c.171+1G>A), operated on for bilateral adrenal PCC and presenting with a large unresectable abdominal PGL. Both patients presented hypertension due to catecholamine hypersecretion. TMZ determined radiological response according to RECIST criteria, reduction of urinary catecholamine levels, and controlled hypertension in both patients. Furthermore, the current study demonstrates, for the first time, that MAX-related PGLs are responsive to TMZ.

Are Evidence-Based Guidelines Reflected in Clinical Practice? An Analysis of Prospectively Collected Data of the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of evidence-based practice guidelines is to optimize the management of emerging diseases, such as differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). The aim of this study was to assess therapeutic approaches for DTC in Italy and to see how closely these practices conformed to those recommended in the 2009 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. METHODS: The Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory was established to collect data prospectively on thyroid cancers consecutively diagnosed in participating centers (uniformly distributed across the nation). Data on the initial treatment of all pathologically confirmed DTC cases present in the database from January 1, 2013 (database creation) to January 31, 2016, were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 1748 patients (77.2% females; median age 48.1 years [range 10-85 years]) were enrolled in the study. Most (n = 1640; 93.8%) were papillary carcinomas (including 84 poorly differentiated/aggressive variants); 6.2% (n = 108) were follicular and Hürthle cell carcinomas. The median tumor diameter was 11 mm (range 1-93 mm). Tumors were multifocal in 613 (35%) and presented extrathyroidal extension in 492 (28%) cases. Initial treatments included total thyroidectomy (involving one or two procedures; n = 726; 98.8%) and lobectomy (n = 22; 1.2%). A quarter of the patients who underwent total thyroidectomy had unifocal, intrathyroidal tumors ≤1 cm (n = 408; 23.6%). Neck dissection was performed in 40.4% of the patients (29.5% had central compartment dissection). Radioiodine remnant ablation (RRA) was performed in 1057 (61.2%) of the 1726 patients who underwent total thyroidectomy: 460 (41.2%) of the 983 classified by 2009 ATA guideline criteria as low-risk, 570 (87.1%) of the 655 as intermediate-risk, and 82 (93.1%) of the 88 as high-risk patients (p < 0.001). RRA was performed in 44% of the cases involving multifocal DTCs measuring ≤1 cm. CONCLUSIONS: The treatment approaches for DTCs used in Italy display areas of inconsistency with those recommended by the 2009 ATA guidelines. Italian practices were characterized by underuse of thyroid lobectomy in intrathyroidal, unifocal DTCs ≤1 cm. The use of RRA was generally consistent with risk-stratified recommendations. However, its frequent use in small DTCs (≤1 cm) that are multifocal persists, despite the lack of evidence of benefit. These data provide a baseline for future assessments of the impact of international guidelines on DTC management in Italy. These findings also illustrate that the dissemination and implementation of guideline recommendations, and the change in practice patterns, require ongoing education and time.

Temporal Changes in Thyroid Nodule Volume: Lack of Effect on Paranodular Thyroid Tissue Volume.

BACKGROUND: The term "nodular goiter" has long been used to refer to a nodular thyroid gland, based on the assumption that nodule growth may be associated with hyperplasia of the surrounding non-nodular tissue. The aim of this prospective, multicenter, observational study was to determine whether nodule growth is accompanied by growth in the non-nodular tissue. METHODS: Eight Italian thyroid-disease referral centers enrolled 992 consecutive patients with one to four benign nodules. Nodular and non-nodular thyroid tissue volumes were assessed for five years with annual ultrasound examinations. RESULTS: In participants whose nodules remained stable (n = 839), thyroid volumes did not change (baseline 15.0 mL [confidence interval (CI) 14.5-15.6]; five-year evaluation 15.1 mL [CI 14.5-15.7]). In participants with significant growth of one or more nodule (n = 153), thyroid volumes increased and by year 5 were significantly greater than those of the former group (17.4 mL [CI 16-18.7]). In 76 individuals with unilateral nodules that grew, the mean nodular lobe volume significantly exceeded that of the contralateral lobe (8.6 mL [CI 7.4-9.8] vs. 6.7 mL [CI 6-7.4]). The unaffected lobe volumes remained stable over time, while nodular lobes grew steadily and were significantly greater at the end of follow-up (10.1 mL [CI 8.9-11.3]). Excluding the volume of the largest growing nodule in these cases, the remaining volume of the affected lobe remained virtually unchanged with respect to its baseline value. Furthermore, there was no significant difference in the non-nodular tissue volume between the unaffected lobe and the affected lobe (with the largest growing nodule volume subtracted), both at baseline and at the end of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The growth of thyroid nodules is a local process, not associated with growth of the surrounding non-nodular tissue. Therefore, a normal-sized thyroid containing nodules should be referred to as a "uni- or multinodular thyroid gland" and considered a distinct entity from "uni- or multinodular goiter."

