Histologic and Quality Assessment of Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) Research Samples: A Large Postmortem Tissue Collection.

CONTEXT.­: The National Institutes of Health Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project was developed to elucidate how genetic variation influences gene expression in multiple normal tissues procured from postmortem donors. OBJECTIVE.­: To provide critical insight into a biospecimen's suitability for subsequent analysis, each biospecimen underwent quality assessment measures that included evaluation for underlying disease and potential effects introduced by preanalytic factors. DESIGN.­: Electronic images of each tissue collected from nearly 1000 postmortem donors were evaluated by board-certified pathologists for the extent of autolysis, tissue purity, and the type and abundance of any extraneous tissue. Tissue-specific differences in the severity of autolysis and RNA integrity were evaluated, as were potential relationships between these markers and the duration of postmortem interval and rapidity of death. RESULTS.­: Tissue-specific challenges in the procurement and preservation of the nearly 30 000 tissue specimens collected during the GTEx project are summarized. Differences in the degree of autolysis and RNA integrity number were observed among the 40 tissue types evaluated, and tissue-specific susceptibilities to the duration of postmortem interval and rapidity of death were observed. CONCLUSIONS.­: Ninety-five percent of tissues were of sufficient quality to support RNA sequencing analysis. Biospecimens, annotated whole slide images, de-identified clinical data, and genomic data generated for GTEx represent a high-quality and comprehensive resource for the scientific community that has contributed to its use in approximately 1695 articles. Biospecimens and data collected under the GTEx project are available via the GTEx portal and authorized access to the Database of Genotypes and Phenotypes; procedures and whole slide images are available from the National Cancer Institute.

'Acceleration' of the food delivery marketplace: Perspectives of local authority professionals in the North-East of England on temporary COVID regulations.

In January 2021, we assessed the implications of temporary regulations in the United Kingdom allowing pubs and restaurants to operate on a takeaway basis without instigating a change of use. Local authorities (LAs) across the North-East of England were unaware of any data regarding the take-up of these regulations, partially due to ongoing capacity issues; participants also raised health concerns around takeaway use increasing significantly. One year on, we repeated the study aiming to understand the impact of these regulations on the policy and practice of key professional groups. Specifically, we wanted to understand if LAs were still struggling with staff capacity to address the regulations, whether professionals still had public health trepidations, and if any unexpected changes had occurred across the local food environment because of the pandemic. We conversed with 16 public health professionals, planners and environmental health officers across seven LAs throughout the North-East of England via focus groups and interviews. Data collated were analysed via an inductive and semantic, reflexive-thematic approach. Through analysis of the data, three themes were generated and are discussed throughout: popular online delivery services as a mediator to increased takeaway usage; potential long-term health implications and challenges; continued uncertainty regarding the temporary regulations. This paper highlights important changes to local food environments, which public health professionals should be aware of, so they are better equipped to tackle health inequalities across urban and sub-urban areas.

Notable Histologic Findings in a "Normal" Cohort: The National Institutes of Health Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) Project

CONTEXT.­: The National Institutes of Health (NIH) Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project was designed to evaluate how genetic variation and epigenetic effects influence gene expression in normal tissue. OBJECTIVE.­: To ensure that the grossly normal-appearing tissues collected were free from disease, each specimen underwent histologic evaluation. DESIGN.­: In total, nearly 30 000 tissue aliquots collected from almost 1000 postmortem donors underwent histologic review by project pathologists, and detailed observations of any abnormalities or lesions present were recorded. RESULTS.­: Despite sampling of normal-appearing tissue, in-depth review revealed incidental findings among GTEx samples that included neoplastic, autoimmune, and genetic conditions; the incidence of some of these conditions among GTEx donors differed from those previously reported for other populations. A number of age-related abnormalities observed during histologic review of tissue specimens are also described. CONCLUSIONS.­: Histologic findings from the GTEx project may serve to improve populational awareness of several conditions and present a unique opportunity for others to explore age- and gender-influenced conditions. Resources from the study, including histologic image and sequencing data, are publicly available for research.

Co-located Heroin Assisted Treatment within primary care: A preliminary analysis of the implications for healthcare access, cost, and treatment delivery in the UK.

