Association of Childbirth With Medical Debt.

We evaluated the association between childbirth and having medical debt in collections and examined differences by neighborhood socioeconomic status. Among a statewide cohort of commercially insured pregnant (n=14,560) and postpartum (n=12,157) adults, having medical debt in collections was more likely among postpartum individuals compared with pregnant individuals (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.36, 95% CI 1.27-1.46) and those in lowest-income neighborhoods compared with all others (aOR 2.18, 95% CI 2.02-2.35). Postpartum individuals in lowest-income neighborhoods had the highest predicted probabilities of having medical debt in collections (28.9%, 95% CI 27.5-30.3%), followed by pregnant individuals in lowest-income neighborhoods (23.2%, 95% CI 22.0-24.4%), followed by all other postpartum and pregnant people (16.1%, 95% CI 15.4-16.8% and 12.5%, 95% CI 11.9-13.0%, respectively). Our findings suggest that current peripartum out-of-pocket costs are objectively more than many commercially insured families can afford, leading to medical debt. Policies to reduce maternal-infant health care spending among commercially insured individuals may mitigate financial hardship and improve birth equity.

Rank reversal in indirect comparisons.

OBJECTIVE: To describe rank reversal as a source of inconsistent interpretation intrinsic to indirect comparison (Bucher HC, Guyatt GH, Griffith LE, Walter SD. The results of direct and indirect treatment comparisons in meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. J Clin Epi 1997;50:683-91) of treatments and to propose best practice. METHODS: We prove our main points with intuition, examples, graphs, and mathematical proofs. We also provide software and discuss implications for research and policy. RESULTS: When comparing treatments by indirect means and sorting them by effect size, three common measures of comparison (risk ratio, risk difference, and odds ratio) may lead to vastly different rankings. CONCLUSIONS: The choice of risk measure matters when making indirect comparisons of treatments. The choice should depend primarily on the study design and the conceptual framework for that study.