Evaluation of weight-based prescription of antiretroviral therapy in children.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to investigate the extent of and factors associated with incorrect dosing of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in HIV-infected children in Harare, Zimbabwe. METHODS: All children aged 0-10 years and children aged 11-17 years who weighed < 35 kg and taking ART were recruited from the paediatric HIV clinic at Harare Hospital. Their current doses of ART drugs were compared against doses recommended by the national guidelines. RESULTS: Among 309 children recruited [55% male; median age 7 years (interquartile range (IQR) 5-10 years)], the median CD4 count was 899 cells/µL and the median duration of their current ART regimen was 11.2 months (IQR 4.9-17.1 months). Overall, 110 (35.6%) children were prescribed incorrect doses of at least one drug component within their ART regimen; 64 (20.7%) under-dosed and 49 (15.9%) over-dosed on at least one drug. Children receiving a higher than recommended dose of at least one drug were younger compared with correctly dosed children (median 6 versus 7 years, respectively; P = 0.001), had been on their current ART regimen for a shorter time (median 7.2 versus 13 months, respectively; P = 0.003) and were less likely to be receiving a three-drug fixed-dose combination (FDC; 42.9 versus 63.3%, respectively; P = 0.009). Those who were under-dosed were also less likely to be on a three-drug FDC (25 versus 63.3%, respectively; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Over a third of children were prescribed incorrect doses of ART. Children taking triple-drug FDCs were likely to be correctly dosed. Our study highlights the importance of weight monitoring at each clinical contact, training of health care providers on paediatric drug dosing and the need for wider availability of FDCs for children.

The burden and predictors of cognitive impairment among 6- to 8-year-old children infected and uninfected with HIV from Harare, Zimbabwe: a cross-sectional study.

With long-term survival of children infected with HIV, information on cognitive function at school age is needed. To determine cognitive function among 6- to 8 year-old children exposed to HIV and to assess factors associated with cognitive impairment, we conducted a cross-sectional study from October 2010 to December 2011 among children whose mothers participated in a national HIV prevention program in Harare. Cognitive function was assessed using the McCarthy Scales of Children's Abilities (MSCA). Of the 306 assessed children, 32 (10%) were HIV infected, 121 (40%) exposed uninfected, and 153 (50%) unexposed uninfected. The mean (SD) General Cognitive Index for the whole study group was 82 (15). An overall of 49 (16%) out of the 306 children had cognitive impairment with no difference in general cognitive function among the three groups. Children with HIV infection scored lowest in perceptual performance domain, p = .028. Unemployed caregivers, child orphanhood and undernutrition were associated with impaired cognitive performance in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, caregiver unemployment status remained a factor associated with cognitive impairment with an ODDS ratio of 2.1 (95% CI 1.03-3.36). In a cohort of 6- to 8-year-olds, HIV infection did not show evidence of significant difference in general cognitive function. Children infected with HIV had major deficits in perceptive performance. Lower socioeconomic status was associated with cognitive impairment. In resource-constrained settings, strategies aimed at poverty alleviation and good nutritional management should complement early infant diagnosis and treatment of HIV in order to optimize neurocognitive potential.

Non-adherence to highly active antiretroviral therapy in children attending HIV treatment clinic at harare Children's Hospital, Zimbabwe.

Background: Non-adherence reduces the effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy. Knowledge of factors associated with non-adherence would assist clinicians and program planners to design and implement interventions to improve adherence and therefore treatment outcomes. Objective: To determine the prevalence and factors associated with non-adherence to Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy (HAART) in children less than 10 years of age. Methods: A cross-sectional study of 216 caregivers and children less than 10 years of age who had received HAART for at least 60 days prior to this study. Non-adherence was defined as taking less than 95% of prescribed doses. Caregiver self-reports of missed doses in the 30 days preceding a clinic visit, and clinic based pill counts were used to determine non-adherence. Results: Of the 228 children selected, 216 (94.7%) study participants were assessed using the self-report method. Pill count assessment was done on only 96 (44%) participants who produced unused pills on their review dates. Caregiver self-reports (n=216) estimated the prevalence of non-adherence to be 7.4% (95%: CI 3.90 10.90) whereas clinic-based pill counts (n=96) yielded a higher estimate of 18.8% (95% CI 10.94 26.56). In a regression analysis based on pill count, two or fewer siblings (OR=6.26, 95% CI 1.64-23.95) or adults (OR=3.73, 95% CI: 1.01-13.78) in the household were independently associated with non-adherence to HAART. Of the 16 participants who were non adherent by pill count the reasons for missing doses were, attending gatherings (funeral, church), caregiver forgetting to give dose, medication running out, not understanding dosing instructions, concurrently taking other medicines such as anti tuberculosis drugs and cotrimoxazole, child visiting relatives during school vacation, and inconsistent supply of drugs in the hospital. Conclusion: The prevalence of non adherence using pill count method was high at this clinic. Caregiver reports of missed doses underestimated the prevalence of non-adherence to HAART. Having fewer siblings or adults in the household to assist with dosing are strongly associated with non-adherence to HAART in this population of children.