Papillary thyroid carcinomas with biochemical incomplete or indeterminate responses to initial treatment: repeat stimulated thyroglobulin assay to identify disease-free patients.

Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients treated with thyroidectomy and radioiodine remnant ablation (RRA) often have detectable TSH-stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) levels without localizable disease after primary treatment. To assess the value of repeat stimulated Tg assays in these patients' follow-up, we retrospectively analyzed 86 cases followed in 5 Italian thyroid-cancer referral centers. We enrolled 86 patients with PTCs treated with total/near-total thyroidectomy plus RRA between January 1,1990 and January 31, 2006. In all cases, the initial postoperative visit revealed stimulated serum Tg ≥1 ng/mL, negative Tg antibodies, and no structural evidence of disease. None received empiric radioiodine therapy. Follow-up (median: 9.6 years) included neck ultrasound and basal Tg assays (yearly) and at least 1 repeat stimulated Tg assay. Of the 86 patients analyzed (initial risk: low 63 %, intermediate 35 %, high 2 %), one (1 %) had ultrasound-detected lymph node disease and persistently elevated stimulated Tg levels at 3 years. In 17 (20 %), imaging findings were consistently negative, but the final stimulated Tg levels was still >1 ng/mL (median 2.07 ng/mL, range 1.02-4.7). The other 68 (80 %) appeared disease-free (persistently negative imaging findings with stimulated Tg levels ≤1 ng/mL). Mean intervals between first and final stimulated Tg assays were similar (5.2 and 4.8 years) in subgroups with versus without Tg normalization. Reclassification as disease-free was significantly more common when initial stimulated Tg levels were indeterminate (<10 ng/mL). In unselected PTC cohorts with incomplete/indeterminate biochemical responses to thyroidectomy and RRA, periodic remeasurement of stimulated Tg allows most patients to be classified as disease-free.

BRAF V600E and risk stratification of thyroid microcarcinoma: a multicenter pathological and clinical study.

Studies from single institutions have analyzed BRAF in papillary microcarcinomas, sometimes with contradictory results. Most of them have provided limited integration of histological and clinical data. To obtain a comprehensive picture of BRAF V600E-mutated microcarcinomas and to evaluate the role of BRAF testing in risk stratification we performed a retrospective multicenter analysis integrating microscopical, pathological, and clinical information. Three hundred and sixty-five samples from 300 patients treated at six medical institutions covering different geographical regions of Italy were analyzed with central review of all cases. BRAF V600E statistical analysis was conducted on 298 microcarcinomas from 264 patients after exclusion of those that did not meet the required criteria. BRAF V600E was identified in 145/298 tumors (49%) including the following subtypes: 35/37 (95%, P<0.0001) tall cell and 72/114 (64%, P<0.0001) classic; conversely 94/129 follicular variant papillary microcarcinomas (73%, P<0.0001) were BRAF wild type. BRAF V600E-mutated microcarcinomas were characterized by markedly infiltrative contours (P<0.0001) with elongated strings of neoplastic cells departing from the tumor, and by intraglandular tumor spread (P<0.0001), typically within 5 mm of the tumor border. Multivariate analysis correlated BRAF V600E with specific microscopic features (nuclear grooves, optically clear nuclei, tall cells within the tumor, and tumor fibrosis), aggressive growth pattern (infiltrative tumor border, extension into extrathyroidal tissues, and intraglandular tumor spread), higher American Thyroid Association recurrence risk group, and non-incidental tumor discovery. The following showed the strongest link to BRAF V600E: tall cell subtype, many neoplastic cells with nuclear grooves or with optically clear nuclei, infiltrative growth, intraglandular tumor spread, and a tumor discovery that was non-incidental. BRAF V600E-mutated microcarcinomas represent a distinct biological subtype. The mutation is associated with conventional clinico-pathological features considered to be adverse prognostic factors for papillary microcarcinoma, for which it could be regarded as a surrogate marker. BRAF analysis may be useful to identify tumors (BRAF wild type) that have negligible clinical risk.