BACKGROUND: The UK is experiencing its highest rate of drug related deaths in 25 years. Poor and inconsistent access to healthcare negatively impacts health outcomes for people who use drugs. Innovation in models of care which promote access and availability of physical treatment is fundamental. Heroin Assisted Treatment (HAT) is a treatment modality targeted at the most marginalised people who use drugs, at high risk of mortality and morbidity. The first service-provider initiated HAT service in the UK ran between October 2019 and November 2022 in Middlesbrough, England. The service was co-located within a specialist primary care facility offering acute healthcare treatment alongside injectable diamorphine. METHODS: Analysis of anonymised health records for healthcare costs (not including drug treatment) took place using descriptive statistics prior and during engagement with HAT, at both three (n=15) and six (n=12) months. Primary outcome measures were incidents of wound care, skin and soft tissue infections (SSTIs), overdose (OD) events, unplanned overnight stays in hospital, treatment engagement (general and within hospital care settings) and ambulance incidents. Secondary outcome measures were costs associated with these events. RESULTS: A shift in healthcare access for participants during HAT engagement was observed. HAT service attendance appeared to support health promoting preventative care, and reduce reactive reliance on emergency healthcare systems. At three and six months, engagement for preventative wound care and treatment for SSTIs increased at the practice. Unplanned emergency healthcare interactions for ODs, overnight hospital stays, serious SSTIs, and ambulance incidents reduced, and there was an increase in treatment engagement (i.e. a reduction in appointments which were not engaged with). There was a decrease in treatment engagement in hospital settings. Changes in healthcare utilisation during HAT translated to a reduction in healthcare costs of 58% within six months compared to the same timeframe from the period directly prior to commencing HAT. CONCLUSION: This exploratory study highlights the potential for innovative harm reduction interventions such as HAT, co-located with primary care services, to improve healthcare access and engagement for a high-risk population. Increased uptake of primary healthcare services translated to reductions in emergency healthcare use and associated costs. Although costs of HAT provision are substantial, the notable cost-savings in health care should be an important consideration in service implementation planning.

Accuracy of MRI in predicting deep myometrial invasion in endometrial cancer and the influence of leiomyoma, adenomyosis and the microcystic elongated and fragmented tumour pattern.

INTRODUCTION: The most common form of endometrial cancer is Type 1 endometrioid adenocarcinoma. Depth of myometrial invasion is the most important prognostic factor correlating with overall patient survival. The objective was to investigate how accurate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is in predicting the depth of myometrial invasion in preoperative assessment, and the influence of leiomyoma and/or adenomyosis, or microcystic, elongated and fragmented (MELF) pattern of invasion on MRI diagnostic performance. METHOD: Retrospective audit of 235 endometrial cancer patients from the regional Gynaecology Oncology multidisciplinary meeting at Auckland City Hospital, between January 2020 and January 2021. Radiologist assigned stage was compared to histopathology. Presence of leiomyoma, adenomyosis and MELF pattern evaluated followed by analysis under a Biostatistician's supervision. RESULTS: Overall MRI diagnostic accuracy for depth of myometrial invasion was 86%. For deep myometrial invasion, MRI had a sensitivity of 72% and specificity 91%. Out of the misreported 32/235 cases, 16 demonstrated fibroids and/or adenomyosis leading to a sensitivity of 57% and specificity 93% for deep invasion, compared with 94% and 74% respectively in the population without, demonstrating statistical significance. Thirty seven cases with MELF pattern of invasion showed a sensitivity of 81% and specificity 80% for deep invasion, compared with 63% and 92% respectively in the group without, demonstrating no statistical significance. CONCLUSION: MRI assessment of the depth of myometrial invasion in endometrial cancer has high accuracy. In the presence of background uterine fibroids/adenomyosis, pre-operative MRI accuracy of evaluating deep invasion shows a statistically significant reduction.

Process evaluation of a primary care-based type 2 diabetes remission project in the North East of England.