Acquired epidermodysplasia verruciformis due to multiple and unusual HPV infection among vertically-infected, HIV-positive adolescents in Zimbabwe.

BACKGROUND: We have previously described the presentation of epidermodysplasia verruciformis (EV)-like eruptions in almost a quarter of hospitalized adolescents with vertically-acquired human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in Harare, Zimbabwe, a region with a high prevalence of HIV infection. METHODS: We performed a clinical case note review and skin biopsy from affected sites in 4 HIV-infected adolescents with EV-like lesions in Harare. Biopsies were processed for histology and for human papillomavirus (HPV) typing. RESULTS: All patients had long-standing skin lesions that pre-dated the diagnosis of HIV by several years. The histology of skin biopsies from all patients was consistent with EV. In each biopsy, EV-associated ß-HPV type 5 was identified (additionally, type 19 was found in 1 biopsy). Cutaneous wart-associated HPV types 1 and 2 were detected in all biopsies, together with genital lesion-associated HPV types 6, 16, and 52, (as well as ≥3 other genital lesion-associated HPV types). Despite immune reconstitution with combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), there was no improvement in EV-like lesions in any patient. CONCLUSIONS: EV is a disfiguring and potentially stigmatizing condition among this patient group and is difficult to treat; cART appears to have no impact on the progression of skin disease. Among adolescents with longstanding HIV-induced immunosuppression and with high levels of sun exposure, close dermatological surveillance for potential skin malignancy is required.

Clinical predictors of HIV infection in hospitalized children aged 2-18 months in Harare, Zimbabwe.

BACKGROUND: In Africa without antiretroviral treatment more than half of the HIV infected children die by 2 years. The recommended HIV virological testing for early infant diagnosis is not widely available in developing countries therefore a presumptive diagnosis is made in infants presenting with symptoms suggestive of HIV disease. OBJECTIVES: To identify presenting signs and symptoms predictive of HIV infection in hospitalized children aged between 2- 18 months at Harare Hospital, Zimbabwe. METHODS: In a cross sectional study the baseline clinical information was collected and HIV infection confirmed using DNA PCR. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify significant predictors of symptomatic HIV infection. Diagnostic parameters (sensitivity, specificity) and their 95% confidence intervals were calculated. RESULTS: 355 children with an overall median age of 6 months (IQR: 3, 10.5 months) of whom 203 (57.2%) were HIV DNA PCR positive. Clinical signs independently predictive of HIV infection were cyanosis, generalized lymphadenopathy, oral thrush, weight for age z-score <-2 and splenomegaly. The sensitivity of these signs ranged from 43-49% with a higher specificity (ranging from 72.3-89.5%). CONCLUSION: Clinical identification using individual signs for probable HIV infection in hospitalized children below 18 months would provide an opportunity for early diagnosis, treatment.

Chest radiography patterns in 75 adolescents with vertically-acquired human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection.