The natural history of benign thyroid nodules.

IMPORTANCE: Detection of asymptomatic thyroid nodules has increased. Consensus is lacking regarding the optimal follow-up of cytologically proven benign lesions and sonographically nonsuspicious nodules. Current guidelines recommend serial ultrasound examinations and reassessment of cytology if significant growth is observed. OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency, magnitude, and factors associated with changes in thyroid nodule size. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective, multicenter, observational study involving 992 consecutive patients with 1 to 4 asymptomatic, sonographically or cytologically benign thyroid nodules. Patients were recruited from 8 hospital-based thyroid-disease referral centers in Italy between 2006 and 2008. Data collected during the first 5 years of follow-up, through January 2013, were analyzed. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Baseline nodule growth (primary end point) was assessed with yearly thyroid ultrasound examinations. Size changes were considered significant for growth if an increase of 20% or more was recorded in at least 2 nodule diameters, with a minimum increase of 2 mm. Baseline factors associated with growth were identified. Secondary end points were the sonographic detection of new nodules and the diagnosis of thyroid cancer during follow-up. RESULTS: Nodule growth occurred in 153 patients (15.4% [95% CI, 14.3%-16.5%]). One hundred seventy-four of the 1567 original nodules (11.1% [95% CI, 10.3%-11.9%]) increased in size, with a mean 5-year largest diameter increase of 4.9 mm (95% CI, 4.2-5.5 mm), from 13.2 mm (95% CI, 12.1-14.2 mm) to 18.1 mm (95% CI, 16.7-19.4 mm). Nodule growth was associated with presence of multiple nodules (OR, 2.2 [95% CI 1.4-3.4] for 2 nodules; OR, 3.2 [95% CI, 1.8-5.6 for 3 nodules; and OR, 8.9 [95% CI, 4.4-18.0] for 4 nodules), main nodule volumes larger than 0.2 mL (OR, 2.9 [95% CI, 1.7-4.9] for volumes >0.2 to <1 mL and OR, 3.0 [95% CI, 1.8-5.1] for volumes ≥1 mL), and male sex (OR, 1.7 [95% CI, 1.1-2.6]), whereas an age of 60 years or older was associated with a lower risk of growth than age younger than 45 years (OR, 0.5 [95% CI 0.3-0.9]). In 184 individuals (18.5% [95% CI, 16.4%-20.9%]), nodules shrank spontaneously. Thyroid cancer was diagnosed in 5 original nodules (0.3% [95% CI, 0.0%-0.6%]). Only 2 had grown. An incidental cancer was found at thyroidectomy in a nonvisualized nodule. New nodules developed in 93 patients (9.3% [95% CI, 7.5%-11.1%]), with detection of one cancer. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among patients with asymptomatic, sonographically or cytologically benign thyroid nodules, the majority of nodules exhibited no significant size increase during 5 years of follow-up and thyroid cancer was rare. These findings support consideration of revision of current guideline recommendations for follow-up of asymptomatic thyroid nodules.

Clinical aggressiveness and long-term outcome in patients with papillary thyroid cancer and circulating anti-thyroglobulin autoantibodies.