A type 2 diabetes remission project, Remission in Diabetes (REMI.D), funded by Sport England, was developed by stakeholders based in the North East of England and begun in early 2020. This local delivery pilot sought to tackle health inequalities by working with multiple organisations to demonstrate a way of scaling up an effective type 2 diabetes remission strategy which included both physical activity and dietary components. The intended delivery of the original project was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and changes were made to the project delivery in 2022. The aim of this process evaluation was to learn from the reactive decisions taken by stakeholders which altered the REMI.D project in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Twelve stakeholders (from local authorities, secondary care, universities, NHS England commissioning, Diabetes UK, Sport England, Everyone Active and Active Partnerships) involved in the design and delivery of the intervention took part in a semi-structured interview lasting up to 60 min. Interviews were recorded and transcribed verbatim. Thematic analysis used the pre-determined 'core content' themes from the Medical Research Council and National Institute for Health Research framework for developing and evaluating complex interventions. Three topics for discussion emerged as follows: (a) lack of effective collaboration, (b) perception of change and (c) scalability of the intervention. Hierarchy within the stakeholder group initially hampered collaboration. Change was reactive as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Project changes reduced project sustainability and scalability but offered valuable learning about the need for explicit project theory for partnership working, co-production with service users and project flexibility for long-term health behaviour change.

Quantitative methods for optimizing patient outcomes in liver transplantation.

Liver transplantation (LT) is a lifesaving yet complex intervention with considerable challenges impacting graft and patient outcomes. Despite best practices, 5-year graft survival is only 70%. Sophisticated quantitative techniques offer potential solutions by assimilating multifaceted data into insights exceeding human cognition. Optimizing donor-recipient matching and graft allocation presents additional intricacies, involving the integration of clinical and laboratory data to select the ideal donor and recipient pair. Allocation must balance physiological variables with geographical and logistical constraints and timing. Quantitative methods can integrate these complex factors to optimize graft utilization. Such methods can also aid in personalizing treatment regimens, drawing on both pretransplant and posttransplant data, possibly using continuous immunological monitoring to enable early detection of graft injury or infected states. Advanced analytics is thus poised to transform management in LT, maximizing graft and patient survival. In this review, we describe quantitative methods applied to organ transplantation, with a focus on LT. These include quantitative methods for (1) utilizing and allocating donor organs equitably and optimally, (2) improving surgical planning through preoperative imaging, (3) monitoring graft and immune status, (4) determining immunosuppressant doses, and (5) establishing and maintaining the health of graft and patient after LT.

Identification of tax options for high fat, sugar, salt foods for the HEALTHEI Project: a mixed-methods study.

BACKGROUND: The health economic analysis incorporating effects on labour outcomes, households, environment, and inequalities (HEALTHEI) explores which food taxes would have greatest benefits to health, labour, and work outcomes; household expenditure; environmental sustainability; and inequalities within the UK food system. Work package 1 includes a rapid review and workshops, aiming to explore the effects of price increases in food and non-alcoholic beverages to facilitate the specification of food taxes and research design. METHODS: In this mixed-methods study, we first did a rapid review to examine relevant published evidence. A preplanned framework ensured a systematic approach, in which we searched PubMed, HMIC, Scopus, Google, Mintel/Mintel Food and Drink, and Business Source Ultimate for papers published in English from Jan 1, 2010, to Nov 2, 2022. This review was followed by three online workshops (in March, 2023), which used interactive padlets to explore food systems, food taxation policy, tax rationales, and a rapid review infographic. 14 stakeholders from non-governmental organisations (n=10), academia (n=2), the Civil Service (n=1), and a local authority (n=1) took part (gender or ethnicity were not recorded). A stakeholder recruitment grid was developed to ensure representation across public sectors and disciplines of public health, nutrition, environment, and economics. FINDINGS: The rapid review identified six tax options with a broadly positive impact on consumption and health (high fat, high sugar, high salt, "junk food", sugar-sweetened-beverages, and meats plus sugar-sweetened beverages). It generated five core rationales for a food tax: change consumption, reduce or prevent harm, change product affordability, raise revenue, and industry impact. Using the workshop feedback, health inequalities, economics, ease of implementation and animal welfare were additional key areas for a so-called real-world application of tax. Stakeholders questioned the taxes in the current economic and political climate. INTERPRETATION: The work highlights the need to develop an impactful food tax option that encompasses the five core rationales identified in the findings. The workshops identified key areas to explore further to understand the feasibility, impact, and logistics of implementing future food taxes. Being unable to deliver workshops in person due to difficulties of participants travelling to London was a limitation. However, switching online allowed for varied and well attended workshops. FUNDING: National Institute of Health Research (Ref: NIHR133927).