AIM: To evaluate lung disease on chest radiography (CR), the relative frequency of CR abnormalities, and their clinical correlates in adolescents with vertically-acquired human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: CRs of 75 patients [59 inpatients (33 males; mean age 13.7±2.3 years) and 16 outpatients (eight males; mean age 14.1±2.1 years)] were retrospectively reviewed by three independent observers. The overall extent of disease (to the nearest 5%), its distribution, and the proportional extents (totalling 100%) of different radiographic patterns (including ring/tramline opacities and consolidation) were quantified. CR features and clinical data were compared. RESULTS: CRs were abnormal in 51/75 (68%) with "extensive" disease in 38/51 (74%). Ring/tramline opacities and consolidation predominated (i.e., proportional extent >50%) in 26 and 21 patients, respectively. Consolidation was significantly more common in patients hospitalized primarily for a respiratory illness than patients hospitalized for a non-respiratory illness or in outpatients (p<0.005, χ(2) for trend); by contrast, ring/tramline opacities did not differ in prevalence across the groups. On stepwise logistic regression, predominant consolidation was associated with progressive dyspnoea [odds ratio (OR) 5.60; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.60, 20.1; p<0.01] and was associated with a primary respiratory cause for hospital admission (OR: 22.0; CI: 2.7, 181.1; p<0.005). Ring/tramline opacities were equally prevalent in patients with and without chronic symptoms and in those admitted to hospital with respiratory and non-respiratory illness. CONCLUSION: In HIV-infected adolescents, evaluated in secondary practice, CR abnormalities are prevalent. The presence of ring/tramline opacities, believed to reflect chronic airway disease, is not linked chronic respiratory symptoms.

Adoption of safer infant feeding and postpartum sexual practices and their relationship to maternal HIV status and risk of acquiring HIV in Zimbabwe.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationships between maternal knowledge and concern about HIV status, adoption of preventive practices and risk of acquiring HIV in Zimbabwe. METHODS: Knowledge and behavioural data were collected via interview from 2595 mothers enrolled in ZVITAMBO, a randomized trial of postpartum vitamin A supplementation that also offered education on safer infant feeding and sexual practices. Mothers were tested for HIV at delivery; those uninfected at baseline were retested during study follow-up. Logistic regression methods were used to identify variables associated with adoption of preventive behaviours and, for HIV-negative mothers, their relationship to risk of acquiring HIV post-delivery. RESULTS: A total of 518 mothers (20%) reported practicing safer sex and 289 mothers (11%) reported modifying their feeding behaviour because of HIV. Fear of transmitting HIV (50.4%) and protecting the baby's health (30.9%) were the most frequently cited reasons for behaviour change. Forty-nine HIV-negative mothers acquired HIV during the first postpartum year. After taking into account other significant covariates, mothers who were concerned about their own HIV status were 1.9 times more likely (95% CI: 1.05-3.52; P = 0.03), and those reporting safer sex practices were 58% less likely to become infected (adjusted odds ratio: 0.42; 95% CI: 0.17-1.04; P = 0.06). Married women who reported practicing abstinence to prevent HIV were 3.2 times more likely to become infected than non-abstaining mothers (P = 0.01), while there were no new HIV infections among abstaining single mothers. CONCLUSIONS: Greater emphasis should be given to safer sex practices among women who test negative in mother-to-child HIV prevention programmes.

HIV-1 and HIV-2 prevalence and associated risk factors among postnatal women in Harare, Zimbabwe.

Studies of antenatal women form the predominant source of data on HIV-1 prevalence in Africa. Identifying factors associated with prevalent HIV is important in targeting diagnostic services and care. Between November 1997 and January 2000, 14,110 postnatal women from Harare, Zimbabwe were tested by ELISAs reactive to both HIV-1 and HIV-2; a subset of positive samples was confirmed with assays specific for HIV-1 and HIV-2. Baseline characteristics were elicited and modelled to identify risk factors for prevalent HIV infection. HIV-1 and HIV-2 prevalences were 32.0% (95% CI 31.2-32.8) and 1.3% (95% CI 1.1-1.5), respectively; 4% of HIV-1-positive and 99% of HIV-2-positive women were co-infected. HIV-1 prevalence increased from 0% among 14-year-olds to >45% among women aged 29-31 years, then fell to <20% among those aged>40 years. In multivariate analyses, prevalence increased with parity, was lower in married women than in single women, divorcees and widows, and higher in women with the lowest incomes and those professing no religion. Adjusted HIV-1 prevalence increased during 1998 and decreased during 1999. Age modified the effects of parity, home ownership and parental education. Among older women, prevalence was greater for women who were not homeowners. Among younger women, prevalence increased with parity and low parental education. None of these factors distinguished women co-infected with HIV-2 from those infected with HIV-1 alone. Prevalent HIV-1 infection is associated with financial insecurity and weak psychosocial support. The ZVITAMBO study apparently spanned the peak of the HIV-1 epidemic among reproductive women in Harare.

Morbidity and mortality patterns in HIV-1 seropositive/ seronegative women in Kampala and Harare during pregnancy and in the subsequent two years.