OBJECTIVE: The association between papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and Hashimoto's thyroiditis is widely recognized, but less is known about the possible link between circulating anti-thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) titers and PTC aggressiveness. To shed light on this issue, we retrospectively examined a large series of PTC patients with and without positive TgAb. METHODS: Data on 220 TgAb-positive PTC patients (study cohort) were retrospectively collected in 10 hospital-based referral centers. All the patients had undergone near-total thyroidectomy with or without radioiodine remnant ablation. Tumor characteristics and long-term outcomes (follow-up range: 2.5-24.8 years) were compared with those recently reported in 1020 TgAb-negative PTC patients with similar demographic characteristics. We also assessed the impact on clinical outcome of early titer disappearance in the TgAb-positive group. RESULTS: At baseline, the study cohort (mean age 45.9 years, range 12.5-84.1 years; 85% female) had a significantly higher prevalence of high-risk patients (6.9% vs. 3.2%, p<0.05) and extrathyroidal tumor extension (28.2% vs. 24%; p<0.0001) than TgAb-negative controls. Study cohort patients were also more likely than controls to have persistent disease at the 1-year visit (13.6% vs. 7.0%, p=0.001) or recurrence during subsequent follow-up (5.8% vs. 1.4%, p=0.0001). At the final follow-up visit, the percentage of patients with either persistent or recurrent disease in the two cohorts was significantly different (6.4% of TgAb-positive patients vs. 1.7% in the TgAb-negative group, p<0.0001). At the 1-year visit, titer normalization was observed in 85 of the 220 TgAb-positive individuals. These patients had a significantly lower rate of persistent disease than those who were still TgAb positive (8.2% vs. 17.3%. p=0.05), and no relapses were observed among patients with no evidence of disease during subsequent follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: PTC patients with positive serum TgAb titer during the first year after primary treatment were more likely to have persistent/recurrent disease than those who were consistently TgAb-negative. Negative titers at 1 year may be associated with more favorable outcomes.

Papillary thyroid cancer: time course of recurrences during postsurgery surveillance.

CONTEXT: The current use of life-long follow-up in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is based largely on the study of individuals diagnosed and treated in the latter half of the 20th century when recurrence rates were approximately 20% and relapses detected up to 20-30 years after surgery. Since then, however, diagnosis, treatment, and postoperative monitoring of PTC patients have evolved significantly. OBJECTIVES: The objective of the study was to identify times to PTC recurrence and rates by which these relapses occurred in a more recent patient cohort. PATIENTS AND DESIGN: We retrospectively analyzed follow-up data for 1020 PTC patients consecutively diagnosed in 1990-2008 in 8 Italian hospital centers for thyroid disease. Patients underwent thyroidectomy, with or without radioiodine ablation of residual thyroid tissue and were followed up with periodic serum thyroglobulin assays and neck sonography. RESULTS: At the initial posttreatment (≤ 12 months) examination, 948 patients had no structural/functional evidence of disease. During follow-up (5.1-20.4 years; median 10.4 years), recurrence (cervical lymph nodes, thyroid bed) was diagnosed in 13 (1.4%) of these patients. All relapses occurred 8 or fewer years after treatment (10 within the first 5 years, 6 within the first 3 years). Recurrence was unrelated to the use/omission of postoperative radioiodine ablation. CONCLUSION: In PTC patients whose initial treatment produces disease remission (no structural evidence of disease), recurrent disease is rare, and it usually occurs during the early postoperative period. The picture of recurrence timing during the follow-up provides a foundation for the design of more cost-effective surveillance protocols for PTC patients.

Long-term surveillance of papillary thyroid cancer patients who do not undergo postoperative radioiodine remnant ablation: is there a role for serum thyroglobulin measurement?

CONTEXT: Serum thyroglobulin (Tg) assays are considered fundamental in postoperative surveillance of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients. However, the postsurgical profile of Tg levels has never been specifically investigated in patients who do not undergo radioiodine remnant ablation (RRA). OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to explore the evolution of Tg levels over time in DTC patients treated with total or near-total thyroidectomy without RRA. DESIGN: We retrospectively analyzed 290 consecutively diagnosed cases of low-risk (American Thyroid Association criteria) DTC treated with thyroidectomy alone and followed yearly with neck ultrasonography and serum Tg assays. We compared final Tg values in this group and a matched group of 495 RRA-positive patients. Temporal trends of serial Tg levels were also analyzed in 78 of the RRA-negative patients monitored with a high-sensitivity immunoradiometric assay. RESULTS: After follow-up of 2.5-22 yr (median 5 yr), final Tg levels were undetectable (<1 ng/ml) in 274 of 290 RRA-negative patients (95%) and 492 of 495 RRA-positive controls (99%). In the subset of 78 RRA-negative patients, undetectable Tg levels (<0.2 ng/ml) were recorded in 60% at the first postoperative evaluation (3-12 months) and in 79% after 5 yr. Tg levels increased in the single patient who experienced disease recurrence during the observation period. CONCLUSION: In most RRA-negative patients, postoperative serum Tg values spontaneously drop to undetectable levels within 5-7 yr after thyroidectomy. Thus, in later phases, Tg assays may be a valuable tool for follow-up even in patients who do not undergo RRA.