Determining optimal combination regimens for patients with multiple myeloma.

While many novel therapies have been approved in recent years for treating patients with multiple myeloma, there is still no established curative regimen, especially for patients with high-risk disease. In this work, we use a mathematical modeling approach to determine combination therapy regimens that maximize healthy lifespan for patients with multiple myeloma. We start with a mathematical model for the underlying disease and immune dynamics, which was presented and analyzed previously. We add the effects of three therapies to the model: pomalidomide, dexamethasone, and elotuzumab. We consider multiple approaches to optimizing combinations of these therapies. We find that optimal control combined with approximation outperforms other methods, in that it can quickly produce a combination regimen that is clinically-feasible and near-optimal. Implications of this work can be used to optimize doses and advance the scheduling of drugs.

'This is hardcore': a qualitative study exploring service users' experiences of Heroin-Assisted Treatment (HAT) in Middlesbrough, England.

BACKGROUND: Heroin-Assisted Treatment (HAT) is well evidenced internationally to improve health and social outcomes for people dependent on opioids who have not been helped by traditional treatment options. Despite this evidence base, England has been slow to implement HAT. The first service outside of a trial setting opened in 2019, providing twice-daily supervised injections of medical-grade heroin (diamorphine) to a select sample of high-risk heroin users in Middlesbrough. This paper explores their experiences, including the negotiation of the strict regularly controls required of a novel intervention in the UK context. METHODS: We conducted in-depth interviews with service providers and users of the Middlesbrough HAT service between September and November 2021. Data from each group were thematically analysed and reported separately. This paper details the experiences of the twelve heroin dependent men and women accessing HAT. RESULTS: Participants' accounts of HAT treatment evidenced a tension between the regulatory constraints and uncertainty of treatment provision, and the positive outcomes experienced through supportive service provision and an injectable treatment option. Limited confidence was held in treatment efficacy, longevity of funding, and personal capacity for treatment success. This was counteracted by a strong motivation to cease engagement with the illicit drug market. While attendance requirements placed restrictions on daily activities, participants also experienced benefits from strong, supportive bonds built with the service providers through their continued engagement. CONCLUSIONS: The Middlesbrough HAT programme provided benefits to a high-risk population of opioid dependent people who were unable or disinclined to participate in conventional opioid substitution treatments. The findings in this paper highlight the potential for service modifications to further enhance engagement. The closure of this programme in 2022 prohibits this opportunity for the Middlesbrough community, but holds potential to inform advocacy and innovation for future HAT interventions in England.

Opportunities to improve population health: possibilities for healthier food environments.

The recent Covid-19 pandemic highlighted stark social inequalities, notably around access to food, nutrition and to green or blue space (i.e. outdoor spaces with vegetation and water). Consequently, obesity is socio-economically patterned by this inequality; and while the environmental drivers of obesity are widely acknowledged, there is currently little upstream intervention. We know that living with obesity contributes to increasing health inequalities, and places healthcare systems under huge strain. Our environment could broadly be described obesogenic, in the sense of supporting unhealthful eating patterns and sedentary behaviour. Evidence points to the existence of nearly 700 UK obesity policies, all of which have had little success. Obesity prevention and treatment has focused on educational and behavioural interventions targeted at individual consumers. A more sustainable approach would be to try and change the environments that promote less healthy eating and high energy intake as well as sedentary behaviour. Approaches which modify the environment have the potential to assist in the prevention of this complex condition. This review paper focuses on the role of wider food environments or foodscapes. While there is an imperfect evidence base relating to the role of the foodscape in terms of the obesity crisis, policy, practice, civic society and industry must work together and take action now, in areas where current evidence suggests change is required. Despite the current cost-of-living crisis, shaping the foodscape to better support healthful eating decisions has the potential to be a key aspect of a successful obesity prevention intervention.

More than just 'free heroin': Caring whilst navigating constraint in the delivery of diamorphine assisted treatment.