OBJECTIVE: To compare birth outcomes, hospital admissions and mortality amongst HIV-1 seropositive and HIV-1 seronegative pregnant women in Kampala, Uganda and Harare, Zimbabwe. DESIGN: In Kampala and Harare about 400 HIV-1 seropositive and 400 HIV-1 seronegative pregnant women were recruited at initial visit for antenatal care into a prospective study and followed for two years after delivery. The women were classified as HIV-1 seropositive at recruitment if initial and second ELISA tests were positive and confirmed by Western Blot assay. Data on demographic, reproductive, contraceptive and medical histories were obtained using a comprehensive questionnaire at entry, 32 and 36 weeks gestation, at delivery and at six, 12, and 24 months post delivery. In addition, a physical examination and various blood tests were performed at each antenatal and post natal visit. RESULTS: During the two years after delivery, HIV-1 seropositive women had higher hospital admission and death rates than HIV-1 seronegative women. HIV-1 seropositive mothers had a two-fold increase in risk of being admitted to hospital (Kampala: RR = 2.09; 95% CI = 0.95 to 4.59; Harare: RR = 1.98; 95% CI = 1.13 to 3.45). In the six weeks after delivery eight deaths occurred, six of which were among HIV-1 seropositive women and in the period from six weeks to two years after delivery, 53 deaths occurred, 51 of which were among HIV-1 seropositive women (Kampala: RR = 17.7; 95% CI = 4.3 to 73.2; Harare: RR = 10.0; 95% CI = 2.3 to 43.1). However, there was no difference in hospital admission rates between HIV-1 seropositive and seronegative women during pregnancy itself and there was only one death during that period (in a HIV-1 seronegative woman). There was no difference in the frequency of complications of delivery between HIV-1 seropositive and HIV-1 seronegative women and the outcome of births were also similar. CONCLUSIONS: A significant number of HIV-1 positive pregnant women presented at both Harare and Kampala although there was no difference in the number of hospital admissions or mortality between HIV-1 seropositive and HIV-1 seronegative women during pregnancy. Although there were no differences in complications during pregnancy or outcome at delivery, in the two years after delivery, HIV-1 seropositive women in both centres were at increased risk of being admitted to hospital and of dying.

A clinical evaluation of children under the age of five years who are household contacts of adults with sputum positive tuberculosis in Harare, Zimbabwe.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence and risk factors for transmission of tuberculosis in children under five years of age who are household contact of sputum smear positive tuberculosis adults in Harare, Zimbabwe. DESIGN: Cross sectional study. SETTING: City Health Infectious Diseases Hospital Outpatient Department. SUBJECTS: 174 children in contact with 102 index cases. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: TB infection status in children according to modified WHO classification of tuberculosis. METHODS: Under five year old contacts of sputum smear positive TB adults were recruited over a three month period. A coded questionnaire was used to document the following: socio-demographic profile of caregivers, duration of stay with the index case and presenting complaints. Contacts were evaluated by clinical examination, Mantoux testing, HIV antibody testing and chest radiographs. RESULTS: Of the 174 children in contact with 102 index cases evaluated, 109 (62.6%) were Mantoux positive (> or = 10 mm), 42% had abnormal chest X-ray, with hilar lymphadenopathy being the commonest abnormality. Forty nine percent of the children evaluated had probable TB, 28% had suspected TB and 23% had no TB. High alcohol acid fast load (AAFB) in the index case was independently associated with probable and suspected TB (OR 2.27 95% CI (1.05 to 4.87). CONCLUSION: The documented high transmission rate among under five years contacts in the study justifies the need for strengthening contact tracing and appropriate therapeutic management of identified children.

Fatal Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia in HIV-seropositive infants in Harare, Zimbabwe.

Lung biopsies taken post mortem from 24 HIV-seropositive children who died of pneumonia in Harare Hospital (Zimbabwe) during 1995 were examined for pathogens using histology, culture, microscopy and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Pneumocystis carinii was detected in 16 (67%) children, in 5 of whom bacterial pathogens were also detected. There were 2 cases of cytomegalovirus infection. On the basis of histology and PCR, none of the children had tuberculosis. These data add to the evidence that P. carinii pneumonia may be a significant cause of death in HIV-infected children in southern Africa. Policies on treatment for severe pneumonia, and on prophylaxis for children born to HIV-seropositive mothers need to be re-examined.