Identification and optimal postsurgical follow-up of patients with very low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas.

CONTEXT: Most papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs; ≤ 1 cm diameter) are indolent low-risk tumors, but some cases behave more aggressively. Controversies have thus arisen over the optimum postoperative surveillance of PTMC patients. OBJECTIVES: We tested the hypothesis that clinical criteria could be used to identify PTMC patients with very low mortality/recurrence risks and attempted to define the best strategy for their management and long-term surveillance. DESIGN: We retrospectively analyzed data from 312 consecutively diagnosed PTMC patients with T1N0M0 stage disease, no family history of thyroid cancer, no history of head-neck irradiation, unifocal PTMC, no extracapsular involvement, and classic papillary histotypes. Additional inclusion criteria were complete follow-up data from surgery to at least 5 yr after diagnosis. All 312 had undergone (near) total thyroidectomy [with radioactive iodine (RAI) remnant ablation in 137 (44%) - RAI group] and were followed up yearly with cervical ultrasonography and serum thyroglobulin, TSH, and thyroglobulin antibody assays. RESULTS: During follow-up (5-23 yr, median 6.7 yr), there were no deaths due to thyroid cancer or reoperations. The first (6-12 months after surgery) and last postoperative cervical sonograms were negative in all cases. Final serum thyroglobulin levels were undetectable (<1 ng/ml) in all RAI patients and almost all (93%) of non-RAI patients. CONCLUSION: Accurate risk stratification can allow safe follow-up of most PTMC patients with a less intensive, more cost-effective protocol. Cervical ultrasonography is the mainstay of this protocol, and negative findings at the first postoperative examination are highly predictive of positive outcomes.

Predictive value of recombinant human TSH stimulation and neck ultrasonography in differentiated thyroid cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Serum thyroglobulin (Tg) stimulation by recombinant human TSH (rhTSH), in combination with neck ultrasonography (US), is an important tool in the first follow-up of differentiated epithelial cell thyroid carcinoma (DTC) patients. The objective of this study was to investigate if a second rhTSH stimulation, performed 2-3 years later, is of clinical utility in the follow-up of these patients. METHODS: One hundred and one consecutive ambulatory DTC patients were studied. The great majority of them (89/101) were low-risk patients, being stage I or II at tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging classification. All study patients had been treated by surgery and radioiodine ablation, and exhibited, at first rhTSH follow-up, either undetectable Tg (1-5 ng/mL) (rhTSH1-Tg+, n = 12 patients considered with uncertain prognosis), with no US evidence of residual disease. In all patients, serum Tg measurement after a second rhTSH stimulation and neck US were performed. RESULTS: At the second follow-up, all 89 rhTSH1-Tg-patients showed a negative US, and Tg became low positive only in one case, whereas it remained undetectable in the other patients. The overall negative predictive value of rhTSH1-Tg- was, then, 98.9%. Out of the remaining 12 patients (i.e., rhTSH1-Tg+ patients), 2 showed disease persistence/recurrence (with a positive predictive value of rhTSH1-Tg+ of 16.7%) and 6 became Tg-. CONCLUSIONS: A second rhTSH stimulation is useless in DTC patients who were rhTSH-Tg and imaging negative at first follow-up, while it is suggested in patients with detectable, although low, rhTSH-Tg levels at first follow-up: in the absence of clinical or US evidence of disease persistence, these patients should not be retreated by radioiodine, but simply scheduled for a later rhTSH stimulation.