BACKGROUND: In 2020, drug related deaths in the United Kingdom (UK) reached the highest rate in over 25 years, with hospitalisations and deaths particularly impacting people who use illicit opioids such as heroin. Treatment systems are increasingly required to be innovative to engage the most vulnerable at risk from premature morbidity and mortality. Heroin Assisted Treatment (HAT) is an alternative treatment modality for people for whom more traditional forms of opioid substitution therapy, such as methadone, have been ineffective. Middlesbrough, a town in the North-East England, was home to the first service in the UK to implement HAT outside of a clinical trial setting which closed for operation in November 2022. METHODS: Qualitative in-depth interviews with patients and health care providers (n =17) involved in the delivery of HAT were undertaken during 2021. This paper focuses on the health care provider interviews, the majority of which took place remotely. Interviews were audio recorded and thematically analysed. RESULTS: Health care providers navigated multiple layers of constraint during HAT implementation and delivery. We explore this in relation to three themes: 1) Negotiating risk and safety within treatment 2) More than a prescription: care beyond diamorphine 3) Internal and external delivery barriers and impact on treatment acceptability, identity and longevity. Negotiating and managing risks of polysubstance use was a complex task. Benefits regarding access to holistic care, improved therapeutic and social relationships were recognised by practitioners. The rigorous delivery schedule was the biggest barrier to engagement. Outside the treatment room, socio-structural factors posed additional challenges. CONCLUSION: Despite some operational complexities, health care providers viewed HAT as an effective method of engaging a high risk population with drug treatment services, with holistic benefits for clients over and above the treatment of opioid dependency. Findings will inform advocacy and innovation for future HAT interventions in England.

Formalin Fixation, Delay to Fixation, and Time in Fixative Adversely Impact Copy Number Variation Analysis by aCGH.

Although molecular profiling of DNA isolated from formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor specimens has become more common in recent years, it remains unclear how discrete FFPE processing variables may affect detection of copy number variation (CNV). To better understand such effects, array comparative genomic hybridization (aCGH) profiles of FFPE renal cell carcinoma specimens that experienced different delays to fixation (DTFs; 1, 2, 3, and 12 hours) and times in fixative (TIFs; 6, 12, 23, and 72 hours) were compared to snap-frozen tumor and blood specimens from the same patients. A greater number of regions containing CNVs relative to commercial reference DNA were detected in DNA from FFPE tumor specimens than snap-frozen tumor specimens even though they originated from the same tumor blocks. Extended DTF and TIF affected the number of DNA segments with a copy number status that differed between FFPE and frozen tumor specimens; a DTF ≥3 hours led to more segments, while a TIF of 72 hours led to fewer segments. Importantly, effects were not random as a higher guanine-cytosine (GC) content and/or a higher percentage of repeats were observed among stable regions. While limiting aCGH analysis to FFPE specimens with a DTF <3 hours and a TIF <72 hours may circumvent some effects, results from FFPE specimens should be validated against fresh or frozen specimens whenever possible.

Hb Kirikiriroa [α57(E6)Gly→Cys; HBA1: c.172G>T]: A Novel Unstable α-Globin Variant with Oxidized Derivatives Interfering with Hb A1c.

We report the identification of a novel hemoglobin (Hb) variant [α57(E6)Gly→Cys; HBA1: c.172G>T], to be referred to as Hb Kirikiriroa. The variant was detected in five subjects from two families, with familial relationship established between the families following diagnosis. A persistently elevated Hb A1c over a 1-year period prompted hemoglobinopathy screening in an adolescent male of New Zealand (NZ) European descent (case 1). Capillary electrophoresis (CE) revealed the variant was negatively charged and susceptible to oxidation, with multiple abnormal peaks detected (0.4-5.1% total Hb). Hb A1c analysis by cation exchange high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) was the first indication of the variant in a pregnant female of NZ European descent (case 2). Cases 1 and 2 had normal complete blood counts. Isopropanol stability testing provided evidence the variant was unstable. We herein describe the characterization of Hb Kirikiriroa and clinical significance of the variant for interference with Hb A1c analysis by CE and cation exchange HPLC.