HIV-1 seroconversion incidence following pregnancy and delivery among women seronegative at recruitment in Harare, Zimbabwe.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence of HIV seroconversion among women following pregnancy and delivery. DESIGN: A prospective cohort of women who were HIV negative at recruitment on first antenatal care visit. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Pregnant women were invited to undergo voluntary confidential HIV counselling and blood draw for HIV testing during the first antenatal care visit as part of a prospective study of mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1. Repeat tests were conducted at delivery, six weeks post partum and at three monthly intervals until 24 months or on termination due to subsequent pregnancy, death or loss to follow up. Logistic regression modelling was used to determine independent predictors of HIV seroconversion. RESULTS: Among 372 HIV negative pregnant women who were enrolled, 66 seroconverted during follow up, resulting in a sero-incidence of 4.8 per 100 person years (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.1 to 6.5). Women who did not seroconvert during the time of pregnancy or follow up were significantly more likely to have used a condom with their partners (OR = 0.68, 95% CI = 0.47 to 0.99). Women aged 17 years and below had the highest seroconversion incidence (6.25%) followed by those aged 18 to 19 years (5.42%). Women who seroconverted and those who were HIV positive at recruitment were more likely to be married. Lack of education by the partner of a pregnant woman constituted a significant risk factor for HIV seroconversion (OR = 2.8; 95% CI = 1.1 to 11.0). CONCLUSIONS: There is a high HIV seroconversion incidence among women during pregnancy and following delivery, especially those aged 19 years and below. Being married does not protect the women from the risk of HIV seroconversion. Strategies for HIV prevention should target pregnant women and their partners.

Serum IgG subclasses levels in paediatric patients with pneumonia.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the IgG subclass levels of patients admitted to Harare Central Hospital paediatric wards with pneumonia. DESIGN: A cross sectional study. SETTING: Harare Central Hospital, Departments of Immunology and Paediatrics, University of Zimbabwe; Department of Paediatric Immunology, University of Utrecht, The Netherlands. SUBJECTS: 56 paediatric patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: IgG subclass profiles of children with pneumonia. RESULTS: Of the 56 children tested, 40 (71%) had antibodies to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The levels of IgG1 and IgG3 subclasses were significantly higher in HIV antibody positive children (p < 0.001, p < 0.01 respectively) than in those without detectable HIV antibodies in their sera. There was no significant relationship between IgG subclass levels and the presence of HIV p24 antigen. Furthermore, age and gender also had no significant influence on the levels of IgG subclasses in this population. CONCLUSION: High levels of IgG1 and IgG3, but not IgG2 and IgG4, occur frequently in children with pneumonia and are associated with the presence of HIV antibodies.

Prevention of hypoxemia during feeding in infants with bronchopneumonia.

Administration of oxygen via a tube held close to the nose prevented hypoxemia during breastfeeding in 15 of 20 infants with bronchopneumonia.

Evaluation of the prototype Roche DNA amplification kit incorporating the new SSK145 and SKCC1B primers in detection of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 DNA in Zimbabwe.

We assessed the sensitivity and specificity of a newly developed DNA PCR kit (Roche Diagnostic Corporation, Indianapolis, Ind.) that incorporates primers for all the group M viruses for the detection of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 (HIV-1) infection in Zimbabwe. A total of 202 whole-blood samples from adults whose HIV status was known were studied. This included 100 HIV-1-positive and 102 HIV-1-negative samples selected on the basis of concordant results obtained with two enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits. The prototype Roche DNA PCR assay had a 100% sensitivity for the detection of HIV-1 DNA and a specificity of 100%. We conclude that the new Roche DNA PCR kit is accurate for the detection of HIV DNA in Zimbabwean samples, in which HIV-1 subtype C dominates.

Pattern of admissions to the paediatric medical wards (1995 to 1996) at Harare Hospital, Zimbabwe.

