Diastolic/systolic blood pressure ratio for predicting febrile children with sepsis and progress to septic shock in the emergency department.

OBJECTIVE: Given the scarcity of studies analyzing the clinical predictors of pediatric septic cases that would progress to septic shock, this study aimed to determine strong predictors for pediatric emergency department (PED) patients with sepsis at risk for septic shock and mortality. METHODS: We conducted chart reviews of patients with ≥ 2 age-adjusted quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (qSOFA) criteria to recognize patients with an infectious disease in two tertiary PEDs between January 1, 2021, and April 30, 2022. The age range of included patients was 1 month to 18 years. The primary outcome was development of septic shock within 48 h of PED attendance. The secondary outcome was sepsis-related 28-day mortality. Initial important variables in the PED and hemodynamics with the highest and lowest values during the first 24 h of admission were also analyzed. RESULTS: Overall, 417 patients were admitted because of sepsis and met the eligibility criteria for the study. Forty-nine cases progressed to septic shock within 48 h after admission and 368 were discharged without progression. General demographics, laboratory data, and hemodynamics were analyzed by multivariate analysis. Only the minimum diastolic blood pressure/systolic blood pressure ratio (D/S ratio) during the first 24 h after admission remained as an independent predictor of progression to septic shock and 28-day mortality. The best cutoff values of the D/S ratio for predicting septic shock and 28-day mortality were 0.52 and 0.47, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The D/S ratio is a practical bedside scoring system in the PED and had good discriminative ability in predicting the progression of septic shock and in-hospital mortality in PED patients. Further validation is essential in other settings.

Ferritin as an Effective Predictor of Neurological Outcomes in Children With Acute Necrotizing Encephalopathy.

BACKGROUND: Acute necrotizing encephalopathy (ANE) is a fulminant disease with poor prognosis. Cytokine storm is the important phenomenon of ANE that affects the brain and multiple organs. The study aimed to identify whether hyperferritinemia was associated with poor prognosis in patients with ANE. METHODS: All patients with ANE had multiple symmetric lesions located in the bilateral thalami and other regions such as brainstem tegmentum, cerebral white matter, and cerebellum. Neurological outcome at discharge was evaluated by pediatric neurologists using the Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category Scale. All risk factors associated with poor prognosis were further analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Twenty-nine patients with ANE were enrolled in the current study. Nine (31%) patients achieved a favorable neurological outcome, and 20 (69%) patients had poor neurological outcomes. results The group of poor neurological outcome had significantly higher proportion of shock on admission and brainstem involvement. Based on multivariate logistic regression analysis, ferritin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and ANE severity score (ANE-SS) were the predictors associated with outcomes. The appropriate cutoff value for predicting neurological outcomes in patients with ANE was 1823 ng/mL for ferritin, 78 U/L for AST, and 4.5 for ANE-SS. Besides, comparison analyses showed that higher level of ferritin and ANE-SS were significantly correlated with brainstem involvement (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Ferritin may potentially be a prognostic factor in patients with ANE. Hyperferritinemia is associated with poor neurological outcomes in patients with ANE and ferritin levels more than 1823 ng/mL have about eightfold increased risk of poor neurological outcome.

Diastolic blood pressure impact on pediatric refractory septic shock outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Septic shock is the progression of sepsis, defined as cardiovascular dysfunction during systemic infection, and it has a mortality rate of 40 %-80 %. Loss of vascular tone is an important pathophysiological feature of septic shock. Diastolic blood pressure (DBP) was reported to be associated with vascular tone. This study aimed to identify the associations of several hemodynamic indices, especially DBP, with outcome in pediatric septic shock to allow for timely interventions. METHODS: Children with persistent catecholamine-resistant shock had a pulse index continuous cardiac output (PiCCO®) system implanted for invasive hemodynamic monitoring and were enrolled in the current study. Serial cardiac index, systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean arterial pressure (MAP), and DBP were recorded during the first 24 h following PiCCO® initiation. All hemodynamic parameters associated with 28-day mortality were further analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-three children with persistent catecholamine-resistant shock were enrolled. The median age was 12 years and the youngest children were 5 years old. Univariate analysis noted that SVRI, SBP, MAP, and DBP were significantly higher, and shock index was significant lower, in survivors compared with non-survivors (p < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, only SVRI and DBP remained independent predictors of 28-day mortality. DBP had the best correlation with SVRI (r = 0.718, n = 219, p < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of SVRI and DBP for predicting 28-day mortality during the first 24 h of persistent catecholamine-resistant shock were >0.75, indicating a good prediction for mortality. CONCLUSIONS: DBP correlated well with SVRI and it can serve as a predictor for mortality in pediatric septic shock. Furthermore, DBP was a superior discriminator of mortality when compared with SBP and MAP. A lower DBP was an independent hemodynamic factor associated with 28-day mortality.

Predictors of disease severity and outcomes in pediatric patients with croup and COVID-19 in the pediatric emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Croup caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is an emerging disease, and data on the risk factors associated with disease severity are still limited. The Westley croup score (WS) is widely used to assess croup severity. The current study aimed to analyze biomarkers associated with the WS and clinical outcomes in patients with croup and coronavirus disease 2019 in the pediatric emergency department (PED). POPULATION AND METHOD: Patients diagnosed with croup caused by SARS-CoV-2 were admitted at two PEDs. Clinical data including age, WS, length of hospital stay, initial laboratory data, and treatment were analyzed. Clinical parameters were evaluated via multivariate logistic regression analysis. The best cutoff values for predicting croup severity and outcomes were identified using the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULT: In total, 250 patients were assessed. Moreover, 128 (51.2%) patients were discharged from the PED, and 122 (48.8%) were admitted to the hospital. Mild, moderate, and severe croup accounted for 63.6% (n = 159), 32% (n = 80), and 4.4% (n = 11) of all cases, respectively. A high mean age (years), neutrophil count (%), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), ALT (U/L), procalcitonin (ng/mL), and hemoglobin (g/dL) level, and length of hospital stay (days), and a low lymphocyte count (%) and blood pH were associated with croup severity and need for intensive care. Based on the multivariate logistic regression model, the NLR remained independent factors associated with croup severity and prognosis. Further, NLR was significantly correlated with WS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of NLR for predicting a WS of ≥3 was 0.895 (0.842-0.948, p < 0.001), and that for predicting ICU admission was 0.795 (0.711-0.879, p < 0.001). The best cutoff values for a WS of ≥3 and ICU admission were 1.65 and 2.06, respectively. CONCLUSION: NLR is correlated with WS and is a reliable, easy-to-use, and cheap biomarker for the early screening and prognosis of croup severity in the PED. A higher NLR may indicate severe croup and the need for further treatment. And the WS score remains reliable for estimating the severity of croup caused by SARS-CoV-2 and the risk of intensive care.