Interobserver and intraobserver variability of RECIST assessment in ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Measurement of Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors (RECIST) relies on reproducible unidimensional tumor measurements. This study assessed intraobserver and interobserver variability of target lesion selection and measurement, according to RECIST version 1.1 in patients with ovarian cancer. METHODS: Eight international radiologists independently viewed 47 images demonstrating malignant lesions in patients with ovarian cancer and selected and measured lesions according to RECIST V.1.1 criteria. Thirteen images were viewed twice. Interobserver variability of selection and measurement were calculated for all images. Intraobserver variability of selection and measurement were calculated for images viewed twice. Lesions were classified according to their anatomical site as pulmonary, hepatic, pelvic mass, peritoneal, lymph nodal, or other. Lesion selection variability was assessed by calculating the reproducibility rate. Lesion measurement variability was assessed with the intra-class correlation coefficient. RESULTS: From 47 images, 82 distinct lesions were identified. For lesion selection, the interobserver and intraobserver reproducibility rates were high, at 0.91 and 0.93, respectively. Interobserver selection reproducibility was highest (reproducibility rate 1) for pelvic mass and other lesions. Intraobserver selection reproducibility was highest (reproducibility rate 1) for pelvic mass, hepatic, nodal, and other lesions. Selection reproducibility was lowest for peritoneal lesions (interobserver reproducibility rate 0.76 and intraobserver reproducibility rate 0.69). For lesion measurement, the overall interobserver and intraobserver intraclass correlation coefficients showed very good concordance of 0.84 and 0.94, respectively. Interobserver intraclass correlation coefficient showed very good concordance for hepatic, pulmonary, peritoneal, and other lesions, and ranged from 0.84 to 0.97, but only moderate concordance for lymph node lesions (0.58). Intraobserver intraclass correlation coefficient showed very good concordance for all lesions, ranging from 0.82 to 0.99. In total, 85% of total measurement variability resulted from interobserver measurement difference. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that while selection and measurement concordance were high, there was significant interobserver and intraobserver variability. Most resulted from interobserver variability. Compared with other lesions, peritoneal lesions had the lowest selection reproducibility, and lymph node lesions had the lowest measurement concordance. These factors need consideration to improve response assessment, especially as progression free survival remains the most common endpoint in phase III trials.

An analysis of food and beverage advertising on bus shelters in a deprived area of Northern England.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the extent of food and beverage advertising on bus shelters in a deprived area of the UK, to identify the healthfulness of advertised products, and any differences by level of deprivation. The study also sought to assess the creative strategies used and extent of appeal to young people. DESIGN: Images of bus shelter advertisements were collected via in person photography (in 2019) and Google Street View (photos recorded in 2018). Food and beverage advertisements were grouped into one of seventeen food categories and classified as healthy/less healthy using the UK Nutrient Profile Model. The deprivation level of the advertisement location was identified using the UK Index of Multiple Deprivation. SETTING: Middlesbrough and Redcar and Cleveland in South Teesside. PARTICIPANTS: N/A. RESULTS: Eight hundred and thirty-two advertisements were identified, almost half (48·9 %) of which were for foods or beverages. Of food and non-alcoholic beverage adverts, 35·1 % were less healthy. Most food advertisements (98·9 %) used at least one of the persuasive creative strategies. Food advertisements were found to be of appeal to children under 18 years of age (71·9 %). No differences in healthiness of advertised foods were found by level of deprivation. CONCLUSIONS: Food advertising is extensive on bus shelters in parts of the UK, and a substantial proportion of this advertising is classified as less healthy and would not be permitted to be advertised around television programming for children. Bus shelter advertising should be considered part of the UK policy deliberations around restricting less healthy food marketing exposure.

Alternatives to low birthweight as a population-level indicator of infant and child health.

BACKGROUND: Low birthweight (<2500 g) is often used as a population-level indicator of maternal-child health, as it is easy to measure and correlates with poorer infant health outcomes. However, it conflates preterm birth and intrauterine growth restriction, which have different causal pathways and require different approaches to prevention. Small for gestational age (SGA) (a proxy for growth restriction) and preterm birth may be more informative measures. We evaluated low birthweight as a population-level indicator. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study of singleton live births in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, using linked data from 1994-2006 birth, hospital, death and educational records, with follow-up until 2014. Outcomes of babies born of low birthweight, preterm and SGA were compared with well-grown term infants (i.e. not low birthweight or SGA). Overlap between groups and temporal trends were also examined. RESULTS: Of 1 093 765 singleton live births, 47 946 (4.4%) infants were low birthweight and had poorer outcomes than well-grown term infants (2.7% vs. 0.1% infant mortality; 13% vs. 6% below national minimum numeracy standard). SGA and preterm infants also had poorer outcomes (0.5%, 2.3% infant mortality respectively; 10%, 11% below numeracy standard) but 80% of SGA and 47% of preterm infants were not low birthweight. For all outcomes, low birthweight identified a smaller proportion of infants with poor outcomes than preterm birth and than either SGA or low birthweight at term. The proportion of low-birthweight births remained constant over time, while the proportion of births that were preterm increased and proportion of SGA decreased. CONCLUSIONS: Low birthweight, SGA and preterm infants are all at higher risk of poorer outcomes but low birthweight inadequately captures, and masks trends in, both preterm births and births that are SGA. Reporting preterm births and an indicator of growth restriction at term will identify vulnerable groups better than using the measure of low birthweight.