OBJECTIVE: To document the pattern of disease and outcome of medical paediatric admissions at Harare hospital. DESIGN: Cross sectional study from 1 June 1995 to 30th May 1996. SETTING: Medical paediatric wards, Harare Central Hospital. SUBJECTS: All admissions below the age of nine years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Socio-demographic features, nutritional status, clinical diagnoses, duration of hospital stay and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 8,826(90.0%) of the admissions were assessed. The majority(51.8%) of the patients were one year and below. "Road to Health" cards, available for 94.4% children, showed 88.0% had appropriate immunizations for age. Forty nine percent had lower respiratory tract infection either as only, or concurrent with other diagnoses, with an overall fatality rate of 16.2%. Acute diarrhoea was the second most frequent condition (21.0%) with an associated case fatality rate of 11.3%. Mortality rates for neonatal sepsis and bacterial meningitis were 12.3% and 32.8% respectively. Severe malnutrition defined as less than 60% of the expected weight for age, was present in 12.5% with an associated fatality rate of 28.7%. Based on clinical suspicion 23.2% of the total children were tested for HIV antibodies and 82.0% were positive. Overall case fatality among the inpatients was 17.8% and 36.7% of the total deaths occurred within 24 hours of admission. CONCLUSION: There is a need to re-evaluate our management strategies for common conditions including those with HIV infection. Standardization of case management is an important and essential step towards reduction in mortality both at the primary and referral health institutions.

Serum immunoglobulin levels in paediatric patients with pneumonia.

OBJECTIVE: To determine levels of serum immunoglobulins IgG, IgM and IgA in patients admitted with pneumonia to Harare Central Hospital paediatric wards. DESIGN: A cross sectional pilot study. SETTING: Harare Central Hospital, Department of Immunology, University of Zimbabwe; Department of Paediatrics, University of Zimbabwe; Immunology Laboratory, University of Utrecht (The Netherlands). SUBJECTS: 71 paediatric patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Immunoglobulin profiles for children with pneumonia. RESULTS: Of the 71 children tested, 43 had high IgG levels of between two and half and five times the upper end of the normal age-matched reference range. While the same 43 children with high IgG had similarly elevated levels of IgM, only 25 of them had elevated IgA levels. Of this group of 43 children with hypergammaglobulinaemia, all but one, had antibodies to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), 50% of whom had detectable levels of p24 antigen in their sera. A small minority, 4% of the 71 patients, had very low levels of total immunogloblins. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of total immunoglobulins occur frequently in children with pneumonia and are associated with the presence of HIV 1/2 antibodies and also p24 antigen.

Mortality in the first 2 years among infants born to human immunodeficiency virus-infected women in Harare, Zimbabwe.

Transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and mortality was studied among infants of infected women in Zimbabwe. Of 367 infants born to HIV-infected women, 72 (19.6%) died compared with 20 (5.4%) of 372 infants of uninfected women (P < .01). Infection by HIV DNA polymerase chain reaction among infants who survived >7 days and died within 2 years could be assessed in 87% (58/67) of infants of infected women and 83% (5/6) of infants of uninfected women; transmission occurred in 40 of 58 infants. Among 27 infected infants tested at birth, 19 (70%), 5 (19%), and 3 (11%) were apparently infected via in utero, intrapartum or early postpartum, and late postpartum transmission, respectively. The majority of HIV-infected infants who died in the first 2 years of life were likely to have acquired in utero infection.

Predictors of mortality in children hospitalized with dysentery in Harare, Zimbabwe.

OBJECTIVES: To document the pattern of complications and identify risk factors for subsequent mortality in a hospitalized paediatric population during a Shigella dysenteriae type 1 epidemic. DESIGN: Hospital based prognostic study. SETTING: Paediatric wards in Harare and Parirenyatwa tertiary referral hospitals. SUBJECTS: All children aged one month to 12 years admitted to the wards with a history of bloody diarrhoea between January 1993 to June 30 1994 were included in the study (n = 312). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patterns of complications and predictors of mortality. RESULTS: The peak age group of the patients was 12 to 23 months. Ninety five children died giving an overall case fatality rate (CFR) of 30.4% (95% CI, 25.3 to 35.6). One third (n = 107) had haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS), among whom the CFR was 43%. Other complications included altered consciousness (35%), seizures (12%), coma (4.5%), severe dehydration (14%), abdominal distention (17%), rectal prolapse (5%) and ileus (6%). In a multivariate analysis, temperature < 36 degrees C (OR 2.12; 95% CI, 1.33 to 3.39), severe dehydration (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.53), hyperkalemia (> 5.5 mmol/L) (OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.97), hyponatremia (< 120 mmol/L) (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.17 to 2.11), urea (> 8 mmol/L) (OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.36), and abdominal distention (OR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.16 to 2.41) were found to be predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: Some of the major clinical and laboratory features allowing the early identification of children at increased risk of dying during dysentery outbreaks have been delineated. The high fatality associated with complicated dysentery highlights the need for preventive strategies which are sustainable in the region.