Evaluation framework for systems models.

As decisions in drug development increasingly rely on predictions from mechanistic systems models, assessing the predictive capability of such models is becoming more important. Several frameworks for the development of quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) models have been proposed. In this paper, we add to this body of work with a framework that focuses on the appropriate use of qualitative and quantitative model evaluation methods. We provide details and references for those wishing to apply these methods, which include sensitivity and identifiability analyses, as well as concepts such as validation and uncertainty quantification. Many of these methods have been used successfully in other fields, but are not as common in QSP modeling. We illustrate how to apply these methods to evaluate QSP models, and propose methods to use in two case studies. We also share examples of misleading results when inappropriate analyses are used.

Drug therapies for reducing gastric acidity in people with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Malabsorption of fat and protein contributes to poor nutritional status in people with cystic fibrosis. Impaired pancreatic function may also result in increased gastric acidity, leading in turn to heartburn, peptic ulcers and the impairment of oral pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy. The administration of gastric acid-reducing agents has been used as an adjunct to pancreatic enzyme therapy to improve absorption of fat and gastro-intestinal symptoms in people with cystic fibrosis. It is important to establish the evidence regarding potential benefits of drugs that reduce gastric acidity in people with cystic fibrosis. This is an update of a previously published review. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effect of drug therapies for reducing gastric acidity for: nutritional status; symptoms associated with increased gastric acidity; fat absorption; lung function; quality of life and survival; and to determine if any adverse effects are associated with their use. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders Group Trials Register which comprises references identified from comprehensive electronic and non-electronic database searches, handsearches of relevant journals,  abstract books and conference proceedings. Both authors double checked the reference lists of the searches Most recent search of the Group's Trials Register: 26 April 2021. On the 26 April 2021 further searches were conducted on the clinicaltrials.gov register to identify any ongoing trials that may be of relevance. The WHO ICTRP database was last searched in 2020 and is not currently available for searching due to the Covid-19 pandemic. SELECTION CRITERIA: All randomised and quasi-randomised trials involving agents that reduce gastric acidity compared to placebo or a comparator treatment. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Both authors independently selected trials, assessed trial quality and extracted data. MAIN RESULTS: The searches identified 40 trials; 17 of these, with 273 participants, were suitable for inclusion, but the number of trials assessing each of the different agents was small. Seven trials were limited to children and four trials enrolled only adults. Meta-analysis was not performed, 14 trials were of a cross-over design and we did not have the appropriate information to conduct comprehensive meta-analyses. All the trials were run in single centres and duration ranged from five days to six months. The included trials were generally not reported adequately enough to allow judgements on risk of bias. However, one trial found that drug therapies that reduce gastric acidity improved gastro-intestinal symptoms such as abdominal pain; seven trials reported significant improvement in measures of fat malabsorption; and two trials reported no significant improvement in nutritional status. Only one trial reported measures of respiratory function and one trial reported an adverse effect with prostaglandin E2 analogue misoprostol. No trials have been identified assessing the effectiveness of these agents in improving quality of life, the complications of increased gastric acidity, or survival. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Trials have shown limited evidence that agents that reduce gastric acidity are associated with improvement in gastro-intestinal symptoms and fat absorption. Currently, there is insufficient evidence to indicate whether there is an improvement in nutritional status, lung function, quality of life, or survival. Furthermore, due to the unclear risks of bias in the included trials, we are unable to make firm conclusions based on the evidence reported therein. We therefore recommend that large, multicentre, randomised controlled clinical trials are undertaken to evaluate these interventions.